Spanish scleroderma risk score (RESCLESCORE) to predict 15-year all-cause mortality in scleroderma patients at the time of diagnosis based on the RESCLE cohort: Derivation and internal validation.

A few scores predicting the short-term risk of mortality in Systemic sclerosis (SSc) have been reported to date. Our study aimed to create a predictive 15-year all-cause mortality score at the time of the diagnosis of SSc. The study was based on the Spanish Scleroderma Registry (RESCLE). The cohort was split up in derivation (DC) and validation cohort (VC). A multivariate analysis to detect variables related to all-cause mortality within the first 15 years from SSc diagnosis was performed, assigning points to the rounded beta values to create the score (RESCLESCORE). 1935 SSc patients were included. The variables in the final model were as follows: age at diagnosis (+2 points > 65 years-old), male gender (+1 point), lcSSc subset (-1 point), mode of onset other than Raynaud's (+1 point), cancer (+1 point) and visceral involvement, such as ILD (+1 point), PAH (+1 point), heart (+1 point) and renal involvement (+2 points). Autoantibodies did not achieve statistical significance in the multivariate analysis. The 3 categories of risk to predict 15-year all-cause mortality at the time of diagnosis were as follows: low risk (5% vs. 7%, p = .189), intermediate risk (26.5% vs. 25.5%, p = .911) and high risk (47.8% vs. 59%, p = .316). The AUC was 0.799 (DC) vs. 0.778 (VC) (p = .530). In conclusion, the RESCLESCORE demonstrated an excellent ability to categorize SSc patients at the time of diagnosis in separate 15-year all-cause mortality risk strata at the time of diagnosis.

Chronic inflammation predicts long-term mortality in patients with Raynaud's phenomenon.

BACKGROUND: Subclinical chronic inflammation could be the driving force behind the recently revealed association between abnormal nailfold capillaries as well as autoantibodies and long-term mortality in patients with incipient Raynaud's phenomenon. Whether laboratory markers that reflect a chronic inflammatory process are directly related to mortality in Raynaud's phenomenon is not known. METHODS: In total, 2958 patients with incipient Raynaud's phenomenon without previously known connective tissue disease (CTD) were enrolled. At their initial presentation, laboratory tests for C-reactive protein (CRP), leucocytes, fibrinogen and the haemoglobin concentration were obtained. In addition, nailfold capillaries and antinuclear antibodies (ANA) were assessed. Patients' mortality was recorded through a median follow-up period of 9.3 years. RESULTS: Baseline CRP, fibrinogen and haemoglobin concentration were associated with long-term mortality in an individual analysis of patients with incipient Raynaud's phenomenon. In a multivariable model including patients' age, nailfold capillaries and ANA, a low haemoglobin concentration remained independently related to future mortality. Amongst potential predictors for mortality in patients with Raynaud's phenomenon, a low haemoglobin concentration was most strongly related to patients' mortality risk. CONCLUSION: In Raynaud's phenomenon, laboratory markers that can be attributed to a chronic inflammatory state independently yield prognostic information in addition to the presence of abnormal nailfold capillaries and ANA. Amongst all prognostic markers, the haemoglobin concentration is most strongly related to patients' mortality in Raynaud's phenomenon.

Relation of Nailfold Capillaries and Autoantibodies to Mortality in Patients With Raynaud Phenomenon.

BACKGROUND: In incipient Raynaud phenomenon, nailfold capillaroscopy and autoantibody tests are obtained to screen for an emerging connective tissue disease. Whether the presence of abnormal nailfold capillaries and autoantibodies are related to mortality in patients with incipient Raynaud phenomenon is not known. METHODS AND RESULTS: In 2958 consecutive patients (78% women, median age 45 years) with incipient Raynaud phenomenon without previously known connective tissue disease, nailfold capillaroscopy and laboratory tests for antinuclear antibodies (ANA) and ANA subsets were obtained at initial presentation. During a median follow-up period of 9.3 years, 227 women (9.9% of female patients) and 129 men (20% of male patients) with Raynaud phenomenon died. In comparison with a demographically matched standard population, survival was poorer in patients with Raynaud phenomenon (log-rank test P<0.0001). In patients with Raynaud phenomenon, mortality was higher in men than in women (P<0.0001, Cox proportional hazards model). In women, the presence of abnormal nailfold capillaries, ANA, and anti-Scl-70 antibodies were related to an increase in all-cause mortality. The conjoint presence of abnormal nailfold capillaries and autoantibodies was associated with the highest mortality rates. In men, abnormal nailfold capillaries, and ANA and ANA subsets, as well, were not related to survival. In both sexes, patients' age and serum creatinine were associated with mortality. CONCLUSIONS: In Raynaud phenomenon, male sex, age, and serum creatinine are related to mortality. Abnormal nailfold capillaries and autoantibodies are associated with an increase in all-cause mortality in female patients, but not in male patients with Raynaud phenomenon.

Nailfold capillaroscopy abnormalities as predictors of mortality in patients with systemic sclerosis.

OBJECTIVES: Peripheral microangiopathy is a hallmark of systemic sclerosis (SSc) and can be early detected by nailfold capillaroscopy (NFC). This study aimed to examine whether more severe peripheral microangiopathy at NFC are predictive factor for death in SSc patients. METHODS: 135 SSc patients who performed NFC between June 2001 and July 2009 were included. The following NFC parameters were evaluated: number of capillary loops/mm, avascular score (scored from 0 to 3), and number of enlarged and giant capillary loops. Univariate and multivariate regression models were used to analyse the association of mortality with NFC and clinical parameters. RESULTS: At the time of the analysis (August 2010), 123 patients were alive, and 12 were dead. By univariate analysis, male gender, forced vital capacity <75% predicted, higher number of giant capillary loops, and an avascular score >1.5 on NFC were associated with a significantly increase risk of death. By multivariate analysis, an avascular score >1.5 was the only independent predictor of death (hazard ratio 2.265). Survival rates from diagnosis at 1, 5 and 10 years were lower in patients with avascular score >1.5 (97%, 86%, and 59%, respectively) compared with those with avascular score ≤1.5 (97%, 97%, and 91% respectively) (p=0.009 by log rank test). CONCLUSIONS: Avascular scores higher than 1.5 at NFC was an independent predictor of death in SSc, suggesting that NFC can be useful for predicting SSc outcome.

Significance of connective tissue disease features in idiopathic interstitial pneumonia.

In idiopathic interstitial pneumonia (IIP), the significance of connective tissue disease (CTD) features in the absence of a specific CTD diagnosis remains unclear. We studied the clinical and prognostic utility of a diagnosis of undifferentiated CTD (UCTD) in patients with biopsy-proven IIP. IIP patients undergoing surgical lung biopsy (1979-2005) were studied (nonspecific interstitial pneumonia (NSIP), n = 45; idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis, n = 56). UCTD was considered present when serum autoantibodies were present and symptoms or signs suggested CTD. The relationship between UCTD and NSIP histology was evaluated. A clinical algorithm that best predicted NSIP histology was constructed using a priori variables. The prognostic utility of UCTD, and of this algorithm, was evaluated. UCTD was present in 14 (31%) NSIP and seven (13%) IPF patients. UCTD was not associated with a survival benefit. The algorithm predictive of NSIP (OR 10.4, 95% CI 3.21-33.67; p<0.0001) consisted of the absence of typical high-resolution computed tomography (HRCT) features for IPF and 1) a compatible demographic profile (females aged <50 yrs) or 2) Raynaud's phenomenon. In patients with an HRCT scan not typical for IPF, this algorithm predicted improved survival (hazard ratio 0.35, 95% CI 0.14-0.85; p = 0.02) independent of IIP severity. UCTD is associated with NSIP histology. However, the diagnostic and prognostic significance of UCTD in IIP patients remains unclear.

Predictors of early mortality in systemic sclerosis: a case-control study comparing early versus late mortality in systemic sclerosis.

To compare the characteristics of patients with systemic sclerosis who died within 2 years of diagnosis to those who died after 2 years of diagnosis. A retrospective chart review of all medical records of deceased systemic sclerosis (SSc) patients who had been followed at our institution from 1985 to 2007 was performed. We identified 87 deceased SSc patients within this period. From the 87 deceased individuals, 20 had died within 2 years after they were diagnosed, and 67 had died after 2 years of their diagnosis. Patients who died within 2 years of diagnosis were more likely to be anticentromere antibody negative when compared to the patients who died after 2 years (17/20 vs. 48/67, P = 0.03). The time from the first appearance of non-Raynaud's symptoms to diagnosis was significantly shorter in the group who died within 2 years than in the group who died after 2 years of diagnosis (11.8 ± 10.3 vs. 60.7 ± 64.9 months, P = 0.002). According to the Medsger severity score, there was more severe muscle (0.82 ± 1.13 vs. 1.8 ± 1.28, P = 0.0014) and heart (0.86 ± 1.37 vs. 2.1 ± 1.71, P = 0.0013) involvement at the initial evaluation in patients who died before 2 years of diagnosis when compared to the group of patients who died after 2 years of diagnosis. The time from the first symptoms to treatment initiation was significantly shorter in patients who died early (9.43 ± 6.3 vs. 38.3 ± 54.4 months, P = 0.05). The interval between treatment initiation and death was also significantly shorter (15.1 ± 9.48 vs. 60.7 ± 49.7 months, P = 0.001), reflecting greater severity of disease. Patients who died within the first 2 years of SSc diagnosis were typically anticentromere negative and had significant muscle and cardiac involvement. The time from the first appearance of non-Raynaud phenomenon symptoms to death was much shorter in the patients who died within 2 years of diagnosis, suggesting a very fulminant form of systemic sclerosis.

Pediatric erythromelalgia: a retrospective review of 32 cases evaluated at Mayo Clinic over a 37-year period.

BACKGROUND: Erythromelalgia has not been well characterized in the pediatric population. OBJECTIVE: We sought to review our experience of erythromelalgia in the pediatric age group. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective review of patients 18 years of age and younger with a diagnosis of erythromelalgia who were examined at Mayo Clinic in Rochester, MN, from 1970 to 2007. RESULTS: The records of 32 patients (girls, 22 [69%]) were evaluated. Mean age was 14.1 years (range, 5-18 years) and mean time to diagnosis was 5.2 years. Seven patients (22%) had a first-degree relative with erythromelalgia; 4 were from the same family. Physical activity was limited because of discomfort in 21 patients (66%) and school attendance was affected in 11 patients (34%). Noninvasive vascular studies, which compared temperature, laser Doppler flow, and transcutaneous oximetry in the toes, identified vascular abnormalities in 13 (93%) of 14 patients. Neurophysiologic studies with autonomic reflex screening (including quantitative sudomotor axon reflex test and thermoregulatory sweat testing) showed evidence of a small-fiber neuropathy involving the skin in 10 (59%) of 17 patients studied; there was no evidence of large-fiber neuropathy in 20 patients in whom electromyographic and nerve conduction studies were performed. Topical lidocaine was the most commonly prescribed treatment (44%). Fifteen patients were monitored for an average of 9.1 years (median, 5.0 years; range, 0.4-23.7 years). At last follow-up, 5 patients had stable disease, 4 showed improvement, two had resolution, one reported worsening of symptoms, and 3 had died (one suicide). LIMITATIONS: Conclusions are limited because this was a retrospective chart review. CONCLUSION: Erythromelalgia in pediatric patients is associated with substantial morbidity and even death. The majority of cases are not inherited. Most patients studied have associated small-fiber neuropathy. The disease course is variable. A reliable and safe treatment has not been determined.

Impaired carbon monoxide diffusing capacity as a marker of limited systemic sclerosis.

BACKGROUND: As impairment of diffusing capacity for carbon monoxide (DLCO) likely reflects underlying pulmonary vasculopathy in limited systemic sclerosis (lSSc), we examined whether DLCO could help to distinguish secondary from idiopathic Raynaud's phenomenon (iRP). METHODS: We compared pulmonary function test (PFT) results in 145 lSSc patients and 24 age- and sex-matched iRP patients. RP duration at time of PFT was similar in the two groups. RESULTS: DLCO values were low (<80% of predicted) in 106 (73%) of the 145 lSSc patients, and in 69 (71%) of the 97 patients with early lSSc. Interstitial lung disease (ILD) was found in 10% of lSSc patients. DLCO was significantly lower in lSSc than in iRP (72±15% versus 89±9%, p<0.0001). When evaluated, alveolar capillary membrane conductance (Dm) was markedly lower in lSSc patients without ILD than in iRP patients (45±12% versus 71±2.5%, p=0.003), although capillary blood volume was not different. DLCO was low in 3 iRP patients (12.5%). The sensitivity and specificity of low DLCO values for early lSSc diagnosis in patients with Raynaud's phenomenon were 71% and 87.5%, respectively. Sensitivity was similar to that of anti-centromere-antibodies (75%) and nailfold capillary abnormalities (81%). A DLCO cutoff of <70% had a sensitivity and specificity of 41% and 100%, respectively. In multivariable analysis, age and low DLCO were the only independent predictors of death; the hazard ratio for DLCO ≤50% was 7.9 (95% CI 2.3-26, p=0.0007). CONCLUSION: Isolated DLCO impairment is significantly more frequent in patients with lSSc than in patients with idiopathic iRP. DLCO measurement could be a useful diagnostic tool for lSSc.

Distinct prognosis of idiopathic nonspecific interstitial pneumonia (NSIP) fulfilling criteria for undifferentiated connective tissue disease (UCTD).

BACKGROUND: Although idiopathic nonspecific interstitial pneumonia (NSIP) was initially identified as a provisional diagnosis, the 2008 American Thoracic Society Project concluded that idiopathic NSIP is a distinct form of idiopathic interstitial pneumonia. However, an association between idiopathic NSIP and autoimmune diseases still attracts interest. In this context, a recent study proposed an intriguing concept that idiopathic NSIP is the pulmonary manifestation of undifferentiated connective tissue disease (UCTD). However, this has not been confirmed in a large number of patients with idiopathic NSIP. The present study was conducted to investigate the proportion and characteristics of patients with idiopathic NSIP who meet the criteria for UCTD. METHODS: We reviewed 47 consecutive patients with idiopathic NSIP and examined whether they met prespecified criteria for UCTD. Furthermore, we compared the clinical characteristics between patients fulfilling the UCTD criteria (UCTD-NSIP) and those not meeting them (Non-UCTD-NSIP). RESULTS: Of 47 patients with idiopathic NSIP, 22 (47%) met the UCTD criteria. Common symptoms associated with connective tissue diseases (CTDs) were skin change (50%) and Raynaud's phenomenon (41%) in UCTD-NSIP. UCTD-NSIP showed a female predominance and significantly higher percentages of lymphocytes with a lower CD4/CD8 ratio in bronchoalveolar lavage than Non-UCTD-NSIP. Interestingly, UCTD-NSIP had a significantly better survival than Non-UCTD-NSIP. CONCLUSIONS: Idiopathic NSIP included subjects who fulfilled the UCTD criteria, and these subjects had different clinical characteristics with significantly better outcome than those who did not meet the criteria. These data suggest that a part, but not all, of patients with idiopathic NSIP show CTD-like features with a distinct prognosis.

A comparison between anti-Th/To- and anticentromere antibody-positive systemic sclerosis patients with limited cutaneous involvement.

OBJECTIVE: To compare anti-Th/To-positive and anticentromere antibody (ACA)-positive patients with limited cutaneous systemic sclerosis (lcSSc). METHODS: We reviewed the medical records of 107 anti-Th/To-positive patients and 365 ACA-positive patients who were first evaluated during 1985-2000. ACA was detected by indirect immunofluorescence on HEp-2 cell substrate, and anti-Th/To was detected by RNA immunoprecipitation with K562 cell extracts. Patients were included if they had a clinical diagnosis of lcSSc, and excluded if they had >1 SSc-associated serum autoantibody. RESULTS: The final study groups comprised 87 lcSSc patients with anti-Th/To antibodies and 306 with ACAs. Anti-Th/To-positive patients were younger (P < 0.04) and had a shorter disease duration at their first evaluation (P < 0.003). Patients with anti-Th/To antibodies had more subtle skin changes, less severe vascular involvement, and less frequent distal esophageal hypomotility. Both groups had a higher frequency of "intrinsic" pulmonary hypertension than has been previously reported in the literature (28% and 19% of anti-Th/To-positive and ACA-positive patients, respectively), perhaps due to referral bias. Patients in the anti-Th/To group more often had radiographic evidence of interstitial lung disease (48% versus 13% of the ACA group; P < 0.0001). Scleroderma renal crisis was uncommon (4 cases), but occurred exclusively in the anti-Th/To group. Survival among the anti-Th/To-positive patients was reduced compared with that in the ACA group (P < 0.02). CONCLUSION: Patients with anti-Th/To and those with ACA most often develop lcSSc and have a high frequency of "intrinsic" pulmonary hypertension. Compared with the ACA patients, anti-Th/To lcSSc patients have more subtle cutaneous, vascular, and gastrointestinal involvement, but more often have certain features typically seen in diffuse scleroderma, such as pulmonary fibrosis and scleroderma renal crisis, as well as reduced survival.

Esclerodermia mortal / Fatal scleroderma

Se presentan dos casos de esclerodermia con restricción pulmonar grave: un paciente masculino de 23 años con fiebre de 20 días de evolución asociada a disnea de medianos esfuerzos y enfermedad de Raynaud; y una paciente de 31 años con disnea de medianos esfuerzos y enfermedad de Raynaud. Ambos fallecieron por insuficiencia respiratoria aguda. La trascendencia de mostrar estos dos casos radica en la súbita presentación de la insuficiencia respiratoria en esclerodermia de reciente inicio

Early undifferentiated connective tissue disease. V. An inception cohort 5 years later: disease remissions and changes in diagnoses in well established and undifferentiated connective tissue diseases.

OBJECTIVE: To review the diagnoses after 5 years in patients who were identified within 12 months of the onset of well established and undifferentiated connective tissue diseases (CTD); to examine death rates and disease remissions in these patients. METHODS: This inception cohort of 410 patients was identified in 10 academic rheumatology practices. They had less than one year of signs and/or symptoms of CTD. Diagnoses of specific well established CTD were made using accepted diagnostic and classification criteria. The diagnoses after 5 years were determined. RESULTS: Patients with well established CTD tended to remain with the original diagnosis. The progression of unexplained polyarthritis to rheumatoid arthritis occurred infrequently. Ten percent of patients with isolated Raynaud's phenomenon progressed to systemic sclerosis (SSc). The 5 year survival was over 90% in all diagnostic categories, with the exception of SSc, in which it was 64%. CONCLUSION: Patients with a well established CTD usually continued with the same diagnosis. Patients with undifferentiated CTD tended to remain undifferentiated or to remit.