Ross procedure or mechanical aortic valve, which is the best lifetime option for an 18-year-old? A decision analysis.

Objectives: Identifying the optimal solution for young adults requiring aortic valve replacement (AVR) is challenging, given the variety of options and their lifetime complication risks, impacts on quality of life, and costs. Decision analytic techniques make comparisons incorporating these measures. We evaluated lifetime valve-related outcomes of mechanical aortic valve replacement (mAVR) versus the Ross procedure (Ross) using decision tree microsimulations modeling. Methods: Transition probabilities, utilities, and costs derived from published reports were entered into a Markov model decision tree to explore progression between health states for hypothetical 18-year-old patients. In total, 20,000 Monte Carlo microsimulations were performed to model mortality, quality-adjusted-life-years (QALYs), and health care costs. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was calculated. Sensitivity analyses was performed to identify transition probabilities at which the preferred strategy switched from baseline. Results: From modeling, average 20-year mortality was 16.3% and 23.2% for Ross and mAVR, respectively. Average 20-year freedom from stroke and major bleeding was 98.6% and 94.6% for Ross, and 90.0% and 82.2% for mAVR, respectively. Average individual lifetime (60 postoperative years) utility (28.3 vs 23.5 QALYs) and cost ($54,233 vs $507,240) favored Ross over mAVR. The average ICER demonstrated that each QALY would cost $95,345 more for mAVR. Sensitivity analysis revealed late annual probabilities of autograft/left ventricular outflow tract disease and homograft/right ventricular outflow tract disease after Ross, and late death after mAVR, to be important ICER determinants. Conclusions: Our modeling suggests that Ross is preferred to mAVR, with superior freedom from valve-related morbidity and mortality, and improved cost-utility for young adults requiring aortic valve surgery.

Characterization of de novo malignancy after orthotopic heart transplantation: single-centre outcomes over 20 years.

OBJECTIVES: Malignancy is the leading cause of late mortality after orthotopic heart transplantation (OHT), and the burden of post-transplantation cancer is expected to rise in proportion to increased case volume following the 2018 heart allocation score change. In this report, we evaluated factors associated with de novo malignancy after OHT with a focus on skin and solid organ cancers. METHODS: Patients who underwent OHT at our institution between 1999 and 2018 were retrospectively reviewed (n = 488). Terminal outcomes of death and development of skin and/or solid organ malignancy were assessed as competing risks. Fine-Gray subdistribution hazards regression was used to evaluate the association between perioperative patient and donor characteristics and late-term malignancy outcomes. RESULTS: By 1, 5 and 10 years, an estimated 2%, 17% and 27% of patients developed skin malignancy, while 1%, 5% and 12% of patients developed solid organ malignancy. On multivariable Fine-Gray regression, age [1.05 (1.03-1.08); P < 0.001], government payer insurance [1.77 (1.20-2.59); P = 0.006], family history of malignancy [1.66 (1.15-2.38); P = 0.007] and metformin use [1.73 (1.15-2.59); P = 0.008] were associated with increased risk of melanoma and basal or squamous cell carcinoma. Age [1.08 (1.04-1.12); P < 0.001] and family history of malignancy [2.55 (1.43-4.56); P = 0.002] were associated with an increased risk of solid organ cancer, most commonly prostate and lung cancer. CONCLUSIONS: Vigilant cancer and immunosuppression surveillance is warranted in OHT recipients at late-term follow-up. The cumulative incidence of skin and solid organ malignancies increases temporally after transplantation, and key risk factors for the development of post-OHT malignancy warrant identification and routine monitoring.

Impact of aortic valve effective height following valve-sparing root replacement on postoperative insufficiency and reoperation.

BACKGROUND: This study evaluated the impact of anatomic aortic root parameters during valve-sparing root replacement on the probability of postoperative aortic insufficiency and freedom from aortic valve reoperation. METHODS: From 1995 to 2020, 177 patients underwent valve-sparing root replacement (163 reimplantations, 14 remodeling). Preoperative and postoperative echocardiograms were analyzed to measure annulus and sinus diameters, effective height of leaflet coaptation, and degree of aortic insufficiency. Logistic regression was used to evaluate predictors of 2+ or greater late postoperative aortic insufficiency. Fine-Gray regression determined predictors for aortic valve reintervention. RESULTS: The study population included 122 (69%) men with a mean age of 43 ± 15 years. A total of 119 patients (67%) had an identified connective tissue disorder. The cumulative incidence of aortic valve reoperation was estimated as 7% at 5 years and 12% at 10 years. The probability of 2+ or greater late postoperative aortic insufficiency was inversely related to effective height during valve-sparing root replacement (P = .018). As postoperative effective height fell below 11 mm, the probability of 2+ or greater aortic insufficiency exceeded 10%. On multivariable logistic regression, effective height (odds ratio, 0.53; 0.33-0.86; P = .010), preoperative annulus diameter (odds ratio, 1.44; 1.13-1.82; P = .003), and degree of preoperative aortic insufficiency (odds ratio, 2.57; 1.45-4.52; P = .001) were associated with increased incidence of 2+ or greater late postoperative aortic insufficiency. On multivariable Fine-Gray regression, risk factors for aortic valve reintervention included preoperative annulus diameter (subdistribution hazard ratio, 1.28 [1.03-1.59], P = .027), history of 3+ or greater aortic insufficiency (subdistribution hazard ratio, 4.28; 1.60-11.44; P = .004), and 2+ or greater early postoperative aortic insufficiency (subdistribution hazard ratio, 5.22; 2.29-11.90; P < .001). CONCLUSIONS: Measures to increase effective height during valve-sparing root replacement may decrease the risk of more than mild postoperative aortic insufficiency after repair and the need for aortic valve reoperation.

30 Years of Heart Transplant: Outcomes After Mechanical Circulatory Support From a Single Center.

BACKGROUND: Survival after bridge to transplantation with mechanical circulatory support (MCS) has yielded varying outcomes on the basis of device type and baseline characteristics. Continuous-flow left ventricular assist devices (CF-LVADs) have significantly improved waitlist mortality, but recent changes to the transplantation listing criteria have dramatically altered the use of MCS for bridge to transplantation. METHODS: Orthotopic heart transplantations from 1988 to 2019 at our institution (Washington University School of Medicine, Barnes-Jewish Hospital, St Louis, MO) were retrospectively reviewed and stratified by pretransplantation MCS status into CF-LVAD (n = 224), pulsatile LVAD (n = 49), temporary MCS (n = 71), and primary transplantation (n = 463) groups. Patients who underwent heart transplantation after the approval of CF-LVAD for bridge to transplantation and before the 2018 allocation policy changes underwent subgroup analysis to evaluate predictors of survival and complications in a contemporary cohort. RESULTS: Rates of primary transplantation declined from 88% to 14% over the course of the study. No significant difference in survival was detected in the cohort stratified by MCS status (P = .18). In the modern era, survival of patients treated with CF-LVADs and temporary MCS was noninferior to that seen with primary transplantation (P = .22). Notable predictors of long-term mortality included lower body mass index, peripheral vascular disease, previous coronary artery bypass graft, ABO nonidentical transplant, and increased donor age (all P ≤ .02). There were no differences in major postoperative complications. CONCLUSIONS: CF-LVAD has grown to account for the majority of transplantations at our center in the last decade, with no adverse effect on survival or postoperative complications. Temporary MCS increased after the 2018 listing criteria change, with acceptable early outcomes.

Cardiac allograft rejection in the current era of continuous flow left ventricular assist devices.

OBJECTIVE: Left ventricular assist device (LVAD) implantation has been shown to increase allosensitization before orthotopic heart transplantation, but the influence of LVAD support on posttransplant rejection is controversial. This study examines the postoperative incidence of acute cellular rejection (ACR) in patients bridged with continuous flow LVAD (CF-LVAD) relative to primary transplant (Primary Tx). METHODS: All patients who underwent orthotopic heart transplantation at our institution between July 2006 and March 2019 were retrospectively reviewed (n = 395). Patients were classified into Primary Tx (n = 145) and CF-LVAD (n = 207) groups. Propensity score matching on 13 covariates implemented a 0.1 caliper logistic model with nearest neighbor 1:1 matching. Development of moderate to severe (ie, 2R/3R) rejection was evaluated using a competing risks model. Potential predictors of 2R/3R ACR were evaluated using Fine-Gray regression on the marginal subdistribution hazard. RESULTS: Propensity score matching yielded 122 patients in each group (n = 244). At 12 and 24 months, the cumulative incidence of 2R/3R ACR was 17% and 23% for the CF-LVAD group and 26% and 31%, respectively, for the Primary Tx group (P = .170). CF-LVAD was not predictive of 2R/3R rejection on multivariable Fine-Gray regression (subdistribution hazard ratio, 0.73; 95% confidence interval, 0.40-1.33; P = .301). There was no difference in the 5-year incidence of antibody mediated rejection (10% [n = 12] vs 9% [n = 11]; P = .827). CONCLUSIONS: After adjusting for covariates, CF-LVAD was not associated with an increased risk of moderate to severe ACR during the 24 months after cardiac transplantation. Further investigation is warranted with larger cohorts, but CF-LVAD may have minimal influence on posttransplant ACR.

The long-term outcomes and durability of the Cox-Maze IV procedure for atrial fibrillation.

OBJECTIVE: Surgical ablation of atrial fibrillation (AF) is indicated both in patients with AF undergoing concomitant cardiac surgery and in those who have not responded to medical and/or catheter-based ablation therapy. This study examined our long-term outcomes following the Cox-Maze IV procedure (CMP-IV). METHODS: Between May 2003 and March 2018, 853 patients underwent either biatrial CMP-IV (n = 765) or a left-sided CMP-IV (n = 88) lesion set with complete isolation of the posterior left atrium. Freedom from atrial tachyarrhythmia (ATA) was assessed for up to 10 years. Rhythm outcomes were compared in multiple subgroups. Predictors of recurrence were determined using Fine-Gray regression, allowing for death as the competing risk. RESULTS: The majority of patients (513/853, 60%) had nonparoxysmal AF. Twenty-four percent of patients (201/853) had not responded to at least 1 catheter-based ablation. Prolonged monitoring was used in 76% (647/853) of patients during their follow-up. Freedom from ATA was 92% (552/598), 84% (213/253), and 77% (67/87) at 1, 5, and 10 years, respectively. By competing risk analysis, incidence of first ATA recurrence was 11%, 23%, and 35% at 1, 5, and 10 years, respectively. On Fine-Gray regression, age, peripheral vascular disease, nonparoxysmal AF, left atrial size, early postoperative ATAs, and absence of sinus rhythm at discharge were the predictors of first ATA recurrence over 10 years of follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: The CMP-IV had an excellent long-term efficacy at maintaining sinus rhythm. At late follow-up, the results of the CMP-IV remained superior to those reported for catheter ablation and other forms of surgical ablation for AF. Age, left atrial size, and nonparoxysmal AF were the most relevant predictors of late recurrence.

Cannulation Strategy for Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation Does Not Influence Total Hospital Cost.

BACKGROUND: The Center for Medicare and Medicaid Services decreased reimbursement rates for peripheral venoarterial (VA) extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) and venovenous (VV) ECMO procedures in October 2018. Limited data are available describing hospital costs and clinical resources required to support ECMO patients. METHODS: All patients supported on ECMO at our institution between March 2017 and October 2018 were identified. Exclusion criteria were cannulation at referring hospitals, organ transplant recipients, and temporary right ventricular support. The cohort was stratified by the initial cannulation strategy. Outcomes were total hospital cost and clinical resource utilization. RESULTS: There were 29 patients supported on central VA, 72 on peripheral VA, and 37 on VV ECMO. Survival at 30 days was 48% for central vs 37% for peripheral vs 51% for VV. Hospital costs were $187,848 for central vs $178,069 for peripheral vs $172,994 for VV (P = .91). Mean hospital stay was 25.8 days for central vs 21.5 days for peripheral vs 26.2 days for VV (P = .49). Mean intensive care unit stay was 14.1 days for central vs 12.8 days for peripheral vs 7.7 days for VV (P = .25). Mean length of ECMO support was 6.5 days for central vs 6.2 days for peripheral vs 7.8 days for VV (P = .38). Mean ventilator time was 13.0 days for central vs 8.2 days for peripheral vs 10.0 days for VV (P = .06). Hemodialysis was used in 41% central patients, 47% peripheral, and 41% VV (P = .75). Theoretical ECMO reimbursement losses ranged from $1,970,698 to $5,648,219 annually under 2018 Center for Medicare and Medicaid Services rates. CONCLUSIONS: ECMO cannulation strategy has minimal impact on resource utilization and hospital cost.

Concomitant surgical ablation for atrial fibrillation is associated with increased risk of acute kidney injury but improved late survival.

BACKGROUND: Acute kidney injury (AKI) after cardiac surgery remains a common complication that has been associated with increased morbidity and mortality. This study implemented Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes criteria to evaluate renal outcomes after concomitant surgical ablation for atrial fibrillation. METHODS: Patients with a history of atrial fibrillation who underwent elective cardiac surgery at our institution from 2008 to 2018 were retrospectively reviewed. Those with preoperative renal dysfunction were excluded. Patients were classified as those who underwent concomitant Cox-Maze IV (CMP-IV) (n = 376) or no surgical ablation (n = 498). Nearest neighbor 1:1 propensity matching was conducted on fourteen covariates. AKI was evaluated by mixed effects logistic regression analysis. Long-term survival was evaluated by proportional hazards regression. RESULTS: Propensity matching yielded 308 patients in each group (n = 616). All preoperative variables were similar between groups. The concomitant CMP-IV group had a greater incidence of AKI: 32% (n = 99) versus 16% (n = 49), P < .001. After accounting for bypass time and nonablation operations on mixed effects analysis, concomitant CMP-IV was associated with increased risk of AKI (odds ratio, 1.89; confidence interval, 1.12-3.18; P = .017). While AKI was associated with decreased late survival (P < .001), patients who received a concomitant CMP-IV maintained superior 7-year survival to patients who received no ablation (P < .001). No patients required permanent dialysis. CONCLUSIONS: Concomitant CMP-IV was independently associated with increased risk of AKI in the acute postoperative period. However, the long-term risks of AKI were offset by the significant survival benefit of CMP-IV. Concerns regarding new-onset renal dysfunction should not prohibit recommendation of this procedure in appropriate patients.

Concomitant Cox-Maze IV and Septal Myectomy in Patients With Hypertrophic Obstructive Cardiomyopathy.

BACKGROUND: In patients with hypertrophic obstructive cardiomyopathy, atrial fibrillation is associated with heart failure and increased late mortality. However, the role of surgical ablation in these patients is not well defined. The aim of this study was to evaluate the efficacy of the concomitant Cox-Maze IV procedure in patients undergoing septal myectomy for hypertrophic obstructive cardiomyopathy. METHODS: Between 2005 and 2019, 347 patients who underwent septal myectomy at a single institution (Washington University School of Medicine, Barnes-Jewish Hospital, St Louis, MO) were retrospectively reviewed. For patients with hypertrophic obstructive cardiomyopathy and atrial fibrillation who underwent a concomitant Cox-Maze IV procedure, freedom from atrial tachyarrhythmias (ATAs) on or off antiarrhythmic drugs (AADs) was evaluated annually. Predictors of ATA recurrence were identified using Fine-Gray regression, with death as a competing risk. RESULTS: A total of 42 patients underwent concomitant septal myectomy and Cox-Maze IV procedures. The majority of patients, 69% (29 of 42), had paroxysmal atrial fibrillation with a 2.5-year median duration. Operative mortality was 7% (3 of 42). New York Heart Association functional class was reduced after surgery (P < .01). Rates of freedom from recurrent ATAs at 1- and 5-year intervals were 93% (27 of 29) and 100% (14 of 14), respectively. Rates of freedom from ATAs and AADs were 83% (24 of 29) and 100% (14 of 14) at the same time points, respectively. Increased left atrial diameter predicted first ATA recurrence (P < .01). Cerebrovascular accident risk was lower in patients with atrial fibrillation who underwent concomitant Cox-Maze IV and septal myectomy relative to myectomy only (P = .02). CONCLUSIONS: Late freedom from ATAs on or off AADs was excellent after Cox-Maze IV and septal myectomy. Although there was a higher than expected rate of perioperative complications, the study results suggest that concomitant surgical ablation should be considered in selected patients with hypertrophic obstructive cardiomyopathy and atrial fibrillation.

Late results after stand-alone surgical ablation for atrial fibrillation.

OBJECTIVES: Stand-alone surgical ablation of atrial fibrillation is indicated in patients with refractory atrial fibrillation who have failed medical or catheter-based ablation. Few reports of late outcomes after stand-alone surgical ablation exist using comprehensive follow-up with strict definitions of success. This study examined our late outcomes of the stand-alone Cox-Maze IV procedure. METHODS: Between January 2003 and December 2019, 236 patients underwent a stand-alone Cox-Maze IV for refractory atrial fibrillation. Freedom from atrial tachyarrhythmias was assessed by electrocardiography, Holter, or pacemaker interrogation for up to 10 years, with a mean follow-up of 4.8 ± 3.5 years. Rhythm outcomes were compared in multiple subgroups. Factors associated with recurrence were determined using Fine-Gray regression, allowing for death as the competing risk. RESULTS: The majority of patients (176/236, 75%) had nonparoxysmal atrial fibrillation. Median duration of preoperative atrial fibrillation was 6.2 years (interquartile range, 3-11). Fifty-nine percent of patients (140/236) failed 1 or more prior catheter-based ablation. Thirteen patients (6%) experienced a major complication. There was no 30-day mortality. Freedom from atrial tachyarrhythmias was 94% (187/199), 89% (81/91), and 77% (24/31) at 1, 5, and 10 years, respectively. There was no difference in freedom from atrial tachyarrhythmias between patients with paroxysmal atrial fibrillation versus nonparoxysmal atrial fibrillation (P > .05) or those undergoing sternotomy versus a minimally invasive approach (P > .05). Increased left atrial size and number of catheter ablations were associated with late atrial fibrillation recurrence. For patients who experienced any atrial tachyarrhythmia recurrence, the median number of recurrences was 1.5 (1.0-3.0). CONCLUSIONS: The stand-alone Cox-Maze IV had excellent late efficacy at maintaining sinus rhythm in patients with symptomatic, refractory atrial fibrillation, with low morbidity and no mortality. The Cox-Maze IV, in contrast to catheter-based ablation, was equally effective in patients with paroxysmal and nonparoxysmal atrial fibrillation.

Competing Risks to Transplant in Bridging With Continuous-flow Left Ventricular Assist Devices.

BACKGROUND: Continuous-flow left ventricular assist device (CF-LVAD) support is a mainstay in the hemodynamic management of patients with end-stage heart failure refractory to optimal medical therapy. In this report we evaluated waitlist complications and competing outcomes for CF-LVAD patients compared with primary transplant candidates listed for orthotopic heart transplantation at a single center. METHODS: All patients listed for orthotopic heart transplantation between 2006 and 2020 at our institution were retrospectively reviewed (CF-LVAD, 300; primary transplant, 244). Kaplan-Meier methodology with log-rank testing was used to evaluate survival outcomes. Terminal outcomes of death, delisting, and transplant were assessed as competing risks and compared between groups using Gray's test. Multivariable Fine-Gray regression was used to identify predictors of transplantation. RESULTS: One-year rates of transplant, delisting, and death were 48%, 8%, and 2%, respectively, for CF-LVAD patients and 45%, 15%, and 9%, respectively, for primary transplant (all P < .001). Waitlist mortality at 5 years was 4% among CF-LVAD patients and 13% for primary transplants. All-cause mortality after listing was lower for CF-LVAD patients (P = .017). There was no difference in posttransplant survival between groups (P = .250). On multivariable Fine-Gray regression stroke (P = .017), respiratory failure (P = .032), right ventricular failure (P = .019), and driveline infection (P = .050) were associated with decreased probability of transplantation. Posttransplant survival was not significantly worse for CF-LVAD patients who experienced device-related complications (P = .901). CONCLUSIONS: Although device-related complications were significantly associated with decreased rates of transplant, CF-LVAD patients had excellent waitlist outcomes overall. In light of the 2018 allocation score change the risk of complications should be taken into account when deciding whether to offer CF-LVAD as a bridge to transplant.

Surgical ablation for atrial fibrillation is efficacious in patients with giant left atria.

OBJECTIVE: The Cox-Maze IV procedure (CMP-IV) is the most effective treatment for atrial fibrillation. Increased left atrial (LA) size has been identified as a risk factor for failure to restore sinus rhythm. This has biased many surgeons against ablation in patients with giant left atrium (GLA), defined as LA diameter >6.5 cm. In this study we aimed to define the efficacy of the CMP-IV in patients with GLA. METHODS: From April 2004 through March 2020, 786 patients with a documented LA diameter underwent elective CMP-IV, 72 of whom had GLA. Median follow-up duration was 4 years (interquartile range, 1-7 years). Recurrence was defined as any documented atrial tachyarrhythmia (ATA) lasting 30 seconds. ATA recurrence and survival were analyzed across GLA versus non-GLA groups. RESULTS: Median age at surgery was 65 (interquartile range, 56-73) years. Median LA diameter within the GLA group was 7.0 (range, 6.6-10.0) cm. There were no differences in rates of postoperative complications for the 2 groups, including rate of postoperative stroke and pacemaker placement (GLA 14%; non-GLA 12%; P = .682). A trend toward increased 30-day mortality in the GLA group did not reach statistical significance (GLA 6%; non-GLA 2%; P = .051). Freedom from ATAs at 5 years postoperatively was comparable for the 2 groups (GLA 82%; non-GLA 84%). CONCLUSIONS: The CMP-IV had good efficacy in patients with GLA. Our results suggest that LA diameter >6.5 cm should not preclude a patient from undergoing surgical ablation for atrial fibrillation.

Impact of Obesity on Atrial Fibrillation Recurrence Following Stand-Alone Cox Maze IV Procedure.

OBJECTIVE: Obesity is a strong and independent factor for the development of atrial fibrillation (AF), and adversely impacts the success of catheter ablation procedures for AF. This study evaluated the impact of body mass index (BMI) on the outcomes following surgical ablation of AF. METHODS: Between 2003 and 2019, 236 patients underwent a stand-alone biatrial Cox maze IV procedure (CMP-IV) for refractory AF. Obesity was defined as BMI ≥30 kg/m2. Patients were divided into two groups: BMI <30 kg/m2 (n = 100) and BMI ≥30 kg/m2 (n = 136). Freedom from atrial tachyarrhythmia (ATA) was determined using electrocardiography, Holter, or pacemaker interrogation at 1 year and annually thereafter. Recurrence was defined as any documented ATA lasting ≥30 s. Predictors of recurrence were determined using multivariable logistic regression. Preoperative and procedural outcomes were compared between groups. RESULTS: Obese patients had a higher rate of diabetes (16% vs 7%, P = 0.044) and larger left atrial diameter (4.9 ± 1.1 cm vs 4.6 ± 1.0 cm, P = 0.021) when compared to non-obese patients. There was no difference in major complication rate between the groups (4% vs 7%, P = 0.389). There was no operative mortality in either group. During 4.1 ± 2.4 years of follow-up, there was no significant difference in freedom from ATA with or without antiarrhythmic drugs in obese patients when compared to the non-obese group (P > 0.05). Absence of sinus rhythm at discharge predicted AF recurrence up to 7 years postoperatively. CONCLUSIONS: As opposed to catheter ablation, obesity did not adversely impact the short and long-term outcomes of stand-alone surgical ablation with CMP-IV, and BMI was not a predictor of AF recurrence. Additionally, there was no significant increase in major complications in obese patients.

Efficacy of the stand-alone Cox-Maze IV procedure in patients with longstanding persistent atrial fibrillation.

INTRODUCTION: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common sustained cardiac arrhythmia, and results in significant morbidity and mortality. The Cox-Maze IV procedure (CMP-IV) has been shown to have excellent efficacy in returning patients to sinus rhythm, but there have been few reports of late follow-up in sizable cohorts of patients with longstanding persistent AF, the most difficult type of AF to treat. METHODS AND RESULTS: Between May 2003 and March 2020, 174 consecutive patients underwent a stand-alone CMP-IV for longstanding persistent AF. Rhythm outcome was assessed postoperatively for up to 10 years, primarily via prolonged monitoring (Holter monitor, pacemaker interrogation, or implantable loop recorder). Fine-Gray regression was used to investigate factors associated with atrial tachyarrhythmia (ATA) recurrence, with death as a competing risk. Median duration of preoperative AF was 7.8 years (interquartile range: 4.0-12.0 years), with 71% (124/174) having failed at least one prior catheter-based ablation. There were no 30-day mortalities. Freedom from ATAs was 94% (120/128), 83% (53/64), and 88% (35/40) at 1, 5, and 7 years, respectively. On regression analysis, preoperative AF duration and early postoperative ATAs were associated with late ATAs recurrence. CONCLUSION: Despite the majority of patients having a long-duration of preoperative AF and having failed at least one catheter-based ablation, the stand-alone CMP-IV had excellent late efficacy in patients with longstanding persistent AF, with low morbidity and no mortality. We recommend consideration of stand-alone CMP-IV for patients with longstanding persistent AF who have failed or are poor candidates for catheter ablation.

Impact of age on atrial fibrillation recurrence following surgical ablation.

OBJECTIVES: The incidence of atrial fibrillation (AF) in patients older than 75 years of age is expected to increase, and its treatment remains challenging. This study evaluated the impact of age on the outcomes of surgical ablation of AF. METHODS: A retrospective review was performed of patients who underwent the Cox-maze IV procedure at a single institution between 2005 and 2017. The patients were divided into a younger (age <75 years, n = 548) and an elderly cohort (age ≥75 years, n = 148). Rhythm outcomes were assessed at 1 year and annually thereafter. Predictors of first atrial tachyarrhythmia (ATA) recurrence were determined using Fine-Gray regression, allowing for death as the competing risk. RESULTS: The mean age of the elderly group was 78.5 ± 2.8 years. The majority of patients (423/696, 61%) had nonparoxysmal AF. The elderly patients had a lower body mass index (P < .001) and greater rates of hypertension (P = .011), previous myocardial infarction (P = .017), heart failure (P < .001), and preoperative pacemaker (P = .008). Postoperatively, the elderly group had a greater rate of overall major complications (23% vs 14%, P = .017) and 30-day mortality (6% vs 2%, P = .026). The percent freedom from ATAs and antiarrhythmic drugs was lower in the elderly patients at 3 (69% vs 82%, P = .030) and 4 years (65% vs 79%, P = .043). By competing risk analysis, the incidence of first ATA recurrence was greater in elderly patients (33% vs 20% at 5 years; Gray test, P = .005). On Fine-Gray regression adjusted for clinically relevant covariates, increasing age was identified as a predictor of ATAs recurrence (subdistribution hazard ratio, 1.03; 95% confidence interval, 1.02-1.05, P < .001). CONCLUSIONS: The efficacy of the Cox-maze IV procedure was worse in elderly patients; however, the majority of patients remained free of ATAs at 5 years. The lower success rate in these greater-risk patients should be considered when deciding to perform surgical ablation.