Cost-effectiveness of avelumab first-line maintenance therapy for adult patients with locally advanced or metastatic urothelial carcinoma in France.

BACKGROUND: This study evaluated the cost-effectiveness of avelumab first-line (1L) maintenance therapy plus best supportive care (BSC) versus BSC alone for adults with locally advanced or metastatic urothelial carcinoma (la/mUC) that had not progressed following platinum-based chemotherapy in France. METHODS: A three-state partitioned survival model was developed to assess the lifetime costs and effects of avelumab plus BSC versus BSC alone. Data from the phase 3 JAVELIN Bladder 100 trial (NCT02603432) were used to inform estimates of clinical and utility values considering a 10-year time horizon and a weekly cycle length. Cost data were estimated from a collective perspective and included treatment acquisition, administration, follow-up, adverse event-related hospitalization, transport, post-progression, and end-of-life costs. Health outcomes were measured in quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) and life-years gained. Costs and clinical outcomes were discounted at 2.5% per annum. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) were used to compare cost-effectiveness and willingness to pay in France. Uncertainty was assessed using a range of sensitivity analyses. RESULTS: Avelumab plus BSC was associated with a gain of 2.49 QALYs and total discounted costs of €136,917; BSC alone was associated with 1.82 QALYs and €39,751. Although avelumab plus BSC was associated with increased acquisition costs compared with BSC alone, offsets of -€20,424 and -€351 were observed for post-progression and end-of-life costs, respectively. The base case analysis ICER was €145,626/QALY. Sensitivity analyses were consistent with the reference case and showed that efficacy parameters (overall survival, time to treatment discontinuation), post-progression time on immunotherapy, and post-progression costs had the largest impact on the ICER. CONCLUSIONS: This analysis demonstrated that avelumab plus BSC is associated with a favorable cost-effectiveness profile for patients with la/mUC who are eligible for 1L maintenance therapy in France.

Endoscopic intervention versus radical nephroureterectomy for the management of localized upper urinary tract urothelial carcinoma: a systematic review and meta-analysis of comparative studies.

OBJECTIVE: Localized Upper Urinary Tract Urothelial Carcinoma (UTUC) is an uncommon cancer typically detected at an advanced stage. Currently, radical nephroureterectomy (RNU) with bladder cuff excision is the standard treatment for high-risk UTUC. This meta-analysis aims to evaluate the 5-year overall and cancer-specific survival and bladder recurrence rates in studies comparing endoscopic kidney-sparing surgeries (E-KSS) with RNU in localized UTUC. EVIDENCE ACQUISITION: We performed a literature search on 20th April 2023 through PubMed, Web of Science, and Scopus. The PICOS model was used for study inclusion: P: adult patients with localized UTUC; I: E-KSS. C: RNU; O: primary: overall survival (OS); secondary: cancer-specific survival (CSS), bladder recurrence rate, and metastasis-free survival (MFS). S: retrospective, prospective, and randomized studies. EVIDENCE SYNTHESIS: Overall, 11 studies involving 2284 patients were eligible for this meta-analysis, 737 in the E-KSS group and 1547 in the RNU group. E-KSS showed a similar overall 5-year OS between E-KSS and RNU, and for low-grade tumors, while 5-year OS favored RNU for high-grade tumors (RR 1.84, 95% CI 1.26-2.69, p = 0.002). No difference emerged for 5-year CSS between the two groups, even when the results were stratified for low- and high grade tumors. Bladder recurrence rate and 5-year MFS were also similar between the two groups. CONCLUSIONS: Our review showed that E-KSS is a viable option for patients with localized UTUC with non-inferior oncological outcomes as compared with RNU, except for 5-year OS in high-grade tumors which favoured RNU.

Pre-first-line chemotherapy risk stratification for overall survival in advanced urothelial carcinoma in sequential therapy era.

PURPOSE: To explore pre-treatment risk factors for overall survival (OS) in advanced urothelial carcinoma (UC) patients treated with first-line (1L) chemotherapy in sequential therapy (ST) era. Additionally, to evaluate the proportion of patients who were not able to undergo subsequent immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) therapy according to the subgroups stratified by the risk factors. METHODS: A multicenter retrospective study was conducted. Metastatic or locally advanced UC patients treated between 2017 and 2022 were included. The Kaplan-Meier method with the log-rank test and multivariate Cox regression models were used to address OS. RESULTS: Three hundred and fourteen patients treated with 1L chemotherapy were included in the study and 57 (18.2%) patients were not able to proceed to subsequent ICI therapy. Pre-chemotherapy risk factors for OS in 314 patients were ECOG-PS 1 or more, having no primary site resection, C-reactive protein (CRP) level of 3 mg/dL or more, and non-cisplatin-based regimen. Patients having 3 or 4 risk factors had higher risk for not being able to receive ST (Mann-Whitney U test, P < 0.001). As risk factors for OS in 230 patients who were able to receive ST, having no primary site resection, a neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio of 3 or more, and the presence of liver metastasis were identified. CONCLUSION: We reported the risk factors for OS in advanced UC patients treated with 1L chemotherapy in ST era. Patients with high risk for OS may not be able to proceed to subsequent ICI therapy even in the ST era.

Identification of cuproptosis-related long non-coding RNA and construction of a novel prognostic signature for bladder cancer: An observational study.

Bladder Urothelial Carcinoma (BLCA), a prevalent and lethal cancer, lacks understanding regarding the roles and prognostic value of cuproptosis-related lncRNAs (CRLs), a novel form of cell death induced by copper. We collected RNA-seq data, clinical information, and prognostic data for 414 BLCA samples and 19 matched controls from The Cancer Genome Atlas. Using multivariate and univariate Cox regression analyses, we identified CRLs to create a prognostic signature. Patients were then divided into low- and high-risk groups based on their risk scores. We analyzed overall survival using the Kaplan-Meier method, evaluated stromal and immune scores, and explored functional differences between these risk groups with gene set enrichment analysis. Gene Ontology (GO) and Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) analyses were also conducted to understand the links between CRLs and BLCA development. We developed a prognostic signature using 4 independent CRLs: RC3H1-IT1, SPAG5-AS1, FAM13A-AS1, and GNG12-AS1. This signature independently predicted the prognosis of BLCA patients. High-risk patients had worse outcomes, with gene set enrichment analysis revealing enrichment in tumor- and immune-related pathways in the high-risk group. Notably, high-risk patients exhibited enhanced responses to immunotherapy and conventional chemotherapy drugs like sunitinib, paclitaxel, and gemcitabine. The independent prognostic signature variables RC3H1-IT1, SPAG5-AS1, FAM13A-AS1, and GNG12-AS1 predicted the prognoses of BLCA patients and provided a basis for the study of the mechanism of CRLs in BLCA development and progression, and the guidance of clinical treatments for patients with BLCA.

Association Between Serum Magnesium Levels and Outcomes of Atezolizumab in Patients With Metastatic Urothelial Carcinoma.

BACKGROUND/AIM: Evidence suggests that serum magnesium levels are associated with outcomes of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs). However, this association remains under-explored in patients with metastatic urothelial carcinoma (UC) treated with ICIs. PATIENTS AND METHODS: This prognostic study used individual participant-level data from 1,281 patients with locally advanced or metastatic UC treated with atezolizumab (N=855) or chemotherapy (N=426) who participated in the IMvigor210 and the IMvigor211 trials. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression and Fine-Gray subdistribution hazards regression models were used to examine the association of baseline serum magnesium levels with overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), and immune-related adverse events (irAEs). RESULTS: No evidence of an association was found between baseline serum magnesium levels and PFS or OS in patients treated with atezolizumab [PFS, hazard ratio (HR)=1.03, 95% confidence interval (CI)=0.78-1.35; OS, HR=1.13, 95%CI=0.84-1.51] or chemotherapy (PFS, HR=0.93, 95%CI=0.62-1.40; OS, HR=0.91, 95%CI=0.59-1.40). We also found no evidence of association with irAEs (subdistribution HR=1.29, 95%CI=0.81-2.07) in patients receiving atezolizumab. CONCLUSION: This study found no evidence of an association between baseline serum magnesium levels and treatment outcomes or irAEs in patients with metastatic UC receiving atezolizumab. Contrary to previous research suggesting a role for magnesium in cancer therapy, these results indicate that serum magnesium levels may not serve as a biomarker to predict outcomes in these patients.

Comparing survival in trial- versus routine-care advanced urothelial cancer patients on immune checkpoint blockade.

PURPOSE: Although recent trials involving first-line immune checkpoint inhibitors have expanded treatment options for patients with advanced urothelial carcinoma (aUC) who are ineligible for standard cisplatin-based chemotherapy, there exists limited evidence for whether trial efficacy translates into real-world effectiveness for patients seen in routine care. This retrospective cohort study compares differences in overall survival (OS) between KEYNOTE-052 trial participants and routine-care patients receiving first-line pembrolizumab monotherapy. METHODS: A routine-care patient cohort was constructed from the Flatiron Health database using trial eligibility criteria and was weighted to balance EHR and trial patient characteristics using matching-adjusted indirect comparisons. RESULTS: The routine-care cohort was older, more likely to be female, and more often cisplatin-ineligible due to renal dysfunction. ECOG performance status was comparable between the cohorts. Median OS was 9 months (95% CI 7-16) in the weighted routine-care cohort and 11.3 months (9.7-13.1) in the trial cohort. No significant differences between the Kaplan-Meier OS curves were detected (p = 0.76). Survival probabilities were similar between the weighted routine-care and trial cohorts at 12-, 24-, and 36- months (0.45 vs. 0.47, 0.31 vs. 0.31, 0.26 vs. 0.23, respectively). Notably, routine care patients had modestly lower survival at 3 months compared to trial participants (0.69 vs. 0.83, respectively). CONCLUSION: Our results provide reassurance that cisplatin-ineligible aUC patients receiving first-line immunotherapy in routine care experience similar benefits to those observed in trial patients.

Establishment and validation of a nomogram for predicting overall survival of upper-tract urothelial carcinoma with bone metastasis: a population-based study.

BACKGROUND: Bone metastasis (BM) carries a poor prognosis for patients with upper-tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC). This study aims to identify survival predictors and develop a prognostic nomogram for overall survival (OS) in UTUC patients with BM. METHODS: The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database was used to select patients with UTUC between 2010 and 2019. The chi-square test was used to assess the baseline differences between the groups. Kaplan-Meier analysis was employed to assess OS. Univariate and multivariate analyses were conducted to identify prognostic factors for nomogram establishment. An independent cohort was used for external validation of the nomogram. The discrimination and calibration of the nomogram were evaluated using concordance index (C-index), area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA). All statistical analyses were performed using SPSS 23.0 and R software 4.2.2. RESULTS: The mean OS for UTUC patients with BM was 10 months (95% CI: 8.17 to 11.84), with 6-month OS, 1-year OS, and 3-year OS rates of 41%, 21%, and 3%, respectively. Multi-organ metastases (HR = 2.21, 95% CI: 1.66 to 2.95, P < 0.001), surgery (HR = 0.72, 95% CI: 0.56 to 0.91, P = 0.007), and chemotherapy (HR = 0.37, 95% CI: 0.3 to 0.46, P < 0.001) were identified as independent prognostic factors. The C-index was 0.725 for the training cohort and 0.854 for the validation cohort, and all AUC values were > 0.679. The calibration curve and DCA curve showed the accuracy and practicality of the nomogram. CONCLUSIONS: The OS of UTUC patients with BM was poor. Multi-organ metastases was a risk factor for OS, while surgery and chemotherapy were protective factors. Our nomogram was developed and validated to assist clinicians in evaluating the OS of UTUC patients with BM.

C-reactive protein (CRP) as a prognostic biomarker in patients with urothelial carcinoma: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

C-reactive protein (CRP) may reflect a pro-inflammatory tumor microenvironment and could represent a biomarker to select patients with urothelial carcinoma more likely to benefit from therapies directed at modulating tumor-promoting inflammation. We performed a systematic review to evaluate survival outcomes based on pre-treatment CRP values in urothelial carcinoma. The hazard ratios (HRs) of survival such as overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) between groups with high versus low CRP values were pooled by the random-effect model meta-analyses. Overall, 28 studies comprising 6789 patients were identified for meta-analyses. High CRP levels were associated with shorter OS (HR=1.96 [95% CI: 1.64-2.33], p < 0.01), particularly in advanced disease treated with immune checkpoint blockade (ICB, HR=1.78 [1.47-2.15], p < 0.01). Similar findings were observed in ICB-treated patients with PFS. These findings suggest that CRP could be an attractive biomarker to select patients with urothelial carcinoma for strategies seeking to modulate tumor-promoting inflammation.

Association between comorbidities and survival in patients with metastatic urothelial carcinoma treated with pembrolizumab.

BACKGROUND: This study aims to investigate the relationship between comorbidities and survival in patients with mUC treated with pembrolizumab as a second-line treatment. METHODS: From February 2018 to October 2021, we analyzed the data of 185 consecutive patients with metastatic UC who received pembrolizumab as second-line therapy at The Jikei University Hospital and five affiliated hospitals. We used the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) to assess the comorbidities. The outcomes of interest were progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). To compare the survival differences, inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW)-adjusted Kaplan-Meier curves and the IPTW-adjusted Cox regression hazards model were used. RESULTS: After IPTW adjustment, patient characteristics were well-balanced between patients with high CCI and those with low CCI. The IPTW-adjusted Kaplan-Meier curves of PFS and OS based on CCI revealed that the patients with high CCI (2 or more) had a shorter PFS (median, 1.6 vs. 2.8 months) and a shorter OS (median, 12.4 vs. 18.8 months) (0-1). Similarly, in the IPTW-adjusted Cox regression hazards model, patients with high CCI had significantly shorter PFS [HR, 1.84 (95% CI 1.26-2.68; p = 0.002)] and OS [HR, 1.98 (95% CI 1.20-3.27; p = 0.008)] than those with lower CCI. CONCLUSIONS: High CCI was associated with a higher risk of disease progression as well as overall mortality in mUC patients treated with second-line pembrolizumab.

Recent trends in incidence, mortality, survival, and treatment of upper tract urothelial carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: To examine the recent trends in incidence, incidence-based mortality, survival, and treatment of upper tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC) from 2004 to 2019 and investigate whether patients would benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy. METHODS: Within the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database, we identified 18,422 patients diagnosed with UTUC from 2004 to 2019. Joinpoint regression analyses were used to test the trends in annual percentage change (APC) for statistical significance. RESULTS: From 2004 to 2019, the incidence of all UTUC decreased from 1.46 to 1.27 per 100,000 person-years [APC: -1.11, P<0.001]. In subgroup analysis, the incidence decreased for localized, regional and stage I-II, but increased for distant. Over the study period, changes in trend for 5-year cancer specific survival [APC: -0.21, P=0.676] and 5-year overall survival [APC: 0.18, P=0.751] of all UTUC were not significant. The 5-year cancer specific survival and 5-year overall survival for regional and stage III cancer improved significantly from 2004 to 2014. Since 2004, rates of treatment with nephroureterectomy combined with chemotherapy increased significantly [APC: 7.38, P<0.001], while rates of treatment with nephroureterectomy alone decreased significantly [APC: -1.89, P<0.001]. CONCLUSION: The overall incidence of UTUC is reduced, with a significant reduction in the incidence of early stage UTUC but an increase in the incidence of late stage UTUC. No significant change in IBM was observed over the study period. No significant improvement in survival for early stage UTUC. Significant improvements in regional and stage III survival were observed with active adjuvant chemotherapy. There is also an excess of combination therapy. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: 8.

Improved Disease-Free Survival With Adjuvant Chemotherapy After Nephroureterectomy for Upper Tract Urothelial Cancer: Final Results of the POUT Trial.

Clinical trials frequently include multiple end points that mature at different times. The initial report, typically based on the primary end point, may be published when key planned co-primary or secondary analyses are not yet available. Clinical Trial Updates provide an opportunity to disseminate additional results from studies, published in JCO or elsewhere, for which the primary end point has already been reported.POUT was a phase III, randomized, open-label trial, including 261 patients with muscle-invasive or lymph node-positive, nonmetastatic upper tract urothelial cancer (UTUC) randomly assigned after radical nephroureterectomy to platinum-based chemotherapy (132) or surveillance (129). Primary outcome analysis demonstrated that chemotherapy improved disease-free survival (DFS). At that time, the planned secondary outcome analysis of overall survival (OS) was immature. By February 2022, 50 and 67 DFS events had occurred in the chemotherapy and surveillance groups, respectively, at a median follow-up of 65 months. The 5-year DFS was 62% versus 45%, univariable hazard ratio (HR), 0.55 (95% CI, 0.38 to 0.80, P = .001). The restricted mean survival time (RMST) was 18 months longer (95% CI, 6 to 30) in the chemotherapy arm. There were 46 and 60 deaths in the chemotherapy and control arms, respectively. The 5-year OS was 66% versus 57%, with univariable HR, 0.68 (95% CI, 0.46 to 1.00, P = .049) and RMST difference 11 months (95% CI, 1 to 21). Treatment effects were consistent across chemotherapy regimens (carboplatin or cisplatin) and disease stage. Toxicities were similar to those previously reported, and there were no clinically relevant differences in quality of life between arms. In summary, although OS was not the primary outcome measure, the updated results add further support for the use of adjuvant chemotherapy in patients with UTUC, suggesting long-term benefits.

TP53 disruptive mutation predicts platinum-based chemotherapy and PD-1/PD-L1 blockade response in urothelial carcinoma.

TP53 mutation is one of the most common genetic alterations in urothelial carcinoma (UrCa), and heterogeneity of TP53 mutants leads to heterogeneous clinical outcomes. This study aimed to investigate the clinical relevance of specific TP53 mutations in UrCa. In this study, a total of eight cohorts were enrolled, along with matched clinical annotation. TP53 mutations were classified as disruptive and nondisruptive according to the degree of disturbance of p53 protein function and structure. We evaluated the clinical significance of TP53 mutations in our local datasets and publicly available datasets. The co-occurring events of TP53 mutations in UrCa, along with their therapeutic indications, functional effects, and the tumor immune microenvironment, were also investigated. TP53 mutations were identified in 49.7% of the UrCa patients. Within this group, 25.1% of patients carried TP53Disruptive mutations, a genetic alteration correlated with a significantly poorer overall survival (OS) when compared to individuals with TP53Nondisruptive mutations and those with wild-type TP53. Significantly, patients with TP53Disruptive mutations exhibit an increased probability of responding favorably to PD-1/PD-L1 blockade and chemoimmunotherapy. Meanwhile, there was no noteworthy distinction in OS among patients with varying TP53 mutation status who underwent chemotherapy. Samples with TP53Disruptive mutations showed an enriched APOBEC- and POLE-related mutational signature, as well as an elevated tumor mutation burden. The sensitivity to immunotherapy in tumors carrying TP53Disruptive mutation may be attributed to the inflamed tumor microenvironment characterized by increased CD8+T cell infiltration and interferon-gamma signaling activation. In conclusion, UrCa patients with TP53Disruptive mutations have shown reduced survival rates, yet they may respond well to PD-1/PD-L1 blockade therapy and chemoimmunotherapy. By distinguishing specific TP53 mutations, we can improve risk stratification and offer personalized genomics-guided therapy to UrCa patients. © 2024 The Authors. The Journal of Pathology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of The Pathological Society of Great Britain and Ireland.

Real-world sequential treatment patterns and clinical outcomes among patients with advanced urothelial carcinoma in Japan.

OBJECTIVES: Immune checkpoint inhibitors and enfortumab vedotin have opened new avenues for sequential treatment strategies for locally advanced/metastatic urothelial carcinoma (la/mUC). In the pre-enfortumab vedotin era, many patients could not receive third-line treatment owing to rapid disease progression and poor general status. This study aimed to analyze real-world sequential treatment practices for la/mUC in Japan, with a focus on patients who do not receive third-line treatment. METHODS: We analyzed data for 1023 la/mUC patients diagnosed between January 2020 and December 2021 at 54 institutions from a Japanese nationwide cohort. RESULTS: At the median follow-up of 28.5 months, the median overall survival from first-line initiation for 905 patients who received systemic anticancer treatment was 19.1 months. Among them, 81% and 32% received second- and third-line treatment. Notably, 52% had their treatment terminated before the opportunity for third-line treatment. Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that low performance status (≥1), elevated neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (≥3), and low body mass index (<21 kg/m2) at the start of first-line treatment were independent risk factors for not proceeding to third-line treatment (p = 0.0024, 0.0069, and 0.0058, respectively). In this cohort, 33% had one of these factors, 36% had two, and 15% had all three. CONCLUSIONS: This study highlights the high frequency of factors associated with poor tolerance to anticancer treatment in la/mUC patients. The findings suggest the need to establish optimal sequential treatment strategies, maximizing efficacy within time and tolerance constraints, while concurrently providing strong supportive care, considering immunological and nutritional aspects.

Impact of lymphovascular invasion on survival in surgically treated upper tract urothelial carcinoma: a nationwide analysis.

OBJECTIVES: To assess the prognostic ability of lymphovascular invasion (LVI) in upper tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC) as a predictor of overall survival (OS) using a large North American cohort. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Our cohort included 5940 patients with clinical M0 UTUC who underwent a radical nephroureterectomy (RNU), between 2010 and 2016, within the National Cancer Database. The main variable of interest was LVI status, and its interaction with pathological nodal (pN) status. Kaplan-Meier curves were used to depict the OS also stratifying patients on LVI status. Cox regression analysis tested the impact of LVI status on OS after accounting for the available covariates. RESULTS: The median (interquartile range [IQR]) age at diagnosis was 71 (63-78) years and most patients had pathological T1 stage disease (48.6%). Nodal status was pN0, pN1 and pNx in 45.8%, 6.3% and 47.9%, respectively. Overall, 22.1% had LVI. The median (IQR) follow-up time was 32.6 (16.0-53.3) months. At the 5-year postoperative follow-up, the estimated OS rate was 28% in patients with LVI vs 66% in those without LVI (P < 0.001). When patients were stratified based on nodal status those rates were 32% vs 68% in pN0 patients (P < 0.001), 23% vs 30% in pN1 patients (P = 0.8), and 28% vs 65% in pNx patients (P < 0.001). On multivariable analysis, the presence of LVI was associated with less favourable OS (hazard ratio 1.79, 95% confidence interval 1.60-1.99; P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Our study assessed the impact of LVI on OS in patients with UTUC in a large North American nationwide cohort. Our series, as the largest to date, indicate that LVI is associated with less favourable survival outcomes in patients with UTUC after RNU, and this variable could be used in counselling patients about their prognosis and might be a useful tool for future trials to risk-stratify patients.

Erdafitinib or Chemotherapy in Advanced or Metastatic Urothelial Carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Erdafitinib is a pan-fibroblast growth factor receptor (FGFR) inhibitor approved for the treatment of locally advanced or metastatic urothelial carcinoma in adults with susceptible FGFR3/2 alterations who have progression after platinum-containing chemotherapy. The effects of erdafitinib in patients with FGFR-altered metastatic urothelial carcinoma who have progression during or after treatment with checkpoint inhibitors (anti-programmed cell death protein 1 [PD-1] or anti-programmed death ligand 1 [PD-L1] agents) are unclear. METHODS: We conducted a global phase 3 trial of erdafitinib as compared with chemotherapy in patients with metastatic urothelial carcinoma with susceptible FGFR3/2 alterations who had progression after one or two previous treatments that included an anti-PD-1 or anti-PD-L1. Patients were randomly assigned in a 1:1 ratio to receive erdafitinib or the investigator's choice of chemotherapy (docetaxel or vinflunine). The primary end point was overall survival. RESULTS: A total of 266 patients underwent randomization: 136 to the erdafitinib group and 130 to the chemotherapy group. The median follow-up was 15.9 months. The median overall survival was significantly longer with erdafitinib than with chemotherapy (12.1 months vs. 7.8 months; hazard ratio for death, 0.64; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.47 to 0.88; P = 0.005). The median progression-free survival was also longer with erdafitinib than with chemotherapy (5.6 months vs. 2.7 months; hazard ratio for progression or death, 0.58; 95% CI, 0.44 to 0.78; P<0.001). The incidence of grade 3 or 4 treatment-related adverse events was similar in the two groups (45.9% in the erdafitinib group and 46.4% in the chemotherapy group). Treatment-related adverse events that led to death were less common with erdafitinib than with chemotherapy (in 0.7% vs. 5.4% of patients). CONCLUSIONS: Erdafitinib therapy resulted in significantly longer overall survival than chemotherapy among patients with metastatic urothelial carcinoma and FGFR alterations after previous anti-PD-1 or anti-PD-L1 treatment. (Funded by Janssen Research and Development; THOR ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT03390504.).

El estado inmunológico-inflamatorio-nutricional predice los resultados oncológicos tras la cistectomía radical por carcinoma urotelial de vejiga / Immune-inflammatory-nutritional status predicts oncologic outcomes after radical cystectomy for urothelial carcinoma of bladder

Objetivo Evaluar por primera vez el papel del estado inmunológico-inflamatorio-nutricional (EIIN) en los resultados oncológicos de pacientes sometidos a cistectomía radical abierta (CRA) por carcinoma urotelial (CU). Materiales y métodos Se analizaron retrospectivamente los registros de pacientes consecutivos sometidos a CRA por cáncer de vejiga no metastásico entre los años 2009 y 2020. La quimioterapia neoadyuvante, el tumor no urotelial y la ausencia de seguimiento oncológico fueron criterios de exclusión. Se calcularon los valores del índice de inmunidad-inflamación sistémica (IIS) y del índice pronóstico nutricional (IPN) y se utilizaron los valores de corte óptimos para estos, con el fin de designar cuatro subgrupos: «IIS alto-IPN alto», «IIS bajo-IPN alto», «IIS bajo-IPN bajo» y «IIS alto-IPN bajo». El grupo de EIIN con IIS bajo-IPN alto tuvo la mejor tasa de supervivencia global (SG), mientras que el resto se incluyó en el grupo de EIIN desfavorable. Se elaboraron curvas de supervivencia y se utilizó un modelo de regresión de Cox multivariante para la SG y la supervivencia libre de recidiva (SLR). Resultados Tras aplicar los criterios de exclusión, el tamaño final de la cohorte fue de 173 pacientes. La edad media fue de 64,31±8,35 y la mediana de seguimiento fue de 21 (RIQ: 9-58) meses. Los valores de corte óptimos para IIS y IPN fueron 1.216 y 47, respectivamente. El grupo de EIIN favorable (IIS bajo-IPN alto, n=89) tuvo la mejor tasa de SG (62,9%). El análisis multivariante de regresión de Cox indicó que el EIIN desfavorable (n=84) era un factor independiente de pronóstico para una SG peor (HR: 1,509; IC 95%: 1,104-3,145; p=0,001) y la SLR (HR: 1,285; IC 95%: 1,009-1,636; p=0,042). Conclusión La evaluación preoperatoria del EIIN puede constituir un panel útil para el pronóstico de la SG y la SLR en pacientes sometidos a CRA por CU (AU)

Objective To perform the first investigation of the role of immune-inflammatory-nutritional status (INS) on oncological outcomes in patients undergoing open radical cystectomy (ORC) for urothelial carcinoma (UC). Materials and methods The records of consecutive patients who underwent ORC for non-metastatic bladder cancer between 2009 and 2020 were retrospectively analyzed. Neoadjuvant chemotherapy, non-urothelial tumor biology, and absence of oncological follow-up were exclusion criteria. Systemic immune-inflammatory index (SII) and prognostic nutritional index (PNI) values were calculated and optimal cut-off values for these were used to designate four subgroups: «high SII-high PNI», «low SII-high PNI», «low SII-low PNI», and «high SII-low PNI». The low SII-high PNI INS group had best overall survival (OS) rate while the remainder were included in non-favorable INS group. Survival curves were constructed, and a multivariate Cox regression model was used for OS and recurrence-free survival (RFS). Results After exclusions, the final cohort size was 173 patients. The mean age was 64.31±8.35 and median follow-up was 21 (IQR: 9-58) months. Optimal cut-off values for SII and PNI were 1216 and 47, respectively. The favorable INS group (low SII-high PNI, n=89) had the best OS rate (62.9%). Multivariate Cox regression analysis indicated that non-favorable INS (n=84) was a worse independent prognostic factor for OS (HR: 1.509, 95% CI: 1.104-3.145, P=.001) and RFS (HR: 1.285; 95% CI: 1.009-1.636, P=.042). Conclusion Preoperative assessment of INS may be a useful prognostic panel for OS and RFS in patients who had ORC for UC (AU)

A Survival Model for Patients with Upper Tract Urothelial Carcinoma

Objectives: We aimed to establish a survival model for patients with upper tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC). Methods: A total of 241 patients with UTUC treated from January 2010 to December 2018 were selected. Their general clinical data were collected, and urological indices were measured. They were followed up after discharge, and divided into a death group (n = 51) and a survival group (n = 190) to compare the clinical data. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to analyze the independent risk factors for postoperative death, based on which a nomogram prediction model was established and then validated. Results: The death group had significantly older age, larger tumor diameter, and higher tumor grade, pathological stage and proportion of no adjuvant chemotherapy than those of the control group (p < 0.01). The results of multivariate logistic analysis suggested that high tumor grade, tumor located in the ureter, large tumor diameter, high pathological stage, and lymph node metastasis were independent risk factors for postoperative death. A nomogram prediction model was established based on the prognostic independent risk factors. The area under the curve of receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.828 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.801–0.845), so the model had good discrimination. The calibration curve showed that the model had high consistency. Conclusions: The established nomogram model can be used to predict the mortality risk of patients with UTUC and postoperative survival, and to develop individualized treatment plans for improving the prognosis and survival (AU)

Using machine learning for mortality prediction and risk stratification in atezolizumab-treated cancer patients: Integrative analysis of eight clinical trials.

BACKGROUND: Few models exist to predict mortality in cancer patients receiving immunotherapy. Our aim was to build a machine learning-based risk stratification model for predicting mortality in atezolizumab-treated cancer patients. METHODS: Data from 2538 patients in eight atezolizumab-treated cancer clinical trials across three cancer types (non-small-cell lung cancer, bladder transitional cell carcinoma, and renal cell carcinoma) were included. The whole cohort was randomly split into development and validation cohorts in a 7:3 ratio. Machine-learning algorithms (extreme gradient boosting, random forest, logistic regression with lasso regularization, support vector machine, and K-nearest neighbor) were applied to develop prediction models. Model performance was mainly assessed by area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) value, calibration plot, and decision curve analysis. The probability of death risk was then stratified. RESULTS: One thousand and three hundred and seventy-nine (54.33%) patients died. The random forest (RF) model was overall the best in terms of predictive performance, with the AUC of 0.844 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.826-0.862) in the development cohort and 0.786 (95% CI: 0.754-0.818) in the validation cohort for predicting mortality. Twelve baseline variables contributing to mortality prediction in the RF model were C-reactive protein, PD-L1 level, cancer type, prior liver metastasis, derived neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, alkaline phosphatase, albumin, hemoglobin, white blood cell count, number of metastatic sites, pulse rate, and Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) performance status. A total of 1782 (70.2%) patients were separated into the high-risk and 756 (29.8%) low-risk groups. Patients in the high-risk group were significantly more likely to die, experience disease progression, discontinue study, and discontinue treatment than patients in the low-risk group (all p values < 0.001). Risk groups were not associated with immune-related adverse events and grades 3-5 treatment-related adverse events (all p values > 0.05). CONCLUSION: RF model has good performance in mortality prediction and risk stratification for cancer patients receiving atezolizumab monotherapy.

Efficacy and safety of erdafitinib in patients with locally advanced or metastatic urothelial carcinoma: long-term follow-up of a phase 2 study.

BACKGROUND: Erdafitinib, a pan-fibroblast growth factor receptor (FGFR) tyrosine kinase inhibitor, was shown to be clinically active and tolerable in patients with advanced urothelial carcinoma and prespecified FGFR alterations in the primary analysis of the BLC2001 study at median 11 months of follow-up. We aimed to assess the long-term efficacy and safety of the selected regimen of erdafitinib determined in the initial part of the study. METHODS: The open-label, non-comparator, phase 2, BLC2001 study was done at 126 medical centres in 14 countries across Asia, Europe, and North America. Eligible patients were aged 18 years or older with locally advanced and unresectable or metastatic urothelial carcinoma, at least one prespecified FGFR alteration, an Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status of 0-2, and progressive disease after receiving at least one systemic chemotherapy or within 12 months of neoadjuvant or adjuvant chemotherapy or were ineligible for cisplatin. The selected regimen determined in the initial part of the study was continuous once daily 8 mg/day oral erdafitinib in 28-day cycles, with provision for pharmacodynamically guided uptitration to 9 mg/day (8 mg/day UpT). The primary endpoint was investigator-assessed confirmed objective response rate according to Response Evaluation Criteria In Solid Tumors version 1.1. Efficacy and safety were analysed in all treated patients who received at least one dose of erdafitinib. This is the final analysis of this study. This study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT02365597. FINDINGS: Between May 25, 2015, and Aug 9, 2018, 2328 patients were screened, of whom 212 were enrolled and 101 were treated with the selected erdafitinib 8 mg/day UpT regimen. The data cutoff date for this analysis was Aug 9, 2019. Median efficacy follow-up was 24·0 months (IQR 22·7-26·6). The investigator-assessed objective response rate for patients treated with the selected erdafitinib regimen was 40 (40%; 95% CI 30-49) of 101 patients. The safety profile remained similar to that in the primary analysis, with no new safety signals reported with longer follow-up. Grade 3-4 treatment-emergent adverse events of any causality occurred in 72 (71%) of 101 patients. The most common grade 3-4 treatment-emergent adverse events of any cause were stomatitis (in 14 [14%] of 101 patients) and hyponatraemia (in 11 [11%]). There were no treatment-related deaths. INTERPRETATION: With longer follow-up, treatment with the selected regimen of erdafitinib showed consistent activity and a manageable safety profile in patients with locally advanced or metastatic urothelial carcinoma and prespecified FGFR alterations. FUNDING: Janssen Research & Development.

Management Trends and Outcomes of Patients Undergoing Radical Cystectomy for Urothelial Carcinoma of the Bladder: Evolution of the University of Southern California Experience over 3,347 Cases.

PURPOSE: There are conflicting reports on outcome trends following radical cystectomy (RC) for bladder cancer. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Evolution of modern bladder cancer management and its impact on outcomes was analyzed using a longitudinal cohort of 3,347 patients who underwent RC at an academic center between 1971 and 2018. Outcomes included recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS). Associations were assessed using univariable and multivariable models. RESULTS: In all, 70.9% of cases underwent open RC in the last decade, although trend for robot-assisted RC rose since 2009. While lymphadenectomy template remained consistent, nodal submission changed to anatomical packets in 2002 with increase in yield (p <0.001). Neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) use increased with time with concomitant decrease in adjuvant chemotherapy; this was notable in the last decade (p <0.001) and coincided with improved pT0N0M0 rate (p=0.013). Median 5-year RFS and OS probabilities were 65% and 55%, respectively. Advanced stage, NAC, delay to RC, lymphovascular invasion and positive margins were associated with worse RFS (all, multivariable p <0.001). RFS remained stable over time (p=0.73) but OS improved (5-year probability, 1990-1999 51%, 2010-2018 62%; p=0.019). Among patients with extravesical and/or node-positive disease, those who received NAC had worse outcomes than those who directly underwent RC (p ≤0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Despite perioperative and surgical advances, and improved pT0N0M0 rates, there has been no overall change in RFS trend following RC, although OS rates have improved. While patients who are downstaged with NAC derive great benefit, our real-world experience highlights the importance of preemptively identifying NAC nonresponders who may have worse post-RC outcomes.