Evolution and effects of COVID-19 outbreaks in care homes: a population analysis in 189 care homes in one geographical region of the UK.

BACKGROUND: COVID-19 has affected care home residents internationally, but detailed information on outbreaks is scarce. We aimed to describe the evolution of outbreaks of COVID-19 in all care homes in one large health region in Scotland. METHODS: We did a population analysis of testing, cases, and deaths in care homes in the National Health Service (NHS) Lothian health region of the UK. We obtained data for COVID-19 testing (PCR testing of nasopharyngeal swabs for severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 [SARS-CoV-2]) and deaths (COVID-19-related and non-COVID-19-related), and we analysed data by several variables including type of care home, number of beds, and locality. Outcome measures were timing of outbreaks, number of confirmed cases of COVID-19 in care home residents, care home characteristics associated with the presence of an outbreak, and deaths of residents in both care homes and hospitals. We calculated excess deaths (both COVID-19-related and non-COVID-19-related), which we defined as the sum of deaths over and above the historical average in the same period over the past 5 years. FINDINGS: Between March 10 and Aug 2, 2020, residents at 189 care homes (5843 beds) were tested for COVID-19 when symptomatic. A COVID-19 outbreak was confirmed at 69 (37%) care homes, of which 66 (96%) were care homes for older people. The size of care homes for older people was strongly associated with a COVID-19 outbreak (odds ratio per 20-bed increase 3·35, 95% CI 1·99-5·63). 907 confirmed cases of SARS-CoV-2 infection were recorded during the study period, and 432 COVID-19-related deaths. 229 (25%) COVID-19-related cases and 99 (24%) COVID-related deaths occurred in five (3%) of 189 care homes, and 441 (49%) cases and 207 (50%) deaths were in 13 (7%) care homes. 411 (95%) COVID-19-related deaths occurred in the 69 care homes with a confirmed COVID-19 outbreak, 19 (4%) deaths were in hospital, and two (<1%) were in one of the 120 care homes without a confirmed COVID-19 outbreak. At the 69 care homes with a confirmed COVID-19 outbreak, 74 excess non-COVID-19-related deaths were reported, whereas ten non-COVID-19-related excess deaths were observed in the 120 care homes without a confirmed COVID-19 outbreak. 32 fewer non-COVID-19-related deaths than expected were reported among care home residents in hospital. INTERPRETATION: The effect of COVID-19 on care homes has been substantial but concentrated in care homes with known outbreaks. A key implication from our findings is that, if community incidence of COVID-19 increases again, many care home residents will be susceptible. Shielding care home residents from potential sources of SARS-CoV-2 infection, and ensuring rapid action to minimise outbreak size if infection is introduced, will be important for any second wave. FUNDING: None.

Reduction in post-operative acute kidney injury following a change in antibiotic prophylaxis policy for orthopaedic surgery: an observational study.

OBJECTIVES: Evidence has shown that a prophylactic antibiotic regimen of flucloxacillin and gentamicin for orthopaedic surgery was associated with increased rates of post-operative acute kidney injury (AKI). This resulted in changes in the national antibiotic policy recommendation for orthopaedic surgical prophylaxis. This study aimed to assess whether this change from flucloxacillin and gentamicin to co-amoxiclav was associated with changes in the rates of AKI and Clostridium difficile infection (CDI). METHODS: An observational study and interrupted time series analyses were used to assess rates of post-operative AKI separately in patients undergoing neck of femur (NOF) repair and other orthopaedic operations that required antibiotic prophylaxis. Incidence rate ratios were used to evaluate changes in CDI rates. RESULTS: Following the change in policy, from flucloxacillin and gentamicin to co-amoxiclav, there was a relative change in rates of post-operative AKI of -63% (95% CI -77% to -49%) at 18 months in the other orthopaedic operations group. In the NOF repair group, there was no change in the rate of post-operative AKI [-10% (95% CI -35%-15%)] at 18 months. The incident rate ratio for CDI in the other orthopaedic operations group was 0.29 (95% CI 0.09-0.96) and in the NOF repair group was 0.76 (95% CI 0.28-2.08). CONCLUSIONS: The use of co-amoxiclav for antibiotic prophylaxis in orthopaedic surgery was associated with a decreased rate of post-operative AKI compared with flucloxacillin and gentamicin and was not associated with increased rates of CDI.

Assessing knowledge of antimicrobial stewardship.

The Scottish Antimicrobial Prescribing Group (SAPG) is a national clinical multidisciplinary forum that coordinates and delivers antimicrobial stewardship (AS). This work includes ensuring health professionals have the necessary knowledge to contribute to improving the use of antimicrobials and to develop and implement education resources if required. The SAPG undertook a survey to scope the current understanding and learning needs among nurses and midwives in a range of care settings across Scotland. This article reports on the results, which have been used to help develop a dedicated AS education programme for this group of health professionals.

Six years of a national antimicrobial stewardship programme in Scotland: where are we now?

BACKGROUND: The Scottish Antimicrobial Prescribing Group (SAPG) was established in 2008 to lead delivery of the national antimicrobial stewardship programme. We performed a national self-reported survey in 2014 to evaluate stewardship activities delivered by regional Antimicrobial Management Teams (AMTs). An on-line survey was developed utilising validated indicators from a published European study along with questions specific to the Scottish context. Descriptive statistics were used to evaluate the responses received. FINDINGS: The survey was completed by 14 of the 15 AMTs (response rate 93 %). Results demonstrated good compliance with 9 of the 10 key European indicators included in the survey; 7 (50 %) of AMTs achieved all 9 indicators and 14 (100 %) of AMTs achieved at least 6 out of 9 indicators (67 %). Progress was also demonstrated across a range of stewardship activities and areas for further work were identified. CONCLUSIONS: The survey results suggest the national stewardship programme in Scotland has reached maturity but consolidation and ongoing development are required. Collaborative working between SAPG and AMTs together with central funding has been key to achieving this level of success.