RESUMEN
Objectives: We aim to estimate geographic variability in total numbers of infections and infection fatality ratios (IFR; the number of deaths caused by an infection per 1,000 infected people) when the availability and quality of data on disease burden are limited during an epidemic. Methods: We develop a noncentral hypergeometric framework that accounts for differential probabilities of positive tests and reflects the fact that symptomatic people are more likely to seek testing. We demonstrate the robustness, accuracy, and precision of this framework, and apply it to the United States (U.S.) COVID-19 pandemic to estimate county-level SARS-CoV-2 IFRs. Results: The estimators for the numbers of infections and IFRs showed high accuracy and precision; for instance, when applied to simulated validation data sets, across counties, Pearson correlation coefficients between estimator means and true values were 0.996 and 0.928, respectively, and they showed strong robustness to model misspecification. Applying the county-level estimators to the real, unsimulated COVID-19 data spanning April 1, 2020 to September 30, 2020 from across the U.S., we found that IFRs varied from 0 to 44.69, with a standard deviation of 3.55 and a median of 2.14. Conclusions: The proposed estimation framework can be used to identify geographic variation in IFRs across settings.
RESUMEN
In the extra-peritoneal approach for inguinal hernias, pre-peritoneal space creation is one of the most crucial steps. In the absence of well-defined landmarks, it is difficult to identify the correct plane of dissection, and blind dissection can sometimes lead to peritoneal injury, resulting in loss of working space. In this article, we describe our technique of pre-peritoneal space creation by following the fatty tissue of the median umbilical ligament and fatty tissue along the rectus muscle. The data of all patients (total 84) who underwent surgery with this technique between January 2021 and May 2023 were retrieved and assessed for demographics, hernia type, and perioperative complications. Except for two peritoneal injuries, there were no other intraoperative complications.
RESUMEN
OBJECTIVE: While microscale pedestrian environment features such as sidewalks and crosswalks can affect pedestrian safety, it is challenging to assess microscale environment associated risk across locations or at scale. Addressing these challenges requires an efficient auditing protocol that can be used to assess frequencies of microscale environment features. For this reason, we developed an eight-item pedestrian environment virtual audit protocol and conducted a descriptive epidemiologic study of pedestrian injury in Washington State, USA. METHODS: We used data from police reports at pedestrian-automotive collision sites where the pedestrian was seriously injured or died. At each collision site, high school students participating in an online summer internship program virtually audited Google Street View imagery to assess the presence of microscale pedestrian environment features such as crosswalks and streetlighting. We assessed inter-rater reliability using Cohen's kappa and explored prevalence of eight microscale environment features in relation to injury severity and municipal boundaries. RESULTS: There were 2248 motor vehicle crashes eliciting police response and resulting in death or serious injury of a pedestrian in Washington State between January 1, 2015 and May 8, 2020. Of the crashes resulting in serious injury or death, 498 (22%) resulted in fatalities and 1840 (82%) occurred within municipal boundaries. Cohen's kappa scores for the eight pedestrian features that were audited ranged from 0.52 to 0.86. Audit results confirmed that features such as sidewalks and crosswalks were more common at collision sites within city limits. CONCLUSIONS: High school student volunteers with minimal training can reliably audit microscale pedestrian environments using limited resources.
