Automatic quantification of REM sleep without atonia reliably identifies patients with REM sleep behavior disorder: a possible screening tool?

BACKGROUND: REM Sleep Behavior Disorder (RBD) is characterized by absence of physiological muscle atonia during REM sleep (REM sleep without atonia, RWA). Nigro-striatal dopaminergic impairment is a feature of Parkinson disease (PD) and can be identified in prodromal stages as well, such as idiopathic RBD (iRBD). Aims of this study are to explore the efficacy of an automatic RWA quantification in identifying RBD patients and the correlation between RWA and nigro-striatal dopaminergic function. METHODS: Forty-five iRBD, 46 PD with RBD, 24 PD without RBD patients and 11 healthy controls were enrolled in the Genoa Center (group A) and 25 patients with iRBD (group B) were enrolled in the Danish Center. Group A underwent brain [123I]FP-CIT-SPECT and group B underwent brain [18F]PE2I-PET as measures of nigro-striatal dopaminergic function. Chin muscle activity was recorded in all subjects and analyzed by applying a published automatic algorithm. Correlations between RWA and nigro-striatal dopaminergic function were explored. RESULTS: The automatic quantification of RWA significantly differentiated RBD from non-RBD subjects (AUC = 0.86), although with lower accuracy compared with conventional visual scoring (AUC = 0.99). No significant correlation was found between RWA and nigro-striatal dopaminergic function. CONCLUSION: The automatic quantification of RWA is a reliable tool to identify subjects with RBD and may be used as a first-line screening tool, but without correlations with nigro-striatal dopaminergic functioning.

Presynaptic Dopaminergic Imaging Characterizes Patients with REM Sleep Behavior Disorder Due to Synucleinopathy.

OBJECTIVE: To apply a machine learning analysis to clinical and presynaptic dopaminergic imaging data of patients with rapid eye movement (REM) sleep behavior disorder (RBD) to predict the development of Parkinson disease (PD) and dementia with Lewy bodies (DLB). METHODS: In this multicenter study of the International RBD study group, 173 patients (mean age 70.5 ± 6.3 years, 70.5% males) with polysomnography-confirmed RBD who eventually phenoconverted to overt alpha-synucleinopathy (RBD due to synucleinopathy) were enrolled, and underwent baseline presynaptic dopaminergic imaging and clinical assessment, including motor, cognitive, olfaction, and constipation evaluation. For comparison, 232 RBD non-phenoconvertor patients (67.6 ± 7.1 years, 78.4% males) and 160 controls (68.2 ± 7.2 years, 53.1% males) were enrolled. Imaging and clinical features were analyzed by machine learning to determine predictors of phenoconversion. RESULTS: Machine learning analysis showed that clinical data alone poorly predicted phenoconversion. Presynaptic dopaminergic imaging significantly improved the prediction, especially in combination with clinical data, with 77% sensitivity and 85% specificity in differentiating RBD due to synucleinopathy from non phenoconverted RBD patients, and 85% sensitivity and 86% specificity in discriminating PD-converters from DLB-converters. Quantification of presynaptic dopaminergic imaging showed that an empirical z-score cutoff of -1.0 at the most affected hemisphere putamen characterized RBD due to synucleinopathy patients, while a cutoff of -1.0 at the most affected hemisphere putamen/caudate ratio characterized PD-converters. INTERPRETATION: Clinical data alone poorly predicted phenoconversion in RBD due to synucleinopathy patients. Conversely, presynaptic dopaminergic imaging allows a good prediction of forthcoming phenoconversion diagnosis. This finding may be used in designing future disease-modifying trials. ANN NEUROL 2024;95:1178-1192.

Subspace corrected relevance learning with application in neuroimaging.

In machine learning, data often comes from different sources, but combining them can introduce extraneous variation that affects both generalization and interpretability. For example, we investigate the classification of neurodegenerative diseases using FDG-PET data collected from multiple neuroimaging centers. However, data collected at different centers introduces unwanted variation due to differences in scanners, scanning protocols, and processing methods. To address this issue, we propose a two-step approach to limit the influence of center-dependent variation on the classification of healthy controls and early vs. late-stage Parkinson's disease patients. First, we train a Generalized Matrix Learning Vector Quantization (GMLVQ) model on healthy control data to identify a "relevance space" that distinguishes between centers. Second, we use this space to construct a correction matrix that restricts a second GMLVQ system's training on the diagnostic problem. We evaluate the effectiveness of this approach on the real-world multi-center datasets and simulated artificial dataset. Our results demonstrate that the approach produces machine learning systems with reduced bias - being more specific due to eliminating information related to center differences during the training process - and more informative relevance profiles that can be interpreted by medical experts. This method can be adapted to similar problems outside the neuroimaging domain, as long as an appropriate "relevance space" can be identified to construct the correction matrix.

Opportunities and Pitfalls of REM Sleep Behavior Disorder and Olfactory Dysfunction as Early Markers in Parkinson's Disease.

During its pre-motor stage, Parkinson's disease (PD) presents itself with a multitude of non-motor symptoms with different degrees of specificity and sensitivity. The most important among them are REM sleep behavior disorder (RBD) and olfactory dysfunction. RBD is a parasomnia characterized by the loss of REM sleep muscle atonia and dream-enacting behaviors. Olfactory dysfunction in individuals with prodromal PD is usually described as hyposmia (reduced sense of smell) or anosmia (complete loss of olfactory function). These symptoms can precede the full expression of motor symptoms by decades. A close comprehension of these symptoms and the underlying mechanisms may enable early screening as well as interventions to improve patients' quality of life. Therefore, these symptoms have unmatched potential for identifying PD patients in prodromal stages, not only allowing early diagnosis but potentially opening a window for early, possibly disease-modifying intervention. However, they come with certain challenges. This review addresses some of the key opportunities and pitfalls of both RBD and olfactory dysfunction as early markers of PD.

EEG-based machine learning models for the prediction of phenoconversion time and subtype in isolated rapid eye movement sleep behavior disorder.

STUDY OBJECTIVES: Isolated rapid eye movement sleep behavior disorder (iRBD) is a prodromal stage of α-synucleinopathies and eventually phenoconverts to overt neurodegenerative diseases including Parkinson's disease (PD), dementia with Lewy bodies (DLB), and multiple system atrophy (MSA). Associations of baseline resting-state electroencephalography (EEG) with phenoconversion have been reported. In this study, we aimed to develop machine learning models to predict phenoconversion time and subtype using baseline EEG features in patients with iRBD. METHODS: At baseline, resting-state EEG and neurological assessments were performed on patients with iRBD. Calculated EEG features included spectral power, weighted phase lag index, and Shannon entropy. Three models were used for survival prediction, and four models were used for α-synucleinopathy subtype prediction. The models were externally validated using data from a different institution. RESULTS: A total of 236 iRBD patients were followed up for up to 8 years (mean 3.5 years), and 31 patients converted to α-synucleinopathies (16 PD, 9 DLB, 6 MSA). The best model for survival prediction was the random survival forest model with an integrated Brier score of 0.114 and a concordance index of 0.775. The K-nearest neighbor model was the best model for subtype prediction with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.901. Slowing of the EEG was an important feature for both models. CONCLUSIONS: Machine learning models using baseline EEG features can be used to predict phenoconversion time and its subtype in patients with iRBD. Further research including large sample data from many countries is needed to make a more robust model.

Resting state electroencephalographic alpha rhythms are sensitive to Alzheimer's disease mild cognitive impairment progression at a 6-month follow-up.

Are posterior resting-state electroencephalographic (rsEEG) alpha rhythms sensitive to the Alzheimer's disease mild cognitive impairment (ADMCI) progression at a 6-month follow-up? Clinical, cerebrospinal, neuroimaging, and rsEEG datasets in 52 ADMCI and 60 Healthy old seniors (equivalent groups for demographic features) were available from an international archive (www.pdwaves.eu). The ADMCI patients were arbitrarily divided into two groups: REACTIVE and UNREACTIVE, based on the reduction (reactivity) in the posterior rsEEG alpha eLORETA source activities from the eyes-closed to eyes-open condition at ≥ -10% and -10%, respectively. 75% of the ADMCI patients were REACTIVE. Compared to the UNREACTIVE group, the REACTIVE group showed (1) less abnormal posterior rsEEG source activity during the eyes-closed condition and (2) a decrease in that activity at the 6-month follow-up. These effects could not be explained by neuroimaging and neuropsychological biomarkers of AD. Such a biomarker might reflect abnormalities in cortical arousal in quiet wakefulness to be used for clinical studies in ADMCI patients using 6-month follow-ups.

Incident anti-LGI1 autoimmune encephalitis during dementia with Lewy bodies: when Occam razor is a double-edged sword.

In Dementia with Lewy bodies (DLB), rapid cognitive decline and seizures seldom complicate the typical clinical course. Nevertheless, concurrent, treatable conditions may be responsible. We report a case of DLB with superimposed anti-LGI1 encephalitis, emphasizing the importance of thorough diagnostic reasoning beyond the simplest explanation amid distinct clinical cues.

Prodromal dementia with Lewy bodies in REM sleep behavior disorder: A multicenter study.

INTRODUCTION: Isolated/idiopathic rapid eye movement sleep behavior disorder (iRBD) is a powerful early predictor of dementia with Lewy bodies (DLB) and Parkinson's disease (PD). This provides an opportunity to directly observe the evolution of prodromal DLB and to identify which cognitive variables are the strongest predictors of evolving dementia. METHODS: IRBD participants (n = 754) from 10 centers of the International RBD Study Group underwent annual neuropsychological assessment. Competing risk regression analysis determined optimal predictors of dementia. Linear mixed-effect models determined the annual progression of neuropsychological testing. RESULTS: Reduced attention and executive function, particularly performance on the Trail Making Test Part B, were the strongest identifiers of early DLB. In phenoconverters, the onset of cognitive decline began up to 10 years prior to phenoconversion. Changes in verbal memory best differentiated between DLB and PD subtypes. DISCUSSION: In iRBD, attention and executive dysfunction strongly predict dementia and begin declining several years prior to phenoconversion. HIGHLIGHTS: Cognitive decline in iRBD begins up to 10 years prior to phenoconversion. Attention and executive dysfunction are the strongest predictors of dementia in iRBD. Decline in episodic memory best distinguished dementia-first from parkinsonism-first phenoconversion.

A real-world comparison among third-generation antiseizure medications: Results from the COMPARE study.

OBJECTIVE: There are few comparative data on the third-generation antiseizure medications (ASMs). We aimed to assess and compare the effectiveness of brivaracetam (BRV), eslicarbazepine acetate (ESL), lacosamide (LCM), and perampanel (PER) in people with epilepsy (PWE). Efficacy and tolerability were compared as secondary objectives. METHODS: This multicenter, retrospective study collected data from 22 Italian neurology/epilepsy centers. All adult PWE who started add-on treatment with one of the studied ASMs between January 2018 and October 2021 were included. Retention rate was established as effectiveness measure and described using Kaplan-Meier curves and the best fitting survival model. The responder status and the occurrence of adverse events (AEs) were used to evaluate efficacy and safety, respectively. The odds of AEs and drug efficacy were estimated by two multilevel logistic models. RESULTS: A total of 960 patients (52.92% females, median age = 43 years) met the inclusion criteria. They mainly suffered from structural epilepsy (52.29%) with monthly (46.2%) focal seizures (69.58%). Compared with LCM, all the studied ASMs had a higher dropout risk, statistically significant in the BRV levetiracetam (LEV)-naïve (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.97, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.17-3.29) and PER groups (HR = 1.64, 95% CI = 1.06-2.55). Women were at higher risk of discontinuing ESL (HR = 5.33, 95% CI = 1.71-16.61), as well as PER-treated patients with unknown epilepsy etiology versus those with structural etiology (HR = 1.74, 95% CI = 1.05-2.88). BRV with prior LEV therapy showed lower odds of efficacy (odds ratio [OR] = .08, 95% CI = .01-.48) versus LCM, whereas a higher efficacy was observed in women treated with BRV and LEV-naïve (OR = 10.32, 95% CI = 1.55-68.78) versus men. PER (OR = 6.93, 95% CI = 3.32-14.44) and BRV in LEV-naïve patients (OR = 6.80, 95% CI = 2.64-17.52) had a higher chance of AEs than LCM. SIGNIFICANCE: Comparative evidence from real-world studies may help clinicians to tailor treatments according to patients' demographic and clinical characteristics.

Tracking the progression of Alzheimer's disease: Insights from metabolic patterns of SOMI stages.

BACKGROUND: SOMI (Stages of Objective Memory Impairment) is a novel classification that identifies six stages of memory decline in Alzheimer's Disease (AD) using the Free and Cued Selective Reminding Test (FCSRT). However, the relationship between SOMI stages and brain metabolism remains unexplored. This study aims to investigate the metabolic correlates of SOMI stages using FDG-PET in Mild Cognitive Impairment due to AD (MCI-AD) and early AD patients. METHODS: One hundred twenty-nine-patients (99 aMCI-AD and 30 AD), and 42 healthy controls (HCs) (MMSE = 29.2 ± .8; age:69.1 ± 8.6 years; education:10.7 ± 3.8 years) who underwent an extensive neuropsychological battery including FCSRT and brain FDG-PET were enrolled. According to their clinical relevance and available sample sizes, SOMI-4 (N = 24 subjects; MMSE score:26.6 ± 2.6: age:75.4 ± 3.2; education:9.9 ± 4.5) and SOMI-5 groups (N = 97; MMSE:25.3 ± 2.6; age:73.9 ± 5.8; education:9.4 ± 4.1) were investigated. RESULTS: Compared to HCs, SOMI-4 showed hypometabolism in the precuneus, medial temporal gyrus bilaterally, right pecuneus and angular gyrus. SOMI-5 exhibited broader hypometabolism, extending to the left posterior cingulate and medial frontal gyrus bilaterally. The conjunction analysis revealed overlapping areas in the precuneus, medial temporal gyrus bilaterally, and in the right angular gyrus and cuneus. The disjunction analysis identified SOMI-5 specific hypometabolism encompassing left inferior temporal gyrus, uncus and parahippocampal gyrus, and medial frontal gyrus bilaterally (p < .001, p-value (FWE) < .05). DISCUSSION: SOMI-4 relates to posterior hypometabolism, while SOMI-5 to more extensive hypometabolism further encompassing frontal cortices, suggesting SOMI as a biologically relevant classification system of memory decline. CONCLUSION: Memory decline staged with SOMI is associated with hypometabolism spreading in amnesic MCI-AD/AD, suggesting its usefulness as a clinical marker of increasing neurodegeneration.

Cerebrospinal fluid NPTX2 changes and relationship with regional brain metabolism metrics across mild cognitive impairment due to Alzheimer's disease.

BACKGROUND: Neuronal pentraxin-2 (NPTX2), crucial for synaptic functioning, declines in cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) as cognition deteriorates. The variations of CSF NPTX2 across mild cognitive impairment (MCI) due to Alzheimer's disease (AD) and its association with brain metabolism remain elusive, albeit relevant for patient stratification and pathophysiological insights. METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed 49 MCI-AD patients grouped by time until dementia (EMCI, n = 34 progressing within 2 years; LMCI, n = 15 progressing later/stable at follow-up). We analyzed demographic variables, cognitive status (MMSE score), and CSF NPTX2 levels using a commercial ELISA assay in EMCI, LMCI, and a control group of age-/sex-matched individuals with other non-dementing disorders (OND). Using [18F]FDG PET scans for voxel-based analysis, we explored correlations between regional brain metabolism metrics and CSF NPTX2 levels in MCI-AD patients, accounting for age. RESULTS: Baseline and follow-up MMSE scores were lower in LMCI than EMCI (p value = 0.006 and p < 0.001). EMCI exhibited significantly higher CSF NPTX2 values than both LMCI (p = 0.028) and OND (p = 0.006). We found a significant positive correlation between NPTX2 values and metabolism of bilateral precuneus in MCI-AD patients (p < 0.005 at voxel level, p < 0.05 with family-wise error correction at the cluster level). CONCLUSIONS: Higher CSF NPTX2 in EMCI compared to controls and LMCI suggests compensatory synaptic responses to initial AD pathology. Disease progression sees these mechanisms overwhelmed, lowering CSF NPTX2 approaching dementia. Positive CSF NPTX2 correlation with precuneus glucose metabolism links to AD-related metabolic changes across MCI course. These findings posit CSF NPTX2 as a promising biomarker for both AD staging and progression risk stratification.

Poor reactivity of posterior electroencephalographic alpha rhythms during the eyes open condition in patients with dementia due to Parkinson's disease.

Here, we hypothesized that the reactivity of posterior resting-state electroencephalographic (rsEEG) alpha rhythms during the transition from eyes-closed to -open condition might be lower in patients with Parkinson's disease dementia (PDD) than in patients with Alzheimer's disease dementia (ADD). A Eurasian database provided clinical-demographic-rsEEG datasets in 73 PDD patients, 35 ADD patients, and 25 matched cognitively unimpaired (Healthy) persons. The eLORETA freeware was used to estimate cortical rsEEG sources. Results showed substantial (greater than -10%) reduction (reactivity) in the posterior alpha source activities from the eyes-closed to the eyes-open condition in 88% of the Healthy seniors, 57% of the ADD patients, and only 35% of the PDD patients. In these alpha-reactive participants, there was lower reactivity in the parietal alpha source activities in the PDD group than in the healthy control seniors and the ADD patients. These results suggest that PDD patients show poor reactivity of mechanisms desynchronizing posterior rsEEG alpha rhythms in response to visual inputs. That neurophysiological biomarker may provide an endpoint for (non) pharmacological interventions for improving vigilance regulation in those patients.

Dry eye in mind: Exploring the relationship between sleep and ocular surface diseases.

PURPOSE: Dry Eye Disease (DED) is regarded as the most common ocular surface disease worldwide, entailing symptoms that have a major impact on the physical and psychological well-being of DED patients. In this context, the impact of sleep quality on DED has recently attracted attention. Indeed, although little is known about the mechanisms underlying the relationship between sleep and ocular surface diseases, recent evidence suggests that a reciprocal relationship exists between sleep quality and DED. Aim of the study was to investigate such relationship by means of both survey-based and instrumental analysis in a large population. PATIENTS AND METHODS: The present cross-sectional study included 1182 DED patients who completed the Insomnia Severity Index (ISI) and the Ocular Surface Disease Index (OSDI) questionnaires. Moreover, tear break-up time (TBUT) and ocular surface staining (OSS) data of included patients were collected by physicians. RESULTS: According to the findings of this study, in DED patients, the severity of dry eye symptoms and signs, assessed by OSDI score, TBUT, and ocular surface staining, is associated with more severe insomnia symptoms. Furthermore, higher severity of DED symptoms seems to be associated with the occurrence of nocturnal awakenings rather than with problems in falling asleep. CONCLUSIONS: Present work contributes to the understanding of the complex relationship between DED and insomnia by showing that in a large population of DED patients, the more severe the insomnia, the more severe the DED symptoms and signs.

Relationship between default mode network and resting-state electroencephalographic alpha rhythms in cognitively unimpaired seniors and patients with dementia due to Alzheimer's disease.

Here we tested the hypothesis of a relationship between the cortical default mode network (DMN) structural integrity and the resting-state electroencephalographic (rsEEG) rhythms in patients with Alzheimer's disease with dementia (ADD). Clinical and instrumental datasets in 45 ADD patients and 40 normal elderly (Nold) persons originated from the PDWAVES Consortium (www.pdwaves.eu). Individual rsEEG delta, theta, alpha, and fixed beta and gamma bands were considered. Freeware platforms served to derive (1) the (gray matter) volume of the DMN, dorsal attention (DAN), and sensorimotor (SMN) cortical networks and (2) the rsEEG cortical eLORETA source activities. We found a significant positive association between the DMN gray matter volume, the rsEEG alpha source activity estimated in the posterior DMN nodes (parietal and posterior cingulate cortex), and the global cognitive status in the Nold and ADD participants. Compared with the Nold, the ADD group showed lower DMN gray matter, lower rsEEG alpha source activity in those nodes, and lower global cognitive status. This effect was not observed in the DAN and SMN. These results suggest that the DMN structural integrity and the rsEEG alpha source activities in the DMN posterior hubs may be related and predict the global cognitive status in ADD and Nold persons.

Clinical and dopaminergic imaging characteristics of the FARPRESTO cohort of trial-ready idiopathic rapid eye movement sleep behavior patients.

INTRODUCTION: Idiopathic/isolated rapid eye movement (REM) sleep behavior disorder (iRBD) is considered the prodromal stage of alpha-synucleinopathies. Thus, iRBD patients are the ideal target for disease-modifying therapy. The risk FActoRs PREdictive of phenoconversion in iRBD Italian STudy (FARPRESTO) is an ongoing Italian database aimed at identifying risk factors of phenoconversion, and eventually to ease clinical trial enrollment of well-characterized subjects. METHODS: Polysomnography-confirmed iRBD patients were retrospectively and prospectively enrolled. Baseline harmonized clinical and nigrostriatal functioning data were collected at baseline. Nigrostriatal functioning was evaluated by dopamine transporter-single-photon emission computed tomography (DaT-SPECT) and categorized with visual semi-quantification. Longitudinal data were evaluated to assess phenoconversion. Cox regressions were applied to calculate hazard ratios. RESULTS: 365 patients were enrolled, and 289 patients with follow-up (age 67.7 ± 7.3 years, 237 males, mean follow-up 40 ± 37 months) were included in this study. At follow-up, 97 iRBD patients (33.6%) phenoconverted to an overt synucleinopathy. Older age, motor and cognitive impairment, constipation, urinary and sexual dysfunction, depression, and visual semi-quantification of nigrostriatal functioning predicted phenoconversion. The remaining 268 patients are in follow-up within the FARPRESTO project. CONCLUSIONS: Clinical data (older age, motor and cognitive impairment, constipation, urinary and sexual dysfunction, depression) predicted phenoconversion in this multicenter, longitudinal, observational study. A standardized visual approach for semi-quantification of DaT-SPECT is proposed as a practical risk factor for phenoconversion in iRBD patients. Of note, non-converted and newly diagnosed iRBD patients, who represent a trial-ready cohort for upcoming disease-modification trials, are currently being enrolled and followed in the FARPRESTO study. New data are expected to allow better risk characterization.

Validation of the REM behaviour disorder phenoconversion-related pattern in an independent cohort.

BACKGROUND: A brain glucose metabolism pattern related to phenoconversion in patients with idiopathic/isolated REM sleep behaviour disorder (iRBDconvRP) was recently identified. However, the validation of the iRBDconvRP in an external, independent group of iRBD patients is needed to verify the reproducibility of such pattern, so to increase its importance in clinical and research settings. The aim of this work was to validate the iRBDconvRP in an independent group of iRBD patients. METHODS: Forty iRBD patients (70 ± 5.59 years, 19 females) underwent brain [18F]FDG-PET in Seoul National University. Thirteen patients phenoconverted at follow-up (7 Parkinson disease, 5 Dementia with Lewy bodies, 1 Multiple system atrophy; follow-up time 35 ± 20.56 months) and 27 patients were still free from parkinsonism/dementia after 62 ± 29.49 months from baseline. We applied the previously identified iRBDconvRP to validate its phenoconversion prediction power. RESULTS: The iRBDconvRP significantly discriminated converters from non-converters iRBD patients (p = 0.016; Area under the Curve 0.74, Sensitivity 0.69, Specificity 0.78), and it significantly predicted phenoconversion (Hazard ratio 4.26, C.I.95%: 1.18-15.39). CONCLUSIONS: The iRBDconvRP confirmed its robustness in predicting phenoconversion in an independent group of iRBD patients, suggesting its potential role as a stratification biomarker for disease-modifying trials.

Progression of clinical markers in prodromal Parkinson's disease and dementia with Lewy bodies: a multicentre study.

The neurodegenerative synucleinopathies, including Parkinson's disease and dementia with Lewy bodies, are characterized by a typically lengthy prodromal period of progressive subclinical motor and non-motor manifestations. Among these, idiopathic REM sleep behaviour disorder is a powerful early predictor of eventual phenoconversion, and therefore represents a critical opportunity to intervene with neuroprotective therapy. To inform the design of randomized trials, it is essential to study the natural progression of clinical markers during the prodromal stages of disease in order to establish optimal clinical end points. In this study, we combined prospective follow-up data from 28 centres of the International REM Sleep Behavior Disorder Study Group representing 12 countries. Polysomnogram-confirmed REM sleep behaviour disorder subjects were assessed for prodromal Parkinson's disease using the Movement Disorder Society criteria and underwent periodic structured sleep, motor, cognitive, autonomic and olfactory testing. We used linear mixed-effect modelling to estimate annual rates of clinical marker progression stratified by disease subtype, including prodromal Parkinson's disease and prodromal dementia with Lewy bodies. In addition, we calculated sample size requirements to demonstrate slowing of progression under different anticipated treatment effects. Overall, 1160 subjects were followed over an average of 3.3 ± 2.2 years. Among clinical variables assessed continuously, motor variables tended to progress faster and required the lowest sample sizes, ranging from 151 to 560 per group (at 50% drug efficacy and 2-year follow-up). By contrast, cognitive, olfactory and autonomic variables showed modest progression with higher variability, resulting in high sample sizes. The most efficient design was a time-to-event analysis using combined milestones of motor and cognitive decline, estimating 117 per group at 50% drug efficacy and 2-year trial duration. Finally, while phenoconverters showed overall greater progression than non-converters in motor, olfactory, cognitive and certain autonomic markers, the only robust difference in progression between Parkinson's disease and dementia with Lewy bodies phenoconverters was in cognitive testing. This large multicentre study demonstrates the evolution of motor and non-motor manifestations in prodromal synucleinopathy. These findings provide optimized clinical end points and sample size estimates to inform future neuroprotective trials.