Cost-effectiveness for high dose quadrivalent versus the adjuvanted quadrivalent influenza vaccine in the Italian older adult population.

Objectives: To assess the cost-effectiveness of switching from adjuvanted quadrivalent vaccine (aQIV) to high-dose quadrivalent influenza vaccine (HD-QIV) in those aged ≥65 years from the Italian National Health Service perspective. Methods: We developed a decision tree model over a 1-year time-horizon to assess influenza-related costs and health outcomes. Two hospitalization approaches were considered: "hospitalization conditional on developing influenza" and "hospitalization possibly related to Influenza." The first approach considered only hospitalizations with influenza ICD-9-CM diagnosis codes. The second included hospitalizations for cardiorespiratory events possibly related to influenza to better capture the "hidden burden". Since comparative efficacy of high-dose quadrivalent influenza vaccine versus adjuvanted quadrivalent vaccine was lacking, we assumed relative efficacy versus a common comparator, standard-dose influenza quadrivalent vaccines (SD-QIV). We assumed the relative efficacy of HD-QIV vs. SD-QIV was 24.2 and 18.2% for the first and second hospitalization approaches, respectively, based on published information. Due to lack of comparative efficacy data for aQIV vs. SD-QIV, we assumed three different scenarios: 0, 6, and 12% relative efficacy in scenarios 1, 2, and 3, respectively. Results: For the first hospitalization approach, HD-QIV was a cost-effective alternative to aQIV in all scenarios at a willingness-to-pay threshold of €30,000 per Quality Adjusted Life Years. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratios across the scenarios were €7,301, €9,805, and €14,733, respectively, much lower than the willingness-to-pay per Quality Adjusted Life Years threshold. For the second hospitalization approach, HD-QIV was a dominant alternative to aQIV across all scenarios. The robustness of the results was confirmed in one-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses. Conclusion: Switching to HD-QIV from aQIV for the older adult in Italy would improve health-related outcomes, and would be cost-effective or cost saving.

Estimated health and economic impact of using high-dose influenza vaccine on respiratory and circulatory plus respiratory hospitalizations of older adults in Australia.

Background: Standard dose influenza vaccine provides moderate protection from infection, but with lower effectiveness among the elderly. High dose and adjuvanted vaccines (HD-TIV and aTIV) were developed to address this. This study aims to estimate the incremental health and economic impact of using HD-TIV (high dose trivalent vaccine) instead of aTIV (adjuvanted trivalent vaccine) on respiratory and circulatory plus respiratory hospitalizations of older people (≥65 years) in Australia. Methods: This is a modelling study comparing predicted hospitalization outcomes in people receiving HD-TIV or aTIV during an average influenza season in Australia. Hospitalization records of Australian adults ≥65 years of age from 01 April to 30 November during 15 influenza seasons (2002-2017 excluding 2009, which was a pandemic) were extracted from the Australian Institute of Health and Welfare [AIHW] and used to calculate hospitalisation rates during an average season. Relative vaccine effectiveness data for aTIV and HD-TIV were used to estimate morbidity burden related to influenza. Results: Between 2002 and 2017, the average respiratory hospitalization rate among older people during influenza season (April-November) was 3,445/100,000 population-seasons, with an average cost of AU$ 7,175 per admission. The average circulatory plus respiratory hospitalization rate among older Australian people during that time was 10,393/100,000 population-seasons, with an average cost of AU$ 7829 per admission. For older Australians, HD-TIV may avert an additional 6,315-9,410 respiratory admissions each year, with an incremental healthcare cost saving of AU$ 15.9-38.2 million per year compared to aTIV. Similar results were also noted for circulatory plus respiratory hospitalizations. Conclusions: From the modelled estimations, HD-TIV was associated with less economic burden and fewer respiratory, and circulatory plus respiratory hospitalizations than aTIV for older Australians.

Cost-effectiveness of influenza vaccination with a high dose quadrivalent vaccine of the elderly population in Belgium, Finland, and Portugal.

BACKGROUND: Seasonal influenza may result in severe outcomes, resulting in a significant increase of hospitalizations during the winter. To improve the protection provided by the standard dose influenza quadrivalent vaccine (SDQIV), a high-dose vaccine (HDQIV) has been developed specifically for adults aged 60 and older who are at higher risk of life-threatening complications. OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to determine the cost-effectiveness of HD QIV vs. SD-QIV in the recommended population of three European countries: Belgium, Finland and Portugal. METHODS: A cost-utility analysis comparing HDQIV vs. SDQIV was conducted using a decision tree estimating health outcomes conditional on influenza: cases, general practitioner and emergency department visits, hospitalizations and deaths. To account for the full benefit of the vaccine, an additional outcome-hospitalizations attributable to influenza-was also evaluated. Demographic, epidemiological and economic inputs were based on the respective local data. HDQIV relative vaccine efficacy vs. SDQIV was obtained from a phase IV efficacy randomized clinical trial. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICER) were computed for each country, and a probabilistic sensitivity analysis (1,000 simulations per country) was performed to assess the robustness of the results. RESULTS: In the base case analysis, HDQIV resulted in improved health outcomes (visits, hospitalizations, and deaths) compared to SDQIV. The ICERs computed were 1,397, 9,581, and 15,267 €/QALY, whereas the PSA yielded 100, 100, and 84% of simulations being cost-effective at their respective willingness-to-pay thresholds, for Belgium, Finland, and Portugal, respectively. CONCLUSION: In three European countries with different healthcare systems, HD-QIV would contribute to a significant improvement in the prevention of influenza health outcomes while being cost-effective.

The economic burden of influenza among adults aged 18 to 64: A systematic literature review.

While the economic burden of influenza infection is well described among adults aged 65 and older, less is known about younger adults. A systematic literature review was conducted to describe the economic burden of seasonal influenza in adults aged 18 to 64 years, to identify the main determinants of direct and indirect costs, and to highlight any gaps in the existing published evidence. MEDLINE and Embase were searched from 2007 to February 7, 2020, for studies reporting primary influenza-related cost data (direct or indirect) or absenteeism data. Of the 2613 publications screened, 51 studies were included in this review. Half of them were conducted in the United States, and 71% of them described patients with influenza-like illness rather than laboratory-confirmed disease. Only 12 studies reported cost data specifically for at-risk populations. Extracted data highlighted that within the 18- to 64-year-old group, up to 88% of the economic burden of influenza was attributable to indirect costs, and up to 75% of overall direct costs were attributable to hospitalizations. Furthermore, within the 18- to 64-year-old group, influenza-related costs increased with age and underlying medical conditions. The reported cost of influenza-related hospitalizations was found to be up to 2.5 times higher among at-risk populations compared with not-at-risk populations. This review documents the considerable economic impact of influenza among adults aged 18 to 64. In this age group, most of the influenza costs are indirect, which are generally not recognized by decision makers. Future studies should focus on at-risk subgroups, lab-confirmed cases, and European countries.

Cost-effectiveness of high dose versus adjuvanted trivalent influenza vaccines in England and Wales.

AIMS: High dose trivalent influenza vaccine (HD TIV) and adjuvant TIV (aTIV) have been developed specifically for adults aged 65 and older (65+) who are at high risk of life-threatening complications. However, there is a scarcity of evidence comparing the clinical and cost-effectiveness of HD TIV and aTIV. The aim of this study was to determine the cost-effectiveness of HD TIV versus aTIV in the England and Wales 65+ population. METHODS: A cost-utility analysis was conducted using a decision tree with two influenza related outcomes: Laboratory confirmed cases that could result in GP consultation, and hospitalizations that may result in premature mortality. Due to a lack of comparative evidence, the effectiveness of HD TIV versus aTIV was calculated indirectly, based on relative effectiveness estimates for each vaccine versus a common comparator, standard dose (SD) TIV. The primary analysis included hospitalizations explicitly due to influenza/pneumonia. Cost-effectiveness was established for three scenarios applying differing relative effectiveness estimates for aTIV versus SD TIV. Uncertainty was analysed in one-way deterministic sensitivity analyses. A secondary analysis included hospitalizations due to any respiratory illness. RESULTS: The minimum population impact of vaccination with HD TIV rather than aTIV was 13,092 fewer influenza cases, 1,109 fewer influenza related deaths, 4,673 fewer hospitalizations, and 3,245 fewer GP appointments. HD TIV was cost-effective versus aTIV for all three effectiveness scenarios, with incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICER) equal to £1,932, £4,181, and £8,767 per quality adjusted life year. Results were consistent across the secondary analysis and deterministic sensitivity analyses. LIMITATIONS: The analysis was limited by a lack of robust and consistent effectiveness data for aTIV. CONCLUSION: HD TIV is cost-effective versus aTIV in people aged 65+ in England and Wales. Use of HD TIV over aTIV could increase clinical benefits and reduce the public health and economic burden of influenza.

Cost-utility analysis of influenza vaccination in a population aged 65 years or older in Spain with a high-dose vaccine versus an adjuvanted vaccine.

BACKGROUND: The normal ageing process is accompanied by immunosenescence and a progressive weakening of the immune system. High-dose inactivated influenza quadrivalent vaccine (HD-QIV) has shown greater immunogenicity, relative efficacy, and effectiveness than the standard-dose inactivated quadrivalent vaccine (SD-QIV). The aim of the study was to assess the cost-utility of an HD-QIV strategy compared with an adjuvanted trivalent inactivated vaccine (aTIV) strategy in the population above 65 years of age in Spain. METHODS: We evaluated the public health and economic benefits of alternatives by using a decision-tree model, which included influenza cases, visits to the general practitioner (GP), visits to the emergency department (ED), hospitalisations, and mortality related to influenza. We performed deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses to account for both epidemiological and economical sources of uncertainty. RESULTS: Our results show that switching from aTIV strategy to HD-QIV would prevent 36,476 cases of influenza, 5,143 visits to GP, 1,054 visits to the ED, 9,193 episodes of hospitalisation due to influenza or pneumonia, and 357 deaths due to influenza - increasing 3,514 life-years and 3,167 quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs). Healthcare costs increase by €78,874,301, leading to an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of €24,353/QALY. The sensitivity analysis indicates that the results are rather robust. CONCLUSION: Our analysis shows that HD-QIV in people over 65 years of age is an influenza-prevention strategy that is at least cost-effective, if not dominant, in Spain. It reduces cases of influenza, GP visits, hospitalisations, deaths, and associated healthcare costs.

Economic evaluation of high-dose inactivated influenza vaccine in adults aged ≥65 years: A systematic literature review.

INTRODUCTION: Due to waning immunity, adults aged ≥65 years are at increased risk of seasonal influenza infection and its complications. Adding to this risk, older adults have reduced responses to influenza vaccines. A high-dose trivalent inactivated influenza vaccine (Fluzone High-Dose, Sanofi Pasteur) (IIV3-HD) was developed to improve protection against influenza in adults aged ≥65 years and has been licensed in the US since 2009 and in Canada since 2015. Post-licensure studies have shown that IIV3-HD is more effective than standard-dose trivalent inactivated influenza vaccine (IIV3-SD) at protecting against influenza infection in this population. Here, we performed a systematic review of economic analyses of IIV3-HD in adults aged ≥65 years. METHODS: On June 9, 2019, using the Ovid search platform, we searched Econlit, Embase, and Ovid MEDLINE® for original studies published in peer-reviewed journals examining the economics or cost-effectiveness of IIV3-HD in adults aged ≥65 years. Two reviewers independently selected studies and assessed their quality. RESULTS: Seven studies were selected, all performed in the US or Canada. Five studies were funded by IIV3-HD manufacturer, and the remaining two by the US National Institute of General Medical Sciences. In all studies, IIV3-HD reduces healthcare resource utilization and is cost-effective or cost-saving compared to IIV3-SD. The main driver is reduced hospitalizations for cardiorespiratory events. CONCLUSION: IIV3-HD is cost-saving or cost-effective versus IIV3-SD in adults aged ≥65 years. Reduced cardiorespiratory complications are an important driver of these economic benefits. A video summary of the article can be accessed via the Supplementary data link at the end of this article.

Estimating public health and economic benefits along 10 years of Fluzone® High Dose in the United States.

OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to estimate the public health and economic benefits (from a Medicare perspective) of Fluzone High-Dose® in the US elderly population, since its introduction in 2010. METHODS: A budget impact model was developed using a decision tree framework and applied over 9 influenza seasons (2010/11 to 2018/19). The decision tree model was designed to capture influenza cases, hospitalizations possibly related to influenza or laboratory confirmed influenza, and influenza-related deaths. The analysis included influenza vaccines recommended by ACIP since 2010: SD TIV (trivalent), SD QIV (quadrivalent), HD TIV, aTIV (adjuvanted), ccQIV (cell-cultured). Two strategies were compared to evaluate the impact of HD TIV: a 'with HD TIV' strategy representative of the US vaccine landscape, and a 'without HD TIV' where the absence of HD TIV was modelled. Clinical and economic inputs were based on public US data from the CDC and national databases, while data on vaccine effectiveness were extracted from published literature and clinical trials. The impact of HD TIV was further explored in five scenario analyses and deterministic sensitivity analyses (DSA). RESULTS: Over 10 years, it is estimated that HD TIV resulted in an averted 1,333,479 influenza cases, 769,476 medical visits, 40,004 ED presentations, 520,342 cardiorespiratory hospitalizations and 73,689 deaths and generated an absolute $4.6 billion in savings, translating into a return on investment of 214.4%. Hospitalizations costs represented 98.4% and 98.3% of the management costs in the 'with HD TIV' strategy and 'without HD TIV' strategy respectively. Hospitalizations and HD TIV relative vaccine efficacy vs SD TIV as a major cost driver were further confirmed in scenario analysis and DSA. HD TIV remained cost saving under all the scenarios. CONCLUSION: The model showed that HD TIV higher efficacy translated into increased averted health and economic outcomes. HD TIV represented a cost saving intervention from a payer perspective since its introduction.

From trivalent to quadrivalent influenza vaccines: Public health and economic burden for different immunization strategies in Spain.

PURPOSE: Quadrivalent influenza vaccine (QIV) includes the same strains as trivalent influenza vaccine (TIV) plus an additional B strain of the other B lineage. The aim of the study was to analyse the public health and economic impact of replacing TIV with QIV in different scenarios in Spain. METHODS: A dynamic transmission model was developed to estimate the number of influenza B cases prevented under TIV and QIV strategies (<65 years (high risk) and ≥65 years). This model considers cross-protective immunity induced by different lineages of influenza B. The output of the transmission model was used as input for a decision tree model that estimated the economic impact of switching TIV to QIV. The models were populated with Spanish data whenever possible. Deterministic univariate and probabilistic multivariate sensitivity analyses were performed. RESULTS: Replacing TIV with QIV in all eligible patients with current vaccine coverage in Spain may have prevented 138,707 influenza B cases per season and, therefore avoided 10,748 outpatient visits, 3,179 hospitalizations and 192 deaths. The replacement could save €532,768 in outpatient visit costs, €13 million in hospitalization costs, and €3 million in costs of influenza-related deaths per year. An additional €5 million costs associated with productivity loss could be saved per year, from the societal perspective. The budget impact from societal perspective would be €6.5 million, and the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) €1,527 per quality-adjusted life year (QALY). Sensitivity analyses showed robust results. In additional scenarios, QIV also showed an impact at public health level reducing influenza B related cases, outpatient visits, hospitalizations and deaths. CONCLUSIONS: Our results show public health and economic benefits for influenza prevention with QIV. It would be an efficient intervention for the Spanish National Health Service with major health benefits especially in the population ≥65-year.

Valuing the cost of improving Chilean primary vaccination: a cost minimization analysis of a hexavalent vaccine.

BACKGROUND: The phased withdrawal of oral polio vaccine (OPV) and the introduction of inactivated poliovirus vaccine (IPV) is central to the polio 'end-game' strategy. METHODS: We analyzed the cost implications in Chile of a switch from the vaccination scheme consisting of a pentavalent vaccine with whole-cell pertussis component (wP) plus IPV/OPV vaccines to a scheme with a hexavalent vaccine with acellular pertussis component (aP) and IPV (Hexaxim®) from a societal perspective. Cost data were collected from a variety of sources including national estimates and previous vaccine studies. All costs were expressed in 2017 prices (US$ 1.00 = $Ch 666.26). RESULTS: The overall costs associated with the vaccination scheme (4 doses of pentavalent vaccine plus 1 dose IPV and 3 doses OPV) from a societal perspective was estimated to be US$ 12.70 million, of which US$ 8.84 million were associated with the management of adverse events related to wP. In comparison, the cost associated with the 4-dose scheme with a hexavalent vaccine (based upon the PAHO reference price) was US$ 19.76 million. The cost of switching to the hexavalent vaccine would be an additional US$ 6.45 million. Overall, depending on the scenario, the costs of switching to the hexavalent scheme would range from an additional US$ 2.62 million to US$ 6.45 million compared with the current vaccination scheme. CONCLUSIONS: The switch to the hexavalent vaccine schedule in Chile would lead to additional acquisition costs, which would be partially offset by improved logistics, and a reduction in adverse events associated with the current vaccines.

Public health and economic impact of switching from a trivalent to a quadrivalent inactivated influenza vaccine in Mexico.

Most influenza vaccines in Mexico are trivalent, containing two influenza A strains and a single B strain. Quadrivalent influenza vaccines (QIVs) extend protection by including an additional B strain to cover both co-circulating B lineages. Here, we retrospectively estimated how a switch to QIV in Mexico would have impacted influenza-related health outcomes over the 2010/2011 to 2015/2016 influenza seasons, and prospectively estimated the budget impact of using QIV in Mexico's national immunization program from 2016/2017 to 2020/2021. For the retrospective estimation, we used an age-stratified static model incorporating Mexico-specific input parameters. For the prospective estimation, we used a budget impact model based on retrospective attack rates considering predicted future vaccination coverage. Between 2010/2011 and 2015/2016, a switch to QIV would have prevented 270,596 additional influenza cases, 102,000 general practitioner consultations, 140,062 days of absenteeism, 3,323 hospitalizations, and 312 deaths, saving Mex$214 million (US$10.8 million) in third-party payer costs. In the prospective analysis, a switch to QIV was estimated to prevent an additional 225,497 influenza cases, 85,000 general practitioner consultations, 116,718 days of absenteeism, 2,769 hospitalizations, and 260 deaths, saving Mex$178 million (US$9 million) in third-party payer costs over 5 years. Compared to the trivalent vaccine, the benefit and costs saved with QIV were sensitive to the distribution of influenza A vs. B cases and trivalent vaccine effectiveness against the mismatched B strain. These results suggest switching to QIV in Mexico would benefit healthcare providers and society by preventing influenza cases, morbidity, and deaths, and reducing associated use of medical resources.

Impact of a quadrivalent inactivated influenza vaccine on influenza-associated complications and health care use in children aged 6 to 35 months: Analysis of data from a phase III trial in the Northern and Southern Hemispheres.

BACKGROUND: A multi-season phase III trial conducted in the Northern and Southern Hemispheres demonstrated the efficacy of a quadrivalent split-virion inactivated influenza vaccine (IIV4) in children 6-35 months of age. METHODS: Data collected during the phase III trial were analysed to examine the vaccine efficacy (VE) of IIV4 in preventing laboratory-confirmed influenza in age subgroups and to determine the relative risk for IIV4 vs. placebo for severe outcomes, healthcare use, and parental absenteeism from work associated with laboratory-confirmed influenza. RESULTS: VE (95% confidence interval [CI]) to prevent laboratory-confirmed influenza due to any A or B strain was 54.76% (40.24-66.03%) for participants aged 6-23 months and 46.91% (23.57-63.53%) for participants aged 24-35 months. VE (95% CI) to prevent laboratory-confirmed influenza due to vaccine-similar strains was 74.51% (53.55-86.91%) for participants aged 6-23 months and 59.78% (19.11-81.25%) for participants aged 24-35 months. Compared to placebo, IIV4 reduced the risk (95% CI) by 31.28% (8.96-89.34%) for acute otitis media, 21.76% (6.46-58.51%) for acute lower respiratory infection, 40.80% (29.62-55.59%) for healthcare medical visits, 29.71% (11.66-67.23%) for parent absenteeism from work, and 39.20% (26.89-56.24%) for antibiotic use. CONCLUSION: In children aged 6-35 months, vaccination with IIV4 reduces severe outcomes of influenza as well as the associated burden for their parents and the healthcare system. In addition, vaccination with IIV4 is effective at preventing against influenza in children aged 6-23 and 24-35 months. TRIAL REGISTRATION: EudraCT no. 2013-001231-51.

Cost-effectiveness of alternate strategies for childhood immunization against meningococcal disease with monovalent and quadrivalent conjugate vaccines in Canada.

BACKGROUND: Public health programs to prevent invasive meningococcal disease (IMD) with monovalent serogroup C meningococcal conjugate vaccine (MCV-C) and quadrivalent meningococcal conjugate vaccines (MCV-4) in infancy and adolescence vary across Canadian provinces. This study evaluated the cost-effectiveness of various vaccination strategies against IMD using current and anticipated future pricing and recent epidemiology. METHODS: A cohort model was developed to estimate the clinical burden and costs (CAN$2014) of IMD in the Canadian population over a 100-year time horizon for three strategies: (1) MCV-C in infants and adolescents (MCV-C/C); (2) MCV-C in infants and MCV-4 in adolescents (MCV-C/4); and (3) MCV-4 in infants (2 doses) and adolescents (MCV-4/4). The source for IMD incidence was Canadian surveillance data. The effectiveness of MCV-C was based on published literature. The effectiveness of MCV-4 against all vaccination regimens was assumed to be the same as for MCV-C regimens against serogroup C. Herd effects were estimated by calibration to estimates reported in prior analyses. Costs were from published sources. Vaccines prices were projected to decline over time reflecting historical procurement trends. RESULTS: Over the modeling horizon there are a projected 11,438 IMD cases and 1,195 IMD deaths with MCV-C/C; expected total costs are $597.5 million. MCV-C/4 is projected to reduce cases of IMD by 1,826 (16%) and IMD deaths by 161 (13%). Vaccination costs are increased by $32 million but direct and indirect IMD costs are projected to be reduced by $46 million. MCV-C/4 is therefore dominant vs. MCV-C/C in the base case. Cost-effectiveness of MCV-4/4 was $111,286 per QALY gained versus MCV-C/4 (2575/206 IMD cases/deaths prevented; incremental costs $68 million). CONCLUSIONS: If historical trends in Canadian vaccines prices continue, use of MCV-4 instead of MCV-C in adolescents may be cost-effective. From an economic perspective, switching to MCV-4 as the adolescent booster should be considered.

Urinary incontinence in French women: prevalence, risk factors, and impact on quality of life.

BACKGROUND: The lack of epidemiologic data on the prevalence of female urinary incontinence (UI) attending general practitioners (GPs) in France led us to conduct a cross-sectional study in our country. OBJECTIVES: To determine the prevalence of UI and to assess its impact on the quality of life (QoL). DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This cross-sectional study of women aged >18 yr was conducted by attending GPs between June 2007 and July 2007. MEASUREMENTS: The main outcome measures were urinary symptoms, functional impairment, International Consultation on Incontinence Questionnaire-Short Form score, and medical care seeking. RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS: Overall, 241 GPs enrolled 2183 women seen during 1 d. The prevalence of UI was 26.8% (n=584) and increased with age, body mass index (BMI), and number of children delivered (p<0.0001). Among women with UI, 496 were included in a cross-sectional survey: 45.2% (n=224) had stress UI, 42.1% (n=209) had mixed UI, and 10.9% (n=53) had urge UI, while 2% (n=10) had UI of indeterminate type. Overall, 288 of 496 women (51.8%) stated that UI had a negative impact on their QoL; this effect remained mostly mild or moderate, and only 197 of 496 women (39.7%) had asked for medical help. Longer duration of symptoms, higher frequency of comorbid urinary symptoms, and altered QoL were most frequent among women with mixed UI (p<0.001). Misclassification may have occurred because the diagnosis of UI was based on self-reported data rather than on clinical or urodynamic examinations. CONCLUSIONS: UI symptoms were found in almost one in four women attending GPs. Clinical and functional UI impairment were associated with age, BMI, and parity. UI caused distress to women, but only those who were severely affected sought help. The results emphasize the need for policy development for UI prevention and management in France.

Epidemic variability in complex networks.

We study numerically the variability of the outbreak of diseases on complex networks. We use a susceptible-infected model to simulate the disease spreading at short times in homogeneous and in scale-free networks. In both cases, we study the effect of initial conditions on the epidemic dynamics and its variability. The results display a time regime during which the prevalence exhibits a large sensitivity to noise. We also investigate the dependence of the infection time of a node on its degree and its distance to the seed. In particular, we show that the infection time of hubs have non-negligible fluctuations which limit their reliability as early detection stations. Finally, we discuss the effect of the multiplicity of paths between two nodes on the infection time. In particular, we demonstrate that the existence of even long paths reduces the average infection time. These different results could be of use for the design of time-dependent containment strategies.