Interaction of Surface Type, Temperature, and Week of Season on Concussion Risk in the National Football League: A Bayesian Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Artificial turf fields and environmental conditions may influence sports concussion risk, but existing research is limited by uncontrolled confounding factors, limited sample size, and the assumption that risk factors are independent of one another. The purpose of this study was to examine how playing surface, time of season, and game temperature relate to diagnosed concussion risk in the National Football League (NFL). METHODS: This retrospective cohort study examined data from the 2012 to the 2019 NFL regular season. We fit Bayesian negative binomial regression models to relate how playing surface, game temperature, and week of the season independently related to diagnosed concussion risk and any interactions among these factors. RESULTS: We identified 1096 diagnosed concussions in 1830 games. There was a >99% probability that concussion risk was reduced on grass surface (median incidence rate ratio [IRR] = 0.78 [95% credible interval: 0.68, 0.89]), >99% probability that concussion risk was lower at higher temperatures (IRR = 0.85 [0.76,0.95] for each 7.9 °C), and >91% probability that concussion risk increased with each week of the season (IRR = 1.02 [1.00,1.04]). There was an >84% probability for a surface × temperature interaction (IRR = 1.01 [0.96, 1.28]) and >75% probability for a surface × week interaction (IRR = 1.02 [0.99, 1.05]). CONCLUSIONS: Diagnosed concussion risk is increased on artificial turf compared with natural grass, and this is exacerbated in cold weather and, independently, later in the season. The complex interplay between these factors necessitates accounting for multiple factors and their interactions when investigating sports injury risk factors and devising mitigation methods.

Impact of OSA treatment success on changes in hypertension and obesity: A retrospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: Pediatric obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) has been shown to lead to the development of chronic cardiometabolic conditions, including obesity and cardiovascular disease. We sought to describe the impact of the success of continuous positive airway pressure (CPAP) and surgery, common treatment options for pediatric OSA, on cardiometabolic conditions. METHODS: A retrospective review of patients (≤18 years) diagnosed with OSA based on a polysomnogram at a tertiary care pediatric otolaryngology practice from 2015 to 2019 was conducted. Clinical data, including the systolic blood pressure (SBP) values, body mass index (BMI), overall apnea/hypopnea index (AHI) values, and CPAP compliance, were collected. Linear mixed-effects models were developed to observe the relationship between the clinical measurements of each comorbidity and OSA treatment modalities. RESULTS: 414 patients were included. BMI and SBP measures were collected for 230 and 184 patients respectively. The difference-in-difference estimate for the SBP z-score percentile after successful treatment was -5.5 ± 2.1 percentile units per 100 days. The difference-in-difference estimate for SBP z-score percentile after successful CPAP treatment was -13.2 ± 5.1 percentile units per 100 days while the estimate after successful surgical treatment was -4.6 ± 2.4 percentile units per 100 days. No significant differences were found between clinical measures for obese patients in any treatment cohort. CONCLUSIONS: Successful OSA management was shown to have a positive impact on SBP in hypertensive patients and no impact on BMI in obese patients. In hypertensive patients, CPAP success tripled improvements in SBP z-score percentile compared to surgical treatment success.

Bad Altitude: Categorizing Elevation Produces Spurious Association With Concussions in the National Football League (NFL).

OBJECTIVE: To assess whether prior analyses, where there was a relationship between altitude and concussion rates in American football, would replicate using a larger data set and altitude as a continuous variable. DESIGN: Cohort study replication. METHODS: We analyzed data from all NFL regular season games from 2012-2019. Concussions were identified from public databases and NFL injury reports. The altitude of each stadium was identified using mapping software. Concussion rates were calculated for each stadium and plotted against continuous altitude. We calculated crude rate ratios for several categorical cut points and used logistic and Poisson regression models to assess associations with continuous altitudes. RESULTS: We identified 867 players (1103 player seasons) who sustained 1159 concussions during the time period 2012-2019. All continuous plots and models showed no evidence of any association between concussions and altitude. A Poisson model found an IRR of 1.00 (95% CI, 0.99-1.01) for every 100-ft increase in altitude. A 644-ft cut point (used in previous studies) produced a significant difference (incidence rate ratio [IRR], 0.71; 95% CI, 0.54-0.94) in 2012-2013, but this did not replicate in 2014-2019 (IRR, 0.99; 95% CI, 0.84-1.14). CONCLUSION: We found no association between altitude and concussion rates in the NFL when altitude was analyzed continuously rather than inappropriately categorized. Our findings should increase skepticism of any effect of altitude on concussions at the elevations at which most American football is played, as well as clinical interventions based on that theory. It also underscores the importance of keeping continuous variables continuous wherever possible. J Orthop Sports Phys Ther 2022;52(10):694-701. Epub: 27 July 2022. doi:10.2519/jospt.2022.11220.

Excess Pneumonia Mortality During a 2014-2015 Legionnaires' Disease Outbreak in Genesee County, Michigan.

BACKGROUND: From June 2014 to October 2015, the Michigan Department of Health and Human Services reported an outbreak of 90 cases of Legionnaires' disease, including 10 deaths, in Genesee County, Michigan. As Legionnaires' disease is not routinely tested for as a cause of community-acquired pneumonia, we hypothesized that the size of the outbreak was underestimated. METHODS: We used Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) Wide-ranging ONline Data for Epidemiologic Research data to compare pneumonia mortality in Genesee to similar counties from 2011 to 2017. We used data from the Genesee County Vital Records Division to assess geographic overlap of pneumonia mortality with reported Legionnaires disease cases by census tract. RESULTS: We estimated 70.0 excess pneumonia deaths (90% uncertainty interval: 36-103) in Genesee County during the outbreak. Areas of high pneumonia mortality overlapped with those with high Legionnaires' disease incidence. CONCLUSIONS: These findings are consistent with the hypothesis that the Legionnaires' disease outbreak was larger than reported. Earlier outbreak detection and response may have facilitated identification of additional cases.

The association of comorbid depression with mortality and amputation in veterans with peripheral artery disease.

OBJECTIVE: Peripheral artery disease (PAD) is an increasing health concern with rising incidence globally. Previous studies have shown an association between PAD incidence and depression. The objective of the study was to determine the association of comorbid depression with PAD outcomes (amputation and all-cause mortality rates) in veterans. METHODS: An observational retrospective cohort of 155,647 patients with incident PAD (2003-2014) from nationwide U.S. Veterans Health Administration hospitals was conducted using the national Veterans Affairs Corporate Data Warehouse. Depression was measured using concurrent International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision diagnosis codes 6 months before or after PAD diagnosis. The main outcomes were incident major amputation and all-cause mortality. Crude associations were assessed with Kaplan-Meier plots. The effects of depression adjusted for covariates were analyzed using Cox proportional hazards models. RESULTS: Depression was present in 16% of the cohort, with the occurrence of 9517 amputations and 63,287 deaths (median follow-up, 5.9 years). Unadjusted hazard ratios (HRs) of comorbid depression for amputations and all-cause mortality were 1.32 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.25-1.39) and 1.02 (95% CI, 0.99-1.04), respectively. After adjustment for covariates in Cox regression models, a diagnosis of comorbid depression at the time of PAD diagnosis was associated with a 13% higher amputation (HR, 1.13; 95% CI, 1.07-1.19) and 17% higher mortality (HR, 1.17; 95% CI, 1.14-1.20) risk compared with patients with no depression. On stratification by use of antidepressants, depressed patients not taking antidepressants had a 42% higher risk of amputation (HR, 1.42; 95% CI, 1.27-1.58) compared with those without depression. Patients taking antidepressants for depression still had increased risk of amputation but only 10% higher compared with those without depression (HR, 1.10; 95% CI, 1.03-1.17). Interestingly, patients taking antidepressants for other indications also had a higher risk of amputation compared with those not having depression or not taking antidepressants (HR, 1.08; 95% CI, 1.03-1.14). Having any diagnosis of depression or the need for antidepressants increased the mortality risk by 18% to 25% in the PAD cohort compared with those without depression and not taking antidepressants for any other indication. CONCLUSIONS: PAD patients with comorbid depression have a significantly higher risk of amputation and mortality than PAD patients without depression. Furthermore, untreated depression was associated with an increased amputation risk in the PAD population, more so than depression or other mental illness being treated by antidepressants. The underlying mechanisms for causality, if any, remain to be determined. The association of antidepressant treatment use with amputation risk should prompt further investigations into possible mechanistic links between untreated depression and vascular dysfunction.

Association of Statin Dose With Amputation and Survival in Patients With Peripheral Artery Disease.

BACKGROUND: Statin dose guidelines for patients with peripheral artery disease (PAD) are largely based on coronary artery disease and stroke data. The aim of this study is to determine the effect of statin intensity on PAD outcomes of amputation and mortality. METHODS: Using an observational cohort study design and a validated algorithm, we identified patients with incident PAD (2003-2014) in the national Veterans Affairs data. Highest statin intensity exposure (high-intensity versus low-to-moderate-intensity versus antiplatelet therapy but no statin use) was determined within 1 year of diagnosis of PAD. Outcomes of interest were lower extremity amputations and death. The association of statin intensity with incident amputation and mortality was assessed with Kaplan-Meier plots, Cox proportional hazards modeling, propensity score-matched analysis, and sensitivity and subgroup analyses, as well, to reduce confounding. RESULTS: In 155 647 patients with incident PAD, more than a quarter (28%) were not on statins. Use of high-intensity statins was lowest in patients with PAD only (6.4%) in comparison with comorbid coronary/carotid disease (18.4%). Incident amputation and mortality risk declined significantly with any statin use in comparison with the antiplatelet therapy-only group. In adjusted Cox models, the high-intensity statin users were associated with lower amputation risk and mortality in comparison with antiplatelet therapy-only users (hazard ratio, 0.67; 95% confidence interval, 0.61-0.74 and hazard ratio, 0.74; 95% confidence interval, 0.70-0.77, respectively). Low-to-moderate-intensity statins also had significant reductions in the risk of amputation and mortality (hazard ratio amputation, 0.81; 95% confidence interval, 0.75- 0.86; hazard ratio death, 0.83; 95% confidence interval, 0.81-0.86) in comparison with no statins (antiplatelet therapy only), but effect size was significantly weaker than the high-intensity statins (P<0.001). The association of high-intensity statins with lower amputation and death risk remained significant and robust in propensity score-matched, sensitivity, and subgroup analyses. CONCLUSIONS: Statins, especially high-intensity formulations, are underused in patients with PAD. This is the first population-based study to show that high-intensity statin use at the time of PAD diagnosis is associated with a significant reduction in limb loss and mortality in comparison with low-to-moderate-intensity statin users, and patients treated only with antiplatelet medications but not with statins, as well.

High hemoglobin A1c associated with increased adverse limb events in peripheral arterial disease patients undergoing revascularization.

OBJECTIVE: Diabetes and peripheral arterial disease (PAD) are independently associated with increased risk of amputation. However, the effect of poor glycemic control on adverse limb events has not been studied. We examined the effects of poor glycemic control (high hemoglobin A1c level) on the risk of amputation and modified major adverse limb events (mMALEs) after lower extremity revascularization. METHODS: Patients undergoing PAD revascularization who had hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) levels available within 6 months were identified in the Veterans Affairs database of 2003 to 2014 (N = 26,799). The diagnosis of preoperative diabetes mellitus (PreopDM) was defined using diabetes diagnosis codes and evidence of treatment. Amputation and mMALE risk was compared for HbA1c levels using Kaplan-Meier analysis. Cox proportional hazards models were created to assess the effect of high HbA1c levels on amputation and mMALE (adjusted for age, gender, race, socioeconomic status, comorbidities, cholesterol levels, creatinine concentration, suprainguinal or infrainguinal procedure, open or endovascular procedure, severity of PAD, year of cohort entry, and medications) for all patients and stratified by PreopDM. RESULTS: High HbA1c levels were present in 33.2% of the cohort, whereas 59.9% had PreopDM. Amputations occurred in 4359 (16.3%) patients, and 10,580 (39.5%) had mMALE. Kaplan-Meier curves showed the worst outcomes in patient with PreopDM and high HbA1c levels. In the Cox model, incremental HbA1c levels of 6.1% to 7.0%, 7.1% to 8.0%, and >8% were associated with 26% (hazard ratio [HR], 1.26; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.15-1.39), 53% (HR, 1.53; 95% CI, 1.37-1.7), and 105% (HR, 2.05; 95% CI, 1.87-2.26) higher risk of amputation, respectively. Similarly, the risk of mMALE also increased by 5% (HR, 1.05; 95% CI, 0.99-1.11), 21% (HR, 1.21; 95% CI, 1.13-1.29), and 33% (HR, 1.33, 95% CI, 1.25-1.42) with worsening HbA1c levels of 6.1% to 7.0%, 7.1% to 8.0%, and >8%, respectively (vs HbA1c ≤6.0%). In stratified analysis by established PreopDM, the relative risk of amputation or mMALE was much higher with poor glycemic control (HbA1c >7.0%) in patients without PreopDM. CONCLUSIONS: PAD patients with worse perioperative glycemic control have a significantly higher risk of amputation and mMALE. Incremental increases in HbA1c levels are associated with higher hazards of adverse limb outcomes independent of PreopDM status. Poor glycemic control (HbA1c >7.0%) in patients without a PreopDM diagnosis carries twice the relative risk of amputation and mMALE than in those with good glycemic control. These results suggest that screening of diabetic status and better management of glycemic control could be a target for improvement of perioperative and long-term outcomes in PAD patients.

Respiratory Therapists' Experiences and Attitudes Regarding Terminal Extubations and End-of-Life Care.

BACKGROUND: Respiratory therapists (RTs) routinely care for patients with life-limiting illnesses and in some hospitals are responsible for terminal extubations. Data on how such experiences affect RTs are scarce. The objective of this work was to survey RTs at 2 academic medical centers about their experiences caring for patients with terminal extubations. METHODS: An online survey was distributed to the hospitals' RTs. Survey data included demographics and experiences with end-of-life care and terminal extubations. The survey was derived from previously published questionnaires plus input from hospital RT leaders. RESULTS: Sixty-five of 173 RTs (37.6%) responded. Of these, 42.4% were ≥50 y old, and 62.7% were female. 20.3% had ≤5 y experience; 52.5% had ≥16 y. 93.8% self-reported being involved in at least one terminal extubation; of those, 36.1% reported performing ≥20. Nearly half (47.5%) wanted to be involved in family meetings discussing terminal extubations, but just 6.6% were frequently involved. Only 32.3% felt that they received adequate education regarding terminal illness in RT school; 32.3% reported gathering this knowledge while working. 60.0% wanted more formal education around terminal patient care. 27.9% reported sometimes being uncomfortable with performing a terminal extubation; most of these rarely felt that they had the option not to perform the extubation. CONCLUSIONS: RTs are rarely involved in end-of-life discussions despite a desire to be, and they experience situations that generate discomfort. There is demand for more formal RT training around care for terminal patients. Clinical protocols that involve RTs in meetings before ventilator withdrawal should be considered.

Feasibility and economic impact of dedicated hospice inpatient units for terminally ill ICU patients.

OBJECTIVES: End-of-life care is frequently provided in the ICU because patients receiving life-sustaining treatments are often unsuitable for transfer to home or community hospices. In-hospital dedicated hospice inpatient units are a novel option. This study was designed to 1) demonstrate the feasibility of ICU to dedicated hospice inpatient unit transfer in critically ill terminal patients; 2) describe the clinical characteristics of those transferred and compare them to similar patients who were not transferred; and 3) assess the operational and economic impact of dedicated hospice inpatient units. DESIGN: Retrospective chart review. SETTING: ICUs and dedicated hospice inpatient units at two southeast urban university hospitals. INTERVENTIONS: Charts of ICU and dedicated hospice inpatient unit deaths over a 6-month period were reviewed. PATIENTS: Dedicated hospice inpatient unit transfers were identified from hospice administrator records. Missed opportunities were patients admitted to the hospital for more than 48 hours who either adopted a comfort care course or had a planned termination of life-sustaining therapy. Patients were excluded if they were declared brain dead, were organ donors, required high-frequency ventilation, or if there was insufficient information in the medical record to make a determination. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: We identified 167 transfers and 99 missed opportunities; 37% of appropriate patients were not transferred. Transfers were older (66.9 vs 60.4 yr; p < 0.05), less likely to use mechanical ventilation (71.9% vs 90.9%) and vasopressors (70.9% vs 95.0%; p < 0.05), and less likely to receive a palliative care consult (70.4% vs 43.4%; p < 0.05) than missed opportunities. Transfers saved 585 ICU bed days. CONCLUSIONS: Dedicated hospice inpatient units are a feasible way to provide care for terminal ICU patients, but barriers including lack of knowledge of the units and provider or family comfort with leaving the ICU remain. Dedicated hospice inpatient units are potentially significant sources of bed days and cost savings for hospitals and the healthcare system overall.