Urban-Rural Differences in the Prevalence of Diabetes Among Adults in Haryana, India: The ICMR-INDIAB Study (ICMR-INDIAB-18).

INTRODUCTION: Diabetes is a multifactorial disease with far-reaching consequences. Environmental factors, such as urban or rural residence, influence its prevalence and associated comorbidities. Haryana-a north Indian state-has undergone rapid urbanisation, and part of it is included in the National Capital Region (NCR). The primary aim of the study is to estimate the prevalence of diabetes in Haryana with urban-rural, NCR and non-NCR regional stratification and assess the factors affecting the likelihood of having diabetes among adults. METHODS: This sub-group analysis of the Indian Council of Medical Research-India Diabetes (ICMR-INDIAB) study (a nationally representative cross-sectional population-based survey) was done for Haryana using data from 3722 participants. The dependent variable was diabetes, while residence in NCR/non-NCR and urban-rural areas were prime independent variables. Weighted prevalence was estimated using state-specific sampling weights and standardized using National Family Health Survey-5 (NFHS-5) study weights. Associations were depicted using bivariate analysis, and factors describing the likelihood of living with diabetes were explored using a multivariable binary logistic regression analysis approach. RESULTS: Overall, the weighted prevalence of diabetes in Haryana was higher than the national average (12.4% vs. 11.4%). The prevalence was higher in urban (17.9%) than in rural areas (9.5%). The prevalence of diabetes in rural areas was higher in the NCR region, while that of prediabetes was higher in rural non-NCR region. Urban-rural participants' anthropometric measurements and biochemical profiles depicted non-significant differences. Urban-rural status, age and physical activity levels were the most significant factors that affected the likelihood of living with diabetes. CONCLUSIONS: The current analysis provides robust prevalence estimates highlighting the urban-rural disparities. Urban areas continue to have a high prevalence of diabetes and prediabetes; rural areas depict a much higher prevalence of prediabetes than diabetes. With the economic transition rapidly bridging the gap between urban and rural populations, health policymakers should plan efficient strategies to tackle the diabetes epidemic.

Correction: Prevalence of prediabetes and type 2 diabetes mellitus in south and southeast Asian women with history of gestational diabetes mellitus: Systematic review and meta-analysis.

[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0278919.].

Construct validity of the 12-item Short Form Health Survey (SF-12) version 2 and the impact of lifestyle modifications on the health-related quality of life among Indian adults with prediabetes: results from the D-CLIP trial.

PURPOSE: This study aimed to validate the factor structure of the 12-item Short-Form (SF-12) health-related quality of life (HRQOL) survey for Indian adults and assess the impact of lifestyle modification on the SF-12 of Indian adults with prediabetes. METHODS: To validate the context-specific construct of the SF-12, two-factor confirmatory factor analysis (CFA) was performed using data from 1285 adults residing in Chennai, India, who screened for the Diabetes Community Lifestyle Improvement Program (D-CLIP). D-CLIP was a randomized controlled trial of 578 participants with prediabetes (283 treatment, 293 control), focusing on the effect of lifestyle modifications on the prevention of diabetes. Physical and mental component scores (PCS and MCS) were computed by using CFA standardized factor loadings. Multiple linear regression was subsequently conducted to estimate the effect of lifestyle modification on post-study changes of PCS and MCS among D-CLIP participants. RESULTS: Cronbach's alpha and CFA fit indices demonstrated acceptable reliability and model fit of the SF-12 for Indian adults. The intervention group showed greater mean change in PCS after study participation compared to the controls (1.63 ± 0.82, p = 0.046); no significant difference was observed for MCS between two groups (1.00 ± 0.85, p = 0.242). CONCLUSION: The study confirmed that the SF-12 is suitable for assessing the physical and mental health dimensions of HRQOL for Indian adults. Our findings suggest that the benefits of diabetes prevention lifestyle modification strategies may primarily enhance the physical well-being of adults with prediabetes. Further studies validating the SF-12 in a broader Asian Indian population are needed. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Clinicaltrials.gov, NCT01283308.

Performance of European prediction models for classification of type 1 and type 2 diabetes in Indians.

AIM: We aimed to determine the performance of European prediction models in an Indian population to classify type 1 diabetes(T1D) and type 2 diabetes(T2D). METHODS: We assessed discrimination and calibration of published models of diabetes classification, using retrospective data from electronic medical records of 83309 participants aged 18-50 years living in India. Diabetes type was defined based on C-peptide measurement and early insulin requirement. Models assessed combinations of clinical measurements: age at diagnosis, body mass index(mean = 26.6 kg/m2), sex(male = 64.9 %), Glutamic acid decarboxylase(GAD) antibody, serum cholesterol, serum triglycerides, and high-density lipoprotein(HDL) cholesterol. RESULTS: 67955 participants met inclusion criteria, of whom 0.8 % had T1D, which was markedly lower than model development cohorts. Model discrimination for clinical features was broadly similar in our Indian cohort compared to the European cohort: area under the receiver operating characteristic curve(AUC ROC) was 0.90 vs. 0.90 respectively, but was lower in the subset of young participants with measured GAD antibodies(n = 2404): and an AUC ROC of 0.87 when clinical features, sex, lipids and GAD antibodies were combined. All models substantially overestimated the likelihood of T1D, reflecting the lower prevalence of T1D in the Indian population. However, good model performance was achieved after recalibration by updating the model intercept and slope. CONCLUSION: Models for diabetes classification maintain the discrimination of T1D and T2D in this Indian population, where T2D is far more common, but require recalibration to obtain appropriate model probabilities. External validation and recalibration are needed before these tools can be used in non-European populations.

Natural History of Type 2 Diabetes in Indians: Time to Progression.

OBJECTIVE: To describe the natural history of diabetes in Indians. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: Data are from participants older than 20 years in the Centre for Cardiometabolic Risk Reduction in South Asia longitudinal study. Glycemic states were defined per American Diabetes Association criteria. Markov models were used to estimate annual transition probabilities and sojourn time through states. RESULTS: Among 2,714 diabetes-free participants, 641 had isolated impaired fasting glucose (iIFG), and 341 had impaired glucose tolerance (IGT). The annual transition to diabetes for those with IGT was 13.9% (95% CI 12.0, 15.9) versus 8.6% (7.3, 9.8) for iIFG. In the normoglycemia ↔ iIFG → diabetes model, mean sojourn time in normoglycemia was 40.3 (34.6, 48.2) years, and sojourn time in iIFG was 9.7 (8.4, 11.4) years. For the normoglycemia ↔ IGT → diabetes model, mean sojourn time in normoglycemia was 34.5 (29.5, 40.8) years, and sojourn time in IGT was 6.1 (5.3, 7.1) years. CONCLUSIONS: Individuals reside in normoglycemia for 35-40 years; however, progression from prediabetes to diabetes is rapid.

Circulatory levels of lysophosphatidylcholine species in obese adolescents: Findings from cross-sectional and prospective lipidomics analyses.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Obesity has reached epidemic proportions, emphasizing the importance of reliable biomarkers for detecting early metabolic alterations and enabling early preventative interventions. However, our understanding of the molecular mechanisms and specific lipid species associated with childhood obesity remains limited. Therefore, the aim of this study was to investigate plasma lipidomic signatures as potential biomarkers for adolescent obesity. METHODS AND RESULTS: A total of 103 individuals comprising overweight/obese (n = 46) and normal weight (n = 57) were randomly chosen from the baseline ORANGE (Obesity Reduction and Noncommunicable Disease Awareness through Group Education) cohort, having been followed up for a median of 7.1 years. Plasma lipidomic profiling was performed using the UHPLC-HRMS method. We used three different models adjusted for clinical covariates to analyze the data. Clustering methods were used to define metabotypes, which allowed for the stratification of subjects into subgroups with similar clinical and metabolic profiles. We observed that lysophosphatidylcholine (LPC) species like LPC.16.0, LPC.18.3, LPC.18.1, and LPC.20.3 were significantly (p < 0.05) associated with baseline and follow-up BMI in adolescent obesity. The association of LPC species with BMI remained consistently significant even after adjusting for potential confounders. Moreover, applying metabotyping using hierarchical clustering provided insights into the metabolic heterogeneity within the normal and obese groups, distinguishing metabolically healthy individuals from those with unhealthy metabolic profiles. CONCLUSION: The specific LPC levels were found to be altered and increased in childhood obesity, particularly during the follow-up. These findings suggest that LPC species hold promise as potential biomarkers of obesity in adolescents, including healthy and unhealthy metabolic profiles.

Recent studies on hypertension prevalence and control in India 2023.

Hypertension is the most important chronic disease risk factor in India. Recent epidemiological studies have reported that hypertension is increasing in India with a more rapid increase in rural and young populations. Fifth National Family Health Survey (NFHS-5) and Indian Council of Medical Research-INDIAB surveys have reported that there are substantial geographic variations in hypertension prevalence with greater prevalence in more developed states and districts of the country. There is a high prevalence of young-age hypertension, especially in the less developed states. The incidence of adverse events from hypertension-related cardiovascular disease is significantly greater in India than in more developed countries. A low level of hypertension awareness, treatment, and control, especially in rural and underserved urban populations is an important finding. In this narrative review, we highlight recent nationwide studies and unique features of hypertension in India and suggest strategies for better hypertension management and control.

Association of collaborative care intervention features with depression and metabolic outcomes in the INDEPENDENT study: A mixed methods study.

AIMS: The INtegrating DEPrEssioN and Diabetes treatmENT (INDEPENDENT) trial tested a collaborative care model including electronic clinical decision support (CDS) for treating diabetes and depression in India. We aimed to assess which features of this clinically and cost-effective intervention were associated with improvements in diabetes and depression measures. METHODS: Post-hoc analysis of the INDEPENDENT trial data (189 intervention participants) was conducted to determine each intervention feature's effect: 1. Collaborative case reviews between expert psychiatrists and the care team; 2. Patient care-coordinator contacts; and 3. Clinicians' CDS prompt modifications. Primary outcome was baseline-to-12-months improvements in diabetes control, blood pressure, cholesterol, and depression. Implementer interviews revealed barriers and facilitators of intervention success. Joint displays integrated mixed methods' results. RESULTS: High baseline HbA1c≥ 74.9 mmol/mol (9%) was associated with 5.72 fewer care-coordinator contacts than those with better baseline HbA1c (76.8 mmol/mol, 9.18%, p < 0.001). Prompt modification proportions varied from 38.3% (diabetes) to 1.3% (LDL). Interviews found that providers' and participants' visit frequencies were preference dependent. Qualitative data elucidated patient-level factors that influenced number of clinical contacts and prompt modifications explaining their lack of association with clinical outcomes. CONCLUSION: Our mixed methods approach underlines the importance of the complementarity of different intervention features. Qualitative findings further illuminate reasons for variations in fidelity from the core model.

Perceived stress and progression of cardiometabolic risk factors among South Asians with prediabetes in a lifestyle intervention trial.

AIMS: To examine associations between perceived stress and cardiometabolic risk factors in South Asians with prediabetes and assess whether a diabetes prevention program mitigates the impact of stress on cardiometabolic health. METHODS: We conducted a secondary analysis of the Diabetes Community Lifestyle Improvement Program, a lifestyle modification trial for diabetes prevention in India (n = 564). Indicators for cardiometabolic health (weight, waist circumference, blood pressure, glucose, HbA1c, and lipids) were measured at each visit while perceived stress was assessed via questionnaire at baseline. Multivariable linear regression assessed associations between stress and cardiometabolic parameters at baseline and 3-year follow up. RESULTS: At baseline, perceived stress was associated with higher weight (b=0.16; 95% CI: 0.04, 0.29) and waist circumference (b=0.11; 95% CI: 0.01, 0.21) but lower 30-minute postload glucose (b=-0.44; 95% CI: -0.76, -0.14) and LDL cholesterol (b=-0.40; 95% CI: -0.76, -0.03). Over the study period, perceived stress was associated with weight gain (b=0.20; 95% CI: 0.07, 0.33) and increased waist circumference (b=0.14; 95% CI: 0.04, 0.24). Additionally, higher perceived stress was associated with lower HDL cholesterol among the control arm (pinteraction = 0.02). CONCLUSIONS: Baseline stress was associated with negative cardiometabolic risk factor outcomes over time in those with prediabetes.

Smokeless and combustible tobacco use among 148,944 South Asian adults: a cross-sectional study of South Asia Biobank.

INTRODUCTION: Tobacco use, in both smoking and smokeless forms, is highly prevalent among South Asian adults. The aims of the study were twofold: (1) describe patterns of SLT and combustible tobacco product use in four South Asian countries stratified by country and sex, and (2) assess the relationships between SLT and smoking intensity, smoking quit attempts, and smoking cessation among South Asian men. METHODS: Data were obtained from South Asia Biobank Study, collected between 2018 and 2022 from 148,944 men and women aged 18 years and above, living in Bangladesh, India, Pakistan, or Sri Lanka. Mixed effects multivariable logistic and linear regression were used to quantify the associations of SLT use with quit attempt, cessation, and intensity. RESULTS: Among the four South Asian countries, Bangladesh has the highest rates of current smoking (39.9% for male, 0.4% for female) and current SLT use (24.7% for male and 23.4% for female). Among male adults, ever SLT use was associated with a higher odds of smoking cessation in Bangladesh (OR, 2.88; 95% CI, 2.65, 3.13), India (OR, 2.02; 95% CI, 1.63, 2.50), and Sri Lanka (OR, 1.36; 95% CI, 1.14, 1.62). Ever SLT use and current SLT use was associated with lower smoking intensity in all countries. CONCLUSIONS: In this large population-based study of South Asian adults, rates of smoking and SLT use vary widely by country and gender. Men who use SLT products are more likely to abstain from smoking compared with those who do not.

The impact of yoga on stress, metabolic parameters, and cognition of Indian adolescents: Cluster randomized controlled trial.

Background: This project aimed to assess the impact of yoga on stress, metabolic parameters and cognition (attention & concentration) in adolescents, aged 13-15 years from public and private schools in two cities (Chennai and New Delhi) in India. Methods: The study recruited 2000 adolescents from 24 schools in a cluster randomized controlled trial design. The yoga group participants underwent 17 yoga sessions, which included: pranayama, basic asanas, meditation and relaxation exercises. Yoga sessions, were held in the school premises once a week. A total of five awareness talks on healthy lifestyle were delivered once a month to the education group. ADOlescence Stress Scale (ADOSS), salivary cortisol, metabolic and clinical parameters and Letter Cancellation Test (LCT) score were measured at baseline and post-intervention (5-6 months). Results: The yoga group showed statistically significant differences in the mean ADOSS score, metabolic parameters, salivary cortisol, and LCT scores compared to the education group. In the intention- to- treat analysis, a significant reduction [5.11, 95% CI (4.78, 5.36), p = 0.001] in ADOSS score was seen in the yoga group compared to education. Conclusion: Implementation of a 17-week standardized yoga program at the school level significantly decreased stress, improved attention and concentration, metabolic and clinical parameters in Indian adolescents. Trial registration: Clinical Trials Registry, India (CTRI/2017/08/009203).

Effect of Conventional Lifestyle Interventions on Type 2 Diabetes Incidence by Glucose-Defined Prediabetes Phenotype: An Individual Participant Data Meta-analysis of Randomized Controlled Trials.

OBJECTIVE: To examine whether the effect of conventional lifestyle interventions on type 2 diabetes incidence differs by glucose-defined prediabetes phenotype. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: We searched multiple databases until 1 April 2023 for randomized controlled trials that recruited people with isolated impaired fasting glucose (i-IFG), isolated impaired glucose tolerance (i-IGT), and impaired fasting glucose plus impaired glucose tolerance (IFG+IGT). Individual participant data were pooled from relevant trials and analyzed through random-effects models with use of the within-trial interactions approach. RESULTS: Four trials with 2,794 participants (mean age 53.0 years, 60.7% men) were included: 1,240 (44.4%), 796 (28.5%), and 758 (27.1%) had i-IFG, i-IGT, and IFG+IGT, respectively. After a median of 2.5 years, the pooled hazard ratio for diabetes incidence in i-IFG was 0.97 (95% CI 0.66, 1.44), i-IGT 0.65 (0.44, 0.96), and IFG+IGT 0.51 (0.38, 0.68; Pinteraction = 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: Conventional lifestyle interventions reduced diabetes incidence in people with IGT (with or without IFG) but not in those with i-IFG.

National Estimates of the Adult Diabetes Care Continuum in India, 2019-2021.

Importance: Diabetes is widespread and treatable, but little is known about the diabetes care continuum (diagnosis, treatment, and control) in India and how it varies at the national, state, and district levels. Objective: To estimate the adult population levels of diabetes diagnosis, treatment, and control in India at national, state, and district levels and by sociodemographic characteristics. Design, Setting, and Participants: In this cross-sectional, nationally representative survey study from 2019 to 2021, adults in India from 28 states, 8 union territories, and 707 districts were surveyed for India's Fifth National Family Health Survey (NFHS-5). The survey team collected data on blood glucose among all adults (18-98 years) who were living in the same household as eligible participants (pregnant or nonpregnant female individuals aged 15-49 years and male individuals aged 15-54 years). The overall sample consisted of 1 895 287 adults. The analytic sample was restricted to those who either self-reported having diabetes or who had a valid measurement of blood glucose. Exposures: The exposures in this survey study were district and state residence; urban vs rural residence; age (18-39 years, 40-64 years, or ≥65 years); sex; and household wealth quintile. Main Outcomes and Measures: Diabetes was defined by self-report or high capillary blood glucose (fasting: ≥126 mg/dL [to convert to mmol/L, multiply by 0.0555]; nonfasting: ≥220 mg/dL). Among respondents who had previously been diagnosed with diabetes, the main outcome was the proportion treated based on self-reported medication use and the proportion controlled (fasting: blood glucose <126 mg/dL; nonfasting: ≤180 mg/dL). The findings were benchmarked against the World Health Organization (WHO) Global Diabetes Compact targets (80% diagnosis; 80% control among those diagnosed). The variance in indicators between and within states was partitioned using variance partition coefficients (VPCs). Results: Among 1 651 176 adult respondents (mean [SD] age, 41.6 [16.4] years; 867 896 [52.6%] female) with blood glucose measures, the proportion of individuals with diabetes was 6.5% (95% CI, 6.4%-6.6%). Among adults with diabetes, 74.2% (95% CI, 73.3%-75.0%) were diagnosed. Among those diagnosed, 59.4% (95% CI, 58.1%-60.6%) reported taking medication, and 65.5% (95% CI, 64.5%-66.4%) achieved control. Diagnosis and treatment were higher in urban areas, older age groups, and wealthier households. Among those diagnosed in the 707 districts surveyed, 246 (34.8%) districts met the WHO diagnosis target, while 76 (10.7%) districts met the WHO control target. Most of the variability in diabetes diagnosis (VPC, 89.1%), treatment (VPC, 85.9%), and control (VPC, 95.6%) were within states, not between states. Conclusions and Relevance: In this survey study, the diabetes care continuum in India is represented by considerable district-level variation, age-related disparities, and rural-urban differences. Surveillance at the district level can guide state health administrators to prioritize interventions and monitor achievement of global targets.

Identification of appropriate biochemical parameters and cut points to detect Maturity Onset Diabetes of Young (MODY) in Asian Indians in a clinic setting.

Maturity Onset Diabetes of the Young (MODY) is a monogenic form of diabetes which is detected by genetic testing. We looked at clinical and biochemcial variables that could help detect possible MODY among Asian Indians with youth-onset diabetes. From the diabetes electronic medical records of a diabetes care centre in Chennai in southern India, demographic, anthropometric, and biochemical details of 34 genetically confirmed MODY participants were extracted. They were compared with patients with type 1 diabetes (T1D) (n = 1011) and type 2 diabetes (T2D) (n = 1605), diagnosed below 30 years of age. Clinical and biochemical variables including body mass index (BMI), glycated hemoglobin, HDL cholesterol, and C-peptide (fasting and stimulated) were analyzed to determine whether cut points could be derived to identify individuals who could be sent for genetic testing to diagnose or rule out MODY in this ethnic group. The age at diagnosis was higher for T2D (26.5 ± 4.0 years) compared to T1D (18.2 ± 6.1 years) and MODY (17.8 ± 6.0 years). Individuals with MODY had BMI, glycated hemoglobin, total cholesterol, triglycerides, HDL cholesterol, and C-peptide levels which were intermediate between T1D and T2D. The identified probable parameters and their cut points to identify cases for MODY genetic screening were BMI 21.2-22.7 kg/m2, glycated hemoglobin 7.2-10%, HDL cholesterol 43-45 mg/dl, fasting C -peptide, 1.2-2.1 ng/ml and stimulated C-peptide, 2.1-4.5 ng/ml. Asian Indians with MODY have clinical features that are intermediate between T1D and T2D and selected biochemical parameters, especially stimulated C peptide cut points were the most useful to diagnose MODY.

Sex-Based Differences in Clinical Profile and Complications among Individuals with Type 2 Diabetes Seen at a Private Tertiary Diabetes Care Centre in India.

This study aimed to compare the clinical and biochemical profiles as well as the complications in males and females with type 2 diabetes (T2DM) presenting to a private tertiary diabetes care centre in India. This is a retrospective study, conducted between 1 January 2017 and 31 December 2019, and included 72,980 individuals with T2DM, aged ≥ 18 years (age and sex-matched-males-36,490; females-36,490). Anthropometric measurements, blood pressure, fasting plasma glucose (FPG), post-prandial plasma glucose (PPPG), glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c), lipids, urea, and creatinine were measured. Retinopathy was screened using retinal photography, neuropathy using biothesiometry, nephropathy measuring urinary albumin excretion, peripheral vascular disease (PVD) using Doppler, and coronary artery disease (CAD) based on the history of myocardial infarction and/or drug treatment for CAD and/or electrocardiographic changes. Obesity (73.6% vs. 59.0%) rates were significantly higher in females compared to males. FPG, PPPG, and HbA1c were higher among younger age groups among both sexes, with males having higher values compared to females. However, after the age of 44 years, control of diabetes was worse among females. In addition, only 18.8% of the females achieved glycemic control (HbA1c < 7%) compared to 19.9% in males (p < 0.001). Males had higher prevalence of neuropathy (42.9% vs. 36.9%), retinopathy (36.0% vs. 26.3%), and nephropathy (25.0% vs. 23.3%) compared to females. Males had 1.8- and 1.6-times higher risk of developing CAD and retinopathy compared to females. Hypothyroidism (12.5% vs. 3.5%) and cancers (1.3% vs. 0.6%) were significantly higher in females compared to males. In this large sample of T2DM seen at a chain of private tertiary diabetes centres, females had higher prevalence of metabolic risk factors and poorer diabetes control compared to males, emphasizing the need for better control of diabetes in females. However, males had higher prevalence of neuropathy, retinopathy, nephropathy, and CAD compared to females.

Metabolic non-communicable disease health report of India: the ICMR-INDIAB national cross-sectional study (ICMR-INDIAB-17).

BACKGROUND: Non-communicable disease (NCD) rates are rapidly increasing in India with wide regional variations. We aimed to quantify the prevalence of metabolic NCDs in India and analyse interstate and inter-regional variations. METHODS: The Indian Council of Medical Research-India Diabetes (ICMR-INDIAB) study, a cross-sectional population-based survey, assessed a representative sample of individuals aged 20 years and older drawn from urban and rural areas of 31 states, union territories, and the National Capital Territory of India. We conducted the survey in multiple phases with a stratified multistage sampling design, using three-level stratification based on geography, population size, and socioeconomic status of each state. Diabetes and prediabetes were diagnosed using the WHO criteria, hypertension using the Eighth Joint National Committee guidelines, obesity (generalised and abdominal) using the WHO Asia Pacific guidelines, and dyslipidaemia using the National Cholesterol Education Program-Adult Treatment Panel III guidelines. FINDINGS: A total of 113 043 individuals (79 506 from rural areas and 33 537 from urban areas) participated in the ICMR-INDIAB study between Oct 18, 2008 and Dec 17, 2020. The overall weighted prevalence of diabetes was 11·4% (95% CI 10·2-12·5; 10 151 of 107 119 individuals), prediabetes 15·3% (13·9-16·6; 15 496 of 107 119 individuals), hypertension 35·5% (33·8-37·3; 35 172 of 111 439 individuals), generalised obesity 28·6% (26·9-30·3; 29 861 of 110 368 individuals), abdominal obesity 39·5% (37·7-41·4; 40 121 of 108 665 individuals), and dyslipidaemia 81·2% (77·9-84·5; 14 895 of 18 492 of 25 647). All metabolic NCDs except prediabetes were more frequent in urban than rural areas. In many states with a lower human development index, the ratio of diabetes to prediabetes was less than 1. INTERPRETATION: The prevalence of diabetes and other metabolic NCDs in India is considerably higher than previously estimated. While the diabetes epidemic is stabilising in the more developed states of the country, it is still increasing in most other states. Thus, there are serious implications for the nation, warranting urgent state-specific policies and interventions to arrest the rapidly rising epidemic of metabolic NCDs in India. FUNDING: Indian Council of Medical Research and Department of Health Research, Ministry of Health and Family Welfare, Government of India.

Association of OCT and OCT angiography measures with the development and worsening of diabetic retinopathy in type 2 diabetes.

OBJECTIVE: To assess if optical coherence tomography (OCT) and OCT angiography (OCTA) measures are associated with the development and worsening of diabetic retinopathy (DR) over four years. METHODS: 280 participants with type 2 diabetes underwent ultra-wide field fundus photography, OCT and OCTA. OCT-derived macular thickness measures, retinal nerve fibre layer and ganglion cell-inner plexiform layer thickness and OCTA-derived foveal avascular zone area, perimeter, circularity, vessel density (VD) and macular perfusion (MP) were examined in relation to the development and worsening of DR over four years. RESULTS: After four years, 206 eyes of 219 participants were eligible for analysis. 27 of the 161 eyes (16.7%) with no DR at baseline developed new DR, which was associated with a higher baseline HbA1c and longer diabetes duration. Of the 45 eyes with non-proliferative DR (NPDR) at baseline, 17 (37.7%) showed DR progression. Baseline VD (12.90 vs. 14.90 mm/mm2, p = 0.032) and MP (31.79% vs. 36.96%, p = 0.043) were significantly lower in progressors compared to non-progressors. Progression of DR was inversely related to VD ((hazard ratio [HR] = 0.825) and to MP (HR = 0.936). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curves for VD was AUC = 0.643, with 77.4% sensitivity and 41.8% specificity for a cut-off of 15.85 mm/mm2 and for MP it was AUC = 0.635, with 77.4% sensitivity and 25.5% specificity for a cut-off of 40.8%. CONCLUSIONS: OCTA metrics have utility in predicting progression rather than the development of DR in individuals with type 2 diabetes.