Risk Factors and Outcomes Associated With Heart Failure With Preserved and Reduced Ejection Fraction in People With Chronic Kidney Disease.

BACKGROUND: Heart failure (HF) is associated with poor outcomes in people with chronic kidney disease, yet it is unknown whether outcomes differ by HF subtype. This study aimed to examine associations of incident HF with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) versus HF with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) with progression to end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) and mortality. METHODS: We studied individuals with chronic kidney disease in the CRIC study (Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort) who were free of HF at cohort entry. Incident HF hospitalizations were adjudicated and classified into HFpEF (ejection fraction, ≥50%) or HFrEF (ejection fraction, <50%) based on echocardiograms performed during the hospitalization or at a research study visit. ESKD was defined as need for chronic dialysis or kidney transplant. Cox proportional hazards were used to evaluate the association of time-updated HF subtype with risk of ESKD and mortality, adjusting for demographics, comorbidities, and medication use. RESULTS: Among the 3557 study participants without HF at cohort entry, mean age was 57 years and mean estimated glomerular filtration rate was 45 mL/min per 1.73 m2. A total of 682 participants had incident HF. Incidence rates for HFpEF and HFrEF were 0.9 (95% CI, 0.8-1.0) and 0.7 (95% CI, 0.6-0.8) per 100 person-years, respectively (Pdifference=0.005). Associations of incident HF with progression to ESKD were not statistically different for HFpEF (hazard ratio, 2.06 [95% CI, 1.66-2.56]) and HFrEF (hazard ratio, 1.80 [95% CI, 1.36-2.38]; P=0.42). The associations with mortality were stronger for HFrEF (hazard ratio, 2.73 [95% CI, 2.24-3.33]) compared with HFpEF (hazard ratio, 1.99 [95% CI, 1.65-2.40]; P=0.0002). CONCLUSIONS: In a chronic kidney disease population, the rates of HFpEF hospitalizations were greater than that of HFrEF. Risk of ESKD was high but not statically different across HF subtypes. There was a stronger association of HFrEF with mortality. Prevention and treatment of both HFpEF and HFrEF should be central priorities to improve outcomes in chronic kidney disease.

Incident heart failure in chronic kidney disease: proteomics informs biology and risk stratification.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Incident heart failure (HF) among individuals with chronic kidney disease (CKD) incurs hospitalizations that burden patients and health care systems. There are few preventative therapies, and the Pooled Cohort equations to Prevent Heart Failure (PCP-HF) perform poorly in the setting of CKD. New drug targets and better risk stratification are urgently needed. METHODS: In this analysis of incident HF, SomaScan V4.0 (4638 proteins) was analysed in 2906 participants of the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) with validation in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study. The primary outcome was 14-year incident HF (390 events); secondary outcomes included 4-year HF (183 events), HF with reduced ejection fraction (137 events), and HF with preserved ejection fraction (165 events). Mendelian randomization and Gene Ontology were applied to examine causality and pathways. The performance of novel multi-protein risk models was compared to the PCP-HF risk score. RESULTS: Over 200 proteins were associated with incident HF after adjustment for estimated glomerular filtration rate at P < 1 × 10-5. After adjustment for covariates including N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide, 17 proteins remained associated at P < 1 × 10-5. Mendelian randomization associations were found for six proteins, of which four are druggable targets: FCG2B, IGFBP3, CAH6, and ASGR1. For the primary outcome, the C-statistic (95% confidence interval [CI]) for the 48-protein model in CRIC was 0.790 (0.735, 0.844) vs. 0.703 (0.644, 0.762) for the PCP-HF model (P = .001). C-statistic (95% CI) for the protein model in ARIC was 0.747 (0.707, 0.787). CONCLUSIONS: Large-scale proteomics reveal novel circulating protein biomarkers and potential mediators of HF in CKD. Proteomic risk models improve upon the PCP-HF risk score in this population.

A National Survey of Pregnancy and Parenthood Among Nephrology Trainees: A Focus on Nephrology Fellowship.

BACKGROUND: National and international policies on parental leave for physician trainees are inconsistent. Physician trainees, including nephrology fellows, may be at higher risk of pregnancy complications. Physician trainees face barriers in meeting their breastfeeding goals and in finding childcare due to nontraditional work hours with extended or unpredictable shifts. Here, we examine awareness of current policies in United States (US) nephrology fellowship programs regarding parental leave, pregnancy/breastfeeding accommodations, and fellows' perspectives on family planning. METHODS: An anonymous, on-line survey of US nephrology fellows was undertaken from June 9 to August, 24, 2023. RESULTS: One hundred twenty nephrology fellows submitted the survey. A majority of fellow respondents were unaware of parental leave policies of their training programs (63%), Accreditation Council for Graduate Medical Education (ACGME) (75%), and/or American Board of Medical Specialties(ABMS) (75%). Forty two percent were unaware of the duration of parental leave at their program. Nearly 45% of all respondents were unsure if their program limited night shifts or shifts greater than 24 hours for pregnant trainees. Forty three percent reported they were unsure of lactation accommodations, and 40% were unsure of access to subsidized childcare. When fellows received work accommodations for pregnancy or parenthood, their work obligations were largely covered by co-fellows (60%) or attendings (38%). Over 60% of fellows agreed or strongly agreed that they would avoid a pregnancy in fellowship due to concern they would have to extend their training. Of the 40 fellows who chose to pursue pregnancy or parenthood during medical training, 75% did not change their career plans as a result. CONCLUSIONS: Most nephrology fellows were unaware of parental leave policies and pregnancy/lactation accommodations. While the topic itself has a broad impact to all physician trainees, there is need for improved awareness about national and local program policies among trainees across individual nephrology programs.

Risk factors for hip and vertebral fractures in chronic kidney disease: the CRIC study.

Fracture risk is high in chronic kidney disease (CKD) and underlying pathophysiology and risk factors may differ from the general population. In a cohort study of 3939 participants in the chronic renal insufficiency cohort (CRIC), we used Cox regression to test associations of putative risk factors with the composite of first hip or vertebral fracture assessed using hospital discharge codes. Mean age was 58 years, 45% were female, 42% were Black, and 13% were Hispanic. There were 82 hip and 24 vertebral fractures over a mean (SD) 11.1 (4.8) years (2.4 events per 1000 person-years [95% CI: 2.0, 2.9]). Measured at baseline, diabetes, lower body mass index (BMI), steroid use, proteinuria, and elevated parathyroid hormone (PTH) were each associated with fracture risk after adjusting for covariates. Lower time-updated estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) was associated with fractures (HR 1.20 per 10 mL/min/1.73m2 lower eGFR; 95% CI: 1.04, 1.38) as were lower time-updated serum calcium and bicarbonate concentrations. Among time-updated categories of kidney function, hazard ratios (95% CI) for incident fracture were 4.53 (1.77, 11.60) for kidney failure treated with dialysis and 2.48 (0.86, 7.14) for post-kidney transplantation, compared with eGFR ≥60. Proton pump inhibitor use, dietary calcium intake, measures of vitamin D status, serum phosphate, urine calcium and phosphate, and plasma fibroblast growth factor-23 were not associated with fracture risk. In conclusion, lower eGFR in CKD is associated with higher fracture risk, which was highest in kidney failure. Diabetes, lower BMI, steroid use, proteinuria, higher serum concentrations of PTH, and lower calcium and bicarbonate concentrations were associated with fractures and may be modifiable risk factors.

People with chronic kidney disease are at high risk of fractures. Our research assessed the relationship between several patient characteristics and the risk of fractures in 3939 patients with chronic kidney disease. We found that the following characteristics were associated with a higher risk of a hip or spine fracture: having diabetes, lower body mass index, use of steroid-containing medications, lower kidney filtration rate ("eGFR"), higher amounts of protein spilled in the urine, lower calcium and bicarbonate levels, and higher parathyroid hormone levels. Future studies should assess if improving these characteristics decreases the risk of fractures in patients with chronic kidney disease.

Iron Deficiency and Incident Heart Failure in Older Community-Dwelling Individuals.

AIMS: Among persons with prevalent heart failure (HF), iron deficiency has been linked to HF admissions, and intravenous iron replacement improves HF outcomes. Recent studies in persons with chronic kidney disease (CKD) demonstrate that iron deficiency is associated with incident HF. This study aimed to determine the relationship of iron status with incident HF in community-dwelling older adults irrespective of their kidney function. METHODS: In this case-cohort study, 1,006 Cardiovascular Health Study participants (785 from the random sub-cohort [including 193 HF cases] and 221 additional HF cases [N = 414 total HF cases]) aged ≥ 65 years without HF (41% with CKD), we used weighted Cox models to evaluate associations of iron status with incident HF. Participants were categorized based on quartiles of transferrin saturation and ferritin as "iron replete" (27.3%), "functional iron deficiency" (7.7%), "iron deficiency" (11.8%), "mixed iron deficiency" (5.6%), "high iron" (9.3%) and "non-classified" (38.1%), consistent with prior studies. RESULTS: Compared to older persons who were iron replete, those with iron deficiency were at higher risk of incident HF (HR 1.47; 1.02-2.11) in models adjusting for demographics, HF risk factors, and estimated glomerular filtration rate. Other iron categories did not associate with incident HF. The relationship of iron deficiency with incident HF did not differ by CKD status (interaction P value 0.2). CONCLUSIONS: Among community-dwelling elders, iron deficiency is independently associated with incident HF, an association that was similar irrespective of CKD status. Our findings support conduct of clinical trials of iron replacement for prevention of HF in older adults with iron deficiency.

X-chromosome and kidney function: evidence from a multi-trait genetic analysis of 908,697 individuals reveals sex-specific and sex-differential findings in genes regulated by androgen response elements.

X-chromosomal genetic variants are understudied but can yield valuable insights into sexually dimorphic human traits and diseases. We performed a sex-stratified cross-ancestry X-chromosome-wide association meta-analysis of seven kidney-related traits (n = 908,697), identifying 23 loci genome-wide significantly associated with two of the traits: 7 for uric acid and 16 for estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), including four novel eGFR loci containing the functionally plausible prioritized genes ACSL4, CLDN2, TSPAN6 and the female-specific DRP2. Further, we identified five novel sex-interactions, comprising male-specific effects at FAM9B and AR/EDA2R, and three sex-differential findings with larger genetic effect sizes in males at DCAF12L1 and MST4 and larger effect sizes in females at HPRT1. All prioritized genes in loci showing significant sex-interactions were located next to androgen response elements (ARE). Five ARE genes showed sex-differential expressions. This study contributes new insights into sex-dimorphisms of kidney traits along with new prioritized gene targets for further molecular research.

Identification of recurrent atrial fibrillation using natural language processing applied to electronic health records.

AIMS: This study aimed to develop and apply natural language processing (NLP) algorithms to identify recurrent atrial fibrillation (AF) episodes following rhythm control therapy initiation using electronic health records (EHRs). METHODS AND RESULTS: We included adults with new-onset AF who initiated rhythm control therapies (ablation, cardioversion, or antiarrhythmic medication) within two US integrated healthcare delivery systems. A code-based algorithm identified potential AF recurrence using diagnosis and procedure codes. An automated NLP algorithm was developed and validated to capture AF recurrence from electrocardiograms, cardiac monitor reports, and clinical notes. Compared with the reference standard cases confirmed by physicians' adjudication, the F-scores, sensitivity, and specificity were all above 0.90 for the NLP algorithms at both sites. We applied the NLP and code-based algorithms to patients with incident AF (n = 22 970) during the 12 months after initiating rhythm control therapy. Applying the NLP algorithms, the percentages of patients with AF recurrence for sites 1 and 2 were 60.7% and 69.9% (ablation), 64.5% and 73.7% (cardioversion), and 49.6% and 55.5% (antiarrhythmic medication), respectively. In comparison, the percentages of patients with code-identified AF recurrence for sites 1 and 2 were 20.2% and 23.7% for ablation, 25.6% and 28.4% for cardioversion, and 20.0% and 27.5% for antiarrhythmic medication, respectively. CONCLUSION: When compared with a code-based approach alone, this study's high-performing automated NLP method identified significantly more patients with recurrent AF. The NLP algorithms could enable efficient evaluation of treatment effectiveness of AF therapies in large populations and help develop tailored interventions.

Changes in Natriuretic Peptide Levels and Subsequent Kidney Function Decline in SPRINT.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: Novel approaches to the assessment of kidney disease risk during hypertension treatment are needed because of the uncertainty of how intensive blood pressure (BP) lowering impacts kidney outcomes. We determined whether longitudinal N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) measurements during hypertension treatment are associated with kidney function decline. STUDY DESIGN: Prospective observational study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: 8,005 SPRINT (Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial) participants with NT-proBNP measurements at baseline and 1 year. EXPOSURE: 1-year change in NT-proBNP categorized as a ≥25% decrease, ≥25% increase, or <25% change (stable). OUTCOME: Annualized change in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and ≥30% decrease in eGFR. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Linear mixed-effect and logistic regression models were used to evaluate the association of changes in NT-proBNP with subsequent annualized change in eGFR and ≥30% decrease in eGFR, respectively. Analyses were stratified by baseline chronic kidney disease (CKD) status. RESULTS: Compared with stable 1-year NT-proBNP levels, a ≥25% decrease in NT-proBNP was associated with a slower decrease in eGFR in participants with CKD (adjusted difference, 1.09%/y; 95% CI, 0.35-1.83) and without CKD (adjusted difference, 0.51%/y; 95% CI, 0.21-0.81; P = 0.4 for interaction). Meanwhile, a ≥25% increase in NT-proBNP in participants with CKD was associated with a faster decrease in eGFR (adjusted difference, -1.04%/y; 95% CI, -1.72 to -0.36) and risk of a ≥30% decrease in eGFR (adjusted odds ratio, 1.44; 95% CI, 1.06-1.96); associations were stronger in participants with CKD than in participants without CKD (P = 0.01 and P < 0.001 for interaction, respectively). Relationships were similar irrespective of the randomized BP arm in SPRINT (P > 0.2 for interactions). LIMITATIONS: Persons with diabetes and proteinuria >1 g/d were excluded. CONCLUSIONS: Changes in NT-proBNP during BP treatment are independently associated with subsequent kidney function decline, particularly in people with CKD. Future studies should assess whether routine NT-proBNP measurements may be useful in monitoring kidney risk during hypertension treatment. PLAIN-LANGUAGE SUMMARY: N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) is a biomarker in the blood that reflects mechanical stress on the heart. Measuring NT-proBNP may be helpful in assessing the risk of long-term losses of kidney function. In this study, we investigated the association of changes in NT-proBNP with subsequent kidney function among individuals with and without chronic kidney disease. We found that increases in NT-proBNP are associated with a faster rate of decline of kidney function, independent of baseline kidney measures. The associations were more pronounced in individuals with chronic kidney disease. Our results advance the notion of considering NT-proBNP as a dynamic tool for assessing kidney disease risk.

Fibroblast Growth Factor 23 and Risk of Heart Failure Subtype: The CRIC (Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort) Study.

Rationale & Objective: Heart failure (HF) is an important cause of morbidity and mortality among individuals with chronic kidney disease (CKD). A large body of evidence from preclinical and clinical studies implicates excess levels of fibroblast growth factor 23 (FGF23) in HF pathogenesis in CKD. It remains unclear whether the relationship between elevated FGF23 levels and HF risk among individuals with CKD varies by HF subtype. Study Design: Prospective cohort study. Settings & Participants: A total of 3,502 participants were selected in the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort study. Exposure: Baseline plasma FGF23. Outcomes: Incident HF by subtype and total rate of HF hospitalization. HF was categorized as HF with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF, ejection fraction [EF] ≥ 50%), HF with reduced EF (HFrEF, EF < 50%) and HF with unknown EF (HFuEF). Analytical Approach: Multivariable-adjusted cause-specific Cox proportional hazards models were used to investigate associations between FGF23 and incident hospitalizations for HF by subtype. The Lunn-McNeil method was used to compare hazard ratios across HF subtypes. Poisson regression models were used to evaluate the total rate of HF. Results: During a median follow-up time of 10.8 years, 295 HFpEF, 242 HFrEF, and 156 HFuEF hospitalizations occurred. In multivariable-adjusted cause-specific Cox proportional hazards models, FGF23 was significantly associated with the incidence of HFpEF (HR, 1.41; 95% CI, 1.21-1.64), HFrEF (HR, 1.27; 95% CI, 1.05-1.53), and HFuEF (HR, 1.40; 95% CI, 1.13-1.73) per 1 standard deviation (SD) increase in the natural log of FGF23. The Lunn-McNeil method determined that the risk association was consistent across all subtypes. The rate ratio of total HF events increased with FGF23 quartile. In multivariable-adjusted models, compared with quartile 1, FGF23 quartile 4 had a rate ratio of 1.81 (95% CI, 1.28-2.57) for total HF events. Limitations: Self-report of HF hospitalizations and possible lack of an echocardiogram at time of hospitalization. Conclusions: In this large multicenter prospective cohort study, elevated FGF23 levels were associated with increased risks for all HF subtypes. Plain-Language Summary: Heart failure (HF) is a prominent cause of morbidity and mortality in individuals with chronic kidney disease (CKD). Identifying potential pathways in the development of HF is essential in developing therapies to prevent and treat HF. In a large cohort of individuals with CKD, the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (N = 3,502), baseline fibroblast growth factor-23 (FGF23), a hormone that regulates phosphorous, was evaluated in relation to the development of incident and recurrent HF with reduced, preserved, and unknown ejection fraction. In this large multicenter prospective cohort study, elevated FGF23 levels were associated with increased risk of all HF subtypes. These findings demonstrate the need for further research into FGF23 as a target in preventing the development of HF in individuals with CKD.

Estimated Glomerular Filtration Rate, Albuminuria, and Adverse Outcomes: An Individual-Participant Data Meta-Analysis.

Importance: Chronic kidney disease (low estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR] or albuminuria) affects approximately 14% of adults in the US. Objective: To evaluate associations of lower eGFR based on creatinine alone, lower eGFR based on creatinine combined with cystatin C, and more severe albuminuria with adverse kidney outcomes, cardiovascular outcomes, and other health outcomes. Design, Setting, and Participants: Individual-participant data meta-analysis of 27 503 140 individuals from 114 global cohorts (eGFR based on creatinine alone) and 720 736 individuals from 20 cohorts (eGFR based on creatinine and cystatin C) and 9 067 753 individuals from 114 cohorts (albuminuria) from 1980 to 2021. Exposures: The Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration 2021 equations for eGFR based on creatinine alone and eGFR based on creatinine and cystatin C; and albuminuria estimated as urine albumin to creatinine ratio (UACR). Main Outcomes and Measures: The risk of kidney failure requiring replacement therapy, all-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality, acute kidney injury, any hospitalization, coronary heart disease, stroke, heart failure, atrial fibrillation, and peripheral artery disease. The analyses were performed within each cohort and summarized with random-effects meta-analyses. Results: Within the population using eGFR based on creatinine alone (mean age, 54 years [SD, 17 years]; 51% were women; mean follow-up time, 4.8 years [SD, 3.3 years]), the mean eGFR was 90 mL/min/1.73 m2 (SD, 22 mL/min/1.73 m2) and the median UACR was 11 mg/g (IQR, 8-16 mg/g). Within the population using eGFR based on creatinine and cystatin C (mean age, 59 years [SD, 12 years]; 53% were women; mean follow-up time, 10.8 years [SD, 4.1 years]), the mean eGFR was 88 mL/min/1.73 m2 (SD, 22 mL/min/1.73 m2) and the median UACR was 9 mg/g (IQR, 6-18 mg/g). Lower eGFR (whether based on creatinine alone or based on creatinine and cystatin C) and higher UACR were each significantly associated with higher risk for each of the 10 adverse outcomes, including those in the mildest categories of chronic kidney disease. For example, among people with a UACR less than 10 mg/g, an eGFR of 45 to 59 mL/min/1.73 m2 based on creatinine alone was associated with significantly higher hospitalization rates compared with an eGFR of 90 to 104 mL/min/1.73 m2 (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.3 [95% CI, 1.2-1.3]; 161 vs 79 events per 1000 person-years; excess absolute risk, 22 events per 1000 person-years [95% CI, 19-25 events per 1000 person-years]). Conclusions and Relevance: In this retrospective analysis of 114 cohorts, lower eGFR based on creatinine alone, lower eGFR based on creatinine and cystatin C, and more severe UACR were each associated with increased rates of 10 adverse outcomes, including adverse kidney outcomes, cardiovascular diseases, and hospitalizations.

High-Density Lipoprotein Lipidomics and Mortality in CKD.

Rationale & Objective: Patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) have dysfunctional high-density lipoprotein (HDL) particles that lack cardioprotective properties; altered lipid composition may be associated with these changes. To investigate HDL lipids as potential cardiovascular risk factors in CKD, we tested the associations of HDL ceramides, sphingomyelins, and phosphatidylcholines with mortality. Study Design: We leveraged data from a longitudinal prospective cohort of participants with CKD. Setting & Participants: We included participants aged greater than 21 years with CKD, excluding those on maintenance dialysis or with prior kidney transplant. Exposure: HDL particles were isolated using density gradient ultracentrifugation. We quantified the relative abundance of HDL ceramides, sphingomyelins, and phosphatidylcholines via liquid chromatography tandem mass spectrometry (LC-MS/MS). Outcomes: Our primary outcome was all-cause mortality. Analytical Approach: We tested associations using Cox regressions adjusted for demographics, comorbid conditions, laboratory values, medication use, and highly correlated lipids with opposed effects, controlling for multiple comparisons with false discovery rates (FDR). Results: There were 168 deaths over a median follow-up of 6.12 years (interquartile range, 3.71-9.32). After adjustment, relative abundance of HDL ceramides (HR, 1.22 per standard deviation; 95% CI, 1.06-1.39), sphingomyelins with long fatty acids (HR, 1.44; 95% CI, 1.05-1.98), and saturated and monounsaturated phosphatidylcholines (HR, 1.22; 95% CI, 1.06-1.41) were significantly associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality (FDR < 5%). Limitations: We were unable to test associations with cardiovascular disease given limited power. HDL lipidomics may not reflect plasma lipidomics. LC-MS/MS is unable to differentiate between glucosylceramides and galactosylceramides. The cohort was comprised of research volunteers in the Seattle area with CKD. Conclusions: Greater relative HDL abundance of 3 classes of lipids was associated with higher risk of all-cause mortality in CKD; sphingomyelins with very long fatty acids were associated with a lower risk. Altered lipid composition of HDL particles may be a novel cardiovascular risk factor in CKD. Plain-Language Summary: Patients with chronic kidney disease have abnormal high-density lipoprotein (HDL) particles that lack the beneficial properties associated with these particles in patients with normal kidney function. To investigate if small lipid molecules found on the surface of HDL might be associated with these changes, we tested the associations of lipid molecules found on HDL with death among patients with chronic kidney disease. We found that several lipid molecules found on the surface of HDL were associated with increased risk of death among these patients. These findings suggest that lipid molecules may be risk factors for death among patients with chronic kidney disease.

Evaluation of plasma sphingolipids as mediators of the relationship between kidney disease and cardiovascular events.

BACKGROUND: Sphingolipids are a family of circulating lipids with regulatory and signaling roles that are strongly associated with both eGFR and cardiovascular disease. Patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) are at high risk for cardiovascular events, and have different plasma concentrations of certain plasma sphingolipids compared to patients with normal kidney function. We hypothesize that circulating sphingolipids partially mediate the associations between eGFR and cardiovascular events. METHODS: We measured the circulating concentrations of 8 sphingolipids, including 4 ceramides and 4 sphingomyelins with the fatty acids 16:0, 20:0, 22:0, and 24:0, in plasma from 3,463 participants in a population-based cohort (Cardiovascular Health Study) without prevalent cardiovascular disease. We tested the adjusted mediation effects by these sphingolipids of the associations between eGFR and incident cardiovascular disease via quasi-Bayesian Monte Carlo method with 2,000 simulations, using a Bonferroni correction for significance. FINDINGS: The mean (±SD) eGFR was 70 (±16) mL/min/1.73 m2; 62% of participants were women. Lower eGFR was associated with higher plasma ceramide-16:0 and sphingomyelin-16:0, and lower ceramides and sphingomyelins-20:0 and -22:0. Lower eGFR was associated with risk of incident heart failure and ischemic stroke, but not myocardial infarction. Five of eight sphingolipids partially mediated the association between eGFR and heart failure. The sphingolipids associated with the greatest proportion mediated were ceramide-16:0 (proportion mediated 13%, 95% CI 8-22%) and sphingomyelin-16:0 (proportion mediated 10%, 95% CI 5-17%). No sphingolipids mediated the association between eGFR and ischemic stroke. INTERPRETATION: Plasma sphingolipids partially mediated the association between lower eGFR and incident heart failure. Altered sphingolipids metabolism may be a novel mechanism for heart failure in patients with CKD. FUNDING: This study was supported by T32 DK007467 and a KidneyCure Ben J. Lipps Research Fellowship (Dr. Lidgard). Sphingolipid measurements were supported by R01 HL128575 (Dr. Lemaitre) and R01 HL111375 (Dr. Hoofnagle) from the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (NHLBI).

Vitamin D Metabolites and Risk of Cardiovascular Disease in Chronic Kidney Disease: The CRIC Study.

Background The ratio of 24,25-dihydroxyvitamin D3/25-hydroxyvitamin D3 (vitamin D metabolite ratio [VDMR]) may reflect functional vitamin D activity. We examined associations of the VDMR, 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25[OH]D), and 1,25-dihydroxyvitamin D (1,25[OH]2D) with cardiovascular disease (CVD) in patients with chronic kidney disease. Methods and Results This study included longitudinal and cross-sectional analyses of 1786 participants from the CRIC (Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort) Study. Serum 24,25-dihydroxyvitamin D3, 25(OH)D, and 1,25(OH)2D were measured by liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry 1 year after enrollment. The primary outcome was composite CVD (heart failure, myocardial infarction, stroke, and peripheral arterial disease). We used Cox regression with regression-calibrated weights to test associations of the VDMR, 25(OH)D, and 1,25(OH)2D with incident CVD. We examined cross-sectional associations of these metabolites with left ventricular mass index using linear regression. Analytic models adjusted for demographics, comorbidity, medications, estimated glomerular filtration rate, and proteinuria. The cohort was 42% non-Hispanic White race and ethnicity, 42% non-Hispanic Black race and ethnicity, and 12% Hispanic ethnicity. Mean age was 59 years, and 43% were women. Among 1066 participants without prevalent CVD, there were 298 composite first CVD events over a mean follow-up of 8.6 years. Lower VDMR and 1,25(OH)2D were associated with incident CVD before, but not after, adjustment for estimated glomerular filtration rate and proteinuria (hazard ratio, 1.11 per 1 SD lower VDMR [95% CI, 0.95-1.31]). Only 25(OH)D was associated with left ventricular mass index after full covariate adjustment (0.6 g/m2.7 per 10 ng/mL lower [95% CI, 0.0-1.3]). Conclusions Despite modest associations of 25(OH)D with left ventricular mass index, 25(OH)D, the VDMR, and 1,25(OH)2D were not associated with incident CVD in chronic kidney disease.

The association between changes in echocardiography and risk of heart failure hospitalizations and death in adults with chronic kidney disease.

Adults with chronic kidney disease (CKD) are at increased risk for developing heart failure (HF). However, longitudinal cardiac remodeling in CKD has not been well-characterized and its association with HF outcomes remains unknown. We evaluated the association between change in echocardiographic parameters between baseline and year 4 with the subsequent risk of HF hospitalization and death using Cox proportional hazard models in a landmark analysis of a prospective multicenter CKD cohort. Among 2673 participants, mean ± SD age was 61 ± 11 years, with 45% women, and 56% non-white. A total of 472 hospitalizations for HF and 776 deaths occurred during a median (interquartile range) follow-up duration of 8.0 (6.3-9.1) years. Patients hospitalized for HF experienced larger preceding absolute increases in left ventricular (LV) volumes and decreases in LV ejection fraction. Adverse changes in LV ejection fraction, LV cavity volume, LV mass index, and LV geometry were independently associated with an increased risk of HF hospitalization and death. Among adults with CKD, deleterious cardiac remodeling occurs over a relatively short timeframe and adverse remodeling is associated with increased risk of HF-related morbidity and mortality.