Fetal size monitoring and birth-weight prediction: a new population-based approach.

OBJECTIVE: To develop a complete, population-based system for ultrasound-based fetal size monitoring and birth-weight prediction for use in the second and third trimesters of pregnancy. METHODS: Using 31 516 ultrasound examinations from a population-based Norwegian clinical database, we constructed fetal size charts for biparietal diameter, femur length and abdominal circumference from 24 to 42 weeks' gestation. A reference curve of median birth weight for gestational age was estimated using 45 037 birth weights. We determined how individual deviations from the expected ultrasound measures predicted individual percentage deviations from expected birth weight. The predictive quality was assessed by explained variance of birth weight and receiver-operating characteristics curves for prediction of small-for-gestational age. A curve for intrauterine estimated fetal weight was constructed. Charts were smoothed using the gamlss non-linear regression method. RESULTS: The population-based approach, using bias-free ultrasound gestational age, produces stable estimates of size-for-age and weight-for-age curves in the range 24-42 weeks' gestation. There is a close correspondence between percentage deviations and percentiles of birth weight by gestational age, making it easy to convert between the two. The variance of birth weight that can be 'explained' by ultrasound increases from 8% at 20 weeks up to 67% around term. Intrauterine estimated fetal weight is 0-106 g higher than median birth weight in the preterm period. CONCLUSIONS: The new population-based birth-weight prediction model provides a simple summary measure, the 'percentage birth-weight deviation', to be used for fetal size monitoring throughout the third trimester. Predictive quality of the model can be measured directly from the population data. The model computes both median observed birth weight and intrauterine estimated fetal weight. Copyright © 2016 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

Microbial life associated with low-temperature alteration of ultramafic rocks in the Leka ophiolite complex.

Water-rock interactions in ultramafic lithosphere generate reduced chemical species such as hydrogen that can fuel subsurface microbial communities. Sampling of this environment is expensive and technically demanding. However, highly accessible, uplifted oceanic lithospheres emplaced onto continental margins (ophiolites) are potential model systems for studies of the subsurface biosphere in ultramafic rocks. Here, we describe a microbiological investigation of partially serpentinized dunite from the Leka ophiolite (Norway). We analysed samples of mineral coatings on subsurface fracture surfaces from different depths (10-160 cm) and groundwater from a 50-m-deep borehole that penetrates several major fracture zones in the rock. The samples are suggested to represent subsurface habitats ranging from highly anaerobic to aerobic conditions. Water from a surface pond was analysed for comparison. To explore the microbial diversity and to make assessments about potential metabolisms, the samples were analysed by microscopy, construction of small subunit ribosomal RNA gene clone libraries, culturing and quantitative-PCR. Different microbial communities were observed in the groundwater, the fracture-coating material and the surface water, indicating that distinct microbial ecosystems exist in the rock. Close relatives of hydrogen-oxidizing Hydrogenophaga dominated (30% of the bacterial clones) in the oxic groundwater, indicating that microbial communities in ultramafic rocks at Leka could partially be driven by H2 produced by low-temperature water-rock reactions. Heterotrophic organisms, including close relatives of hydrocarbon degraders possibly feeding on products from Fischer-Tropsch-type reactions, dominated in the fracture-coating material. Putative hydrogen-, ammonia-, manganese- and iron-oxidizers were also detected in fracture coatings and the groundwater. The microbial communities reflect the existence of different subsurface redox conditions generated by differences in fracture size and distribution, and mixing of fluids. The particularly dense microbial communities in the shallow fracture coatings seem to be fuelled by both photosynthesis and oxidation of reduced chemical species produced by water-rock reactions.

Advantages of the population-based approach to pregnancy dating: results from 23,020 ultrasound examinations.

OBJECTIVE: To confirm the results from two previous evaluations of term prediction models, including two sample-based models and one population-based model, in a third population. METHODS: In a study population of 23,020 second-trimester ultrasound examinations, data were prospectively collected and registered over the period 1988-2009. Three different models for ultrasonically estimated date of delivery were applied to the measurements of fetal biparietal diameter (BPD) and two models were applied to the femur length (FL) measurements; the resulting term estimations were compared with the actual time of delivery. The difference between the actual and the predicted dates of delivery (the median bias) was calculated for each of the models, for three BPD/FL-measurement subgroups and for the study population as a whole. RESULTS: For the population-based model, the median bias was + 0.4 days for the BPD-based predictions and - 0.4 days for the FL-based predictions, and the biases were stable over the inclusion ranges. The biases of the two traditional models varied with the size of the fetus at examination; median biases were - 0.87 and + 2.2 days, respectively, with extremes - 4.2 and + 4.8 days for the BPD-based predictions, and the median bias was + 1.72 days with range - 0.8 to + 4.5 days for FL-based predictions. The disagreement between the two sample-based models was never less than 2 days for the BPD-based predictions. CONCLUSION: This study confirms the results from previous studies; median biases were negligible with term predictions from the population-based model, while those from the traditional models varied substantially. The biases, which have clinical implications, seem inevitable with the sample-based models, which, even if overall biases were removed, will perform unsatisfactorily.

Narrowed beam width in newer ultrasound machines shortens measurements in the lateral direction: fetal measurement charts may be obsolete.

OBJECTIVES: Fetal ultrasound measurements are made in axial, lateral and oblique directions. Lateral resolution is influenced by the beam width of the ultrasound system. To improve lateral resolution and image quality, the beam width has been made narrower; consequently, measurements in the lateral direction are affected and apparently made shorter, approaching the true length. The aims of this study were to explore our database to reveal time-dependent shortening of ultrasound measurements made in the lateral direction, and to assess the extent of beam-width changes by comparing beam-width measurements made on old and new ultrasound machines. METHODS: A total of 41,941 femur length measurements, collected during the time-period 1987-2005, were analyzed, with time as a covariate. Using three ultrasound machines from the 1990s and three newer machines from 2007, we performed 25 series of blinded beam-width measurements on a tissue-mimicking phantom, measuring at depths of 3-8 cm with a 5-MHz transducer. RESULTS: Regression analysis showed time to be a significant covariate. At the same gestational age, femur length measurement was 1.15 (95% CI, 1.08-1.23) mm shorter in the time-period 1999-2005 than in the time-period 1987-1992. Overall, the beam width was 1.08 (95% CI, 0.50-1.65) mm narrower with the new machines than with the old machines. CONCLUSIONS: Technical improvements in modern ultrasound machines that have reduced the beam width affect fetal measurements in the lateral direction. This has clinical implications and new measurement charts are needed.

A new population-based term prediction model vs. two traditional sample-based models: validation on 9046 ultrasound examinations.

OBJECTIVES: To compare results of predictions of date of delivery from a new population-based model with those from two traditional regression models. METHODS: We included 9046 fetal biparietal diameter (BPD) measurements and 8776 femur length (FL) measurements from the routine ultrasound examinations at Stavanger University Hospital between 2001 and 2007. The prediction models to be validated were applied to the data, and the resulting predictions were compared with the actual time of the subsequent deliveries. The primary measure was the median bias (the difference between the true and the predicted date of delivery), calculated for each method, for the study population as a whole and for three subgroups of BPD/FL measurements. We also assessed the proportion of births within ± 14 days of the predicted day, and rates of preterm and post-term deliveries, which were regarded as secondary measures. RESULTS: For the population-based model, the median bias was -0.15 days (95% confidence interval (CI), -0.43 to 0.12) for the BPD-based, and -0.48 days (95% CI, -0.86 to -0.46) for the FL-based predictions, and both biases were stable over the inclusion ranges. The biases of the traditional regression models varied, depending on the fetal size at the time of the examination; the extremes were -3.2 and + 4.5 days for the BPD-based, and -1.0 and + 5.0 days for the FL-based predictions. CONCLUSIONS: The overall biases, as well as the biases for the subgroups, were all smaller with the population-based model than with the traditional regression models, which exhibited substantial biases in some BPD and FL subcategories. For the population-based model, the FL-based predictions were in accordance with the BPD-based predictions.

Biases of traditional term prediction models: results from different sample-based models evaluated on 41 343 ultrasound examinations.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate two Norwegian traditional, sample-based term prediction models as applied to the data from a large population-based registry. The two models were also compared with an established German model. METHODS: Our database included information from 41 343 non-selected ultrasound scans registered over the years 1987-2005. The prediction models were applied to measurements from the ultrasound examinations, and the resulting term predictions were compared with the actual times of the deliveries. The median bias (the difference between the true and the predicted date of delivery) was calculated for each model, both for the study population as a whole and for subgroups of measurements of biparietal diameter (BPD) and femur length (FL). Secondary measures, i.e. proportion of births within ± 14 days and the rates of preterm and post-term deliveries, were also assessed. RESULTS: The analyses showed that the models had significant biases, predicting delivery date either too late or too early. For each model the size of the bias varied, depending on the fetal size at the time of the examination; the extremes were minus 4 and plus 4 days for the BPD-based predictions. There were similar results with the FL-based predictions. CONCLUSION: Term predictions made with traditional sample-based models had significant biases that varied over each method's measurement range. These models have important shortcomings, probably because of strict selection criteria in the process of constructing the models, and because the methods primarily aim at estimating the last menstrual period-based day of conception, not the day of birth.

Ultrasound assessment of fetal head-perineum distance before induction of labor.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate fetal head-perineum distance measured by ultrasound imaging as a predictive factor for induction of labor, and to compare this distance with maternal factors, the Bishop score and ultrasound measurements of cervical length, cervical angle and occiput position. METHODS: The study included 275 women admitted for induction of labor. The fetal head-perineum distance was measured by transperineal ultrasound imaging as the shortest distance from the outer bony limit of the fetal skull to the skin surface of the perineum. Cervical length and angle was measured by transvaginal ultrasound examination, and fetal head position was assessed by transabdominal ultrasound imaging. The Bishop score was assessed without knowledge of ultrasound measurements. Receiver-operating characteristics (ROC) curves were used for evaluation of the probability of a successful vaginal delivery. The time from induction to delivery was tested using Cox regression analysis with ultrasound measurements, parity and body mass index (BMI) as possible predictive factors. RESULTS: Areas under the ROC curve for prediction of vaginal delivery were 62% (95% CI, 52-71%) for fetal head-perineum distance (P = 0.03), 61% (95% CI, 51-71%) for cervical length (P = 0.03), 63% (95% CI, 52-74%) for cervical angle (P = 0.02), 61% (95% CI, 52-70%) for Bishop score (P = 0.03) and 60% (95% CI, 51-69%) for BMI (P = 0.05). The Cesarean delivery rate was 22% among nulliparous and 5% among parous women (P < 0.01). Parity, fetal head-perineum distance, cervical length and cervical angle were contributing factors predicting vaginal delivery within 24 h in a Cox regression model. Occiput posterior position had no significant predictive value. CONCLUSIONS: Fetal head-perineum distance measured by transperineal ultrasound examination can predict vaginal delivery after induction of labor, with a predictive value similar to that of ultrasonographically measured cervical length and the Bishop score. However, we judge none of these methods used alone to be good enough in a clinical setting.

Prediction of labour and delivery by ascertaining the fetal head position with transabdominal ultrasound in pregnancies with prelabour rupture of membranes after 37 weeks.

PURPOSE: To evaluate the proportion of fetal head rotation from occiput posterior (OP) to occiput anterior (OA) during labour after term prelabour rupture of membranes (PROM), and to study if OP before labour are associated with a higher risk of operative deliveries and a longer duration of labour. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A transabdominal ultrasound examination was performed in 152 women with PROM after 37 weeks with a single live fetus in cephalic position. The course of labour was compared in women with the fetal head in occiput posterior position or other positions before the start of labour. RESULTS: Before the start of labour, 40 (26%) fetuses were in occiput posterior position (OP), but 34 (85%) of them rotated to occiput anterior (OA) during labour. Ten (6.6%) fetuses were delivered in OP, and six of them were in OP before the start of labour. There were no statistically significant associations between the head position before the start of labour and the duration from PROM to delivery, induction of labour, use of epidural analgesia, augmentation with oxytocin, operative deliveries, perineal tears, Apgar scores, pH or base excess in the umbilical artery. CONCLUSIONS: Transabdominal ultrasound examination can determine the fetal head position before the start of labour, but the position of the head did not predict the course of labour, probably because the fetal head may rotate during labour even after PROM.

Prediction of labor and delivery by transperineal ultrasound in pregnancies with prelabor rupture of membranes at term.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate whether engagement of the fetal head or cervical length in women with premature rupture of membranes (PROM) at term, are associated with time from PROM to delivery or need for operative delivery. METHODS: A transperineal ultrasound examination was performed in 152 women with a single live fetus in cephalic presentation after PROM (at > 37 gestational weeks). The shortest distance from the outer bony limit of the fetal skull to the skin surface of the perineum was measured in a transverse view, and the cervical length was measured in a sagittal view. The time from PROM to delivery was tested in a Cox regression analysis with ultrasound measurements, parity, maternal age, body mass index and birth weight as possible predictive factors. RESULTS: The head-perineal distance was associated with the time from PROM to delivery (log rank test, P < 0.001). Thirty-six hours after PROM, 32% (95% CI, 15-49) of women with a short head-perineal distance (< 45 mm) and 43% (95% CI, 24-62) of women with a long distance (> or = 45 mm) were still in labor. Women with a short head-perineal distance had fewer Cesarean sections, less use of epidural analgesia and a shorter time in active labor, and their babies had a higher pH in the umbilical artery. The measured cervical length was not associated independently with time to delivery. CONCLUSION: Transperineal ultrasound measurements of fetal head engagement may help clinicians to predict the course of labor in women with PROM.

Early pregnancy termination with mifepristone and misoprostol in Norway.

OBJECTIVES: Medical abortion was first introduced in Norway in April 1998. The aims of this study were to assess the efficacy, side effects, and acceptability of medical abortion using mifepristone orally and misoprostol vaginally in a Norwegian population. DESIGN: The study included the first 226 pregnant women with gestational age of <63 days who requested nonsurgical abortion during the first year in the first Norwegian hospital using this regimen. METHODS: All women received a single dose of mifepristone 600 mg orally, followed at 48 hours by 800 microg misoprostol vaginally. Treatment outcome and complications were the principal outcome measures. We also measured the rates of side effects such as abdominal pain and bleeding and the women's acceptability of treatment. RESULTS: Abortion was successful in 95%, surgical evacuation became necessary in 4%, and the pregnancy continued in one woman. During the study period the method was chosen by 23% of those requesting abortion before 63 days amenorrhea; 80% would use the method again; 81% would recommend it to a friend; in retrospect, 69% would not have been willing to be randomly allocated to either a medical or a surgical method. CONCLUSIONS: The combination of orally administrated mifepristone and vaginally administrated misoprostol is an abortion method that is both effective and safe, has few side effects and is well accepted by Norwegian women.

A randomized prospective study of misoprostol and dinoproston for induction of labor.

BACKGROUND: Misoprostol, a prostaglandin E1 analog registered for the prevention of gastric ulcers in NSAID-drug users, has been reported to be more effective for labor induction than the standard prostaglandin, dinoproston after vaginal application. There have been some concerns about possible hyperstimulation of the uterine activity and about the safety for the fetus with this new drug. METHODS: Two hundred and ten patients, 36 weeks pregnant or more, with an unfavorable cervix, single pregnancy, and intact membranes were randomized to receive misoprostol, 50 micrograms intravaginally every 6 hours, or dinoproston 0.5 mg intracervically every 12 hours for a maximum of 24 hours, for labor induction. RESULTS: Time from induction to delivery was shorter in both primigravidae and multigravidae after the application of misoprostol than dinoproston and failed induction was more common after dinoproston than after misoprostol. There were no differences in the condition of the newborns in the two groups, according to Apgar score, umbilical artery pH or referral to the neonatal unit, even if there were more operative deliveries for suspected fetal asphyxia after misoprostol than after dinoproston. We did not find any significant difference in the frequency of uterine hyperstimulation between the two groups. CONCLUSIONS: In the dosage used, misoprostol seems to be an effective agent for induction of labor in patients with an unfavorable cervix. Low cost and ease of administration make this drug a promising alternative for this purpose. Surprisingly, there is little interest from the manufacturer to promote the use of this drug for labor induction.

[Labor induction. Quality assurance of a method]. / Fødselsinduksjon. Kvalitetssikring av en metode.

This paper presents a prospective study of all inductions of labour at a Norwegian obstetric department during 1992. The study was performed to assure the quality of the induction procedure. 323 labours (7.5%) out of a total of 4,289 deliveries were induced. Hypertensive disorders were the most common indication for induction. The progress and outcome of the induced labours in women without prelabour rupture of membranes have been compared with equivalent data on spontaneous deliveries. The babies of 39 (12.6%) of 310 women in the induction group were delivered by Caesarean section, as against 13 (4.2%) in the spontaneous delivery group. Duration of labour is longest, and rate of operative deliveries is highest (48%), in nulliparous women with unripe cervix. The progress and outcome of labour are only slightly affected by the indication for induction and the gestational age.