Mitochondrial DNA in bronchoalveolar lavage fluid is associated with the prognosis of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: a single cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Extracellular mitochondrial DNA (mtDNA) is released from damaged cells and increases in the serum and bronchoalveolar lavage fluid (BALF) of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) patients. While increased levels of serum mtDNA have been reported to be linked to disease progression and the future development of acute exacerbation (AE) of IPF (AE-IPF), the clinical significance of mtDNA in BALF (BALF-mtDNA) remains unclear. We investigated the relationships between BALF-mtDNA levels and other clinical variables and prognosis in IPF. METHODS: Extracellular mtDNA levels in BALF samples collected from IPF patients were determined using droplet-digital PCR. Levels of extracellular nucleolar DNA in BALF (BALF-nucDNA) were also determined as a marker for simple cell collapse. Patient characteristics and survival information were retrospectively reviewed. RESULTS: mtDNA levels in serum and BALF did not correlate with each other. In 27 patients with paired BALF samples obtained in a stable state and at the time of AE diagnosis, BALF-mtDNA levels were significantly increased at the time of AE. Elevated BALF-mtDNA levels were associated with inflammation or disordered pulmonary function in a stable state (n = 90), while being associated with age and BALF-neutrophils at the time of AE (n = 38). BALF-mtDNA ≥ 4234.3 copies/µL in a stable state (median survival time (MST): 42.4 vs. 79.6 months, p < 0.001) and ≥ 11,194.3 copies/µL at the time of AE (MST: 2.6 vs. 20.0 months, p = 0.03) were associated with shorter survival after BALF collection, even after adjusting for other known prognostic factors. On the other hand, BALF-nucDNA showed different trends in correlation with other clinical variables and did not show any significant association with survival time. CONCLUSIONS: Elevated BALF-mtDNA was associated with a poor prognosis in both IPF and AE-IPF. Of note, at the time of AE, it sharply distinguished survivors from non-survivors. Given the trends shown by analyses for BALF-nucDNA, the elevation of BALF-mtDNA might not simply reflect the impact of cell collapse. Further studies are required to explore the underlying mechanisms and clinical applications of BALF-mtDNA in IPF.

Lipocalin-2 as a prognostic marker in patients with acute exacerbation of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis.

BACKGROUND: Lipocalin-2 (LCN2) is a secretory glycoprotein upregulated by oxidative stress; moreover, patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) have shown increased LCN2 levels in bronchoalveolar lavage fluid (BALF). This study aimed to determine whether circulatory LCN2 could be a systemic biomarker in patients with IPF and to investigate the role of LCN2 in a bleomycin-induced lung injury mouse model. METHODS: We measured serum LCN2 levels in 99 patients with stable IPF, 27 patients with acute exacerbation (AE) of IPF, 51 patients with chronic hypersensitivity pneumonitis, and 67 healthy controls. Further, LCN2 expression in lung tissue was evaluated in a bleomycin-induced lung injury mouse model, and the role of LCN2 was investigated using LCN2-knockout (LCN2 -/-) mice. RESULTS: Serum levels of LCN2 were significantly higher in patients with AE-IPF than in the other groups. The multivariate Cox proportional hazards model showed that elevated serum LCN2 level was an independent predictor of poor survival in patients with AE-IPF. In the bleomycin-induced lung injury mouse model, a higher dose of bleomycin resulted in higher LCN2 levels and shorter survival. Bleomycin-treated LCN2 -/- mice exhibited increased BALF cell and protein levels as well as hydroxyproline content. Moreover, compared with wild-type mice, LCN2-/- mice showed higher levels of circulatory 8-isoprostane as well as lower Nrf-2, GCLC, and NQO1 expression levels in lung tissue following bleomycin administration. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings demonstrate that serum LCN2 might be a potential prognostic marker of AE-IPF. Moreover, LCN2 expression levels may reflect the severity of lung injury, and LCN2 may be a protective factor against bleomycin-induced acute lung injury and oxidative stress.

Clinical course of mild-to-moderate idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis during therapy with pirfenidone: Results of the non-interventional study AERplus.

INTRODUCTION: Pirfenidone was the first anti-fibrotic drug approved in Europe in 2011 for the treatment of mild-to-moderate idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis. OBJECTIVES: To investigate the clinical course of mild-to-moderate idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis in pirfenidone-treated patients in a real-world setting. METHODS: The non-interventional study was conducted at 18 sites in Germany from 6/2014-12/2016. Adult patients with mild-to-moderate idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis were treated with pirfenidone (escalated from 3×1 to 3×3 capsules of 267 mg/day within 3 weeks) for 12 months. The observation period comprised 4 follow-up visits at months 3, 6, 9 and 12. Disease progression was defined as decrease of ≥10% in vital capacity or ≥15% in diffusing capacity of the lung for carbon monoxide (DLCO) and/or ≥50m in 6-minute walking distance vs. baseline, or "lack of response/progression" as reason for therapy discontinuation. RESULTS: A total of 51 patients (80.4% male, mean age 70.6 years) were included in the full analysis set. Disease progression at any visit was reported for 23 (67.6%) of 34 patients with available data. Over the course of the study, lung function parameters, physical resilience, impact of cough severity on quality of life, and the mean Gender, Age and Physiology Index (stage II) remained stable. In total, 29 patients (56.9%) experienced at least one adverse drug reaction (11 patients discontinued due to adverse drug reactions); serious adverse reactions were reported in 12 patients (23.5%). CONCLUSIONS: The results of this study are in line with the established benefit-risk profile of pirfenidone. Therefore, pirfenidone can be considered a valuable treatment option to slow disease progression in mild-to-moderate idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis. NCT02622477.

[Progressive pulmonary Fibrosis]. / Progressive Pulmonale Fibrose PPF.

INTRODUCTION: Progressive pulmonary Fibrosis Abstract: Cough and dyspnea on excertion are common and early symptoms of interstitial lung diseases (ILD). Thoracic imaging (particularly computed tomography) detects such lung structural alterations early in the disease course. Knowledge of these diseases and their management is necessary in the daily business. The term "progressive pulmonary fibrosis" subsumes a heterogene group of interstitial lung diseases with a similar course of progressive fibrosis. The management of these diseases should be discussed interdisciplinary, similar to the management of the Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). Antifibrotic drugs are new therapeutic options.

HE4-based nomogram for predicting overall survival in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: construction and validation.

Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is a life-threatening interstitial lung disease. Identifying biomarkers for early diagnosis is of great clinical importance. The epididymis protein 4 (HE4) is important in the process of inflammation and fibrosis in the epididymis. Its prognostic value in IPF, however, has not been studied. The mRNA and protein levels of HE4 were used to determine the prognostic value in different patient cohorts. In this study, prognostic nomograms were generated based on the results of the cox regression analysis. We identified the HE4 protein level increased in IPF patients, but not the HE4 gene expression. The increased expression of HE4 correlated positively with a poor prognosis for patients with IPF. The HR and 95% CI were 2.62 (1.61-4.24) (p < 0.001) in the training set. We constructed a model based on the risk-score = 0.16222182 * HE4 + 0/0.37580659/1.05003609 (for GAP index 0-3/4-5/6-8) + (- 1.1183375). In both training and validation sets, high-risk patients had poor prognoses (HR: 3.49, 95%CI 2.10-5.80, p = 0.001) and higher likelihood of dying (HR: 6.00, 95%CI 2.04-17.67, p = 0.001). Analyses of calibration curves and decision curves suggest that the method is effective in predicting outcomes. Furthermore, a similar formulation was used in a protein-based model based on HE4 that also showed prognostic value when applied to IPF patients. Accordingly, HE4 is an independent poor prognosis factor, and it has the potential to predict IPF patient survival.

The effect of antifibrotic agents on acute respiratory failure in COVID-19 patients: a retrospective cohort study from TriNetX US collaborative networks.

BACKGROUND: The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has had a significant impact on global health and economies, resulting in millions of infections and deaths. This retrospective cohort study aimed to investigate the effect of antifibrotic agents (nintedanib and pirfenidone) on 1-year mortality in COVID-19 patients with acute respiratory failure. METHODS: Data from 61 healthcare organizations in the TriNetX database were analyzed. Adult patients with COVID-19 and acute respiratory failure were included. Patients with a pre-existing diagnosis of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis before their COVID-19 diagnosis were excluded. The study population was divided into an antifibrotic group and a control group. Propensity score matching was used to compare outcomes, and hazard ratios (HR) for 1-year mortality were calculated. RESULTS: The antifibrotic group exhibited a significantly lower 1-year mortality rate compared to the control group. The survival probability at the end of the study was 84.42% in the antifibrotic group and 69.87% in the control group. The Log-Rank test yielded a p-value of less than 0.001. The hazard ratio was 0.434 (95% CI: 0.264-0.712), indicating a significant reduction in 1-year mortality in the antifibrotic group. Subgroup analysis demonstrated significantly improved 1-year survival in patients receiving nintedanib treatment and during periods when the Wuhan strain was predominant. DISCUSSION: This study is the first to demonstrate a survival benefit of antifibrotic agents in COVID-19 patients with acute respiratory failure. Further research and clinical trials are needed to confirm the efficacy of these antifibrotic agents in the context of COVID-19 and acute respiratory failure.

Potential role of SIRT-1 and SIRT-3 as biomarkers for the diagnosis and prognosis of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis.

BACKGROUND: Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is a debilitating and progressive lung disease of unknown aetiology, characterized by the relentless deposition of fibrotic tissue. Biomarkers may play a pivotal role as indicators of disease presence, progression, and treatment response. Sirtuins, a family of enzymes with ADP ribosyltransferase or deacetylase activity, have been implicated in several diseases, including pulmonary fibrosis. METHODS: A cross-sectional, prospective, observational single-center study was conducted to investigate the potential role of serum SIRTs levels as biomarkers in patients with IPF. Demographic, clinical, and functional data and serological samples were collected from 34 patients with IPF followed at the Interstital Lung and Rare Diseases Outpatient Clinic of the Vanvitelli Pneumology Clinic, Monaldi Hospital, Naples, Italy and from 19 age-matched controls. RESULTS: Serum SIRT-1 levels were significantly reduced in IPF patients compared to controls (median IPF 667 [435-858] pg/mL versus controls 925 [794-1173] pg/mL; p < 0.001 ). In contrast, serum SIRT-3 levels were significantly increased in IPF patients compared to controls (median IPF 338 [230-500] pg/mL versus controls 154 [99.8-246] pg/mL; p < 0.001). There were no statistically significant differences in serum SIRT-6 and SIRT-7 levels between IPF and controls. In addition, we found a significant positive correlation between SIRT-1 and lung function parameters such as FEV1% (ϱ=0.417;p = 0.016), FVC% (ϱ=0.449;p = 0.009) and DLCO% (ϱ=0.393;p = 0.024), while a significant negative correlation was demonstrated between SIR-1 and GAP score, demonstrating a significant reduction in SIRT-1 in advanced Gender-Age-Physiology (GAP) stages 2-3 compared to GAP stage 1 (p = 0.008). CONCLUSIONS: This prospective, cross-sectional study showed that SIRT-1 was associated with lung function and IPF severity and that both SIRT-1 and SIRT-3 could be considered as potential biomarkers of IPF, whereas SIRT-6 and SIRT-7 were not associated with IPF.

Smoking status and clinical outcome in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: a nationwide study.

BACKGROUND: Smoking status has been linked to the development of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). However, the effect of smoking on the prognosis of patients with IPF is unclear. We aimed to investigate the association between smoking status and all-cause mortality or hospitalisation by using national health claims data. METHODS: IPF cases were defined as people who visited medical institutions between January 2002 and December 2018 with IPF and rare incurable disease exempted calculation codes from the National Health Insurance Database. Total 10,182 patients with available data on smoking status were included in this study. Ever-smoking status was assigned to individuals with a history of smoking ≥ 6 pack-years. The multivariable Cox proportional hazard model was used to evaluate the association between smoking status and prognosis. RESULTS: In the entire cohort, the mean age was 69.4 years, 73.9% were males, and 45.2% were ever smokers (current smokers: 14.2%; former smokers: 31.0%). Current smokers (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.709; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.643-0.782) and former smokers (HR: 0.926; 95% CI: 0.862-0.996) were independently associated with all-cause mortality compared with non-smokers. Current smokers (HR: 0.884; 95% CI: 0.827-0.945) and former smokers (HR: 0.909; 95% CI: 0.862-0.959) were also associated with a reduced risk of all-cause hospitalisation compared with non-smokers. A non-linear association between smoking amount and prognosis was found in a spline HR curve and showed increasing risk below 6 pack-years. CONCLUSION: Ever-smoking status may be associated with favourable clinical outcomes in patients with IPF.

Clinical implications of frailty assessed in hospitalized patients with acute-exacerbation of interstitial lung disease.

BACKGROUND: Approximately 50% of patients with interstitial lung disease (ILD) experience frailty, which remains unexplored in acute exacerbations of ILD (AE-ILD). A better understanding may help with prognostication and resource planning. We evaluated the association of frailty with clinical characteristics, physical function, hospital outcomes, and post-AE-ILD recovery. METHODS: Retrospective cohort study of AE-ILD patients (01/2015-10/2019) with frailty (proportion ≥0.25) on a 30-item cumulative-deficits index. Frail and non-frail patients were compared for pre- and post-hospitalization clinical characteristics, adjusted for age, sex, and ILD diagnosis. One-year mortality, considering transplantation as a competing risk, was analysed adjusting for age, frailty, and Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI). RESULTS: 89 AE-ILD patients were admitted (median: 67 years, 63% idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis). 31 were frail, which was associated with older age, greater CCI, lower 6-min walk distance, and decreased independence pre-hospitalization. Frail patients had more major complications (32% vs 10%, p = .01) and required more multidisciplinary support during hospitalization. Frailty was not associated with 1-year mortality (HR: 0.97, 95%CI: [0.45-2.10]) factoring transplantation as a competing risk. CONCLUSIONS: Frailty was associated with reduced exercise capacity, increased comorbidities and hospital complications. Identifying frailty may highlight those requiring additional multidisciplinary support, but further study is needed to explore whether frailty is modifiable with AE-ILD.

Acute exacerbation of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis disease: a diagnosis model in China.

OBJECTIVE: To develop and validate a diagnosis model to inform risk stratified decisions for idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis patients experiencing acute exacerbations (AE-IPF). METHODS: In this retrospective cohort study performed from 1 January 2016 to 31 December 2022, we used data from the West China Hospital of Sichuan University for model development and validation. Blood test results and the underlying diseases of patients were collected through the HIS system and LIS system. An algorithm for filtering candidate variables based on least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression. Logistic regression was performed to develop the risk model. Multiple imputation handled missing predictor data. Model performance was assessed through calibration and diagnostic odds ratio. RESULTS: 311 and 133 participants were included in the development and validation cohorts, respectively. 3 candidate predictors (29 parameters) were included. A logistic regression analysis revealed that dyspnea, percentage of CD4+ T-lymphocytes, and percentage of monocytes are independent risk factors for AE-IPF. Nomographic model was constructed using these independent risk factors, and the C-index was 0.69. For internal validation, the C-index was 0.69, and that indicated good accuracy. Diagnostic odds ratio was 5.40. Meanwhile, in mild, moderate, and severe subgroups, AE positivity rates were 0.37, 0.47, and 0.81, respectively. The diagnostic model can classify patients with AE-IPF into different risk classes based on dyspnea, percentage of CD4+ T-lymphocytes, and percentage of monocytes. CONCLUSION: A diagnosis model was developed and validated that used information collected from HIS system and LIS system and may be used to risk stratify idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis patients experiencing acute exacerbations.

[Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: Desperately seeking a model]. / Fibrose pulmonaire idiopathique : recherche modèle désespérément.

Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is a chronic, progressive and fatal lung disease of which the origin and development mechanisms remain unknown. The few available pharmacological treatments can only slow the progression of the disease. The development of curative treatments is hampered by the absence of experimental models that can mimic the specific pathophysiological mechanisms of IPF. The aim of this mini-review is to provide an overview of the most commonly used experimental animal models in the study of IPF and to underline the urgent need to seek out new, more satisfactory models.

Identifying a survival-associated cell type based on multi-level transcriptome analysis in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis.

BACKGROUND: Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is a progressive disease with a five-year survival rate of less than 40%. There is significant variability in survival time among IPF patients, but the underlying mechanisms for this are not clear yet. METHODS AND RESULTS: We collected single-cell RNA sequence data of 13,223 epithelial cells taken from 32 IPF patients and bulk RNA sequence data from 456 IPF patients in GEO. Based on unsupervised clustering analysis at the single-cell level and deconvolution algorithm at bulk RNA sequence data, we discovered a special alveolar type 2 cell subtype characterized by high expression of CCL20 (referred to as ATII-CCL20), and found that IPF patients with a higher proportion of ATII-CCL20 had worse prognoses. Furthermore, we uncovered the upregulation of immune cell infiltration and metabolic functions in IPF patients with a higher proportion of ATII-CCL20. Finally, the comprehensive decision tree and nomogram were constructed to optimize the risk stratification of IPF patients and provide a reference for accurate prognosis evaluation. CONCLUSIONS: Our study by integrating single-cell and bulk RNA sequence data from IPF patients identified a special subtype of ATII cells, ATII-CCL20, which was found to be a risk cell subtype associated with poor prognosis in IPF patients. More importantly, the ATII-CCL20 cell subtype was linked with metabolic functions and immune infiltration.

Clinical characteristics and outcome of lung cancer in patients with fibrosing interstitial lung disease.

BACKGROUND: Lung cancer (LC) is an important comorbidity of interstitial lung disease (ILD) and has a poor prognosis. The clinical characteristics and outcome of each ILD subtype in LC patients have not been sufficiently investigated. Therefore, this study aimed to evaluate the difference between idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) and non-IPF ILD as well as prognostic factors in patients with ILD-LC. METHODS: The medical records of 163 patients diagnosed with ILD-LC at Asan Medical Center from January 2018 to May 2023 were retrospectively reviewed. Baseline characteristics and clinical outcomes were compared between the IPF-LC and non-IPF ILD-LC groups, and prognostic factors were analyzed using the Cox proportional-hazard model. RESULTS: The median follow-up period was 11 months after the cancer diagnosis. No statistically significant differences were observed in clinical characteristics and mortality rates (median survival: 26 vs. 20 months, p = 0.530) between the groups. The independent prognostic factors in patients with ILD-LC were higher level of Krebs von den Lungen-6 (≥ 1000 U/mL, hazard ratio [HR] 1.970, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.026-3.783, p = 0.025) and advanced clinical stage of LC (compared with stage I, HR 3.876 for stage II, p = 0.025, HR 5.092 for stage III, p = 0.002, and HR 5.626 for stage IV, p = 0.002). In terms of treatment, surgery was the significant factor for survival (HR 0.235; 95% CI 0.106-0.520; p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: No survival difference was observed between IPF-LC and non-IPF ILD-LC patients. A higher level of Krebs von den Lungen-6 may act as a prognostic marker in ILD-LC patients.

Exosomal circRNAs in the plasma serve as novel biomarkers for IPF diagnosis and progression prediction.

BACKGROUND: Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis (IPF) is a type of chronic interstitial pneumonia, often fatal, with elusive causes and a bleak prognosis. Its treatment options are limited and largely ineffective. Early detection and precise diagnosis are pivotal in managing the disease effectively and enhancing patient survival rates. Recently, the quest for trustworthy biomarkers for IPF has gained momentum. Notably, emerging studies indicate that circular RNAs (circRNAs) found in exosomes may hold significant potential as valuable diagnostic markers. METHODS: In this study, we initially explored the expression profile of circRNAs in exosomes sourced from the blood of IPF patients and healthy volunteers, employing a human circRNA microarray. We then utilized RT-qPCR to corroborate the dysregulated circRNAs identified by the microarray during the training phase. Next, the circRNAs that displayed a significant increase during the training phase were selected for further validation in a larger cohort encompassing 113 IPF patients and 76 healthy volunteers. Ultimately, the expression level and function of hsa_circ_0044226 were substantiated through a series of in vivo and in vitro experiments. RESULTS: Utilizing a human circRNA microarray, we identified 11 dysregulated circRNAs in the exosomes derived from the blood of IPF patients and control volunteers. Subsequent RT-qPCR analysis revealed significant increases in three circRNAs (hsa_circ_0044226, hsa_circ_0004099, hsa_circ_0008898) within the IPF patients. Notably, hsa_circ_0044226 was markedly elevated in patients experiencing acute exacerbation of IPF (AE-IPF) compared to those with stable IPF (S-IPF). Additionally, an upregulation of hsa_circ_0044226 was observed in the blood exosomes derived from a bleomycin-induced IPF mouse model. CONCLUSION: The expression levels of hsa_circ_0044226, hsa_circ_0004099, and hsa_circ_0008898 in plasma exosomes introduce a new paradigm of biomarkers for the diagnosis and progression of IPF.

The preventative effects of statin on lung cancer development in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis using the National Health Insurance Service Database in Korea.

Little is known about the effect of statin use in lung cancer development in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). We analyzed the database of the National Health Insurance Service to further investigate the clinical impacts of statin on lung cancer development and overall survival (OS) in IPF patients. The analysis included 9,182 individuals diagnosed with IPF, of which 3,372 (36.7%) were statin users. Compared to statin non-users, the time from diagnosis of IPF to lung cancer development and OS were longer in statin users in IPF patients. In Cox proportional hazard regression models, higher statin compliance, statin use, and being female had an inverse association with lung cancer risk, while older age at diagnosis of IPF and smoking history were associated with higher risk of lung cancer in IPF patients. For OS, statin use, female sex, higher physical activity frequency, and diabetes were associated with longer survival. In contrast, older age at diagnosis of IPF and smoking history were associated with shorter OS in IPF patients. These data from a large population indicate that statin had an independent protective association with lung cancer development and mortality in IPF patients.

Identification of Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis and Prediction of Disease Severity via Machine Learning Analysis of Comprehensive Metabolic Panel and Complete Blood Count Data.

BACKGROUND: Diagnosis of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) typically relies on high-resolution computed tomography imaging (HRCT) or histopathology, while monitoring disease severity is done via frequent pulmonary function testing (PFT). More reliable and convenient methods of diagnosing fibrotic interstitial lung disease (ILD) type and monitoring severity would allow for early identification and enhance current therapeutic interventions. This study tested the hypothesis that a machine learning (ML) ensemble analysis of comprehensive metabolic panel (CMP) and complete blood count (CBC) data can accurately distinguish IPF from connective tissue disease ILD (CTD-ILD) and predict disease severity as seen with PFT. METHODS: Outpatient data with diagnosis of IPF or CTD-ILD (n = 103 visits by 53 patients) were analyzed via ML methodology to evaluate (1) IPF vs CTD-ILD diagnosis; (2) %predicted Diffusing Capacity of Lung for Carbon Monoxide (DLCO) moderate or mild vs severe; (3) %predicted Forced Vital Capacity (FVC) moderate or mild vs severe; and (4) %predicted FVC mild vs moderate or severe. RESULTS: ML methodology identified IPF from CTD-ILD with AUCTEST = 0.893, while PFT was classified as DLCO moderate or mild vs severe with AUCTEST = 0.749, FVC moderate or mild vs severe with AUCTEST = 0.741, and FVC mild vs moderate or severe with AUCTEST = 0.739. Key features included albumin, alanine transaminase, %lymphocytes, hemoglobin, %eosinophils, white blood cell count, %monocytes, and %neutrophils. CONCLUSION: Analysis of CMP and CBC data via proposed ML methodology offers the potential to distinguish IPF from CTD-ILD and predict severity on associated PFT with accuracy that meets or exceeds current clinical practice.

Impact of antifibrotic therapy on disease progression, all-cause mortality, and risk of acute exacerbation in non-IPF fibrosing interstitial lung diseases: evidence from a meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials and prospective controlled studies.

BACKGROUND: Nintedanib and pirfenidone are preferred pharmacological therapies for patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). However, evidence favoring antifibrotic therapy in patients with non-IPF fibrosing interstitial lung diseases (ILD) is limited. OBJECTIVE: To investigate the effects of antifibrotic therapy on disease progression, all-cause mortality, and acute exacerbation (AE) risk in patients with non-IPF fibrosing ILDs. DESIGN: Meta-analysis. DATA SOURCES AND METHODS: Electronic databases were searched for articles published before 28 February 2023. Studies that evaluated the efficacy of antifibrotic agents in patients with fibrosing ILDs were selected. The primary outcome was the disease progression risk, and the secondary outcomes included all-cause mortality and AE risk. The GRADE criteria were used for the certainty of evidence assessment. RESULTS: Nine studies with 1990 participants were included. Antifibrotic therapy reduced the rate of patients with disease progression (five trials with 1741 subjects; relative risk (RR), 0.56; 95% CI, 0.42-0.75; p < 0.0001; I2 = 0; high-certainty evidence). Antifibrotic therapy did not significantly decrease all-cause mortality (nine trials with 1990 subjects; RR, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.55-1.03; p = 0.08; I2 = 0; low-certainty evidence). However, in patients with progressive fibrosing ILDs (PF-ILD), antifibrotic therapy decreased all-cause mortality (four trials with 1100 subjects; RR, 0.69; 95% CI, 0.48-0.98; p = 0.04; I2 = 0; low-certainty evidence). CONCLUSION: Our study supports the use of antifibrotic agents in patients with PF-ILDs, which could slow disease progression and decrease all-cause mortality. TRIAL REGISTRATION: This study protocol was registered with PROSPERO (registration number: CRD42023411272).