Balancing Efficacy and Tolerability of First-Line Systemic Therapies for Advanced Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Network Meta-Analysis.

Background: Atezolizumab + bevacizumab represent the current standard of care for first-line treatment of advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, direct comparison with other combination treatments including immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI) + tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs) are lacking. Objectives: This network meta-analysis (NMA) aims to indirectly compare the efficacy and the safety of first-line systemic therapies for unresectable advanced HCC. Method: A literature search of MEDLINE, Embase, and SCOPUS databases was conducted up to October 31, 2022. Phase 3 randomized controlled trials (RCTs) testing TKIs, including sorafenib and lenvatinib, or ICIs reporting overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) were included. Individual survival data were extracted from OS and PFS curves to calculate restricted mean survival time. A Bayesian NMA was performed to compare treatments in terms of efficacy (15- and 30-month OS, 6-month PFS) and safety, represented by grade ≥3 (severe) adverse events (SAEs). The incremental safety-effectiveness ratio as measure of net health benefit was calculated as the difference in SAE probability divided by survival difference between the 2 most effective treatments. Results: Nine RCTs enrolling 6,600 patients were included. Atezolizumab plus bevacizumab showed the highest probability (88%) of achieving the 30-month OS landmark. Lenvatinib showed a probability of 86% of achieving best PFS outcomes. ICI monotherapies ranked as most tolerable. Atezolizumab plus bevacizumab showed the best net health benefit for OS, compared to durvalumab plus tremelimumab. When evaluating the net health benefit for PFS, at a willingness-to-risk threshold of 10% of SAEs for life-month gained, atezolizumab plus bevacizumab was favoured in 78% of cases, while at threshold of 30% of SAEs for life-month gained, lenvatinib was favoured in 76% of cases. Conclusions: Atezolizumab plus bevacizumab is the best treatment in terms of net benefit and therefore it should be recommended as standard of care. Compared to atezolizumab plus bevacizumab, lenvatinib monotherapy had the best net benefit for PFS when physicians and patients are available to accept a higher risk of toxicity.

Diagnostic delay in bronchiectasis: an Italian perspective.

It takes ∼3.5 years to reach a diagnosis of bronchiectasis from onset of symptoms: the long patient's journey in Italy https://bit.ly/46XMWAz.

Are nighttime respiratory symptoms assessed by asthma control test affected by comorbidities?

OBJECTIVE: Nocturnal symptoms are common in the asthmatic population, reflecting an exaggerated airway narrowing overnight due to several factors; it is questioned to what extent the awakenings documented in the clinical assessment of asthma control are due to the disease itself or to comorbidities. To answer this question, we aimed to evaluate to what proportion rhinitis, gastroesophageal reflux and the likelihood of being affected by OSAS were related to poor asthma control, by means of ACT evaluation. METHODS: Asthmatics attending the outpatient clinic were enrolled and administered the following questionnaires: ACT, Total 5 Symptom Score, GERD Impact Scale, Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index and the Sleep Disorders Questionnaire. RESULTS: One-hundred consecutive patients (M/F: 42/58, mean age 52 ± 15 years) were recruited. According to the ACT findings, 14 asthmatics resulted as fully controlled (FC, ACT equal to 25), 55 partially controlled (PC, 25 < ACT >19) and 31 as uncontrolled (UC, ACT <19). GERD was not associated with the ACT score neither did rhinitic symptomatology. On the other hand, the PSQI scores appeared to significantly increase with the lack of symptom control: FC, 2.0 (1-4); PC, 3.5 (2-5); UC, 6.6 (4-8) (p = 0.002). The SA-SDQ questionnaire results significantly increased with the loss of asthma control: FC, 11.0 (9-12); PC, 12.5 (10-14); UC, 15.1 (14-16) (p = 0.005). CONCLUSIONS: These results confirm and extend previous findings showing that there is a higher likelihood that underlying unknown sleep disturbances worsen asthma control, suggesting that a more comprehensive assessment is necessary to clarify the cause of nocturnal symptoms in asthma.

Pre-operative incisional biopsy of oral squamous cell carcinoma: high podoplanin expression is related to perineural invasion and may be a useful predictor of disease progression.

OBJECTIVE: Immunohistochemical analysis of podoplanin expression as a pre-operative molecular marker for perineural invasion (PNI) may represent an attractive strategy for surgical management of oral squamous cell cancer (OSCC). We evaluated the relationship between podoplanin expression and PNI in pre-operative incisional biopsies of OSCC. STUDY DESIGN: After performing pathological staging and histologic and immunohistochemical evaluation of 83 surgical specimens, we performed multivariable logistic regression analysis to examine the relationship between PNI and independent variables. To evaluate the utility of podoplanin immunopositivity for discrimination of PNI status pre-operatively, we calculated the sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value. We performed receiver operating characteristic curve analysis to evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of podoplanin immunopositivity for predicting PNI alone and in combination with age, T stage, N stage, and index site. RESULTS: We observed podoplanin expression in 42 (50.6%) of all the 83 pre-operative incisional biopsies and 29 of the pre-operative biopsies of the 31 (93.5%) postoperative specimens with PNI. The rate of podoplanin expression was significantly higher in patients with pT3 to pT4 stage and pN+ stage disease. Podoplanin positivity in the pre-operative biopsy showed high sensitivity in predicting PNI in the surgical specimen. CONCLUSION: Podoplanin expression appears to be an independent pre-operative variable significantly related to PNI and a possibly valuable prognostic marker for therapeutical planning and surgical treatment of OSCC.

Impact of Actively Offering Influenza Vaccination to Frail People during Hospitalisation: A Pilot Study in Italy.

Despite the worldwide recommendations for influenza immunisation, vaccination coverage for patients exposed to the highest risk of severe complications is still far from the optimal target. The need to take advantage of alternative methods to provide vaccination is essential. This study presents a hospital-based strategy which offers influenza vaccination to inpatients at discharge. This study was conducted during the 2022-2023 influenza season at the University Hospital of Palermo. A questionnaire was administered to identify the determinants for the acceptance of influenza vaccination in the frail population. Overall, 248 hospitalised patients were enrolled, of which 56.1% were female and 52.0% were over 65 years of age. The proportion of patients vaccinated against influenza during hospitalisation was 62.5%, an increase of 16% in influenza vaccination uptake among frail people in comparison with the previous influenza season (46.8% vaccinated during the 2021-22 influenza season). Factors significantly associated with vaccination acceptance were the following: to have received influenza vaccine advice from hospital healthcare workers (OR = 3.57, p = 0.001), to have been previously vaccinated for influenza (OR = 3.16 p = 0.005), and to have had a low level of education (OR = 3.56, p = 0.014). This study showed that offering influenza vaccination to hospitalised patients could be an effective strategy to increase vaccination coverage in the most vulnerable population, and these findings could be useful for planning and improving future influenza vaccination campaigns.

Does Age Affect the Rate of Spinal Nerve Injury after Selective Neck Dissection? Age as a Prognostic Factor of Spinal Nerve Injury after Selective Neck Dissection.

OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study is to investigate whether age is a significant risk factor for spinal nerve injury following selective neck dissection (SND) in patients with head and neck cancer. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was conducted on patients who had undergone SND for head and neck cancer at a tertiary hospital between 2020 and 2022. The primary outcome was the incidence of spinal nerve injury after SND. The secondary outcomes included the types and severity of spinal nerve injury and the impact of age on these outcomes. RESULTS: A total of 78 patients were included in the study and subdivided into two groups. Two shoulder-specific questionnaires (the Shoulder Pain and Disability Index (SPADI) and the Shoulder Disability Questionnaire (SDQ)) were administered to assess shoulder morbidity postoperatively. Twelve patients showed shoulder impairment following surgery. We divided the sample into two age-based groups; the older group showed a higher rate of SAN injury and the younger group showed a lower rate of improvement over time. CONCLUSION: This study suggests that age is a significant risk factor for spinal nerve injury following SND in patients with head and neck cancer. Older patients are more likely to experience spinal nerve injury after SND than younger patients. The findings of this study may help in the development of strategies to prevent spinal nerve injury in older patients undergoing SND for head and neck cancer.

Nodal frozen section + elective neck dissection as an alternative to sentinel lymph node biopsy for the management of cT1-2N0 oral squamous cell carcinoma patients: a viability and accuracy study.

PURPOSE: Oral Squamous Cell Carcinoma (OSCC) is characterized by a high aggressiveness and a tendency to metastasize. The management of the neck in cT1-2N0 patients c follows three strategies: watchful waiting, elective neck dissection (END) or sentinel lymph node biopsy (SLNB). The aim was to assess the viability of intraoperative frozen sections of the nodes of cT1-2N0 to spot occult metastases as an alternative to SLNB, performing a modified radical neck dissection (MRND) in intraoperatively positive patients. METHODS: The patients were treated at the Maxillo-Facial Surgery Unit of Policlinico San Marco of Catania between 2020 and 2022. END was performed in all patients, including frozen section examination of at least one clinically suspicious node per level. In case of positivity after frozen section examination, neck dissection was extended to levels IV and V. RESULTS: All frozen sections were compared with a definitive test after paraffin inclusion. During surgery, 70 END were performed, and 210 nodes were analyzed with frozen sections. Among the 70 END, 52 were negative after frozen Sects. (156 negative nodes), and surgery was ended. Five of the 52 negative ENDs resulted in pN + after paraffin inclusion (9.6%), which underwent postoperative adjuvant treatment. The sensibility of our END + frozen section method was 75%, while the specificity of our test was 94%. The negative predictive value was 90,4%. CONCLUSIONS: Elective neck dissection + intraoperative frozen section could be an alternative to SLNB to spot occult nodal metastases in cT1-2N0 OSCC due to the opportunity to perform a one-step diagnostic/therapeutic procedure.

Long-term residential exposure to air pollution and risk of chronic respiratory diseases in Italy: The BIGEPI study.

Long-term exposure to air pollution has adverse respiratory health effects. We investigated the cross-sectional relationship between residential exposure to air pollutants and the risk of suffering from chronic respiratory diseases in some Italian cities. In the BIGEPI project, we harmonised questionnaire data from two population-based studies conducted in 2007-2014. By combining self-reported diagnoses, symptoms and medication use, we identified cases of rhinitis (n = 965), asthma (n = 328), chronic bronchitis/chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (CB/COPD, n = 469), and controls (n = 2380) belonging to 13 cohorts from 8 Italian cities (Pavia, Turin, Verona, Terni, Pisa, Ancona, Palermo, Sassari). We derived mean residential concentrations of fine particulate matter (PM10, PM2.5), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), and summer ozone (O3) for the period 2013-2015 using spatiotemporal models at a 1 km resolution. We fitted logistic regression models with controls as reference category, a random-intercept for cohort, and adjusting for sex, age, education, BMI, smoking, and climate. Mean ± SD exposures were 28.7 ± 6.0 µg/m3 (PM10), 20.1 ± 5.6 µg/m3 (PM2.5), 27.2 ± 9.7 µg/m3 (NO2), and 70.8 ± 4.2 µg/m3 (summer O3). The concentrations of PM10, PM2.5, and NO2 were higher in Northern Italian cities. We found associations between PM exposure and rhinitis (PM10: OR 1.62, 95%CI: 1.19-2.20 and PM2.5: OR 1.80, 95%CI: 1.16-2.81, per 10 µg/m3) and between NO2 exposure and CB/COPD (OR 1.22, 95%CI: 1.07-1.38 per 10 µg/m3), whereas asthma was not related to environmental exposures. Results remained consistent using different adjustment sets, including bi-pollutant models, and after excluding subjects who had changed residential address in the last 5 years. We found novel evidence of association between long-term PM exposure and increased risk of rhinitis, the chronic respiratory disease with the highest prevalence in the general population. Exposure to NO2, a pollutant characterised by strong oxidative properties, seems to affect mainly CB/COPD.

Transient asymptomatic bradycardia and remdesivir in COVID-19 patients.

BACKGROUND: COVID-19 is an infectious disease caused by a Coronavirus in humans, namely SARS-CoV-2, which has quickly become a global pandemic. The infection is responsible for a severe form of pneumonia, which may lead to lung failure and death. Among the therapeutic strategies, the antiviral agent remdesivir has become one of the most used drugs. The current literature reports a causal correlation between remdesivir administration and the incidence of cardiovascular effects. We aimed to further investigate this relationship, by exploring the association between the use of remdesivir and the onset of bradyarrhythmic disorders. METHODS: We reviewed medical records, blood exams and chest imaging of 85 patients with COVID-19 pneumonia (M/F: 57/28, age: 61±12 years) admitted between September 2020 and May 2021 to the Division of Respiratory Diseases in Palermo, Italy. RESULTS: We found a significant correlation between treatment with remdesivir and the occurrence of bradycardia, lasting for at least 3 days, which returned to normal values after the discontinuation of the drug. A significant reduction in heart rate (HR) was observed in the days following remdesivir administration (L. ratio 47.4, P<0.0001) in 24 patients (HR on the first day of observation: 75±14 bpm; at discharge: 72±14 bpm). Cardiac events occurred more frequently in subjects with extensive pulmonary involvement (greater than 50% of the total parenchyma, as assessed by chest CT). CONCLUSIONS: We suggest to carefully monitor the administration of the drug in patients with risk factors for arrhythmic or cardiovascular events.

Mortality after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt in older adult patients with cirrhosis: A validated prediction model.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Implantation of a transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) improves survival in patients with cirrhosis with refractory ascites and portal hypertensive bleeding. However, the indication for TIPS in older adult patients (greater than or equal to 70 years) is debated, and a specific prediction model developed in this particular setting is lacking. The aim of this study was to develop and validate a multivariable model for an accurate prediction of mortality in older adults. APPROACH AND RESULTS: We prospectively enrolled 411 consecutive patients observed at four referral centers with de novo TIPS implantation for refractory ascites or secondary prophylaxis of variceal bleeding (derivation cohort) and an external cohort of 415 patients with similar indications for TIPS (validation cohort). Older adult patients in the two cohorts were 99 and 76, respectively. A cause-specific Cox competing risks model was used to predict liver-related mortality, with orthotopic liver transplant and death for extrahepatic causes as competing events. Age, alcoholic etiology, creatinine levels, and international normalized ratio in the overall cohort, and creatinine and sodium levels in older adults were independent risk factors for liver-related death by multivariable analysis. CONCLUSIONS: After TIPS implantation, mortality is increased by aging, but TIPS placement should not be precluded in patients older than 70 years. In older adults, creatinine and sodium levels are useful predictors for decision making. Further efforts to update the prediction model with larger sample size are warranted.

[The role of exposure to airborne pollutants in the workplace on the prevalence and severity of chronic respiratory disease in Italy]. / Il ruolo dell'esposizione a inquinanti aerodispersi nel luogo di lavoro sulla prevalenza e gravità della malattia respiratoria cronica in Italia.

OBJECTIVES: occupational exposure to vapours, gases, dusts and fumes (VGDF) plays an important role in the development and exacerbation of respiratory diseases. The aim of this study is to evaluate the possible association of occupational exposure to airborne pollutants and chronic respiratory diseases. DESIGN: multicase-control study. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: cases of chronic respiratory diseases and controls from the Italian multicentric study Gene Environment Interaction in Respiratory Diseases (GEIRD). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: the occurrence of rhinitis, asthma, chronic bronchitis/chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), asthma severity, spirometry data, exhaled nitric oxide (FeNO) were examined in relation to chronic and acute occupational exposures to airborne pollutants using multiple regression models. RESULTS: 2,943 subjects were enrolled in the study. Regularm exposure to VGDF was associated with a higher prevalence of chronic bronchitis/COPD (OR 1.40, 95%CI 0.98-1.99), especially in those also having asthma (OR 1.80, 95%CI 1.14-2.85), a lower prevalence of remittent asthma (OR 0.53, 95%CI 0.29-0.96) and, in those with asthma, an increased activity of the disease (severity score) (OR 1.77, 95%CI 1.20-2.60). No associations were observed between occupational exposure and prevalence of rhinitis, spirometry and FeNO data. Finally, an association was found between acute exposure to airborne pollutants (occupational and non-occupational) and the respiratory diseases investigated, in particular active asthma and asthma associated chronic bronchitis/BPCO. CONCLUSIONS: these data confirm a significant role of occupational exposure to airborne pollutants on respiratory health, underlying the importance of workplace exposure prevention, in particular for more susceptible subjects, as those with respiratory diseases.

Post-traumatic intra-orbital meningoencephalocele in adults: technical note on a rare entity and review of the literature.

Post-traumatic orbital meningoencephaloceles related to orbital roof fractures are a challenging clinical entity because of their rarity and difficult differential diagnosis. We report a case of post-traumatic intra-orbital meningoencephalocele in a 69-year-old man, secondary to a likely trapdoor mechanism, treated with a modified one-piece orbitozygomatic craniotomy. We also performed an extensive literature review of traumatic Intra-Orbital Encephalocele related to Orbital Roof Fracture focused on adult patients on electronic databases including Scopus, MEDLINE/PubMed, and Google Scholar. Patient well recovered after surgery with immediate exophthalmos resolution and discharged without visual or neurological deficits. The literature review included 22 papers with a total of 28 patients: 22 males (78.6%) and 6 females (21.4%), with a median age of 34.7 years. Twenty-six patients (92.9%) reported ocular injuries, with associated intracranial complications in 16 cases (61.5%). Twenty-seven patients (96.4%) were surgically treated, 18 of those underwent unilateral or bilateral frontal approach. Most orbital roof fractures can be managed nanoperatively if asymptomatic. Indeed, when the intra-orbital volume decreases, for example due to an encephalocele, the intra-orbital pressure could increase and determine an orbital compartment syndrome. In our case, we performed a one-piece modified orbitozygomatic approach, which has several advantages in comparison to the frequent unilateral or bilateral frontal craniotomy like the better exposure of the brain and orbit and a minimum brain retraction.

Echocardiographic Evaluation of the Cardiac Chambers in Asthmatic Patients: The BADA (Blood Pressure Levels, Clinical Features and Markers of Subclinical Cardiovascular Damage of Asthma Patients) Study-ECO.

The "Blood pressure levels, clinical features and markers of subclinical cardiovascular Damage of Asthma patients" (BADA) study is aimed at defining the cardiovascular risk profile and the markers of subclinical and clinical vascular and cardiac damage in asthmatic patients. Very few studies have assessed asthmatic patients without concomitant heart disease through a transthoracic echocardiogram. The goal of the present study is to investigate the prevalence of morphology and/or function changes in the cardiac chambers of a sample of 86 patients with chronic asthma, referred to the dedicated outpatient unit of the Division of Respiratory Diseases of the AOUP "P. Giaccone" of the University of Palermo, and the results obtained were compared with those of a control group without respiratory or cardiovascular diseases. Patients with asthma showed a marked and widespread involvement of the four cardiac chambers compared with the controls: enlargement of the two atria, greater left ventricular remodeling with interventricular septal thickening, increased indexed left ventricular mass with a significantly greater percentage of patients with overt left ventricular hypertrophy, worse left ventricular diastolic function proven by the significant difference in the E/A ratio, and worse right ventricular systolic function with global right ventricular dysfunction estimated by the Myocardial Performance Index (Tei Index). Multivariate regression analysis, after adjustment for essential hypertension, hypertension severity, diabetes, Body Mass Index, and creatinine clearance, seems to indicate that the indexed left ventricular mass, right atrial volume, and right ventricular Tei index (but not left ventricular hypertrophy) correlate significantly with asthma, severe asthma, and FEV1 (and to a lesser extent with asthma duration). No correlation is apparent between inhaled therapy (ICS, SABA) and myocardial involvement. These results seem to confirm that a more in-depth cardiovascular evaluation in patients with chronic respiratory disease allows the identification of unrecognized cardiovascular involvement. A transthoracic echocardiogram performed in asthmatic patients without clinically overt signs or symptoms of cardiovascular impairment has identified some features indicative of an early subclinical cardiac impairment not found in the control group. These findings, considering also the higher frequency of hypertension in the asthma group, deserve further validation in the future.

The Association of Self-Reported Birthweight with Lung Function and Respiratory Diseases: Results from a Multi-Centre, Multi-Case Control Study in Italy.

Early life conditions are associated with lung function and the development of respiratory and non-respiratory illnesses. The relationship with birthweight (BW), however, is conflicting. We examined associations of self-reported BW with lung function and the development of respiratory and also non-respiratory diseases within the GEIRD (Gene-Environment Interaction in Respiratory Diseases) project, an Italian multi-centre, multi-case control study involving cases of COPD, asthma, allergic rhinitis and controls. Multinomial logistic regression was performed with case/control status as response variable; BW as main determinant; and adjusting for sex, age and smoking status. Of the 2287 participants reporting BW, 6.4% (n = 147) had low BW (<2500 g), and this proportion was greater in women than men (7.8% vs. 5.1%; p = 0.006). Both men and women with low BW were shorter than those with normal BW (mean ± SD: 160.2 ± 5.5 vs. 162.6 ± 6.5 cm in women, p = 0.009; 172.4 ± 6.1 vs. 174.8 ± 7.2 cm in men, p < 0.001). Although FEV1 and FVC were reduced in individuals with low BW, this was explained by associations with sex and height. In multivariable analysis, BW was not associated with respiratory diseases in adulthood. However, those with low BW had a higher risk of self-reported hospitalisation for lung disease before the age of two (10.3% vs. 4.1%; p < 0.001), severe respiratory infection before the age of five (16.9% vs. 8.8%; p = 0.001) and hypertension in adulthood (29.9% vs. 23.7%; p = 0.001); however, they had a lower risk of arrhythmia (2.7% vs. 5.8%; p = 0.027).

Applicability of the MASK-Air® App to Severe Asthma Treated with Biologic Molecules: A Pilot Study.

MASK-air®, a good practice of the DG Santé, has been fully validated in allergic rhinitis, but little is known about its applicability to asthmatics. We explored whether the MASK-air® application is applicable to patients with severe asthma. Severe asthmatics were proposed to use the MASK-air® application for 6 months, along with best practice treatment. Treatment of the patients was not changed based on the application results. The evolution of the visual analogue scales (VAS) for asthma, shortness of breath, rhinitis, conjunctivitis, work, and sleep was monitored using MASK-air®. Adherence to MASK-air® and to the asthma treatment was also checked. Thirteen patients reported on 1229 days of MASK-air® use. The average application adherence was 51.8% (range: 19.7-98.9%). There was no correlation between application and medication adherence. Highly variably trends were found for the VAS for asthma. Five patients had over 90% well-controlled days, four had well- or moderately controlled asthma (with up to 20% uncontrolled days), one patient had moderately controlled asthma with approximately 20% uncontrolled days, and one patient had 80% uncontrolled days. Highly significant correlations were found for the VAS for asthma, and other patients reported VASs for work, dyspnea, sleep, and rhinitis. MASK-air® can be used in patients with severe asthma. VAS asthma appears to be an interesting patient-reported outcome highly correlated with dyspnea and impacts on work. Adherence to the application was better than that for rhinitis, but it needs to be improved.

RESIST-HCV Criteria to Monitor Progression of Low-Risk Esophageal Varices in Patients With Compensated Cirrhosis After HCV Eradication: The SIMPLE Study: SIMPLE: Scoring Index to Monitor Progression of Low-risk Esophageal varices.

INTRODUCTION: Noninvasive criteria to predict the progression of low-risk esophageal varices (EV) in patients with compensated hepatitis C virus (HCV) cirrhosis after sustained virological response (SVR) by direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) are lacking. Our aim was to assess the diagnostic performance of Rete Sicilia Selezione Terapia-HCV (RESIST-HCV) criteria for EV progression compared with elastography-based criteria (Baveno VI, Expanded Baveno VI, and Baveno VII-HCV criteria). METHODS: All consecutive patients observed at 3 referral centers with compensated HCV cirrhosis with or without F1 EV who achieved sustained virological response by DAAs were classified at last esophagogastroduodenoscopy (EGDS) as RESIST-HCV low risk (i.e., low probability of high-risk varices [HRV]) if platelets were >120 × 10 9 /L and serum albumin >3.6 g/dL or RESIST-HCV high risk (i.e., high probability of HRV) if platelets were <120 × 10 9 /L or serum albumin <3.6 g/dL. The primary outcome was the progression to HRV. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve and decision curve analysis of noninvasive criteria were calculated. RESULTS: The cohort consisted of 353 patients in Child-Pugh class A (mean age 67.2 years, 53.8% males). During a mean follow-up of 44.2 months, 34 patients (9.6%, 95% CI 6.7%-13.5%) developed HRV. At the last EGDS, 178 patients (50.4%) were RESIST-low risk, and 175 (49.6%) were RESIST-high risk. RESIST-HCV criteria showed the highest area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (0.70, 95% confidence interval 0.65-0.75), correctly sparing the highest number of EGDS (54.3%), with the lowest false-positive rate (45.7%), compared with elastography-based criteria. Decision curve analysis showed that RESIST-HCV had higher clinical utility than elastography-based criteria. DISCUSSION: Biochemical-based RESIST-HCV criteria are useful to easily predict HRV development after HCV eradication by DAAs in patients with compensated cirrhosis and low-risk EV.

Comparison between Suspected and Confirmed COVID-19 Respiratory Patients: What Is beyond the PCR Test.

COVID-19 modified the healthcare system. Nasal-pharyngeal swab (NPS), with real-time reverse transcriptase-polymerase (PCR), is the gold standard for the diagnosis; however, there are difficulties related to the procedure that may postpone it. The study aims to evaluate whether other elements than the PCR-NPS are reliable and confirm the diagnosis of COVID-19. This is a cross-sectional study on data from the Lung Unit of Pavia (confirmed) and at the Emergency Unit of Palermo (suspected). COVID-19 was confirmed by positive NPS, suspected tested negative. We compared clinical, laboratory and radiological variables and performed Logistic regression to estimate which variables increased the risk of COVID-19. The derived ROC-AUCcurve, assessed the accuracy of the model to distinguish between COVID-19 suspected and confirmed. We selected 50 confirmed and 103 suspected cases. High Reactive C-Protein (OR: 1.02; CI95%: 0.11-1.02), suggestive CT-images (OR: 11.43; CI95%: 3.01-43.3), dyspnea (OR: 10.48; CI95%: 2.08-52.7) and respiratory failure (OR: 5.84; CI95%: 1.73-19.75) increased the risk of COVID-19, whereas pleural effusion decreased the risk (OR: 0.15; CI95%: 0.04-0.63). ROC confirmed the discriminative role of these variables between suspected and confirmed COVID-19 (AUC 0.91). Clinical, laboratory and imaging features predict the diagnosis of COVID-19, independently from the NPS result.

A Genetic and Metabolic Staging System for Predicting the Outcome of Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease.

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is an emerging cause of liver-related events (LREs). Here, we have assessed the ability of a composite score based on clinical features, metabolic comorbidities, and genetic variants to predict LREs. A total of 546 consecutive patients with NAFLD were recruited and stratified according to the fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index. LREs were defined as occurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma or hepatic decompensation. Cox regression multivariate analysis was used to identify baseline variables associated with LREs. The UK Biobank was used as the validation cohort, and severe liver disease (incidence of cirrhosis, decompensated liver disease, hepatocellular carcinoma, and/or liver transplantation) was used as the outcome. LREs were experienced by 58 patients, only one of whom was in the cohort of patients with a FIB-4 score < 1.3. Multivariate Cox regression analysis of 229 patients with a FIB-4 score ≥ 1.3 highlighted clinical variables independently associated with the development of LREs, including older age, low platelet count, low albumin, low high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, certain genetic factors, and interactions between genetic factors and sex or diabetes. The area under the curve (AUC) for the model was 0.87 at 1, 3, and 5 years. Our novel Genetic and Metabolic Staging (GEMS) scoring system was derived from the Cox model linear predictor, ranked from 0 to 10, and categorized into five classes (0-5, 5-6, 6-7, 7-8, and 8-10). The risk of LREs increased from 4% in patients in the best class (GEMS score 0-5) to 91% in the worst (GEMS score 8-10). GEMS score was associated with incident severe liver disease in the study population (hazard ratio, 1.56; 95% confidence interval, 1.48-1.65; P < 0.001) as well as in the UK Biobank cohort where AUCs for prediction of severe liver disease at 1, 3, and 5 years were 0.70, 0.69, and 0.67, respectively. Conclusion: The novel GEMS scoring system has an adequate ability to predict the outcome of patients with NAFLD.