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1.
Scand Cardiovasc J ; 58(1): 2373090, 2024 Jun 27.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38957080

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: Electrocardiogram (ECG) and measurement of plasma brain natriuretic peptides (BNP) are established markers of right ventricular dysfunction (RVD) in the setting of acute pulmonary embolism (PE) but their value at long-term follow-up is largely unknown. The purpose of this prospective study was to determine the prevalence of ECG abnormalities, describe levels of N-terminal proBNP (NT-proBNP), and establish their association with dyspnea at long-term follow-up after PE. DESIGN: All Swedish patients diagnosed with acute PE in 2005 (n = 5793) were identified through the Swedish National Patient Registry. Surviving patients in 2007 (n = 3510) were invited to participate. Of these, 2105 subjects responded to a questionnaire about dyspnea and comorbidities. Subjects with dyspnea or risk factors for development of chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension were included in the study in a secondary step, which involved collection of blood samples and ECG registration. RESULTS: Altogether 49.3% had a completely normal ECG. The remaining participants had a variety of abnormalities, 7.2% had atrial fibrillation/flutter (AF). ECG with any sign of RVD was found in 7.2% of subjects. Right bundle branch block was the most common RVD sign with a prevalence of 6.4%. An abnormal ECG was associated with dyspnea. AF was associated with dyspnea, whereas ECG signs of RVD were not. 61.2% of subjects had NT-proBNP levels above clinical cut-off (>125 ng/L). The degree of dyspnea did not associate independently with NT-proBNP levels. CONCLUSIONS: We conclude that the value of ECG and NT-proBNP in long term follow-up after PE lies mostly in differential diagnostics.


Asunto(s)
Biomarcadores , Disnea , Electrocardiografía , Péptido Natriurético Encefálico , Fragmentos de Péptidos , Valor Predictivo de las Pruebas , Embolia Pulmonar , Sistema de Registros , Humanos , Embolia Pulmonar/sangre , Embolia Pulmonar/diagnóstico , Embolia Pulmonar/epidemiología , Embolia Pulmonar/fisiopatología , Fragmentos de Péptidos/sangre , Masculino , Femenino , Péptido Natriurético Encefálico/sangre , Suecia/epidemiología , Biomarcadores/sangre , Anciano , Estudios Prospectivos , Disnea/sangre , Disnea/diagnóstico , Disnea/epidemiología , Disnea/fisiopatología , Disnea/etiología , Persona de Mediana Edad , Factores de Tiempo , Prevalencia , Disfunción Ventricular Derecha/sangre , Disfunción Ventricular Derecha/fisiopatología , Disfunción Ventricular Derecha/diagnóstico , Disfunción Ventricular Derecha/etiología , Factores de Riesgo , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Pronóstico , Función Ventricular Derecha , Bloqueo de Rama/sangre , Bloqueo de Rama/diagnóstico , Bloqueo de Rama/epidemiología , Bloqueo de Rama/fisiopatología
2.
Eur J Clin Pharmacol ; 2024 Jun 10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38856725

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: To assess a systematic implementation approach for introducing dapagliflozin to individuals with heart failure and reduced ejection fraction in an outpatient clinical setting. METHODS: Retrospective medical record data were analysed. All individuals diagnosed with heart failure who resided within the hospital catchment area and had visited cardiology or internal medicine department between 2010 and 2019 were screened by using the main inclusion criteria from the DAPA-HF trial. The effectiveness of the previously described seven-step systematic implementation approach was assessed by the proportion receiving information letter, dapagliflozin treatment, follow-ups at 2-12 weeks and 12 months post-dapagliflozin initiation, persistence on dapagliflozin, adverse events, and reasons for discontinuation. RESULTS: Of the 2433 individuals, 352 met the main DAPA-HF trial criteria in step 2. After exclusions in steps 3 and 4, 191 individuals remained. Of these, 158 were invited for eligibility discussion in step 5, with 107 having received an information letter beforehand. In step 6, dapagliflozin was prescribed to 69 individuals, and in step 7, follow-ups were conducted with 56 individuals at 2-12 weeks and 62 individuals at 12 months. Sixty out of 69 persisted on dapagliflozin after 12 months. Adverse events were reported by nine individuals. Discontinuation was attributed to reasons such as urinary tract infections, genital or abdominal discomfort, and hypotension. CONCLUSION: The systematic introduction of dapagliflozin to heart failure patients was effective. Despite this, challenges in uniformly implementing procedures across patients were evident, emphasizing the necessity for a systematic implementation approach.

3.
Lung Cancer ; 192: 107826, 2024 Jun.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38795460

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to evaluate if the previously reported improvements in lung cancer survival were consistent across age at diagnosis and by lung cancer subtypes. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Data on lung cancers diagnosed between 1990 and 2016 in Denmark, Finland, Iceland, Norway and Sweden were obtained from the NORDCAN database. Flexible parametric models were used to estimate age-standardized and age-specific relative survival by sex, as well as reference-adjusted crude probabilities of death and life-years lost. Age-standardised survival was also estimated by the three major subtypes; adenocarcincoma, squamous cell and small-cell carcinoma. RESULTS: Both 1- and 5-year relative survival improved continuously in all countries. The pattern of improvement was similar across age groups and by subtype. The largest improvements in survival were seen in Denmark, while improvements were comparatively smaller in Finland. In the most recent period, age-standardised estimates of 5-year relative survival ranged from 13% to 26% and the 5-year crude probability of death due to lung cancer ranged from 73% to 85%. Across all Nordic countries, survival decreased with age, and was lower in men and for small-cell carcinoma. CONCLUSION: Lung cancer survival has improved substantially since 1990, in both women and men and across age. The improvements were seen in all major subtypes. However, lung cancer survival remains poor, with three out of four patients dying from their lung cancer within five years of diagnosis.


Asunto(s)
Neoplasias Pulmonares , Humanos , Neoplasias Pulmonares/mortalidad , Neoplasias Pulmonares/epidemiología , Masculino , Femenino , Anciano , Persona de Mediana Edad , Países Escandinavos y Nórdicos/epidemiología , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Adulto , Sistema de Registros , Historia del Siglo XXI , Tasa de Supervivencia , Historia del Siglo XX , Análisis de Supervivencia , Factores de Edad
4.
Acta Oncol ; 63: 179-191, 2024 Apr 10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38597666

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Since the early 2000s, overall and site-specific cancer survival have improved substantially in the Nordic countries. We evaluated whether the improvements have been similar across countries, major cancer types, and age groups. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Using population-based data from the five Nordic cancer registries recorded in the NORDCAN database, we included a cohort of 1,525,854 men and 1,378,470 women diagnosed with cancer (except non-melanoma skin cancer) during 2002-2021, and followed for death until 2021. We estimated 5-year relative survival (RS) in 5-year calendar periods, and percentage points (pp) differences in 5-year RS from 2002-2006 until 2017-2021. Separate analyses were performed for eight cancer sites (i.e. colorectum, pancreas, lung, breast, cervix uteri, kidney, prostate, and melanoma of skin). RESULTS: Five-year RS improved across nearly all cancer sites in all countries (except Iceland), with absolute differences across age groups ranging from 1 to 21 pp (all cancer sites), 2 to 20 pp (colorectum), -1 to 36 pp (pancreas), 2 to 28 pp (lung), 0 to 9 pp (breast), -11 to 26 pp (cervix uteri), 2 to 44 pp (kidney), -2 to 23 pp (prostate) and -3 to 30 pp (skin melanoma). The oldest patients (80-89 years) exhibited lower survival across all countries and sites, although with varying improvements over time. INTERPRETATION: Nordic cancer patients have generally experienced substantial improvements in cancer survival during the last two decades, including major cancer sites and age groups. Although survival has improved over time, older patients remain at a lower cancer survival compared to younger patients.


Asunto(s)
Melanoma , Neoplasias , Masculino , Humanos , Femenino , Melanoma/epidemiología , Melanoma/terapia , Tasa de Supervivencia , Factores de Riesgo , Estudios de Seguimiento , Países Escandinavos y Nórdicos/epidemiología , Neoplasias/epidemiología , Neoplasias/terapia , Neoplasias/diagnóstico , Sistema de Registros , Análisis de Supervivencia , Incidencia
5.
Sci Rep ; 14(1): 8577, 2024 04 13.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38615059

RESUMEN

Most Western countries have increasing number of new cancer cases per year. Cancer incidence is primarily influenced by basically avoidable risk factors and an aging population. Through hypothetical elimination scenarios of multiple major risk factors for cancer, we estimated the number of new cancer cases that are non-preventable in 2050. We compare numbers of new postmenopausal breast, prostate, lung, and colorectal cancer cases in 2021 to projected numbers of new cases in 2050 under prevention scenarios regarding smoking, overweight and obesity, and alcohol consumption: no intervention, 50%, and 100% instant reduction. Cancer incidence data were derived from NORDCAN, and risk factor prevalence data from the Danish National Health Survey. Cancer projections were calculated with the Prevent program. Hypothetical 100% instant elimination of major risk factors for cancer in Denmark in 2022 will result in unchanged numbers of new breast and colorectal cancers in 2050. The number of new prostate cancers will increase by 25% compared to 2021. Unchanged risk factor levels will result in noticeable increase in cancer burden. Increase in life expectancy and age will entail an increase in cancer incidence, despite maximum effect of preventive actions in the population. Our results are important when planning future health care.


Asunto(s)
Neoplasias Colorrectales , Neoplasias de la Próstata , Masculino , Humanos , Anciano , Próstata , Factores de Riesgo , Neoplasias de la Próstata/epidemiología , Neoplasias de la Próstata/prevención & control , Pulmón , Neoplasias Colorrectales/epidemiología , Neoplasias Colorrectales/prevención & control
6.
J Epidemiol Community Health ; 78(6): 402-408, 2024 May 09.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38514169

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Differences in the prognosis after colorectal cancer (CRC) by socioeconomic position (SEP) have been reported previously; however, most studies focused on survival differences at a particular time since diagnosis. We quantified the lifetime impact of CRC and its variation by SEP, using individualised income to conceptualise SEP. METHODS: Data included all adults with a first-time diagnosis of colon or rectal cancers in Sweden between 2008 and 2021. The analysis was done separately for colon and rectal cancers using flexible parametric models. For each cancer and income group, we estimated the life expectancy in the absence of cancer, the life expectancy in the presence of cancer and the loss in life expectancy (LLE). RESULTS: We found large income disparities in life expectancy after a cancer diagnosis, with larger differences among the youngest patients. Higher income resulted in more years lost following a cancer diagnosis. For example, 40-year-old females with colon cancer lost 17.64 years if in the highest-income group and 13.68 years if in the lowest-income group. Rectal cancer resulted in higher LLE compared with colon cancer. Males lost a larger proportion of their lives. All patients, including the oldest, lost more than 30% of their remaining life expectancy. Based on the number of colon and rectal cancer diagnoses in 2021, colon cancer results in almost double the number of years lost compared with rectal cancer (24 669 and 12 105 years, respectively). CONCLUSION: While our results should be interpreted in line with what individualised income represents, they highlight the need to address inequalities.


Asunto(s)
Neoplasias del Colon , Renta , Esperanza de Vida , Neoplasias del Recto , Sistema de Registros , Humanos , Suecia/epidemiología , Femenino , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Anciano , Neoplasias del Recto/mortalidad , Adulto , Neoplasias del Colon/mortalidad , Disparidades en el Estado de Salud , Factores Socioeconómicos , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Clase Social
7.
Eur J Cancer ; 202: 113980, 2024 May.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38452724

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The survival in patients diagnosed with cutaneous malignant melanoma (CMM) has improved in the Nordic countries in the last decades. It is of interest to know if these improvements are observed in all ages and for both women and men. METHODS: Patients diagnosed with CMM in the Nordic countries in 1990-2016 were identified in the NORDCAN database. Flexible parametric relative survival models were fitted, except for Iceland where a non-parametric Pohar-Perme approach was used. A range of survival metrics were estimated by sex, both age-standardised and age-specific. RESULTS: The 5-year relative survival improved in all countries, in both women and men and across age. While the improvement was more pronounced in men, women still had a higher survival at the end of the study period. The survival was generally high, with age-standardised estimates of 5-year relative survival towards the end of the study period ranging from 85% in Icelandic men to 95% in Danish women. The age-standardised and reference-adjusted 5-year crude probability of death due to CMM ranged from 5% in Danish and Swedish women to 13% in Icelandic men. CONCLUSION: Although survival following CMM was relatively high in the Nordic countries in 1990, continued improvements in survival were observed throughout the study period in both women and men and across age.


Asunto(s)
Melanoma , Neoplasias Cutáneas , Masculino , Humanos , Femenino , Melanoma Cutáneo Maligno , Tasa de Supervivencia , Factores de Riesgo , Análisis de Supervivencia , Países Escandinavos y Nórdicos/epidemiología , Sistema de Registros , Incidencia , Dinamarca/epidemiología
8.
Leukemia ; 38(5): 1081-1085, 2024 May.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38461191

RESUMEN

Myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPN) are associated with inferior pregnancy outcome, however, little is known about fertility and childbearing potential in women with MPN. In this study we aimed to describe reproductive patterns, as well as to quantify risk of miscarriage and stillbirth. Women aged 15-44 years with an MPN diagnosis 1973-2018, were identified in Swedish health care registers, and age-matched 1:4 to population controls. We identified 1141 women with MPN and 4564 controls. Women with MPN had a lower rate of childbirth (hazard ratio [HR] with 95% confidence interval was 0.78 (0.68-0.90)). Subgroup analysis showed that the rate was not significantly reduced in essential thrombocythemia, HR 1.02 (0.86-1.22) while the HR was 0.50 (0.33-0.76) in PV and 0.45 (0.28-0.74) in PMF. The risk of miscarriage was not significantly increased before MPN diagnosis, the HR during follow-up after diagnosis was 1.25 (0.89-1.76). Women with MPN were more likely to have had a previous stillbirth. Women with MPN had fewer children at diagnosis, and fewer children in total. In conclusion, the childbirth rate was lower among women with MPN than controls, but not among women with essential thrombocythemia.


Asunto(s)
Trastornos Mieloproliferativos , Humanos , Femenino , Adulto , Trastornos Mieloproliferativos/epidemiología , Trastornos Mieloproliferativos/complicaciones , Embarazo , Adolescente , Adulto Joven , Suecia/epidemiología , Tasa de Natalidad , Mortinato/epidemiología , Aborto Espontáneo/epidemiología , Estudios de Casos y Controles , Resultado del Embarazo , Estudios de Seguimiento , Sistema de Registros , Factores de Riesgo
10.
J Am Acad Dermatol ; 90(5): 963-969, 2024 May.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38218560

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Survival in cutaneous melanoma (CM) is heterogeneous. Loss in life expectancy (LLE) measures impact of CM on remaining lifespan compared to general population. OBJECTIVES: Investigating LLE in operated stage II-III CM patients. METHODS: Data from 8061 patients (aged 40-80 years) with stage II-III CM in Sweden, diagnosed between 2005 and 2018, were analyzed (Swedish Melanoma Registry). A flexible parametric survival model estimated life expectancy and LLE. RESULTS: Based on 2018 diagnoses, stage II and III CM patients lost 2209 and 1902 life years, respectively. LLE was higher in stage III: 5.2 versus 10.9 years (stage II vs III 60-year-old females). Younger patients had higher LLE: 10.7 versus 3.9 years (stage II CM in 40 vs 70-year-old males). In stage II, females had lower LLE than males; 50-year-old females and males stage II CM had LLE equal to 7.3 and 8.3 years, respectively. LLE increased with higher substages, stage IIB resembling IIIB and IIC resembling IIIC-D. LIMITATIONS: Extrapolation was used to estimate LLE. Varying stage group sizes require caution. CONCLUSIONS: Our results are both clinically relevant and easy-to-interpret measures of the impact of CM on survival, but the results also summarize the prognosis over the lifetime of a CM patient.


Asunto(s)
Melanoma , Neoplasias Cutáneas , Masculino , Femenino , Humanos , Persona de Mediana Edad , Anciano , Melanoma/diagnóstico , Neoplasias Cutáneas/patología , Suecia/epidemiología , Estudios de Cohortes , Esperanza de Vida , Estadificación de Neoplasias
11.
Eur J Cancer ; 199: 113572, 2024 Mar.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38280280

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The introduction of national guidelines should eliminate previously observed associations between socioeconomic status (SES) and colorectal cancer treatment. The aim of the study was to investigate whether inequalities remain. METHODS: CRCBaSe, a register-linkage originating from the Swedish Colorectal Cancer Registry, was used to identify information on patient and tumour characteristics, for 83,460 patients with stage I-III disease diagnosed 2008-2021. SES was measured as disposable income (quartiles) and the highest level of education. Outcomes of interest were emergency surgery, multidisciplinary team (MDT) conference discussion, and oncological treatment. Differences in treatment between SES groups were explored using multivariable logistic regression adjusted for year of diagnosis, age at diagnosis, sex, civil status, comorbidities, tumour location and stage. RESULTS: Patients in the highest income quartile had a lower risk of emergency surgery (OR 0.73 95%CI 0.68-0.80), a higher chance of being discussed at the preoperative (OR 1.39 95%CI 1.28-1.51) and postoperative MDT (OR 1.41 95%CI 1.30-1.53), receiving neoadjuvant (OR 1.15 95%CI 1.06-1.25) and adjuvant treatment (OR 2.04 95%CI 1.88-2.20). Higher education level increased the odds of MDT discussion but was not associated with oncological treatment. The proportion of patients discussed at the MDT increased, with almost all patients discussed since 2016. Despite this, treatment differences remained when patients diagnosed since 2016 were analysed separately. CONCLUSION: There were significant differences in how patients with different SES were treated for colorectal cancer. Further action is required to investigate the drivers of these differences as well as their impact on mortality and, ultimately, eliminate the inequalities.


Asunto(s)
Neoplasias Colorrectales , Disparidades Socioeconómicas en Salud , Humanos , Clase Social , Sistema de Registros , Terapia Neoadyuvante , Neoplasias Colorrectales/patología
12.
BMC Med Res Methodol ; 23(1): 291, 2023 12 12.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38087236

RESUMEN

PURPOSE: This study introduces a novel method for estimating the variance of life expectancy since diagnosis (LEC) and loss in life expectancy (LLE) for cancer patients within a relative survival framework in situations where life tables based on the entire general population are not accessible. LEC and LLE are useful summary measures of survival in population-based cancer studies, but require information on the mortality in the general population. Our method addresses the challenge of incorporating the uncertainty of expected mortality rates when using a sample from the general population. METHODS: To illustrate the approach, we estimated LEC and LLE for patients diagnosed with colon and breast cancer in Sweden. General population mortality rates were based on a random sample drawn from comparators of a matched cohort. Flexible parametric survival models were used to model the mortality among cancer patients and the mortality in the random sample from the general population. Based on the models, LEC and LLE together with their variances were estimated. The results were compared with those obtained using fixed expected mortality rates. RESULTS: By accounting for the uncertainty of expected mortality rates, the proposed method ensures more accurate estimates of variances and, therefore, confidence intervals of LEC and LLE for cancer patients. This is particularly valuable for older patients and some cancer types, where underestimation of the variance can be substantial when the entire general population data are not accessible. CONCLUSION: The method can be implemented using existing software, making it accessible for use in various cancer studies. The provided example of Stata code further facilitates its adoption.


Asunto(s)
Neoplasias de la Mama , Esperanza de Vida , Humanos , Femenino , Incertidumbre , Suecia/epidemiología , Mortalidad
13.
Pulm Circ ; 13(4): e12306, 2023 Oct.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37927611

RESUMEN

We aimed to follow a nationwide cohort of patients with pulmonary embolism (PE) without any exclusions to generate information regarding long-term symptoms, investigational findings and to determine the prevalence of chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension (CTEPH). We hypothesized that this approach would yield generalizable estimates of CTEPH prevalence and incidence. All individuals diagnosed with acute PE in Sweden in 2005 were identified using the National Patient Register. In 2007, survivors were asked to complete a questionnaire regarding current symptoms. Those with dyspnea were referred for further examinations with laboratory tests, electrocardiogram (ECG), and a ventilation/perfusion scan (V/Q scan). If CTEPH was suspected, a referral to the nearest pulmonary arterial hypertension-center was recommended. Of 5793 unique individuals with PE diagnosis in 2005, 3510 were alive at the beginning of 2007. Altogether 53% reported dyspnea at some degree whereof a large proportion had V/Q scans indicating mismatched defects. Further investigation revealed 6 cases of CTEPH and in parallel 18 cases were diagnosed outside this study. The overall prevalence of CTEPH was 0.4% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.2%-0.6%) and 0.7% (95% CI: 0.4%-1.0%) among the survivors. The cumulative incidence of CTEPH in the group of patients who underwent a V/Q scan was 1.1% (95% CI: 0.2%-2.0%). There was a high mortality following an acute PE, a high proportion of persistent dyspnea among survivors, whereof several had pathological findings on V/Q scans and echocardiography. Only a minority developed CTEPH, indicating that CTEPH is the tip of the iceberg of post-PE disturbances.

14.
Br J Cancer ; 129(5): 819-828, 2023 09.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37433898

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Routine reporting of cancer patient survival is important, both to monitor the effectiveness of health care and to inform about prognosis following a cancer diagnosis. A range of different survival measures exist, each serving different purposes and targeting different audiences. It is important that routine publications expand on current practice and provide estimates on a wider range of survival measures. We examine the feasibility of automated production of such statistics. METHODS: We used data on 23 cancer sites obtained from the Cancer Registry of Norway (CRN). We propose an automated way of estimating flexible parametric relative survival models and calculating estimates of net survival, crude probabilities, and loss in life expectancy across many cancer sites and subgroups of patients. RESULTS: For 21 of 23 cancer sites, we were able to estimate survival models without assuming proportional hazards. Reliable estimates of all desired measures were obtained for all cancer sites. DISCUSSION: It may be challenging to implement new survival measures in routine publications as it can require the application of modeling techniques. We propose a way of automating the production of such statistics and show that we can obtain reliable estimates across a range of measures and subgroups of patients.


Asunto(s)
Neoplasias , Humanos , Análisis de Supervivencia , Estudios de Factibilidad , Neoplasias/terapia , Probabilidad , Algoritmos
15.
JNCI Cancer Spectr ; 7(3)2023 05 02.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37252821

RESUMEN

Incidence and mortality are default measures to describe cancer trends. Mortality compounds incidence and survival but not age at death. We calculated years of life lost (YLL) due to 1 of the 10 solid tumors causing most deaths (lung, colorectal, prostate, pancreatic, breast, hepatobiliary, urinary, central nervous system, gastric, melanoma) using Swedish National Cancer and Cause of Death Registers. Comparing YLL with mortality in 2019, lung (43 152 YLL) and colorectal (32 340 YLL) cancer remained at the top, pancreatic cancer was upranked fourth to third (22 592 YLL) and breast cancer fifth to fourth (21 810 YLL), while prostate cancer was downranked third to fifth (17 380 YLL). Assessing YLL over 2010-2019, women lost consistently more life years because of lung and pancreatic cancer. A downward colorectal cancer mortality trend was reflected as a YLL decline only in women. YLL is simple to calculate, is intuitive to interpret, and expands the understanding of the cancer burden on society.


Asunto(s)
Neoplasias Colorrectales , Neoplasias Pancreáticas , Neoplasias de la Próstata , Masculino , Humanos , Esperanza de Vida , Causas de Muerte , Neoplasias Pancreáticas
16.
BMC Med Res Methodol ; 23(1): 87, 2023 04 10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37038100

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Multi-state models are used to study several clinically meaningful research questions. Depending on the research question of interest and the information contained in the data, different multi-state structures and modelling choices can be applied. We aim to explore different research questions using a series of multi-state models of increasing complexity when studying repeated prescriptions data, while also evaluating different modelling choices. METHODS: We develop a series of research questions regarding the probability of being under antidepressant medication across time using multi-state models, among Swedish women diagnosed with breast cancer (n = 18,313) and an age-matched population comparison group of cancer-free women (n = 92,454) using a register-based database (Breast Cancer Data Base Sweden 2.0). Research questions were formulated ranging from simple to more composite ones. Depending on the research question, multi-state models were built with structures ranging from simpler ones, like single-event survival analysis and competing risks, up to complex bidirectional and recurrent multi-state structures that take into account the recurring start and stop of medication. We also investigate modelling choices, such as choosing a time-scale for the transition rates and borrowing information across transitions. RESULTS: Each structure has its own utility and answers a specific research question. However, the more complex structures (bidirectional, recurrent) enable accounting for the intermittent nature of prescribed medication data. These structures deliver estimates of the probability of being under medication and total time spent under medication over the follow-up period. Sensitivity analyses over different definitions of the medication cycle and different choices of timescale when modelling the transition intensity rates show that the estimates of total probabilities of being in a medication cycle over follow-up derived from the complex structures are quite stable. CONCLUSIONS: Each research question requires the definition of an appropriate multi-state structure, with more composite ones requiring such an increase in the complexity of the multi-state structure. When a research question is related with an outcome of interest that repeatedly changes over time, such as the medication status based on prescribed medication, the use of novel multi-state models of adequate complexity coupled with sensible modelling choices can successfully address composite, more realistic research questions.


Asunto(s)
Neoplasias de la Mama , Humanos , Femenino , Neoplasias de la Mama/tratamiento farmacológico , Recurrencia Local de Neoplasia , Antidepresivos/uso terapéutico , Sistema de Registros , Prescripciones de Medicamentos
17.
Acta Oncol ; 62(2): 103-109, 2023 Feb.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36790070

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: It is unknown if the reduction in the expected number of cancer cases diagnosed during Swedish holidays are due to diagnostic delays, how different cancers are affected, and if the season of diagnosis influences long-term cancer survival. We aimed to quantify seasonal trends in incidence and excess mortality for a wide range of malignancies, requiring more or less urgent clinical management. MATERIAL AND METHODS: This nationwide cohort study included all Swedish residents aged 20-84 in 1990-2019. Incidence and relative survival in pancreatic, colorectal, lung, urothelial, breast, and prostate cancer, together with malignant melanoma, non-Hodgkin lymphoma, and acute leukemia diagnosed during holiday and post-holiday were compared to working (reference) season. Incidence rate ratios (IRR) were estimated using Poisson regression and excess (cancer) mortality rate ratios using flexible parametric models. RESULTS: We identified 882,980 cancer cases. Incidence declined during holiday season for all malignancies and the IRR ranged from 0.58 (95% CI 0.57-0.59 in breast to 0.92 (95% CI 0.89-0.94) in pancreatic cancer. A post-holiday increase was noted for acute leukemia, pancreatic, and lung cancer. For all malignancies except lung cancer, non-Hodgkin lymphoma, and acute leukemia, the excess mortality at 2 years from diagnosis was higher among those diagnosed during the holiday season. A tendency toward elevated short-term (0.5 years) excess mortality was noted in the post-holiday group, but long-term effects only persisted in breast cancer. CONCLUSION: This study demonstrates lower holiday detection rates and higher mortality rates in various cancer types diagnosed during holiday season. Healthcare systems should offer a uniform level of cancer care independent of calendar season.


Asunto(s)
Leucemia , Neoplasias Pulmonares , Linfoma no Hodgkin , Neoplasias Cutáneas , Masculino , Humanos , Incidencia , Estaciones del Año , Estudios de Cohortes , Pronóstico , Linfoma no Hodgkin/epidemiología
18.
JAMA ; 329(5): 393-404, 2023 02 07.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36749333

RESUMEN

Importance: Adverse pregnancy outcomes are recognized risk enhancers for cardiovascular disease, but the prevalence of subclinical coronary atherosclerosis after these conditions is unknown. Objective: To assess associations between history of adverse pregnancy outcomes and coronary artery disease assessed by coronary computed tomography angiography screening. Design, Setting, and Participants: Cross-sectional study of a population-based cohort of women in Sweden (n = 10 528) with 1 or more deliveries in 1973 or later, ascertained via the Swedish National Medical Birth Register, who subsequently participated in the Swedish Cardiopulmonary Bioimage Study at age 50 to 65 (median, 57.3) years in 2013-2018. Delivery data were prospectively collected. Exposures: Adverse pregnancy outcomes, including preeclampsia, gestational hypertension, preterm delivery, small-for-gestational-age infant, and gestational diabetes. The reference category included women with no history of these exposures. Main Outcomes and Measures: Coronary computed tomography angiography indexes, including any coronary atherosclerosis, significant stenosis, noncalcified plaque, segment involvement score of 4 or greater, and coronary artery calcium score greater than 100. Results: A median 29.6 (IQR, 25.0-34.9) years after first registered delivery, 18.9% of women had a history of adverse pregnancy outcomes, with specific pregnancy histories ranging from 1.4% (gestational diabetes) to 9.5% (preterm delivery). The prevalence of any coronary atherosclerosis in women with a history of any adverse pregnancy outcome was 32.1% (95% CI, 30.0%-34.2%), which was significantly higher (prevalence difference, 3.8% [95% CI, 1.6%-6.1%]; prevalence ratio, 1.14 [95% CI, 1.06-1.22]) compared with reference women. History of gestational hypertension and preeclampsia were both significantly associated with higher and similar prevalence of all outcome indexes. For preeclampsia, the highest prevalence difference was observed for any coronary atherosclerosis (prevalence difference, 8.0% [95% CI, 3.7%-12.3%]; prevalence ratio, 1.28 [95% CI, 1.14-1.45]), and the highest prevalence ratio was observed for significant stenosis (prevalence difference, 3.1% [95% CI, 1.1%-5.1%]; prevalence ratio, 2.46 [95% CI, 1.65-3.67]). In adjusted models, odds ratios for preeclampsia ranged from 1.31 (95% CI, 1.07-1.61) for any coronary atherosclerosis to 2.21 (95% CI, 1.42-3.44) for significant stenosis. Similar associations were observed for history of preeclampsia or gestational hypertension among women with low predicted cardiovascular risk. Conclusions and Relevance: Among Swedish women undergoing coronary computed tomography angiography screening, there was a statistically significant association between history of adverse pregnancy outcomes and image-identified coronary artery disease, including among women estimated to be at low cardiovascular disease risk. Further research is needed to understand the clinical importance of these associations.


Asunto(s)
Angiografía por Tomografía Computarizada , Enfermedad de la Arteria Coronaria , Complicaciones del Embarazo , Resultado del Embarazo , Anciano , Femenino , Humanos , Persona de Mediana Edad , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/diagnóstico por imagen , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/epidemiología , Constricción Patológica/epidemiología , Enfermedad de la Arteria Coronaria/diagnóstico por imagen , Enfermedad de la Arteria Coronaria/epidemiología , Estudios Transversales , Diabetes Gestacional/epidemiología , Hipertensión Inducida en el Embarazo/epidemiología , Preeclampsia/epidemiología , Resultado del Embarazo/epidemiología , Nacimiento Prematuro/epidemiología , Factores de Riesgo , Suecia/epidemiología , Complicaciones del Embarazo/epidemiología
19.
Br J Dermatol ; 188(1): 32-40, 2023 01 23.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36689497

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Metformin use has been associated with improved survival in patients with different types of cancer, but research regarding the effect of metformin on cutaneous melanoma (CM) survival is sparse and inconclusive. OBJECTIVES: To investigate the association between metformin use and survival among patients with CM and diabetes. METHODS: All adult patients with a primary invasive CM between 2007 and 2014 were identified in the Swedish Melanoma Registry and followed until death, or end of follow-up on 31 December 2017 in this population-based cohort study. Patients with both CM and type 2 diabetes mellitus were assessed further. Overall survival (OS) and melanoma-specific survival (MSS) were the primary endpoints. Cox proportional hazard models estimating crude and adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were used comparing peridiagnostic use vs. nonuse of metformin. Dose response was evaluated based on defined daily doses. RESULTS: Among a total of 23 507 patients, 1162 patients with CM and type 2 diabetes mellitus were included in the final cohort, with a median follow-up time of 4.1 years (interquartile range 2.4-6.1). Peridiagnostic metformin use was associated with a significantly decreased risk of death by any cause (HR 0.68, 95% CI 0.57-0.81). Cumulative pre- and postdiagnostic metformin use was also associated with improved OS: the HR for prediagnostic use was 0.90 (95% CI 0.86-0.95) for every 6 months of use and the HR for postdiagnostic use ranged from 0.98 (95% CI 0.97-0.98) for 0-6 months to 0.59 (0.49-0.70) for 24-30 months of use. No association was found for metformin use and MSS. CONCLUSIONS: Metformin use was associated with improved OS in patients with CM and diabetes regardless of timing (pre-, post- or peridiagnostic use) and followed a dose-response pattern. However, further research regarding the underlying mechanisms is warranted.


Asunto(s)
Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2 , Melanoma , Metformina , Neoplasias Cutáneas , Adulto , Humanos , Hipoglucemiantes , Estudios de Cohortes , Estudios Retrospectivos , Melanoma Cutáneo Maligno
20.
Acta Oncol ; 61(12): 1481-1489, 2022 Dec.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36542678

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: A recent overview of cancer survival trends 1990-2016 in the Nordic countries reported continued improvements in age-standardized breast cancer survival among women. The aim was to estimate age-specific survival trends over calendar time, including life-years lost, to evaluate if improvements have benefited patients across all ages in the Nordic countries. METHODS: Data on breast cancers diagnosed 1990-2016 in Denmark, Finland, Iceland, Norway, and Sweden were obtained from the NORDCAN database. Age-standardized and age-specific relative survival (RS) was estimated using flexible parametric models, as was reference-adjusted crude probabilities of death and life-years lost. RESULTS: Age-standardized period estimates of 5-year RS in women diagnosed with breast cancer ranged from 87% to 90% and 10-year RS from 74% to 85%. Ten-year RS increased with 15-18 percentage points from 1990 to 2016, except in Sweden (+9 percentage points) which had the highest survival in 1990. The largest improvements were observed in Denmark, where a previous survival disadvantage diminished. Most recent 5-year crude probabilities of cancer death ranged from 9% (Finland, Sweden) to 12% (Denmark, Iceland), and life-years lost from 3.3 years (Finland) to 4.6 years (Denmark). Although survival improvements were consistent across different ages, women aged ≥70 years had the lowest RS in all countries. Period estimates of 5-year RS were 94-95% in age 55 years and 84-89% in age 75 years, while 10-year RS were 88-91% in age 55 years and 69-84% in age 75 years. Women aged 40 years lost on average 11.0-13.8 years, while women lost 3.8-6.0 years if aged 55 and 1.9-3.5 years if aged 75 years. CONCLUSIONS: Survival for Nordic women with breast cancer improved from 1990 to 2016 in all age groups, albeit with larger country variation among older women where survival was also lower. Women over 70 years of age have not had the same survival improvement as women of younger age.


Asunto(s)
Neoplasias de la Mama , Humanos , Femenino , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Neoplasias de la Mama/terapia , Tasa de Supervivencia , Factores de Riesgo , Países Escandinavos y Nórdicos/epidemiología , Finlandia/epidemiología , Suecia/epidemiología , Noruega/epidemiología , Sistema de Registros , Factores de Edad , Dinamarca/epidemiología
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