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BACKGROUND: Mycophenolic acid is widely used to treat lupus nephritis (LN). However, it exhibits complex pharmacokinetics with large interindividual variability. This study aimed to develop a population pharmacokinetic (popPK) model and a 3-sample limited sampling strategy (LSS) to optimize therapeutic drug monitoring in Indian patients with LN. METHODS: Five blood samples from each LN patient treated with mycophenolic acid were collected at steady-state predose and 1, 2, 4, and 6 hours postdose. Demographic parameters were tested as covariates to explain interindividual variability. PopPK analysis was performed using Monolix and the stochastic approximation expectation-maximization algorithm. An LSS was derived from 500 simulated pharmacokinetic (PK) profiles using maximum a posteriori Bayesian estimation to estimate individual PK parameters and area under the curve (AUC). The LSS-calculated AUC was compared with the AUC calculated using the trapezoidal rule and all the simulated samples. RESULTS: A total of 51 patients were included in this study. Based on the 245 mycophenolic acid concentrations, a 1-compartmental model with double absorption using gamma distributions best fitted the data. None of the covariates improved the model significantly. The model was internally validated using diagnostic plots, prediction-corrected visual predictive checks, and bootstrapping. The best LSS included samples at 1, 2, and 4 hours postdose and exhibited good performances in an external dataset (root mean squared error, 21.9%; mean bias, -4.20%). CONCLUSIONS: The popPK model developed in this study adequately estimated the PK of mycophenolic acid in adult Indian patients with LN. This simple LSS can optimize TDM based on the AUC in routine practice.
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Introduction: Rituximab is a first-line treatment for membranous nephropathy. Nephrotic syndrome limits rituximab exposure due to urinary drug loss. Rituximab underdosing (serum level <2 µg/ml at month-3) is a risk factor for treatment failure. We developed a machine learning algorithm to predict the risk of underdosing based on patients' characteristics at rituximab infusion. We investigated the relationship between the predicted risk of underdosing and the cumulative dose of rituximab required to achieve remission. Methods: Rituximab concentrations were measured at month-3 in 92 sera from adult patients with primary membranous nephropathy, split into a training (75%) and a testing set (25%). A forward-backward machine-learning procedure determined the best combination of variables to predict rituximab underdosing in the training data set, which was tested in the test set. The performances were evaluated for accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity in 10-fold cross-validation training and test sets. Results: The best variables combination to predict rituximab underdosing included age, gender, body surface area (BSA), anti-phospholipase A2 receptor type 1 (anti-PLA2R1) antibody titer on day-0, serum albumin on day-0 and day-15, and serum creatinine on day-0 and day-15. The accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity were respectively 79.4%, 78.7%, and 81.0% (training data set), and 79.2%, 84.6% and 72.7% (testing data set). In both sets, the algorithm performed significantly better than chance (P < 0.05). Patients with an initial high probability of underdosing experienced a longer time to remission with higher rituximab cumulative doses required to achieved remission. Conclusion: This algorithm could allow for early intensification of rituximab regimen in patients at high estimated risk of underdosing to increase the likelihood of remission.
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INTRODUCTION: Mycophenolic acid (MPA), the active metabolite of mycophenolate mofetil (MMF), is widely used in the treatment of systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). It has been shown that its therapeutic drug monitoring based on the area under the curve (AUC) improves treatment efficacy. MPA exhibits a complex bimodal absorption, and a double gamma distribution model has been already proposed in the past to accurately describe this phenomenon. These previous population pharmacokinetics models (POPPK) have been developed using iterative two stage Bayesian (IT2B) or non-parametric adaptive grid (NPAG) methods. However, non-linear mixed effect (NLME) approaches based on stochastic approximation expectation-maximization (SAEM) algorithms have never been published so far for this particular model. The objectives of this study were (i) to implement the double absorption gamma model in Monolix, (ii) to compare different absorption models to describe the pharmacokinetics of MMF, and (iii) to develop a limited sampling strategy (LSS) to estimate AUC in pediatric SLE patients. MATERIAL AND METHODS: A data splitting of full pharmacokinetic profiles sampled in 67 children extracted either from the expert system ISBA (n = 34) or the hospital Saint Louis (n = 33) was performed into train (75%) and test (25%) sets. A POPPK was developed for MPA in the train set using a NLME and the SAEM algorithm and different absorption models were implemented and compared (first order, transit, or simple and double gamma). The best limited sampling strategy was then determined in the test set using a maximum-a-posteriori Bayesian method to estimate individual PK parameters and AUC based on three blood samples compared to the reference AUC calculated using the trapezoidal rule applied on all samples and performances were assessed in the test set. RESULTS: Mean patient age and dose was 13 years old (5-18) and 18.1 mg/kg (7.9-47.6), respectively. MPA concentrations (764) from 107 occasions were included in the analysis. A double gamma absorption with a first-order elimination from the central compartment best fitted the data. The optimal LSS with samples at 30 min, 2 h, and 3 h post-dose exhibited good performances in the test set (mean bias - 0.32% and RMSE 21.0%). CONCLUSION: The POPPK developed in this study adequately estimated the MPA AUC in pediatric patients with SLE based on three samples. The double absorption gamma model developed with the SAEM algorithm showed very accurate fit and reduced computation time.
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Lupus Eritematoso Sistémico , Ácido Micofenólico , Humanos , Niño , Adolescente , Inmunosupresores/farmacocinética , Teorema de Bayes , Lupus Eritematoso Sistémico/tratamiento farmacológico , Área Bajo la Curva , Convulsiones/tratamiento farmacológico , AlgoritmosRESUMEN
Therapeutic strategies are shifting from a "one-size-fits-all" population-based approach to a stratified approach targeting groups with similar characteristics, or even individuals, tailoring treatments to the unique characteristics of each patient. Since such strategies rely on increasingly complex knowledge and healthcare technologies, along with an understanding of the tools of precision medicine, the appropriate dissemination and use of these strategies involves a number of challenges for the medical community. Having evaluation methodologies that have been jointly designed with the institutional, industrial, academic stakeholders, and also patients, like streamlining the processes and externally validating performances, could enhance the relevance of the "evaluation" aspect of precision medicine. Creating a network of expert precision-medicine centers and ensuring that precision-medicine procedures are reimbursed by social security would guarantee fair and sustainable access. Finally, training healthcare professionals, creating interfaces between precision-medicine expert centers and primary care professionals as well as patients, and integrating individual patient data into medical records are all key drivers that will enable information from precision-medicine to be made available and guarantee the proper use of these approaches.
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Atención a la Salud , Medicina de Precisión , Humanos , PacientesRESUMEN
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: In silico methods are gaining attention for predicting drug-induced Torsade de Pointes (TdP) in different stages of drug development. However, many computational models tended not to account for inter-individual response variability due to demographic covariates, such as sex, or physiologic covariates, such as renal function, which may be crucial when predicting TdP. This study aims to compare the effects of drugs in male and female populations with normal and impaired renal function using in silico methods. METHODS: Pharmacokinetic models considering sex and renal function as covariates were implemented from data published in pharmacokinetic studies. Drug effects were simulated using an electrophysiologically calibrated population of cellular models of 300 males and 300 females. The population of models was built by modifying the endocardial action potential model published by O'Hara et al. (2011) according to the experimentally measured gene expression levels of 12 ion channels. RESULTS: Fifteen pharmacokinetic models for CiPA drugs were implemented and validated in this study. Eight pharmacokinetic models included the effect of renal function and four the effect of sex. The mean difference in action potential duration (APD) between male and female populations was 24.9 ms (p<0.05). Our simulations indicated that women with impaired renal function were particularly susceptible to drug-induced arrhythmias, whereas healthy men were less prone to TdP. Differences between patient groups were more pronounced for high TdP-risk drugs. The proposed in silico tool also revealed that individuals with impaired renal function, electrophysiologically simulated with hyperkalemia (extracellular potassium concentration [K+]o = 7 mM) exhibited less pronounced APD prolongation than individuals with normal potassium levels. The pharmacokinetic/electrophysiological framework was used to determine the maximum safe dose of dofetilide in different patient groups. As a proof of concept, 3D simulations were also run for dofetilide obtaining QT prolongation in accordance with previously reported clinical values. CONCLUSIONS: This study presents a novel methodology that combines pharmacokinetic and electrophysiological models to incorporate the effects of sex and renal function into in silico drug simulations and highlights their impact on TdP-risk assessment. Furthermore, it may also help inform maximum dose regimens that ensure TdP-related safety in a specific sub-population of patients.
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Arritmias Cardíacas , Torsades de Pointes , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Sulfonamidas/efectos adversos , Torsades de Pointes/inducido químicamente , Potasio/efectos adversos , Proteínas de Unión al ADNRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Therapeutic drug monitoring and treatment optimization of clozapine are recommended, owing to its narrow therapeutic range and pharmacokinetic (PK) variability. This study aims to assess the clinical applicability of published population PK models by testing their predictive performance in an external data set and to determine the effectiveness of Bayesian forecasting (BF) for clozapine treatment optimization. METHODS: Available models of clozapine were identified, and their predictive performance was determined using an external data set (53 patients, 151 samples). The median prediction error (PE) and median absolute PE were used to assess bias and inaccuracy. The potential factors influencing model predictability were also investigated. The final concentration was reestimated for all patients using covariates or previously observed concentrations. RESULTS: The 7 included models presented limited predictive performance. Only 1 model met the acceptability criteria (median PE ≤ ±20% and median absolute PE ≤30%). There was no difference between the data used for building the models (therapeutic drug monitoring or PK study) or the number of compartments in the models. A tendency for higher inaccuracy at low concentrations during treatment initiation was observed. Heterogeneities were observed in the predictive performances between the subpopulations, especially in terms of smoking status and sex. For the models included, BF significantly improved their predictive performance. CONCLUSIONS: Our study showed that upon external evaluation, clozapine models provide limited predictive performance, especially in subpopulations such as nonsmokers. From the perspective of model-informed prediction dosing, model predictability should be improved using updating or metamodeling methods. Moreover, BF substantially improved model predictability and could be used for clozapine treatment optimization.
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Clozapina , Esquizofrenia , Teorema de Bayes , Clozapina/farmacocinética , Clozapina/uso terapéutico , Monitoreo de Drogas/métodos , Humanos , Modelos Biológicos , Esquizofrenia/tratamiento farmacológicoRESUMEN
Although France has numerous assets in the realm of health care, such as the excellence of its research teams, the reputation of its healthcare system, and the presence of many startups, all of which are necessary to become a leader in innovation, it also has combined cultural and regulatory barriers that limit the flexibility and efficiency of interactions between companies/startups and public health institutions. Therefore, the aim of the roundtable discussion was to optimize the interface between those businesses and institutions. Several institutions have successfully implemented teams and procedures which aim to facilitate this interface, with regard to assessments of technology, services provided, the transfer of biological material, R&D collaboration, and licensing agreements. However, there is still a notable absence of entrepreneurial culture among hospital and academic research practitioners; their training regarding innovation remains insufficient and business-related value-creation is non-existent in their career evolution. Pharmaceutical companies, and particularly startups, often lack knowledge about hospital environments and their constraints. As a result, the recommendations of the roundtable participants are as follows: (1) promote reciprocal acculturation between public health institutions and startups through multidisciplinary training in innovation, promoting project development and staff recognition within the institution, and improving pharmaceutical companies' understanding regarding the health care system; (2) provide those involved with means and resources dedicated to innovation by reserving time for innovation at work, securing the status of the staff involved, and aiding in the search for funding; (3) develop and use standard methodologies and tools; and (4) co-design and co-construct innovative health solutions, encouraging the emergence of participatory and interdisciplinary creative spaces. All of these recommendations should help to make the interface between startups/companies and public health institutions more fluid and attractive for those in the health sector.