Postoperative orthostatic intolerance following fast-track unicompartmental knee arthroplasty: incidence and hemodynamics-a prospective observational cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Early postoperative mobilization is essential for early functional recovery but can be inhibited by postoperative orthostatic intolerance (OI). Postoperative OI is common after major surgery, such as total knee arthroplasty (TKA). However, limited data are available after less extensive surgery, such as unicompartmental knee arthroplasty (UKA). We, therefore, investigated the incidence of OI as well as cardiovascular and tissue oxygenation responses during early mobilization after UKA. METHODS: This prospective single-centre observational study included 32 patients undergoing primary UKA. Incidence of OI and cardiovascular and tissue oxygenation responses during mobilization were evaluated preoperatively, at 6 and 24 h after surgery. Perioperative fluid balance, bleeding, surgery duration, postoperative hemoglobin, pain during mobilization and opioid usage were recorded. RESULTS: During mobilization at 6 h after surgery, 4 (14%, 95%CI 4-33%) patients experienced OI; however, no patients terminated the mobilization procedure prematurely. Dizziness and feeling of heat were the most common symptoms. OI was associated with attenuated systolic and mean arterial blood pressure responses in the sitting position (all p < 0.05). At 24 h after surgery, 24 (75%) patients had already been discharged, including three of the four patients with early OI. Only five patients were available for measurements, two of whom experienced OI; one terminated the mobilization procedure due to intolerable symptoms. We observed no statistically significant differences in perioperative fluid balance, bleeding, surgery duration, postoperative hemoglobin, pain, or opioid usage between orthostatic intolerant and tolerant patients. CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of orthostatic intolerance after fast-track unicompartmental knee arthroplasty is low (~ 15%) and is associated with decreased orthostatic pressure responses. Compared to the previously described orthostatic intolerance incidence of ~ 40% following total knee arthroplasty, early orthostatic intolerance is uncommon after unicompartmental knee arthroplasty, suggesting a procedure-specific component. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Prospectively registered at ClinicalTrials.gov; registration number: NCT04195360, registration date: 13.12.2019.

Orthostatic intolerance after acute mild hypovolemia: incidence, pathophysiologic hemodynamics, and heart-rate variability analysis-a prospective observational cohort study.

PURPOSE: Early postoperative mobilization can be hindered by orthostatic intolerance (OI). Postoperative OI has multifactorial pathogenesis, possibly involving both postoperative hypovolemia and autonomic dysfunction. We aimed to investigate the effect of mild acute blood loss from blood donation simulating postoperative hypovolemia, on both autonomic function and OI, thus eliminating confounding perioperative factors such as inflammation, residual anesthesia, pain, and opioids. METHODS: This prospective observational cohort study included 26 blood donors. Continuous electrocardiogram data were collected during mobilization and night sleep, both before and after blood donation. A Valsalva maneuver and a standardized mobilization procedure were performed immediately before and after blood donation, during which cardiovascular and tissue oxygenation variables were continuously measured by LiDCOrapid™ and Massimo Root™, respectively. The incidence of OI, hemodynamic responses during mobilization and Valsalva maneuver, as well as heart rate variability (HRV) responses during mobilization and sleep were compared before and 15 min after blood donation. RESULTS: Prior to blood donation, no donors experienced OI during mobilization. After blood donation, 6/26 (23%; 95% CI, 9 to 44) donors experienced at least one OI symptom. Three out of 26 donors (12%; 95% CI, 2 to 30) terminated the mobilization procedure prematurely because of severe OI symptoms. Cardiovascular and cerebral tissue oxygenation responses were reduced in patients with severe OI. After blood loss, HRV indices of total autonomic power remained unchanged but increased sympathetic and decreased parasympathetic outflow was observed during mobilization, but also during sleep, indicating a prolonged autonomic effect of hypovolemia. CONCLUSION: We describe a specific hypovolemic component of postoperative OI, independent of postoperative autonomic dysfunction, inflammation, opioids, and pain. STUDY REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT04499664); registered 5 August 2020.

RéSUMé: OBJECTIF: La mobilisation postopératoire précoce peut être entravée par une intolérance orthostatique (IO). L'IO postopératoire a une pathogenèse multifactorielle, impliquant peut-être à la fois une hypovolémie postopératoire et un dysfonctionnement autonome. Notre objectif était d'étudier l'effet d'une légère perte de sang aiguë due au don de sang simulant une hypovolémie postopératoire, à la fois sur la fonction autonome et sur l'IO, éliminant ainsi les facteurs périopératoires confondants tels que l'inflammation, l'anesthésie résiduelle, la douleur et les opioïdes. MéTHODE: Cette étude de cohorte observationnelle prospective comprenait 26 personnes ayant donné leur sang. Des données d'électrocardiogramme continu ont été recueillies pendant la mobilisation et le sommeil nocturne, avant et après le don de sang. Une manœuvre de Valsalva et une procédure de mobilisation standardisée ont été réalisées immédiatement avant et après le don de sang, au cours desquelles les variables d'oxygénation cardiovasculaire et tissulaire ont été mesurées en continu avec les moniteurs LiDCOrapid™ et Massimo Root™, respectivement. L'incidence d'IO, les réponses hémodynamiques pendant la mobilisation et la manœuvre de Valsalva, ainsi que les réponses de variabilité de la fréquence cardiaque (VFC) pendant la mobilisation et le sommeil ont été comparées avant et 15 minutes après le don de sang. RéSULTATS: Avant le don de sang, aucune personne ayant fait un don de sang n'a ressenti d'IO pendant la mobilisation. Après le don de sang, 6/26 (23 %; IC 95 %, 9 à 44) des donneurs et donneuses ont manifesté au moins un symptôme d'IO. Trois personnes sur 26 (12 %; IC 95 %, 2 à 30) ont interrompu prématurément la procédure de mobilisation en raison de symptômes graves d'IO. Les réponses d'oxygénation des tissus cardiovasculaires et cérébraux ont été réduites chez les personnes atteintes d'IO sévère. Après la perte de sang, les indices de VFC de la puissance totale autonome sont demeurés inchangés, mais une augmentation du flux sympathique et une diminution du flux parasympathique ont été observées pendant la mobilisation, mais également pendant le sommeil, indiquant un effet autonome prolongé de l'hypovolémie. CONCLUSION: Nous décrivons une composante spécifique hypovolémique de l'IO postopératoire, indépendante du dysfonctionnement autonome postopératoire, de l'inflammation, des opioïdes et de la douleur. ENREGISTREMENT DE L'éTUDE: www.ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT04499664); enregistrée le 5 août 2020.

Dengue: updates for dermatologists on the world's fastest-growing vector-borne disease.

Dengue is the world's fastest-growing vector borne disease and has significant epidemic potential in suitable climates. Recent disease models incorporating climate change scenarios predict geographic expansion across the globe, including parts of the United States and Europe. It will be increasingly important in the next decade for dermatologists to become familiar with dengue, as it commonly manifests with rashes, which can be used to aid diagnosis. In this review, we discuss dengue for general dermatologists, specifically focusing on its cutaneous manifestations, epidemiology, diagnosis, treatment, and prevention. As dengue continues to spread in both endemic and new locations, dermatologists may have a larger role in the timely diagnosis and management of this disease.

Elevated blood pressure in pregnant women with gestational diabetes according to the WHO criteria: importance of overweight.

OBJECTIVE: Hypertension before and during early pregnancy has been associated with an increased risk of gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) in retrospective analyses. We aimed to investigate the prospective blood pressure trackings in a population-based cohort of pregnant women, who were stratified according to their metabolic status in early third trimester. METHODS: We recorded blood pressure longitudinally during pregnancy in 1230 women from the Odense Child Cohort, Denmark. Fasting glucose and insulin were measured at gestational weeks 28-30. Metabolic status was evaluated according to the WHO 2013 threshold for GDM (GDM-WHO: fasting plasma glucose ≥5.1 mmol/l), insulin and homeostatic model assessment of insulin resistance (HOMA-IR). Relationships between metabolic status in third trimester and blood pressure trajectories were evaluated with adjusted linear mixed models. Trajectory was defined as blood pressure records in pregnancy per 4 weeks interval. RESULTS: Prevalence of GDM-WHO was 40% (498/1230). GDM-WHO was associated with 1.46 (0.22-2.70) mmHg higher SBP and 1.04 (0.07-2.01) mmHg higher DBP trajectories in the overall cohort. The associations were driven by differences in the overweight group, with 3.14 (1.05-5.25) mmHg higher SBP and 1.94 (0.42-3.47) mmHg higher DBP per 4 weeks in women with GDM-WHO compared with women without GDM-WHO. GDM-WHO was not associated with blood pressure in women with normal weight. Blood pressure trajectories were elevated across quartiles of insulin resistance. CONCLUSION: GDM-WHO is associated with higher blood pressure in pregnancy, and there appears to be a stronger effect in overweight women.

Orthostatic intolerance after fast-track knee arthroplasty: Incidence and hemodynamic pathophysiology.

BACKGROUND: Early postoperative mobilization can be hindered by orthostatic intolerance (OI) due to failed orthostatic cardiovascular regulation. The underlying mechanisms are not fully understood and specific data after total knee arthroplasty (TKA) are lacking. Therefore, we evaluated the incidence of OI and the cardiovascular response to mobilization in fast-track TKA. METHODS: This prospective observational cohort study included 45 patients scheduled for primary TKA in spinal anesthesia with a multimodal opioid-sparing analgesic regime. OI and the cardiovascular response to sitting and standing were evaluated with a standardized mobilization procedure preoperatively, and at 6 and 24 h postoperatively. Hemodynamic variables were measured non-invasively (LiDCO™ Rapid). Perioperative bleeding, fluid balance, surgery duration, postoperative hemoglobin, opioid use, and pain during mobilization were recorded. RESULTS: Eighteen (44%) and 8 (22%) patients demonstrated OI at 6 and 24 h after surgery, respectively. Four (10%) and 2 (5%) patients experienced severe OI and terminated the mobilization procedure prematurely. Dizziness was the most common OI symptom during mobilization at 6 h. OI was associated with decreased orthostatic responses in systolic, diastolic, mean arterial pressures, and heart rate (all p < .05), while severe OI patients demonstrated impaired diastolic, mean arterial pressures, heart rate, and cardiac output responses (all p < .05). No statistically significant differences in perioperative bleeding, fluid balance, surgery duration, postoperative hemoglobin, pain, or opioid use were observed between orthostatic tolerant and intolerant patients. CONCLUSION: Early postoperative OI is common following fast-track TKA. Pathophysiologic mechanisms include impaired orthostatic cardiovascular responses. The progression to severe OI symptoms appears to be primarily due to inadequate heart rate response.

Validation of nasal tracheal aspiration in children with lung disease.

BACKGROUND: Nasal tracheal aspiration (NTA) is a frequently used diagnostic method to assess of infections in the lower airways. However, the validity of the method has not previously been compared to bronchoalveolar lavage (BAL) in non-intubated children with a lung disease. We hypothesised that NTA performed by health professionals using the nares vocal cord distance to be placed at the entrance of the trachea, will result in same finding of bacteria in the lower airways as the gold standard of BAL. METHODS: In a prospective study, 173 paired samples of NTA and BAL were obtained between June 2016 to August 2018. Samples were collected from all patients undergoing bronchoscopy with spontaneous breathing during general anaesthesia. This study compares the microbiological results from the cultures obtained by investigating complete concordance i.e. identical pathogenic bacteria and coherence i.e. absence or presence of pathogenic bacteria growth between NTA and BAL. RESULTS: Samples were collected in 164 patients, 158 children between 21 days and 18 years of age and six young adults still treated at the paediatric department. The overall similarity (complete agreement) was found in 49% [41-56], sensitivity was 35% [27-45], specificity was 66% [55-76], positive predictive value was 36% [27-46] and negative predictive value was 64% [54-64] concerning complete pathogenic bacteria concordance. If we only considered coherence growth of pathogenic bacteria, similarity was 71% [63-79], sensitivity was 74% [64-81], specificity was 66% [55-76], positive predictive value was 75% [65-82] and negative predictive value was 65% [54-75]. Patients with cystic fibrosis showed a similarity of 88% [73-95], a sensitivity of 92% [76-99], a specificity of 71% [36-95], a positive predictive value of 92% [76-99] and a negative predictive value of 71% [36-95] concerning coherence growth of pathogenic bacteria. CONCLUSION: The study indicates that NTA compared to BAL as the gold standard is not clinically useful to assess positive findings of specific bacteria in the lower airway tract. Statistically significantly increased sensitivity and positive predictive value were found in cystic fibrosis patients concerning coherence growth. The clinical usage of NTA remains important as negative findings are of clinical value. However, BAL continues to be preferred as a significantly superior diagnostic tool.

Early pregnancy vitamin D status is associated with blood pressure in children: an Odense Child Cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Blood pressure in childhood tracks into later life. Vitamin D status in adults is associated with blood pressure, but the impact of vitamin D status in pregnancy and childhood on blood pressure still needs investigation. OBJECTIVE: We investigated whether fetal rather than current vitamin D status is associated with blood pressure in children. METHODS: In a prospective observational study within the population-based Odense Child Cohort (OCC), we examined serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D2+3 [s-25(OH)D] in early and late pregnancy, cord blood, and at 5 y age, and the associations with systolic and diastolic blood pressure (SBP/DBP) in the 5-y-old children (n = 1,677). Multiple regression models were adjusted for maternal country of origin, parity, smoking during pregnancy, 5-y height, and weight. Two-stage mixed effect modeling was performed, integrating all s-25(OH)D data from pregnancy and cord blood. RESULTS: The median (IQR) s-25(OH)D in early pregnancy, late pregnancy, the umbilical cord, and at 5 y was 65.5 (50.7-78.5), 78.5 (60.3- 95.8), 45.4 (31.1- 60.7), and 71.9 (54.6- 86.5) nmol/L, respectively. The mean ±SD 5-y SBP/DBP was 101.0/63.8 (7.1/5.9) mmHg. In adjusted analyses, a 10 nmol/L increase of s-25(OH)D in early pregnancy associated with a 0.3/0.2 mmHg lower SBP/DBP at 5 y (P < 0.05). Optimal s-25(OH)D (>75 nmol/L) in early pregnancy was associated with lower 5-y SBP and DBP, ß (95% CI) -1.45 (-2.6, -0.3), and -0.97 (-1.9, -0.1), compared with reference s-25(OH)D (50-74.9 nmol/L). Two-stage analysis combining early pregnancy, late pregnancy, and cord s-25(OH)D data showed an inverse association with 5-y SBP and DBP for boys (P < 0.025) with significant sex-difference for DBP (Pinteraction = 0.004). No associations were found between s-25(OH)D and 5-y BP above the 90th percentile. CONCLUSION: Early pregnancy s-25(OH)D concentrations, especially >75 nmol/L, were inversely associated with 5-y blood pressure in the offspring. A novel identified protective effect of optimal vitamin D levels in early pregnancy on offspring BP is suggested.

Climate change, human migration, and skin disease: is there a link?

Climate change, exemplified by higher average global temperatures resulting in more frequent extreme weather events, has the potential to significantly impact human migration patterns and health. The consequences of environmental catastrophes further destabilize regions with pre-existing states of conflict due to social, political, and/or economic unrest. Migrants may carry diseases from their place of origin to their destinations and once there may be susceptible to diseases in which they had not been previously exposed to. Skin diseases are among the most commonly observed health conditions observed in migrant populations. To improve awareness among dermatologists of the burden of skin diseases among migrants, the group searched the English language scientific literature to identify articles linking climate change, migration, and skin disease. Skin diseases associated with human migration fall into three major categories: (i) communicable diseases, (ii) noncommunicable diseases, and (iii) environmentally mediated diseases. Adopting comprehensive global strategies to improve the health of migrants requires urgent attention.

Characteristics and impact of exercise-induced laryngeal obstruction: an international perspective.

BACKGROUND: Exercise-induced laryngeal obstruction (EILO) is a common cause of exertional breathlessness and wheeze yet is frequently misdiagnosed as asthma. Insight regarding the demographic characteristics, laryngeal abnormalities and impact of EILO is currently limited, with data only available from individual centre reports. The aim of this work was to provide a broader perspective from a collaboration between multiple international expert centres. METHODS: Five geographically distinct clinical paediatric and adult centres (3 Denmark, 1 UK, 1 USA) with an expertise in assessing unexplained exertional breathlessness completed database entry of key characteristic features for all cases referred with suspected EILO over a 5-year period. All included cases completed clinical asthma workup and continuous laryngoscopy during exercise (CLE) testing for EILO. RESULTS: Data were available for 1007 individuals (n=713 female (71%)) with a median (range) age of 24 (8-76) years, and of these 586 (58%) were diagnosed with EILO. In all centres, EILO was frequently misdiagnosed as asthma; on average there was a 2-year delay to diagnosis of EILO, and current asthma medication was discontinued in 20%. Collapse at the supraglottic level was seen in 60%, whereas vocal cord dysfunction (VCD) was only detected/visualised in 18%. Nearly half (45%) of individuals with EILO were active participants in recreational-level sports, suggesting that EILO is not simply confined to competitive/elite athletes. CONCLUSION: Our findings indicate that key clinical characteristics and the impact of EILO/VCD are similar in globally distinct regions, facilitating improved awareness of this condition to enhance recognition and avoid erroneous asthma treatment.

Exposure to perfluoroalkyl substances and blood pressure in pregnancy among 1436 women from the Odense Child Cohort.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies of association between exposure to poly- and perfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS) and gestational hypertension (GH) and preeclampsia (PE) have shown conflicting results, but most dichotomized outcome and did not study continuous blood pressure (BP) changes. OBJECTIVES: To study the association between PFAS exposure in early pregnancy and maternal BP trajectories in pregnancy, gestational hypertension and preeclampsia. METHODS: 1436 women were enrolled in the Odense Child Cohort in early pregnancy and had a serum sample drawn, from which perfluorohexane sulfonic acid (PFHxS), perfluorooctane sulfonic acid (PFOS), perfluorooctanoic acid (PFOA), perfluorononanoic acid (PFNA) and perfluorodecanoic acid (PFDA) were measured using LC-MS/MS. Repeated BP measurements through pregnancy and information on PE were obtained from hospital files. Adjusted linear mixed models were used to investigate association between PFAS exposure and BP trajectory. Associations between PFAS and PE and GH were assessed by Cox proportional hazards model. RESULTS: All women had measurable concentrations of PFAS. In all of many comparisons higher PFAS exposure (apart from PFHxS) was associated with higher systolic (SBP) and diastolic (DBP) blood pressures, although not all were significant, which is unlikely to be due to chance. After adjustment, each doubling in PFOS or PFOA exposure was associated with 0.47 mmHg (95% CI: -0.13; 1.08) and 0.36 mmHg (-0.19; 0.92) higher SBP; and 0.58 mmHg (0.13; 1.04) and 0.37 mmHg (-0.05; 0.79) higher DBP. No clear associations between PFAS exposure and PE or GH were found. DISCUSSION: The magnitude of the association between PFAS exposure and BP might appear small, statistically non-significant and the possible clinical importance low. However, at a population level this may slightly shift the distribution of BP towards an increased incidence of GH. If BP increases in pregnancy, it may have long-term impact on health not only of the pregnant woman but also of her offspring.

What is known about treatment aimed at indigenous people suffering from alcohol use disorder?

Background: Alcohol Use Disorder (AUD) is a destructive and serious problem among indigenous populations around the world. The drinking pattern differs from the non-indigenous populations by being short-term risky drinking such as binge drinking. In general, the treatment offered is based on conventional western strategies, though, in many regions' treatment facilities are poor. The present review summarizes the researched possibilities for alcohol treatment specific to indigenous populations. Method: A systematic search in four databases, Pubmed, Psyinfo, Cochcrane and Cinahl within the past ten years identified 19 articles that investigate the effect of different approaches to treat indigenous people with AUD. Result: Several studies suggest implementing native and traditional ways of healing in the treatment. Community-driven approaches have shown effect in the reduction of AUD among indigenous youth, as well as a web based brief intervention, motivational interviewing, and alcohol restrictions. Also, naltrexone as firstline medical treatment is suggested. Discussion and conclusion: In general, the studies included have a moderate to low quality and are difficult to compare but can provide an overview of elements that seem important in the treatment of indigenous people. There is a lack of research of both conventional treatment and treatment specific tailored to indigenous populations. The latter specifically minded to community prevention, the involvement of local people and implementing cultural traditions and healing methods and rebuilding native identity, seems as important elements in future treatment and prevention strategies.

Validation and development of models using clinical, biochemical and ultrasound markers for predicting pre-eclampsia: an individual participant data meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Pre-eclampsia is a leading cause of maternal and perinatal mortality and morbidity. Early identification of women at risk is needed to plan management. OBJECTIVES: To assess the performance of existing pre-eclampsia prediction models and to develop and validate models for pre-eclampsia using individual participant data meta-analysis. We also estimated the prognostic value of individual markers. DESIGN: This was an individual participant data meta-analysis of cohort studies. SETTING: Source data from secondary and tertiary care. PREDICTORS: We identified predictors from systematic reviews, and prioritised for importance in an international survey. PRIMARY OUTCOMES: Early-onset (delivery at < 34 weeks' gestation), late-onset (delivery at ≥ 34 weeks' gestation) and any-onset pre-eclampsia. ANALYSIS: We externally validated existing prediction models in UK cohorts and reported their performance in terms of discrimination and calibration. We developed and validated 12 new models based on clinical characteristics, clinical characteristics and biochemical markers, and clinical characteristics and ultrasound markers in the first and second trimesters. We summarised the data set-specific performance of each model using a random-effects meta-analysis. Discrimination was considered promising for C-statistics of ≥ 0.7, and calibration was considered good if the slope was near 1 and calibration-in-the-large was near 0. Heterogeneity was quantified using I2 and τ2. A decision curve analysis was undertaken to determine the clinical utility (net benefit) of the models. We reported the unadjusted prognostic value of individual predictors for pre-eclampsia as odds ratios with 95% confidence and prediction intervals. RESULTS: The International Prediction of Pregnancy Complications network comprised 78 studies (3,570,993 singleton pregnancies) identified from systematic reviews of tests to predict pre-eclampsia. Twenty-four of the 131 published prediction models could be validated in 11 UK cohorts. Summary C-statistics were between 0.6 and 0.7 for most models, and calibration was generally poor owing to large between-study heterogeneity, suggesting model overfitting. The clinical utility of the models varied between showing net harm to showing minimal or no net benefit. The average discrimination for IPPIC models ranged between 0.68 and 0.83. This was highest for the second-trimester clinical characteristics and biochemical markers model to predict early-onset pre-eclampsia, and lowest for the first-trimester clinical characteristics models to predict any pre-eclampsia. Calibration performance was heterogeneous across studies. Net benefit was observed for International Prediction of Pregnancy Complications first and second-trimester clinical characteristics and clinical characteristics and biochemical markers models predicting any pre-eclampsia, when validated in singleton nulliparous women managed in the UK NHS. History of hypertension, parity, smoking, mode of conception, placental growth factor and uterine artery pulsatility index had the strongest unadjusted associations with pre-eclampsia. LIMITATIONS: Variations in study population characteristics, type of predictors reported, too few events in some validation cohorts and the type of measurements contributed to heterogeneity in performance of the International Prediction of Pregnancy Complications models. Some published models were not validated because model predictors were unavailable in the individual participant data. CONCLUSION: For models that could be validated, predictive performance was generally poor across data sets. Although the International Prediction of Pregnancy Complications models show good predictive performance on average, and in the singleton nulliparous population, heterogeneity in calibration performance is likely across settings. FUTURE WORK: Recalibration of model parameters within populations may improve calibration performance. Additional strong predictors need to be identified to improve model performance and consistency. Validation, including examination of calibration heterogeneity, is required for the models we could not validate. STUDY REGISTRATION: This study is registered as PROSPERO CRD42015029349. FUNDING: This project was funded by the National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Health Technology Assessment programme and will be published in full in Health Technology Assessment; Vol. 24, No. 72. See the NIHR Journals Library website for further project information.

WHAT IS THE PROBLEM?: Pre-eclampsia, a condition in pregnancy that results in raised blood pressure and protein in the urine, is a major cause of complications for the mother and baby. WHAT IS NEEDED?: A way of accurately identifying women at high risk of pre-eclampsia to allow clinicians to start preventative interventions such as administering aspirin or frequently monitoring women during pregnancy. WHERE ARE THE RESEARCH GAPS?: Although over 100 tools (models) have been reported worldwide to predict pre-eclampsia, to date their performance in women managed in the UK NHS is unknown. WHAT DID WE PLAN TO DO?: We planned to comprehensively identify all published models that predict the risk of pre-eclampsia occurring at any time during pregnancy and to assess if this prediction is accurate in the UK population. If the existing models did not perform satisfactorily, we aimed to develop new prediction models. WHAT DID WE FIND?: We formed the International Prediction of Pregnancy Complications network, which provided data from a large number of studies (78 studies, 25 countries, 125 researchers, 3,570,993 singleton pregnancies). We were able to assess the performance of 24 out of the 131 models published to predict pre-eclampsia in 11 UK data sets. The models did not accurately predict the risk of pre-eclampsia across all UK data sets, and their performance varied within individual data sets. We developed new prediction models that showed promising performance on average across all data sets, but their ability to correctly identify women who develop pre-eclampsia varied between populations. The models were more clinically useful when used in the care of first-time mothers pregnant with one child, compared to a strategy of treating them all as if they were at high-risk of pre-eclampsia. WHAT DOES THIS MEAN?: Before using the International Prediction of Pregnancy Complications models in various populations, they need to be adjusted for characteristics of the particular population and the setting of application.

External validation of prognostic models predicting pre-eclampsia: individual participant data meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Pre-eclampsia is a leading cause of maternal and perinatal mortality and morbidity. Early identification of women at risk during pregnancy is required to plan management. Although there are many published prediction models for pre-eclampsia, few have been validated in external data. Our objective was to externally validate published prediction models for pre-eclampsia using individual participant data (IPD) from UK studies, to evaluate whether any of the models can accurately predict the condition when used within the UK healthcare setting. METHODS: IPD from 11 UK cohort studies (217,415 pregnant women) within the International Prediction of Pregnancy Complications (IPPIC) pre-eclampsia network contributed to external validation of published prediction models, identified by systematic review. Cohorts that measured all predictor variables in at least one of the identified models and reported pre-eclampsia as an outcome were included for validation. We reported the model predictive performance as discrimination (C-statistic), calibration (calibration plots, calibration slope, calibration-in-the-large), and net benefit. Performance measures were estimated separately in each available study and then, where possible, combined across studies in a random-effects meta-analysis. RESULTS: Of 131 published models, 67 provided the full model equation and 24 could be validated in 11 UK cohorts. Most of the models showed modest discrimination with summary C-statistics between 0.6 and 0.7. The calibration of the predicted compared to observed risk was generally poor for most models with observed calibration slopes less than 1, indicating that predictions were generally too extreme, although confidence intervals were wide. There was large between-study heterogeneity in each model's calibration-in-the-large, suggesting poor calibration of the predicted overall risk across populations. In a subset of models, the net benefit of using the models to inform clinical decisions appeared small and limited to probability thresholds between 5 and 7%. CONCLUSIONS: The evaluated models had modest predictive performance, with key limitations such as poor calibration (likely due to overfitting in the original development datasets), substantial heterogeneity, and small net benefit across settings. The evidence to support the use of these prediction models for pre-eclampsia in clinical decision-making is limited. Any models that we could not validate should be examined in terms of their predictive performance, net benefit, and heterogeneity across multiple UK settings before consideration for use in practice. TRIAL REGISTRATION: PROSPERO ID: CRD42015029349 .

Blood Pressure and Angiogenic Markers in Pregnancy: Contributors to Pregnancy-Induced Hypertension and Offspring Cardiovascular Risk.

Pregnancy-induced hypertension is a severe pregnancy complication, increasing risk of long-term cardiovascular disease in mothers and offspring. We hypothesized that maternal blood pressure in pregnancy associated with offspring blood pressure; that the associations were sex-specific; and that maternal circulating placental angiogenic markers (PlGF [placental growth factor] and sFlt-1 [soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1]) mediated this relationship. We analyzed data from 2434 women and 2217 children from the Odense Child Cohort, a prospective Danish cohort study. Offspring blood pressure trajectory from 4 months to 5 years was highly associated to maternal first, second, and third trimester blood pressure, and mean blood pressure in pregnancy, independent of maternal and offspring covariates. There were offspring sex-specific associations: Girls from mothers in the highest quartile of first and third trimester blood pressure had significantly higher systolic blood pressure at 5 years than the rest of the cohort (mean difference±SEM: 1.81±0.59 and 2.11±0.59 mm Hg, respectively, all P<0.01); whereas boys had significantly higher diastolic blood pressure at 5 years (mean difference±SEM: 1.11±0.45 and 1.03±0.45, respectively, all P<0.05). Concentrations of PlGF at gestational week 28 correlated inversely to maternal gestational blood pressure trajectory, independent of the diagnosis of pregnancy-induced hypertension, adjusted ß coefficients (95% CI) for predicting systolic blood pressure (SBP): -3.18 (-4.66 to -1.70) mm Hg, for predicting diastolic blood pressure (DBP): -2.48 (-3.57 to -1.40) mm Hg. In conclusion, maternal gestational blood pressure predicted offspring blood pressure trajectory until 5 years in a sex-differential manner. Furthermore, subtle alterations in blood pressure in early pregnancy preceded hypertension or preeclampsia, and PlGF was a mediator of cardiovascular health in pregnancy.

Normal-range urinary albumin excretion associates with blood pressure and renal electrolyte handling in pregnancy.

Albuminuria in the pathological range is a significant predictor of preeclampsia. In healthy persons, high normal urinary albumin predicts a later incidence of hypertension and is associated with salt sensitivity of blood pressure. We hypothesized that in pregnancy urinary albumin in the normal range associates with blood pressure through activation of distal Na+ reabsorption and renal salt retention by plasma factors cofiltered with albumin. We analyzed 24-h urine collections and plasma samples from gestational week 29 of 560 pregnant women from the Odense Child Cohort, a Danish population-based cohort. Plasma and urinary aldosterone were measured by ELISA. Plasma and urinary Na+, K+, Cl-, and creatinine were also determined. Predictive values of urinary albumin were assessed by linear mixed, multiple, and Cox regression analyses. Primary outcomes were blood pressure and renal electrolyte handling. Twenty-four-hour urinary albumin excretion at gestational week 29 associated with gestational blood pressure trajectory, with adjusted ß coefficients (95% confidence intervals) for each 10-fold increase in urinary albumin as follows: 5.71 (1.60 to 9.81) mmHg for systolic blood pressure and 4.39 (1.41 to 7.38) mmHg for diastolic blood pressure. Urinary albumin was inversely associated with fractional excretion rates of Na+, K+, and Cl-, with adjusted ß coefficients (95% confidence intervals) for each 10-fold increase in urine albumin as follows: -0.25 (-0.35 to -0.14), -5.06 (-6.81 to -3.30), and -0.28 (-0.41 to -0.15), respectively. In conclusion, at gestational week 29, urinary albumin excretion in the normal range associated with blood pressure and renal electrolyte handling independent of potential confounders.

The effects of climate change on human health in Africa, a dermatologic perspective: a report from the International Society of Dermatology Climate Change Committee.

Throughout much of the African continent, healthcare systems are already strained in their efforts to meet the needs of a growing population using limited resources. Climate change threatens to undermine many of the public health gains that have been made in this region in the last several decades via multiple mechanisms, including malnutrition secondary to drought-induced food insecurity, mass human displacement from newly uninhabitable areas, exacerbation of environmentally sensitive chronic diseases, and enhanced viability of pathogenic microbes and their vectors. We reviewed the literature describing the various direct and indirect effects of climate change on diseases with cutaneous manifestations in Africa. We included non-communicable diseases such as malignancies (non-melanoma skin cancers), inflammatory dermatoses (i.e. photosensitive dermatoses, atopic dermatitis), and trauma (skin injury), as well as communicable diseases and neglected tropical diseases. Physicians should be aware of the ways in which climate change threatens human health in low- and middle-income countries in general, and particularly in countries throughout Africa, the world's lowest-income and second most populous continent.

Pregnancy or cord 25-hydroxyvitamin D is not associated with measures of body fat or adiposity in children from three months to three years of age. An Odense Child Cohort study.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The susceptibility to overweight in adults born during winter season may suggest foetal programming of prenatal vitamin D levels on adiposity. We investigated whether cord or pregnancy serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D (s-25OHD) was associated with infant and child body fat measures in a Danish population-based prospective cohort. METHODS: In the Odense Child Cohort, 1905 singletons had cord s-25OHD and data on waist circumference (WC), weight, body mass index (BMI), and sum of skin folds (SSF) at median 3.7 months, 18.9 months and three years' age. Early and late pregnancy samples of s-25OHD (mean gestational age 12 and 29 weeks) were chosen as secondary exposures. Multiple linear and logistic regression as well as linear mixed models was applied testing the relation between cord and pregnancy s-25OHD and body fat outcomes and their Z-scores by use of updated national reference populations. Models were adjusted for maternal educational level, maternal ethnicity, pre-gestational BMI and season of birth, a priori stratified by sex. RESULTS: The median [IQR] cord s-25OHD was 45.5 [31.1; 60.9] nmol/L. Cord s-25OHD <50 nmol/L was found in 57.5%; values < 25 nmol/L in 16.3%. The mean Z-scores of body fat measures at all ages were in the range of -0.32 to +0.42. No consistent associations were found between s-25OHD in cord, early pregnancy or late pregnancy and WC, weight, BMI, SSF, or their Z-scores at ages 3.7 months, 18.9 months, or 3 years. Neither did a computed composite outcome (WC, SSF, BMI, or weight >90th vs. ≤90 percentile) associate with cord or pregnancy s-25OHD. CONCLUSION: Cord or pregnancy s-25OHD was not associated with measures of body fat or adiposity in children up to three years of age. Our data suggested no programming effect of maternal s-25OHD on offspring obesity in a relatively lean and healthy population of mothers.

Prediction of birth weight small for gestational age with and without preeclampsia by angiogenic markers: an Odense Child Cohort study.

Purpose: To investigate the predictive performance of placental growth factor (PlGF) and soluble FMS-like kinase 1 (sFlt-1) on birth weight and small for gestational age (SGA), in a large, population-based cohort.Methods: Women enrolled in the population-based, prospective Odense Child Cohort Study with early (GA < 20 weeks) and/or late (≥20 weeks) pregnancy blood samples (n = 1937) were included. The association between log-transformed values of the biomarkers and birth weight Z-score was studied using multivariate regression models. The prediction of SGA overall, and in women developing preeclampsia, by biomarkers was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic analyses.Results: No substantial associations between early pregnancy biomarkers and SGA were seen. PlGF measured in late pregnancy demonstrated the strongest association with birth weight Z-score (adjusted ß-coefficient = 0.43 [95%CI = 0.35; 0.50]). The area under curve (AUC) for predicting SGA was higher for sFlt-1/PlGF compared to sFlt-1 (0.74 versus 0.63, p = .006) and reached excellent prediction for SGA after preeclampsia (AUC 0.94). Optimal sFlt-1/PlGF ratio cut-offs had higher negative predictive value (NPV) and positive predictive value (PPV) for SGA (cut-off > 5.0; NPV = 99.1%, PPV = 5.4%) compared to each marker individually.Conclusion: The sFlt-1/PlGF ratio is a potential predictor of SGA in population-based screening, particularly when preeclampsia is also present.