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1.
Lancet Reg Health Am ; 37: 100839, 2024 Sep.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39100241

RESUMEN

Background: Long COVID is an emerging global public health issue. Socially vulnerable communities in low- and-middle-income countries were severely impacted by the pandemic and are underrepresented in research. This prospective study aimed to determine the prevalence of long COVID, its impact on health, and associated risk factors in one such community in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. Methods: A total of 710 individuals aged 18 and older, with confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection at least three months prior, were enrolled between November 25, 2021, and May 5, 2022. Participants were assessed via telephone or in person using a standardized questionnaire to evaluate their perception of recovery, symptoms, quality of life, and functional status. Findings: Twenty percent of participants did not feel fully recovered, 22% experienced new or persistent symptoms, 26% had worsened functional status, 18% had increased dyspnoea, and 32% reported a worse quality of life. Persistent symptoms included headache, cough, fatigue, muscle pain, and shortness of breath. Dyspnoea during the acute phase was the strongest independent predictor of worsening outcomes. Females and individuals with comorbidities were more likely to report worse recovery, functioning, dyspnoea, and quality of life. Interpretation: Our findings reveal a high burden of severe and persistent physical and mental health sequelae in a socially vulnerable community following COVID-19. Funding: UK Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office and Wellcome Trust Grant (222048/Z/20/Z), Fundação Oswaldo Cruz (FIOCRUZ), Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado do Rio de Janeiro (FAPERJ), and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC).

2.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39090300

RESUMEN

Potentially harmful element (PHE) bioavailability is important to environmental contamination and must be checked under several soil conditions. This study aimed to assess Fe, Mn, and PHE uptake by rice (Oryza sativa) grown on flooded and non-flooded Fe tailings collected from the Doce River basin after its collapse in Brazil. After 65 days of sowing, shoots and roots were harvested to determine PHE concentrations. The mean concentrations of Mn in shoots and Fe in the roots of rice grown on the flooded tailings were 2140 mg kg-1 and 15,219 mg kg-1, respectively. Mn was extensively translocated from roots to shoots (translocation factor (TF) = 2). Conversely, Fe accumulated in roots (TF = 0.015) and caused morphological damage to this rice organ. The application of macro and micronutrients lessened Fe toxicity in the roots of rice cultivated on the flooded tailings. The flooding of tailings influenced more Fe accumulation than Mn accumulation by rice plants. The PHE Ag, As, Cd, Ni, Hg, Pb, and Sb exhibited low total concentrations (maximum of 9 mg kg-1 for Ni and a minimum of 0.2 mg kg-1 for Cd, Hg, and Sb), and it was not observed an increase in their availability under tailings flooding conditions.

3.
Int J Med Inform ; 191: 105568, 2024 Jul 27.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39111243

RESUMEN

PURPOSE: Parametric regression models have been the main statistical method for identifying average treatment effects. Causal machine learning models showed promising results in estimating heterogeneous treatment effects in causal inference. Here we aimed to compare the application of causal random forest (CRF) and linear regression modelling (LRM) to estimate the effects of organisational factors on ICU efficiency. METHODS: A retrospective analysis of 277,459 patients admitted to 128 Brazilian and Uruguayan ICUs over three years. ICU efficiency was assessed using the average standardised efficiency ratio (ASER), measured as the average of the standardised mortality ratio (SMR) and the standardised resource use (SRU) according to the SAPS-3 score. Using a causal inference framework, we estimated and compared the conditional average treatment effect (CATE) of seven common structural and organisational factors on ICU efficiency using LRM with interaction terms and CRF. RESULTS: The hospital mortality was 14 %; median ICU and hospital lengths of stay were 2 and 7 days, respectively. Overall median SMR was 0.97 [IQR: 0.76,1.21], median SRU was 1.06 [IQR: 0.79,1.30] and median ASER was 0.99 [IQR: 0.82,1.21]. Both CRF and LRM showed that the average number of nurses per ten beds was independently associated with ICU efficiency (CATE [95 %CI]: -0.13 [-0.24, -0.01] and -0.09 [-0.17,-0.01], respectively). Finally, CRF identified some specific ICUs with a significant CATE in exposures that did not present a significant average effect. CONCLUSION: In general, both methods were comparable to identify organisational factors significantly associated with CATE on ICU efficiency. CRF however identified specific ICUs with significant effects, even when the average effect was nonsignificant. This can assist healthcare managers in further in-dept evaluation of process interventions to improve ICU efficiency.

4.
Rev Bras Epidemiol ; 27Suppl 1(Suppl 1): e240002.supl.1, 2024.
Artículo en Inglés, Portugués | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39166574

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: Sexually transmitted infections (STIs) disproportionately affect transgender women and travestis (TGW), who often lack access to healthcare due to stigma and discrimination. We describe the approach and methodology of a study investigating the prevalence of syphilis, HIV, hepatitis A, B, and C, Neisseria gonorrhoeae (NG), Chlamydia trachomatis (CT), and human papillomavirus (HPV) among TGW, as well as their knowledge and perceptions regarding syphilis, to better inform policies to curb STIs among this vulnerable population. METHODS: TransOdara was a multicentric, cross-sectional study conducted among TGW in five capital cities from major Brazilian regions between December 2019 and July 2021. Self-identified transgender women and travestis aged >18 years were recruited using respondent-driven sampling after a qualitative formative phase, completed an interviewer-led questionnaire, were offered a physical examination, and were also asked to provide samples from multiple sites to detect various STIs, starting vaccination and treatment when indicated. RESULTS: A total of 1,317 participants were recruited from the five study locations: Campo Grande (n=181, 13.7%), Manaus (n=340, 25.8%), Porto Alegre (n=192, 14.6%), Salvador (n=201, 15.3%), and São Paulo (n=403, 30.6%). The recruitment period varied at each study location due to logistic constraints imposed by the COVID-19 pandemic. CONCLUSION: Despite the enormous challenges posed by the co-occurrence of the COVID-19 pandemic and field work targeting a vulnerable, elusive, and scattered population, the TransOdara project has been effectively implemented. Caveats did not preclude 1,300 TGW from being interviewed and tested, amid a significant epidemic that disrupted health services and research projects in Brazil and worldwide.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Enfermedades de Transmisión Sexual , Personas Transgénero , Humanos , COVID-19/epidemiología , Brasil/epidemiología , Estudios Transversales , Femenino , Adulto , Masculino , Personas Transgénero/estadística & datos numéricos , Enfermedades de Transmisión Sexual/epidemiología , Adulto Joven , Pandemias , Adolescente , Persona de Mediana Edad , Prevalencia , SARS-CoV-2 , Conocimientos, Actitudes y Práctica en Salud
5.
Cad Saude Publica ; 40(7): e00152023, 2024.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39194089

RESUMEN

Since May 2020, we have been conducting a comprehensive study to understand the natural history of SARS-CoV-2 infection in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. Our focus has been on following families, systematically collecting respiratory tract swabs and blood samples, monitoring symptoms, and gathering data on vaccine status. This paper aims to describe the household cohort across five epidemic waves of SARS-CoV-2, providing an overview of the collected data and a description of the epidemiological, clinical, and immunological characteristics and incidence of SARS-CoV-2 infection. Our cohort includes 691 participants from 189 households. During the five epidemic waves, we detected 606 infections. The incidence density of SARS-CoV-2 infection ranged from 4 (Delta) to 56 (B.1.1.33) per 1,000 person-week, with a peak in wave B.1.1.33 in all age groups. The seroprevalence of SARS-CoV-2 antibodies (IgG anti spike protein) varied from 37%, in the pre-VoC period, to 99%, in the Omicron period, progressively increasing after each wave in a similar manner regardless of age. As we have monitored the cohort continuously since the beginning of the pandemic, we were able to collect data across different scenarios according to the predominant lineage in circulation. Via active monitoring of families, we were able to carry out an epidemiological surveillance on SARS-CoV-2, including its variants, persistence of symptoms, and changes in immunity over time in the population, contributing to knowledge of the natural history of SARS-CoV-2 infection.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Composición Familiar , SARS-CoV-2 , Humanos , COVID-19/epidemiología , COVID-19/inmunología , Brasil/epidemiología , Adulto , Masculino , Femenino , SARS-CoV-2/inmunología , Persona de Mediana Edad , Niño , Adolescente , Adulto Joven , Preescolar , Estudios de Cohortes , Incidencia , Lactante , Anticuerpos Antivirales/sangre , Estudios Seroepidemiológicos , Estudios de Seguimiento , Anciano
6.
Infect Dis Health ; 2024 Aug 18.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39160126

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Hospital-Acquired Infections (HAI) represent a public health priority in most countries worldwide. Our main objective was to systematically review the quality of the predictive modeling literature regarding multidrug-resistant gram-negative bacteria in Intensive Care Units (ICUs). METHODS: We conducted and reported a Systematic Literature Review according to the recommendations of the PRISMA statement. We analysed the quality of the articles in terms of adherence to the TRIPOD checklist. RESULTS: The initial search identified 1935 papers and 15 final articles were included in the review. Most studies analysed used traditional prediction models (logistic regression), and only three developed machine-learning techniques. We noted poor adherence to the main methodological issues recommended in the TRIPOD checklist to develop prediction models, such as handling missing data (20% adherence), model-building procedures (20% adherence), assessing model performance (47% adherence), and reporting performance measures (33% adherence). CONCLUSIONS: Our review found few studies that use efficient alternatives to predict the acquisition of multidrug-resistant gram-negative bacteria in ICUs. Furthermore, we noted a lack of strategies for dealing with missing data, feature selection, and imbalanced datasets, a common problem in HAI studies.

8.
Cad Saude Publica ; 40(6): e00028823, 2024.
Artículo en Inglés, Portugués | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39082558

RESUMEN

The influenza-like illness (ILI) sentinel surveillance operates in Brazil to identify respiratory viruses of public health relevance circulating in the country and was first implemented in 2000. Recently, the COVID-19 pandemic reinforced the importance of early detection of the circulation of new viruses in Brazil. Therefore, an analysis of the design of the ILI sentinel surveillance is timely. To this end, we simulated a sentinel surveillance network, identifying the municipalities that would be part of the network according to the criteria defined in the design of the ILI sentinel surveillance and, based on data from tested cases of severe acute respiratory illness (SARI) from 2014 to 2019, we drew samples for each sentinel municipality per epidemiological week. The draw was performed 1,000 times, obtaining the median and 95% quantile interval (95%QI) of virus positivity by Federative Unit and epidemiological week. According to the ILI sentinel surveillance design criteria, sentinel units would be in 64 municipalities, distributed mainly in capitals and their metropolitan areas, recommending 690 weekly samples. The design showed good sensitivity (91.65% considering the 95%QI) for qualitatively detecting respiratory viruses, even those with low circulation. However, there was important uncertainty in the quantitative estimate of positivity, reaching at least 20% in 11.34% of estimates. The results presented here aim to assist in evaluating and updating the ILI sentinel surveillance design. Strategies to reduce uncertainty in positivity estimates need to be evaluated, as does the need for greater spatial coverage.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Gripe Humana , Vigilancia de Guardia , Humanos , Brasil/epidemiología , Gripe Humana/epidemiología , Gripe Humana/diagnóstico , COVID-19/epidemiología , COVID-19/diagnóstico , SARS-CoV-2 , Pandemias
9.
BMJ Open ; 14(7): e072314, 2024 Jul 04.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38964793

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: No consensus exists about the best COVID-19 vaccination strategy to be adopted by low-income and middle-income countries. Brazil adopted an age-based calendar strategy to reduce mortality and the burden on the healthcare system. This study evaluates the impact of the vaccination campaign in Brazil on the progression of the reported COVID-19 deaths. METHODS: This ecological study analyses the dynamic of vaccination coverage and COVID-19 deaths in hospitalised adults (≥20 years) during the first year of the COVID-19 vaccination roll-out (January to December 2021) using nationwide data (DATASUS). We stratified the adult population into 20-49, 50-59, 60-69 and 70+ years. The dynamic effect of the vaccination campaign on mortality rates was estimated by applying a negative binomial regression. The prevented and possible preventable deaths (observed deaths higher than expected) and potential years of life lost (PYLL) for each age group were obtained in a counterfactual analysis. RESULTS: During the first year of COVID-19 vaccination, 266 153 517 doses were administered, achieving 91% first-dose coverage. A total of 380 594 deaths were reported, 154 091 (40%) in 70+ years and 136 804 (36%) from 50-59 or 20-49 years. The mortality rates of 70+ decreased by 52% (rate ratio [95% CI]: 0.48 [0.43-0.53]) in 6 months, whereas rates for 20-49 were still increasing due to low coverage (52%). The vaccination roll-out strategy prevented 59 618 deaths, 53 088 (89%) from those aged 70+ years. However, the strategy did not prevent 54 797 deaths, 85% from those under 60 years, being 26 344 (45%) only in 20-49, corresponding to 1 589 271 PYLL, being 1 080 104 PYLL (68%) from those aged 20-49 years. CONCLUSION: The adopted aged-based calendar vaccination strategy initially reduced mortality in the oldest but did not prevent the deaths of the youngest as effectively as compared with the older age group. Countries with a high burden, limited vaccine supply and young populations should consider other factors beyond the age to prioritise who should be vaccinated first.


Asunto(s)
Vacunas contra la COVID-19 , COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Humanos , Brasil/epidemiología , COVID-19/prevención & control , COVID-19/mortalidad , COVID-19/epidemiología , Persona de Mediana Edad , Anciano , Vacunas contra la COVID-19/administración & dosificación , Adulto , Masculino , Femenino , Adulto Joven , Cobertura de Vacunación/estadística & datos numéricos , Programas de Inmunización , Vacunación/estadística & datos numéricos
10.
Curr Microbiol ; 81(9): 274, 2024 Jul 17.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39017880

RESUMEN

Pseudomonas aeruginosa, the most prevalent opportunistic pathogen in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, associated with high morbidity and mortality in patients with cystic fibrosis (CF), is practically impossible to be eradicated from the airways in chronicity. Its extraordinary genomic plasticity is possibly associated with high antimicrobial resistance, virulence factors, and its phenotypic diversity. The occurrence of P. aeruginosa isolates promoting airway infection, showing mucoid, non-mucoid, and small colony variant (SCV) phenotypes, was observed simultaneously, in the present study, in sputum cultures obtained from a male CF young patient with chronic pulmonary infection for over a decade. The isolates belonged to a new ST (2744) were obtained in two moments of exacerbation of the respiratory disease, in which he was hospitalized. Genetic background and phenotypic analysis indicated that the isolates exhibited multi- and pan-antimicrobial resistant profiles, as well as non-susceptible to polymyxin and predominantly hypermutable (HPM) phenotypes. Whole genome sequencing showed variations in genome sizes, coding sequences and their determinants of resistance and virulence. The annotated genomes were compared for antimicrobial resistance, hypermutability, and SCV characteristics. We highlight the lack of reported genetic determinants of SCV emergence and HPM phenotypes, which can be explained in part due to the very short time between collections of isolates. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first report of genome sequencing of P. aeruginosa SCV from a CF patient in Brazil.


Asunto(s)
Antibacterianos , Fibrosis Quística , Fenotipo , Infecciones por Pseudomonas , Pseudomonas aeruginosa , Humanos , Fibrosis Quística/microbiología , Fibrosis Quística/complicaciones , Pseudomonas aeruginosa/genética , Pseudomonas aeruginosa/efectos de los fármacos , Pseudomonas aeruginosa/aislamiento & purificación , Pseudomonas aeruginosa/patogenicidad , Masculino , Infecciones por Pseudomonas/microbiología , Antibacterianos/farmacología , Genoma Bacteriano , Pruebas de Sensibilidad Microbiana , Esputo/microbiología , Factores de Virulencia/genética , Secuenciación Completa del Genoma
11.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38925284

RESUMEN

Carbofuran (CF) is a carbamate class pesticide, widely used in agriculture for pest control in crops. This pesticide has high toxicity in non-target organisms, and its presence in the environment poses a threat to the ecosystem. Research has revealed that this pesticide acts as an inhibitor of acetylcholinesterase (AChE), inducing an accumulation of acetylcholine in the brain. Nonetheless, our understanding of CF impact on the central nervous system remains elusive. Therefore, this study explored how CF influences behavioral and neurochemical outcomes in adult zebrafish. The animals underwent a 96-hour exposure protocol to different concentrations of CF (5, 50, and 500 µg/L) and were subjected to the novel tank (NTT) and social preference tests (SPT). Subsequently, they were euthanized, and their brains were extracted to evaluate neurochemical markers associated with oxidative stress and AChE levels. In the NTT and SPT, CF did not alter the evaluated behavioral parameters. Furthermore, CF did not affect the levels of AChE, non-protein sulfhydryl groups, and thiobarbituric acid reactive species in the zebrafish brain. Nevertheless, further investigation is required to explore the effects of environmental exposure to this compound on non-target organisms.


Asunto(s)
Acetilcolinesterasa , Conducta Animal , Encéfalo , Carbofurano , Estrés Oxidativo , Pez Cebra , Animales , Pez Cebra/metabolismo , Carbofurano/toxicidad , Conducta Animal/efectos de los fármacos , Acetilcolinesterasa/metabolismo , Encéfalo/efectos de los fármacos , Encéfalo/metabolismo , Estrés Oxidativo/efectos de los fármacos , Inhibidores de la Colinesterasa/toxicidad , Contaminantes Químicos del Agua/toxicidad , Masculino , Insecticidas/toxicidad
12.
Int J Equity Health ; 23(1): 120, 2024 Jun 12.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38867238

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The occurrence of multimorbidity and its impacts have differentially affected population subgroups. Evidence on its incidence has mainly come from high-income regions, with limited exploration of racial disparities. This study investigated the association between racial groups and the development of multimorbidity and chronic conditions in the Brazilian Longitudinal Study of Adult Health (ELSA-Brasil). METHODS: Data from self-reported white, brown (pardos or mixed-race), and black participants at baseline of ELSA-Brasil (2008-2010) who were at risk for multimorbidity were analysed. The development of chronic conditions was assessed through in-person visits and self-reported diagnosis via telephone until the third follow-up visit (2017-2019). Multimorbidity was defined when, at the follow-up visit, the participant had two or more morbidities. Cumulative incidences, incidence rates, and adjusted incidence rate ratios (IRRs) were estimated using Poisson models. RESULTS: Over an 8.3-year follow-up, compared to white participants: browns had a 27% greater incidence of hypertension and obesity; and blacks had a 62% and 45% greater incidence, respectively. Blacks also had 58% more diabetes. The cancer incidence was greater among whites. Multimorbidity affected 41% of the participants, with a crude incidence rate of 57.5 cases per 1000 person-years (ranging from 56.3 for whites to 63.9 for blacks). Adjusted estimates showed a 20% higher incidence of multimorbidity in black participants compared to white participants (IRR: 1.20; 95% CI: 1.05-1.38). CONCLUSIONS: Significant racial disparities in the risk of chronic conditions and multimorbidity were observed. Many associations revealed a gradient increase in illness risk according to darker skin tones. Addressing fundamental causes such as racism and racial discrimination, alongside considering social determinants of health, is vital for comprehensive multimorbidity care. Intersectoral, equitable policies are essential for ensuring health rights for historically marginalized groups.


Asunto(s)
Multimorbilidad , Humanos , Brasil/epidemiología , Femenino , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios Prospectivos , Enfermedad Crónica , Adulto , Disparidades en el Estado de Salud , Estudios Longitudinales , Anciano , Incidencia , Población Blanca/estadística & datos numéricos , Factores Socioeconómicos
13.
PLOS Glob Public Health ; 4(5): e0002576, 2024.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38722828

RESUMEN

INTRODUCTION: The outbreak of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) posed a significant public health challenge globally, with Brazil being no exception. Excess mortality during this period reached alarming levels. Cardiovascular diseases (CVD), Systemic Hypertension (HTN), and Diabetes Mellitus (DM) were associated with increased mortality. However, the specific impact of DM and HTN on mortality during the pandemic remains poorly understood. METHODS: This study analyzed mortality data from Brazil's mortality system, covering the period from 2015 to 2022. Data included all causes of death as listed on death certificates, categorized by International Classification of Diseases 10th edition (ICD-10) codes. Population data were obtained from the Brazilian Census. Mortality ratios (MRs) were calculated by comparing death rates in 2020, 2021, and 2022 to the average rates from 2015 to 2019. Adjusted MRs were calculated using Poisson models. RESULTS: Between 2015 and 2022, Brazil recorded a total of 11,423,288 deaths. Death rates remained relatively stable until 2019 but experienced a sharp increase in 2020 and 2021. In 2022, although a decrease was observed, it did not return to pre-pandemic levels. This trend persisted even when analyzing records mentioning DM, HTN, or CVD. Excluding death certificates mentioning COVID-19 codes, the trends still showed increases from 2020 through 2022, though less pronounced. CONCLUSION: This study highlights the persistent high mortality rates for DM and HTN in Brazil during the years 2020-2022, even after excluding deaths associated with COVID-19. These findings emphasize the need for continued attention to managing and preventing DM and HTN as part of public health strategies, both during and beyond the COVID-19 pandemic. There are complex interactions between these conditions and the pandemic's impact on mortality rates.

15.
Rev Bras Epidemiol ; 27: e240010, 2024.
Artículo en Inglés, Portugués | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38422234

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: To analyze the spatio-temporal dynamics of COVID-19 in the Rio de Janeiro state within the nine health regions, between March 2020 and December 2022. METHODS: The Poisson model with random effects was used to smooth and estimate the incidence of COVID-19 hospitalizations reported in the Influenza Epidemiological Surveillance Information System (SIVEP-Gripe) to verify the synchronicity of the epidemic in the state. RESULTS: The COVID-19 epidemic in the state is characterized by the presence of seven peaks during the analyzed period corresponding to seven found. An asynchrony in hospitalizations was identified, varying according to the different virus variants in the nine health regions of the state. The incidence peaks of hospitalizations ranged from 1 to 12 cases per 100,000 inhabitants during the pandemic. CONCLUSION: This spatio-temporal analysis is applicable to other scenarios, enabling monitoring and decision-making for the control of epidemic diseases in different areas.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Humanos , COVID-19/epidemiología , Brasil/epidemiología , Análisis Espacio-Temporal , Pandemias , Incidencia
16.
Chest ; 165(4): 870-880, 2024 Apr.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37838338

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: During the COVID-19 pandemic, ICUs remained under stress and observed elevated mortality rates and high variations of outcomes. A knowledge gap exists regarding whether an ICU performing best during nonpandemic times would still perform better when under high pressure compared with the least performing ICUs. RESEARCH QUESTION: Does prepandemic ICU performance explain the risk-adjusted mortality variability for critically ill patients with COVID-19? STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: This study examined a cohort of adults with real-time polymerase chain reaction-confirmed COVID-19 admitted to 156 ICUs in 35 hospitals from February 16, 2020, through December 31, 2021, in Brazil. We evaluated crude and adjusted in-hospital mortality variability of patients with COVID-19 in the ICU during the pandemic. Association of baseline (prepandemic) ICU performance and in-hospital mortality was examined using a variable life-adjusted display (VLAD) during the pandemic and a multivariable mixed regression model adjusted by clinical characteristics, interaction of performance with the year of admission, and mechanical ventilation at admission. RESULTS: Thirty-five thousand six hundred nineteen patients with confirmed COVID-19 were evaluated. The median age was 52 years, median Simplified Acute Physiology Score 3 was 42, and 18% underwent invasive mechanical ventilation. In-hospital mortality was 13% and 54% for those receiving invasive mechanical ventilation. Adjusted in-hospital mortality ranged from 3.6% to 63.2%. VLAD in the most efficient ICUs was higher than the overall median in 18% of weeks, whereas VLAD was 62% and 84% in the underachieving and least efficient groups, respectively. The least efficient baseline ICU performance group was associated independently with increased mortality (OR, 2.30; 95% CI, 1.45-3.62) after adjusting for patient characteristics, disease severity, and pandemic surge. INTERPRETATION: ICUs caring for patients with COVID-19 presented substantial variation in risk-adjusted mortality. ICUs with better baseline (prepandemic) performance showed reduced mortality and less variability. Our findings suggest that achieving ICU efficiency by targeting improvement in organizational aspects of ICUs may impact outcomes, and therefore should be a part of the preparedness for future pandemics.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Adulto , Humanos , Persona de Mediana Edad , Enfermedad Crítica , Pandemias , Estudios Retrospectivos , Unidades de Cuidados Intensivos , Mortalidad Hospitalaria
17.
J Crit Care ; 80: 154480, 2024 Apr.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38016226

RESUMEN

PURPOSE: To develop a model to predict the use of renal replacement therapy (RRT) in COVID-19 patients. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Retrospective analysis of multicenter cohort of intensive care unit (ICU) admissions of Brazil involving COVID-19 critically adult patients, requiring ventilatory support, admitted to 126 Brazilian ICUs, from February 2020 to December 2021 (development) and January to May 2022 (validation). No interventions were performed. RESULTS: Eight machine learning models' classifications were evaluated. Models were developed using an 80/20 testing/train split ratio and cross-validation. Thirteen candidate predictors were selected using the Recursive Feature Elimination (RFE) algorithm. Discrimination and calibration were assessed. Temporal validation was performed using data from 2022. Of 14,374 COVID-19 patients with initial respiratory support, 1924 (13%) required RRT. RRT patients were older (65 [53-75] vs. 55 [42-68]), had more comorbidities (Charlson's Comorbidity Index 1.0 [0.00-2.00] vs 0.0 [0.00-1.00]), had higher severity (SAPS-3 median: 61 [51-74] vs 48 [41-58]), and had higher in-hospital mortality (71% vs 22%) compared to non-RRT. Risk factors for RRT, such as Creatinine, Glasgow Coma Scale, Urea, Invasive Mechanical Ventilation, Age, Chronic Kidney Disease, Platelets count, Vasopressors, Noninvasive Ventilation, Hypertension, Diabetes, modified frailty index (mFI) and Gender, were identified. The best discrimination and calibration were found in the Random Forest (AUC [95%CI]: 0.78 [0.75-0.81] and Brier's Score: 0.09 [95%CI: 0.08-0.10]). The final model (Random Forest) showed comparable performance in the temporal validation (AUC [95%CI]: 0.79 [0.75-0.84] and Brier's Score, 0.08 [95%CI: 0.08-0.1]). CONCLUSIONS: An early ML model using easily available clinical and laboratory data accurately predicted the use of RRT in critically ill patients with COVID-19. Our study demonstrates that using ML techniques is feasible to provide early prediction of use of RRT in COVID-19 patients.


Asunto(s)
Lesión Renal Aguda , COVID-19 , Adulto , Humanos , Estudios Retrospectivos , Lesión Renal Aguda/terapia , COVID-19/terapia , Terapia de Reemplazo Renal/métodos , Unidades de Cuidados Intensivos , Aprendizaje Automático , Enfermedad Crítica
18.
Integr Environ Assess Manag ; 20(1): 117-132, 2024 Jan.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37128987

RESUMEN

Previous studies of the Doce River basin (Brazil) seem to be contradictory regarding the contamination of soils with potentially harmful elements (PHE). This research aimed to perform an integrated assessment of PHE in the soil-plant-tailing system from the area most affected by the iron waste after the Fundão Dam disaster in 2015. Different fractions of PHE (exchangeable, nonexchangeable, reducible, and pseudo-total) were determined on deposited iron waste (DIW), soil waste mixture (SWM), and control soil (CS) samples. Total contents of PHE in Poaceae were also determined, and Allium cepa bioassays were performed to determine DIW and CS cytotoxicity and/or genotoxicity to plants. The Fe and Mn contaminations were the only ones related to the deposition of DIW on floodplains, and other harmful element content (such as As, Hg, Ni, Cd, Cr, and Pb) was not found above baseline values for soils. In addition, a significant part of the Fe and Mn in DIW is readily available or subject to acidification and prolonged flood reduction processes. The high available content of Fe favored its excessive accumulation by Brachiaria. The DIW chemical conditions reduced biological functions of A. cepa under a controlled environment. However, more drastic effects, such as genetic damage, were not seen. The postdisaster action of covering DIW with CS resulted in undesirable enrichment of Pb on the floodplain soils. The integrated results allow the conclusion that the iron waste is not a time bomb for PHE contamination of soils between the Fundão and Risoleta Neves Hydroelectric Dam (~100 km away from Fundão). Integr Environ Assess Manag 2024;20:117-132. © 2023 SETAC.


Asunto(s)
Desastres , Metales Pesados , Monitoreo del Ambiente/métodos , Brasil , Suelo/química , Plomo , Hierro , Plantas , Ríos/química , Metales Pesados/análisis
19.
Rev. bras. epidemiol ; 27: e240010, 2024. graf
Artículo en Inglés | LILACS-Express | LILACS | ID: biblio-1535585

RESUMEN

ABSTRACT Objective: To analyze the spatio-temporal dynamics of COVID-19 in the Rio de Janeiro state within the nine health regions, between March 2020 and December 2022. Methods: The Poisson model with random effects was used to smooth and estimate the incidence of COVID-19 hospitalizations reported in the Influenza Epidemiological Surveillance Information System (SIVEP-Gripe) to verify the synchronicity of the epidemic in the state. Results: The COVID-19 epidemic in the state is characterized by the presence of seven peaks during the analyzed period corresponding to seven found. An asynchrony in hospitalizations was identified, varying according to the different virus variants in the nine health regions of the state. The incidence peaks of hospitalizations ranged from 1 to 12 cases per 100,000 inhabitants during the pandemic. Conclusion: This spatio-temporal analysis is applicable to other scenarios, enabling monitoring and decision-making for the control of epidemic diseases in different areas.


RESUMO Objetivo: Analisar a dinâmica espaço-temporal de COVID-19 no estado do Rio de Janeiro nas nove regiões de saúde, entre março de 2020 e dezembro de 2022. Métodos: Utilizou-se o modelo de Poisson com efeitos aleatórios para suavizar a curva de incidência de hospitalizações por COVID-19 notificadas no Sistema de Informação da Vigilância Epidemiológica da Gripe (Sivep-Gripe) para verificar a sincronicidade da epidemia no estado. Resultados: A epidemia de COVID-19 no estado é caracterizada pela presença de sete picos no período analisado correspondentes a sete variantes encontradas. Identificou-se uma assincronicidade nas hospitalizações, variando de acordo com as diferentes variantes do vírus nas nove regiões de saúde do estado. Os picos de incidência das hospitalizações variaram de 1 a 12 casos por 100 mil habitantes no decorrer da pandemia. Conclusão: Essa análise espaço-temporal é extensível em outros cenários, sendo possível o monitoramento e a tomada de decisões de controle de doenças epidêmicas em várias áreas.

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