Alcohol is neither a risk factor nor a protective factor for sudden cardiac death and/or fatal ventricular arrhythmia; a population-based study with genetic traits and alcohol consumption in UK Biobank.

BACKGROUND: The association between alcohol consumption and risk of sudden cardiac death and/or fatal ventricular arrhythmia remains controversial. OBJECTIVE: We analyzed the association between alcohol consumption, genetic traits for alcohol metabolism, and the risk of sudden cardiac death and/or fatal ventricular arrhythmia. METHODS: We identified 397,164 subjects enrolled between 2006 and 2010 from the UK Biobank database and followed them until 2021. Alcohol consumption was categorized as current nondrinkers (nondrinkers and ex-drinkers), mild drinkers, moderate drinkers, or heavy drinkers. Genetic traits of alcohol metabolism were stratified according to the polygenic risk score tertiles. The primary and secondary outcomes were a composite of sudden cardiac death and fatal ventricular arrhythmia, as well as their individual components. RESULTS: During the follow-up (median 12.5 years), 3,543 cases of clinical outcomes occurred. Although mild, moderate, and heavy drinkers showed deceased risks of outcomes compared with current non-drinkers, there was no prognostic difference among non-drinkers, mild drinkers, moderate drinkers, and heavy drinkers. Ex-drinkers showed increased risk in the univariate analysis, but the significance was attenuated after adjusting covariates (hazard ratio (HR) 1.19; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.94-1.50). As a continuous variable, alcohol consumption was not associated with clinical outcomes (HR 1.01; 95% CI 0.99-1.02). Consistent with these findings, there was no association between genetic traits for alcohol metabolism, and the risk of clinical outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: Alcohol consumption was neither a protective nor a risk factor for sudden cardiac death or fatal ventricular arrhythmia. Genetic traits of alcohol metabolism were not associated with the clinical prognosis.

Correction: Three-Day Monitoring of Adhesive Single-Lead Electrocardiogram Patch for Premature Ventricular Complex: Prospective Study for Diagnosis Validation and Evaluation of Burden Fluctuation.

[This corrects the article DOI: 10.2196/46098.].

Association between body mass index and results of cryoballoon ablation in Korean patients with atrial fibrillation: an analysis from the Korean Heart Rhythm Society Cryoablation registry.

AIMS: Pulmonary vein isolation using cryoablation is effective and safe in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). Although both obesity and underweight are associated with a higher risk for incident AF, there is limited data on the efficacy and safety following cryoablation according to body mass index (BMI) especially in Asians. METHODS AND RESULTS: Using the Korean Heart Rhythm Society Cryoablation registry, a multicentre registry of 12 tertiary hospitals, we analysed AF recurrence and procedure-related complications after cryoablation by BMI (kg/m2) groups (BMI < 18.5, underweight, UW; 18.5-23, normal, NW; 23-25, overweight, OW; 25-30, obese Ⅰ, OⅠ; ≥30, obese Ⅱ, OⅡ). A total of 2648 patients were included (median age 62.0 years; 76.7% men; 55.6% non-paroxysmal AF). Patients were categorized by BMI groups: 0.9% UW, 18.7% NW, 24.8% OW, 46.1% OI, and 9.4% OII. Underweight patients were the oldest and had least percentage of non-paroxysmal AF (33.3%). During a median follow-up of 1.7 years, atrial arrhythmia recurred in 874 (33.0%) patients (incidence rate, 18.9 per 100 person-years). After multivariable adjustment, the risk of AF recurrence was higher in UW group compared with NW group (adjusted hazard ratio, 95% confidence interval; 2.55, 1.18-5.50, P = 0.02). Procedure-related complications occurred in 123 (4.7%) patients, and the risk was higher for UW patients (odds ratio, 95% confidence interval; 2.90, 0.94-8.99, P = 0.07), mainly due to transient phrenic nerve palsy. CONCLUSION: Underweight patients showed a higher risk of AF recurrence after cryoablation compared with NW patients. Also, careful attention is needed on the occurrence of phrenic nerve palsy in UW patients.

Three-Day Monitoring of Adhesive Single-Lead Electrocardiogram Patch for Premature Ventricular Complex: Prospective Study for Diagnosis Validation and Evaluation of Burden Fluctuation.

BACKGROUND: Wearable electrocardiogram (ECG) monitoring devices are used worldwide. However, data on the diagnostic yield of an adhesive single-lead ECG patch (SEP) to detect premature ventricular complex (PVC) and the optimal duration of wearing an SEP for PVC burden assessment are limited. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to validate the diagnostic yield of an SEP (mobiCARE MC-100, Seers Technology) for PVC detection and evaluate the PVC burden variation recorded by the SEP over a 3-day monitoring period. METHODS: This is a prospective study of patients with documented PVC on a 12-lead ECG. Patients underwent simultaneous ECG monitoring with the 24-hour Holter monitor and SEP on the first day. On the subsequent second and third days, ECG monitoring was continued using only SEP, and a 3-day extended monitoring was completed. The diagnostic yield of SEP for PVC detection was evaluated by comparison with the results obtained on the first day of Holter monitoring. The PVC burden monitored by SEP for 3 days was used to assess the daily and 6-hour PVC burden variations. The number of patients additionally identified to reach PVC thresholds of 10%, 15%, and 20% during the 3-day extended monitoring by SEP and the clinical factors associated with the higher PVC burden variations were explored. RESULTS: The recruited data of 134 monitored patients (mean age, 54.6 years; males, 45/134, 33.6%) were analyzed. The median daily PVC burden of these patients was 2.4% (IQR 0.2%-10.9%), as measured by the Holter monitor, and 3.3% (IQR 0.3%-11.7%), as measured in the 3-day monitoring by SEP. The daily PVC burden detected on the first day of SEP was in agreement with that of the Holter monitor: the mean difference was -0.07%, with 95% limits of agreement of -1.44% to 1.30%. A higher PVC burden on the first day was correlated with a higher daily (R2=0.34) and 6-hour burden variation (R2=0.48). Three-day monitoring by SEP identified 29% (12/42), 18% (10/56), and 7% (4/60) more patients reaching 10%, 15%, and 20% of daily PVC burden, respectively. Younger age was additionally associated with the identification of clinically significant PVC burden during the extended monitoring period (P=.02). CONCLUSIONS: We found that the mobiCARE MC-100 SEP accurately detects PVC with comparable diagnostic yield to the 24-hour Holter monitor. Performing 3-day PVC monitoring with SEP, especially among younger patients, may offer a pragmatic alternative for identifying more individuals exceeding the clinically significant PVC burden threshold.

Effect of physical activity on incident atrial fibrillation in individuals with varying duration of diabetes: a nationwide population study.

BACKGROUND: Diabetes mellitus (DM) duration affects incident atrial fibrillation (AF) risk; the effect of physical activity on mitigating AF risk related to varying DM duration remains unknown. We assessed the effect of physical activity on incident AF in patients with DM with respect to known DM duration. METHODS: Patients with type 2 DM who underwent the Korean National Health Insurance Service health examination in 2015-2016 were grouped by DM duration: new onset and < 5, 5-9, and ≥ 10 years. Physical activity was classified into four levels: 0, < 500, 500-999, 1,000-1,499, and ≥ 1,500 metabolic equivalent task (MET)-min/week, with the primary outcome being new-onset AF. RESULTS: The study enrolled 2,392,486 patients (aged 59.3 ± 12.0 years, 39.8% female) with an average follow-up of 3.9 ± 0.8 years and mean DM duration of 5.3 ± 5.1 years. Greater physical activity was associated with a lower AF risk. Lowering of incident AF risk varied with different amounts of physical activity in relation to known DM duration. Among patients with new-onset DM, DM duration < 5 years and 5-9 years and 1,000-1,499 MET-min/week exhibited the lowest AF risk. Physical activity ≥ 1,500 MET-min/week was associated with the lowest incident AF risk in patients with DM duration ≥ 10 years (by 15%), followed DM duration of 5-9 years (12%) and < 5 years (9%) (p-for-interaction = 0.002). CONCLUSIONS: Longer DM duration was associated with a high risk of incident AF, while increased physical activity generally reduced AF risk. Engaging in > 1,500 MET-min/week was associated with the greatest AF risk reduction in patients with longer DM duration, highlighting the potential benefits of higher activity levels for AF prevention.

Accelerometer-derived physical activity and the risk of death, heart failure, and stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation: a prospective study from UK Biobank.

OBJECTIVE: Data on cardiovascular outcomes according to objectively measured physical activity (PA) in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) are scarce. This study explored the associations between PA derived from wrist-worn accelerometers and the risk of death, incident heart failure (HF), and incident stroke in patients with AF. METHODS: From 37 990 patients with AF in UK Biobank, 2324 patients with accelerometer data were included. Weekly moderate-to-vigorous PA (MVPA) duration was computed from accelerometer data. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality. Secondary outcomes were cardiovascular mortality, incident HF, and incident stroke. Restricted cubic splines estimated the dose-response associations between MVPA duration and the outcomes. The adjusted HRs (aHRs) of the outcomes according to adherence to PA standard guidelines (performing MVPA≥150 min/week) were also evaluated. RESULTS: The mean age was 66.9±6.2 years and 64.9% were male. During a median follow-up of 6.7 years, there were 181 all-cause deaths, 62 cardiovascular deaths, 225 cases of incident HF, and 91 cases of incident stroke; the overall incidence rate per 1000 patient-years was 11.76, 4.03, 15.16 and 5.99, respectively. There was a linear inverse dose-response relationship between MVPA (≥108 min/week) and all-cause mortality. Performing MVPA for 105-590 min/week was associated with a lower risk of HF than those with no measurable MVPA. The risk of stroke and cardiovascular mortality was not associated with MVPA. Performing guideline-adherent MVPA was related to a 30% lower risk of all-cause mortality (aHR: 0.70 (0.50-0.98), p=0.04) and 33% lower risk of HF (aHR 0.67 (0.49-0.93), p=0.02). CONCLUSION: In patients with AF, accelerometer-derived PA data supports lower risks of all-cause mortality and HF according to a greater level of MVPA and adherence to PA guidelines. Regular MVPA should be encouraged in patients with AF as a part of integrated management.

Neuroticism and the Risk of Atrial Fibrillation: An Observational Epidemiologic and Mendelian Randomization Study.

Background: The association between neuroticism and atrial fibrillation (AF) remains unknown. Objectives: This study aimed to assess the epidemiological and causal relationships between neuroticism and AF. Methods: Individuals without AF history were selected From the UK Biobank nationwide prospective cohort study. Participants were divided into 2 groups (high and low) based on the median summary score from a self-questionnaire of 12 neurotic behavior domains. The 10-year AF risk was compared between the neuroticism score groups using inverse probability of treatment weighting. The causal relationship between neuroticism and AF was evaluated using a 2-sample summary-level Mendelian randomization with the inverse variance-weighted method. Results: Of 394,834 participants (mean age 56.3 ± 8.1 years, 45.9% male), AF occurred in 23,509 (6.0%) during a 10-year follow-up. The risk of incident AF significantly increased in the high neuroticism score group (score ≥4) (inverse probability of treatment weighting-adjusted HR: 1.05; 95% CI: 1.02-1.09; P = 0.005) compared with the low neuroticism group. In the subgroup analysis, younger age, lower body mass index, or nonsmoker/ex-smoker participants were particularly susceptible to increased AF risk due to high neuroticism scores. A Mendelian randomization analysis showed a significant causal relationship between an increase in neuroticism score and increased risk of AF (OR by inverse variance-weighted method 1.06; 95% CI: 1.02-1.11; P = 0.007) without evidence of reverse causality. Conclusions: There was a significant longitudinal and causal relationship between neuroticism and AF. An integrated care including active mental health screening and management may benefit in high-risk populations.

Reduction of Upper Gastrointestinal Bleeding Risk With Proton Pump Inhibitor Therapy in Asian Patients With Atrial Fibrillation Receiving Direct Oral Anticoagulant: A Nationwide Population-based Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: In patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) receiving direct oral anticoagulant (DOAC), upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB) is a serious complication. There are limited data on the benefit of preventive proton pump inhibitor (PPI) use to reduce the risk of UGIB in DOAC users. METHODS: We included patients with AF receiving DOAC from 2015 to 2020 based on the Korean Health Insurance Review and Assessment database. The propensity score (PS) weighting method was used to compare patients with PPI use and those without PPI use. The primary outcome was hospitalization for UGIB. Weighted hazard ratios (HRs) and corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were evaluated using the Cox proportional hazards regression model. RESULTS: A total of 165,624 patients were included (mean age: 72.2 ± 10.8 years; mean CHA2DS2-VASc score: 4.3 ± 1.8; mean HAS-BLED score: 3.3 ± 1.2). Among them, 99,868 and 65,756 were in the non-PPI group and PPI group, respectively. During a median follow-up of 1.5 years, the PPI group was associated with lower risks of hospitalization for UGIB and UGIB requiring red blood cell transfusion than non-PPI group (weighted HR, 0.825; 95% CI, 0.761-0.894 and 0.798; 95% CI, 0.717-0.887, respectively, both P < .001). The benefits of PPI on the risk of hospitalization for UGIB were greater in those with older age (≥75 years), higher HAS-BLED score (≥3), prior GIB history, and concomitant use of antiplatelet agent (all P-for-interaction < .1). Low-dose PPI was consistently associated with a lower risk of significant UGIB by 43.6-49.3% (P < .001). CONCLUSIONS: In this large Asian cohort of patients with AF on DOAC, PPI co-therapy is beneficial for reducing the risk of hospitalization for UGIB, particularly in high-risk patients.

Clonal haematopoiesis of indeterminate potential and atrial fibrillation: an east Asian cohort study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Both clonal haematopoiesis of indeterminate potential (CHIP) and atrial fibrillation (AF) are age-related conditions. This study investigated the potential role of CHIP in the development and progression of AF. METHODS: Deep-targeted sequencing of 24 CHIP mutations (a mean depth of coverage = 1000×) was performed in 1004 patients with AF and 3341 non-AF healthy subjects. Variant allele fraction ≥ 2.0% indicated the presence of CHIP mutations. The association between CHIP and AF was evaluated by the comparison of (i) the prevalence of CHIP mutations between AF and non-AF subjects and (ii) clinical characteristics discriminated by CHIP mutations within AF patients. Furthermore, the risk of clinical outcomes-the composite of heart failure, ischaemic stroke, or death-according to the presence of CHIP mutations in AF was investigated from the UK Biobank cohort. RESULTS: The mean age was 67.6 ± 6.9 vs. 58.5 ± 6.5 years in AF (paroxysmal, 39.0%; persistent, 61.0%) and non-AF cohorts, respectively. CHIP mutations with a variant allele fraction of ≥2.0% were found in 237 (23.6%) AF patients (DNMT3A, 13.5%; TET2, 6.6%; and ASXL1, 1.5%) and were more prevalent than non-AF subjects [356 (10.7%); P < .001] across the age. After multivariable adjustment (age, sex, smoking, body mass index, diabetes, and hypertension), CHIP mutations were 1.4-fold higher in AF [adjusted odds ratio (OR) 1.38; 95% confidence interval 1.10-1.74, P < .01]. The ORs of CHIP mutations were the highest in the long-standing persistent AF (adjusted OR 1.50; 95% confidence interval 1.14-1.99, P = .004) followed by persistent (adjusted OR 1.44) and paroxysmal (adjusted OR 1.33) AF. In gene-specific analyses, TET2 somatic mutation presented the highest association with AF (adjusted OR 1.65; 95% confidence interval 1.05-2.60, P = .030). AF patients with CHIP mutations were older and had a higher prevalence of diabetes, a longer AF duration, a higher E/E', and a more severely enlarged left atrium than those without CHIP mutations (all P < .05). In UK Biobank analysis of 21 286 AF subjects (1297 with CHIP and 19 989 without CHIP), the CHIP mutation in AF is associated with a 1.32-fold higher risk of a composite clinical event (heart failure, ischaemic stroke, or death). CONCLUSIONS: CHIP mutations, primarily DNMT3A or TET2, are more prevalent in patients with AF than non-AF subjects whilst their presence is associated with a more progressive nature of AF and unfavourable clinical outcomes.

Association between antithrombotic therapy after stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation and the risk of net clinical outcome: an observational cohort study.

AIMS: Data on the optimal use of antithrombotic drugs and associated clinical outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) and acute ischaemic stroke (IS) are limited. We investigated the prescription patterns of antithrombotics in community practice and long-term clinical prognosis according to early post-stroke antithrombotic therapy in patients with AF and acute IS. METHODS AND RESULTS: Patients with AF who were admitted for acute IS at a single tertiary hospital in 2010-2020 were retrospectively reviewed. Clinical profiles including the aetiology of stroke and prescription patterns of antithrombotics were identified. The net clinical outcome (NCO)-the composite of recurrent stroke, any bleeding, hospitalization or emergency department visits for cardiovascular (CV) events, and death-was compared according to the antithrombotic therapy at the first outpatient clinic visit [oral anticoagulation (OAC) alone vs. antiplatelet (APT) alone vs. OAC/APT(s)] following discharge. A total of 918 patients with AF and acute IS (mean age, 72.6 years; male, 59.3%; mean CHA2DS2-VASc score 3.3) were analysed. One-third (33.9%, n = 310) of patients were simultaneously diagnosed with AF and IS. The most common aetiology of IS was cardioembolism (71.2%), followed by undetermined aetiology (19.8%) and large artery atherosclerosis (6.0%). OAC, APT(s), and concomitant OAC and APT(s) were prescribed in 33.4%, 11.1%, and 53.4% of patients during admission that changed to 67.0%, 9.1%, and 21.7% at the first outpatient clinic, and were mostly continued up to one year after IS. Non-prescription of OAC was observed in 11.3% of post-stroke patients with AF. During a median follow-up of 2.1 years, the overall incidence rate of NCO per 100 patient-year (PY) was 20.14. APT(s) monotherapy presented the highest cumulative risk of NCO (adjusted hazard ratio 1.47, 95% confidence interval 1.08-2.00, P = 0.015; with reference to OAC monotherapy) mainly driven by the highest rates of recurrent stroke and any bleeding. OAC/APT(s) combination therapy was associated with a 1.62-fold significantly higher risk of recurrent stroke (P = 0.040) and marginally higher risk of any bleeding than OAC monotherapy. CONCLUSION: Approximately one-third of acute IS in AF have a distinctive mechanism from cardioembolism. Although APT was frequently prescribed in post-stroke patients with AF, no additive clinical benefit was observed. Adherence to OAC treatment is essential to prevent further CV adverse events in patients with AF and IS.

Impact of Unhealthy Lifestyles on Patients with Atrial Fibrillation at Low Risk of Stroke: A Nationwide Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: The impact of unhealthy lifestyles on clinical outcomes among patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) who are at low risk of stroke remains uncertain. The study objective was to evaluate the association between unhealthy lifestyles and clinical outcomes among low-risk AF patients with 0-1 non-sex risk factor of the CHA2DS2-VASc (Congestive heart failure, Hypertension, Age ≥75 years, Diabetes mellitus, prior Stroke or transient ischemic attack [TIA], Vascular disease, Age 65-74 years, female Sex;) score. METHODS: A total of 52,451 low-risk AF patients (mean age 51.6 ± 10.4 years) were evaluated with the National Health Insurance Service of the Republic of Korea database between 2009 and 2016. Using the survey on health habits, an unhealthy lifestyle score (ULS) was calculated by adding one point each if a respondent had a sedentary lifestyle, drinking, or smoking. The primary outcome was the composite of myocardial infarction, ischemic stroke, heart failure, and all-cause death. Multivariable Cox regression analysis was used to estimate the risk of the study outcome according to the ULS. RESULTS: There was a total of 12,792 (24.4%), 24,785 (47.3%), 11,602 (22.1%), and 3272 (6.2%) low-risk AF patients with 0 to 3 points of the ULS, respectively. The median follow-up period was 4.1 (2.1-6.1) years. Compared with the healthiest-lifestyle group (ULS 0), the other groups were associated with significantly higher risks of the primary outcome, with a gradually increasing trend according to the ULS (adjusted hazard ratio [95% confidence interval] =1.17 [1.05-1.31], 1.37 [1.21-1.56], 1.82 [1.53-2.17], for the groups with ULS 1, 2, and 3, respectively). CONCLUSION: Unhealthy lifestyles, including a sedentary lifestyle, drinking, and smoking, may synergistically impact poor clinical outcomes in AF patients who are deemed to be at low risk of stroke.

Risk of newly developed atrial fibrillation by alcohol consumption differs according to genetic predisposition to alcohol metabolism: a large-scale cohort study with UK Biobank.

BACKGROUND: The predictive relationship between mild-to-moderate alcohol consumption and the risk of incident atrial fibrillation (AF) remains controversial. OBJECTIVE: We investigated whether the relationship between alcohol consumption and the risk of incident AF could be associated with the genetic predisposition to alcohol metabolism. METHODS: A total of 399,329 subjects with genetic data from the UK Biobank database, enrolled between 2006 and 2010, were identified and followed for incident AF until 2021. Genetic predisposition to alcohol metabolism was stratified according to the polygenic risk score (PRS) tertiles. Alcohol consumption was categorized as non-drinkers, mild-to-moderate drinkers (< 30 g/day), and heavy drinkers (≥ 30 g/day). RESULTS: During the follow-up (median 12.2 years), 19,237 cases of AF occurred. When stratified by PRS tertiles, there was a significant relationship between genetic predisposition to alcohol metabolism and actual alcohol consumption habits (P < 0.001). Mild-to-moderate drinkers showed a decreased risk of AF (HR 0.96, 95% CI 0.92-0.99), and heavy drinkers showed an increased risk of AF (HR 1.06, 95% CI 1.02-1.10) compared to non-drinkers. When stratified according to PRS tertiles for genetic predisposition to alcohol metabolism, mild-to-moderate drinkers had equivalent AF risks, and heavy drinkers showed increased AF risk in the low PRS tertile group. However, mild-to-moderate drinkers had decreased AF risks and heavy drinkers showed similar risks of AF in the middle/high PRS tertile groups. CONCLUSIONS: Differential associations between alcohol consumption habits and incident AF across genetic predisposition to alcohol metabolism were observed; individuals with genetic predisposition to low alcohol metabolism were more susceptible to AF.

Novel laparoscopic renal denervation immediately reduces atrial fibrillation inducibility: a swine model study.

Catheter-based approaches may have inherent limitations in achieving effective renal denervation (RDN) and treatment of atrial fibrillation (AF). This study aimed to investigate the acute effects of novel laparoscopic RDN on modulating AF inducibility using a swine model. Four and five swine were randomly allocated to the sham and RDN groups, respectively. Each swine underwent measurement of the atrial effective refractory period (AERP) and AF induction tests using burst atrial pacing before and immediately after sham or RDN procedures with and without vagal nerve stimulation (VNS). A laparoscopic RDN procedure circumferentially ablated the renal nerves round the renal arteries using radiofrequency energy. There was no significant difference in the baseline AERP between the two groups (p > 0.05). Under VNS, AERP was significantly increased by 20 ms after laparoscopic RDN (95% CI = 0-30, p = 0.004). Compared to the sham group, the RDN group showed significantly reduced AF inducibility [OR (95% CI) = 0.32 (0.13-0.76) and 0.24 (0.11-0.57) with and without VNS, respectively]. After laparoscopic RDN, the duration of inducible AF episodes was significantly shortened from 28 (10-77) s to 7 (3-11) s (p < 0.001). The novel laparoscopic RDN can immediately reduce AF inducibility in a swine model.

Impact of components of metabolic syndrome on the risk of adverse renal outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation: a nationwide cohort study.

Background: The renal effect of metabolic syndrome components is unclear in patients with atrial fibrillation. This study aimed to investigate the association between metabolic syndrome components and incident end-stage renal disease among patients with atrial fibrillation. Methods: A total of 202,434 atrial fibrillation patients without prevalent end-stage renal disease were identified from the National Health Insurance Service database between 2009 and 2016. We defined the metabolic score range from 0 to 5 points such that a patient received every 1 point if the patient met each component listed in the diagnostic criteria of metabolic syndrome. The population was divided into 6 groups: MS0-MS5 for a metabolic score of 0-5, respectively. Multivariate Cox regression analysis was used to estimate the risks of end-stage renal disease. Results: There were 12,747, 31,059, 40,361, 48,068, 46,630, and 23,569 patients for MS0-MS5, respectively. Compared with MS0, MS5 had a higher CHA2DS2-VASc score (3.8 vs. 1.0) (P < .001). During a median follow-up of 3.5 years, compared with MS0, MS1-MS5 were associated with a gradually increasing incidence of end-stage renal disease, in relation to an increase in the metabolic score, (log-rank P < .001). After multivariate adjustment, a higher metabolic score was associated with a greater risk of incident end-stage renal disease: adjusted hazard ratio [95% confidence interval] = 1.60 [0.78-3.48], 2.08 [1.01-4.31], 2.94 [1.43-6.06], 3.71 [1.80-7.66], and 4.82 [2.29-10.15], for MS1-MS5, respectively. Conclusions: Metabolic syndrome components additively impacts the risk of incident end-stage renal disease among patients with atrial fibrillation.

Early rhythm control on diabetes-related complications and mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus and atrial fibrillation.

AIMS: We evaluated the impact of early rhythm control (ERC) on diabetes-related complications and mortality in subjects with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) and atrial fibrillation (AF). METHODS: This observational cohort study based on the Korean National Health Insurance Service claims database from 2009 to 2016, divided newly diagnosed AF patients with T2DM into ERC or usual care groups based on receiving rhythm control treatment within 1 year of AF diagnosis. The primary outcome was ischemic stroke, and the secondary outcomes were macro/microvascular complications, and all-cause death. RESULTS: Among 47,509 subjects (mean age 66.7 ± 10.5 years; 61.8 % men; mean CHA2DS2-VASc score 4.6 ± 1.8; mean follow-up 4.3 ± 2.3 years; mean DM duration 5.6 ± 4.7 years), 23.1 % received ERC, and 76.9 % did not (usual care group). ERC was associated with lower risks of ischemic stroke, macrovascular and microvascular complications, and all-cause death compared to usual care (adjusted hazard ratios [95 % confidence interval]: 0.77 [0.70-0.85], 0.79 [0.73-0.86], 0.86 [0.82-0.90], and 0.92 [0.87-0.98], p < 0.001, <0.001, <0.001, and 0.012, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Early rhythm control was associated with reduced risks of diabetes-related complications and mortality in subjects with T2DM and AF. Rhythm control within 1 year of AF diagnosis with proper anticoagulation should be considered to prevent adverse outcomes.

Association Between Atrial Fibrillation and Diabetes-Related Complications: A Nationwide Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to investigate the associations between concurrent atrial fibrillation and diabetes-related complications among patients with diabetes. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: This nationwide observational cohort study used the health checkup database from the Korean National Health Insurance Service. Patients diagnosed with diabetes who underwent health checkups between 2009 and 2012 were investigated. The patients with atrial fibrillation were matched in a 1:5 ratio with those without atrial fibrillation using propensity scores. Study outcomes included macrovascular, microvascular (diabetic retinopathy and diabetic nephropathy), and diabetic foot complications. The risks of clinical outcomes were measured using hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% CIs. RESULTS: A total of 65,760 patients with diabetes were analyzed (54,800 without atrial fibrillation and 10,960 with atrial fibrillation). After well-balanced propensity score matching, atrial fibrillation was associated with significantly higher risks of macrovascular complications (HR 1.12, 95% CI 1.09-1.16), diabetic nephropathy (HR 1.23, 95% CI 1.16-1.30), and diabetic foot complications (HR 1.13, 95% CI 1.09-1.17) compared with no atrial fibrillation, while the risk of diabetic retinopathy was comparable (HR 0.99, 95% CI 0.96-1.03). Patients with atrial fibrillation had a significantly higher risk of diabetic foot amputation (HR 4.12, 95% CI 1.98-8.56). CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with diabetes, concurrent atrial fibrillation was associated with increased risks for diabetes-related macrovascular complications, diabetic nephropathy, and diabetic foot. Such patients require holistic management to reduce the risk of adverse outcomes.

Machine Learning Prediction for the Recurrence After Electrical Cardioversion of Patients With Persistent Atrial Fibrillation.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: There is limited evidence regarding machine-learning prediction for the recurrence of atrial fibrillation (AF) after electrical cardioversion (ECV). This study aimed to predict the recurrence of AF after ECV using machine learning of clinical features and electrocardiograms (ECGs) in persistent AF patients. METHODS: We analyzed patients who underwent successful ECV for persistent AF. Machine learning was designed to predict patients with 1-month recurrence. Individual 12-lead ECGs were collected before and after ECV. Various clinical features were collected and trained the extreme gradient boost (XGBoost)-based model. Ten-fold cross-validation was used to evaluate the performance of the model. The performance was compared to the C-statistics of the selected clinical features. RESULTS: Among 718 patients (mean age 63.5±9.3 years, men 78.8%), AF recurred in 435 (60.6%) patients after 1 month. With the XGBoost-based model, the areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUROCs) were 0.57, 0.60, and 0.63 if the model was trained by clinical features, ECGs, and both (the final model), respectively. For the final model, the sensitivity, specificity, and F1-score were 84.7%, 28.2%, and 0.73, respectively. Although the AF duration showed the best predictive performance (AUROC, 0.58) among the clinical features, it was significantly lower than that of the final machine-learning model (p<0.001). Additional training of extended monitoring data of 15-minute single-lead ECG and photoplethysmography in available patients (n=261) did not significantly improve the model's performance. CONCLUSIONS: Machine learning showed modest performance in predicting AF recurrence after ECV in persistent AF patients, warranting further validation studies.

The effect of non-optimal lipids on the progression of coronary artery calcification in statin-naïve young adults: results from KOICA registry.

Background: Despite the importance of attaining optimal lipid levels from a young age to secure long-term cardiovascular health, the detailed impact of non-optimal lipid levels in young adults on coronary artery calcification (CAC) is not fully explored. We sought to investigate the risk of CAC progression as per lipid profiles and to demonstrate lipid optimality in young adults. Methods: From the KOrea Initiative on Coronary Artery calcification (KOICA) registry that was established in six large volume healthcare centers in Korea, 2,940 statin-naïve participants aged 20-45 years who underwent serial coronary calcium scans for routine health check-ups between 2002 and 2017 were included. The study outcome was CAC progression, which was assessed by the square root method. The risk of CAC progression was analyzed according to the lipid optimality and each lipid parameter. Results: In this retrospective cohort (mean age, 41.3 years; men 82.4%), 477 participants (16.2%) had an optimal lipid profile, defined as triglycerides <150 mg/dl, LDL cholesterol <100 mg/dl, and HDL cholesterol >60 mg/dl. During follow-up (median, 39.7 months), CAC progression was observed in 434 participants (14.8%), and more frequent in the non-optimal lipid group (16.5% vs. 5.7%; p < 0.001). Non-optimal lipids independently increased the risk of CAC progression [adjusted hazard ratio (aHR), 1.97; p = 0.025], in a dose-dependent manner. Even in relatively low-risk participants with an initial calcium score of zero (aHR, 2.13; p = 0.014), in their 20 s or 30 s (aHR 2.15; p = 0.041), and without other risk factors (aHR 1.45; p = 0.038), similar results were demonstrable. High triglycerides had the greatest impact on CAC progression in this young adult population. Conclusion: Non-optimal lipid levels were significantly associated with the risk of CAC progression in young adults, even at low-risk. Screening and intervention for non-optimal lipid levels, particularly triglycerides, from an early age might be of clinical value.

Neuroticism and sudden cardiac death: a prospective cohort study from UK biobank.

OBJECTIVE: There is a paucity of evidence on the risk of sudden cardiac death (SCD) according to the degree of neuroticism. We sought to evaluate the association between neuroticism and the long-term risk of SCD. METHODS: From the UK Biobank nationwide prospective cohort, participants free from previous SCD, ventricular arrhythmias, implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) insertion, depression, schizophrenia, and bipolar disorder were selected. The 12-item scale of neuroticism measurement (neuroticism score) was categorized into high (≥ 3) and low (< 3) groups. The primary outcome was SCD including ventricular fibrillation (VF) at median 12.6 years of follow-up. The outcomes were compared between the groups using multivariable Cox regression and inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW). RESULTS: A total of 377,563 participants (aged 56.5 ± 8.1, 53.1% women) were analyzed. The high neuroticism score group had a significantly lower risk of SCD (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] = 0.87, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.79-0.96, P = 0.007; IPTW-adjusted HR [IPTW-HR] 0.87 [0.77-0.97], P = 0.016) than the low neuroticism score group. The effect of a high neuroticism score on the decreased risk of SCD was more prominent in women (IPTW-HR 0.71 [0.56-0.89], P = 0.003) than in men (IPTW-HR 0.93 [0.82-1.07], P = 0.305, P-for-interaction = 0.043). Sex differences were observed among independent predictors for incident SCD, emphasizing the protective role of a high neuroticism score and moderate-to-vigorous physical activity only in women. CONCLUSIONS: A high neuroticism score was significantly associated with a lower risk of SCD, particularly in women. Efforts to unveil the causal and mechanistic relationship between personality phenotypes and the risk of SCD should be continued.