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2.
Fertil Steril ; 121(5): 799-805, 2024 May.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38185201

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate whether insemination via intracytoplasmic sperm injection (ICSI) provides any benefit over in vitro fertilization (IVF) insemination for nonmale factor infertility with respect to preimplantation genetic testing (PGT) results and pregnancy outcome. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study of the Society for Assisted Reproductive Technology database. SETTINGS: US-based fertility clinics reporting to the Society for Assisted Reprodcutive Technology. PATIENTS: Patients undergoing IVF or ICSI inseminations in nonmale factor PGT for aneuploidy cycles. INTERVENTION: In vitro fertilization vs. ICSI inseminations. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Primary outcomes were the percentage of embryos suitable for transfer and live birth rates (LBRs). Secondary outcomes included subgroup analysis for embryos suitable for transfer on cycles from patients ≥35-year-old vs. <35-year-old, ≤6 oocytes retrieved vs. >6 oocytes retrieved, and unexplained infertility. Additionally, gestational age at delivery and birth weight between IVF and ICSI inseminations were evaluated. RESULTS: A total of 30,446 nonmale factor PGT diagnoses for aneuploidy cycles were evaluated, of which 4,867 were IVF inseminations and 25,579 were ICSI inseminations. Following exclusion criteria and adjustment for any necessary confounding variables, no significant differences existed in embryos suitable for transfer between IVF and ICSI treatment cycles, 41.6% (40.6%, 42.6%) vs. 42.5% (42.0%, 42.9%), respectively, or in LBRs, 50.1% (37.8, 62.4%) vs. 50.8% (38.5%, 62.9%), respectively. CONCLUSION: There were no significant differences in the rates of embryos suitable for transfer and LBRs between IVF and ICSI inseminations in nonmale factor cycles undergoing PGT for aneuploidy.


Asunto(s)
Aneuploidia , Fertilización In Vitro , Pruebas Genéticas , Diagnóstico Preimplantación , Inyecciones de Esperma Intracitoplasmáticas , Humanos , Femenino , Embarazo , Estudios Retrospectivos , Diagnóstico Preimplantación/métodos , Adulto , Pruebas Genéticas/métodos , Fertilización In Vitro/métodos , Masculino , Resultado del Tratamiento , Infertilidad/terapia , Infertilidad/diagnóstico , Infertilidad/fisiopatología , Índice de Embarazo , Nacimiento Vivo , Transferencia de Embrión/métodos , Bases de Datos Factuales , Estados Unidos , Fertilidad
3.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37817336

RESUMEN

Background: Transmission of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has been demonstrated in fitness settings internationally. We report the first documented case of transmission of COVID-19 in a gymnasium in Australia in 2020. Methods: Case finding and case interviews were conducted among attendees in a Western Sydney gymnasium, Australia. Whole genome sequencing using an amplicon-based approach was performed on all SARS CoV-2 polymerase chain reaction positive samples detected through surveillance. Results: We show that five cases of COVID-19 were linked to the gymnasium, with transmission occurring on 7 July 2020, when the index case transmitted the infection to four other gymnasium attendees through the sharing of an enclosed space. Conclusions: There is an ongoing risk of transmission of COVID-19 within gymnasium environments and they are justifiably classified as a 'high-risk' venue. There may be a need to expand ventilation and space requirements to prevent transmission of COVID-19 in such settings in the context of severe COVID-19 variants or to prevent respiratory disease transmission in general.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Centros de Acondicionamiento , Humanos , COVID-19/epidemiología , SARS-CoV-2/genética , Australia/epidemiología , Secuenciación Completa del Genoma
4.
BMC Infect Dis ; 23(1): 303, 2023 May 08.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37158832

RESUMEN

The emergence of resistance to antiviral drugs increasingly used to treat SARS-CoV-2 infections has been recognised as a significant threat to COVID-19 control. In addition, some SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern appear to be intrinsically resistant to several classes of these antiviral agents. Therefore, there is a critical need for rapid recognition of clinically relevant polymorphisms in SARS-CoV-2 genomes associated with significant reduction of drug activity in virus neutralisation experiments. Here we present SABRes, a bioinformatic tool, which leverages on expanding public datasets of SARS-CoV-2 genomes and allows detection of drug resistance mutations in consensus genomes as well as in viral subpopulations. We have applied SABRes to detect resistance-conferring mutations in 25,197 genomes generated over the course of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic in Australia and identified 299 genomes containing resistance conferring mutations to the five antiviral therapeutics that retain effectiveness against currently circulating strains of SARS-CoV-2 - Sotrovimab, Bebtelovimab, Remdesivir, Nirmatrelvir and Molnupiravir. These genomes accounted for a 1.18% prevalence of resistant isolates discovered by SABRes, including 80 genomes with resistance conferring mutations found in viral subpopulations. Timely recognition of these mutations within subpopulations is critical as these mutations can provide an advantage under selective pressure and presents an important step forward in our ability to monitor SARS-CoV-2 drug resistance.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Humanos , SARS-CoV-2/genética , Mutación , Antivirales/farmacología , Antivirales/uso terapéutico
5.
Phys Biol ; 20(4)2023 06 02.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37224820

RESUMEN

Modelling evolution of foodborne pathogens is crucial for mitigation and prevention of outbreaks. We apply network-theoretic and information-theoretic methods to trace evolutionary pathways ofSalmonellaTyphimurium in New South Wales, Australia, by studying whole genome sequencing surveillance data over a five-year period which included several outbreaks. The study derives both undirected and directed genotype networks based on genetic proximity, and relates the network's structural property (centrality) to its functional property (prevalence). The centrality-prevalence space derived for the undirected network reveals a salient exploration-exploitation distinction across the pathogens, further quantified by the normalised Shannon entropy and the Fisher information of the corresponding shell genome. This distinction is also analysed by tracing the probability density along evolutionary paths in the centrality-prevalence space. We quantify the evolutionary pathways, and show that pathogens exploring the evolutionary search-space during the considered period begin to exploit their environment (their prevalence increases resulting in outbreaks), but eventually encounter a bottleneck formed by epidemic containment measures.


Asunto(s)
Brotes de Enfermedades , Epidemias
6.
Microbiol Spectr ; : e0279122, 2023 Mar 14.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36916949

RESUMEN

A major outbreak of the globally significant Salmonella Enteritidis foodborne pathogen was identified within a large clinical data set by a program of routine WGS of clinical presentations of salmonellosis in New South Wales, Australia. Pangenome analysis helped to quantify and isolate prophage content within the accessory partition of the pangenome. A prophage similar to Gifsy-1 (henceforth GF-1L) was found to occur in all isolates of the outbreak core SNP cluster, and in three other isolates. Further analysis revealed that the GF-1L prophage carried the gogB virulence factor. These observations suggest that GF-1L may be an important marker of virulence for S. Enteritidis population screening and, that anti-inflammatory, gogB-mediated virulence currently associated with Salmonella Typhimurium may also be displayed by S. Enteritidis. IMPORTANCE We examined 5 years of genomic and epidemiological data for the significant global foodborne pathogen, Salmonella enterica. Although Salmonella enterica subspecies enterica serovar Enteritidis (S. Enteritidis) is the leading cause of salmonellosis in the USA and Europe, prior to 2018 it was not endemic in the southern states of Australia. However, in 2018 a large outbreak led to the endemicity of S. Enteritidis in New South Wales, Australia, and a unique opportunity to study this phenomenon. Using pangenome analysis we uncovered that this clone contained a Gifsy-1-like prophage harboring the known virulence factor gogB. The prophage reported has not previously been described in S. Enteritidis isolates.

7.
Int J Infect Dis ; 130: 38-41, 2023 May.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36842755

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: To describe the epidemiology and impact of Omicron BR.2.1, an emergent SARS-CoV-2 Omicron BA.2.75 sublineage displaying high fitness compared to other cocirculating subvariants in New South Wales, Australia. METHODS: From September 01 to November 26, 2022, 4971 SARS-CoV-2 consensus genomes from unique patients were generated, and correlated with international travel and reinfection history, and admission to the intensive care unit. RESULTS: BR.2.1 became the predominant variant by late November, and was responsible for a significantly higher proportion of community-acquired cases during the study period (55.1% vs 38.4%, P < 0.001). Reinfections (defined as occurring between 6 and 24 weeks after a prior diagnosis of COVID-19) were significantly higher among BR.2.1 compared to non-BR.2.1 infected persons (17.0% vs 6.0%, P < 0.001). BR.2.1 cases were also significantly younger compared to non-BR.2.1 (median age 48 years (interquartile range [IQR] 32) vs 53 years (IQR 32), P = 0.004). The proportion of patients admitted to the intensive care unit with BR.2.1 was not significantly higher than other subvariants (2.3% vs 2.0%, P = 0.717). CONCLUSION: Having emerged locally within New South Wales, BR.2.1 caused a significant number of SARS-CoV-2 reinfections, but with disease severity comparable with other currently circulating lineages. Given its rapid rise in prevalence, BR.2.1 has the potential to become established internationally.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Humanos , Adulto , Nueva Gales del Sur/epidemiología , Reinfección , COVID-19/diagnóstico , COVID-19/epidemiología , Australia , Gravedad del Paciente
8.
Front Public Health ; 10: 1004201, 2022.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36276383

RESUMEN

Genomic surveillance of SARS-CoV-2 has been essential to inform public health response to outbreaks. The high incidence of infection has resulted in a smaller proportion of cases undergoing whole genome sequencing due to finite resources. We present a framework for estimating the impact of reduced depths of genomic surveillance on the resolution of outbreaks, based on a clustering approach using pairwise genetic and temporal distances. We apply the framework to simulated outbreak data to show that outbreaks are detected less frequently when fewer cases are subjected to whole genome sequencing. The impact of sequencing fewer cases depends on the size of the outbreaks, and on the genetic and temporal similarity of the index cases of the outbreaks. We also apply the framework to an outbreak of the SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant in New South Wales, Australia. We find that the detection of clusters in the outbreak would have been delayed if fewer cases had been sequenced. Existing recommendations for genomic surveillance estimate the minimum number of cases to sequence in order to detect and monitor new virus variants, assuming representative sampling of cases. Our method instead measures the resolution of clustering, which is important for genomic epidemiology, and accommodates sampling biases.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Humanos , SARS-CoV-2/genética , COVID-19/diagnóstico , COVID-19/epidemiología , Brotes de Enfermedades , Genómica
9.
Viruses ; 14(9)2022 09 13.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36146829

RESUMEN

In late November 2021, the World Health Organization declared the SARS-CoV-2 lineage B.1.1.529 the fifth variant of concern, Omicron. This variant has acquired over 30 mutations in the spike protein (with 15 in the receptor-binding domain), raising concerns that Omicron could evade naturally acquired and vaccine-derived immunity. We utilized an authentic virus, multicycle neutralisation assay to demonstrate that sera collected one, three, and six months post-two doses of Pfizer-BioNTech BNT162b2 had a limited ability to neutralise SARS-CoV-2. However, four weeks after a third dose, neutralising antibody titres were boosted. Despite this increase, neutralising antibody titres were reduced fourfold for Omicron compared to lineage A.2.2 SARS-CoV-2.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Vacunas , Anticuerpos Neutralizantes , Anticuerpos Antivirales , Vacuna BNT162 , COVID-19/prevención & control , Vacunas contra la COVID-19 , Humanos , SARS-CoV-2/genética , Glicoproteína de la Espiga del Coronavirus/genética , Proteínas del Envoltorio Viral/genética
10.
Front Microbiol ; 13: 824217, 2022.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35663867

RESUMEN

Background: Low frequency intrahost single nucleotide variants (iSNVs) of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) have been increasingly recognised as predictive indicators of positive selection. Particularly as growing numbers of SARS-CoV-2 variants of interest (VOI) and concern (VOC) emerge. However, the dynamics of subgenomic RNA (sgRNA) expression and its impact on genomic diversity and infection outcome remain poorly understood. This study aims to investigate and quantify iSNVs and sgRNA expression in single and longitudinally sampled cohorts over the course of mild and severe SARS-CoV-2 infection, benchmarked against an in vitro infection model. Methods: Two clinical cohorts of SARS-CoV-2 positive cases in New South Wales, Australia collected between March 2020 and August 2021 were sequenced. Longitudinal samples from cases hospitalised due to SARS-CoV-2 infection (severe) (n = 16) were analysed and compared with cases that presented with SARS-CoV-2 symptoms but were not hospitalised (mild) (n = 23). SARS-CoV-2 genomic diversity profiles were also examined from daily sampling of culture experiments for three SARS-CoV-2 variants (Lineage A, B.1.351, and B.1.617.2) cultured in VeroE6 C1008 cells (n = 33). Results: Intrahost single nucleotide variants were detected in 83% (19/23) of the mild cohort cases and 100% (16/16) of the severe cohort cases. SNP profiles remained relatively fixed over time, with an average of 1.66 SNPs gained or lost, and an average of 4.2 and 5.9 low frequency variants per patient were detected in severe and mild infection, respectively. sgRNA was detected in 100% (25/25) of the mild genomes and 92% (24/26) of the severe genomes. Total sgRNA expressed across all genes in the mild cohort was significantly higher than that of the severe cohort. Significantly higher expression levels were detected in the spike and the nucleocapsid genes. There was significantly less sgRNA detected in the culture dilutions than the clinical cohorts. Discussion and Conclusion: The positions and frequencies of iSNVs in the severe and mild infection cohorts were dynamic overtime, highlighting the importance of continual monitoring, particularly during community outbreaks where multiple SARS-CoV-2 variants may co-circulate. sgRNA levels can vary across patients and the overall level of sgRNA reads compared to genomic RNA can be less than 1%. The relative contribution of sgRNA to the severity of illness warrants further investigation given the level of variation between genomes. Further monitoring of sgRNAs will improve the understanding of SARS-CoV-2 evolution and the effectiveness of therapeutic and public health containment measures during the pandemic.

11.
Transplantation ; 106(9): 1860-1866, 2022 09 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35675438

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Since November 2021, a new variant of concern (VOC), the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) lineage B.1.1.529 (Omicron) has emerged as the dominant coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) infection worldwide. We describe the clinical presentation, risk factors, and outcomes in a cohort of kidney and kidney pancreas transplant recipients with COVID-19 caused by Omicron infection. METHODS: We included all kidney and kidney pancreas transplant recipients diagnosed with SARS-CoV-2 Omicron infections between December 26, 2021, and January 14, 2022, in a single transplant center in Australia. Identification of the VOC Omicron was confirmed using phylogenetic analysis of SARS-CoV-2 sequences. RESULTS: Forty-one patients with kidney (6 living and 33 deceased) and kidney pancreas transplants were diagnosed with the VOC Omicron (lineage B.1.1.529/BA.1) infection during the study period. The mean age (SD) at the time of diagnosis was 52 (11.1) y; 40 (out of 41) (98%) had received at least 2 doses of COVID-19 vaccine. Cough was the most frequent symptom (80.5%), followed by myalgia (70.7%), sore throat (63.4%), and fever (58.5%). After a follow-up time of 30 d, 1 (2.4%) patient died, 2 (4.9%) experienced multiorgan failure, and 5 (12.2%) had respiratory failure; 11 (26.8%) patients developed other superimposed infections. Compared with recipients who did not receive sotrovimab antibody therapy, the odds ratio (95% confidence interval) for hospitalization among patients who received sotrovimab was 0.05 (0.005-0.4). CONCLUSIONS: Despite double or triple dose vaccination, VOC Omicron infections in kidney and kidney pancreas transplant recipients are not necessarily mild. Hospitalization rates remained high (around 56%), and sotrovimab use may prevent hospitalization.


Asunto(s)
Vacunas contra la COVID-19 , COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Anticuerpos Monoclonales Humanizados , Anticuerpos Neutralizantes , Vacunas contra la COVID-19/efectos adversos , Humanos , Riñón , Páncreas , Filogenia , Factores de Riesgo , Receptores de Trasplantes
12.
Nat Commun ; 13(1): 2745, 2022 05 18.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35585202

RESUMEN

Co-infections with different variants of SARS-CoV-2 are a key precursor to recombination events that are likely to drive SARS-CoV-2 evolution. Rapid identification of such co-infections is required to determine their frequency in the community, particularly in populations at-risk of severe COVID-19, which have already been identified as incubators for punctuated evolutionary events. However, limited data and tools are currently available to detect and characterise the SARS-CoV-2 co-infections associated with recognised variants of concern. Here we describe co-infection with the SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern Omicron and Delta in two epidemiologically unrelated adult patients with chronic kidney disease requiring maintenance haemodialysis. Both variants were co-circulating in the community at the time of detection. Genomic surveillance based on amplicon- and probe-based sequencing using short- and long-read technologies identified and quantified subpopulations of Delta and Omicron viruses in respiratory samples. These findings highlight the importance of integrated genomic surveillance in vulnerable populations and provide diagnostic pathways to recognise SARS-CoV-2 co-infection using genomic data.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Coinfección , Genómica , Humanos , SARS-CoV-2/genética
14.
Int J Infect Dis ; 117: 65-73, 2022 Apr.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35108613

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: To enhance monitoring of high-burden foodborne pathogens, there is opportunity to combine pangenome data with network analysis. METHODS: Salmonella enterica subspecies Enterica serovar Enteritidis isolates were referred to the New South Wales (NSW) Enteric Reference Laboratory between August 2015 and December 2019 (1033 isolates in total), inclusive of a confirmed outbreak. All isolates underwent whole genome sequencing. Distances between genomes were quantified by in silico multiple-locus variable-number tandem repeat analysis (MLVA) as well as core single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs), which informed the construction of undirected networks. Centrality-prevalence spaces were generated from the undirected networks. Components on the undirected SNP network were considered alongside a phylogenetic tree representation. RESULTS: Outbreak isolates were identified as distinct components on the MLVA and SNP networks. The MLVA network-based centrality-prevalence space did not delineate the outbreak, whereas the outbreak was delineated in the SNP network-based centrality-prevalence space. Components on the undirected SNP network showed a high concordance to the SNP clusters based on phylogenetic analysis. CONCLUSIONS: Bacterial whole-genome data in network-based analysis can improve the resolution of population analysis. High concordance of network components and SNP clusters is promising for rapid population analyses of foodborne Salmonella spp. owing to the low overhead of network analysis.


Asunto(s)
Infecciones por Salmonella , Salmonella enteritidis , Brotes de Enfermedades , Humanos , Repeticiones de Minisatélite , Filogenia , Infecciones por Salmonella/epidemiología , Infecciones por Salmonella/microbiología , Salmonella enteritidis/genética , Secuenciación Completa del Genoma
15.
BMC Res Notes ; 14(1): 415, 2021 Nov 17.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34789337

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: To adapt 'fishplots' to describe real-time evolution of SARS-CoV-2 genomic clusters. RESULTS: This novel analysis adapted the fishplot to depict the size and duration of circulating genomic clusters over time in New South Wales, Australia. It illuminated the effectiveness of interventions on the emergence, spread and eventual elimination of clusters and distilled genomic data into clear information to inform public health action.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Australia , Genómica , Humanos , Nueva Gales del Sur , SARS-CoV-2
16.
Wellcome Open Res ; 6: 121, 2021.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34095513

RESUMEN

Late in 2020, two genetically-distinct clusters of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) with mutations of biological concern were reported, one in the United Kingdom and one in South Africa. Using a combination of data from routine surveillance, genomic sequencing and international travel we track the international dispersal of lineages B.1.1.7 and B.1.351 (variant 501Y-V2). We account for potential biases in genomic surveillance efforts by including passenger volumes from location of where the lineage was first reported, London and South Africa respectively. Using the software tool grinch (global report investigating novel coronavirus haplotypes), we track the international spread of lineages of concern with automated daily reports, Further, we have built a custom tracking website (cov-lineages.org/global_report.html) which hosts this daily report and will continue to include novel SARS-CoV-2 lineages of concern as they are detected.

17.
Aust N Z J Public Health ; 45(5): 512-516, 2021 Oct.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34181305

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: To explore the factors associated with the transmission of SARS-CoV-2 to patrons of a restaurant. METHODS: A retrospective cohort design was undertaken, with spatial examination and genomic sequencing of cases. The cohort included all patrons who attended the restaurant on Saturday 25 July 2020. A case was identified as a person who tested positive to a validated specific Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) nucleic acid test. Associations were tested using chi-squared analysis of case versus non-case behaviours. RESULTS: Twenty cases were epidemiologically linked to exposure at the restaurant on 25 July 2020. All cases dined indoors. All cases able to be genomic sequenced were found to have the same unique mutational profile. Factors tested for an association to the outcome included attentiveness by staff, drink consumption, bathroom use and payment by credit card. No significant results were found. CONCLUSION: Indoor dining was identified as a key factor in SARS-CoV-2 transmission, and outdoor dining as a way to limit transmission. Implications for public health: This investigation provides empirical evidence to support public health policies regarding indoor dining.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19/epidemiología , COVID-19/transmisión , Restaurantes , Adulto , Australia/epidemiología , Estudios de Cohortes , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Factores de Riesgo
18.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 27(6): 1677-1680, 2021 Jun.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33818372

RESUMEN

An outbreak of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 infection occurred among church attendees after an infectious chorister sang at multiple services. We detected 12 secondary case-patients. Video recordings of the services showed that case-patients were seated in the same section, up to 15 m from the primary case-patient, without close physical contact, suggesting airborne transmission.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Canto , Australia/epidemiología , Humanos , SARS-CoV-2
19.
Front Microbiol ; 12: 713724, 2021.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35002991

RESUMEN

The disease caused by Shiga toxin-producing Escherichia coli (STEC) remains a significant public health challenge globally, but the incidence of human STEC infections in Australia remains relatively low. This study examined the virulence characteristics and diversity of STEC isolates in the state of New South Wales between December 2017 and May 2020. Utilisation of both whole and core genome multi-locus sequence typing (MLST) allowed for the inference of genomic diversity and detection of isolates that were likely to be epidemiologically linked. The most common STEC serotype and stx subtype detected in this study were O157:H7 and stx 1a, respectively. A genomic scan of other virulence factors present in STEC suggested interplay between iron uptake system and virulence factors that mediate either iron release or countermeasures against host defence that could result in a reduction of stx 1a expression. This reduced expression of the dominant stx genotype could contribute to the reduced incidence of STEC-related illness in Australia. Genomic surveillance of STEC becomes an important part of public health response and ongoing interrogation of virulence factors in STEC offers additional insights for the public health risk assessment.

20.
Nat Med ; 26(9): 1398-1404, 2020 09.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32647358

RESUMEN

In January 2020, a novel betacoronavirus (family Coronaviridae), named severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), was identified as the etiological agent of a cluster of pneumonia cases occurring in Wuhan City, Hubei Province, China1,2. The disease arising from SARS-CoV-2 infection, coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), subsequently spread rapidly causing a worldwide pandemic. Here we examine the added value of near real-time genome sequencing of SARS-CoV-2 in a subpopulation of infected patients during the first 10 weeks of COVID-19 containment in Australia and compare findings from genomic surveillance with predictions of a computational agent-based model (ABM). Using the Australian census data, the ABM generates over 24 million software agents representing the population of Australia, each with demographic attributes of an anonymous individual. It then simulates transmission of the disease over time, spreading from specific infection sources, using contact rates of individuals within different social contexts. We report that the prospective sequencing of SARS-CoV-2 clarified the probable source of infection in cases where epidemiological links could not be determined, significantly decreased the proportion of COVID-19 cases with contentious links, documented genomically similar cases associated with concurrent transmission in several institutions and identified previously unsuspected links. Only a quarter of sequenced cases appeared to be locally acquired and were concordant with predictions from the ABM. These high-resolution genomic data are crucial to track cases with locally acquired COVID-19 and for timely recognition of independent importations once border restrictions are lifted and trade and travel resume.


Asunto(s)
Betacoronavirus/genética , Infecciones por Coronavirus/genética , Genoma Viral/genética , Pandemias , Neumonía Viral/genética , Betacoronavirus/patogenicidad , COVID-19 , Infecciones por Coronavirus/transmisión , Infecciones por Coronavirus/virología , Humanos , Neumonía Viral/transmisión , Neumonía Viral/virología , SARS-CoV-2 , Análisis de Sistemas , Secuenciación Completa del Genoma
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