Association between inflammatory joint disease and severe or treatment-resistant depression: population-based cohort and case-control studies in Sweden.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate whether the association between depression and inflammatory joint disease (IJD; rheumatoid arthritis [RA], psoriatic arthritis [PsA], ankylosing spondylitis/spondyloarthropathies [AS], and juvenile idiopathic arthritis [JIA]) is affected by the severity or treatment-resistance of depression. METHOD: Parallel cohort studies and case-control studies among 600,404 patients with a depressive episode identified in Swedish nationwide administrative registers. Prospective and retrospective risk for IJD in patients with depression was compared to matched population comparators, and the same associations were investigated in severe or treatment-resistant depression. Analyses were adjusted for comorbidities and sociodemographic covariates. RESULTS: Patients with depression had an increased risk for later IJD compared to population comparators (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) for any IJD 1.34 [95% CI 1.30-1.39]; for RA 1.27 [1.15-1.41]; PsA 1.45 [1.29-1.63]; AS 1.32 [1.15-1.52]). In case-control studies, patients with depression more frequently had a history of IJD compared to population controls (adjusted odds ratio (aOR) for any IJD 1.43 [1.37-1.50]; RA 1.39 [1.29-1.49]; PsA 1.59 [1.46-1.73]; AS 1.49 [1.36-1.64]; JIA 1.52 [1.35-1.71]). These associations were not significantly different for severe depression or TRD. CONCLUSION: IJD and depression are bidirectionally associated, but this association does not seem to be influenced by the severity or treatment resistance of depression.

MINOR GENETIC OVERLAP BETWEEN RHEUMATOID ARTHRITIS, MYOCARDIAL INFARCTION AND ITS RISK DETERMINANTS.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate whether a shared genetic susceptibility exists between rheumatoid arthritis (RA) and myocardial infarction (MI) - including major MI risk factors - and to quantify the degree of any such overlap. METHODS: Genome-wide association study (GWAS) data for RA was constructed from a sample of 26,637 Swedish RA cases and RA-free controls. For MI, GWAS data was obtained from a previously published meta-analysis. Genome-wide genetic correlation was estimated via LD score regression. LAVA was employed to estimate local genetic correlations in ~2500 non-overlapping loci, including the major histocompatibility complex (MHC). The RA-free controls were used for reference panel data. We also assessed stratified estimates of both genome-wide and local genetic correlation, based on subsamples of seropositive and seronegative RA. Furthermore, genome-wide genetic correlation was estimated between RA and selected cardiovascular risk factors, to elucidate pleiotropic relationships. RESULTS: Following quality control, our RA GWAS consisted of 25,826 individuals. Genome-wide genetic correlation between RA and MI was estimated to rg=0.13 (95%CI -0.03-0.29). Six regions exhibited significant local rg though none harbored any known risk SNPs for either of the two traits. Estimates were similar in both seropositive and seronegative RA. No statistically significant rg were observed between RA and any of the MI risk factors. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings indicate that genetic overlap between RA and MI is minor. Furthermore, genetic overlap between RA and MI risk factors seem unlikely to provide a major contribution to the increased risk of MI observed in RA.

Spondyloarthritis in first-degree relatives and spouses of patients with inflammatory bowel disease: A nationwide population-based cohort study from Sweden.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Register-based research suggests a shared pathophysiology between inflammatory bowel disease [IBD] and spondyloarthritis [SpA], but the role of familial [genetic and environmental] factors in this shared susceptibility is largely unknown. We compared the risk of SpA in first-degree relatives [FDRs] and spouses of IBD patients with FDRs and spouses of matched population-based reference individuals. METHODS: We identified 147,080 FDRs and 25,945 spouses of patients with incident IBD [N=39,203] during 2006-2016 and 1,453,429 FDRs and 258,098 spouses of matched reference individuals [N=390,490], by linking nationwide Swedish registers and gastrointestinal biopsy data. Study participants were followed 1987-2017. Cox regression was used to estimate hazard ratios [HRs] of SpA. RESULTS: During follow-up, 2,430 FDRs of IBD patients [6.5/10,000 person-years] and 17,761 FDRs of reference individuals [4.8/10,000 person-years] were diagnosed with SpA, corresponding to an HR of 1.35 [95%CI:1.29,1.41]. In subgroup analyses, the increased risk of SpA was most pronounced in FDRs of Crohn's disease patients [HR=1.44; 95%CI:1.34,1.56] and of IBD patients aged <18 years at diagnosis [HR=1.46; 95%CI: 1.27,1.68]. IBD patient's spouses also had a higher SpA rate than reference individuals' spouses, but the difference was less pronounced [4.3 vs. 3.5/10,000 person-years; HR=1.22; 95%CI:1.09,1.37]. No subgroup-specific risk pattern was identified among spouses. CONCLUSIONS: The observed shared familial risks between IBD and SpA support shared genetic factors in their pathogenesis. However, spouses of IBD patients were also at increased risk for SpA, reflecting the influence of environmental exposures or similarities in health-seeking patterns.

Disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs and risk of thyroxine-treated autoimmune thyroid disease in patients with rheumatoid arthritis.

BACKGROUND: Autoimmune thyroid disease (AITD) and rheumatoid arthritis (RA) share a genetic background, and the prevalence of AITD in RA patients is increased. Whereas immunomodulatory treatments are used in RA, they are rarely used in AITD. OBJECTIVES: We hypothesized that disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs (DMARDs) as used in RA might lower the risk of incident AITD. METHODS: A nationwide cohort study including 13,731 patients with new-onset RA from the Swedish Rheumatology Quality Register 2006-2018 and 63,201 matched general population comparators linked to national registers to identify AITD. We estimated relative risks (hazard ratios) of AITD after RA diagnosis in RA patients compared to the general population, and in relation to DMARD treatment, using Cox regression. RESULTS: Following RA diagnosis, 321 (2.3%) of the RA patients and 1838 (2.9%) of the population comparators developed AITD, corresponding to an incidence of 3.7 versus 4.6 per 1000 person-years, hazard ratio, 0.81; 95% CI, 0.72-0.91. The decreased risk of incident AITD among RA patients compared to the general population was most pronounced among biologic DMARD (bDMARD) treated patients, with a hazard ratio of 0.54; 95% CI, 0.39-0.76. Among RA patients, subgrouped by bDMARD use, TNF-inhibitors were associated with the most pronounced decrease, hazard ratio, 0.67; 95% CI, 0.47-0.96. CONCLUSIONS: In contrast to the increased prevalence of AITD in RA patients at diagnosis, our results indicate that the risk of AITD decreases following RA diagnosis. This decrease is especially pronounced in RA patients treated with bDMARDs. These findings support the hypothesis that DMARDs might have a preventive effect on AITD.

Predictors of DAPSA28 remission in patients with psoriatic arthritis initiating a first TNF inhibitor: results from 13 European registries.

OBJECTIVES: In bio-naïve patients with PsA initiating a TNF inhibitor (TNFi), we aimed to identify baseline predictors of Disease Activity index for PsA in 28 joints (DAPSA28) remission (primary objective) and DAPSA28 moderate response at 6 months, as well as drug retention at 12 months across 13 European registries. METHODS: Baseline demographic and clinical characteristics were retrieved and the three outcomes investigated per registry and in pooled data, using logistic regression analyses on multiply imputed data. In the pooled cohort, selected predictors that were either consistently positive or negative across all three outcomes were defined as common predictors. RESULTS: In the pooled cohort (n = 13 369), 6-month proportions of remission, moderate response and 12-month drug retention were 25%, 34% and 63% in patients with available data (n = 6954, n = 5275 and n = 13 369, respectively). Five common baseline predictors of remission, moderate response and 12-month drug retention were identified across all three outcomes. The odds ratios (95% CIs) for DAPSA28 remission were: age, per year: 0.97 (0.96-0.98); disease duration, years (<2 years as reference): 2-3 years: 1.20 (0.89-1.60), 4-9 years: 1.42 (1.09-1.84), ≥10 years: 1.66 (1.26-2.20); men vs women: 1.85 (1.54-2.23); CRP of >10 vs ≤10 mg/l: 1.52 (1.22-1.89) and 1 mm increase in patient fatigue score: 0.99 (0.98-0.99). CONCLUSION: Baseline predictors of remission, response and adherence to TNFi therapy were identified, of which five were common for all three outcomes, indicating that the predictors emerging from our pooled cohort may be considered generalizable from country level to disease level.

Malignancy outcomes in patients with rheumatoid arthritis treated with abatacept and other disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs: Results from a 10-year international post-marketing study.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the risk of malignancy (overall, breast, lung, and lymphoma) in patients with rheumatoid arthritis treated with abatacept, conventional synthetic (cs) disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs (DMARDs), and other biologic/targeted synthetic (b/ts)DMARDs in clinical practice. METHODS: Four international observational data sources were included: ARTIS (Sweden), RABBIT (Germany), FORWARD (USA), and BC (Canada). Crude incidence rates (IRs) per 1000 patient-years of exposure with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for a malignancy event were calculated; rate ratios (RRs) were estimated and adjusted for demographics, comorbidities, and other potential confounders. RRs were then pooled in a random-effects model. RESULTS: Across data sources, mean follow-up for patients treated with abatacept (n = 5182), csDMARDs (n = 73,755), and other b/tsDMARDs (n = 37,195) was 3.0-3.7, 2.9-6.2, and 3.1-4.7 years, respectively. IRs per 1000 patient-years for overall malignancy ranged from 7.6-11.4 (abatacept), 8.6-13.2 (csDMARDs), and 5.0-11.8 (other b/tsDMARDs). IRs ranged from: 0-4.4, 0-3.3, and 0-2.5 (breast cancer); 0.1-2.8, 0-3.7, and 0.2-2.9 (lung cancer); and 0-1.1, 0-0.9, and 0-0.6 (lymphoma), respectively, for the three treatment groups. The numbers of individual cancers (breast, lung, and lymphoma) in some registries were low; RRs were not available. There were a few cases of lymphoma in some of the registries; ARTIS observed an RR of 2.8 (95% CI 1.1-6.8) with abatacept versus csDMARDs. The pooled RRs (95% CIs) for overall malignancy with abatacept were 1.1 (0.8-1.5) versus csDMARDs and 1.0 (0.8-1.3) versus b/tsDMARDs. CONCLUSIONS: This international, post-marketing observational safety study did not find any statistically significant increase in the risk of overall malignancies in pooled data in patients treated with abatacept compared with csDMARDs or with other b/tsDMARDs. Assessment of larger populations is needed to further evaluate the risks for individual cancers, especially lymphoma.

Infection outcomes in patients with rheumatoid arthritis treated with abatacept and other disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs: Results from a 10-year international post-marketing study.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate risk of infections requiring hospitalization and opportunistic infections, including tuberculosis, in patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) treated with abatacept versus conventional synthetic (cs) disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs (DMARDs) and other biologic/targeted synthetic (b/ts) DMARDs. METHODS: Five international observational data sources were used: two biologic registries (Sweden, Germany), a disease registry (USA) and two healthcare claims databases (Canada, USA). Crude incidence rates (IRs) per 1000 patient-years, with 95 % CIs, were used to estimate rate ratios (RRs) comparing abatacept versus csDMARDs or other b/tsDMARDs. RRs were adjusted for demographic factors, comorbidities, and other potential confounders and then pooled across data sources using a random effects model (REM). RESULTS: The data sources included 6450 abatacept users, 136,636 csDMARD users and 54,378 other b/tsDMARD users, with a mean follow-up range of 2.2-6.2 years. Across data sources, the IRs for infections requiring hospitalization ranged from 16 to 56 for abatacept, 19-46 for csDMARDs, and 18-40 for other b/tsDMARDs. IRs for opportunistic infections were 0.4-7.8, 0.3-4.3, and 0.5-3.8; IRs for tuberculosis were 0.0-8.4, 0.0-6.0, and 0.0-6.3, respectively. The pooled adjusted RR (95 % CI), only reported for infections requiring hospitalization, was 1.2 (0.6-2.2) for abatacept versus csDMARDs and 0.9 (0.6-1.3) versus other b/tsDMARDs. CONCLUSIONS: Data from this international, observational study showed similar hospitalized infection risk for abatacept versus csDMARDs or other b/tsDMARDs. IRs for opportunistic infections, including tuberculosis, were low. These data are consistent with the known safety profile of abatacept.

In early rheumatoid arthritis, anticitrullinated peptide antibodies associate with low number of affected joints and rheumatoid factor associates with systemic inflammation.

OBJECTIVES: To investigate how individual rheumatoid arthritis (RA) autoantibodies associate with individual signs and symptoms at the time of RA diagnosis. METHODS: IgA, IgG, IgM rheumatoid factor (RF), antibodies against cyclic citrullinated peptide version 2 (anti-CCP2) and 16 individual antibodies against citrullinated protein (ACPA) reactivities were analysed centrally in baseline sera from 1600 patients with RA classified according to the 1987 American College of Rheumatology (ACR) criteria. These results were related to C-reactive protein (CRP), erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR), number of swollen and tender joints (SJC and TJC), 28-joint disease activity scores (DAS28 and DAS28CRP), global disease activity evaluated by the patients and Health Assessment Questionnaire, all obtained at baseline. RESULTS: Individually, all autoantibodies except immunoglobulin G (IgG) RF associated with low SJC and TJC and with high ESR. In IgM RF-negative patients, ACPA associated strictly with low number of swollen and tender joints. This association persisted in multiple regression and stratified analyses where IgM and IgA RF instead associated with inflammation expressed as ESR. Among subjects without any ACPA peptide reactivity, there was no association between RF isotypes and ESR. The effect of RF on ESR increased with the number of ACPA reactivities, especially for IgM RF. In patients fulfilling the 1987 ACR criteria without taking RF into account, associations between IgM RF and high ESR, as well as between ACPA and low joint counts, remained. CONCLUSION: Whereas ACPA associate with low counts of affected joints in early RA, RF associates with elevated measures of systemic inflammation in an ACPA-dependent manner. This latter finding corroborates in vitro models of ACPA and RF in immune complex-induced inflammation. These phenotypic associations are independent of classification criteria.

Mortality in patients with psoriatic arthritis in Sweden: a nationwide, population-based cohort study.

OBJECTIVES: To compare all-cause mortality and causes of death between patients with psoriatic arthritis (PsA) and the general population in Sweden. METHODS: Adults with at least one main PsA diagnosis (International Classification of Diseases-10: L40.5/M07.0-M07.3) from outpatient rheumatology/internal medicine departments 2001-2017 were identified from the National Patient Register. Each case was matched to five population comparator-subjects on sex/county/age at the case's first arthritis diagnosis. Follow-up ran from 1 January 2007, or from first PsA diagnosis thereafter, until death, emigration or 31 December 2018. Mortality was assessed overall, and stratified by sex and duration since diagnosis (diagnosis before/after 1 January 2007), using matched Cox proportional hazard regression (excluding/including adjustments for comorbidity) or Breslow test, as appropriate. Incidence rate ratios (IRR) of death, overall and stratified by sex/duration since diagnosis/age, as well as causes of death in PsA cases and comparator-subjects were also described. RESULTS: All-cause mortality was elevated in PsA (HR: 1.11 (95% CI: 1.07 to 1.16); IRR: 1.18 (95% CI: 1.13 to 1.22)), mainly driven by increased risks in women (HR: 1.23 (95% CI: 1.16 to 1.30)) and cases with longer time since diagnosis (HR: 1.18 (95% CI: 1.12 to 1.25)). IRR of death were significantly increased for all ages except below 40 years, with the numerically highest point-estimates for ages 40-59 years. When adjusted for comorbidity, however, the elevated mortality risk in PsA disappeared. Causes of death were similar among PsA cases/comparator-subjects, with cardiovascular disease and malignancy as the leading causes. CONCLUSIONS: Mortality risk in PsA in Sweden was about 10% higher than in the general population, driven by excess comorbidity and with increased risks mainly in women and patients with longer disease duration.

Abatacept and non-melanoma skin cancer in patients with rheumatoid arthritis: a comprehensive evaluation of randomised controlled trials and observational studies.

OBJECTIVES: This study aims to evaluate non-melanoma skin cancer (NMSC) risk associated with abatacept treatment for rheumatoid arthritis (RA). METHODS: This evaluation included 16 abatacept RA clinical trials and 6 observational studies. NMSC incidence rates (IRs)/1000 patient-years (p-y) of exposure were compared between patients treated with abatacept versus placebo, conventional synthetic (cs) disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs (DMARDs) and other biological/targeted synthetic (b/ts)DMARDs. For observational studies, a random-effects model was used to pool rate ratios (RRs). RESULTS: ~49 000 patients receiving abatacept were analysed from clinical trials (~7000) and observational studies (~42 000). In randomised trials (n=4138; median abatacept exposure, 12 (range 2-30) months), NMSC IRs (95% CIs) were not significantly different for abatacept (6.0 (3.3 to 10.0)) and placebo (4.0 (1.3 to 9.3)) and remained stable throughout the long-term, open-label period (median cumulative exposure, 28 (range 2-130 months); 21 335 p-y of exposure (7044 patients over 3 years)). For registry databases, NMSC IRs/1000 p-y were 5-12 (abatacept), 1.6-10 (csDMARDs) and 3-8 (other b/tsDMARDs). Claims database IRs were 19-22 (abatacept), 15-18 (csDMARDs) and 14-17 (other b/tsDMARDs). Pooled RRs (95% CIs) from observational studies for NMSC in patients receiving abatacept were 1.84 (1.00 to 3.37) vs csDMARDs and 1.11 (0.98 to 1.26) vs other b/tsDMARDs. CONCLUSIONS: Consistent with the warnings and precautions of the abatacept label, this analysis suggests a potential increase in NMSC risk with abatacept use compared with csDMARDs. No significant increase was observed compared with b/tsDMARDs, but the lower limit of the 95% CI was close to unity.

Comorbidities and chance of remission in patients with early rheumatoid arthritis receiving methotrexate as first-line therapy: a Swedish observational nationwide study.

OBJECTIVES: This study aims to examine whether comorbidities affect the likelihood of reaching primary remission on methotrexate monotherapy as the first disease-modifying antirheumatic drug (DMARD) in early rheumatoid arthritis (RA). METHODS: We used nationwide Swedish clinical and quality registers to collect RA disease activity measures and comorbidity data for patients diagnosed with RA 2007-2020 (n=11 001). The primary outcome was failure to reach 28-joint Disease Activity Score (DAS28) remission at 3 months. Secondary outcomes included Boolean, Simplified Disease Activity Index/Clinical Disease Activity Index remission, European Alliance of Associations for Rheumatology response and no swollen joint count at 3 and 6 months. For each comorbidity, and for combinations thereof, we calculated adjusted relative risks (RRs) of failure to reach remission, using modified Poisson regression. RESULTS: In total, 53% (n=4019/7643) failed to reach DAS28 remission after 3 months of methotrexate monotherapy, ranging from 66% (n=25/38) among patients with chronic kidney disease to 48% (n=154/319) in patients with previous cancer. The risk of not reaching DAS28 remission at 3 months (RR adjusted for sex and age) was increased among patients with endocrine (RR 1.08, 95% CI 1.01 to 1.15), gastrointestinal (RR 1.16, 95% CI 1.03 to 1.30), infectious (RR 1.21, 95% CI 1.06 to 1.38), psychiatric (RR 1.24, 95% CI 1.15 to 1.35) and respiratory comorbidities (RR 1.16, 95% CI 1.01 to 1.32). Having three or more comorbidity categories was associated with a 27% higher risk of DAS28 remission failure at 3 months. A similar pattern was observed for the secondary outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: Comorbidities decrease the chance of reaching remission on methotrexate as DMARD monotherapy in patients with early RA and are important to consider when assessing treatment outcomes.

Are JAKis more effective among elderly patients with RA, smokers and those with higher cardiovascular risk? A comparative effectiveness study of b/tsDMARDs in Sweden.

OBJECTIVES: To investigate whether the relative effectiveness of janus kinase inhibitors (JAKis) versus tumour necrosis factor inhibitors (TNFi) or other biological disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs in rheumatoid arthritis differ by the presence or absence of risk factors for cardiovascular (CV) disease, age, sex and smoking. METHODS: Through Swedish registers, we identified 13 493 individuals with 3166 JAKi, 5575 non-TNFi and 11 286 TNFi treatment initiations 2016-2022. All lines of therapy were included, with the majority in second line or higher. Treatment response was defined as the proportion reaching European Alliance of Associations for Rheumatology (EULAR) good response and Clinical Disease Activity Index (CDAI) remission, respectively, within 6 months. Crude percentage point differences in these proportions (JAKis, and non-TNFis, vs TNFis) overall and by risk factors were observed, and adjusted for confounders using linear regression models. Predicted probabilities of response and remission were estimated from adjusted Poisson models, and presented across CV risk and age. RESULTS: Overall, adjusted percentage point differences indicated higher response (+5.0%, 95% CI 2.2% to 7.9%) and remission (+5.8%, 95% CI 3.2% to 8.5%) with JAKis versus TNFis. The adjusted percentage point differences for response in those above 65, at elevated CV risk, and smokers were +5.9% (95% CI 2.7% to 9.0%), +8.3% (95% CI 5.3% to 11.4%) and +6.0% (95% CI 3.3% to 8.7%), respectively. The corresponding estimates for remission were +8.0% (95% CI 5.3% to 10.8%), +5.6% (95% CI 3.0% to 8.2%) and +7.6% (95% CI 5.5% to 9.7%). CONCLUSIONS: As used in clinical practice, response and remission at 6 months with JAKis are higher than with TNFi. Among patients with risk factors of concern, effectiveness is similar or numerically further increased. For individualised benefit-to-risk ratios to guide treatment choice, safety and effectiveness in specific patient segments should be considered.

Register-based observational study of associations between inflammatory remission, formal treatment targets and the use of disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs among patients with early rheumatoid arthritis.

OBJECTIVE: To assess associations between inflammatory remission, formal treatment targets and the likelihood of starting a new disease-modifying antirheumatic drug (DMARD), among patients with early rheumatoid arthritis (RA). METHODS: Patients newly diagnosed with RA were identified in the Swedish Rheumatology Quality Register (n=11 784). Disease Activity Score 28 (DAS28) and DMARD-treatment were assessed at RA diagnosis and 3, 6, 12 and 24 months thereafter. Inflammatory remission was defined as: swollen joints (0-28)=0 and C reactive protein <10 mg/L and normal erythrocyte sedimentation rate. The primary treatment target was DAS28 remission (<2.6). The proportion of patients in inflammatory remission who failed to reach DAS28 targets was assessed at each follow-up visit, and their likelihood of starting a new DMARD was compared with patients in inflammatory remission who reached the treatment target. rate ratios (RR) and 95% CIs were estimated with modified Poisson regression. RESULTS: Overall, 34%, 39%, 44% and 47% were in inflammatory remission at 3, 6, 12 and 24 months. Among these, 20%, 22%, 20% and 19%, respectively, failed to reach DAS28 remission. Patients who failed to reach DAS28 remission despite being in inflammatory remission were more likely to start a new DMARD treatment (RR (95% CI) at 6 months=1.59 (1.29 to 1.96), 12 months=1.52 (1.23 to 1.87)) and 24 months=1.47 (1.20 to 1.80). CONCLUSION: Failing to reach formal treatment targets, despite being in inflammatory remission, is common among patients with early RA, and is associated with an increased likelihood of starting a new DMARD-treatment.

Comparative cardiovascular safety with janus kinase inhibitors and biological disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs as used in clinical practice: an observational cohort study from Sweden in patients with rheumatoid arthritis.

OBJECTIVES: To compare the incidence of cardiovascular (CV) events in rheumatoid arthritis (RA) treated with janus kinase inhibitors (JAKi), tumour necrosis factor inhibitors (TNFi), or other biological disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs (bDMARDs), in clinical practice, and to contextualise these findings by comparing to the Swedish RA population and general population at large. METHODS: Patients with RA initiating JAKi, TNFi and non-TNFi bDMARDs were identified in the Swedish Rheumatology Quality Register between 2016 and 2021. Through linkages to national registers, a cohort of patients with RA, general population comparators, as well as covariates and incident major acute CV event (MACE, including myocardial infarction, stroke and fatal CV events) were identified until 2022. Crude and age-sex standardised rates were calculated and HRs estimated from multivariable Cox regression models using TNFi as reference. RESULTS: We identified 13 492 patients with RA initiating a JAKi, non-TNFi bDMARD or TNFi treatment. Among 3037 JAKi-initiators, 59 MACE events were observed. The age-sex standardised rates for MACE were similar in the JAKi (0.88 per 100 person years) and TNFi (0.91) cohorts. Fully adjusted models showed no increased rate of MACE with JAKi (HR=0.71, 95% CI 0.51 to 0.99), or non-TNFi bDMARD (HR=0.98; 95% CI 0.78 to 1.23) in comparison to TNFi. We found no evidence that this HR changed over time since treatment initiation. In a CV-enriched subset, we observed higher rates but similar HRs. CONCLUSIONS: As used in present clinical practice in Sweden, we found no evidence that CV risk is higher with JAKis than TNFis in RA.

Microscopic colitis and risk of incident rheumatoid arthritis: A nationwide population-based matched cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Microscopic colitis (MC) has been linked to several autoimmune conditions. Results from previous studies on the association with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) have been inconsistent. AIM: To assess the risk of future RA in MC. METHODS: We conducted a nationwide matched cohort study in Sweden of 8179 patients with biopsy-verified MC (diagnosed in 2007-2017), 36,400 matched reference individuals and 8202 siblings without MC, with follow-up until 2021. Information on MC was obtained from all of Sweden's regional pathology registers (n = 28) through the ESPRESSO cohort. Data on incident RA were collected from the National Patient Register. Using Cox regression, we calculated adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 9.1 years (interquartile range = 6.7-11.7), 73 MC patients and 183 reference individuals from the general population were diagnosed with RA (99 vs. 55 events per 100,000 person-years), equivalent to one extra case of RA in 226 patients with MC followed for 10 years. These rates corresponded to an aHR of 1.83 (95% CI = 1.39-2.41). The aHR was highest during the first year of follow-up (2.31 [95% CI = 1.08-4.97]) and remained significantly elevated up to 5 years after MC diagnosis (aHR 2.16; 95% CI = 1.42-3.30). Compared to siblings, without MC, the aHR was 2.04 (95% CI = 1.18-3.56). CONCLUSION: Patients with MC are at a nearly two-fold risk of developing RA compared to the general population. Knowledge of this increased risk may expedite evaluation for RA in patients with MC presenting with joint symptoms and/or arthralgia, thus preventing delay until RA diagnosis.

Remission, response, retention and persistence to treatment with disease-modifying agents in patients with rheumatoid arthritis: a study of harmonised Swedish, Danish and Norwegian cohorts.

OBJECTIVE: Precision medicine in rheumatoid arthritis (RA) requires a good understanding of treatment outcomes and often collaborative efforts that call for data harmonisation. We aimed to describe how harmonisation across study cohorts can be achieved and investigate how the observed proportions reaching remission vary across remission criteria, study types, disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs (DMARDs) and countries, and how they relate to other treatment outcomes. METHODS: We used data from eight existing large-scale, clinical RA registers and a pragmatic trial from Sweden, Denmark and Norway. In these, we defined three types of treatment cohorts; methotrexate monotherapy (as first DMARD), tumour necrosis factor inhibitors (TNFi) (as first biological DMARD) and rituximab. We developed a harmonised study protocol defining time points during 36 months of follow-up, collected clinical visit data on treatment response, retention, persistence and six alternative definitions of remission, and investigated how these outcomes differed within and between cohorts, by treatment. RESULTS: Cohort sizes ranged from ~50 to 22 000 patients with RA. The proportions reaching each outcome varied across outcome metric, but with small to modest variations within and between cohorts, countries and treatment. Retention and persistence rates were high (>50% at 1 year), yet <33% of patients starting methotrexate or TNFi, and only 10% starting rituximab, remained on drug without other DMARDs added and achieved American Congress of Rheumatology/European Alliance of Associations for Rheumatology or Simplified Disease Activity Index remission at 1 year. CONCLUSION: Harmonisation of data from different RA data sources can be achieved without compromising internal validity or generalisability. The low proportions reaching remission, point to an unmet need for treatment optimisation in RA.

Increasing healthcare costs in inflammatory bowel disease 2007-2020 in Sweden.

BACKGROUND: Inflammatory bowel disease has been linked to increasing healthcare costs, but longitudinal data on other societal costs are scarce. AIM: To assess costs, including productivity losses, in patients with prevalent Crohn's disease (CD) or ulcerative colitis (UC) in Sweden between 2007 and 2020. METHODS: We linked data from national registers on all patients with CD or UC and a matched (sex, birthyear, healthcare region and education) reference population. We assessed mean costs/year in Euros, inflation-adjusted to 2020, for hospitalisations, out-patient visits, medications, sick leave and disability pension. We defined excess costs as the mean difference between patients and matched comparators. RESULTS: Between 2007 and 2020, absolute mean annual societal costs in working-age (18-64 years) individuals decreased by 17% in CD (-24% in the comparators) and by 20% in UC (-27% in comparators), due to decreasing costs from sick leave and disability, a consequence of stricter sick leave regulations. Excess costs in 2007 were dominated by productivity losses. In 2020, excess costs were mostly healthcare costs. Absolute and excess costs increased in paediatric and elderly patients. Overall, costs for TNF inhibitors/targeted therapies increased by 274% in CD and 638% in UC, and the proportion treated increased from 5% to 26% in CD, and from 1% to 10% in UC. CONCLUSION: Between 2007 and 2020, excess costs shifted from productivity losses to direct healthcare costs; that is, the patients' compensation for sickness absence decreased, while society increased its spending on medications. Medication costs were driven both by expanding use of TNF inhibitors and by high costs for newer targeted therapies.

Genome-wide investigation of persistence to treatment with methotrexate in early rheumatoid arthritis.

OBJECTIVES: To investigate the influence of genetic factors on persistence to treatment of early rheumatoid arthritis (RA) with methotrexate (MTX) monotherapy. METHODS: We conducted a genome-wide association study (GWAS) in a sample of 3902 Swedish early RA patients initiating MTX in DMARD-monotherapy as their first ever DMARD. The outcome, short- and long-term persistence to this treatment, was defined as remaining on MTX at one and at three years, respectively, with no additional DMARDs added. As genetic predictors, we investigated individual SNPs, and a polygenic risk score (PRS) based on SNPs associated with RA risk. The SNP-based heritability of persistence was estimated overall and by RA serostatus. RESULTS: No individual SNP reached genome-wide significance (p < 5e-8), neither for persistence at one nor at three years. The RA PRS was not significantly associated with persistence at one (RR = 0.98 (0.96-1.01)) nor three years (RR = 0.96 (0.93-1.00)). The heritability for persistence was estimated to be 0.45 (0.15-0.75) at one year and 0.14 (0-0.40) at three years. Results in seropositive RA were comparable to those in the analysis of RA overall, while heritability estimates and PRS RRs were attenuated towards the null in seronegative RA. CONCLUSIONS: Despite being the largest GWAS on an MTX treatment outcome to date, no genome-wide significant associations were detected. The modest heritability observed, coupled with the broad spread of suggestively associated loci, indicate that genetic influence is of polygenic nature. Nevertheless, persistence to MTX monotherapy was lower in patients with a greater genetic disposition, per the PRS, towards RA.

How does current disease activity in rheumatoid arthritis affect the short-term risk of acute coronary syndrome? A clinical register based study from Sweden and Norway.

OBJECTIVES: To estimate short-term risks of acute coronary syndrome (ACS) in patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) as a function of current RA disease activity including remission. METHODS: Data from clinical visits of RA patients in Sweden (SE) and Norway (NO) between January 1st 2012 until December 31st 2020 were used. At each visit, patient's disease activity was assessed including remission status (measured with several metrics). Through linkage to national health and death registers, patients were followed up for incident ACS up to six months from each visit. We compared the short-term risk of ACS in patients not in remission vs. in remission using Cox regression analyses with robust standard errors, adjusted for country and covariates (e.g., age, sex, prednisolone use, comorbidities). We also explored disease activity categories as exposure. RESULTS: We included 212,493 visits (10,444 from Norway and 202,049 from Sweden) among 41,250 patients (72% women, mean age at visit 62 years). During the 6-month follow-ups, we observed 524 incident ACS events. Compared to patients in remission, patients currently not in remission had an increased rate of ACS: adjusted hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) 1.52 (1.24-1.85) with DAS28 metric. The crude absolute six-month risks were 0.2% for patients in remission vs. 0.4% for patients with DAS28 high disease activity. The use of alternative RA disease activity and remission metrics provided similar results. CONCLUSION: Failure to reach remission is associated with elevated short-term risks of ACS, underscoring the need for CV risk factor optimization in these patients.

Calprotectin, a sensitive marker of inflammation, is robustly assessed in plasma from patients with early or established rheumatoid arthritis by use of different laboratory methods.

Calprotectin (S100A8/S100A9, MRP8/MRP14) is a major leukocyte protein found to be more sensitive than C-Reactive Protein (CRP) and Erythrocyte Sedimentation Rate (ESR) as a marker of inflammation in patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA). The present objective was to explore the robustness of calprotectin assessments by comparing two different laboratory methods assessing calprotectin in plasma samples from patients with early or established RA. A total of 212 patients with early RA (mean (SD) age 52(13.3) years, disease duration 0.6(0.5) years) and 177 patients with established RA (mean (SD) age 52.9(13.0) years, disease duration 10.0(8.8) years) were assessed by clinical, laboratory, and ultrasound examinations. Frozen plasma samples (-80 °C) were analysed for calprotectin levels at baseline, 1, 2, 3, 6 and 12 months by use of either enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) or fluoroenzyme immunoassay (FEIA). The ELISA technique used kits from Calpro AS and the FEIA technology was assessed on an automated Thermo Fisher Scientific instrument. The results showed high correlations between the two methods at baseline and during follow-up, with Spearman correlation at baseline 0.93 (p < 0.001) in the early and 0.96 (p < 0.001) in the established RA cohorts. The correlations between each of the two calprotectin assessments and clinical examinations had similar range. Calprotectin correlated well with clinical examinations, with at least as high correlations as CRP and ESR. The present study showed similar results for the two analytical methods, supporting the robustness of calprotectin analyses, and suggest calprotectin in plasma to be included in the assessments offered by clinical routine laboratories.