A Randomized, Controlled Trial of Ebola Virus Disease Therapeutics.

BACKGROUND: Although several experimental therapeutics for Ebola virus disease (EVD) have been developed, the safety and efficacy of the most promising therapies need to be assessed in the context of a randomized, controlled trial. METHODS: We conducted a trial of four investigational therapies for EVD in the Democratic Republic of Congo, where an outbreak began in August 2018. Patients of any age who had a positive result for Ebola virus RNA on reverse-transcriptase-polymerase-chain-reaction assay were enrolled. All patients received standard care and were randomly assigned in a 1:1:1:1 ratio to intravenous administration of the triple monoclonal antibody ZMapp (the control group), the antiviral agent remdesivir, the single monoclonal antibody MAb114, or the triple monoclonal antibody REGN-EB3. The REGN-EB3 group was added in a later version of the protocol, so data from these patients were compared with those of patients in the ZMapp group who were enrolled at or after the time the REGN-EB3 group was added (the ZMapp subgroup). The primary end point was death at 28 days. RESULTS: A total of 681 patients were enrolled from November 20, 2018, to August 9, 2019, at which time the data and safety monitoring board recommended that patients be assigned only to the MAb114 and REGN-EB3 groups for the remainder of the trial; the recommendation was based on the results of an interim analysis that showed superiority of these groups to ZMapp and remdesivir with respect to mortality. At 28 days, death had occurred in 61 of 174 patients (35.1%) in the MAb114 group, as compared with 84 of 169 (49.7%) in the ZMapp group (P = 0.007), and in 52 of 155 (33.5%) in the REGN-EB3 group, as compared with 79 of 154 (51.3%) in the ZMapp subgroup (P = 0.002). A shorter duration of symptoms before admission and lower baseline values for viral load and for serum creatinine and aminotransferase levels each correlated with improved survival. Four serious adverse events were judged to be potentially related to the trial drugs. CONCLUSIONS: Both MAb114 and REGN-EB3 were superior to ZMapp in reducing mortality from EVD. Scientifically and ethically sound clinical research can be conducted during disease outbreaks and can help inform the outbreak response. (Funded by the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases and others; PALM ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT03719586.).

Mass, height of burst, and source-receiver distance constraints on the acoustic coda phase delay method.

This research uses the acoustic coda phase delay method to estimate relative changes in air temperature between explosions with varying event masses and heights of burst. It also places a bound on source-receiver distance for the method. Previous studies used events with different shapes, height of bursts, and masses and recorded the acoustic codas at source-receiver distances less than 1 km. This research further explores the method using explosions that differ in mass (by up to an order of magnitude) and are placed at varying heights. Source-receiver distances also cover an area out to 7 km. Relative air temperature change estimates are compared to complementary meteorological observations. Results show that two explosions that differ by an order of magnitude cannot be used with this method because their propagation times in the near field and their fundamental frequencies are different. These differences are expressed as inaccuracies in the relative air temperature change estimates. An order of magnitude difference in mass is also shown to bias estimates higher. Small differences in height of burst do not affect the accuracy of the method. An upper bound of 1 km on source-receiver distance is provided based on the standard deviation characteristics of the estimates.