Implications of Five Different Risk Models In Primary Prevention Guidelines.

BACKGROUND: A lack of consensus exists across guidelines as to which risk model should be used for the primary prevention of cardiovascular disease (CVD). Our objective was to determine potential improvements in the number needed to treat (NNT) and number of events prevented (NEP) using different risk models in patients eligible for risk stratification. METHODS: A retrospective observational cohort was assembled from primary care patients in Ontario, Canada between January 1st, 2010, to December 31st, 2014 and followed for up to 5 years. Risk estimation was undertaken in patients 40-75 years of age, without CVD, diabetes, or chronic kidney disease using the Framingham Risk Score (FRS), Pooled Cohort Equations (PCEs), a recalibrated FRS (R-FRS), Systematic Coronary Risk Evaluation 2 (SCORE2), and the low-risk region recalibrated SCORE2 (LR-SCORE2). RESULTS: The cohort consisted of 47,399 patients (59% women, mean age 54). The NNT with statins was lowest for SCORE2 at 40, followed by LR-SCORE2 at 41, R-FRS at 43, PCEs at 55, and FRS at 65. Models that selected for individuals with a lower NNT recommended statins to fewer, but higher risk patients. For instance, SCORE2 recommended statins to 7.9% of patients (5-year CVD incidence 5.92%). The FRS, however, recommended statins to 34.6% of patients (5-year CVD incidence 4.01%). Accordingly, the NEP was highest for the FRS at 406 and lowest for SCORE2 at 156. CONCLUSIONS: Newer models such as SCORE2 may improve statin allocation to higher risk groups with a lower NNT but prevent fewer events at the population level.

Ambulatory Cardiology or General Internal Medicine Assessment Prior to Scheduled Major Vascular Surgery is Associated with Improved Outcomes.

OBJECTIVE: To characterize the association between ambulatory cardiology or general internal medicine (GIM) assessment prior to surgery and outcomes following scheduled major vascular surgery. BACKGROUND: Cardiovascular risk assessment and management prior to high-risk surgery remains an evolving area of care. METHODS: This is population-based retrospective cohort study of all adults who underwent scheduled major vascular surgery in Ontario, Canada, April 1, 2004-March 31, 2019. Patients who had an ambulatory cardiology and/or GIM assessment within 6 months prior to surgery were compared to those who did not. The primary outcome was 30-day mortality. Secondary outcomes included: composite of 30-day mortality, myocardial infarction or stroke; 30-day cardiovascular death; 1-year mortality; composite of 1-year mortality, myocardial infarction or stroke; and 1-year cardiovascular death. Cox proportional hazard regression using inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) was used to mitigate confounding by indication. RESULTS: Among 50,228 patients, 20,484 (40.8%) underwent an ambulatory assessment prior to surgery: 11,074 (54.1%) with cardiology, 8,071 (39.4%) with GIM and 1,339 (6.5%) with both. Compared to patients who did not, those who underwent an assessment had a higher Revised Cardiac Risk Index (N with Index over 2= 4,989[24.4%] vs. 4,587[15.4%], P<0.001) and more frequent pre-operative cardiac testing (N=7,772[37.9%] vs. 6,113[20.6%], P<0.001) but, lower 30-day mortality (N=551[2.7%] vs. 970[3.3%], P<0.001). After application of IPTW, cardiology or GIM assessment prior to surgery remained associated with a lower 30-day mortality (weighted Hazard Ratio [95%CI] = 0.73 [0.65-0.82]) and a lower rate of all secondary outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: Major vascular surgery patients assessed by a cardiology or GIM physician prior to surgery have better outcomes than those who are not. Further research is needed to better understand potential mechanisms of benefit.

Validation of the European SCORE2 models in a Canadian primary care cohort.

AIMS: Systematic Coronary Risk Evaluation Model 2 (SCORE2) was recently developed to predict atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) in Europe. Whether these models could be used outside of Europe is not known. The objective of this study was to test the validity of SCORE2 in a large Canadian cohort. METHODS AND RESULTS: A primary care cohort of persons with routinely collected electronic medical record data from 1 January 2010 to 31 December 2014, in Ontario, Canada, was used for validation. The SCORE2 models for younger persons (YP) were applied to 57 409 individuals aged 40-69 while the models for older persons (OPs) were applied to 9885 individuals 70-89 years of age. Five-year ASCVD predictions from both the uncalibrated and low-risk region recalibrated SCORE2 models were evaluated. The C-statistic for SCORE2-YP was 0.74 in women and 0.69 in men. The uncalibrated SCORE2-YP overestimated risk by 17% in women and underestimated by 2% in men. In contrast, the low-risk region recalibrated model demonstrated worse calibration, overestimating risk by 100% in women and 36% in men. The C-statistic for SCORE2-OP was 0.64 and 0.62 in older women and men, respectively. The uncalibrated SCORE2-OP overestimated risk by more than 100% in both sexes. The low-risk region recalibrated model demonstrated improved calibration but still overestimated risk by 60% in women and 13% in men. CONCLUSION: The performance of SCORE2 to predict ASCVD risk in Canada varied by age group and depended on whether regional calibration was applied. This underscores the necessity for validation assessment of SCORE2 prior to implementation in new jurisdictions.

In this study, new tools [Systematic Coronary Risk Evaluation Model 2 (SCORE2)] that were developed across Europe to predict heart attack and stroke risk in healthy individuals were tested independently for the first time in a Canadian setting. Key findings are as follows:The accuracy of predictions from SCORE2 in Canadians depends on the age group considered and whether uncalibrated or recalibrated equations are being used.Independent assessment of tools such as SCORE2 remains useful prior to widespread implementation in new jurisdictions.

Stroke risk in women with atrial fibrillation.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Female sex is associated with higher rates of stroke in atrial fibrillation (AF) after adjustment for other CHA2DS2-VASc factors. This study aimed to describe sex differences in age and cardiovascular care to examine their relationship with stroke hazard in AF. METHODS: Population-based cohort study using administrative datasets of people aged ≥66 years diagnosed with AF in Ontario between 2007 and 2019. Cause-specific hazard regression was used to estimate the adjusted hazard ratio (HR) for stroke associated with female sex over a 2-year follow-up. Model 1 included CHA2DS2-VASc factors, with age modelled as 66-74 vs. ≥ 75 years. Model 2 treated age as a continuous variable and included an age-sex interaction term. Model 3 further accounted for multimorbidity and markers of cardiovascular care. RESULTS: The cohort consisted of 354 254 individuals with AF (median age 78 years, 49.2% female). Females were more likely to be diagnosed in emergency departments and less likely to receive cardiologist assessments, statins, or LDL-C testing, with higher LDL-C levels among females than males. In Model 1, the adjusted HR for stroke associated with female sex was 1.27 (95% confidence interval 1.21-1.32). Model 2 revealed a significant age-sex interaction, such that female sex was only associated with increased stroke hazard at age >70 years. Adjusting for markers of cardiovascular care and multimorbidity further decreased the HR, so that female sex was not associated with increased stroke hazard at age ≤80 years. CONCLUSION: Older age and inequities in cardiovascular care may partly explain higher stroke rates in females with AF.

Epigenetic MicroRNAs as Prognostic Markers of Postoperative Atrial Fibrillation: A Systematic Review.

Postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) is a common complication after cardiac surgery, increasing the risk for adverse outcomes such as perioperative and long-term mortality, stroke, myocardial infarction, and other thromboembolic events. Epigenetic biomarkers show promise as prognostic tools for POAF. Epigenetic changes, such as DNA methylation, histone modification, and microRNAs (miRNA), can result in altered gene expression and the development of various pathological conditions. This systematic review aims to present the current literature on the association between various epigenetic markers and the development of POAF following cardiac surgery. Here, an electronic literature search was performed using MEDLINE, EMBASE, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, ClinicalTrials.gov, and Google Scholar to identify studies that reported the role of epigenetic markers in the development of POAF. Five of the 6 studies focused on miRNAs and their association with POAF. In POAF patients, the expression of miR-1 and miR-483-5p were upregulated in the right atrial appendage (RAA), while the levels of miR-133A, miR-208a, miR-23a, miR-26a, miR-29a, miR-29b, and miR-29c were decreased in the RAA and venous blood. One study examined cytosines followed by guanines (CpGs) as DNA methylation markers. Across all studies, 488 human subjects who had undergone cardiac surgery were investigated, and 195 subjects (39.9%) developed new-onset POAF. The current literature suggests that miRNAs may play a role in predicting the development of atrial fibrillation after cardiac surgery. However, more robust clinical data are required to justify their role in routine clinical practice.

Association of Neighborhood-Level Marginalization With Health Care Use and Clinical Outcomes Following Hospital Discharge in Patients Who Underwent Coronary Catheterization for Acute Myocardial Infarction in a Single-Payer Health Care System.

BACKGROUND: Canadian data suggest that patients of lower socioeconomic status with acute myocardial infarction receive less beneficial therapy and have worse clinical outcomes, raising questions regarding care disparities even in universal health care systems. We assessed the contemporary association of marginalization with clinical outcomes and health services use. METHODS: Using clinical and administrative databases in Ontario, Canada, we conducted a population-based study of patients aged ≥65 years hospitalized for their first acute myocardial infarction between April 1, 2010 and March 1, 2019. Patients receiving cardiac catheterization and surviving 7 days postdischarge were included. Our primary exposure was neighborhood-level marginalization, a multidimensional socioeconomic status metric. Neighborhoods were categorized by quintile from Q1 (least marginalized) to Q5 (most marginalized). Our primary outcome was all-cause mortality. A proportional hazards regression model with a robust variance estimator was used to quantify the association of marginalization with outcomes, adjusting for risk factors, comorbidities, disease severity, and regional cardiologist supply. RESULTS: Among 53 841 patients (median age, 75 years; 39.1% female) from 20 640 neighborhoods, crude 1- and 3-year mortality rates were 7.7% and 17.2%, respectively. Patients in Q5 had no significant difference in 1-year mortality (hazard ratio [HR], 1.08 [95% CI, 0.95-1.22]), but greater mortality over 3 years (HR, 1.13 [95% CI, 1.03-1.22]) compared with Q1. Over 1 year, we observed differences between Q1 and Q5 in visits to primary care physicians (Q1, 96.7%; Q5, 93.7%) and cardiologists (Q1, 82.6%; Q5, 72.6%), as well as diagnostic testing. There were no differences in secondary prevention medications dispensed or medication adherence at 1 year. CONCLUSIONS: In older patients with acute myocardial infarction who survived to hospital discharge, those residing in the most marginalized neighborhoods had a greater long-term risk of mortality, less specialist care, and fewer diagnostic tests. Yet, there were no differences across socioeconomic status in prescription medication use and adherence.

Association of neighbourhood-level material deprivation with adverse outcomes and processes of care among patients with heart failure in a single-payer healthcare system: A population-based cohort study.

AIM: We studied the association between neighbourhood material deprivation, a metric estimating inability to attain basic material needs, with outcomes and processes of care among incident heart failure patients in a universal healthcare system. METHODS AND RESULTS: In a population-based retrospective study (2007-2019), we examined the association of material deprivation with 1-year all-cause mortality, cause-specific hospitalization, and 90-day processes of care. Using cause-specific hazards regression, we quantified the relative rate of events after multiple covariate adjustment, stratifying by age ≤65 or ≥66 years. Among 395 763 patients (median age 76 [interquartile range 66-84] years, 47% women), there was significant interaction between age and deprivation quintile for mortality/hospitalization outcomes (p ≤ 0.001). Younger residents (age ≤65 years) of the most versus least deprived neighbourhoods had higher hazards of all-cause death (hazard ratio [HR] 1.19, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.10-1.29]) and cardiovascular hospitalization (HR 1.29 [95% CI 1.19-1.39]). Older individuals (≥66 years) in the most deprived neighbourhoods had significantly higher hazard of death (HR 1.11 [95% CI 1.08-1.14]) and cardiovascular hospitalization (HR 1.13 [95% CI 1.09-1.18]) compared to the least deprived. The magnitude of the association between deprivation and outcomes was amplified in the younger compared to the older age group. More deprived individuals in both age groups had a lower hazard of cardiology visits and advanced cardiac imaging (all p < 0.001), while the most deprived of younger ages were less likely to undergo implantable cardioverter-defibrillator/cardiac resynchronization therapy-pacemaker implantation (p = 0.023), compared to the least deprived. CONCLUSION: Patients with newly-diagnosed heart failure residing in the most deprived neighbourhoods had worse outcomes and reduced access to care than those less deprived.

Validation of the Use of Discharge Diagnostic Codes for the Verification of Secondary Atrial Fibrillation in Administrative Databases.

Background: "Secondary" atrial fibrillation (AF) denotes AF that is precipitated by short-term triggers and that may be reversible. Using administrative data to study secondary AF is of interest, but the ability of these data to verify secondary AF has not been studied. Methods: We conducted a cross-sectional analysis of 1000 randomly selected hospitalizations of patients discharged alive between January 1, 2016 and March 31, 2020, with AF coded as the most responsible diagnosis (type 1), post-admit comorbidity (type 2), or secondary diagnosis (type 3). We compared diagnosis types to AF category (secondary or not) as determined by a physician blinded to the discharge diagnosis type. We calculated the positive predictive value (PPV) of the designation of secondary AF in comparison to physician determination. Results: A total of 421 hospitalizations had AF documented as a type 2 diagnosis; this had a PPV of 94.8% for physician determination of secondary AF. After excluding hospitalizations with preexisting AF, and those for which AF type could not be determined by the physician, the PPV of a type 2 diagnosis (n = 391) for secondary AF was 99.7%. Type 3 diagnoses of AF (n = 222) mostly captured hospitalizations with preexisting AF (87.8% of type 3 diagnoses). Conclusions: A type 2 diagnosis can be used to verify secondary AF in people who were first diagnosed with AF while hospitalized for other causes. This verification facilitates cohort studies and clinical trial recruitment of people with this AF subtype, although it should not be used to determine the prevalence or incidence of secondary AF.

Contexte: Une fibrillation auriculaire (FA) « secondaire ¼ signifie que la FA est précipitée par des déclencheurs apparus depuis peu et pouvant être réversibles. L'utilisation de données administratives en vue d'étudier la FA secondaire peut être pertinente, mais la possibilité que ces données permettent d'évaluer les FA secondaires n'a pas été étudiée. Méthodologie: Nous avons effectué une analyse transversale de 1 000 hospitalisations, sélectionnées au hasard, de patients ayant reçu leur congé alors qu'ils étaient en vie entre le 1er janvier 2016 et le 31 mars 2020, et dans le dossier desquels la FA était codée comme étant le diagnostic principal de l'hospitalisation (type 1), une affection concomitante diagnostiquée après l'admission à l'hôpital (type 2) ou un diagnostic secondaire (type 3). Nous avons comparé les types des diagnostics à la catégorie de FA (secondaire ou pas), déterminée par un médecin qui ignorait le type de diagnostic confirmé au moment du congé. Nous avons calculé la valeur prédictive positive (VPP) de la désignation de FA secondaire, comparativement à ce que le médecin a déterminé. Résultats: Au total, 421 hospitalisations étaient associées à un diagnostic confirmé de FA de type 2, ce qui a produit une VPP de 94,8 % pour ce que le médecin avait déterminé comme étant une FA se-condaire. Après l'exclusion des hospitalisations de patients qui présentaient une FA préexistante et de ceux pour qui le type de FA ne pouvait pas être déterminé par le médecin, la VPP d'un diagnostic de FA de type 2 (n = 391) pour une FA secondaire était de 99,7 %. Les diagnostics de FA de type 3 (n = 222) étaient principalement associés à des hospitalisations de patients présentant une FA préexistante (87,8 % des diagnostics de type 3). Conclusions: Un diagnostic de FA de type 2 peut servir à vérifier la présence d'une FA secondaire chez les personnes ayant reçu un premier diagnostic de FA alors qu'elles étaient hospitalisées pour d'autres causes. Cette vérification facilite les études de cohortes et le recrutement pour des essais cliniques de personnes atteintes de ce sous-type de FA, mais elle ne doit pas servir à déterminer la prévalence ou l'incidence de la FA secondaire.

Global Cardio Oncology Registry (G-COR): Registry Design, Primary Objectives, and Future Perspectives of a Multicenter Global Initiative.

BACKGROUND: Global collaboration in cardio-oncology is needed to understand the prevalence of cancer therapy-related cardiovascular toxicity in different risk groups, practice settings, and geographic locations. There are limited data on the socioeconomic and racial/ethnic disparities that may impact access to care and outcomes. To address these gaps, we established the Global Cardio-Oncology Registry, a multinational, multicenter prospective registry. METHODS: We assembled cardiologists and oncologists from academic and community settings to collaborate in the first Global Cardio-Oncology Registry. Subsequently, a survey for site resources, demographics, and intention to participate was conducted. We designed an online data platform to facilitate this global initiative. RESULTS: A total of 119 sites responded to an online questionnaire on their practices and main goals of the registry: 49 US sites from 23 states and 70 international sites from 5 continents indicated a willingness to participate in the Global Cardio-Oncology Registry. Sites were more commonly led by cardiologists (85/119; 72%) and were more often university/teaching (81/119; 68%) than community based (38/119; 32%). The average number of cardio-oncology patients treated per month was 80 per site. The top 3 Global Cardio-Oncology Registry priorities in cardio-oncology care were breast cancer, hematologic malignancies, and patients treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors. Executive and scientific committees and specific committees were established. A pilot phase for breast cancer using Research Electronic Data Capture Cloud platform recently started patient enrollment. CONCLUSIONS: We present the structure for a global collaboration. Information derived from the Global Cardio-Oncology Registry will help understand the risk factors impacting cancer therapy-related cardiovascular toxicity in different geographic locations and therefore contribute to reduce access gaps in cardio-oncology care. Risk calculators will be prospectively derived and validated.

The Association of Sodium-Glucose Cotransporter 2 Inhibitors With Cardiovascular Outcomes in Anthracycline-Treated Patients With Cancer.

Background: Sodium glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT2is) are hypothesized to reduce the risk of anthracycline-associated cardiotoxicity. Objectives: This study sought to determine the association between SGLT2is and cardiovascular disease (CVD) after anthracycline-containing chemotherapy. Methods: Using administrative data sets, we conducted a population-based cohort study of people >65 years of age with treated diabetes and no prior heart failure (HF) who received anthracyclines between January 1, 2016, and December 31, 2019. After estimating propensity scores for SGLT2i use, the average treatment effects for the treated weights were used to reduce baseline differences between SGLT2i-exposed and -unexposed controls. The outcomes were hospitalization for HF, incident HF diagnoses (in- or out-of-hospital), and documentation of any CVD in future hospitalizations. Death was treated as a competing risk. Cause-specific HRs for each outcome were determined for SGLT2i-treated people relative to unexposed controls. Results: We studied 933 patients (median age 71.0 years, 62.2% female), 99 of whom were SGLT2i treated. During a median follow-up of 1.6 years, there were 31 hospitalizations for HF (0 in the SGLT2i group), 93 new HF diagnoses, and 74 hospitalizations with documented CVD. Relative to controls, SGLT2i exposure was associated with HR of 0 for HF hospitalization (P < 0.001) but no significant difference in incident HF diagnosis (HR: 0.55; 95% CI: 0.23-1.31; P = 0.18) or CVD diagnosis (HR: 0.39; 95% CI: 0.12-1.28; P = 0.12). There was no significant difference in mortality (HR: 0.63; 95% CI: 0.36-1.11; P = 0.11). Conclusions: SGLT2is may reduce the rate of HF hospitalization after anthracycline-containing chemotherapy. This hypothesis warrants further testing in randomized controlled trials.

Cardiovascular outcomes in breast cancer survivors: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

AIMS: It is unclear whether the future risk of cardiovascular events in breast cancer (Bc) survivors is greater than in the general population. This meta-analysis quantifies the risk of cardiovascular disease development in Bc patients, compared to the risk in a general matched cancer-free population, and reports the incidence of cardiovascular events in patients with Bc. METHODS AND RESULTS: We searched PubMed, Scopus, and Web of Science databases (up to 23 March 2022) for observational studies and post hoc analyses of randomized controlled trials. Cardiovascular death, heart failure (HF), atrial fibrillation (AF), coronary artery disease (CAD), myocardial infarction (MI), and stroke were the individual endpoints for our meta-analysis. We pooled incidence rates (IRs) and risk in hazard ratios (HRs), using random-effects meta-analyses. Heterogeneity was reported through the I2 statistic, and publication bias was examined using funnel plots and Egger's test in the meta-analysis of risk. One hundred and forty-two studies were identified in total, 26 (836 301 patients) relevant to the relative risk and 116 (2 111 882 patients) relevant to IRs. Compared to matched cancer-free controls, Bc patients had higher risk for cardiovascular death within 5 years of cancer diagnosis [HR = 1.09; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.07, 1.11], HF within 10 years (HR = 1.21; 95% CI: 1.1, 1.33), and AF within 3 years (HR = 1.13; 95% CI: 1.05, 1.21). The pooled IR for cardiovascular death was 1.73 (95% CI 1.18, 2.53), 4.44 (95% CI 3.33, 5.92) for HF, 4.29 (95% CI 3.09, 5.94) for CAD, 1.98 (95% CI 1.24, 3.16) for MI, 4.33 (95% CI 2.97, 6.30) for stroke of any type, and 2.64 (95% CI 2.97, 6.30) for ischaemic stroke. CONCLUSION: Breast cancer exposure was associated with the increased risk for cardiovascular death, HF, and AF. The pooled incidence for cardiovascular endpoints varied depending on population characteristics and endpoint studied. REGISTRATION: CRD42022298741.

This work investigated the absolute and relative risk of cardiovascular outcomes in breast cancer survivors. Breast cancer was associated with a higher risk of cardiovascular death, heart failure (HF), and atrial fibrillation when compared to the general population.The incidence for cardiovascular death, HF, and coronary artery disease were 1.73, 4.44, and 4.29 per 1000 person-years, respectively.Clinicians should carefully assess breast cancer survivors for their cardiovascular risk factor profile and monitor their cardiovascular function.

Social Determinants of Health and Racial Disparities in Cardiac Events in Breast Cancer.

BACKGROUND: Racial disparities have been reported for breast cancer and cardiovascular disease (CVD) outcomes. The determinants of racial disparities in CVD outcomes are not yet fully understood. We aimed to examine the impact of individual and neighborhood-level social determinants of health (SDOH) on the racial disparities in major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE; consisting of heart failure, acute coronary syndrome, atrial fibrillation, and ischemic stroke) among female patients with breast cancer. METHODS: This 10-year longitudinal retrospective study was based on a cancer informatics platform with electronic medical record supplementation. We included women aged ≥18 years diagnosed with breast cancer. SDOH were obtained from LexisNexis, and consisted of the domains of social and community context, neighborhood and built environment, education access and quality, and economic stability. Race-agnostic (overall data with race as a feature) and race-specific machine learning models were developed to account for and rank the SDOH impact in 2-year MACE. RESULTS: We included 4,309 patients (765 non-Hispanic Black [NHB]; 3,321 non-Hispanic white). In the race-agnostic model (C-index, 0.79; 95% CI, 0.78-0.80), the 5 most important adverse SDOH variables were neighborhood median household income (SHapley Additive exPlanations [SHAP] score [SS], 0.07), neighborhood crime index (SS = 0.06), number of transportation properties in the household (SS = 0.05), neighborhood burglary index (SS = 0.04), and neighborhood median home values (SS = 0.03). Race was not significantly associated with MACE when adverse SDOH were included as covariates (adjusted subdistribution hazard ratio, 1.22; 95% CI, 0.91-1.64). NHB patients were more likely to have unfavorable SDOH conditions for 8 of the 10 most important SDOH variables for the MACE prediction. CONCLUSIONS: Neighborhood and built environment variables are the most important SDOH predictors for 2-year MACE, and NHB patients were more likely to have unfavorable SDOH conditions. This finding reinforces that race is a social construct.

Statin Use and Stroke Rate in Older Adults With Atrial Fibrillation: A Population-Based Cohort Study.

Background Atherosclerotic disease is an important contributor to adverse outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). There is limited recognition of the association between statin use and stroke rates in AF. We aimed to quantify the association between statin use and stroke rate in AF. Methods and Results Using linked administrative databases in Ontario, Canada, we conducted a population-based retrospective cohort study of patients, aged ≥66 years, diagnosed with AF between 2009 and 2019. We used cause-specific hazard regression to determine the association of statin use with stroke rate. We developed a second model to further adjust for lipid levels in the subset of patients with available measurements in the year before AF diagnosis. Both models adjusted for age, sex, heart failure, hypertension, diabetes, stroke/transient ischemic attack, vascular disease, and P2Y12 inhibitors at baseline, plus anticoagulation as a time-varying covariate. We studied 261 659 qualifying patients (median age, 78 years; 49% women). Statins were used in 142 834 (54.6%) patients, and 145 673 (55.7%) had lipid measurement(s) in the preceding year. Statin use was associated with lower stroke rates, with adjusted hazard ratios of 0.83 (95% CI, 0.77-0.88; P<0.001) in the full cohort and 0.87 (95% CI, 0.78-0.97; P=0.01) when adjusting for lipid data. Stroke rates increased in a near-linear manner as low-density lipoprotein values increased >1.5 mmol/L. Conclusions Statins were associated with lower stroke rates in patients with AF, whereas higher low-density lipoprotein levels were associated with higher stroke rates, highlighting the importance of vascular risk factor treatment in AF.

Comparison of Medical and Mental Health Sequelae Following Hospitalization for COVID-19, Influenza, and Sepsis.

Importance: People who survive hospitalization for COVID-19 are at risk for developing new cardiovascular, neurological, mental health, and inflammatory autoimmune conditions. It is unclear how posthospitalization risks for COVID-19 compare with those for other serious infectious illnesses. Objective: To compare risks of incident cardiovascular, neurological, and mental health conditions and rheumatoid arthritis in 1 year following COVID-19 hospitalization against 3 comparator groups: prepandemic hospitalization for influenza and hospitalization for sepsis before and during the COVID-19 pandemic. Design, Setting, and Participants: This population-based cohort study included all adults hospitalized for COVID-19 between April 1, 2020, and October 31, 2021, historical comparator groups of people hospitalized for influenza or sepsis, and a contemporary comparator group of people hospitalized for sepsis in Ontario, Canada. Exposure: Hospitalization for COVID-19, influenza, or sepsis. Main Outcome and Measures: New occurrence of 13 prespecified conditions, including cardiovascular, neurological, and mental health conditions and rheumatoid arthritis, within 1 year of hospitalization. Results: Of 379 366 included adults (median [IQR] age, 75 [63-85] years; 54% female), there were 26 499 people who survived hospitalization for COVID-19, 299 989 historical controls (17 516 for influenza and 282 473 for sepsis), and 52 878 contemporary controls hospitalized for sepsis. Hospitalization for COVID-19 was associated with an increased 1-year risk of venous thromboembolic disease compared with influenza (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.77; 95% CI, 1.36-2.31) but with no increased risks of developing selected ischemic and nonischemic cerebrovascular and cardiovascular disorders, neurological disorders, rheumatoid arthritis, or mental health conditions compared with influenza or sepsis cohorts. Conclusions and Relevance: In this cohort study, apart from an elevated risk of venous thromboembolism within 1 year, the burden of postacute medical and mental health conditions among those who survived hospitalization for COVID-19 was comparable with other acute infectious illnesses. This suggests that many of the postacute consequences of COVID-19 may be related to the severity of infectious illness necessitating hospitalization rather than being direct consequences of infection with SARS-CoV-2.

Sex-Based Differences in Severe Outcomes, Including Cardiovascular Hospitalization, in Adults With COVID-19 in Ontario, Canada.

Background: While men have experienced higher risks of SARS-CoV-2 infection compared to women, an analysis of sex differences by age in severe outcomes during the acute phase of infection is lacking. Objectives: The purpose of this study was to assess heterogeneity in severe outcome risks by age and sex by conducting a retrospective cohort study of community-dwelling adults in Ontario who tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 infection during the first 3 waves. Methods: Adjusted odds ratios were estimated using multilevel multivariable logistic regression models including an interaction term for age and sex. The primary outcome was a composite of severe outcomes (hospitalization for a cardiovascular (CV) event, intensive care unit admission, mechanical ventilation, or death) within 30 days. Results: Among 30,736, 199,132, and 186,131 adults who tested positive during the first 3 waves, 1,908 (6.2%), 5,437 (2.7%), and 5,653 (3.0%) experienced a severe outcome within 30 days. For all outcomes, the sex-specific risk depended on age (all P for interaction <0.05). Men with SARS-CoV-2 infection experienced a higher risk of outcomes than infected women of the same age, except for the risk of all-cause hospitalization being higher for young women than men (ages 18-45 years) during waves 2 and 3. The sex disparity in CV hospitalization across all ages either persisted or increased with each subsequent wave. Conclusions: To mitigate risks in subsequent waves, it is helpful to further understand the factors that contribute to the generally higher risks faced by men across all ages, and the persistent or increasing sex disparity in the risk of CV hospitalization.

Comprehensive Cardiovascular Magnetic Resonance Tissue Characterization and Cardiotoxicity in Women With Breast Cancer.

Importance: There is a growing interest in understanding whether cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) myocardial tissue characterization helps identify risk of cancer therapy-related cardiac dysfunction (CTRCD). Objective: To describe changes in CMR tissue biomarkers during breast cancer therapy and their association with CTRCD. Design, Setting, and Participants: This was a prospective, multicenter, cohort study of women with ERBB2 (formerly HER2)-positive breast cancer (stages I-III) who were scheduled to receive anthracycline and trastuzumab therapy with/without adjuvant radiotherapy and surgery. From November 7, 2013, to January 16, 2019, participants were recruited from 3 University of Toronto-affiliated hospitals. Data were analyzed from July 2021 to June 2022. Exposures: Sequential therapy with anthracyclines, trastuzumab, and radiation. Main Outcomes and Measures: CMR, high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I (hs-cTnI), and B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) measurements were performed before anthracycline treatment, after anthracycline and before trastuzumab treatment, and at 3-month intervals during trastuzumab therapy. CMR included left ventricular (LV) volumes, LV ejection fraction (EF), myocardial strain, early gadolinium enhancement imaging to assess hyperemia (inflammation marker), native/postcontrast T1 mapping (with extracellular volume fraction [ECV]) to assess edema and/or fibrosis, T2 mapping to assess edema, and late gadolinium enhancement (LGE) to assess replacement fibrosis. CTRCD was defined using the Cardiac Review and Evaluation Committee criteria. Fixed-effects models or generalized estimating equations were used in analyses. Results: Of 136 women (mean [SD] age, 51.1 [9.2] years) recruited from 2013 to 2019, 37 (27%) developed CTRCD. Compared with baseline, tissue biomarkers of myocardial hyperemia and edema peaked after anthracycline therapy or 3 months after trastuzumab initiation as demonstrated by an increase in mean (SD) relative myocardial enhancement (baseline, 46.3% [16.8%] to peak, 56.2% [18.6%]), native T1 (1012 [26] milliseconds to 1035 [28] milliseconds), T2 (51.4 [2.2] milliseconds to 52.6 [2.2] milliseconds), and ECV (25.2% [2.4%] to 26.8% [2.7%]), with P <.001 for the entire follow-up. The observed values were mostly within the normal range, and the changes were small and recovered during follow-up. No new replacement fibrosis developed. Increase in T1, T2, and/or ECV was associated with increased ventricular volumes and BNP but not hs-cTnI level. None of the CMR tissue biomarkers were associated with changes in LVEF or myocardial strain. Change in ECV was associated with concurrent and subsequent CTRCD, but there was significant overlap between patients with and without CTRCD. Conclusions and Relevance: In women with ERBB2-positive breast cancer receiving sequential anthracycline and trastuzumab therapy, CMR tissue biomarkers suggest inflammation and edema peaking early during therapy and were associated with ventricular remodeling and BNP elevation. However, the increases in CMR biomarkers were transient, were not associated with LVEF or myocardial strain, and were not useful in identifying traditional CTRCD risk.

Statins to prevent early cardiac dysfunction in cancer patients at increased cardiotoxicity risk receiving anthracyclines.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Anthracyclines can cause cancer therapy-related cardiac dysfunction (CTRCD). We aimed to assess whether statins prevent decline in left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) in anthracycline-treated patients at increased risk for CTRCD. METHODS: In this multicenter double-blinded, placebo-controlled trial, patients with cancer at increased risk of anthracycline-related CTRCD (per ASCO guidelines) were randomly assigned to atorvastatin 40 mg or placebo once-daily. Cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) imaging was performed before and within 4 weeks after anthracyclines. Blood biomarkers were measured at every cycle. The primary outcome was post-anthracycline LVEF, adjusted for baseline. CTRCD was defined as a fall in LVEF by >10% to <53%. Secondary endpoints included left ventricular (LV) volumes, CTRCD, CMR tissue characterization, high sensitivity troponin I (hsTnI), and B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP). RESULTS: We randomized 112 patients (56.9 ± 13.6 years, 87 female, and 73 with breast cancer): 54 to atorvastatin and 58 to placebo. Post-anthracycline CMR was performed 22 (13-27) days from last anthracycline dose. Post-anthracycline LVEF did not differ between the atorvastatin and placebo groups (57.3 ± 5.8% and 55.9 ± 7.4%, respectively) when adjusted for baseline LVEF (P = 0.34). There were no significant between-group differences in post-anthracycline LV end-diastolic (P = 0.20) or end-systolic volume (P = 0.12), CMR myocardial edema and/or fibrosis (P = 0.06-0.47), or peak hsTnI (P ≥ 0.99) and BNP (P = 0.23). CTRCD incidence was similar (4% versus 4%, P ≥ 0.99). There was no difference in adverse events. CONCLUSIONS: In patients at increased risk of CTRCD, primary prevention with atorvastatin during anthracycline therapy did not ameliorate early LVEF decline, LV remodeling, CTRCD, change in serum cardiac biomarkers, or CMR myocardial tissue changes. TRIAL REGISTRATION: NCT03186404.

Myocardial Inflammation on FDG PET/MRI and Clinical Outcomes in Symptomatic and Asymptomatic Participants after COVID-19 Vaccination.

Purpose: To evaluate potential cardiac sequelae of COVID-19 vaccination at 2-month follow-up and relate cardiac symptoms to myocardial tissue changes on fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) PET/MRI, blood biomarkers, health-related quality of life, and adverse outcomes. Materials and Methods: In this prospective study (ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT04967807), a convenience sample of individuals aged ≥17 years were enrolled after COVID-19 vaccination and were categorized as symptomatic myocarditis (new cardiac symptoms within 14 days of vaccination and met diagnostic criteria for acute myocarditis), symptomatic no myocarditis (new cardiac symptoms but did not meet criteria for myocarditis), and asymptomatic (no new cardiac symptoms). Standardized evaluation was performed 2 months after vaccination, including cardiac fluorine 18 FDG PET/MRI, blood biomarkers, and health-related quality of life. Statistical analysis included Kruskal-Wallis and Fisher exact tests. Results: Fifty-four participants were evaluated a median of 72 days (IQR: 42, 91) after COVID-19 vaccination, 17 symptomatic with myocarditis (36±[SD]15 years, 13 males), 17 symptomatic without myocarditis (42±12 years, 7 males), and 20 asymptomatic (45±14 years, 9 males). No participants in the symptomatic without myocarditis or asymptomatic groups had focal FDG-uptake, myocardial edema or impaired ventricular function. Two participants with symptomatic myocarditis had focal FDG-uptake, and three had high T2 on MRI. Health-related quality of life was lower in the symptomatic myocarditis group than the asymptomatic group. There were no adverse cardiac events beyond myocarditis in any participant. Conclusions: At two-month follow-up, FDG PET/MRI showed evidence of myocardial inflammation in 2/17 participants diagnosed with acute myocarditis early after COVID-19 vaccination, but not in symptomatic and asymptomatic participants without acute myocarditis.Keywords: Myocarditis, Vaccination, COVID-19, PET/MRI, Cardiac MRI, FDG-PET.