Cost-effectiveness of 'immediate IVF' versus 'delayed IVF': a prospective study.

STUDY QUESTION: How does the cost-effectiveness (CE) of immediate IVF compared with postponing IVF for 1 year, depend on prognostic characteristics of the couple? SUMMARY ANSWER: The CE ratio, i.e. the incremental costs of immediate versus delayed IVF per extra live birth, is the highest (range of €15 000 to >€60 000) for couples with unexplained infertility and for them depends strongly on female age and the duration of infertility, whilst being lowest for endometriosis (range 8000-23 000) and, for such patients, only slightly dependent on female age and duration of infertility. WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY: A few countries have guidelines for indications of IVF, using the diagnostic category, female age and duration of infertility. The CE of these guidelines is unknown and the evidence base exists only for bilateral tubal occlusion, not for the other diagnostic categories. STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION: A modelling approach was applied, based on the literature and data from a prospective cohort study among couples eligible for IVF or ICSI treatment, registered in a national waiting list in The Netherlands between January 2002 and December 2003. PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS: A total of 5962 couples was included. Chances of natural ongoing pregnancy were estimated from the waiting list observations and chances of ongoing pregnancy after IVF from follow-up data of couples with primary infertility that began treatment. Prognostic characteristics considered were female age, duration of infertility and diagnostic category. Costs of IVF were assessed from a societal perspective and determined on a representative sample of patients. A cost-effectiveness comparison was made between two scenarios: (I) wait one more year and then undergo IVF for 1 year and (II) immediate IVF during 1 year, and try to conceive naturally in the following year. Comparisons were made for strata determined by the prognostic factors. The final outcome was a live birth. MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE: The gain in live birth rate of the immediate IVF scenario versus postponed IVF increased with female age, and was independent from diagnostic category or duration of infertility. By contrast, the corresponding increase in costs primarily depended on diagnostic category and duration of infertility. The lowest CE ratio was just below €10 000 per live birth for endometriosis from age 34 onwards at 1 year duration. The highest CE ratio reached €56 000 per live birth for unexplained infertility at age 30 and 3 years duration, dropping to values below € 30 000 per live birth from age 32 onwards. It reached values below €20 000 per live birth with 3 years duration at age 34 and older. The CE ratio was in between for the three other diagnostic categories (i.e. Male infertility, Hormonal and Immunological/Cervical). LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION: We applied estimates of chances with IVF, excluding frozen embryos, for which we had no data. Therefore, we do not know the effect of frozen embryo transfers on the CE. WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS: The duration of infertility at which IVF becomes cost-effective depends, firstly, on the level of society's willingness to pay for one extra live birth, and secondly, given a certain level of willingness to pay, on the woman's age and the diagnostic category. In current guidelines, the chances of a natural conception should always be taken into account before deciding whether to start IVF treatment and at which time. STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTEREST(S): Supported by Netherlands Organisation for Health Research and Development (ZonMW, grant 945-12-013). ZonMW had no role in designing the study, data collection, analysis and interpretation of data or writing of the report. Competing interests: none.

Health-related quality of life and productivity losses in patients with depression and anxiety disorders.

OBJECTIVES: To assess the explanatory power of disease severity and health-related quality of life (HRQOL) on absenteeism and presenteeism in a working population suffering from depression and/or anxiety disorders. METHODS: We used data of a large, multicenter, randomized trial (n = 644). Pearson chi-squared tests, analysis of variance, and multinomial logistic regression analyses were performed to explore associations of the type of the disorder and HRQOL with different types of productivity losses. Multivariate regression analyses were performed to assess associations with the duration of absenteeism. RESULTS: The type of the disorder, disease severity, and HRQOL were associated with different types of productivity losses. Health-related quality of life and age were significantly associated with the duration of absenteeism. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings indicate that HRQOL may significantly explain the type of productivity loss as well as the duration of absenteeism.

The societal costs of femoral neck fracture patients treated with internal fixation.

SUMMARY: The study rationale was to provide a detailed overview of the costs for femoral neck fracture treatment with internal fixation in the Netherlands. Mean total costs per patient at 2-years follow-up were 19,425. Costs were higher for older, less healthy patients. Results are comparable to internationally published costs. INTRODUCTION: The aim of this study was to provide a detailed overview of the cost and healthcare consumption of patients treated for a hip fracture with internal fixation. A secondary aim was to compare costs of patients who underwent a revision surgery with patients who did not. METHODS: The study was performed alongside the Dutch sample of an international randomized controlled trial, concerning femoral neck fracture patients treated with internal fixation. Patient characteristics and healthcare consumption were collected. Total follow-up was 2 years. A societal perspective was adopted. Costs included hospital costs during primary stay and follow-up, and costs related to rehabilitation and changes in living situation. Costs were compared between non-revision surgery patients, implant removal patients, and revision arthroplasty patients. RESULTS: A total of 248 patients were included (mean age 71 years). Mean total costs per patient at 2-years follow-up were 19,425. In the non-revision surgery patients total costs were 17,405 (N = 137), in the implant removal patients 10,066 (N = 38), and in the revision arthroplasty patients 26,733 (N = 67). The main contributing costs were related to the primary surgery, admission days, physical therapy, and revision surgeries. CONCLUSIONS: The main determinant was the costs of admission to a rehabilitation center/nursing home. Costs were specifically high in elderly with comorbidity, who were less independent pre-fracture, and have a longer admission to the hospital and/or a nursing home. Costs were also higher in revision surgery patients. The 2-years follow-up costs in our study were comparable to published costs in other Western societies.

Pregnancy chances on an IVF/ICSI waiting list: a national prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The effectiveness of IVF over expectant management has been proven only for bilateral tubal occlusion. We aimed to estimate the chance of pregnancy without treatment for IVF patients, using data on the waiting period before the start of IVF. METHODS: A prospective cohort study included all couples eligible for IVF or ICSI treatment, registered in a national waiting list in The Netherlands. The cumulative probability of treatment-free ongoing pregnancy on the IVF waiting list was assessed and the predictive effect of female age, duration of infertility, primary or secondary infertility and diagnostic category was estimated using Cox regression. RESULTS: We included 5962 couples on the waiting list. The cumulative probability of treatment-free ongoing pregnancy was 9% at 12 months. In multivariable Cox regression, hazard ratios were: 0.95 (P < 0.001) per year of the woman's age, 0.85 (P < 0.001) per year of duration of infertility, 0.71 (P = 0.005) for primary versus secondary infertility. Diagnostic category showed hazard ratios of 0.7, 1.6, 1.2, 1.7 and 2.6 for endometriosis, male factor, hormonal, immunological and unexplained infertility, respectively, compared with 'tubal infertility' (P < 0.001). The 12-months predicted probabilities ranged from 0% to 25%. CONCLUSIONS: The chance of an ongoing pregnancy without treatment while waiting for an IVF or ICSI is below 10% but may be as high as 25% within 1 year for selected patient groups. Timing of IVF should take predictive factors into consideration.

Predicting ongoing pregnancy chances after IVF and ICSI: a national prospective study.

BACKGROUND: The Dutch IVF guideline suggests triage of patients for IVF based on diagnostic category, duration of infertility and female age. There is no evidence for the effectiveness of these criteria. We evaluated the predictive value of patient characteristics that are used in the Dutch IVF guideline and developed a model that predicts the IVF ongoing pregnancy chance within 12 months. METHODS: In a national prospective cohort study, pregnancy chances after IVF and ICSI treatment were assessed. Couples eligible for IVF or ICSI were followed during 12 months, using the databases of 11 IVF centres and 20 transport IVF clinics. Kaplan-Meier analysis was performed to estimate the cumulative probability of an ongoing pregnancy, and Cox regression was used for assessing the effects of predictors of pregnancy. RESULTS: 4928 couples starting IVF/ICSI treatment were prospectively followed. On average, couples had 1.8 cycles in 12 months for both IVF and ICSI. The 1-year probability of ongoing pregnancy was 44.8% (95% CI 42.1-47.5%). ICSI for severe oligospermia had a significantly higher ongoing pregnancy rate than IVF indicated treatments, with a multivariate Hazard ratio (HR) of 1.22 (95% CI 1.07-1.39). The success rates were comparable for all diagnostic categories of IVF. The highest success rate is at age 30, with a slight decline towards younger women and women up to 35 and a sharp drop after 35. Primary subfertility with a HR of 0.90 (95% CI 0.83-0.99) and duration of subfertility with a HR of 0.97 (95% CI 0.95-0.99) per year significantly affected the pregnancy chance. CONCLUSIONS: The most important predictors of the pregnancy chance after IVF and ICSI are women's age and ICSI. The diagnostic category is of no consequence. Duration of subfertility and pregnancy history are of limited prognostic value.

Comparison of EQ-5D and SF-6D utilities in mental health patients.

Various preference-based measures of health are available for use as an outcome measure in cost-utility analysis. The aim of this study is to compare two such measures EQ-5D and SF-6D in mental health patients. Baseline data from a Dutch multi-centre randomised trial of 616 patients with mood and/or anxiety disorders were used. Mean and median EQ-5D and SF-6D utilities were compared, both in the total sample and between severity subgroups based on quartiles of SCL-90 scores. Utilities were expected to decline with increased severity. Both EQ-5D and SF-6D utilities differed significantly between patients of adjacent severity groups. Mean utilities increased from 0.51 at baseline to 0.68 at 1.5 years follow-up for EQ-5D and from 0.58 to 0.70 for SF-6D. For all severity subgroups, the mean change in EQ-5D utilities as well as in SF-6D utilities was statistically significant. Standardised response means were higher for SF-6D utilities. We concluded that both EQ-5D and SF-6D discriminated between severity subgroups and captured improvements in health over time. However, the use of EQ-5D resulted in larger health gains and consequent lower cost-utility ratios, especially for the subgroup with the highest severity of mental health problems.

[Indications for in vitro fertilization: comparison of the Dutch guidelines with the published evidence]. / Indicaties voor in-vitrofertilisatie: vergelijking van de Nederlandse richtlijnen met de gepubliceerde onderzoeksresultaten.

The guideline 'Indications for in vitro fertilisation (IVF)' of the Dutch Society for Obstetrics and Gynaecology (Dutch acronym: NVOG) reports limited international evidence on this subject. A review of the published studies of effectiveness and cost-effectiveness shows that the possibilities to compare the studies and to translate the results to the diagnostic indications according to the Dutch guideline are indeed limited. This is due to differences in the study-populations, different outcome measures and differences in the severity of the underlying pathology. The results of foreign cost-effectiveness studies cannot easily be generalised to the Dutch situation due to differences in the consumption of medical care, the policy as to indications and the price-structure. For the indications inoperable tubal pathology and, to a lesser extent, severe male subfertility there is sufficient evidence-based support for the (cost-)effectiveness of IVF or intracytoplasmic sperm injection (ICSI) in comparison to waiting for spontaneous pregnancy to occur. There is insufficient current literature to support recommendations for the other causes of infertility as given in the Dutch guideline.