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2.
JAMA ; 329(19): 1700-1702, 2023 05 16.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36988971

ABSTRACT

This study uses 2021 National Health Interview Survey data to examine the prevalence of insulin rationing among adults younger than 65 years in the US by demographic characteristics.


Subject(s)
Diabetes Mellitus , Insulin , Adult , Humans , Diabetes Mellitus/drug therapy , Diabetes Mellitus/economics , Diabetes Mellitus/epidemiology , Insulin/administration & dosage , Insulin/economics , Insulin/therapeutic use , Insulin, Regular, Human , Prevalence , United States/epidemiology , Health Care Rationing/economics , Young Adult , Middle Aged , Drug Costs
3.
Multimedia | Multimedia Resources | ID: multimedia-9684

ABSTRACT

A alimentação é um direito constitucional, assim como a saúde, e é reconhecida como determinante da saúde. A agenda de Alimentação e Nutrição prevista no artigo 6º da Lei n.° 8.080, de 19 de setembro de 1990, prevê atribuições específicas para o Ministério da Saúde, as Secretarias Estaduais e Municipais de Saúde. Desde a criação do Sistema Único de Saúde (SUS), o Estado brasileiro passou a ter o dever de garantir a todos(as) o acesso às ações e aos serviços de saúde, seja para os grandes problemas de saúde coletivos, seja para os individuais, a partir dos princípios de universalidade, integralidade e equidade. O SUS, então, inclui a vigilância alimentar e nutricional, a atenção às doenças e aos agravos mais frequentes e mais raros, as vacinas e os transplantes, a promoção da saúde e a promoção e proteção da amamentação, bem como a terapia nutricional, entre tantas outras ofertas de atenção à saúde. Atualmente, as doenças crônicas não transmissíveis (DCNT) são a principal causa de morbimortalidade no Brasil, já atingem 52% das pessoas maiores de 18 anos, sendo as mais prevalentes a hipertensão, problemas na coluna, depressão e diabetes (IBGE, 2020). As doenças transmissíveis continuam exigindo esforços do SUS, como o aperfeiçoamento dos programas de controle de doenças transmitidas por vetores, como dengue, chikungunya e zica. Mais recentemente, o controle da covid-19 e o cuidado com as pessoas que ficaram com condições pós-covid se somam aos desafios a serem enfrentados pelo SUS. É preciso ressaltar ainda que outras condições de saúde relacionadas à Alimentação e Nutrição estão também presentes no cotidiano da vida das pessoas e, portanto, de diversas equipes da APS, apesar da escassez ou inexistência de dados estatísticos nacionais ou da sua baixa prevalência na população. A identificação e o acolhimento dessas pessoas ocorrem, sobretudo, à medida que são aprimoradas a responsabilização pela população adscrita, a acessibilidade, a capacidade resolutiva e a coordenação do cuidado da APS, tornando-a também, assim como os serviços de Atenção Especializada, um ponto fundamental da RAS para a atenção integral à saúde. Também repercute sobre a APS a questão da insegurança alimentar da população, compreendida como a falta de acesso a uma alimentação adequada, condicionada, predominantemente, às questões de renda. Diante desse complexo cenário que se deu a construção da Matriz para Organização dos Cuidados em Alimentação e Nutrição na Atenção Primária à Saúde.


Subject(s)
Primary Health Care/standards , Nutrition Policy , Food Security/statistics & numerical data , Diet, Healthy , Health Services Accessibility , Health Promotion , Family Health , Noncommunicable Diseases/prevention & control , Healthy Lifestyle , Health Care Rationing/economics , Obesity/prevention & control , Local Health Systems/economics , Brazil
5.
Multimedia | Multimedia Resources | ID: multimedia-9691

ABSTRACT

O II Seminário Internacional de Alimentação e Nutrição na Atenção Primária à Saúde teve como objetivo disseminar informações técnico-científicas e promover trocas de experiências a partir de espaços de discussão e proposição de ações em conjunto com coordenadores estaduais e municipais de alimentação e nutrição, gestores e profissionais envolvidos no desenvolvimento destas ações nos territórios, além de pesquisadores, estudantes e demais interessados no tema. Esse contou com um público de 5 mil pessoas, residentes em mais de 50 países. Houve o lançamento de duas importantes publicações: Recomendações para o Fortalecimento da Atenção Nutricional na Atenção Primária à Saúde no Brasil e Matriz para Organização dos Cuidados em Alimentação e Nutrição na Atenção Primária à Saúde. Esses materiais foram desenvolvidos para dar apoio técnico aos gestores e profissionais na organização da atenção nutricional e na formulação de estratégias de cuidado nos territórios cobertos pela APS no Brasil, buscando reverter cenários de má nutrição.


Subject(s)
Nutrition Policy , Food Security , Diet, Healthy , Noncommunicable Diseases/prevention & control , Food Insecurity , Local Health Systems , Sustainable Development , Malnutrition/prevention & control , Primary Health Care , Intersectoral Collaboration , Food and Nutritional Surveillance , Policy Making , Industrialized Foods , Health Promotion , Prisoners , Feeding Behavior , Family Health , COVID-19/epidemiology , Community Health Workers , Health Care Rationing/economics , Health Personnel/education , Healthy Lifestyle , Quality of Life , Food and Nutrition Education , Whole Foods
6.
Value Health ; 25(3): 419-426, 2022 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35227454

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: To the best of our knowledge, no published clinical guidelines have ever undergone an economic evaluation to determine whether their implementation represented an efficient allocation of resources. Here, we perform an economic evaluation of national clinical guidelines designed to reduce unnecessary blood transfusions before, during, and after surgery published in 2012 by Australia's sole public blood provider, the National Blood Authority (NBA). METHODS: We performed a cost analysis from the government perspective, comparing the NBA's cost of implementing their perioperative patient blood management guidelines with the estimated resource savings in the years after publication. The impact on blood products, patient outcomes, and medication use were estimated for cardiac surgeries only using a large national registry. We adopted conservative counterfactual positions over a base-case 3-year time horizon with outcomes predicted from an interrupted time-series model controlling for differences in patient characteristics and hospitals. RESULTS: The estimated indexed cost of implementing the guidelines of A$1.5 million (2018-2019 financial year prices) was outweighed by the predicted blood products resource saving alone of A$5.1 million (95% confidence interval A$1.4 million-A$8.8 million) including savings of A$2.4 million, A$1.6 million, and A$1.2 million from reduced red blood cell, platelet, and fresh frozen plasma use, respectively. Estimated differences in patient outcomes were highly uncertain and estimated differences in medication were financially insignificant. CONCLUSIONS: Insofar as they led to a reduction in red blood cell, platelet, and fresh frozen plasma use during cardiac surgery, implementing the perioperative patient blood management guidelines represented an efficient use of the NBA's resources.


Subject(s)
Blood Transfusion/economics , Blood Transfusion/standards , Cardiac Surgical Procedures/methods , Practice Guidelines as Topic/standards , Australia , Blood Component Transfusion/economics , Blood Component Transfusion/standards , Cost-Benefit Analysis , Health Care Rationing/economics , Health Care Rationing/standards , Humans , Interrupted Time Series Analysis , Outcome Assessment, Health Care
7.
J Acquir Immune Defic Syndr ; 89(4): 374-380, 2022 04 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35202046

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: A goal of the US Department of Health and Human Services' Ending the HIV Epidemic (EHE) in the United States initiative is to reduce the annual number of incident HIV infections in the United States by 75% within 5 years and by 90% within 10 years. We developed a resource allocation analysis to understand how these goals might be met. METHODS: We estimated the current annual societal funding [$2.8 billion (B)/yr] for 14 interventions to prevent HIV and facilitate treatment of infected persons. These interventions included HIV testing for different transmission groups, HIV care continuum interventions, pre-exposure prophylaxis, and syringe services programs. We developed scenarios optimizing or reallocating this funding to minimize new infections, and we analyzed the impact of additional EHE funding over the period 2021-2030. RESULTS: With constant current annual societal funding of $2.8 B/yr for 10 years starting in 2021, we estimated the annual incidence of 36,000 new cases in 2030. When we added annual EHE funding of $500 million (M)/yr for 2021-2022, $1.5 B/yr for 2023-2025, and $2.5 B/yr for 2026-2030, the annual incidence of infections decreased to 7600 cases (no optimization), 2900 cases (optimization beginning in 2026), and 2200 cases (optimization beginning in 2023) in 2030. CONCLUSIONS: Even without optimization, significant increases in resources could lead to an 80% decrease in the annual HIV incidence in 10 years. However, to reach both EHE targets, optimization of prevention funding early in the EHE period is necessary. Implementing these efficient allocations would require flexibility of funding across agencies, which might be difficult to achieve.


Subject(s)
Epidemics , HIV Infections , Pre-Exposure Prophylaxis , Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome/epidemiology , Epidemics/economics , Epidemics/prevention & control , HIV Infections/diagnosis , HIV Infections/economics , HIV Infections/epidemiology , HIV Infections/therapy , Health Care Rationing/economics , Humans , Incidence , Pre-Exposure Prophylaxis/economics , Public Health Practice/economics , United States/epidemiology
8.
Sci Rep ; 11(1): 17787, 2021 09 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34493774

ABSTRACT

Despite COVID-19's significant morbidity and mortality, considering cost-effectiveness of pharmacologic treatment strategies for hospitalized patients remains critical to support healthcare resource decisions within budgetary constraints. As such, we calculated the cost-effectiveness of using remdesivir and dexamethasone for moderate to severe COVID-19 respiratory infections using the United States health care system as a representative model. A decision analytic model modelled a base case scenario of a 60-year-old patient admitted to hospital with COVID-19. Patients requiring oxygen were considered moderate severity, and patients with severe COVID-19 required intubation with intensive care. Strategies modelled included giving remdesivir to all patients, remdesivir in only moderate and only severe infections, dexamethasone to all patients, dexamethasone in severe infections, remdesivir in moderate/dexamethasone in severe infections, and best supportive care. Data for the model came from the published literature. The time horizon was 1 year; no discounting was performed due to the short duration. The perspective was of the payer in the United States health care system. Supportive care for moderate/severe COVID-19 cost $11,112.98 with 0.7155 quality adjusted life-year (QALY) obtained. Using dexamethasone for all patients was the most-cost effective with an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of $980.84/QALY; all remdesivir strategies were more costly and less effective. Probabilistic sensitivity analyses showed dexamethasone for all patients was most cost-effective in 98.3% of scenarios. Dexamethasone for moderate-severe COVID-19 infections was the most cost-effective strategy and would have minimal budget impact. Based on current data, remdesivir is unlikely to be a cost-effective treatment for COVID-19.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 Drug Treatment , COVID-19/therapy , Health Care Costs/statistics & numerical data , Health Care Rationing/economics , Adenosine Monophosphate/analogs & derivatives , Adenosine Monophosphate/economics , Adenosine Monophosphate/therapeutic use , Alanine/analogs & derivatives , Alanine/economics , Alanine/therapeutic use , COVID-19/diagnosis , COVID-19/economics , COVID-19/mortality , COVID-19/virology , Clinical Decision-Making/methods , Computer Simulation , Cost-Benefit Analysis , Dexamethasone/economics , Dexamethasone/therapeutic use , Health Care Rationing/organization & administration , Humans , Intensive Care Units/economics , Intensive Care Units/statistics & numerical data , Middle Aged , Oxygen/administration & dosage , Oxygen/economics , Quality-Adjusted Life Years , Respiration, Artificial/economics , SARS-CoV-2 , Severity of Illness Index , Treatment Outcome , United States/epidemiology
9.
CMAJ Open ; 9(3): E897-E906, 2021.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34584004

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Colonization and marginalization have affected the risk for and experience of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection for First Nations people in Canada. In partnership with the Ontario First Nations HIV/AIDS Education Circle, we estimated the publicly borne health care costs associated with HCV infection among Status First Nations people in Ontario. METHODS: In this retrospective matched cohort study, we used linked health administrative databases to identify Status First Nations people in Ontario who tested positive for HCV antibodies or RNA between 2004 and 2014, and Status First Nations people who had no HCV testing records or only a negative test result (control group, matched 2:1 to case participants). We estimated total and net costs (difference between case and control participants) for 4 phases of care: prediagnosis (6 mo before HCV infection diagnosis), initial (after diagnosis), late (liver disease) and terminal (6 mo before death), until death or Dec. 31, 2017, whichever occurred first. We stratified costs by sex and residence within or outside of First Nations communities. All costs were measured in 2018 Canadian dollars. RESULTS: From 2004 to 2014, 2197 people were diagnosed with HCV infection. The mean net total costs per 30 days of HCV infection were $348 (95% confidence interval [CI] $277 to $427) for the prediagnosis phase, $377 (95% CI $288 to $470) for the initial phase, $1768 (95% CI $1153 to $2427) for the late phase and $893 (95% CI -$1114 to $3149) for the terminal phase. After diagnosis of HCV infection, net costs varied considerably among those who resided within compared to outside of First Nations communities. Net costs were higher for females than for males except in the terminal phase. INTERPRETATION: The costs per 30 days of HCV infection among Status First Nations people in Ontario increased substantially with progression to advanced liver disease and finally to death. These estimates will allow for planning and evaluation of provincial and territorial population-specific hepatitis C control efforts.


Subject(s)
Health Care Costs/statistics & numerical data , Hepacivirus , Hepatitis C, Chronic , Case-Control Studies , Databases, Factual/statistics & numerical data , Disease Progression , Female , Health Care Rationing/economics , Health Care Rationing/statistics & numerical data , Hepacivirus/genetics , Hepacivirus/immunology , Hepacivirus/isolation & purification , Hepatitis C, Chronic/diagnosis , Hepatitis C, Chronic/economics , Hepatitis C, Chronic/epidemiology , Hepatitis C, Chronic/physiopathology , Humans , Indigenous Canadians/statistics & numerical data , Male , Middle Aged , Ontario/epidemiology , Retrospective Studies , Sequence Analysis, RNA/statistics & numerical data , Serologic Tests/statistics & numerical data
12.
Am J Respir Crit Care Med ; 204(2): 178-186, 2021 07 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33751910

ABSTRACT

Rationale: Crisis standards of care (CSCs) guide critical care resource allocation during crises. Most recommend ranking patients on the basis of their expected in-hospital mortality using the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score, but it is unknown how SOFA or other acuity scores perform among patients of different races. Objectives: To test the prognostic accuracy of the SOFA score and version 2 of the Laboratory-based Acute Physiology Score (LAPS2) among Black and white patients. Methods: We included Black and white patients admitted for sepsis or acute respiratory failure at 27 hospitals. We calculated the discrimination and calibration for in-hospital mortality of SOFA, LAPS2, and modified versions of each, including categorical SOFA groups recommended in a popular CSC and a SOFA score without creatinine to reduce the influence of race. Measurements and Main Results: Of 113,158 patients, 27,644 (24.4%) identified as Black. The LAPS2 demonstrated higher discrimination (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUC], 0.76; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.76-0.77) than the SOFA score (AUC, 0.68; 95% CI, 0.68-0.69). The LAPS2 was also better calibrated than the SOFA score, but both underestimated in-hospital mortality for white patients and overestimated in-hospital mortality for Black patients. Thus, in a simulation using observed mortality, 81.6% of Black patients were included in lower-priority CSC categories, and 9.4% of all Black patients were erroneously excluded from receiving the highest prioritization. The SOFA score without creatinine reduced racial miscalibration. Conclusions: Using SOFA in CSCs may lead to racial disparities in resource allocation. More equitable mortality prediction scores are needed.


Subject(s)
Black or African American/statistics & numerical data , Health Care Rationing/economics , Health Care Rationing/statistics & numerical data , Health Equity/economics , Health Equity/statistics & numerical data , Hospital Mortality/trends , White People/statistics & numerical data , Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , California/epidemiology , Cohort Studies , Female , Forecasting , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Proportional Hazards Models , Race Factors , Respiratory Distress Syndrome/economics , Respiratory Distress Syndrome/epidemiology , Respiratory Distress Syndrome/therapy , Retrospective Studies , Sepsis/economics , Sepsis/epidemiology , Sepsis/therapy
14.
Value Health ; 24(3): 388-396, 2021 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33641773

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: Various strategies to address healthcare spending and medical costs continue to be debated and implemented in the United States. To date, these efforts have failed to adequately contain the growth of healthcare cost. An alternative strategy that has elicited rising interest among policymakers is budget caps. As budget caps become more prevalent, it is important to identify which features are needed to ensure success, both in terms of cost reduction and health improvement. METHODS: We explored the impacts of different features of budget caps by comparing hypothetical service level and global budget caps across 3 annual budget cap growth strategies over a 10-year timeframe in 2005-2015 for 8 of the most commonly occurring conditions in the United States. Health was assessed by a measure of disease burden (disability-adjusted life years). RESULTS: The results indicate that budget caps have the potential for creating savings but can also result in patient harm if not designed well. As a result of these findings, 5 principles were developed for designing budget caps and should guide the use of budget caps to address medical spending. CONCLUSIONS: As public discussion grows about the use of budget caps to constrain health spending, it is critical to recognize that the budget cap design and the resulting healthcare provider behavior will determine whether there is potential harm to public health. Budget cap design should consider variability at the condition level, including patient population, improvements in health, treatment costs, and the innovations available, to both create savings and maximize patient health. In assessing the impact of healthcare spending caps on costs and disease burden, we demonstrate that budget cap design determines potential harm to public health.


Subject(s)
Budgets/statistics & numerical data , Health Care Rationing/organization & administration , Prescription Drugs/economics , Cost Control , Health Care Rationing/economics , Health Expenditures/statistics & numerical data , Humans , United States
15.
Lancet Respir Med ; 9(4): 430-434, 2021 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33450202

ABSTRACT

The COVID-19 pandemic strained health-care systems throughout the world. For some, available medical resources could not meet the increased demand and rationing was ultimately required. Hospitals and governments often sought to establish triage committees to assist with allocation decisions. However, for institutions operating under crisis standards of care (during times when standards of care must be substantially lowered in the setting of crisis), relying on these committees for rationing decisions was impractical-circumstances were changing too rapidly, occurring in too many diverse locations within hospitals, and the available information for decision making was notably scarce. Furthermore, a utilitarian approach to decision making based on an analysis of outcomes is problematic due to uncertainty regarding outcomes of different therapeutic options. We propose that triage committees could be involved in providing policies and guidance for clinicians to help ensure equity in the application of rationing under crisis standards of care. An approach guided by egalitarian principles, integrated with utilitarian principles, can support physicians at the bedside when they must ration scarce resources.


Subject(s)
COVID-19/therapy , Critical Care/organization & administration , Health Care Rationing/organization & administration , Pandemics/prevention & control , Triage/organization & administration , Advisory Committees/organization & administration , Advisory Committees/standards , COVID-19/epidemiology , Critical Care/economics , Critical Care/standards , Critical Care/statistics & numerical data , Decision Making, Organizational , Global Health/economics , Global Health/standards , Health Care Rationing/economics , Health Care Rationing/standards , Health Policy , Humans , Intersectoral Collaboration , Pandemics/economics , Practice Guidelines as Topic , Standard of Care/economics , Triage/standards
17.
Laryngoscope ; 131 Suppl 1: S1-S10, 2021 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32438522

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Pediatric patients undergoing surgery on the aerodigestive tract require a wide range of postoperative airway support that may be difficult predict in the preoperative period. Inaccurate prediction of postoperative resource needs leads to care inefficiencies in the form of unanticipated intensive care unit (ICU) admissions, ICU bed request cancellations, and overutilization of ICU resources. At our hospital, inefficient utilization of pediatric intensive care unit (PICU) resources was negatively impacting safety, access, throughput, and finances. We hypothesized that actionable key drivers of inefficient ICU utilization at our hospital were operative scheduling errors and the lack of predictability of intermediate-risk patients and that improvement methodology could be used in iterative cycles to enhance efficiency of care. Through testing this hypothesis, we aimed to provide a framework for similar efforts at other hospitals. STUDY DESIGN: Quality improvement initiative. METHODS: Plan, Do, Study, Act methodology (PDSA) was utilized to implement two cycles of change aimed at improving level-of-care efficiency at an academic pediatric hospital. In PDSA cycle 1, we aimed to address scheduling errors with surgical order placement restriction, creation of a standardized list of surgeries requiring PICU admission, and implementation of a hard stop for postoperative location in the electronic medical record surgical order. In the PDSA cycle 2, a new model of care, called the Grey Zone model, was designed and implemented where patients at intermediate risk of airway compromise were observed for 2-5 hours in the post-anesthesia care unit. After this observation period, patients were then transferred to the level of care dictated by their current status. Measures assessed in PDSA cycle 1 were unanticipated ICU admissions and ICU bed request cancellations. In addition to continued analysis of these measures, PDSA cycle 2 measures were ICU beds avoided, safety events, and secondary transfers from extended observation to ICU. RESULTS: In PDSA cycle 1, no significant decrease in unanticipated ICU admissions was observed; however, there was an increase in average monthly ICU bed cancellations from 36.1% to 45.6%. In PDSA cycle 2, average monthly unanticipated ICU admissions and cancelled ICU bed requests decreased from 1.3% to 0.42% and 45.6% to 33.8%, respectively. In patients observed in the Grey Zone, 229/245 (93.5%) were transferred to extended observation, avoiding admission to the ICU. Financial analysis demonstrated a charge differential to payers of $1.1 million over the study period with a charge differential opportunity to the hospital of $51,720 for each additional hospital transfer accepted due to increased PICU bed availability. CONCLUSIONS: Implementation of the Grey Zone model of care improved efficiency of ICU resource utilization through reducing unanticipated ICU admissions and ICU bed cancellations while simultaneously avoiding overutilization of ICU resources for intermediate-risk patients. This was achieved without compromising safety of patient care, and was financially sound in both fee-for-service and value-based reimbursement models. While such a model may not be applicable in all healthcare settings, it may improve efficiency at other pediatric hospitals with high surgical volume and acuity. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: N/A Laryngoscope, 131:S1-S10, 2021.


Subject(s)
Health Care Rationing/methods , Hospitals, Pediatric/organization & administration , Intensive Care Units, Pediatric/organization & administration , Otorhinolaryngologic Diseases/surgery , Otorhinolaryngologic Surgical Procedures , Postoperative Care/economics , Child , Health Care Rationing/economics , Health Care Rationing/statistics & numerical data , Health Plan Implementation/organization & administration , Hospitals, Pediatric/economics , Hospitals, Pediatric/statistics & numerical data , Humans , Intensive Care Units, Pediatric/economics , Intensive Care Units, Pediatric/statistics & numerical data , Otorhinolaryngologic Diseases/economics , Postoperative Care/statistics & numerical data , Program Evaluation , Quality Improvement
19.
Health Econ ; 30(2): 470-477, 2021 02.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33184985

ABSTRACT

During the COVID-19 pandemic, health care systems around the world have received additional funding, while at other times, financial support has been lowered to consolidate public spending. Such budget changes likely affect provision behavior in health care. We study how different degrees of resource scarcity affect medical service provision and, in consequence, patients' health. In a controlled lab environment, physicians are paid by capitation and allocate limited resources to several patients. This implies a trade-off between physicians' profits and patients' health benefits. We vary levels of resource scarcity and patient characteristics systematically and observe that most subjects in the role of physician devote a relatively stable share of budget to patient treatment, implying that they provide fewer services when they face more severe budget constraints. Average patient benefits decrease in proportion to physician budgets. The majority of subjects chooses an allocation that leads to equal patient benefits as opposed to allocating resources efficiently.


Subject(s)
COVID-19/epidemiology , Health Care Rationing/organization & administration , Physicians/economics , Budgets/organization & administration , Efficiency, Organizational , Health Care Rationing/economics , Health Equity/economics , Humans , Models, Theoretical , Pandemics , SARS-CoV-2 , Severity of Illness Index
20.
Am J Public Health ; 111(1): 150-158, 2021 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33211582

ABSTRACT

Objectives. To optimize combined public and private spending on HIV prevention to achieve maximum reductions in incidence.Methods. We used a national HIV model to estimate new infections from 2018 to 2027 in the United States. We estimated current spending on HIV screening, interventions that move persons with diagnosed HIV along the HIV care continuum, pre-exposure prophylaxis, and syringe services programs. We compared the current funding allocation with 2 optimal scenarios: (1) a limited-reach scenario with expanded efforts to serve eligible persons and (2) an ideal, unlimited-reach scenario in which all eligible persons could be served.Results. A continuation of the current allocation projects 331 000 new HIV cases over the next 10 years. The limited-reach scenario reduces that number by 69%, and the unlimited reach scenario by 94%. The most efficient funding allocations resulted in prompt diagnosis and sustained viral suppression through improved screening of high-risk persons and treatment adherence support for those infected.Conclusions. Optimal allocations of public and private funds for HIV prevention can achieve substantial reductions in new infections. Achieving reductions of more than 90% under current funding will require that virtually all infected receive sustained treatment.


Subject(s)
Financial Management/organization & administration , HIV Infections/prevention & control , Health Care Rationing/organization & administration , Models, Econometric , Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome/prevention & control , Adolescent , Adult , Female , Health Care Rationing/economics , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Needle-Exchange Programs/economics , Pre-Exposure Prophylaxis/economics , United States , Young Adult
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