Decreasing the undernotification of anaphylaxis deaths in Brazil through the International Classification of Diseases (ICD)-11 revision.

BACKGROUND: In 2012, an analysis of the Brazilian mortality database demonstrated undernotification of anaphylaxis deaths due, at least in part, to difficult coding under the International Classification of Diseases (ICD)-10. This work triggered a cascade of strategic international actions supported by the Joint Allergy Academies and the ICD World Health Organization (WHO) representatives to update the classifications of allergic disorders for the ICD-11 revision. These efforts have resulted in the construction of the new 'Allergic and hypersensitivity conditions' section under the 'Disorders of the Immune system' chapter. OBJECTIVE: To analyze the capacity of the new ICD-11 revision to capture anaphylaxis deaths. METHODS: We re-estimated the anaphylaxis deaths that occurred in Brazil during the period 2008 to 2010, utilizing this new framework and the database of the Brazilian mortality information system that had initially been extracted in May 2011. However, in 2016, a manual review of each of the 3638 records was performed. RESULTS: We identified 639 anaphylaxis deaths, of which 95% were classified as 'definitive anaphylaxis deaths'. In contrast to the 2012 published data, we found a higher number of cases; moreover, all 606 definitive anaphylaxis deaths would be considered as underlying causes of death utilizing the ICD-11 revision. CONCLUSION: This study is the first example of how the new 'Allergic and hypersensitivity conditions' section of the forthcoming ICD-11 can improve the quality of official vital statistics data and the visibility of an important public health concern. This research will facilitate comprehensive, comparable population-based epidemiologic data collection on anaphylaxis.

Appropriateness of administrative data for vaccine impact evaluation: the case of pneumonia hospitalizations and pneumococcal vaccine in Brazil.

Ten-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV10) was recently introduced into the Brazilian Immunization Programme. Secondary data are used as a measurement of community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) burden, but their completeness and reliability need to be ascertained. We performed probabilistic linkage between hospital primary data from active prospective population-based surveillance (APS) and hospital secondary data from the Hospital Information System administrative database of the National Unified Health System (SIH-SUS). Children aged 2-23 months hospitalized during January-December 2012 were identified. Incidence rates of hospitalized CAP were estimated. Agreement of case identification was measured by kappa index. A total of 1639 (26%) CAP cases were identified in APS and 1714 (35%) in SIH-SUS. Of these 3353 records, 1127 CAP cases were present in both databases. Kappa on CAP case identification was 0·72 (95% confidence interval 0·69-0·75). CAP hospitalization incidence using administrative (5285/100 000) and hospital (5054/100 000) primary data were similar (P = 0·184). Our findings suggest that administrative databases of hospitalizations are reliable sources to assess PCV10 impact in time-series analyses.

Improving hand hygiene adherence in an endoscopy unit.

BACKGROUND AND STUDY AIMS: Although hand hygiene is the most important measure in preventing infection transmission in healthcare settings, adherence to recommendations among healthcare workers is low. We implemented and assessed the impact of a World Health Organization-recommended educational intervention to improve hand hygiene adherence at the endoscopy unit of a Brazilian tertiary hospital. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Hand hygiene adherence and techniques used by healthcare workers of the endoscopy unit in the course of their duties were observed unobtrusively by four nurses from the infection control unit. Data were collected at every opportunity for hand hygiene. Evaluations were carried out before and 1 and 10 months after an educational intervention. The intervention consisted of task-orientated training sessions, with live demonstrations of the multitude of opportunities for hand hygiene and the appropriate techniques. In addition to assessing hand hygiene practices, we also evaluated staff knowledge through standardized questionnaires administered before and after the education intervention. Adherence was defined as hand hygiene/disinfection at an opportunity for hand hygiene. RESULTS: Adherence improved from 21.4 % before the intervention to 63.3 % 1 month and 73.5 % 10 months after the educational intervention. Correct answers to the questionnaire were 82.1 % on pre-intervention test and 85.7 % on post-intervention test. CONCLUSION: Hand hygiene rates were low before the education intervention and improved significantly after it. Against expectations, adherence to hand hygiene practices had increased further at 10 months after the intervention, reinforcing the intervention's positive impact.

Estimating the tuberculosis burden in resource-limited countries: a capture-recapture study in Yemen.

BACKGROUND: The lack of applicable population-based methods to measure tuberculosis (TB) incidence rates directly at country level emphasises the global need to generate robust TB surveillance data to ascertain trends in disease burden and to assess the performance of TB control programmes in the context of the United Nations Millenium Development Goals and World Health Organization targets for TB control. OBJECTIVE: To estimate the incidence of TB cases (all forms) and sputum smear-positive disease, and the level of under-reporting of TB in Yemen in 2010. METHODS: Record-linkage and three-source capture-recapture analysis of data collected through active prospective longitudinal surveillance within the public and private non-National Tuberculosis Programme sector in twelve Yemeni governorates, selected by stratified cluster random sampling. RESULTS: For all TB cases, the estimated ratio of notified to incident cases and completeness of case ascertainment after record linkage, i.e., the ratio of detected to incident cases, was respectively 71% (95%CI 64-80) and 75% (95%CI 68-85). For sputum smear-positive TB cases, these ratios were respectively 67% (95%CI 58-75) and 76% (95%CI 66-84). CONCLUSION: We estimate that there were 13 082 (95%CI 11 610-14 513) TB cases in Yemen in 2010. Under-reporting of TB in Yemen is estimated at 29% (95%CI 20-36).

Undernotification of anaphylaxis deaths in Brazil due to difficult coding under the ICD-10.

BACKGROUND: Undernotification is well recognized as a key challenge to the study of anaphylaxis mortality, but it is seldom mentioned that one of its reasons is the difficult coding of the condition under the tenth revision of the international classification of diseases (ICD-10), given that there are no anaphylaxis-specific ICD-10, which are considered valid for coding underlying causes-of-death, and that official mortality statistics consider exclusively the underlying and disregard the contributing causes-of-death data recorded on death certificates. Brazilian mortality data were used as a case study to call attention to the inadequacy of the ICD-10 for the measurement of anaphylaxis deaths. METHODS: Underlying and contributing causes-of-death data were used to estimate the rates of anaphylaxis deaths in the country over the years 2008-2010. RESULTS: Of 498 anaphylaxis deaths were found, of which 75% were classified as 'definite' and 25% as 'possible anaphylaxis deaths'. The average national rate for these years was 0.87 per million per year. None of these deaths would have been found had we exclusively considered information from the underlying cause-of-death field. CONCLUSION/RECOMMENDATIONS: The study of anaphylaxis mortality using secondary data requires the use of information derived from the underlying as well as from the contributing causes-of-death fields. Coding definitions should be standardized with a view of enabling trend analyses and international comparisons. The ICD-11 revision is a unique opportunity to improve the coding system so as to facilitate epidemiological studies of anaphylaxis mortality. Educational interventions targeted at improving the quality of death certificate completion are urgently needed.

Estimating tuberculosis case detection rate in resource-limited countries: a capture-recapture study in Egypt.

SETTING: Most countries endemic and highly endemic for tuberculosis (TB) still do not have reliable TB surveillance systems. Indirect estimation of TB incidence is needed to monitor the performance of the National Tuberculosis Programme (NTP) in the context of the World Health Organization implementation and impact targets for TB control. OBJECTIVE: To estimate the case detection rate (CDR) of all TB cases and sputum smear-positive TB cases in Egypt in 2007. METHODS: Record linkage and three-source capture-recapture analysis of data collected through active prospective longitudinal surveillance within the public and private non-NTP sector in four Egyptian governorates selected by stratified cluster random sampling. RESULTS: For all TB cases, the estimated CDR of NTP surveillance and completeness of case ascertainment after record linkage was respectively 55% (95%CI 46-68) and 62% (95%CI 52-77). For sputum smear-positive TB cases, these proportions were respectively 66% (95%CI 55-75) and 72% (95%CI 60-82). CONCLUSION: This pilot study shows that representative sampling, prospective surveillance in the non-NTP sector, record linkage and capture-recapture analysis can improve CDR estimation. For global, standardised and reliable use, this methodology should be further developed. Until then, all resource-limited countries should strengthen their national surveillance systems in the context of the Stop TB strategy.

Duplicates and misclassification of tuberculosis notification records in Brazil, 2001-2007.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the change in tuberculosis (TB) notification rates due to the removal of unwanted duplicate records from the Brazilian notification system (2001-2007, data extracted in October 2008), and therefore extending the period of investigation of the previous study using the same methodology (2000-2004, data extracted in February 2006). METHODS: Repeat records were identified using a probabilistic record linkage, classified into six mutually exclusive categories, and then kept, combined or removed from the database. RESULTS: In the TB database, 22.7% of all records belonged to patients with multiple records. When we excluded the first record of every patient in this group, 43.7% were classified as transfers, 29% as returns after default, 16.3% as relapses and 6.6% as true duplicates, while 2.9% were inconclusive and 1.5% had missing data. Removal of unwanted duplicate records reduced the notification rates of new cases by 4% to 6.3%, and increased the proportion cured by 3.4% to 4.9%. DISCUSSION: Linkage of records within the TB notification database and the implementation of procedures to distinguish between new and retreatment or transfer-in records yielded better data. Recommendations are provided on how to prevent duplicates and misclassifications in national TB databases.

The measurement and estimation of tuberculosis mortality.

Tuberculosis (TB) ranks among the 10 principal causes of death and disability worldwide, largely on the basis of mortality estimates. These estimates have been derived by a variety of methods, from a limited database. Here we review the data and methods used to measure and estimate TB mortality in adults, assess the strengths and weaknesses of each and suggest ways to improve current mortality statistics. In principle, deaths attributable to TB can be obtained directly from national vital registration (VR) systems. However, only 59 of 213 countries in 2005 (including three in the World Health Organization Africa Region and one in the South-East Asia Region) had VR systems that reported TB deaths, corresponding to just 10% of all estimated deaths attributable to TB. Until comprehensive, national VR systems are established, an interim solution is to carry out verbal autopsies within sample VR schemes. The number of TB deaths from VR should ultimately converge with deaths recorded in national TB control programmes. At present, deaths in treatment cohorts cover a small subset of all estimated TB deaths (<13% in 2006), as deaths are missed among patients who are never diagnosed, who default or fail treatment, and among patients with untreated recurrent TB or TB sequelae. In contrast, some deaths recorded during treatment are not due to TB. To ensure convergence between cohort monitoring and VR, definitions of causes of death--including TB as an associate cause in deaths from human immunodeficiency virus/acquired immune-deficiency syndrome--should be standardised, so that both systems adhere to the International Classification of Diseases.

Factors associated with deaths among pulmonary tuberculosis patients: a case-control study with secondary data.

BACKGROUND: Tuberculosis remains an important public health problem in Brazil where over 100 000 new cases and 6000 deaths are reported every year. Current drug efficacy and wide availability should have curbed this toll. The goal was to study the factors associated with death in incident cases of pulmonary tuberculosis (PT) during treatment. METHODS: This is a case-control study including all new cases of PT reported between 2000 and 2004; cases were patients who died of any cause and controls were those cured after initial PT treatment. Data analyses included unconditional multiple hierarchical logistic regression. RESULTS: A total of 313 502 new cases of tuberculosis were reported between 2000 and 2004; 224 355 (71.6%) were cured after initial treatment and 20 721 (6.6%) died during the surveillance follow-up. Over 82% of all cases were diagnosed with PT. After controlling for significant variables, the factors associated with a higher risk of death included gender (males: odds ratio (OR) 1.4; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.33 to 1.47), age (<5 years of age: OR 1.90; 95% CI 1.51 to 2.38; 30-59 years: OR 2.78; 95% CI 2.61 to 2.97; over 60 years: OR 10.92; 95% CI 10.09 to 11.81), positive HIV serology (OR 10.59; 95% CI 9.76 to 11.48), alcoholism (OR 1.49; 95% CI 1.36 to 1.65), mental disorder (OR 1.80; 95% CI 1.43 to 2.27) and presence of additional lung pathology on chest x ray (OR 2.22; 95% CI 1.83 to 2.70). Protective variables included education (highest level: OR 0.67; 95% CI 0.63 to 0.70). CONCLUSIONS: Preventive interventions should target the most vulnerable patients, in particular the very young and the elderly, those infected with HIV and those presenting with a mental disorder or additional lung pathology.

Measuring tuberculosis burden, trends, and the impact of control programmes.

The targets for tuberculosis control, framed within the United Nations' Millennium Development Goals, are to ensure that the incidence per head of tuberculosis is falling by 2015, and that the 1990 prevalence and mortality per head are halved by 2015. In monitoring progress in tuberculosis control, the ultimate aim for all countries is to count tuberculosis cases (incidence) accurately through routine surveillance. Disease prevalence surveys are costly and laborious, but give unbiased measures of tuberculosis burden and trends, and are justified in high-burden countries where many cases and deaths are missed by surveillance systems. Most countries in which tuberculosis is highly endemic do not yet have reliable death registration systems. Verbal autopsy, used in cause-of-death surveys, is an alternative, interim method of assessing tuberculosis mortality, but needs further validation. Although several new assays for Mycobacterium tuberculosis infection have recently been devised, the tuberculin skin test remains the only practical method of measuring infection in populations. However, this test typically has low specificity and is therefore best used comparatively to assess geographical and temporal variation in risk of infection. By 2015, every country should be able to assess progress in tuberculosis control by estimating the time trend in incidence, and the magnitude of reductions in either prevalence or deaths.

A comparison of dual skin test with mycobacterial antigens and tuberculin skin test alone in estimating prevalence of Mycobacterium tuberculosis infection from population surveys.

SETTING: City of Manaus, Amazonas, Brazil. OBJECTIVE: To compare estimates of Mycobacterium tuberculosis infection prevalence obtained using traditional tuberculin skin test (TST) criteria and dual skin test (DST) data. METHODS: A total of 1070 schoolchildren received DST with tuberculin and four environmental mycobacteria sensitins. Responses were classified as sensitin-dominant, tuberculin-dominant or non-dominant. Positive predictive values (PPV) were defined using 'narrow' and 'wide' standards based on DST responses. These predictive values were derived for each category of tuberculin indurations, and were used to calculate the prevalence estimates. RESULTS: Using DST data, the estimates of M. tuberculosis prevalence for scar-negative children were 7.4% (M. avium) and 7.8% (M. scrofulaceum) using the 'narrow' standard, and 16.9% (M. avium) and 15.2% (M. scrofulaceum) using the 'wide' standard. The percentage with TST > or =10 mm was 11.5%. Scar-positive children had higher estimates using both the 10 mm cut-off and DST data. CONCLUSION: In settings with a relatively low prevalence of M. tuberculosis infection and high cross-reactivity with environmental mycobacteria, DST can help to assess the validity of traditional thresholds for estimating the prevalence of M. tuberculosis infection. DST data with environmental antigens and tuberculin do not distinguish BCG-induced cross-reactivity.

Rates of adverse reactions to first and second doses of BCG vaccination: results of a large community trial in Brazilian schoolchildren.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the incidence of adverse reactions to first and second bacille Calmette-Guérin (BCG) vaccination in schoolchildren. SETTING AND DESIGN: Enhanced surveillance in a Brazilian trial. Suspected reactions were reported to a nurse who visited cases and completed a standard form. RESULTS: Among 71341 schoolchildren studied, 33 reactions were reported. Of these, 25 fulfilled the criteria, resulting in a rate of one per 2854 vaccinations, with no deaths or BCG-osis. Reactions to second doses were more common than to first BCG vaccinations, but this difference was not statistically significant. CONCLUSIONS: Adverse reactions to a second dose of BCG may be more frequent than reactions to a first dose, but they are still rare events.

Skin test reactivity to mycobacterial antigens parallels the phylogenetic structure of their genus.

SETTING: City of Manaus, Amazonas, Brazil. OBJECTIVE: To explore the relationship between positivity to tuberculin and other environmental mycobacteria sensitins, according to a range of criteria and presence of BCG scar. DESIGN: Dual skin testing with tuberculin and four mycobacterial sensitins, and BCG scar recording of 1070 schoolchildren aged 7-14. Four criteria for positivity were used: simple and dominant, with 5 and 10 mm cut-off points. RESULTS: The standardised prevalence of reactions > or = 5 mm for BCG scar negative children was 58.3% for Mycobacterium avium, 54.2% for M. scrofulaceum, 26.8% for M. fortuitum, 17.9% for M. tuberculosis and 7.6% for M. kansasii. Correlations between tuberculin and each sensitin, for BCG scar negative children, were 0.47 for M. avium, 0.53 for M. scrofulaceum, 0.60 for M. kansasii and 0.22 for M. fortuitum (all with P < 0.01). BCG effect was particularly significant for tuberculin (odds ratio = 3.44 for reactions > or = 5 mm, P < 0.001) and influenced the balance between dominant/non-dominant reactions for all sensitins. CONCLUSION: The correlation between tuberculin and each sensitin confirmed the separation of the rapidly (M. fortuitum) and slowly growing mycobacteria (M. tuberculosis, M. avium, M. scrofulaceum and M. kansasii). The influence of BCG on tuberculin reactions was more marked than on other mycobacterial sensitins.