Characterizing brain tau and cognitive decline along the amyloid timeline in Alzheimer's disease.

Recent longitudinal PET imaging studies have established methods to estimate the age at which amyloid becomes abnormal at the level of the individual. Here we recontextualized amyloid levels into the temporal domain to better understand the downstream Alzheimer's disease processes of tau neurofibrillary tangle (NFT) accumulation and cognitive decline. This cohort study included a total of 601 individuals from the Wisconsin Registry for Alzheimer's Prevention and Wisconsin Alzheimer's Disease Research Center that underwent amyloid and tau PET, longitudinal neuropsychological assessments, and met clinical criteria for three clinical diagnosis groups: cognitively unimpaired (CU; n=537); mild cognitive impairment (MCI; n=48); or dementia (n=16)). Cortical 11C-Pittsburgh compound B (PiB) distribution volume ratio (DVR) and sampled iterative local approximation were used to estimate amyloid positive (A+; global PiB DVR>1.16 equivalent to 17.1 Centiloids) onset age and years of A+ duration at tau PET (i.e., amyloid chronicity). Tau PET burden was quantified using 18F-MK-6240 standardized uptake value ratios (SUVRs; 70-90 min, inferior cerebellar gray matter reference region). Whole-brain and region-specific approaches were used to examine tau PET binding along the amyloid timeline and across the Alzheimer's disease clinical continuum. Voxel-wise 18F-MK-6240 analyses revealed that with each decade of A+, the spatial extent of measurable tau spread (i.e., progressed) from regions associated with early to late NFT tau stages. Regional analyses indicated that tau burden in the entorhinal cortex was detectable, on average, within ten years of A+ onset. Additionally, the entorhinal cortex was the region most sensitive to early amyloid pathology and clinical impairment in this predominantly preclinical sample. Among initially CU (n=472) individuals with longitudinal cognitive follow-up, mixed effects models showed significant linear and non-linear interactions of A+ duration and entorhinal tau on cognitive decline, suggesting a synergistic effect whereby greater A+ duration together with a higher entorhinal tau burden increases the likelihood of cognitive decline beyond their separable effects. Overall, the amyloid time framework enabled a spatiotemporal characterization of tau deposition patterns across the Alzheimer's disease continuum. This approach, which examined cross-sectional tau PET data along the amyloid timeline to make longitudinal disease-course inferences, demonstrated that A+ duration explains a considerable amount of variability in the magnitude and topography of tau spread, which largely recapitulated NFT staging observed in human neuropathological studies. By anchoring disease progression to the onset of amyloid, this study provides a temporal disease context which may help inform disease prognosis and timing windows for anti-amyloid therapies.

CSF Biomarkers in Longitudinal Alzheimer Disease Cohorts: Pre-Analytic Challenges.

BACKGROUND: The sensitivity of amyloid to pre-analytic factors complicates cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) diagnostics for Alzheimer disease. We report reliability and validity evidence for automated immunoassays from frozen and fresh CSF samples in an ongoing, single-site research program. METHODS: CSF samples were obtained from 2 Wisconsin cohorts (1256 measurements; 727 participants). Levels of amyloid beta 1-42 (Aß42), phosphorylated tau 181 (pTau181), and total tau (tTau) were obtained using an Elecsys cobas e 601 platform. Repeatability and fixed effects of storage tube type, extraction method, and freezing were assessed via mixed models. Concordance with amyloid positron emission tomography (PET) was investigated with 238 participants having a temporally proximal PET scan. RESULTS: Repeatability was high with intraclass correlation (ICC) ≥0.9, but tube type strongly affected measurements. Discriminative accuracy for PET amyloid positivity was strong across tube types (area under the curve [AUC]: Aß42, 0.87; pTau181Aß42 , 0.96), although optimal thresholds differed. CONCLUSIONS: Under real-world conditions, the Elecsys platform had high repeatability. However, strong effects of pre-analytic factors suggest caution in drawing longitudinal inferences.

Longitudinal normative standards for cognitive tests and composites using harmonized data from two Wisconsin AD-risk-enriched cohorts.

INTRODUCTION: Published norms are typically cross-sectional and often are not sensitive to preclinical cognitive changes due to dementia. We developed and validated demographically adjusted cross-sectional and longitudinal normative standards using harmonized outcomes from two Alzheimer's disease (AD) risk-enriched cohorts. METHODS: Data from the Wisconsin Registry for Alzheimer's Prevention and the Wisconsin Alzheimer's Disease Research Center were combined. Quantile regression was used to develop unconditional (cross-sectional) and conditional (longitudinal) normative standards for 18 outcomes using data from cognitively unimpaired participants (N = 1390; mean follow-up = 9.25 years). Validity analyses (N = 2456) examined relationships between percentile scores (centiles), consensus-based cognitive statuses, and AD biomarker levels. RESULTS: Unconditional and conditional centiles were lower in those with consensus-based impairment or biomarker positivity. Similarly, quantitative biomarker levels were higher in those whose centiles suggested decline. DISCUSSION: This study presents normative standards for cognitive measures sensitive to pre-clinical changes. Future directions will investigate potential clinical applications of longitudinal normative standards. HIGHLIGHTS: Quantile regression was used to construct longitudinal norms for cognitive tests. Poorer percentile scores were related to concurrent diagnosis and Alzheimer's disease biomarkers. A ShinyApp was built to display test scores and norms and flag low performance.

A comparison of story-recall metrics to predict hippocampal volume in older adults with and without cognitive impairment.

Objective: Process-based scores of episodic memory tests, such as the recency ratio (Rr), have been found to compare favourably to, or to be better than, most conventional or "traditional" scores employed to estimate memory ability in older individuals (Bock et al., 2021; Bruno et al., 2019). We explored the relationship between process-based scores and hippocampal volume in older adults, while comparing process-based to traditional story recall-derived scores, to examine potential differences in their predictive abilities. Methods: We analysed data from 355 participants extracted from the WRAP and WADRC databases, who were classified as cognitively unimpaired, or exhibited mild cognitive impairment (MCI) or dementia. Story Recall was measured with the Logical Memory Test (LMT) from the Weschler Memory Scale Revised, collected within twelve months of the magnetic resonance imaging scan. Linear regression analyses were conducted with left or right hippocampal volume (HV) as outcomes separately, and with Rr, Total ratio, Immediate LMT, or Delayed LMT scores as predictors, along with covariates. Results: Higher Rr and Tr scores significantly predicted lower left and right HV, while Tr showed the best model fit of all, as indicated by AIC. Traditional scores, Immediate LMT and Delayed LMT, were significantly associated with left and right HV, but were outperformed by both process-based scores for left HV, and by Tr for right HV. Conclusions: Current findings show the direct relationship between hippocampal volume and all the LMT scores examined here, and that process-based scores outperform traditional scores as markers of hippocampal volume.

Characterizing the emergence of amyloid and tau burden in Down syndrome.

INTRODUCTION: Almost all individuals with Down syndrome (DS) will develop neuropathological features of Alzheimer's disease (AD). Understanding AD biomarker trajectories is necessary for DS-specific clinical interventions and interpretation of drug-related changes in the disease trajectory. METHODS: A total of 177 adults with DS from the Alzheimer's Biomarker Consortium-Down Syndrome (ABC-DS) underwent positron emission tomography (PET) and MR imaging. Amyloid-beta (Aß) trajectories were modeled to provide individual-level estimates of Aß-positive (A+) chronicity, which were compared against longitudinal tau change. RESULTS: Elevated tau was observed in all NFT regions following A+ and longitudinal tau increased with respect to A+ chronicity. Tau increases in NFT regions I-III was observed 0-2.5 years following A+. Nearly all A+ individuals had tau increases in the medial temporal lobe. DISCUSSION: These findings highlight the rapid accumulation of amyloid and early onset of tau relative to amyloid in DS and provide a strategy for temporally characterizing AD neuropathology progression that is specific to the DS population and independent of chronological age. HIGHLIGHTS: Longitudinal amyloid trajectories reveal rapid Aß accumulation in Down syndrome NFT stage tau was strongly associated with A+ chronicity Early longitudinal tau increases were observed 2.5-5 years after reaching A.

Associations between recall of proper names in story recall and CSF amyloid and tau in adults without cognitive impairment.

Neuropsychological measures sensitive to decline in the preclinical phase of Alzheimer's disease are needed. We previously demonstrated that higher amyloid-beta (Aß) assessed by positron emission tomography in adults without cognitive impairment was associated with recall of fewer proper names in Logical Memory story recall. The current study investigated the association between proper names and cerebrospinal fluid biomarkers (Aß42/40, phosphorylated tau181 [pTau181], neurofilament light) in 223 participants from the Wisconsin Registry for Alzheimer's Prevention. We assessed associations between biomarkers and delayed Logical Memory total score and proper names using binary logistic regressions. Sensitivity analyses used multinomial logistic regression and stratified biomarker groups. Lower Logical Memory total score and proper names scores from the most recent visit were associated with biomarker positivity. Relatedly, there was a 27% decreased risk of being classified Aß42/40+/pTau181+ for each additional proper name recalled. A linear mixed effects model found that longitudinal change in proper names recall was predicted by biomarker status. These results demonstrate a novel relationship between proper names and Alzheimer's disease-cerebrospinal fluid pathology.

Harnessing cognitive trajectory clusterings to examine subclinical decline risk factors.

Cognitive decline in Alzheimer's disease and other dementias typically begins long before clinical impairment. Identifying people experiencing subclinical decline may facilitate earlier intervention. This study developed cognitive trajectory clusters using longitudinally based random slope and change point parameter estimates from a Preclinical Alzheimer's disease Cognitive Composite and examined how baseline and most recently available clinical/health-related characteristics, cognitive statuses and biomarkers for Alzheimer's disease and vascular disease varied across these cognitive clusters. Data were drawn from the Wisconsin Registry for Alzheimer's Prevention, a longitudinal cohort study of adults from late midlife, enriched for a parental history of Alzheimer's disease and without dementia at baseline. Participants who were cognitively unimpaired at the baseline visit with ≥3 cognitive visits were included in trajectory modelling (n = 1068). The following biomarker data were available for subsets: positron emission tomography amyloid (amyloid: n = 367; [11C]Pittsburgh compound B (PiB): global PiB distribution volume ratio); positron emission tomography tau (tau: n = 321; [18F]MK-6240: primary regions of interest meta-temporal composite); MRI neurodegeneration (neurodegeneration: n = 581; hippocampal volume and global brain atrophy); T2 fluid-attenuated inversion recovery MRI white matter ischaemic lesion volumes (vascular: white matter hyperintensities; n = 419); and plasma pTau217 (n = 165). Posterior median estimate person-level change points, slopes' pre- and post-change point and estimated outcome (intercepts) at change point for cognitive composite were extracted from Bayesian Bent-Line Regression modelling and used to characterize cognitive trajectory groups (K-means clustering). A common method was used to identify amyloid/tau/neurodegeneration/vascular biomarker thresholds. We compared demographics, last visit cognitive status, health-related factors and amyloid/tau/neurodegeneration/vascular biomarkers across the cognitive groups using ANOVA, Kruskal-Wallis, χ2, and Fisher's exact tests. Mean (standard deviation) baseline and last cognitive assessment ages were 58.4 (6.4) and 66.6 (6.6) years, respectively. Cluster analysis identified three cognitive trajectory groups representing steep, n = 77 (7.2%); intermediate, n = 446 (41.8%); and minimal, n = 545 (51.0%) cognitive decline. The steep decline group was older, had more females, APOE e4 carriers and mild cognitive impairment/dementia at last visit; it also showed worse self-reported general health-related and vascular risk factors and higher amyloid, tau, neurodegeneration and white matter hyperintensity positive proportions at last visit. Subtle cognitive decline was consistently evident in the steep decline group and was associated with generally worse health. In addition, cognitive trajectory groups differed on aetiology-informative biomarkers and risk factors, suggesting an intimate link between preclinical cognitive patterns and amyloid/tau/neurodegeneration/vascular biomarker differences in late middle-aged adults. The result explains some of the heterogeneity in cognitive performance within cognitively unimpaired late middle-aged adults.

Gut inflammation associated with age and Alzheimer's disease pathology: a human cohort study.

Age-related disease may be mediated by low levels of chronic inflammation ("inflammaging"). Recent work suggests that gut microbes can contribute to inflammation via degradation of the intestinal barrier. While aging and age-related diseases including Alzheimer's disease (AD) are linked to altered microbiome composition and higher levels of gut microbial components in systemic circulation, the role of intestinal inflammation remains unclear. To investigate whether greater gut inflammation is associated with advanced age and AD pathology, we assessed fecal samples from older adults to measure calprotectin, an established marker of intestinal inflammation which is elevated in diseases of gut barrier integrity. Multiple regression with maximum likelihood estimation and Satorra-Bentler corrections were used to test relationships between fecal calprotectin and clinical diagnosis, participant age, cerebrospinal fluid biomarkers of AD pathology, amyloid burden measured using 11C-Pittsburgh compound B positron emission tomography (PiB PET) imaging, and performance on cognitive tests measuring executive function and verbal learning and recall. Calprotectin levels were elevated in advanced age and were higher in participants diagnosed with amyloid-confirmed AD dementia. Additionally, among individuals with AD dementia, higher calprotectin was associated with greater amyloid burden as measured with PiB PET. Exploratory analyses indicated that calprotectin levels were also associated with cerebrospinal fluid markers of AD, and with lower verbal memory function even among cognitively unimpaired participants. Taken together, these findings suggest that intestinal inflammation is linked with brain pathology even in the earliest disease stages. Moreover, intestinal inflammation may exacerbate the progression toward AD.

Prevalence and Clinical Implications of a ß-Amyloid-Negative, Tau-Positive Cerebrospinal Fluid Biomarker Profile in Alzheimer Disease.

Importance: Knowledge is lacking on the prevalence and prognosis of individuals with a ß-amyloid-negative, tau-positive (A-T+) cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) biomarker profile. Objective: To estimate the prevalence of a CSF A-T+ biomarker profile and investigate its clinical implications. Design, Setting, and Participants: This was a retrospective cohort study of the cross-sectional multicenter University of Gothenburg (UGOT) cohort (November 2019-January 2021), the longitudinal multicenter Alzheimer Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) cohort (individuals with mild cognitive impairment [MCI] and no cognitive impairment; September 2005-May 2022), and 2 Wisconsin cohorts, Wisconsin Alzheimer Disease Research Center and Wisconsin Registry for Alzheimer Prevention (WISC; individuals without cognitive impairment; February 2007-November 2020). This was a multicenter study, with data collected from referral centers in clinical routine (UGOT) and research settings (ADNI and WISC). Eligible individuals had 1 lumbar puncture (all cohorts), 2 or more cognitive assessments (ADNI and WISC), and imaging (ADNI only) performed on 2 separate occasions. Data were analyzed on August 2022 to April 2023. Exposures: Baseline CSF Aß42/40 and phosphorylated tau (p-tau)181; cognitive tests (ADNI: modified preclinical Alzheimer cognitive composite [mPACC]; WISC: modified 3-test PACC [PACC-3]). Exposures in the ADNI cohort included [18F]-florbetapir amyloid positron emission tomography (PET), magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), [18F]-fluorodeoxyglucose PET (FDG-PET), and cross-sectional tau-PET (ADNI: [18F]-flortaucipir, WISC: [18F]-MK6240). Main Outcomes and Measures: Primary outcomes were the prevalence of CSF AT biomarker profiles and continuous longitudinal global cognitive outcome and imaging biomarker trajectories in A-T+ vs A-T- groups. Secondary outcomes included cross-sectional tau-PET. Results: A total of 7679 individuals (mean [SD] age, 71.0 [8.4] years; 4101 male [53%]) were included in the UGOT cohort, 970 individuals (mean [SD] age, 73 [7.0] years; 526 male [54%]) were included in the ADNI cohort, and 519 individuals (mean [SD] age, 60 [7.3] years; 346 female [67%]) were included in the WISC cohort. The prevalence of an A-T+ profile in the UGOT cohort was 4.1% (95% CI, 3.7%-4.6%), being less common than the other patterns. Longitudinally, no significant differences in rates of worsening were observed between A-T+ and A-T- profiles for cognition or imaging biomarkers. Cross-sectionally, A-T+ had similar tau-PET uptake to individuals with an A-T- biomarker profile. Conclusion and Relevance: Results suggest that the CSF A-T+ biomarker profile was found in approximately 5% of lumbar punctures and was not associated with a higher rate of cognitive decline or biomarker signs of disease progression compared with biomarker-negative individuals.

Association of Age at Menopause and Hormone Therapy Use With Tau and ß-Amyloid Positron Emission Tomography.

Importance: Postmenopausal females represent around 70% of all individuals with Alzheimer disease. Previous literature shows elevated levels of tau in cognitively unimpaired postmenopausal females compared with age-matched males, particularly in the setting of high ß-amyloid (Aß). The biological mechanisms associated with higher tau deposition in female individuals remain elusive. Objective: To examine the extent to which sex, age at menopause, and hormone therapy (HT) use are associated with regional tau at a given level of Aß, both measured with positron emission tomography (PET). Design, Setting, and Participants: This cross-sectional study included participants enrolled in the Wisconsin Registry for Alzheimer Prevention. Cognitively unimpaired males and females with at least 1 18F-MK-6240 and 11C-Pittsburgh compound B PET scan were analyzed. Data were collected between November 2006 and May 2021. Exposures: Premature menopause (menopause at younger than 40 years), early menopause (menopause at age 40-45 years), and regular menopause (menopause at older than 45 years) and HT user (current/past use) and HT nonuser (no current/past use). Exposures were self-reported. Main Outcomes and Measures: Seven tau PET regions that show sex differences across temporal, parietal, and occipital lobes. Primary analyses examined the interaction of sex, age at menopause or HT, and Aß PET on regional tau PET in a series of linear regressions. Secondary analyses investigated the influence of HT timing in association with age at menopause on regional tau PET. Results: Of 292 cognitively unimpaired individuals, there were 193 females (66.1%) and 99 males (33.9%). The mean (range) age at tau scan was 67 (49-80) years, 52 (19%) had abnormal Aß, and 106 (36.3%) were APOEε4 carriers. There were 98 female HT users (52.2%) (past/current). Female sex (standardized ß = -0.41; 95% CI, -0.97 to -0.32; P < .001), earlier age at menopause (standardized ß = -0.38; 95% CI, -0.14 to -0.09; P < .001), and HT use (standardized ß = 0.31; 95% CI, 0.40-1.20; P = .008) were associated with higher regional tau PET in individuals with elevated Aß compared with male sex, later age at menopause, and HT nonuse. Affected regions included medial and lateral regions of the temporal and occipital lobes. Late initiation of HT (>5 years following age at menopause) was associated with higher tau PET compared with early initiation (ß = 0.49; 95% CI, 0.27-0.43; P = .001). Conclusions and Relevance: In this study, females exhibited higher tau compared with age-matched males, particularly in the setting of elevated Aß. In females, earlier age at menopause and late initiation of HT were associated with increased tau vulnerability especially when neocortical Aß elevated. These observational findings suggest that subgroups of female individuals may be at higher risk of pathological burden.

Plasma phosphorylated tau 217 in preclinical Alzheimer's disease.

An accurate blood test for Alzheimer's disease that is sensitive to preclinical proteinopathy and cognitive decline has clear implications for early detection and secondary prevention. We assessed the performance of plasma phosphorylated tau 217 ( pTa u 217 ) against brain PET markers of amyloid [ [ 11 C ] -labelled Pittsburgh compound B (PiB)] and tau ( [ 18 F ] MK-6240) and its utility for predicting longitudinal cognition. Samples were analysed from a subset of participants with up to 8 years follow-up in the Wisconsin Registry for Alzheimer's Prevention (WRAP; 2001-present; plasma 2011-present), a longitudinal cohort study of adults from midlife, enriched for parental history of Alzheimer's disease. Participants were a convenience sample who volunteered for at least one PiB scan, had usable banked plasma and were cognitively unimpaired at first plasma collection. Study personnel who interacted with participants or samples were blind to amyloid status. We used mixed effects models and receiver-operator characteristic curves to assess concordance between plasma pTa u 217 and PET biomarkers of Alzheimer's disease and mixed effects models to understand the ability of plasma pTa u 217 to predict longitudinal performance on WRAP's preclinical Alzheimer's cognitive composite (PACC-3). The primary analysis included 165 people (108 women; mean age = 62.9 ± 6.06; 160 still enrolled; 2 deceased; 3 discontinued). Plasma pTa u 217 was strongly related to PET-based estimates of concurrent brain amyloid ( ß ^ = 0.83 (0.75, 0.90), P < 0.001). Concordance was high between plasma pTa u 217 and both amyloid PET (area under the curve = 0.91, specificity = 0.80, sensitivity = 0.85, positive predictive value = 0.58, negative predictive value = 0.94) and tau PET (area under the curve = 0.95, specificity = 1, sensitivity = 0.85, positive predictive value = 1, negative predictive value = 0.98). Higher baseline pTa u 217 levels were associated with worse cognitive trajectories ( ß ^ p T a u × a g e = -0.07 (-0.09, -0.06), P < 0.001). In a convenience sample of unimpaired adults, plasma pTa u 217 levels correlate well with concurrent brain Alzheimer's disease pathophysiology and with prospective cognitive performance. These data indicate that this marker can detect disease before clinical signs and thus may disambiguate presymptomatic Alzheimer's disease from normal cognitive ageing.

Associations between self-reported sleep patterns and health, cognition and amyloid measures: results from the Wisconsin Registry for Alzheimer's Prevention.

Previous studies suggest associations between self-reported sleep problems and poorer health, cognition, Alzheimer's disease pathology and dementia-related outcomes. It is important to develop a deeper understanding of the relationship between these complications and sleep disturbance, a modifiable risk factor, in late midlife, a time when Alzheimer's disease pathology may be accruing. The objectives of this study included application of unsupervised machine learning procedures to identify distinct subgroups of persons with problematic sleep and the association of these subgroups with concurrent measures of mental and physical health, cognition and PET-identified amyloid. Dementia-free participants from the Wisconsin Registry for Alzheimer's Prevention (n = 619) completed sleep questionnaires including the Insomnia Severity Index, Epworth Sleepiness Scale and Medical Outcomes Study Sleep Scale. K-means clustering analysis identified discrete sleep problem groups who were then compared across concurrent health outcomes (e.g. depression, self-rated health and insulin resistance), cognitive composite indices including episodic memory and executive function and, in a subset, Pittsburgh Compound B PET imaging to assess amyloid burden. Significant omnibus tests (P < 0.05) were followed with pairwise comparisons. Mean (SD) sample baseline sleep assessment age was 62.6 (6.7). Cluster analysis identified three groups: healthy sleepers [n = 262 (42.3%)], intermediate sleepers [n = 229 (37.0%)] and poor sleepers [n = 128 (20.7%)]. All omnibus tests comparing demographics and health measures across sleep groups were significant except for age, sex and apolipoprotein E e4 carriers; the poor sleepers group was worse than one or both of the other groups on all other measures, including measures of depression, self-reported health and memory complaints. The poor sleepers group had higher average body mass index, waist-hip ratio and homeostatic model assessment of insulin resistance. After adjusting for covariates, the poor sleepers group also performed worse on all concurrent cognitive composites except working memory. There were no differences between sleep groups on PET-based measures of amyloid. Sensitivity analyses indicated that while different clustering approaches resulted in different group assignments for some (predominantly the intermediate group), between-group patterns in outcomes were consistent. In conclusion, distinct sleep characteristics groups were identified with a sizable minority (20.7%) exhibiting poor sleep characteristics, and this group also exhibited the poorest concurrent mental and physical health and cognition, indicating substantial multi-morbidity; sleep group was not associated with amyloid PET estimates. Precision-based management of sleep and related factors may provide an opportunity for early intervention that could serve to delay or prevent clinical impairment.

The relationship of insulin resistance and diabetes to tau PET SUVR in middle-aged to older adults.

BACKGROUND: Insulin resistance (IR) and type 2 diabetes have been found to increase the risk for Alzheimer's clinical syndrome in epidemiologic studies but have not been associated with tau tangles in neuropathological research and have been inconsistently associated with cerebrospinal fluid P-tau181. IR and type 2 diabetes are well-recognized vascular risk factors. Some studies suggest that cardiovascular risk may act synergistically with cortical amyloid to increase tau measured using tau PET. Utilizing data from largely nondemented middle-aged and older adult cohorts enriched for AD risk, we investigated the association of IR and diabetes to tau PET and whether amyloid moderated those relationships. METHODS: Participants were enrolled in either the Wisconsin Registry for Alzheimer's Prevention (WRAP) or Wisconsin Alzheimer's Disease Research Center (WI-ADRC) Clinical Core. Two partially overlapping samples were studied: a sample characterized using HOMA-IR (n=280 WRAP participants) and a sample characterized on diabetic status (n=285 WRAP and n=109 WI-ADRC). IR was measured using the homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance (HOMA-IR). Tau PET employing the radioligand 18F-MK-6240 was used to detect AD-specific aggregated tau. Linear regression tested the relationship of IR and diabetic status to tau PET standardized uptake value ratio (SUVR) within the entorhinal cortex and whether relationships were moderated by amyloid assessed by amyloid PET distribution volume ratio (DVR) and amyloid PET positivity status. RESULTS: Neither HOMA-IR nor diabetic status was significantly associated with tau PET SUVR. The relationship between IR and tau PET SUVR was not moderated by amyloid PET DVR or positivity status. The association between diabetic status and tau PET SUVR was not significantly moderated by amyloid PET DVR but was significantly moderated by amyloid PET positivity status. Among the amyloid PET-positive participants, the estimated marginal tau PET SUVR mean was higher in the diabetic (n=6) relative to the nondiabetic group (n=88). CONCLUSION: Findings indicate that IR may not be related to tau in generally healthy middle-aged and older adults who are in the early stages of the AD clinicopathologic continuum but suggest the need for additional research to investigate whether a synergistic relationship between type 2 diabetes and amyloid is associated with increased tau levels.

Prediction of Longitudinal Cognitive Decline in Preclinical Alzheimer Disease Using Plasma Biomarkers.

Importance: Alzheimer disease (AD) pathology starts with a prolonged phase of ß-amyloid (Aß) accumulation without symptoms. The duration of this phase differs greatly among individuals. While this disease phase has high relevance for clinical trial designs, it is currently unclear how to best predict the onset of clinical progression. Objective: To evaluate combinations of different plasma biomarkers for predicting cognitive decline in Aß-positive cognitively unimpaired (CU) individuals. Design, Setting, and Participants: This prospective population-based prognostic study evaluated data from 2 prospective longitudinal cohort studies (the Swedish BioFINDER-1 and the Wisconsin Registry for Alzheimer Prevention [WRAP]), with data collected from February 8, 2010, to October 21, 2020, for the BioFINDER-1 cohort and from August 11, 2011, to June 27, 2021, for the WRAP cohort. Participants were CU individuals recruited from memory clinics who had brain Aß pathology defined by cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) Aß42/40 in the BioFINDER-1 study and by Pittsburgh Compound B (PiB) positron emission tomography (PET) in the WRAP study. A total of 564 eligible Aß-positive and Aß-negative CU participants with available relevant data from the BioFINDER-1 and WRAP cohorts were included in the study; of those, 171 Aß-positive participants were included in the main analyses. Exposures: Baseline P-tau181, P-tau217, P-tau231, glial fibrillary filament protein, and neurofilament light measured in plasma; CSF biomarkers in the BioFINDER-1 cohort, and PiB PET uptake in the WRAP cohort. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was longitudinal measures of cognition (using the Mini-Mental State Examination [MMSE] and the modified Preclinical Alzheimer Cognitive Composite [mPACC]) over a median of 6 years (range, 2-10 years). The secondary outcome was conversion to AD dementia. Baseline biomarkers were used in linear regression models to predict rates of longitudinal cognitive change (calculated separately). Models were adjusted for age, sex, years of education, apolipoprotein E ε4 allele status, and baseline cognition. Multivariable models were compared based on model R2 coefficients and corrected Akaike information criterion. Results: Among 171 Aß-positive CU participants included in the main analyses, 119 (mean [SD] age, 73.0 [5.4] years; 60.5% female) were from the BioFINDER-1 study, and 52 (mean [SD] age, 64.4 [4.6] years; 65.4% female) were from the WRAP study. In the BioFINDER-1 cohort, plasma P-tau217 was the best marker to predict cognitive decline in the mPACC (model R2 = 0.41) and the MMSE (model R2 = 0.34) and was superior to the covariates-only models (mPACC: R2 = 0.23; MMSE: R2 = 0.04; P < .001 for both comparisons). Results were validated in the WRAP cohort; for example, plasma P-tau217 was associated with mPACC slopes (R2 = 0.13 vs 0.01 in the covariates-only model; P = .01) and MMSE slopes (R2 = 0.29 vs 0.24 in the covariates-only model; P = .046). Sparse models were identified with plasma P-tau217 as a predictor of cognitive decline. Power calculations for enrichment in hypothetical clinical trials revealed large relative reductions in sample sizes when using plasma P-tau217 to enrich for CU individuals likely to experience cognitive decline over time. Conclusions and Relevance: In this study, plasma P-tau217 predicted cognitive decline in patients with preclinical AD. These findings suggest that plasma P-tau217 may be used as a complement to CSF or PET for participant selection in clinical trials of novel disease-modifying treatments.

Differential roles of Aß42/40, p-tau231 and p-tau217 for Alzheimer's trial selection and disease monitoring.

Blood biomarkers indicative of Alzheimer's disease (AD) pathology are altered in both preclinical and symptomatic stages of the disease. Distinctive biomarkers may be optimal for the identification of AD pathology or monitoring of disease progression. Blood biomarkers that correlate with changes in cognition and atrophy during the course of the disease could be used in clinical trials to identify successful interventions and thereby accelerate the development of efficient therapies. When disease-modifying treatments become approved for use, efficient blood-based biomarkers might also inform on treatment implementation and management in clinical practice. In the BioFINDER-1 cohort, plasma phosphorylated (p)-tau231 and amyloid-ß42/40 ratio were more changed at lower thresholds of amyloid pathology. Longitudinally, however, only p-tau217 demonstrated marked amyloid-dependent changes over 4-6 years in both preclinical and symptomatic stages of the disease, with no such changes observed in p-tau231, p-tau181, amyloid-ß42/40, glial acidic fibrillary protein or neurofilament light. Only longitudinal increases of p-tau217 were also associated with clinical deterioration and brain atrophy in preclinical AD. The selective longitudinal increase of p-tau217 and its associations with cognitive decline and atrophy was confirmed in an independent cohort (Wisconsin Registry for Alzheimer's Prevention). These findings support the differential association of plasma biomarkers with disease development and strongly highlight p-tau217 as a surrogate marker of disease progression in preclinical and prodromal AD, with impact for the development of new disease-modifying treatments.

Trajectory of clinical symptoms in relation to amyloid chronicity.

Introduction: While it is generally appreciated that amyloid precedes symptomatic Alzheimer's disease (AD) by decades, a greater understanding of this timeline may increase prognostic accuracy, planning, and care of persons who are on the AD continuum. Methods: We examined trajectories of Clinical Dementia Rating-Sum of Boxes (CDR-SB) relative to estimated years of amyloid positivity (A+) in n = 123 participants who were all A+ based on [C-11]Pittsburgh compound B positron emission tomography. Results: The average amyloid chronicity at CDR-SB of 2.5 was 20.1 years. The average trajectory of CDR-SB accelerated after 10 years of elevated amyloid and varied greatly between 10 and 30 years. Exploratory analyses suggested that older age and higher volume of white matter hyperintensities shortened the interval between amyloid onset and cognitive impairment. Discussion: The recontextualization of amyloid burden into the time domain will facilitate studies of disease progression, the influence of co-pathology, and factors that hasten or slow cognitive impairment.

Associations of the Lifestyle for Brain Health index with longitudinal cognition and brain amyloid beta in clinically unimpaired older adults: Findings from the Wisconsin Registry for Alzheimer's Prevention.

Introduction: Modifiable health and lifestyle factors increase risk of dementia, but whether modifiable factors, when measured in late-midlife, impact the emergence or progression of Alzheimer's disease (AD) pathophysiologic or cognitive changes remains unresolved. Methods: In initially cognitively unimpaired, late middle-aged participants (N = 1215; baseline age, M [standard deviation] = 59.3 [6.7] years) from the Wisconsin Registry for Alzheimer's Prevention (WRAP), we investigated the influence of the Lifestyle for Brain Health (LIBRA) index, a lifestyle-based dementia risk score, on AD-related cognitive trajectories and amyloid beta (Aß) plaque accumulation. Results: Overall, lower baseline LIBRA, denoting healthier lifestyle and lower dementia risk, was related to better overall cognitive performance, but did not moderate apolipoprotein E ε4 or Aß-related longitudinal cognitive trajectories. LIBRA was not significantly associated with Aß accumulation or estimated age of Aß onset. Discussion: In WRAP, late-midlife LIBRA scores were related to overall cognitive performance, but not AD-related cognitive decline or Aß accumulation in the preclinical timeframe. Highlights: The Lifestyle for Brain Health (LIBRA) index was associated with cognitive performance in late-midlife.LIBRA did not moderate apolipoprotein E ε4 or amyloid-related cognitive decline.LIBRA was not associated with the onset or accumulation of amyloid plaques.

Cerebrospinal Fluid Sphingomyelins in Alzheimer's Disease, Neurodegeneration, and Neuroinflammation.

BACKGROUND: Sphingomyelin (SM) levels have been associated with Alzheimer's disease (AD), but the association direction has been inconsistent and research on cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) SMs has been limited by sample size, breadth of SMs examined, and diversity of biomarkers available. OBJECTIVE: Here, we seek to build on our understanding of the role of SM metabolites in AD by studying a broad range of CSF SMs and biomarkers of AD, neurodegeneration, and neuroinflammation. METHODS: Leveraging two longitudinal AD cohorts with metabolome-wide CSF metabolomics data (n = 502), we analyzed the relationship between the levels of 12 CSF SMs, and AD diagnosis and biomarkers of pathology, neurodegeneration, and neuroinflammation using logistic, linear, and linear mixed effects models. RESULTS: No SMs were significantly associated with AD diagnosis, mild cognitive impairment, or amyloid biomarkers. Phosphorylated tau, neurofilament light, α-synuclein, neurogranin, soluble triggering receptor expressed on myeloid cells 2, and chitinase-3-like-protein 1 were each significantly, positively associated with at least 5 of the SMs. CONCLUSION: The associations between SMs and biomarkers of neurodegeneration and neuroinflammation, but not biomarkers of amyloid or diagnosis of AD, point to SMs as potential biomarkers for neurodegeneration and neuroinflammation that may not be AD-specific.

Multi-method investigation of factors influencing amyloid onset and impairment in three cohorts.

Alzheimer's disease biomarkers are becoming increasingly important for characterizing the longitudinal course of disease, predicting the timing of clinical and cognitive symptoms, and for recruitment and treatment monitoring in clinical trials. In this work, we develop and evaluate three methods for modelling the longitudinal course of amyloid accumulation in three cohorts using amyloid PET imaging. We then use these novel approaches to investigate factors that influence the timing of amyloid onset and the timing from amyloid onset to impairment onset in the Alzheimer's disease continuum. Data were acquired from the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI), the Baltimore Longitudinal Study of Aging (BLSA) and the Wisconsin Registry for Alzheimer's Prevention (WRAP). Amyloid PET was used to assess global amyloid burden. Three methods were evaluated for modelling amyloid accumulation using 10-fold cross-validation and holdout validation where applicable. Estimated amyloid onset age was compared across all three modelling methods and cohorts. Cox regression and accelerated failure time models were used to investigate whether sex, apolipoprotein E genotype and e4 carriage were associated with amyloid onset age in all cohorts. Cox regression was used to investigate whether apolipoprotein E (e4 carriage and e3e3, e3e4, e4e4 genotypes), sex or age of amyloid onset were associated with the time from amyloid onset to impairment onset (global clinical dementia rating ≥1) in a subset of 595 ADNI participants that were not impaired before amyloid onset. Model prediction and estimated amyloid onset age were similar across all three amyloid modelling methods. Sex and apolipoprotein E e4 carriage were not associated with PET-measured amyloid accumulation rates. Apolipoprotein E genotype and e4 carriage, but not sex, were associated with amyloid onset age such that e4 carriers became amyloid positive at an earlier age compared to non-carriers, and greater e4 dosage was associated with an earlier amyloid onset age. In the ADNI, e4 carriage, being female and a later amyloid onset age were all associated with a shorter time from amyloid onset to impairment onset. The risk of impairment onset due to age of amyloid onset was non-linear and accelerated for amyloid onset age >65. These findings demonstrate the feasibility of modelling longitudinal amyloid accumulation to enable individualized estimates of amyloid onset age from amyloid PET imaging. These estimates provide a more direct way to investigate the role of amyloid and other factors that influence the timing of clinical impairment in Alzheimer's disease.