An Updated Simplified Severity Scale for Age-Related Macular Degeneration, Incorporating Reticular Pseudodrusen: Age-Related Eye Disease Study Report No. 42.

PURPOSE: To update the Age-Related Eye Disease Study (AREDS) Simplified Severity Scale for risk of late age-related macular degeneration (AMD), including incorporation of reticular pseudodrusen (RPD), and to perform external validation on the AREDS2. DESIGN: Post hoc analysis of two clinical trial cohorts: AREDS and AREDS2. PARTICIPANTS: Participants with no late AMD in either eye at baseline in AREDS (n=2719) and AREDS2 (n=1472). METHODS: Five-year rates of progression to late AMD were calculated according to levels 0-4 on the Simplified Severity Scale, following two updates: (i) non-central GA considered part of the outcome rather than a risk feature, and (ii) scale separation according to RPD status (determined by validated deep learning grading of color fundus photographs). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Five-year rate of progression to late AMD (defined as neovascular AMD or any GA). RESULTS: In the AREDS, following the first scale update, the five-year rates of progression to late AMD for levels 0-4 were 0.3%, 4.5%, 12.9%, 32.2%, and 55.6%, respectively. Following both updates, the proportion progressing to late AMD by five years was 8.4% in participants without RPD and 40.6% in those with RPD. As the final Simplified Severity Scale, the five-year progression rates for levels 0-4, respectively, were 0.3%, 4.3%, 11.6%, 26.7%, and 50.0%, for participants without RPD at baseline, and 2.8%, 8.0%, 29.0%, 58.7%, and 72.2%, for participants with RPD at baseline. In external validation on the AREDS2, for levels 2-4, the progression rates were similar, at 15.0%, 27.7%, and 45.7% (RPD absent) and 26.2%, 46.0%, and 73.0% (RPD present), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The AREDS AMD Simplified Severity Scale has been modernized with two important updates. The new scale for individuals without RPD has five-year progression rates of ∼0.5%, 4%, 12%, ∼25%, and 50%, such that the rates on the original scale remain accurate. The new scale for individuals with RPD has five-year progression rates of 3%, 8%, ∼30%, ∼60%, and ∼70%, i.e., approximately double for most levels. This scale fits updated definitions of late AMD, has increased prognostic accuracy, appears generalizable to similar populations, but remains simple for broad risk categorization.

Critical Dependence on Area in Relationship between ARMS2/HTRA1 Genotype and Faster Geographic Atrophy Enlargement: Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 Report Number 33.

PURPOSE: To analyze ARMS2/HTRA1 as a risk factor for faster geographic atrophy (GA) enlargement according to (1) GA area and (2) contiguous enlargement versus progression to multifocality. DESIGN: Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 (AREDS2) cohort analysis. PARTICIPANTS: Eyes with GA: 546 eyes of 406 participants. METHODS: Geographic atrophy area was measured from color fundus photographs at annual visits. Mixed-model regression of square root of GA area and proportional hazards regression of progression to multifocality were analyzed by ARMS2 genotype. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Change in square root GA area and progression to multifocality. RESULTS: Geographic atrophy enlargement was significantly faster with ARMS2 risk alleles (P < 0.0001) at 0.224 mm/year (95% CI, 0.195-0.252 mm/year), 0.298 mm/year (95% CI, 0.271-0.324 mm/year), and 0.317 mm/year (95% CI, 0.279-0.355 mm/year), for 0 to 2 risk alleles, respectively. However, a significant interaction (P = 0.011) was observed between genotype and baseline area. In eyes with very small area (< 1.9 mm2), enlargement was significantly faster with ARMS2 risk alleles (P < 0.0001) at 0.193 mm/year (95% CI, 0.162-0.225 mm/year) versus 0.304 mm/year (95% CI, 0.280-0.329 mm/year) for 0 versus 1 to 2 risk alleles, respectively. With moderately small (1.9-3.8 mm2) or medium to large (≥ 3.8 mm2) area, enlargement was not significantly faster with ARMS2 risk alleles (P = 0.66 and P = 0.70, respectively). In nonmultifocal GA, enlargement was significantly faster with ARMS2 risk alleles (P = 0.001) at 0.175 mm/year (95% CI, 0.142-0.209 mm/year), 0.226 mm/year (95% CI, 0.193-0.259 mm/year), and 0.287 mm/year (95% CI, 0.237-0.337 mm/year) with 0 to 2 risk alleles, respectively. ARMS2 genotype was not associated significantly with progression to multifocal GA. CONCLUSIONS: The relationship between ARMS2/HTRA1 genotype and faster GA enlargement depends critically on GA area: risk alleles represent a strong risk factor for faster enlargement only in eyes with very small area. They increase the growth rate more through contiguous enlargement than progression to multifocality. ARMS2/HTRA1 genotype is more important in increasing risk of progression to GA and initial GA enlargement (contiguously) than in subsequent enlargement or progression to multifocality. These findings may explain some discrepancies between previous studies and have implications for both research and clinical practice. FINANCIAL DISCLOSURE(S): Proprietary or commercial disclosure may be found in the Footnotes and Disclosures at the end of this article.

Gene-level association analysis of bivariate ordinal traits with functional regressions.

In genetic studies, many phenotypes have multiple naturally ordered discrete values. The phenotypes can be correlated with each other. If multiple correlated ordinal traits are analyzed simultaneously, the power of analysis may increase significantly while the false positives can be controlled well. In this study, we propose bivariate functional ordinal linear regression (BFOLR) models using latent regressions with cumulative logit link or probit link to perform a gene-based analysis for bivariate ordinal traits and sequencing data. In the proposed BFOLR models, genetic variant data are viewed as stochastic functions of physical positions, and the genetic effects are treated as a function of physical positions. The BFOLR models take the correlation of the two ordinal traits into account via latent variables. The BFOLR models are built upon functional data analysis which can be revised to analyze the bivariate ordinal traits and high-dimension genetic data. The methods are flexible and can analyze three types of genetic data: (1) rare variants only, (2) common variants only, and (3) a combination of rare and common variants. Extensive simulation studies show that the likelihood ratio tests of the BFOLR models control type I errors well and have good power performance. The BFOLR models are applied to analyze Age-Related Eye Disease Study data, in which two genes, CFH and ARMS2, are found to strongly associate with eye drusen size, drusen area, age-related macular degeneration (AMD) categories, and AMD severity scale.

Dietary nutrient intake and cognitive function in the Age-Related Eye Disease Studies 1 and 2.

INTRODUCTION: The objective was to analyze associations between dietary intake of multiple nutrients and altered cognitive function and/or decline. METHODS: Observational analyses of participants (n = 6334) in two randomized trials of nutritional supplements for age-related macular degeneration: Age-Related Eye Disease Study (AREDS) and AREDS2. RESULTS: In AREDS, for 4 of 38 nutrients examined, higher intake quintiles were significantly associated with decreased risk of cognitive impairment on the Modified Mini-Mental State test (<80): ß-carotene, copper, docosahexaenoic acid, and insoluble fiber. In AREDS2, for 13 of 44 nutrients, higher intake quintiles were associated with decreased risk on the Telephone Interview Cognitive Status-Modified (<30). Rate of cognitive decline over up to 10 years was not significantly different with higher intake of any nutrient. DISCUSSION: Higher dietary intake of multiple nutrients, including specific vitamins, minerals, carotenoids, fatty acids, and fiber, was associated with lower risk of cognitive impairment but not slower decline in cognitive function.

Association of Dietary Nitrate and a Mediterranean Diet With Age-Related Macular Degeneration Among US Adults: The Age-Related Eye Disease Study (AREDS) and AREDS2.

Importance: Low dietary nitrate intake has previously been suggested to be a risk factor for age-related macular degeneration (AMD) progression; however, this finding has not been replicated in other cohorts or adjusted for dietary patterns. Objective: To determine whether there is an association between dietary nitrate intake and AMD progression. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study analyzed data from the prospective Age-Related Eye Disease Study (AREDS) and AREDS2 randomized clinical trial cohorts and their extended follow-up studies, which were conducted in multicenter outpatient retinal practices. Participants in both trials had non-late AMD in at least 1 eye. Data were analyzed from March 1, 2020, to September 30, 2022. Exposure: Dietary nitrate intake. Main Outcomes and Measures: Association between dietary nitrate intake and development of late AMD (neovascular AMD [nAMD] or geographic atrophy [GA]) or large drusen. The interactions of dietary patterns, with common at-risk single-nucleotide polymorphisms, were also assessed. Results: In the combined AREDS/AREDS2 cohort of 7788 participants (4288 AREDS participants and 3610 AREDS2 participants [110 of whom participated in both studies]), there were 13 511 eligible eyes. The combined cohort comprised 4396 women (56%) and 3392 men (44%), and the combined mean (SD) age was 71.1 (6.6) years. Dietary nitrate intake was associated with a decreased risk of progression to late AMD in the combined AREDS/AREDS2 cohort (hazard ratio [HR], 0.77 [95% CI, 0.69-0.86] for quartile 4 vs quartile 1 of intake) and a decreased risk of GA (HR, 0.71 [95% CI, 0.61-0.83]) and nAMD (HR, 0.85 [95% CI, 0.73-0.99]). In AREDS, increased nitrate intake (quartile 4 vs quartile 1) was associated with a decreased risk of late AMD (HR, 0.77 [95% CI, 0.65-0.91]) and GA (HR, 0.80 [95% CI, 0.65-0.97]) but not nAMD; in AREDS2, there was no association between nitrate intake (quartile 4 vs quartile 1) and late AMD (HR, 0.90 [95% CI, 0.80-1.02]) or nAMD (HR, 0.93 [95% CI, 0.78-1.11]). There was a correlation between Mediterranean dietary patterns and dietary nitrate intake (r = 0.52, P < .001). Conclusions and Relevance: The findings of this cohort study suggest that dietary nitrate intake was associated with lower AMD risk. However, this association disappeared after adjusting for Mediterranean dietary patterns. These results are subject to potential bias and are hypothesis-generating in nature; therefore, they are insufficient to support new clinical recommendations. Previously described associations between dietary nitrate intake and AMD may in fact represent overall dietary patterns. Further research is needed before dietary nitrate intake can be recommended as a therapy for AMD.

Reticular Pseudodrusen Status, ARMS2/HTRA1 Genotype, and Geographic Atrophy Enlargement: Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 Report 32.

PURPOSE: To determine whether reticular pseudodrusen (RPD) status, ARMS2/HTRA1 genotype, or both are associated with altered geographic atrophy (GA) enlargement rate and to analyze potential mediation of genetic effects by RPD status. DESIGN: Post hoc analysis of an Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 cohort. PARTICIPANTS: Eyes with GA: n = 771 from 563 participants. METHODS: Geographic atrophy area was measured from fundus photographs at annual visits. Reticular pseudodrusen presence was graded from fundus autofluorescence images. Mixed-model regression of square root of GA area was performed by RPD status, ARMS2 genotype, or both. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Change in square root of GA area. RESULTS: Geographic atrophy enlargement was significantly faster in eyes with RPD (P < 0.0001): 0.379 mm/year (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.329-0.430 mm/year) versus 0.273 mm/year (95% CI, 0.256-0.289 mm/year). Enlargement was also significantly faster in individuals carrying ARMS2 risk alleles (P < 0.0001): 0.224 mm/year (95% CI, 0.198-0.250 mm/year), 0.287 mm/year (95% CI, 0.263-0.310 mm/year), and 0.307 mm/year (95% CI, 0.273-0.341 mm/year) for 0, 1, and 2, respectively. In mediation analysis, the direct effect of ARMS2 genotype was 0.074 mm/year (95% CI, 0.009-0.139 mm/year), whereas the indirect effect of ARMS2 genotype via RPD status was 0.002 mm/year (95% CI, -0.006 to 0.009 mm/year). In eyes with incident GA, RPD presence was not associated with an altered likelihood of central involvement (P = 0.29) or multifocality (P = 0.16) at incidence. In eyes with incident noncentral GA, RPD presence was associated with faster GA progression to the central macula (P = 0.009): 157 µm/year (95% CI, 126-188 µm/year) versus 111 µm/year (95% CI, 97-125 µm/year). Similar findings were observed in the Age-Related Eye Disease Study. CONCLUSIONS: Geographic atrophy enlargement is faster in eyes with RPD and in individuals carrying ARMS2/HTRA1 risk alleles. However, RPD status does not mediate the association between ARMS2/HTRA1 genotype and faster enlargement. Reticular pseudodrusen presence and ARMS2/HTRA1 genotype are relatively independent risk factors, operating by distinct mechanisms. Reticular pseudodrusen presence does not predict central involvement or multifocality at GA incidence but is associated with faster progression toward the central macula. Reticular pseudodrusen status should be considered for improved predictions of enlargement rate. FINANCIAL DISCLOSURE(S): Proprietary or commercial disclosure may be found after the references.

Extramacular Drusen and Progression of Age-Related Macular Degeneration: Age Related Eye Disease Study 2 Report 30.

PURPOSE: To identify the prevalence of extramacular drusen and their role in the progression of age-related macular degeneration (AMD). DESIGN: Retrospective analysis of a prospective cohort study. PARTICIPANTS: The study was conducted in 4168 eyes (2998 participants) with intermediate AMD in one or both eyes enrolled in the Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 (AREDS2), a 5-year multicenter study of nutritional supplements. METHODS: Baseline 3-field 30-degree color photographs were evaluated for drusen characteristics outside the macular grid, including size, area, and location. The characteristics of extramacular drusen were compared with those of drusen within the macula. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Progression rates to late AMD. RESULTS: Although extramacular drusen were observed in 3624 (86.9%) eyes, they represented a small area (< 0.5 mm2) in 50.3% of eyes, with only 17.5% exhibiting an area of > 1 disc area. Eyes with extramacular drusen exhibited larger macular drusen size and area than eyes without extramacular drusen (P < 0.001). Extramacular drusen were not associated with progression to late AMD. The hazard ratio adjusted for baseline age, sex, smoking, AMD severity level, and reticular pseudodrusen for 4043 eyes at risk of developing late AMD over 5 years was 1.17 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.88-1.54; P = 0.27) for geographic atrophy and 0.96 (95% CI, 0.76-1.2; P = 0.7) for neovascular AMD. CONCLUSIONS: Extramacular drusen are commonly observed in eyes with AMD and are more frequent with an increasing drusen burden within the macula. In eyes with intermediate AMD, extramacular drusen do not confer additional risk to previously identified risk factors in progression to late AMD.

Quantitative analysis of optical coherence tomography imaging in patients with different severities of hydroxychloroquine toxicity.

PURPOSE: To determine the diagnostic validity of quantitative measures derived from optical coherence tomography (OCT) images in their ability to discriminate between cohorts of eyes unaffected by hydroxychloroquine (HCQ) and those with a range of toxicity severities, including mild toxicity. METHODS: Prospective, single-centre, case-control study conducted between August 2010 and May 2017. Participants were exposed to HCQ for at least 5 years (mean±SD =14±7.2 years) and classified into affected and unaffected cohorts based on the American Academy of Ophthalmology's 2016 recommendations. For affected eyes, severity (groups 1-4) was assigned based on the extent of ellipsoid zone loss. For all eyes, spectral domain-OCT scans were analysed quantitatively to compute inner retinal thickness (IRT), outer retinal thickness (ORT), and minimum signal intensity (MI) and compared across toxicity groups. RESULTS: Of the 85 participants (mean age 59±12 years, 93% female), 30 had retinal toxicity. Significant differences in ORT and MI were observed between each affected severity group and unaffected eyes. Significant differences in IRT were observed for groups 3-4 but not groups 1-2. ORT and MI were each able to discriminate between unaffected and group 1 eyes with the highest discrimination at the inner subfields (areas under the curve, AUC=0.96 for ORT and AUC=0.93 for MI). CONCLUSIONS: Quantitative analysis of OCT scans revealed significant differences between eyes with and without toxicity in two different measures. Each individual metric could discriminate between the unaffected and the lowest severity category, suggesting their potential utility in screening for HCQ toxicity in patients at risk.

Investigations of Renal Function and Age-Related Macular Degeneration Phenotypes.

Purpose: To investigate potential associations between renal function and age-related macular degeneration (AMD) features as assessed with multimodal retinal imaging. Methods: A subset of participants included in a dark adaptation study with varying AMD severities had estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) values (mL/min/1.73 m2) obtained from renal function laboratory testing of serum creatinine and cystatin C. Multimodal imaging from visit dates associated with serum samples was graded by the Wisconsin Reading Center for AMD features. Associations of eGFR with AMD features and severity grades, age, smoker status and rod-intercept time were investigated. Simple univariate analyses, age-corrected multivariate analyses, and a feature-selecting least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression were performed for eGFR as a continuous dependent variable. Results: A total of 110 patients (mean age, 75.1 ± 9.4 years; mean eGFR, 70.7 ± 18.2 mL/min/1.73 m2) were included. In univariate analyses age (estimate, -1.16 units/year; 95% confidence interval [CI], -1.46 to -0.87; P < 0.0001), rod-intercept time (estimate, -0.54 units/minute; 95% CI, -0.81 to -0.27; P < 0.001) and subretinal drusenoid deposits (-11.12 units for subretinal drusenoid deposit presence in either eye; 95% CI, -20.23 to -2.01; P = 0.017) were associated with decreased renal function. However, in age-corrected multivariate models, age was the only significant variable associated with renal function, confirmed by least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression. Conclusions: Accounting for age, renal function parameters did not show an association with AMD features. Translational Relevance: Bruch's membrane of the eye and the glomerular basement membrane of the kidney share physiologic similarities such that decreased renal function may demonstrate associations with AMD phenotypes.

Retinal Thinning in People With Well-Controlled HIV Infection.

BACKGROUND: Retinal measurements correlate with disease progression in patients with multiple sclerosis; however, whether they associate with neurologic disease in people with controlled HIV is unknown. Using spectral domain optical coherence tomography, we evaluated retinal differences between people with HIV and HIV-negative controls and investigated clinical correlates of retinal thinning. METHODS: People with HIV on antiretroviral therapy for at least 1 year and HIV-negative controls recruited from the same communities underwent spectral domain optical coherence tomography, ophthalmic examination, brain MRI, and neuropsychological testing. Retinal nerve fiber layer (RNFL) and ganglion cell inner plexiform layer (GC-IPL) thicknesses were compared between groups using analysis of covariance with relevant clinical variables as covariates. Linear regression was used to explore associations of HIV history variables, cognitive domain scores, and MRI volume measurements within the HIV group. RESULTS: The HIV group (n = 69), with long-duration HIV infection (median time from diagnosis 19 years) and outstanding viral control have thinner retinal layers than HIV-negative controls (n = 28), after adjusting for covariates (GC-IPL: P = 0.002; RNFL: P = 0.024). The effect of HIV on GC-IPL thickness was stronger in women than in men (Women: P = 0.011; Men: P = 0.126). GC-IPL thickness is associated with information processing speed in the HIV group (P = 0.007, semipartial r = 0.309). No associations were found with retinal thinning and MRI volumes or HIV factors. CONCLUSIONS: People with HIV on antiretroviral therapy have thinning of the RNFL and GC-IPL of the retina, and women particularly are affected to a greater degree. This retinal thinning was associated with worse performance on tests of information processing speed.

Long-term Outcomes of Adding Lutein/Zeaxanthin and ω-3 Fatty Acids to the AREDS Supplements on Age-Related Macular Degeneration Progression: AREDS2 Report 28.

Importance: After the Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 (AREDS2) study, the beta carotene component was replaced by lutein/zeaxanthin for the development of the revised AREDS supplement. However, it is unknown if the increased risk of lung cancer observed in those assigned beta carotene persists beyond the conclusion of the AREDS2 trial and if there is a benefit of adding lutein/zeaxanthin to the original AREDS supplement that can be observed with long-term follow-up. Objective: To assess 10-year risk of developing lung cancer and late age-related macular degeneration (AMD). Design, Setting, and Participants: This was a multicenter epidemiologic follow-up study of the AREDS2 clinical trial, conducted from December 1, 2012, to December 31, 2018. Included in the analysis were participants with bilateral or unilateral intermediate AMD for an additional 5 years after clinical trial. Eyes/participants were censored at the time of late AMD development, death, or loss to follow-up. Data were analyzed from November 2019 to March 2022. Interventions: During the clinical trial, participants were randomly assigned primarily to lutein/zeaxanthin and/or ω-3 fatty acids or placebo and secondarily to no beta carotene vs beta carotene and low vs high doses of zinc. In the epidemiologic follow-up study, all participants received AREDS2 supplements with lutein/zeaxanthin, vitamins C and E, and zinc plus copper. Outcomes were assessed at 6-month telephone calls. Analyses of AMD progression and lung cancer development were conducted using proportional hazards regression and logistic regression, respectively. Main Outcomes and Measures: Self-reported lung cancer and late AMD validated with medical records. Results: This study included 3882 participants (mean [SD] baseline age, 72.0 [7.7] years; 2240 women [57.7%]) and 6351 eyes. At 10 years, the odds ratio (OR) of having lung cancer was 1.82 (95% CI, 1.06-3.12; P = .02) for those randomly assigned to beta carotene and 1.15 (95% CI, 0.79-1.66; P = .46) for lutein/zeaxanthin. The hazard ratio (HR) for progression to late AMD comparing lutein/zeaxanthin with no lutein/zeaxanthin was 0.91 (95% CI, 0.84-0.99; P = .02) and comparing ω-3 fatty acids with no ω-3 fatty acids was 1.01 (95% CI, 0.93-1.09; P = .91). When the lutein/zeaxanthin main effects analysis was restricted to those randomly assigned to beta carotene, the HR was 0.80 (95% CI, 0.68-0.92; P = .002). A direct analysis of lutein/zeaxanthin vs beta carotene showed the HR for late AMD was 0.85 (95% CI, 0.73-0.98; P = .02). The HR for low vs high zinc was 1.04 (95% CI, 0.94-1.14; P = .49), and the HR for no beta carotene vs beta carotene was 1.04 (95% CI, 0.94-1.15; P = .48). Conclusions and Relevance: Results of this long-term epidemiologic follow-up study of the AREDS2 cohort suggest that lutein/zeaxanthin was an appropriate replacement for beta carotene in AREDS2 supplements. Beta carotene usage nearly doubled the risk of lung cancer, whereas there was no statistically significant increased risk with lutein/zeaxanthin. When compared with beta carotene, lutein/zeaxanthin had a potential beneficial association with late AMD progression.

Reticular Pseudodrusen: The Third Macular Risk Feature for Progression to Late Age-Related Macular Degeneration: Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 Report 30.

PURPOSE: To analyze reticular pseudodrusen (RPD) as an independent risk factor for progression to late age-related macular degeneration (AMD), alongside traditional macular risk factors (soft drusen and pigmentary abnormalities) considered simultaneously. DESIGN: Post hoc analysis of 2 clinical trial cohorts: Age-Related Eye Disease Study (AREDS) and AREDS2. PARTICIPANTS: Eyes with no late AMD at baseline in AREDS (6959 eyes, 3780 participants) and AREDS2 (3355 eyes, 2056 participants). METHODS: Color fundus photographs (CFPs) from annual visits were graded for soft drusen, pigmentary abnormalities, and late AMD. Presence of RPD was from grading of fundus autofluorescence images (AREDS2) and deep learning grading of CFPs (AREDS). Proportional hazards regression analyses were performed, considering AREDS AMD severity scales (modified simplified severity scale [person] and 9-step scale [eye]) and RPD presence simultaneously. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Progression to late AMD, geographic atrophy (GA), and neovascular AMD. RESULTS: In AREDS, for late AMD analyses by person, in a model considering the simplified severity scale simultaneously, RPD presence was associated with a higher risk of progression: hazard ratio (HR), 2.15 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.75-2.64). However, the risk associated with RPD presence differed at different severity scale levels: HR, 3.23 (95% CI, 1.60-6.51), HR, 3.81 (95% CI, 2.38-6.10), HR, 2.28 (95% CI, 1.59-3.27), and HR, 1.64 (95% CI, 1.20-2.24), at levels 0-1, 2, 3, and 4, respectively. Considering the 9-step scale (by eye), RPD presence was associated with higher risk: HR, 2.54 (95% CI, 2.07-3.13). The HRs were 5.11 (95% CI, 3.93-6.66) at levels 1-6 and 1.78 (95% CI, 1.43-2.22) at levels 7 and 8. In AREDS2, by person, RPD presence was not associated with higher risk: HR, 1.18 (95% CI, 0.90-1.56); by eye, it was HR, 1.57 (95% CI, 1.31-1.89). In both cohorts, RPD presence carried a higher risk for GA than neovascular AMD. CONCLUSIONS: Reticular pseudodrusen represent an important risk factor for progression to late AMD, particularly GA. However, the added risk varies markedly by severity level, with highly increased risk at lower/moderate levels and less increased risk at higher levels. Reticular pseudodrusen status should be included in updated AMD classification systems, risk calculators, and clinical trials.

Gene-level association analysis of ordinal traits with functional ordinal logistic regressions.

In this paper, we develop functional ordinal logistic regression (FOLR) models to perform gene-based analysis of ordinal traits. In the proposed FOLR models, genetic variant data are viewed as stochastic functions of physical positions and the genetic effects are treated as a function of physical positions. The FOLR models are built upon functional data analysis which can be revised to analyze the ordinal traits and high dimension genetic data. The proposed methods are capable of dealing with dense genotype data which is usually encountered in analyzing the next-generation sequencing data. The methods are flexible and can analyze three types of genetic data: (1) rare variants only, (2) common variants only, and (3) a combination of rare and common variants. Simulation studies show that the likelihood ratio test statistics of the FOLR models control type I errors well and have good power performance. The proposed methods achieve the goals of analyzing ordinal traits directly, reducing high dimensionality of dense genetic variants, being computationally manageable, facilitating model convergence, properly controlling type I errors, and maintaining high power levels. The FOLR models are applied to analyze Age-Related Eye Disease Study data, in which two genes are found to strongly associate with four ordinal traits.

Adherence to a Mediterranean Diet and Geographic Atrophy Enlargement Rate: Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 Report 29.

PURPOSE: To determine whether closer adherence to a Mediterranean diet was associated with altered speed of geographic atrophy (GA) enlargement. DESIGN: Post hoc analysis of a cohort within the Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2. PARTICIPANTS: The study included 1155 eyes (850 participants; mean age, 74.9 years) with GA at 2 or more visits. METHODS: Geographic atrophy area was measured from color fundus photographs at annual visits. An alternative Mediterranean Diet index (aMedi) was calculated for each participant by food frequency questionnaire. Mixed-model regression of square root GA area was performed by aMedi. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Change in square root of GA area over time. RESULTS: Over a mean follow-up of 3.1 years, the mean GA enlargement rate was 0.282 mm/year (95% confidence interval, 0.270-0.293). Enlargement was significantly slower in those with higher aMedi at 0.256 mm/year (0.236-0.276), 0.290 (0.268-0.311), and 0.298 (0.280-0.317; P = 0.008) for aMedi tertiles 3, 2, and 1, respectively. Of the 9 aMedi components considered separately, significant differences in enlargement rate were observed for 4 (whole fruit [P = 0.0004], red meat [P = 0.0002], alcohol [P = 0.006], and monounsaturated fatty acid to saturated fatty acid ratio ([MUFA:SFA] [P = 0.040]) but not for fish (P = 0.14). Enlargement was slower in those with higher whole fruit, lower red meat, moderate alcohol, and higher MUFA:SFA intake. In the 768 eyes with noncentral GA, aMedi was not associated with slower progression to central involvement: hazard ratios were 1.11 (0.83-1.48) and 0.95 (0.71-1.26) for tertiles 2 and 3, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: A Mediterranean-type diet was associated with slower GA enlargement. Diet patterns like this may therefore lead to clinically meaningful delays in vision loss. Several components seemed to contribute most to this association in a pattern that differed from those most associated with decreased progression to GA. Hence, the Mediterranean diet is associated with protection against both faster progression to GA and faster enlargement of GA but for partially distinct reasons. These findings may help inform evidence-based dietary recommendations. Understanding the mechanisms responsible may provide insights into the underlying biology and lead to the development of nutritional supplements.

MULTIMODAL ASSESSMENTS OF DRUSENOID PIGMENT EPITHELIAL DETACHMENTS IN THE AGE-RELATED EYE DISEASE STUDY 2 ANCILLARY SPECTRAL-DOMAIN OPTICAL COHERENCE TOMOGRAPHY STUDY COHORT.

PURPOSE: To identify features correlating with drusenoid pigment epithelial detachment (DPED) progression in the Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 Ancillary spectral-domain optical coherence tomography study cohort. METHODS: In this retrospective analysis of a prospective longitudinal study, eyes with intermediate age-related macular degeneration and DPEDs were followed longitudinally with annual multimodal imaging. RESULTS: Thirty-one eyes of 25 participants (mean age 72.6 years) in the Age-Related Eye Disease Study 2 Ancillary spectral-domain OCT substudy (A2A study) had DPED identified in color fundus images. Spectral-domain optical coherence tomography inspection confirmed a subretinal pigment epithelium drusenoid elevation of ≥433 µm diameter in 25 eyes (80.6%). Twenty-four of these eyes were followed longitudinally (median 4.0 years), during which 7 eyes (29.2%) underwent DPED collapse (with 3/7 further progressing to geographic atrophy), 6 (25.0%) developing neovascular age-related macular degeneration, and 11 (45.8%) maintaining DPED persistence without late age-related macular degeneration. On Kaplan-Meier analysis, mean time to DPED collapse was 3.9 years. Both DPED collapse and progression to neovascular age-related macular degeneration were preceded by the presence of hyperreflective foci over the DPED. CONCLUSION: The natural history of DPED comprises collapse (sometimes followed by the development of atrophy), vascularization followed by exudation, or DPED persistence. Spectral-domain optical coherence tomography can confirm retinal pigment epithelial elevation caused by drusenoid accumulation and facilitate the identification of high-risk features that correlate with progression.

Progression of Age-Related Macular Degeneration Among Individuals Homozygous for Risk Alleles on Chromosome 1 (CFH-CFHR5) or Chromosome 10 (ARMS2/HTRA1) or Both.

IMPORTANCE: Age-related macular degeneration (AMD) is a common cause of irreversible vision loss among individuals older than 50 years. Although considerable advances have been made in our understanding of AMD genetics, the differential effects of major associated loci on disease manifestation and progression may not be well characterized. OBJECTIVE: To elucidate the specific associations of the 2 most common genetic risk loci for AMD, the CFH-CFHR5 locus on chromosome 1q32 (Chr1) and the ARMS2/HTRA1 locus on chromosome 10q26 (Chr10)-independent of one another and in combination-with time to conversion to late-stage disease and to visual acuity loss. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This case series study included 502 individuals who were homozygous for risk variants at both Chr1 and Chr10 (termed Chr1&10-risk) or at either Chr1 (Chr1-risk) or Chr10 (Chr10-risk) and who had enrolled in Genetic and Molecular Studies of Eye Diseases at the Sharon Eccles Steele Center for Translational Medicine between September 2009 and March 2020. Multimodal imaging data were reviewed for AMD staging, including grading of incomplete and complete retinal pigment epithelium and outer retinal atrophy. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Hazard ratios and survival times for conversion to any late-stage AMD, atrophic or neovascular, and associated vision loss of 2 or more lines. RESULTS: In total, 317 participants in the Chr1-risk group (median [IQR] age at first visit, 75.6 [69.5-81.7] years; 193 women [60.9%]), 93 participants in the Chr10-risk group (median [IQR] age at first visit, 77.5 [72.2-84.2] years; 62 women [66.7%]), and 92 participants in the Chr1&10-risk group (median [IQR] age at first visit, 71.7 [68.0-76.3] years; 62 women [67.4%]) were included in the analyses. After adjusting for age and AMD grade at first visit, compared with 257 participants in the Chr1-risk group, 56 participants in the Chr1&10-risk group (factor of 3.3 [95% CI, 1.6-6.8]; P < .001) and 58 participants in the Chr10-risk group (factor of 2.6 [95% CI, 1.3-5.2]; P = .007) were more likely to convert to a late-stage phenotype during follow-up. This difference was mostly associated with conversion to macular neovascularization, which occurred earlier in participants with Chr1&10-risk and Chr10-risk. Eyes in the Chr1&10-risk group (median [IQR] survival, 5.7 [2.1-11.1] years) were 2.1 (95% CI, 1.1-3.9; P = .03) times as likely and eyes in the Chr10-risk group (median [IQR] survival, 6.3 [2.7-11.3] years) were 1.8 (95% CI, 1.0-3.1; P = .05) times as likely to experience a visual acuity loss of 2 or more lines compared with eyes of the Chr1-risk group (median [IQR] survival, 9.4 [4.1-* (asterisk indicates event rate did not reach 75%)] years). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: These findings suggest differential associations of the 2 major AMD-related risk loci with structural and functional disease progression and suggest distinct underlying biological mechanisms associated with these 2 loci. These genotype-phenotype associations may warrant consideration when designing and interpreting AMD research studies and clinical trials.

DeepLensNet: Deep Learning Automated Diagnosis and Quantitative Classification of Cataract Type and Severity.

PURPOSE: To develop deep learning models to perform automated diagnosis and quantitative classification of age-related cataract from anterior segment photographs. DESIGN: DeepLensNet was trained by applying deep learning models to the Age-Related Eye Disease Study (AREDS) dataset. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 18 999 photographs (6333 triplets) from longitudinal follow-up of 1137 eyes (576 AREDS participants). METHODS: Deep learning models were trained to detect and quantify nuclear sclerosis (NS; scale 0.9-7.1) from 45-degree slit-lamp photographs and cortical lens opacity (CLO; scale 0%-100%) and posterior subcapsular cataract (PSC; scale 0%-100%) from retroillumination photographs. DeepLensNet performance was compared with that of 14 ophthalmologists and 24 medical students. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Mean squared error (MSE). RESULTS: On the full test set, mean MSE for DeepLensNet was 0.23 (standard deviation [SD], 0.01) for NS, 13.1 (SD, 1.6) for CLO, and 16.6 (SD, 2.4) for PSC. On a subset of the test set (substantially enriched for positive cases of CLO and PSC), for NS, mean MSE for DeepLensNet was 0.23 (SD, 0.02), compared with 0.98 (SD, 0.24; P = 0.000001) for the ophthalmologists and 1.24 (SD, 0.34; P = 0.000005) for the medical students. For CLO, mean MSE was 53.5 (SD, 14.8), compared with 134.9 (SD, 89.9; P = 0.003) for the ophthalmologists and 433.6 (SD, 962.1; P = 0.0007) for the medical students. For PSC, mean MSE was 171.9 (SD, 38.9), compared with 176.8 (SD, 98.0; P = 0.67) for the ophthalmologists and 398.2 (SD, 645.4; P = 0.18) for the medical students. In external validation on the Singapore Malay Eye Study (sampled to reflect the cataract severity distribution in AREDS), the MSE for DeepSeeNet was 1.27 for NS and 25.5 for PSC. CONCLUSIONS: DeepLensNet performed automated and quantitative classification of cataract severity for all 3 types of age-related cataract. For the 2 most common types (NS and CLO), the accuracy was significantly superior to that of ophthalmologists; for the least common type (PSC), it was similar. DeepLensNet may have wide potential applications in both clinical and research domains. In the future, such approaches may increase the accessibility of cataract assessment globally. The code and models are available at https://github.com/ncbi/deeplensnet.