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2.
Data Brief ; 38: 107355, 2021 Oct.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34568524

RESUMEN

We applied a geographical information system analysis to reclassify and characterize anthropic buildings based on structure density and area covered, land type, and proximity to wildlands able to originate intense wildfires and spot fires. The methodology was carried out in the 93,000 km2 Italy-France Maritime cooperation area (which includes the Regions of Sardinia, Tuscany, and Liguria, in Italy, and Corsica, and Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur, in France). We produced a 100-m raster dataset that characterizes and maps medium-high anthropic presence, wildland-anthropic areas, dispersed anthropic areas, and non-anthropic zones, in the whole study area. The study allowed to highlight variations in wildland anthropic interfaces among and within Regions as a function of anthropic presence and types and the surrounding wildlands. The spatial dataset provided with this work represents a valuable contribution to support landscape and urban planning and inform strategies to limit wildfire impacts nearby anthropic areas.

3.
J Environ Manage ; 212: 490-505, 2018 Apr 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29475158

RESUMEN

Wildfire spread and behavior can be limited by fuel treatments, even if their effects can vary according to a number of factors including type, intensity, extension, and spatial arrangement. In this work, we simulated the response of key wildfire exposure metrics to variations in the percentage of treated area, treatment unit size, and spatial arrangement of fuel treatments under different wind intensities. The study was carried out in a fire-prone 625 km2 agro-pastoral area mostly covered by herbaceous fuels, and located in Northern Sardinia, Italy. We constrained the selection of fuel treatment units to areas covered by specific herbaceous land use classes and low terrain slope (<10%). We treated 2%, 5% and 8% of the landscape area, and identified priority sites to locate the fuel treatment units for all treatment alternatives. The fuel treatment alternatives were designed create diverse mosaics of disconnected treatment units with different sizes (0.5-10 ha, LOW strategy; 10-25 ha, MED strategy; 25-50 ha, LAR strategy); in addition, treatment units in a 100-m buffer around the road network (ROAD strategy) were tested. We assessed pre- and post-treatment wildfire behavior by the Minimum Travel Time (MTT) fire spread algorithm. The simulations replicated a set of southwestern wind speed scenarios (16, 24 and 32 km h-1) and the driest fuel moisture conditions observed in the study area. Our results showed that fuel treatments implemented near the existing road network were significantly more efficient than the other alternatives, and this difference was amplified at the highest wind speed. Moreover, the largest treatment unit sizes were the most effective in containing wildfire growth. As expected, increasing the percentage of the landscape treated and reducing wind speed lowered fire exposure profiles for all fuel treatment alternatives, and this was observed at both the landscape scale and for highly valued resources. The methodology presented in this study can support the design and optimization of fuel management programs and policies in agro-pastoral areas of the Mediterranean Basin and herbaceous type landscapes elsewhere, where recurrent grassland fires pose a threat to rural communities, farms and infrastructures.


Asunto(s)
Conservación de los Recursos Naturales , Incendios Forestales , Incendios , Italia , Viento
4.
Risk Anal ; 37(10): 1898-1916, 2017 10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27996154

RESUMEN

We used simulation modeling to assess potential climate change impacts on wildfire exposure in Italy and Corsica (France). Weather data were obtained from a regional climate model for the period 1981-2070 using the IPCC A1B emissions scenario. Wildfire simulations were performed with the minimum travel time fire spread algorithm using predicted fuel moisture, wind speed, and wind direction to simulate expected changes in weather for three climatic periods (1981-2010, 2011-2040, and 2041-2070). Overall, the wildfire simulations showed very slight changes in flame length, while other outputs such as burn probability and fire size increased significantly in the second future period (2041-2070), especially in the southern portion of the study area. The projected changes fuel moisture could result in a lengthening of the fire season for the entire study area. This work represents the first application in Europe of a methodology based on high resolution (250 m) landscape wildfire modeling to assess potential impacts of climate changes on wildfire exposure at a national scale. The findings can provide information and support in wildfire management planning and fire risk mitigation activities.

5.
Environ Manage ; 55(5): 1200-16, 2015 May.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25613434

RESUMEN

We used a fire simulation modeling approach to assess landscape scale wildfire exposure for highly valued resources and assets (HVR) on a fire-prone area of 680 km(2) located in central Sardinia, Italy. The study area was affected by several wildfires in the last half century: some large and intense fire events threatened wildland urban interfaces as well as other socioeconomic and cultural values. Historical wildfire and weather data were used to inform wildfire simulations, which were based on the minimum travel time algorithm as implemented in FlamMap. We simulated 90,000 fires that replicated recent large fire events in the area spreading under severe weather conditions to generate detailed maps of wildfire likelihood and intensity. Then, we linked fire modeling outputs to a geospatial risk assessment framework focusing on buffer areas around HVR. The results highlighted a large variation in burn probability and fire intensity in the vicinity of HVRs, and allowed us to identify the areas most exposed to wildfires and thus to a higher potential damage. Fire intensity in the HVR buffers was mainly related to fuel types, while wind direction, topographic features, and historically based ignition pattern were the key factors affecting fire likelihood. The methodology presented in this work can have numerous applications, in the study area and elsewhere, particularly to address and inform fire risk management, landscape planning and people safety on the vicinity of HVRs.


Asunto(s)
Conservación de los Recursos Naturales/métodos , Planificación Ambiental , Incendios , Tiempo (Meteorología) , Algoritmos , Simulación por Computador , Conservación de los Recursos Naturales/economía , Conservación de los Recursos Naturales/tendencias , Incendios/prevención & control , Humanos , Italia , Modelos Teóricos , Probabilidad , Medición de Riesgo/métodos , Gestión de Riesgos
6.
Environ Monit Assess ; 187(1): 4175, 2015 Jan.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25471625

RESUMEN

In this paper, we applied landscape scale wildfire simulation modeling to explore the spatiotemporal patterns of wildfire likelihood and intensity in the island of Sardinia (Italy). We also performed wildfire exposure analysis for selected highly valued resources on the island to identify areas characterized by high risk. We observed substantial variation in burn probability, fire size, and flame length among time periods within the fire season, which starts in early June and ends in late September. Peak burn probability and flame length were observed in late July. We found that patterns of wildfire likelihood and intensity were mainly related to spatiotemporal variation in ignition locations, fuel moisture, and wind vectors. Our modeling approach allowed consideration of historical patterns of winds, ignition locations, and live and dead fuel moisture on fire exposure factors. The methodology proposed can be useful for analyzing potential wildfire risk and effects at landscape scale, evaluating historical changes and future trends in wildfire exposure, as well as for addressing and informing fuel management and risk mitigation issues.


Asunto(s)
Monitoreo del Ambiente , Incendios/estadística & datos numéricos , Conservación de los Recursos Naturales , Incendios/prevención & control , Humanos , Italia , Probabilidad , Medición de Riesgo/métodos , Estaciones del Año , Viento
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