The prevalence and mortality risks of PRISm and COPD in the United States from NHANES 2007-2012.

BACKGROUND: We estimated the prevalence and mortality risks of preserved ratio impaired spirometry (PRISm) and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) in the US adult population. METHODS: We linked three waves of pre-bronchodilator spirometry data from the US National Health and Nutritional Examination Survey (2007-2012) with the National Death Index. The analytic sample included adults ages 20 to 79 without missing data on age, sex, height, BMI, race/ethnicity, and smoking status. We defined COPD (GOLD 1, 2, and 3-4) and PRISm using FEV1/FVC cut points by the Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD). We compared the prevalence of GOLD stages and PRISm by covariates across the three waves. We estimated adjusted all-cause and cause-specific mortality risks by COPD stage and PRISm using all three waves combined. RESULTS: Prevalence of COPD and PRISm from 2007-2012 ranged from 13.1%-14.3% and 9.6%-10.2%, respectively. We found significant differences in prevalence by sex, age, smoking status, and race/ethnicity. Males had higher rates of COPD regardless of stage, while females had higher rates of PRISm. COPD prevalence increased with age, but not PRISm, which was highest among middle-aged individuals. Compared to current and never smokers, former smokers showed lower rates of PRISm but higher rates of GOLD 1. COPD prevalence was highest among non-Hispanic White individuals, and PRISm was notably higher among non-Hispanic Black individuals (range 31.4%-37.4%). We found associations between PRISm and all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR]: 2.3 95% CI: 1.9-2.9) and various cause-specific deaths (HR ranges: 2.0-5.3). We also found associations between GOLD 2 (HR: 2.1, 95% CI: 1.7-2.6) or higher (HR: 4.2, 95% CI: 2.7-6.5) and all-cause mortality. Cause-specific mortality risk varied within COPD stages but typically increased with higher GOLD stage. CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of COPD and PRISm remained stable from 2007-2012. Greater attention should be paid to the potential impacts of PRISm due to its higher prevalence in minority groups and its associations with mortality across various causes including cancer.

[Influence of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease on hospital outcomes of percutaneous coronary interventions in patients with acute coronary syndrome].

AIM: To evaluate the impact of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) on hospital outcomes of percutaneous coronary interventions (PCI) in patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS). MATERIALS AND METHODS: A cohort prospective study of the COPD effect on mortality and coronary microvascular obstruction (CMVO, no-reflow) development after PCI in ACS was carried out. 626 patients admitted in 2019-2020 were included, 418 (67%) - men, 208 (33%) - women. Median age - 63 [56; 70] years. Myocardial infarction with ST elevation identified in 308 patients (49%), CMVO - in 59 (9%) patients (criteria: blood flow <3 grade according to TIMI flow grade; perfusion <2 points according to Myocardial blush grade; ST segment resolution <70%). 13 (2.1%) patients died. Based on the questionnaire "Chronic Airways Diseases, A Guide for Primary Care Physicians, 2005", 2 groups of patients were identified: 197 (31%) with COPD (≥17 points) and 429 (69%) without COPD (<17 points). Groups were compared on unbalanced data (÷2 Pearson, Fisher exact test). The propensity score was calculated, and a two-way logistic regression analysis was performed. The data were balanced by the Kernel "weighting" method, logistic regression analysis was carried out using "weighting" coefficients. Results as odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval. RESULTS: The conducted research allowed us to obtain the following results, depending on the type of analysis: 1) analysis of unbalanced data in patients with COPD: OR death 3.60 (1.16-11.12); p=0.03; OR CMVO 0.65 (0.35-1.22); p=0,18; 2) two-way analysis with propensity score: OR death 3.86 (1.09-13.74); p=0.04; OR CMVO 0.61 (0.31-1.19); p=0.15; 3) regression analysis with "weight" coefficients: OR death 12.49 (2.27-68.84); p=0.004; OR CMVO 0.63 (0.30-1.33); p=0.22. CONCLUSION: The presence of COPD in patients with ACS undergoing PCI increases mortality and does not affect the incidence of CMVO.

Risk factors of in-hospital mortality and discriminating capacity of NIVO score in exacerbations of COPD requiring noninvasive ventilation.

BACKGROUND: Noninvasive mechanical ventilation (NIV) is recommended as the initial mode of ventilation to treat acute respiratory failure in patients with AECOPD. The Noninvasive Ventilation Outcomes (NIVO) score has been proposed to evaluate the prognosis in patients with AECOPD requiring assisted NIV. However, it is not validated in Chinese patients. METHODS: We used data from the MAGNET AECOPD Registry study, which is a prospective, noninterventional, multicenter, real-world study conducted between September 2017 and July 2021 in China. Data for the potential risk factors of mortality were collected and the NIVO score was calculated, and the in-hospital mortality was evaluated using the NIVO risk score. RESULTS: A total of 1164 patients were included in the study, and 57 patients (4.9%) died during their hospital stay. Multiple logistic regression analysis revealed that age ≥75 years, DBP <60 mmHg, Glasgow Coma Scale ≤14, anemia and BUN >7 mmol/L were independent predictors of in-hospital mortality. The in-hospital mortality was associated with an increase in the risk level of NIVO score and the difference was statistically significant (p < .001). The NIVO risk score showed an acceptable accuracy for predicting the in-hospital mortality in AECOPD requiring assisted NIV (AUC: 0.657, 95% CI: 0.584-0.729, p < .001). CONCLUSION: Our findings identified predictors of mortality in patients with AECOPD receiving NIV, providing useful information to identify severe patients and guide the management of AECOPD. The NIVO score showed an acceptable predictive value for AECOPD receiving NIV in Chinese patients, and additional studies are needed to develop and validate predictive scores based on specific populations.

Relationship between lactate-to-albumin ratio and 28-day mortality in patients with exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease admitted to the Intensive Care Unit.

AIM: To explore the predictive value of lactate-to-albumin ratio (LAR) on 28-day mortality in patients with exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD) admitted to the Intensive Care Unit (ICU). METHODS: According to ICD-9 and ICD-10 diagnosis codes, patients diagnosed with AECOPD in the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (v.2.2) database were selected. The primary endpoint was 28-day mortality after ICU admission. We used receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, Kaplan-Meier (K-M) survival curve, logistic regression analyses and subgroup analysis to assess predictive power of LAR. RESULTS: 606 patients were included in this study. The 28-day mortality was 29.7%. The area under the ROC curves (AUC) for LAR were 0.641 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.592-0.689], which was comparable with OASIS (AUC: 0.662; 95% CI 0.616-0.709; p = 0.471) and SOFA (AUC: 0.660; 95% CI 0.612-0.708; p = 0.500). The cutoff value of LAR was 0.645 by ROC curve. The high-LAR group showed a bad prognosis in K-M analysis (p < 0.001). Multivariate logistic regression shown that LAR was significantly associated with a poor outcome (odds ratio: 1.77; 95% CI 1.16-2.71; p = 0.008). Subgroup analysis showed no significant interaction of LAR with each subgroup (p for interaction: 0.175-0.775). CONCLUSION: LAR is a rational and easily accessible marker, which is remarkably associated with 28-day mortality in ICU patients with AECOPD.

Continuity and breaches in GP care and their associations with mortality for patients with chronic disease: an observational study using Norwegian registry data.

BACKGROUND: Despite many benefits of continuity of care with a named regular GP (RGP), continuity is deteriorating in many countries. AIM: To investigate the association between RGP continuity and mortality, in a personal list system, in addition to examining how breaches in continuity affect this association for patients with chronic diseases. DESIGN AND SETTING: A registry-based observational study using Norwegian primary care consultation data for patients with asthma, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), diabetes mellitus, or heart failure. METHOD: The Usual Provider of Care (UPC, value 0-1) Index was used to measure both disease-related (UPCdisease) and overall (UPCall) continuity with the RGP at the time of consultation. In most analyses, patients who changed RGP during the study period were excluded. In the combined group of all four chronic conditions, the proportion of consultations with other GPs and out-of-hours services was calculated. Cox regression models calculated the associations between continuity during 2013-2016 and mortality in 2017-2018. RESULTS: Patients with COPD with UPCdisease <0.25 had 47% increased risk of dying within 2 years (hazard ratio 1.47, 95% confidence interval = 1.22 to 1.64) compared with those with UPCdisease ≥0.75. Mortality also increased with decreasing UPCdisease for patients with heart failure and decreasing UPCall for those with diabetes. In the combined group of chronic conditions, mortality increased with decreasing UPCall. This latter association was also found for patients who had changed RGP. CONCLUSION: Higher disease-related and overall RGP UPC are both associated with lower mortality. However, changing RGP did not significantly affect mortality, indicating a compensatory benefit of informational and management continuity in a patient list system.

Los determinantes sociales de la salud y su influencia en la prevalencia y pronóstico de la EPOC: una revisión exploratoria / Social determinants of health that impact COPD prevalence and prognosis: a scoping review

Objetivo: el objetivo de esta revisión es estudiar el efecto que los determinantes sociales de la salud tienen sobre la prevalencia y pronóstico de la enfermedad pulmonar obstructiva crónica (EPOC). Métodos: se ha hecho una revisión exploratoria (scoping review) de los artículos publicados entre 2013 y 2023, y una búsqueda bibliográfica en Pubmed. Se encontraron 31 artículos que cumplieran los criterios de inclusión. Resultados: niveles educativos precarios, así como bajos ingresos económicos se relacionan con un aumento en el riesgo de EPOC, con incrementos del 44,9% y el 22,9% de los casos respectivamente. La dedicación a ciertos oficios, como la agricultura o los servicios de restauración, también aumenta la prevalencia de esta enfermedad y su impacto sobre la mortalidad. La soltería o viudez, el desempleo y vivir en áreas rurales con alta contaminación atmosférica son factores que se asocian a más hospitalizaciones, síntomas graves, menor productividad y mayor mortalidad. Las desigualdades sociales afectan el acceso a la atención médica y la adherencia al tratamiento. La EPOC es más común en hombres y en personas mayores, aunque algunos estudios muestran mayor riesgo en mujeres debido a su dedicación a las tareas domésticas y su exposición a sustancias contaminantes. Conclusiones: determinantes sociales de la salud como el bajo nivel socioeconómico, la ocupación laboral, la contaminación doméstica o ambiental, el estado civil, lugar de residencia o dificultad de acceso al sistema sanitario actúan como factores de riesgo de la EPOC e influyen desfavorablemente sobre ella.(AU)

Aim: the objective of this review is to study the impact of social determinants of health on the prevalence and prognosis of COPD.Methods: an exploratory scoping review of papers published between 2013 and 2023 was performed. A bibliographic search was conducted on pubmed, yielding 31 papers that met the inclusion criteria.Results: low educational levels and low incomes are linked to an increased risk of COPD with increments of 44.9% and 22.9% of cases respectively. Involvement in certain occupations such as agriculture or food services also increases the prevalence of the disease and its impact on mortality. Being single or widowhood, unemployment, and living in rural areas with high air pollution are associated with more hospitalizations, severe symptoms, reduced productivity and higher mortality. Social inequalities impact access to medical care and treatment adherence. COPD is more common in men and the elderly, although some studies reveal a higher risk in women due to household chores and exposure to pollutants.Conclusions: social determinants of health such as low socio-economic status, occupational status, household or environmental pollution, marital status, place of residence or difficulty accessing the healthcare system act as risk factors for COPD and have an unfavourable impact on this.(AU)

Heightened long-term cardiovascular risks after exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the risk of adverse cardiovascular (CV) events following an exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). METHODS: This retrospective cohort study identified patients with COPD using administrative data from Alberta, Canada from 2014 to 2019. Exposure periods were 12 months following moderate or severe exacerbations; the reference period was time preceding a first exacerbation. The primary outcome was the composite of all-cause death or a first hospitalisation for acute coronary syndrome, heart failure (HF), arrhythmia or cerebral ischaemia. Time-dependent Cox regression models estimated covariate-adjusted risks associated with six exposure subperiods following exacerbation. RESULTS: Among 1 42 787 patients (mean age 68.1 years and 51.7% men) 61 981 (43.4%) experienced at least one exacerbation and 34 068 (23.9%) died during median follow-up of 64 months. The primary outcome occurred in 43 564 (30.5%) patients with an incidence rate prior to exacerbation of 5.43 (95% CI 5.36 to 5.50) per 100 person-years. This increased to 95.61 per 100 person-years in the 1-7 days postexacerbation (adjusted HR 15.86, 95% CI 15.17 to 16.58) and remained increased for up to 1 year. The risk of both the composite and individual CV events was increased following either a moderate or a severe exacerbation, though greater and more prolonged following severe exacerbation. The highest magnitude of increased risk was observed for HF decompensation (1-7 days, HR 72.34, 95% CI 64.43 to 81.22). CONCLUSION: Moderate and severe COPD exacerbations are independent risk factors for adverse CV events, especially HF decompensation. The impact of optimising COPD management on CV outcomes should be evaluated.

Chronic Disease Management through Clinical Video Telehealth on Health Care Utilization, and Mortality in the Veterans Health Administration: A Retrospective Cohort Study.

Background: Chronic health diseases such as congestive heart failure (CHF), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), and diabetes mellitus (DM) affect 6 in 10 Americans and contribute to 90% of the $4.1 trillion health care expenditures. The objective of this study was to measure the effect of clinical video telehealth (CVT) on health care utilization and mortality. A retrospective cohort study of Veterans ≥65 years with CHF, COPD, or DM was conducted. Measures: Veterans using CVT were matched 1:3 on demographic characteristics to Veterans who did not use CVT. Outcomes included 1-year incidence of ED visits, inpatient admissions, and mortality, reported as adjusted odds ratios (aORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Results: Final analytical cohorts included 22,280 Veterans with CHF, 51,872 Veterans with COPD, and 170,605 Veterans with DM. CVT utilization was associated with increased ED visits for CHF (aOR: 1.24; 95% CI: 1.15-1.34), COPD (aOR: 1.20; 95% CI: 1.14-1.26), and DM (aOR: 1.07; 95% CI: 1.00-1.10). For CHF, there was no difference between CVT utilization and inpatient admissions (aOR: 0.98; 95% CI 0.91-1.05) or mortality (aOR: 1.03; 95% CI: 0.93-1.15). For COPD, CVT was associated with increased inpatient admissions (aOR: 1.08; 95% CI: 1.02-1.13) and mortality (aOR: 1.36; 95% CI: 1.25-1.48). For DM, CVT utilization was associated with lower risk of inpatient admissions (aOR: 0.83; 95% CI: 0.80-0.86) and mortality (aOR: 0.89; 95% CI: 0.84-0.95). Conclusions: CVT use as an alternative care site might serve as an early warning system, such that this mechanism may indicate when an in-person assessment is needed for potential exacerbation of conditions. Although inpatient and mortality varied, ED utilization was higher with CVT. Exploring pathways accessing clinical care through CVT, and how CVT is directly or indirectly associated with immediate and long-term clinical outcomes would be valuable.

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease mortality in Spain between 1999 and 2019 / Mortalidad por enfermedad pulmonar obstructiva crónica en España entre 1999 y 2019

Introduction Mortality from COPD has decreased in Spain in recent years, but it is unknown whether this decline has been homogeneous among the different regions. Methods From the Statistical Portal of the Ministry of Health of Spain we obtained the age-adjusted mortality rates/100,000 inhabitants for men and women in Spain and the Autonomous Communities for the years 1999–2019, using the coding of the International Classification of Diseases (ICD 10, sections J40–J44). With the adjusted rates we performed a jointpoint regression analysis to estimate an annual percentage change (APC), as well as identify possible points of trend change. Statistical significance was considered for a value of p<0.05. Results During the study period, COPD mortality rates adjusted in Spain decreased from 28.77 deaths/100,000 inhabitants in 1999 to 12.14 deaths/100,000 inhabitants in 2019. We observed a linear decline in COPD mortality in men at national level of −3.67% per year (95% CI −4.1 to −3.4; p<0.001), with differences between the Autonomous Communities. Mortality in women also experienced a decrease in mortality in two phases, with a first period from 1999 to 2006 with a fall of −6.8% per year (95% CI −8.6 to −5.0; p<0.001) and a second period from 2006 to 2019 with a decrease in mortality of −2.1% (95% CI −2.8 to −1.3; p<0.001), with again differences between the Autonomous Communities. Conclusion Mortality rates from COPD have decreased heterogeneously among the different Autonomous Communities in both men and women (AU)

Introducción La mortalidad por EPOC ha disminuido en España en los últimos años, pero se desconoce si esta caída ha sido homogénea entre las diferentes comunidades autónomas. Metodología consultando el Portal Estadístico del Ministerio de Sanidad de España obtuvimos las tasas ajustadas por edad/100.000 habitantes para hombres y mujeres de España y las CCAA para los años 1999 a 2019, utilizando la codificación de la Clasificación Internacional de Enfermedades (CIE 10, secciones J40 a J44). Con las tasas ajustadas realizamos un análisis de regresión de jointpoint con el objetivo de estimar un porcentaje anual de cambio (APC), así como identificar posibles puntos de cambio de tendencia. Se consideró la significación estadística para un valor de p<0.05. Resultados Durante el periodo de estudio, las tasas de mortalidad global ajustada por EPOC en España pasaron de 28.77 muertes/100.000 habitantes en 1999 a 12.14 muertes/100.000 habitantes en 2019. Observamos una caída de la mortalidad por EPOC en varones a nivel de España lineal del -3.67% anual (IC 95% -4.1 a -3.4; p<0.001), con diferencias entre las CCAA. La mortalidad en mujeres también experimentó una disminución de mortalidad en dos fases, con un primer periodo de 1999 a 2006 con caída del -6.8% anual (IC 95% -8.6 a -5.0; p<0.001) y un segundo periodo de 2006 a 2019 con un descenso de la mortalidad del -2.1% (IC 95% -2.8 a -1.3; p<0.001), encontrando diferencias entre las CCAA. Conclusiones Las tasas de mortalidad por EPOC han disminuido de forma heterogénea entre las diferentes CCAA (AU)

Prognostic Factors of Mortality in Nonchronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Chronic Lung Disease: A Scoping Review.

Introduction: Patients with chronic lung disease (CLD) experience a heavy symptom burden at the end of life, but their uptake of palliative care is notably low. Having an understanding of a patient's prognosis would facilitate shared decision making on treatment options and care planning between patients, families, and their clinicians, and complement clinicians' assessments of patients' unmet palliative needs. While literature on prognostication in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) has been established and summarized, information for other CLDs remains less consolidated. Summarizing the mortality risk factors for non-COPD CLDs would be a novel contribution to literature. Hence, we aimed to identify and summarize the prognostic factors associated with non-COPD CLDs from the literature. Methods: We conducted a scoping review following published guidelines. We searched MEDLINE, Embase, PubMed, CINAHL, Cochrane Library, and Web of Science for studies published between 2000 and 2020 that described non-COPD CLD populations with an all-cause mortality risk period of up to three years. Only primary studies which reported associations with mortality adjusted through multivariable analysis were included. Results: Fifty-five studies were reviewed, with 53 based on interstitial lung disease (ILD) or connective tissue disease-associated ILD populations and two in bronchiectasis populations. Prognostic factors were classified into 10 domains, with pulmonary function and disease being the largest. Older age, lower forced vital capacity, and lower carbon monoxide diffusing capacity were most commonly investigated and associated with statistically significant increases in mortality risks. Conclusions: This comprehensive overview of prognostic factors for patients with non-COPD CLDs would facilitate the identification and prioritization of candidate factors to predict short-term mortality, supporting tool development for decision making and to identify high-risk patients for palliative needs assessments. Literature focused on patients with ILDs, and more studies should be conducted on other CLDs to bridge the knowledge gap.

Long-term effects of air pollution on hospital admissions and mortality for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in Beijing, China.

OBJECTIVE: We aimed to clarify the association between air pollution and hospital admissions for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and mortality in Beijing, China. METHODS: In this retrospective study, we recruited 510 COPD patients from 1 January 2006 to 31 December 2009. The patient data were obtained from the electronic medical records of Peking University Third Hospital in Beijing. Air pollution and meteorological data were obtained from the Institute of Atmospheric Physics of the Chinese Academy of Sciences. Monthly COPD hospital admissions, mortality and air pollution data were analysed using Poisson regression in generalised additive models adjusted for mean temperature, pressure and relative humidity. RESULTS: There were positive correlations between sulfur dioxide (SO2 ), particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter ≤ 10 µm (PM10 ) and COPD hospital admissions in the single-pollutant model. An increase of 10 µg/m3 in SO2 and PM10 were associated with an increase of 4.053% (95% CI: 1.470-5.179%) and 1.401% (95%CI: 0.6656-1.850%) in COPD hospital admissions. In the multiple-pollutant model [SO2 and nitrogen dioxide (NO2 ) combinations], there was only a positive correlation between SO2 and COPD hospital admissions. An increase of 10 µg/m3 in SO2 were associated with an increase of 1.916% (95% CI: 1.118-4.286%) in COPD hospital admissions. There was no correlation between three pollutant combinations and COPD hospital admissions. We did not find correlations between air pollution and COPD mortality in either single- or multiple-pollutant models. CONCLUSIONS: SO2 and PM10 may be important factors for the increase in COPD hospital admissions in Beijing, China.

COPD Mortality, Goals-of-Care Conversations in Serious Illness, and Advocating for Climate Change Science and Gun Violence Prevention-Highlights From the American Thoracic Society Conference.

This Medical News article is an interview with Debra Boyer, MD, MHPE, chair of the 2023 American Thoracic Society Conference.

El eje cardiopulmonar y la mortalidad cardiovascular en el paciente EPOC / Cardiopulmonary axis and cardiovascular mortality in patients with COPD

La enfermedad pulmonar obstructiva crónica (EPOC) es la cuarta causa de mortalidad en nuestro medio y habitualmente se consideraba circunscrita al territorio pulmonar. Los estudios más novedosos sugieren que se trata de una enfermedad sistémica cuya etiopatogenia más probable es un estado de inflamación crónica de baja intensidad que se reagudiza durante las exacerbaciones. La evidencia científica reciente ha puesto de relieve que las enfermedades cardiovasculares son una de las principales causas de hospitalización y mortalidad en estos pacientes. Esta relación debe comprenderse considerando que ambos sistemas, el pulmonar y el cardiovascular, se encuentran íntimamente relacionados constituyendo el eje cardiopulmonar. Por lo tanto, el abordaje terapéutico de la EPOC no debe comprender solo el tratamiento de las complicaciones respiratorias, sino también la prevención y tratamiento de las enfermedades cardiovasculares, muy frecuentes en estos pacientes. En este sentido, en los últimos años se han desarrollado estudios que analizan el efecto de los diferentes tipos de terapia inhalada sobre la mortalidad por todas las causas y la mortalidad cardiovascular en particular (AU)

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is the fourth leading cause of mortality in our environment and was usually considered to be confined to the lung territory. The latest studies suggest that it is a systemic disease whose most probable etiopathogenesis is a state of low-intensity chronic inflammation that worsens during exacerbations. And recent scientific evidence has highlighted that cardiovascular diseases are one of the main causes of hospitalization and mortality in these patients. This relationship must be understood considering that both systems, the pulmonary and the cardiovascular, are closely related constituting the cardiopulmonary axis. Therefore, the therapeutic approach to COPD should not only include the treatment of respiratory complications, but also the prevention and treatment of cardiovascular diseases, which are very common in these patients. In this sense, in the last years, studies have been carried out that analyze the effect of the different types of inhaled therapy on all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality in particular (AU)

Low diastolic blood pressure and adverse outcomes in inpatients with acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: A multicenter cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Although intensively studied in patients with cardiovascular diseases (CVDs), the prognostic value of diastolic blood pressure (DBP) has little been elucidated in patients with acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD). This study aimed to reveal the prognostic value of DBP in AECOPD patients. METHODS: Inpatients with AECOPD were prospectively enrolled from 10 medical centers in China between September 2017 and July 2021. DBP was measured on admission. The primary outcome was all-cause in-hospital mortality; invasive mechanical ventilation and intensive care unit (ICU) admission were secondary outcomes. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) and multivariable Cox regressions were used to identify independent prognostic factors and calculate the hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) for adverse outcomes. RESULTS: Among 13,633 included patients with AECOPD, 197 (1.45%) died during their hospital stay. Multivariable Cox regression analysis showed that low DBP on admission (<70 mmHg) was associated with increased risk of in-hospital mortality (HR = 2.16, 95% CI: 1.53-3.05, Z = 4.37, P <0.01), invasive mechanical ventilation (HR = 1.65, 95% CI: 1.32-2.05, Z = 19.67, P <0.01), and ICU admission (HR = 1.45, 95% CI: 1.24-1.69, Z = 22.08, P <0.01) in the overall cohort. Similar findings were observed in subgroups with or without CVDs, except for invasive mechanical ventilation in the subgroup with CVDs. When DBP was further categorized in 5-mmHg increments from <50 mmHg to ≥100 mmHg, and 75 to <80 mmHg was taken as reference, HRs for in-hospital mortality increased almost linearly with decreased DBP in the overall cohort and subgroups of patients with CVDs; higher DBP was not associated with the risk of in-hospital mortality. CONCLUSION: Low on-admission DBP, particularly <70 mmHg, was associated with an increased risk of adverse outcomes among inpatients with AECOPD, with or without CVDs, which may serve as a convenient predictor of poor prognosis in these patients. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: Chinese Clinical Trail Registry, No. ChiCTR2100044625.

Airway-Occluding Mucus Plugs and Mortality in Patients With Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease.

Importance: Airway mucus plugs are common in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD); however, the association of airway mucus plugging and mortality in patients with COPD is unknown. Objective: To determine whether airway mucus plugs identified on chest computed tomography (CT) were associated with increased all-cause mortality. Design, Setting, and Participants: Observational retrospective analysis of prospectively collected data of patients with a diagnosis of COPD in the Genetic Epidemiology of COPD cohort. Participants were non-Hispanic Black or White individuals, aged 45 to 80 years, who smoked at least 10 pack-years. Participants were enrolled at 21 centers across the US between November 2007 and April 2011 and were followed up through August 31, 2022. Exposures: Mucus plugs that completely occluded airways on chest CT scans, identified in medium- to large-sized airways (ie, approximately 2- to 10-mm lumen diameter) and categorized as affecting 0, 1 to 2, or 3 or more lung segments. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was all-cause mortality, assessed with proportional hazard regression analysis. Models were adjusted for age, sex, race and ethnicity, body mass index, pack-years smoked, current smoking status, forced expiratory volume in the first second of expiration, and CT measures of emphysema and airway disease. Results: Among the 4483 participants with COPD, 4363 were included in the primary analysis (median age, 63 years [IQR, 57-70 years]; 44% were women). A total of 2585 (59.3%), 953 (21.8%), and 825 (18.9%) participants had mucus plugs in 0, 1 to 2, and 3 or more lung segments, respectively. During a median 9.5-year follow-up, 1769 participants (40.6%) died. The mortality rates were 34.0% (95% CI, 32.2%-35.8%), 46.7% (95% CI, 43.5%-49.9%), and 54.1% (95% CI, 50.7%-57.4%) in participants who had mucus plugs in 0, 1 to 2, and 3 or more lung segments, respectively. The presence of mucus plugs in 1 to 2 vs 0 and 3 or more vs 0 lung segments was associated with an adjusted hazard ratio of death of 1.15 (95% CI, 1.02-1.29) and 1.24 (95% CI, 1.10-1.41), respectively. Conclusions and Relevance: In participants with COPD, the presence of mucus plugs that obstructed medium- to large-sized airways was associated with higher all-cause mortality compared with patients without mucus plugging on chest CT scans.

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease mortality trends in Spain, 1980-2020.

OBJECTIVES: In Spain, there has been a recent increase in the mortality rate for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) in younger women. This study aimed to analyze trends in the COPD mortality rate in Spain from 1980 to 2020, evaluating any differences between genders and age groups. METHODS: Death certificates and mid-year population data were obtained from the Spanish National Institute of Statistics. For both genders, age group-specific and standardized (overall and truncated) rates were calculated by the direct method using the world standard population. The data were analyzed using the joinpoint regression method. RESULTS: In both men and women, the number of COPD deaths increased from 1980 to 1999 (average annual increase of 7% in men and 4% in women), while from 1999 onwards, deaths decreased by -1.0% per year in both genders. In women, there was a significant final period of increase in the 55-59 to 70-74 age groups and a slowing of the decline in the over 75 age group. Additionally, an increase in mortality for the truncated rates was observed for women between 2006 and 2020. In men under 70 years of age, there was an initial period in which death rates remained stable or significantly increased, followed by a period in which they decreased significantly. CONCLUSIONS: Our study shows age and gender differences in COPD mortality trends in Spain. Although the data show a downward trend, we have identified a worrying increase in the truncated rates in women for the last few years.

Mortality in non-exacerbating COPD: a longitudinal analysis of UK primary care data.

INTRODUCTION: Non-exacerbating patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) are a less studied phenotype. We investigated clinical characteristics, mortality rates and causes of death among non-exacerbating compared with exacerbating patients with COPD. METHODS: We used data from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink, Hospital Episode Statistics and Office for National Statistics between 1 January 2004 and 31 December 2018. Ever smokers with a COPD diagnosis with minimum 3 years of baseline information were included. We compared overall using Cox regression and cause-specific mortality rates using competing risk analysis, adjusted for age, sex, deprivation, smoking status, body mass index, GOLD stage and comorbidities. Causes of death were identified using International Classification of Diseases-10 codes. RESULTS: Among 67 516 patients, 17.3% did not exacerbate during the 3-year baseline period. Mean follow-up was 4 years. Non-exacerbators were more likely to be male (63.3% vs 52.4%, p<0.001) and less often had a history of asthma (33.9% vs 43.6%, p<0.001) or FEV1<50% predicted (23.7 vs 31.8%) compared with exacerbators. Adjusted HR for overall mortality in non-exacerbators compared with exacerbators was 0.62 (95% CI 0.56 to 0.70) in the first year of follow-up and 0.87 (95% CI 0.83 to 0.91) thereafter. Non-exacerbating patients with COPD died less of respiratory causes than exacerbators (29.2% vs 40.3%) and more of malignancies (29.4% vs 23.4%) and cardiovascular diseases (26.2% vs 22.9%). HRs for malignant and circulatory causes of death were increased after the first year of follow-up. DISCUSSION: In this primary care cohort, non-exacerbators showed distinct clinical characteristics and lower mortality rates. Non-exacerbators were equally likely to die of respiratory, malignant or cardiovascular diseases.