Chest Radiograph Screening for Detecting Subclinical Tuberculosis in Asymptomatic Household Contacts, Peru.

The World Health Organization's end TB strategy promotes the use of symptom and chest radiograph screening for tuberculosis (TB) disease. However, asymptomatic early states of TB beyond latent TB infection and active disease can go unrecognized using current screening criteria. We conducted a longitudinal cohort study enrolling household contacts initially free of TB disease and followed them for the occurrence of incident TB over 1 year. Among 1,747 screened contacts, 27 (52%) of the 52 persons in whom TB subsequently developed during follow-up had a baseline abnormal radiograph. Of contacts without TB symptoms, persons with an abnormal radiograph were at higher risk for subsequent TB than persons with an unremarkable radiograph (adjusted hazard ratio 15.62 [95% CI 7.74-31.54]). In young adults, we found a strong linear relationship between radiograph severity and time to TB diagnosis. Our findings suggest chest radiograph screening can extend to detecting early TB states, thereby enabling timely intervention.

Who Transmits Tuberculosis to Whom: A Cross-Sectional Analysis of a Cohort Study in Lima, Peru.

RATIONALE: The persistent burden of TB disease emphasizes the need to identify individuals with TB for treatment and those at a high risk of incident TB for prevention. Targeting interventions towards those at high risk of developing and transmitting tuberculosis is a public health priority. OBJECTIVES: We aimed to identify characteristics of individuals involved in tuberculosis transmission in a community setting, which may guide the prioritization of targeted interventions. METHODS: We collected clinical and socio-demographic data from a cohort of tuberculosis patients in Lima, Peru. We used whole-genome sequencing data to assess the genetic distance between all possible pairs of patients; we considered pairs to be the result of a direct transmission event if they differed by three or fewer SNPs and we assumed that the first diagnosed patient in a pair was the transmitter and the second to be the recipient. We used logistic regression to examine the association between host factors and the likelihood of direct tuberculosis transmission. MAIN RESULTS: Analyzing data from 2,518 tuberculosis index patients, we identified 1,447 direct transmission pairs. Regardless of recipient attributes, individuals less than 34 years old, males, and those with a history of incarceration had a higher likelihood of being transmitters in direct transmission pairs. Direct transmission was more likely when both patients were drinkers or smokers. CONCLUSIONS: This study identifies men, young adults, former prisoners, alcohol consumers, and smokers as priority groups for targeted interventions. Innovative strategies are needed to extend tuberculosis screening to social groups like young adults and prisoners with limited access to routine preventive care. This article is open access and distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution Non-Commercial No Derivatives License 4.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).

Utility of Mycobacterium tuberculosis genome sequencing snapshots to assess transmission dynamics over time.

We explored the utility of brief Mycobacterium tuberculosis whole-genome sequencing (WGS) "snapshots" at a sentinel site within Lima, Peru for evaluating local transmission dynamics over time. Within a 17 km2 area, 15/70 (21%) isolates with WGS collected during 2011-2012 and 22/81 (27%) collected during 2020-2021 were clustered (p = 0.414), and additional isolates clustered with those from outside the area. Isolates from the later period were disproportionately related to large historic clusters in Lima from the earlier period. WGS snapshots at a sentinel site may not be useful for monitoring transmission, but monitoring the persistence of large transmission clusters might be.

Spatially-targeted tuberculosis screening has limited impact beyond household contact tracing in Lima, Peru: A model-based analysis.

Mathematical models have suggested that spatially-targeted screening interventions for tuberculosis may efficiently accelerate disease control, but empirical data supporting these findings are limited. Previous models demonstrating substantial impacts of these interventions have typically simulated large-scale screening efforts and have not attempted to capture the spatial distribution of tuberculosis in households and communities at a high resolution. Here, we calibrate an individual-based model to the locations of case notifications in one district of Lima, Peru. We estimate the incremental efficiency and impact of a spatially-targeted interventions used in combination with household contact tracing (HHCT). Our analysis reveals that HHCT is relatively efficient with a median of 40 (Interquartile Range: 31.7 to 49.9) household contacts required to be screened to detect a single case of active tuberculosis. However, HHCT has limited population impact, producing a median incidence reduction of only 3.7% (Interquartile Range: 5.8% to 1.9%) over 5 years. In comparison, spatially targeted screening (which we modeled as active case finding within high tuberculosis prevalence areas 100 m2 grid cell) is far less efficient, requiring evaluation of ≈12 times the number of individuals as HHCT to find a single individual with active tuberculosis. Furthermore, the addition of the spatially targeted screening effort produced only modest additional reductions in tuberculosis incidence over the 5 year period (≈1.3%) in tuberculosis incidence. In summary, we found that HHCT is an efficient approach for tuberculosis case finding, but has limited population impact. Other screening approaches which target areas of high tuberculosis prevalence are less efficient, and may have limited impact unless very large numbers of individuals can be screened.

Association between overweight/obesity and multidrug-resistant tuberculosis. / Asociación entre sobrepeso/obesidad y tuberculosis multidrogoresistente.

OBJECTIVE.: To evaluate the association between overweight/obesity and multidrug resistance in patients with and without a history of tuberculosis treatment. MATERIALS AND METHODS.: Cross-sectional study of secondary data from a tuberculosis cohort, which included anthropometric and drug-sensitivity testing data at the baseline visit of patients with and without previous tuberculosis treatment. RESULTS.: We evaluated 3,734 new cases and 766 with a history of having received treatment for tuberculosis. Overweight/obesity was not associated with multidrug resistance in patients with a history of tuberculosis treatment, with a prevalence ratio of 0.97 and a 95% confidence interval of 0.68-1.38. CONCLUSIONS.: Overweight/obesity is not associated with multidrug resistance in tuberculosis. Overweight/obesity is a dynamic process that may influence the relationship between the immune system and the metabolic system.

OBJETIVO.: Evaluar la asociación entre el sobrepeso/obesidad y la multidrogoresistencia en pacientes con y sin antecedentes de tratamiento para tuberculosis. MATERIALES Y MÉTODOS.: Estudio transversal realizado a través de un análisis secundario de la base de datos de una cohorte de tuberculosis, que incluyó datos de pruebas antropométricas y pruebas de sensibilidad a drogas en la visita basal de pacientes con y sin tratamiento previo para tuberculosis. RESULTADOS.: Se evaluaron 3,734 casos nuevos y 766 con antecedente de haber recibido tratamiento para tuberculosis. El sobrepeso/obesidad no se asoció a la multidrogoresistencia en pacientes con antecedente de tratamiento para tuberculosis, mostrando una razón de prevalencia de 0,97 con un intervalo de confianza al 95% de 0,68-1,38. CONCLUSIONES.: El sobrepeso/obesidad no está asociado a la multidrogoresistencia en tuberculosis; siendo el sobrepeso/obesidad un proceso dinámico que puede influir en las relaciones entre el sistema inmune y el sistema metabólico.

Two Clinical Prediction Tools to Inform Rapid Tuberculosis Treatment Decision-making in Children.

Background: In the absence of bacteriologic confirmation to diagnose tuberculosis (TB) in children, it is suggested that treatment should be initiated when sufficient clinical evidence of disease is available. However, it is unclear what clinical evidence is sufficient to make this decision. To identify children who would benefit from rapid initiation of TB treatment, we developed 2 clinical prediction tools. Methods: We conducted a secondary analysis of a prospective intensified TB patient-finding intervention conducted in Pakistan in 2014-2016. TB disease was determined through either bacteriologic confirmation or a clinical diagnosis. We derived 2 tools: 1 uses classification and regression tree (CART) analysis to develop decision trees, while the second uses multivariable logistic regression to calculate a risk score. Results: Of the 5162 and 5074 children included in the CART and prediction score, respectively, 1417 (27.5%) and 1365 (26.9%) were eligible for TB treatment. CART identified abnormal chest radiographs and family history of TB as the most important predictors (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUC], 0.949). The final prediction score model included age group (0-4, 5-9, 10-14), weight <5th percentile, cough, fever, weight loss, chest radiograph suggestive of TB disease, and family history of TB; the identified best cutoff score was 9 (AUC, 0.985%). Conclusions: Use of clinical evidence was sufficient to accurately identify children who would benefit from treatment initiation. Our tools performed well compared with existing algorithms, though these results need to be externally validated before operationalization.

Scale-Up of Rifapentine and Isoniazid for Tuberculosis Prevention Among Household Contacts in 2 Urban Centers: An Effectiveness Assessment.

BACKGROUND: Scaling up a shorter preventive regimen such as weekly isoniazid and rifapentine (3HP) for 3 months is a priority for tuberculosis (TB) preventive treatment (TPT). However, there are limited data on 3HP acceptability and completion from high-burden-TB countries. METHODS: We scaled up 3HP from 2018 to 2021 in 2 cities in Pakistan. Eligible participants were household contacts of persons diagnosed with TB disease. Participants were prescribed 3HP after ruling out TB disease. Treatment was self-administered. We analyzed the proportion who completed 3HP. RESULTS: In Karachi, we verbally screened 22 054 household contacts of all ages. Of these, 83% were clinically evaluated and 3% were diagnosed with TB. Of household contacts without TB disease, 59% initiated the 3HP regimen, of which 69% completed treatment. In Peshawar, we verbally screened 6389 household contacts of all ages. We evaluated 95% of household contacts, of whom 2% were diagnosed with TB disease. Among those without TB disease, 65% initiated 3HP, of which 93% completed. Factors associated with higher 3HP completion included residence in Peshawar (risk ratio [RR], 1.35 [95% confidence interval {CI}: 1.32-1.37]), index patient being a male (RR, 1.03 [95% CI: 1.01-1.05]), and index patient with extrapulmonary TB compared to bacteriologically positive pulmonary TB (RR, 1.10 [95% CI: 1.06-1.14]). The age of the index patient was inversely associated with completion. CONCLUSIONS: We observed a high level of acceptance and completion of 3HP in programs implemented in 2 cities in Pakistan, with differences observed across the cities. These findings suggest that 3HP can be effectively scaled up in urban settings to improve the reach and impact of TPT.

Asociación entre sobrepeso/obesidad y tuberculosis multidrogoresistente / Association between overweight/obesity and multidrug-resistant tuberculosis

Objetivo. Evaluar la asociación entre el sobrepeso/obesidad y la multidrogoresistencia en pacientes con y sin antecedentes de tratamiento para tuberculosis. Materiales y métodos. Estudio transversal realizado a través de un análisis secundario de la base de datos de una cohorte de tuberculosis, que incluyó datos de pruebas antropométricas y pruebas de sensibilidad a drogas en la visita basal de pacientes con y sin tratamiento previo para tuberculosis. Resultados. Se evaluaron 3,734 casos nuevos y 766 con antecedente de haber recibido tratamiento para tuberculosis. El sobrepeso/obesidad no se asoció a la multidrogoresistencia en pacientes con antecedente de tratamiento para tuberculosis, mostrando una razón de prevalencia de 0,97 con un intervalo de confianza al 95% de 0,68-1,38. Conclusiones. El sobrepeso/obesidad no está asociado a la multidrogoresistencia en tuberculosis; siendo el sobrepeso/obesidad un proceso dinámico que puede influir en las relaciones entre el sistema inmune y el sistema metabólico.

Objective. To evaluate the association between overweight/obesity and multidrug resistance in patients with and without a history of tuberculosis treatment. Materials and methods. Cross-sectional study of secondary data from a tuberculosis cohort, which included anthropometric and drug-sensitivity testing data at the baseline visit of patients with and without previous tuberculosis treatment. Results. We evaluated 3,734 new cases and 766 with a history of having received treatment for tuberculosis. Overweight/obesity was not associated with multidrug resistance in patients with a history of tuberculosis treatment, with a prevalence ratio of 0.97 and a 95% confidence interval of 0.68-1.38. Conclusions. Overweight/obesity is not associated with multidrug resistance in tuberculosis. Overweight/obesity is a dynamic process that may influence the relationship between the immune system and the metabolic system.

Sensitivity of Various Case Detection Algorithms for Community-based Tuberculosis Screening.

Using data from 388 people diagnosed with tuberculosis through a community-based screening program in Lima, Peru, we estimated that cough screening followed by sputum smear microscopy would have detected only 23% of cases found using an algorithm of radiographic screening followed by rapid nucleic acid amplification testing and clinical evaluation.

Spatial scale of tuberculosis transmission in Lima, Peru.

Spatially targeted interventions may be effective alternatives to individual or population-based prevention strategies against tuberculosis (TB). However, their efficacy may depend on the mechanisms that lead to geographically constrained hotspots. Local TB incidence may reflect high levels of local transmission; conversely, they may point to frequent travel of community members to high-risk areas. We used whole-genome sequencing to explore patterns of TB incidence and transmission in Lima, Peru. Between 2009 and 2012, we recruited incident pulmonary TB patients and their household contacts, whom we followed for the occurrence of TB disease. We used whole-genome sequences of 2,712 Mycobacterial tuberculosis isolates from 2,440 patients to estimate pariwise genomic distances and compared these to the spatial distance between patients' residences. Genomic distances increased rapidly as spatial distances increased and remained high beyond 2 km of separation. Next, we divided the study catchment area into 1 × 1 km grid-cell surface units and used household spatial coordinates to locate each TB patient to a specific cell. We estimated cell-specific transmission by calculating the proportion of patients in each cell with a pairwise genomic distance of 10 or fewer single-nucleotide polymorphisms. We found that cell-specific TB incidence and local transmission varied widely but that cell-specific TB incidence did not correlate closely with our estimates of local transmission (Cohen's k = 0.27). These findings indicate that an understanding of the spatial heterogeneity in the relative proportion of TB due to local transmission may help guide the implementation of spatially targeted interventions.

Development of a Clinical Prediction Score Including Monocyte-to-Lymphocyte Ratio to Inform Tuberculosis Treatment Among Children With HIV: A Multicountry Study.

Background: Clinical pediatric tuberculosis (TB) diagnosis may lead to overdiagnosis particularly among children with human immunodeficiency virus (CHIV). We assessed the performance of monocyte-lymphocyte ratio (MLR) as a diagnostic biomarker and constructed a clinical prediction score to improve specificity of TB diagnosis in CHIV with limited access to microbiologic testing. Methods: We pooled data from cohorts of children aged ≤13 years from Vietnam, Cameroon, and South Africa to validate the use of MLR ≥0.378, previously found as a TB diagnostic marker among CHIV. Using multivariable logistic regression, we created an internally validated prediction score for diagnosis of TB disease in CHIV. Results: The combined cohort had 601 children (median age, 1.9 [interquartile range, 0.9-5.3] years); 300 (50%) children were male, and 283 (47%) had HIV. Elevated MLR ≥0.378 had sensitivity of 36% (95% confidence interval [CI], 23%-51%) and specificity of 79% (95% CI, 71%-86%) among CHIV in the validation cohort. A model using MLR ≥0.28, age ≥4 years, tuberculin skin testing ≥5 mm, TB contact history, fever >2 weeks, and chest radiograph suggestive of TB predicted active TB disease in CHIV with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.85. A prediction score of ≥5 points had a sensitivity of 94% and specificity of 48% to identify confirmed TB, and a sensitivity of 82% and specificity of 48% to identify confirmed and unconfirmed TB groups combined. Conclusions: Our score has comparable sensitivity and specificity to algorithms including microbiological testing and should enable clinicians to rapidly initiate TB treatment among CHIV when microbiological testing is unavailable.

Social Determinants of Adherence to Treatment for Tuberculosis Infection and Disease Among Children, Adolescents, and Young Adults: A Narrative Review.

Global efforts to eliminate tuberculosis (TB) must address the unique barriers that children (ages 0 through 9 years) and adolescents/young adults (AYA; ages 10 through 24 years) face in adhering to treatment for TB infection and disease. We conducted a narrative review to summarize current knowledge on the social determinants of treatment adherence among these age groups to guide efforts and policy to address their unique needs. Our findings revealed that research on TB treatment adherence among children and AYA is still in its nascent stage. The current literature revealed structural/community-, health system-, household-, and individual-level factors that influence treatment adherence and varied with developmental stage. There is a need to develop multilevel interventions to address the unique challenges that children and AYA face in adhering to TB treatment.

Treatment Outcomes Among Pregnant Patients With Multidrug-Resistant Tuberculosis: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

Importance: The management of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB) during pregnancy is challenging, yet no systematic synthesis of evidence has accurately measured treatment outcomes. Objective: To systematically synthesize treatment outcomes and adverse events among pregnant patients with MDR-TB. Data Sources: PubMed, Scopus, Web of Science, and ProQuest were searched from the inception of each database through August 31, 2021. Study Selection: Studies containing cohorts of pregnant patients with a defined treatment outcome were eligible. Data Extraction and Synthesis: Independent reviewers screened studies and assessed the risk of bias. The study followed the Preferring Reporting Items for Systematic Review and Meta-analyses reporting guideline. Meta-analysis was performed using random-effects models. The sources of heterogeneity were explored through metaregression. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was the proportion of patients with each treatment outcome (including treatment success, death, loss to follow-up, and treatment failure), and the secondary outcomes included the proportion of patients experiencing adverse events during pregnancy. Results: In this systematic review and meta-analysis, 10 studies containing 275 pregnant patients with available data on treatment outcomes were included. The pooled estimate was 72.5% (95% CI, 63.3%-81.0%) for treatment success, 6.8% (95% CI, 2.6%-12.4%) for death, 18.4% (95% CI, 13.1%-24.2%) for loss to follow-up, and 0.6% (95% CI, 0.0%-2.9%) for treatment failure. Treatment success was significantly higher in studies in which the proportion of patients taking linezolid was greater than the median (20.1%) compared with studies in which this proportion was lower than the median (odds ratio, 1.22; 95% CI, 1.05-1.42). More than half of the pregnant patients (54.7%; 95% CI, 43.5%-65.4%) experienced at least 1 type of adverse event, most commonly liver function impairment (30.4%; 95% CI, 17.7%-45.7%), kidney function impairment (14.9%; 95% CI, 6.2%-28.3%), hypokalemia (11.9%; 95% CI, 3.9%-25.6%), hearing loss (11.8%; 95% CI, 5.5%-21.3%), gastrointestinal disorders (11.8%; 95% CI, 5.2%-21.8%), psychiatric disorders (9.1%; 95% CI, 2.5%-21.6%), or anemia (8.9%; 95% CI, 3.6%-17.4%). The pooled proportion of favorable pregnancy outcomes was 73.2% (95% CI, 49.4%-92.1%). The most common types of adverse pregnancy outcomes were preterm birth (9.5%; 95% CI, 0.0%-29.0%), pregnancy loss (6.0%; 95% CI, 1.3%-12.9%), low birth weight (3.9%; 95% CI, 0.0%-18.7%), and stillbirth (1.9%; 95% CI, 0.1%-5.1%). Most of the studies had low-quality (3 studies) or medium-quality (4 studies) scores. Conclusions and Relevance: In this systematic review and meta-analysis, high treatment success and favorable pregnancy outcomes were reported among pregnant patients with MDR-TB. Further research is needed to design shorter, more effective, and safer treatment regimens for pregnant patients with MDR-TB.

Age-specific Clinical Presentation and Risk Factors for Extrapulmonary Tuberculosis Disease in Children.

BACKGROUND: Clinical presentation for extrapulmonary tuberculosis (EPTB) in children can be variable and nonspecific, leading to delayed diagnosis, disease and death. We describe the age-specific clinical presentation and identify risk factors for EPTB among children in Pakistan. METHODS: In 2015-2016 in 4 facilities in Sindh, Pakistan, children were diagnosed with TB either through bacteriologic confirmation or clinical-radiologic criteria. EPTB comprised any form of TB disease that did not involve the lungs. Among children with TB disease, we report demographics, clinical characteristics and symptoms, family medical history and diagnostic test results for children with and without EPTB. We conduct age-specific regression analyses to identify factors associated with an EPTB diagnosis among children age 0-4, 5-9 and 10-14 years. RESULTS: A total of 1163 children were diagnosed with TB disease, of which 157 (13.5%) had EPTB. Of those, 46 (29.3%) were 0-4, 53 (33.8%) were 5-9 and 58 (36.9%) were 10-14 years old. Of children with EPTB, the most frequently reported sites were lymph node (113, 72.4%) and abdominal (31, 19.9%). Weight loss was associated with an increased risk of EPTB in the 0-4-year-old (adjusted odds ratio: 2.80, 95% confidence interval: 1.05-7.47) and 10-14-year-old (adjusted odds ratio: 2.79, 95% confidence interval: 1.28-6.07) groups, and the presence of cough was associated with a decreased risk of EPTB. CONCLUSIONS: This study provides new knowledge about age-specific clinical presentation and risk factors of EPTB in children in Pakistan. Our results can help to optimize clinical algorithms designed to achieve a timely diagnosis in children with EPTB along with improved treatment outcomes.

The Contribution of Chest Radiography to the Clinical Management of Children Exposed to Tuberculosis.

Rationale: Although World Health Organization guidelines emphasize contact investigation for tuberculosis (TB)-exposed children, data that support chest radiography as a useful tool are lacking. Objectives: We evaluated the diagnostic and prognostic information of chest radiography in children exposed to TB and measured the efficacy of isoniazid preventive therapy (IPT) in those with relevant radiographic abnormalities. Methods: Between September 2009 and August 2012, we enrolled 4,468 TB-exposed children who were screened by tuberculin skin testing, symptom assessment, and chest radiography. Those negative for TB disease were followed for 1 year for the occurrence of new TB diagnoses. We assessed the protective efficacy of IPT in children with and without abnormal chest radiographs. Measurements and Main Results: Compared with asymptomatic children with normal chest films, asymptomatic children with abnormal radiographs were 25.1-fold more likely to have coprevalent TB (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.02-613.76) and 26.7-fold more likely to be diagnosed with incident TB disease during follow-up (95% CI, 10.44-68.30). Among the 29 symptom-negative and CXR-abnormal child contacts, 20% (3/15) of the isoniazid recipients developed incident TB, compared with 57% (8/14) of those who did not receive IPT (82% IPT efficacy). Conclusions: Our results strongly support the use of chest radiography as a routine screening tool for the evaluation of child TB contacts, which is readily available. Radiographic abnormalities not usually considered suggestive of TB may indicate incipient or subclinical disease, although TB preventive treatment is adequate in most cases.

Geographic accessibility to health facilities predicts uptake of community-based tuberculosis screening in an urban setting.

OBJECTIVES: Annually, more than 30% of individuals with tuberculosis (TB) remain undiagnosed. We aimed to assess whether geographic accessibility measures can identify neighborhoods that would benefit from TB screening services targeted toward closing the diagnosis gap. METHODS: We used data from a community-based mobile TB screening program in Carabayllo district, Lima, Peru. We constructed four accessibility measures from the geographic center of neighborhoods to health facilities. We used logistic regression to assess the association between these measures and screening uptake in one's residential neighborhood versus elsewhere, with quasi-information criterion values to assess the association. RESULTS: We analyzed the screening locations for 25,000 Carabayllo residents from 49 neighborhoods. Pedestrian walk time was preferable to Euclidean distance or vehicular time in our models. For each additional 12 minutes walking time between the neighborhood and the health facility, the odds of residents using TB screening units located in their neighborhoods increased by 50% (95% CI: 26%-78%). Females had 9% (95% CI: 3%-16%) increased odds versus males of using a screening unit in their own neighborhood. CONCLUSION: Placing mobile TB screening units in neighborhoods with longer pedestrian time to access health facilities could benefit individuals who face more acute access barriers to health care.

Mapping local hot spots with routine tuberculosis data: A pragmatic approach to identify spatial variability.

OBJECTIVE: To use routinely collected data, with the addition of geographic information and census data, to identify local hot spots of rates of reported tuberculosis cases. DESIGN: Residential locations of tuberculosis cases identified from eight public health facilities in Lima, Peru (2013-2018) were linked to census data to calculate neighborhood-level annual case rates. Heat maps of tuberculosis case rates by neighborhood were created. Local indicators of spatial autocorrelation, Moran's I, were used to identify where in the study area spatial clusters and outliers of tuberculosis case rates were occurring. Age- and sex-stratified case rates were also assessed. RESULTS: We identified reports of 1,295 TB cases across 74 neighborhoods during the five-year study period, for an average annual rate of 124.2 reported TB cases per 100,000 population. In evaluating case rates by individual neighborhood, we identified a median rate of reported cases of 123.6 and a range from 0 to 800 cases per 100,000 population. Individuals aged 15-44 years old and men had higher case rates than other age groups and women. Locations of both hot and cold spots overlapped across age- and gender-specific maps. CONCLUSIONS: There is significant geographic heterogeneity in rates of reported TB cases and evident hot and cold spots within the study area. Characterization of the spatial distribution of these rates and local hot spots may be one practical tool to inform the work of local coalitions to target TB interventions in their zones.

Pediatric Tuberculosis Research and Development: Progress, Priorities and Funding Opportunities.

In this article, we highlight technological pediatric TB research advances across the TB care cascade; discuss recently completed or ongoing work in adults and corresponding significant research gaps for children; and offer recommendations and opportunities to increase investments and accelerate pediatric TB R&D.

Age-specific effectiveness of a tuberculosis screening intervention in children.

OBJECTIVE: To apply a cascade-of-care framework to evaluate the effectiveness-by age of the child-of an intensified tuberculosis patient-finding intervention. DESIGN: From a prospective screening program at four hospitals in Pakistan (2014-2016) we constructed a care cascade comprising six steps: screened, positive screen, evaluated, diagnosed, started treatment, and successful outcome. We evaluated the cascade by each year of age from 0 to 14 and report the age-specific mean proportion and standard deviation. RESULTS: On average across all ages, only 12.5% (standard deviation: 2.0%) of children with a positive screen were not evaluated. Among children who had a complete evaluation, the highest percentages of children diagnosed with tuberculosis were observed in children 0-4 (mean: 31.9%; standard deviation: 4.8%), followed by lower percentages in children 5-9 (mean: 22.4%; standard deviation: 2.2%), and 10-14 (mean: 26.0%; standard deviation:5.4%). Nearly all children diagnosed with tuberculosis initiated treatment, and an average of 93.3% (standard deviation: 3.3%) across all ages had successful treatment outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: This intervention was highly effective across ages 0-14 years. Our study illustrates the utility of applying operational analyses of age-stratified cascades to identify age-specific gaps in pediatric tuberculosis care that can guide future, novel interventions to close these gaps.

A role for community-level socioeconomic indicators in targeting tuberculosis screening interventions.

Tuberculosis screening programs commonly target areas with high case notification rates. However, this may exacerbate disparities by excluding areas that already face barriers to accessing diagnostic services. We compared historic case notification rates, demographic, and socioeconomic indicators as predictors of neighborhood-level tuberculosis screening yield during a mobile screening program in 74 neighborhoods in Lima, Peru. We used logistic regression and Classification and Regression Tree (CART) analysis to identify predictors of screening yield. During February 7, 2019-February 6, 2020, the program screened 29,619 people and diagnosed 147 tuberculosis cases. Historic case notification rate was not associated with screening yield in any analysis. In regression analysis, screening yield decreased as the percent of vehicle ownership increased (odds ratio [OR]: 0.76 per 10% increase in vehicle ownership; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.58-0.99). CART analysis identified the percent of blender ownership (≤ 83.1% vs > 83.1%; OR: 1.7; 95% CI: 1.2-2.6) and the percent of TB patients with a prior tuberculosis episode (> 10.6% vs ≤ 10.6%; OR: 3.6; 95% CI: 1.0-12.7) as optimal predictors of screening yield. Overall, socioeconomic indicators were better predictors of tuberculosis screening yield than historic case notification rates. Considering community-level socioeconomic characteristics could help identify high-yield locations for screening interventions.