Imaging-based indices combining disease severity and time from disease onset to predict COVID-19 mortality: A cohort study.

BACKGROUND: COVID-19 prognostic factors include age, sex, comorbidities, laboratory and imaging findings, and time from symptom onset to seeking care. PURPOSE: The study aim was to evaluate indices combining disease severity measures and time from disease onset to predict mortality of COVID-19 patients admitted to the emergency department (ED). MATERIALS AND METHODS: All consecutive COVID-19 patients who underwent both computed tomography (CT) and chest X-ray (CXR) at ED presentation between 27/02/2020 and 13/03/2020 were included. CT visual score of disease extension and CXR Radiographic Assessment of Lung Edema (RALE) score were collected. The CT- and CXR-based scores, C-reactive protein (CRP), and oxygen saturation levels (sO2) were separately combined with time from symptom onset to ED presentation to obtain severity/time indices. Multivariable regression age- and sex-adjusted models without and with severity/time indices were compared. For CXR-RALE, the models were tested in a validation cohort. RESULTS: Of the 308 included patients, 55 (17.9%) died. In multivariable logistic age- and sex-adjusted models for death at 30 days, severity/time indices showed good discrimination ability, higher for imaging than for laboratory measures (AUCCT = 0.92, AUCCXR = 0.90, AUCCRP = 0.88, AUCsO2 = 0.88). AUCCXR was lower in the validation cohort (0.79). The models including severity/time indices performed slightly better than models including measures of disease severity not combined with time and those including the Charlson Comorbidity Index, except for CRP-based models. CONCLUSION: Time from symptom onset to ED admission is a strong prognostic factor and provides added value to the interpretation of imaging and laboratory findings at ED presentation.

Trace elements in toenails in a population living near a modern municipal solid waste incinerator in Modena (Italy).

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: A cross-sectional biomonitoring study was performed in Modena (Italy) to assess trace element levels in toenails in a population living near a municipal solid waste incinerator (SWI), and investigate potential differences in their concentrations according to SWI emission exposure and other environmental and behavioral factors. METHODS: During the winter 2013/14 eligible subjects, aged 18-69 yrs, living within 4 km from SWI, were randomly selected from the population register. Toxic and essential element concentrations (As, Cd, Cr, Cu, Mn, Ni, Pb, Se, Zn) were analyzed in 489 toenail samples. Individual exposure to SWI emissions was estimated by using, as a tracer, fall-out maps of emitted particulate matter. Information on anthropometric parameters, lifestyles, diet, and road traffic, residential and work exposures were collected by questionnaires and objective measurements. Multivariate logistic regression analyses were carried out, separately for females and males. RESULTS: Excluding As, toxic elements were found, usually at low levels, in many samples, while essential elements, especially Cu and Zn, showed higher levels. Overall, no clear relationships between element levels and SWI exposure were observed, whereas associations with other environmental and lifestyle factors were found, including local food consumption, smoking and occupation. CONCLUSIONS: The low pollutant concentrations measured in SWI emissions could explain the absence of clear patterns in toenail levels across SWI exposure levels. The associations observed with other factors suggest that, at least in this specific population, other environmental exposures and personal behaviors could act as more important predictors of trace element uptake.

A systematic review on biomonitoring of individuals living near or working at solid waste incinerator plants.

Background: Solid waste incinerators (SWI) emit several pollutants among which polychlorodibenzodioxins and furans (PCDD/Fs), polychlorobiphenyls, metals, monocyclic and polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs).Aim of the study: To present a systematic review of peer-reviewed literature on human biological monitoring of exposure and effect following potential exposure to SWI pollutants to bring together evidences and to highlight strengths and deficiencies of the studies conducted so far.Methods: Relevant studies on biomonitoring of individuals living near or working at SWIs were selected through three steps: (1) a literature search in the Medline, CAplus, and Embase database; (2) the retrieved abstracts were screened by four independent reviewers; (3) the full text of the relevant papers was read, papers were pooled in studies, and then analyzed to highlight strengths and weaknesses. Studies with the strongest epidemiological design and/or the largest sample size were identified as reference studies.Results: One hundred and thirty-two papers, pooled in 82 studies, were included in the review: 67 on general population, 52 on SWI workers, and 14 on both groups. The most frequently investigated biomarkers were PCDD/Fs in plasma (87). Several studies presented limitations, such as a small samples size, scarce information on confounders, and a poor statistical analysis. Some earlier studies showed an increase of PCDD/Fs, lead, and PAHs in individuals (mainly workers) exposed to emissions from old SWIs; studies from the year 2000 showed no increase of biomarkers or biomarkers within the range of the general population; decreasing trends were observed in prospective studies.Conclusions: Most studies presented methodological pitfalls; reference studies showed no or a limited evidence of the impact of SWI on exposure and effect biomarkers.

ETS Exposure and PAH Body Burden in Nonsmoking Italian Adults.

Active smoking is associated with increased body burden of polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs); the aim of this study was to assess whether environmental tobacco smoking (ETS) increases the internal dose of PAHs. In 344 nonsmoking Italian adults, out of 497 individuals selected as representative of the population of the town of Modena, ETS exposure was evaluated by a self-administered questionnaire and by the measurement of urinary cotinine (COT-U). PAH exposure was assessed by the measurement of urinary 1-hydroxypyrene (1-OHPYR) and of ten urinary PAHs. In all subjects, median (5th⁻95th percentile) COT-U was 0.47 (.

Human biomonitoring of polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbonsand metals in the general population residing near the municipal solid waste incinerator of Modena, Italy.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: A cross-sectional biomonitoring study was carried out to investigate exposure to incinerator emission in relation to the body burden of selected biomarkers in the population living around the plant. METHODS: Approximately 500 people, aged 18-69 yrs, living within 4 km from the incinerator were randomly selected form the population register. Exposure was measured through fall-out maps of particulate matter (PM), used as tracer for incinerator emissions. Ten metabolized polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs), from naphthalene to chrysene, 1-hydroxypyrene and twelve metals (Cd, Cr, Cu, Hg, Ni, Pb, Ni, Zn, V, Tl, As, Sn) were measured in spot urine samples. Confounders, such as diet, smoking, traffic, occupation and personal characteristics were assessed by questionnaires and objective measurements, and included into multivariate linear regression models. RESULTS: Metal concentrations in urine were in line with or higher than Italian reference limits, besides Cr and V with more than twofold concentrations. Metal levels did not show clear association to exposure categories. Most abundant PAHs were naphthalene (median 26.2 ng/L) and phenanthrene (7.4 ng/L). All PAHs, but benz[a]anthracene and 1-hydroxypyrene, were found in more than 52% of samples, and included in regression models. Significant associations between urinary PAHs and exposure were found, strong for fluorene, and weaker for naphthalene, fluoranthene and pyrene. Results were confirmed by sensitivity analyses. Correlation with variables reported in literature were observed. CONCLUSIONS: The study indicates that the emissions were very low and highlights that specific urinary PAHs provided useful information about the internal dose arising from incinerator emission.

Determinants of active and environmental exposure to tobacco smoke and upper reference value of urinary cotinine in not exposed individuals.

The aims of this study were (1) to explore the behavioral and sociodemographic factors influencing urinary cotinine (COT-U) levels in active smokers and in environmental tobacco smoke (ETS)-exposed individuals, (2) to assess the specificity and sensitivity of the questionnaire for identifying active smokers and nonsmokers, and (3) to derive the upper reference value of COT-U in non-ETS exposed individuals. The COT-U levels of 495 adults (age range 18-69 years) who classified themselves as active smokers (29%) or as nonsmokers with (17%) or without (83%) ETS exposure were quantified by LC-MS-MS (quantification limit: 0.1µg/L, range of linearity: 0.1-4000µg/L). Median COT-U levels in these groups were 883, 1.38, and 0.39µg/L, respectively. Significant determinants of COT-U levels in active smokers were the number of cigarettes per day, type of smoking product, smoking environment, as well as time between the last cigarette and urine collection. Among ETS-exposed nonsmokers, significant determinants were living with smokers, being exposed to smoke at home, ETS exposure duration, as well as time between the last exposure and urine collection. When a 30-µg/L COT-U cut-off value was used to identify active daily smoking, the sensitivity and specificity of the questionnaire were 94% and 98%, respectively. For ETS exposure, the COT-U value of 1.78 (0.90 confidence interval 1.75-1.78) µg/L, corresponding to the 95th percentiles of the COT-U distribution in non-ETS-exposed participants, is proposed as upper reference value to identify environmental exposure.

Biomonitoring of the general population living near a modern solid waste incinerator: a pilot study in Modena, Italy.

BACKGROUND AND GOALS: As part of the authorization process for the solid waste incinerator (SWI) in Modena, Italy, a human biomonitoring cross-sectional pilot study was conducted to investigate the degree to which people living and working in the proximity of the plant were exposed to SWI emissions. METHODS: Between May and June 2010, 65 subjects living and working within 4km of the incinerator (exposed) and 103 subjects living and working outside this area (unexposed) were enrolled in the study. Blood, serum and urinary metals (Pb, Cd, Cu, Zn, Hg, Mn, Ni), urinary benzene, toluene, xylene (BTEX), S-phenylmercapturic acid (SPMA), and urinary polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) were analysed. Information about lifestyle, anthropometric characteristics, residence, and health status was collected by a self-administered questionnaire. Exposure to particulate matter (PM) emitted from the SWI was estimated using fall-out maps from a quasi-Gaussian dispersion model. A multiple linear regression analysis investigated the relationship between biomarkers and the distance of a subject's place of residence from the SWI plant or the exposure to PM. RESULTS: Urinary BTEX and SPMA and blood, serum and urinary metals showed no differences between exposed and unexposed subjects. PAHs were higher in exposed than in unexposed subjects for phenanthrene, anthracene, and pyrene (median levels: 9.5 vs. 7.2ng/L, 0.8 vs. <0.5ng/L and 1.6 vs. 1.3ng/L, respectively, p<0.05). Multiple linear regression analysis showed that blood Cd and Hg and urinary Mn, fluorene, phenanthrene, anthracene and pyrene were inversely correlated to the distance of a subject's residence from the SWI. Urinary Mn, fluorene and phenanthrene were directly correlated to PM exposure. CONCLUSIONS: This study, although not representative of the general population, suggests that specific biomarkers may provide information about the degree of exposure the subjects working and living in the proximity of the SWI plant may have to emissions from that facility.

Assessing paediatric asthma occurrence through dispensed prescription data and questionnaires.

BACKGROUND: The prevalence of asthma, a common disorder in childhood, is often estimated by cross-sectional studies based on questionnaires, with the drawback that estimates are limited to certain age groups and areas. The use of electronic health data is increasingly allowing researchers to overcome these limitations. This study is aimed at assessing asthma occurrence of a school-aged population in Northeast Italy using two different data sources. METHODS: In 2004, a population-based survey using a standardized questionnaire was conducted to estimate asthma occurrence among a resident population of children aged 6-7 years and adolescents aged 13 years. A selection of dispensed asthma medications was extracted from electronic databases for a 4-year period prior to questionnaire completion (2000-03). Asthma prevalence was estimated by commonly used questionnaire classifications and compared with use of inhaled bronchodilators (alone or in combination) in various time periods. Correlations between the two approaches were calculated. RESULTS: A total of 10 252 subjects were eligible for analysis (85% of the resident population). A total of 4747 subjects (38% of the resident population) were registered in the drug database during 2000-03. Asthma prevalence was higher in males and in children. Congruence between the two enquiry methods varied according to criteria applied and improved with the protraction of the observation period. CONCLUSION: A longer period for the capture of medication data yielded higher congruence. A degree of mismatch was observed between the two methods most likely related to factors of drug use and questionnaire reliability. Nonetheless, the benefits of using easily accessible population data prevail, and further studies are warranted.

Trihalomethanes, chlorite, chlorate in drinking water and risk of congenital anomalies: a population-based case-control study in Northern Italy.

BACKGROUND: Epidemiological evidence of an association between disinfection by-products (DBPs) exposure via drinking water and reproductive outcomes is still inconclusive. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to investigate the association between trihalomethanes (THMs), chlorite and chlorate exposure and congenital anomalies. METHODS: A case-control study was carried out in Emilia-Romagna Region (Italy). Data on 1917 different congenital anomalies (neural tube, cardiac, diaphragm and abdominal wall, oesophagus, cleft lip and palate, respiratory, urinary tract and chromosomal anomalies) observed in the period 2002-2005 were extracted from the Regional Malformation Registry. Four controls (newborns without anomalies) were randomly selected form the Regional Birth Register and frequency matched to cases according to pregnancy period. The network supplying water during the first trimester of pregnancy was identified on the basis of mother's address: DBPs data, technical and structural information were linked to each subject. RESULTS: Overall, THMs exposure was very low (mean: 3.8±3.6 µg/l), and no risk excess was observed. Chlorite and chlorate values were fairly high (mean: 427±184 µg/l and 283±79 µg/l, respectively). Women exposed to chlorite level >700 µg/l were at higher risk of newborns with renal defects (OR: 3.30; 95% IC: 1.35-8.09), abdominal wall defects (OR: 6.88; 95% IC: 1.67-28.33) and cleft palate (OR: 4.1; 95% IC: 0.98-16.8); women exposed to chlorate level >200 µg/l were at higher risk of newborns with obstructive urinary defects (OR: 2.88; 95% IC: 1.09-7.63), cleft palate (OR: 9.60; 95% IC:1.04-88.9) and spina bifida (OR: 4.94; 95% IC:1.10-22). CONCLUSIONS: This was the first study showing an excess risk of different congenital anomalies related to chlorite and chlorate exposure via drinking water: further research is needed to confirm the observed relationships in large datasets, specifically for chlorate, an unregulated DBP.