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BACKGROUND: Intravenous thrombolysis is contraindicated in patients with ischaemic stroke with blood pressure higher than 185/110 mm Hg. Prevailing guidelines recommend to actively lower blood pressure with intravenous antihypertensive agents to allow for thrombolysis; however, there is no robust evidence for this strategy. Because rapid declines in blood pressure can also adversely affect clinical outcomes, several Dutch stroke centres use a conservative strategy that does not involve the reduction of blood pressure. We aimed to compare the clinical outcomes of both strategies. METHODS: Thrombolysis and Uncontrolled Hypertension (TRUTH) was a prospective, observational, cluster-based, parallel-group study conducted across 37 stroke centres in the Netherlands. Participating centres had to strictly adhere to an active blood-pressure-lowering strategy or to a non-lowering strategy. Eligible participants were adults (≥18 years) with ischaemic stroke who had blood pressure higher than 185/110 mm Hg but were otherwise eligible for intravenous thrombolysis. The primary outcome was functional status at 90 days, measured using the modified Rankin Scale and assessed through telephone interviews by trained research nurses. Secondary outcomes were symptomatic intracranial haemorrhage, the proportion of patients treated with intravenous thrombolysis, and door-to-needle time. All ordinal logistic regression analyses were adjusted for age, sex, stroke severity, endovascular thrombectomy, and baseline imbalances as fixed-effect variables and centre as a random-effect variable to account for the clustered design. Analyses were done according to the intention-to-treat principle, whereby all patients were analysed according to the treatment strategy of the participating centre at which they were treated. FINDINGS: Recruitment began on Jan 1, 2015, and was prematurely halted because of a declining inclusion rate and insufficient funding on Jan 5, 2022. Between these dates, we recruited 853 patients from 27 centres that followed an active blood-pressure-lowering strategy and 199 patients from ten centres that followed a non-lowering strategy. Baseline characteristics of participants from the two groups were similar. The 90-day mRS score was missing for 15 patients. The adjusted odds ratio (aOR) for a shift towards a worse 90-day functional outcome was 1·27 (95% CI 0·96-1·68) for active blood-pressure reduction compared with no active blood-pressure reduction. 798 (94%) of 853 patients in the active blood-pressure-lowering group were treated with intravenous thrombolysis, with a median door-to-needle time of 35 min (IQR 25-52), compared with 104 (52%) of 199 patients treated in the non-lowering group with a median time of 47 min (29-78). 42 (5%) of 852 patients in the active blood-pressure-lowering group had a symptomatic intracranial haemorrhage compared with six (3%) of 199 of those in the non-lowering group (aOR 1·28 [95% CI 0·62-2·62]). INTERPRETATION: Insufficient evidence was available to establish a difference between an active blood-pressure-lowering strategy-in which antihypertensive agents were administered to reduce blood pressure below 185/110 mm Hg-and a non-lowering strategy for the functional outcomes of patients with ischaemic stroke, despite higher intravenous thrombolysis rates and shorter door-to-needle times among those in the active blood-pressure-lowering group. Randomised controlled trials are needed to inform the use of an active blood-pressure-lowering strategy. FUNDING: Fonds NutsOhra.
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Antihipertensivos , Accidente Cerebrovascular Isquémico , Terapia Trombolítica , Humanos , Femenino , Masculino , Países Bajos , Anciano , Accidente Cerebrovascular Isquémico/tratamiento farmacológico , Accidente Cerebrovascular Isquémico/terapia , Terapia Trombolítica/métodos , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios Prospectivos , Antihipertensivos/uso terapéutico , Antihipertensivos/administración & dosificación , Hipertensión/tratamiento farmacológico , Fibrinolíticos/administración & dosificación , Fibrinolíticos/uso terapéutico , Resultado del Tratamiento , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Presión Sanguínea/fisiología , Presión Sanguínea/efectos de los fármacosRESUMEN
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: The results of the ULTRA trial showed that ultra-early and short-term treatment with tranexamic acid (TXA) does not improve clinical outcome after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH). Possibly, the lack of a beneficial effect in all patients with aSAH is masked by antagonistic effects of TXA in certain subgroups. In this post hoc subgroup analysis, we investigated the effect of TXA on clinical outcome in patients with good-grade and poor-grade aSAH. METHODS: The ULTRA trial was a multicenter, prospective, randomized, controlled, open-label trial with blinded outcome assessment. Participants received ultra-early and short-term TXA in addition to usual care or usual care only. This post hoc subgroup analysis included only ULTRA participants with confirmed aSAH and available World Federation of Neurosurgical Societies (WFNS) grade on admission. Patients were categorized into those with good-grade (WFNS 1-3) and poor-grade (WFNS 4-5) aSAH. The primary outcome was clinical outcome assessed by the modified Rankin scale (mRS). Odds ratios (ORs) and adjusted ORs (aORs) with 95% CIs were calculated using ordinal regression analyses. Analyses were performed using the as-treated principle. In all patients with aSAH, no significant effect modification of TXA on clinical outcome was observed for admission WFNS grade (p = 0.10). RESULTS: Of the 812 ULTRA participants, 473 patients had (58%; N = 232 TXA, N = 241 usual care) good-grade and 339 (42%; N = 162 TXA, N = 176 usual care) patients had poor-grade aSAH. In patients with good-grade aSAH, the TXA group had worse clinical outcomes (OR: 0.67, 95% CI 0.48-0.94, aOR 0.68, 95% CI 0.48-0.94) compared with the usual care group. In patients with poor-grade aSAH, clinical outcomes were comparable between treatment groups (OR: 1.04, 95% CI 0.70-1.55, aOR 1.05, 95% CI 0.70-1.56). DISCUSSION: This post hoc subgroup analysis provides another important argument against the use of TXA treatment in patients with aSAH, by showing worse clinical outcomes in patients with good-grade aSAH treated with TXA and no clinical benefit of TXA in patients with poor-grade aSAH, compared with patients treated with usual care. TRIAL REGISTRATION INFORMATION: ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT02684812; submission date February 18, 2016, first patient enrollment on July 24, 2013). CLASSIFICATION OF EVIDENCE: This study provides Class II evidence that tranexamic acid, given for <24 hours within the first 24 hours, does not improve the 6-month outcome in good-grade or poor initial-grade aneurysmal SAH.
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Antifibrinolíticos , Hemorragia Subaracnoidea , Ácido Tranexámico , Humanos , Ácido Tranexámico/uso terapéutico , Ácido Tranexámico/administración & dosificación , Hemorragia Subaracnoidea/tratamiento farmacológico , Femenino , Antifibrinolíticos/uso terapéutico , Antifibrinolíticos/administración & dosificación , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Resultado del Tratamiento , Anciano , Estudios Prospectivos , AdultoRESUMEN
Importance: Cause of ischemic stroke in young people is highly variable; however, the risk of recurrence is often presented with all subtypes of stroke grouped together in classification systems such as the Trial of ORG (danaparoid sodium [Orgaran]) 10172 in Acute Stroke Treatment (TOAST) criteria, which limits the ability to individually inform young patients with stroke about their risk of recurrence. Objective: To determine the short-term and long-term risk of recurrent vascular events after ischemic stroke at a young age by stroke cause and to identify factors associated with recurrence. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study used data from the Observational Dutch Young Symptomatic Stroke Study, a prospective, multicenter, hospital-based cohort study, conducted at 17 hospitals in the Netherlands between 2013 and 2021. Eligible participants included 30-day survivors of an initial, neuroimaging-proven ischemic stroke (aged 18-49 years). Data analysis was conducted from June to July 2023. Exposure: Diagnosis of a first-ever, ischemic stroke via neuroimaging. Main Outcome and Measures: The primary outcome was short-term (within 6 months) and long-term (within 5 years) recurrence risk of any vascular event, defined as fatal or nonfatal recurrent ischemic stroke, transient ischemic attack, myocardial infarction, and revascularization procedure. Predefined characteristics were chosen to identify factors associated with risk of recurrence (cause of stroke, age, sex, stroke severity, and cardiovascular health factors). Results: A total of 1216 patients (median [IQR] age, 44.2 [38.4-47.7] years; 632 male [52.0%]; 584 female [48.0%]) were included, with a median (IQR) follow-up of 4.3 (2.6-6.0) years. The 6-month risk of any recurrent ischemic event was 6.7% (95% CI, 5.3%-8.1%), and the 5-year risk was 12.2% (95% CI, 10.2%-14.2%)The short-term risk was highest for patients with cervical artery dissections (13.2%; 95% CI, 7.6%-18.7%). Other factors associated with a recurrent short-term event were atherothrombotic stroke, rare causes of stroke, and hypertension. The long-term cumulative risk was highest for patients with atherothrombotic stroke (22.7%; 95% CI, 10.6%-34.7%) and lowest for patients with cryptogenic stroke (5.8%; 95% CI, 3.0%-8.5%). Cardioembolic stroke was associated with a recurrent long-term event, as were diabetes and alcohol abuse. Conclusions and Relevance: The findings of this cohort study of 1216 patients with an ischemic stroke at a young age suggest that the risk of recurrent vascular events was high and varied by cause of stroke both for short-term and long-term follow-up, including causes that remained concealed when combined into 1 category in the routinely used TOAST criteria. This knowledge will allow for more personalized counseling of young patients with stroke.
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Ataque Isquémico Transitorio , Accidente Cerebrovascular Isquémico , Accidente Cerebrovascular , Humanos , Femenino , Masculino , Adulto Joven , Adolescente , Adulto , Accidente Cerebrovascular Isquémico/epidemiología , Accidente Cerebrovascular Isquémico/etiología , Estudios de Cohortes , Estudios Prospectivos , Accidente Cerebrovascular/epidemiología , Accidente Cerebrovascular/etiología , Ataque Isquémico Transitorio/epidemiología , Ataque Isquémico Transitorio/etiologíaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Guidelines recommend routine transthoracic echocardiography (TTE) after ischaemic stroke or transient ischaemic attack of undetermined cause; yet, only limited scientific evidence exists. Therefore, we aimed to determine in these patients the prevalence of TTE-detected major cardiac sources of embolism (CSE), which are abnormalities leading to therapeutic changes. METHODS: Six Dutch hospitals conducted a prospective observational study that enrolled patients with ischaemic stroke or transient ischaemic attack of undetermined cause. Patients underwent TTE after comprehensive diagnostic evaluation on stroke units, including blood chemistry, 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG), ≥â¯24â¯h continuous ECG monitoring, brain imaging and cervical artery imaging. Primary outcome measure was the proportion of patients with TTE-detected major CSE. RESULTS: From March 2018 to October 2020, 1084 patients, aged 66.6⯱ 12.5 years, were enrolled; 456 (42.1%) patients were female and 869 (80.2%) had ischaemic stroke. TTE detected major CSE in only 11 (1.0%) patients. Ten (90.9%) of these patients also had major ECG abnormalities (previous infarction, major repolarisation abnormalities, or previously unknown left bundle branch block) that would have warranted TTE assessment regardless of stroke evaluation. Such ECG abnormalities were present in 11.1% of the total study population. A single patient (0.1%) showed a major CSE despite having no ECG abnormality. CONCLUSIONS: This multicentre cross-sectional study in patients who-after workup on contemporary stroke units-were diagnosed with ischaemic stroke or transient ischaemic attack of undetermined cause found TTE-detected major CSE in only 1% of all patients. Most of these patients also had major ECG abnormalities. These findings question the value of routine TTE assessment in this clinical setting.
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BACKGROUND: Limited data exists on cognitive recovery in young stroke patients. We aimed to investigate the longitudinal course of cognitive performance during the first year after stroke at young age and identify predictors for cognitive recovery. METHODS: We conducted a multicentre prospective cohort study between 2013 and 2021, enrolling patients aged 18-49 years with first-ever ischaemic stroke. Cognitive assessments were performed within 6 months and after 1 year following the index event, covering seven cognitive domains. Composite Z-scores using normative data determined cognitive impairment (Z-score<-1.5). A Reliable Change Index (RCI) assessed cognitive recovery (RCI>1.96) or decline (RCI<-1.96). RESULTS: 393 patients (median age 44.3 years, IQR 38.4-47.2) completed cognitive assessments with a median time interval of 403 days (IQR 364-474) between assessments. Based on RCI, a similar proportion of patients showed improvement and decline in each cognitive domain, while the majority exhibited no cognitive change. Among cognitively impaired patients at baseline, improvements were observed in processing speed (23.1%), visuoconstruction (40.1%) and executive functioning (20.0%). Younger age was associated with better cognitive recovery in visuoconstruction, and larger lesion volume was related to cognitive recovery in processing speed. No other predictors for cognitive recovery were identified. CONCLUSIONS: Cognitive impairment remains prevalent in young stroke even 1 year after the event. Most patients showed no cognitive change, however, recovery may have occurred in the early weeks after stroke, which was not assessed in our study. Among initially cognitively impaired patients, cognitive recovery is observed in processing speed, visuoconstruction and executive functioning. It is still not possible to predict cognitive recovery in individual patients.
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Disfunción Cognitiva , Accidente Cerebrovascular Isquémico , Humanos , Adulto , Masculino , Femenino , Accidente Cerebrovascular Isquémico/complicaciones , Accidente Cerebrovascular Isquémico/psicología , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios Prospectivos , Adulto Joven , Pruebas Neuropsicológicas , Cognición/fisiología , Adolescente , Recuperación de la Función , Función Ejecutiva/fisiología , Factores de EdadRESUMEN
OBJECTIVES: Guidelines advise cardiac rhythm monitoring for 3 up to 30 days for detecting atrial fibrillation (AF) in patients with ischemic stroke of undetermined cause. However, the optimal monitoring duration is unknown. We aimed to determine the AF detection rate during 7-day outpatient cardiac rhythm monitoring in this patient group. METHODS: Participants from a large tertiary hospital in a prospective observational study (ATTEST) underwent outpatient cardiac rhythm monitoring after a negative standard diagnostic evaluation (i.e., 12-lead electrocardiogram and in-hospital telemetry). Primary outcome was the rate of newly detected AF. RESULTS: We examined 373 patients [age: 67.8±11.6 years; women: 166(44.5%); stroke: 278(74.5%)]. Median monitoring duration was 7 days (Inter Quartile Range (IQR) 7-7), performed after median of 36 days (IQR 27-47). AF was newly detected in 17(4.6%) patients, 5.4% of patients with ischemic stroke and 2.1% of patients with TIA. 53% of AF was detected on day-1, after day-3 73% of new AF was found. First AF episodes were detected up to day-7. Diabetes and increasing age were independent predictors of new AF. CONCLUSION: After ischemic stroke or TIA of undetermined cause, 7-day outpatient cardiac rhythm monitoring detected new AF in 4.6%. Patients with AF had significantly more cardiovascular risk factors. Although about 50% of first AF episodes occurred during the first day of monitoring, new AF was detected up to day-7, implying that the recommended minimum of 3 days cardiac rhythm monitoring after ischemic stroke of undetermined cause is insufficient. Subsequent long-term rhythm monitoring should be considered in selected patients.
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Fibrilación Atrial , Ataque Isquémico Transitorio , Accidente Cerebrovascular Isquémico , Accidente Cerebrovascular , Anciano , Femenino , Humanos , Persona de Mediana Edad , Fibrilación Atrial/complicaciones , Fibrilación Atrial/diagnóstico , Ataque Isquémico Transitorio/complicaciones , Ataque Isquémico Transitorio/diagnóstico , Accidente Cerebrovascular Isquémico/complicaciones , Pacientes Ambulatorios , Factores de Riesgo , Accidente Cerebrovascular/diagnóstico , Accidente Cerebrovascular/etiología , Estudios ProspectivosRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Endovascular treatment for anterior circulation ischaemic stroke is effective and safe within a 6 h window. MR CLEAN-LATE aimed to assess efficacy and safety of endovascular treatment for patients treated in the late window (6-24 h from symptom onset or last seen well) selected on the basis of the presence of collateral flow on CT angiography (CTA). METHODS: MR CLEAN-LATE was a multicentre, open-label, blinded-endpoint, randomised, controlled, phase 3 trial done in 18 stroke intervention centres in the Netherlands. Patients aged 18 years or older with ischaemic stroke, presenting in the late window with an anterior circulation large-vessel occlusion and collateral flow on CTA, and a neurological deficit score of at least 2 on the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale were included. Patients who were eligible for late-window endovascular treatment were treated according to national guidelines (based on clinical and perfusion imaging criteria derived from the DAWN and DEFUSE-3 trials) and excluded from MR CLEAN-LATE enrolment. Patients were randomly assigned (1:1) to receive endovascular treatment or no endovascular treatment (control), in addition to best medical treatment. Randomisation was web based, with block sizes ranging from eight to 20, and stratified by centre. The primary outcome was the modified Rankin Scale (mRS) score at 90 days after randomisation. Safety outcomes included all-cause mortality at 90 days after randomisation and symptomatic intracranial haemorrhage. All randomly assigned patients who provided deferred consent or died before consent could be obtained comprised the modified intention-to-treat population, in which the primary and safety outcomes were assessed. Analyses were adjusted for predefined confounders. Treatment effect was estimated with ordinal logistic regression and reported as an adjusted common odds ratio (OR) with a 95% CI. This trial was registered with the ISRCTN, ISRCTN19922220. FINDINGS: Between Feb 2, 2018, and Jan 27, 2022, 535 patients were randomly assigned, and 502 (94%) patients provided deferred consent or died before consent was obtained (255 in the endovascular treatment group and 247 in the control group; 261 [52%] females). The median mRS score at 90 days was lower in the endovascular treatment group than in the control group (3 [IQR 2-5] vs 4 [2-6]), and we observed a shift towards better outcomes on the mRS for the endovascular treatment group (adjusted common OR 1·67 [95% CI 1·20-2·32]). All-cause mortality did not differ significantly between groups (62 [24%] of 255 patients vs 74 [30%] of 247 patients; adjusted OR 0·72 [95% CI 0·44-1·18]). Symptomatic intracranial haemorrhage occurred more often in the endovascular treatment group than in the control group (17 [7%] vs four [2%]; adjusted OR 4·59 [95% CI 1·49-14·10]). INTERPRETATION: In this study, endovascular treatment was efficacious and safe for patients with ischaemic stroke caused by an anterior circulation large-vessel occlusion who presented 6-24 h from onset or last seen well, and who were selected on the basis of the presence of collateral flow on CTA. Selection of patients for endovascular treatment in the late window could be primarily based on the presence of collateral flow. FUNDING: Collaboration for New Treatments of Acute Stroke consortium, Dutch Heart Foundation, Stryker, Medtronic, Cerenovus, Top Sector Life Sciences & Health, and the Netherlands Brain Foundation.
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Isquemia Encefálica , Accidente Cerebrovascular Isquémico , Accidente Cerebrovascular , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Accidente Cerebrovascular/terapia , Accidente Cerebrovascular/tratamiento farmacológico , Isquemia Encefálica/diagnóstico por imagen , Isquemia Encefálica/cirugía , Angiografía por Tomografía Computarizada , Países Bajos , Hemorragias Intracraneales/etiología , Accidente Cerebrovascular Isquémico/complicaciones , Resultado del TratamientoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Identification of risk factors and causes of stroke is key to optimize treatment and prevent recurrence. Up to one-third of young patients with stroke have a cryptogenic stroke according to current classification systems (Trial of ORG 10172 in Acute Stroke Treatment [TOAST] and atherosclerosis, small vessel disease, cardiac pathology, other causes, dissection [ASCOD]). The aim was to identify risk factors and leads for (new) causes of cryptogenic ischemic stroke in young adults, using the pediatric classification system from the IPSS study (International Pediatric Stroke Study). METHODS: This is a multicenter prospective cohort study conducted in 17 hospitals in the Netherlands, consisting of 1322 patients aged 18 to 49 years with first-ever, imaging confirmed, ischemic stroke between 2013 and 2021. The main outcome was distribution of risk factors according to IPSS classification in patients with cryptogenic and noncryptogenic stroke according to the TOAST and ASCOD classification. RESULTS: The median age was 44.2 years, and 697 (52.7%) were men. Of these 1322 patients, 333 (25.2%) had a cryptogenic stroke according to the TOAST classification. Additional classification using the ASCOD criteria reduced the number patients with cryptogenic stroke from 333 to 260 (19.7%). When risk factors according to the IPSS were taken into account, the number of patients with no potential cause or risk factor for stroke reduced to 10 (0.8%). CONCLUSIONS: Among young adults aged 18 to 49 years with a cryptogenic ischemic stroke according to the TOAST classification, risk factors for stroke are highly prevalent. Using a pediatric classification system provides new leads for the possible causes in cryptogenic stroke, and could potentially lead to more tailored treatment for young individuals with stroke.
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Aterosclerosis , Accidente Cerebrovascular Isquémico , Accidente Cerebrovascular , Masculino , Humanos , Adulto Joven , Niño , Adulto , Femenino , Accidente Cerebrovascular Isquémico/complicaciones , Estudios Prospectivos , Accidente Cerebrovascular/terapia , Factores de Riesgo , Aterosclerosis/complicacionesRESUMEN
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Causes of stroke in young adults differ from those in the elderly individuals, and in a larger percentage, no cause can be determined. To gain more insight into the etiology of (cryptogenic) stroke in the young population, we investigated whether trigger factors, such as short-lasting exposure to toxins or infection, may play a role. METHODS: Patients aged 18-49 years with a first-ever ischemic stroke or intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) in 17 participating centers in the Netherlands completed a questionnaire about exposure to 9 potential trigger factors in hazard periods and on a regular yearly basis. A case-crossover design was used to assess relative risks (RRs) with 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) by the Mantel-Haenszel case-crossover method, for any stroke (ischemic stroke and ICH combined) and for different etiologic subgroups of ischemic stroke. RESULTS: One thousand one hundred forty-six patients completed the questionnaire (1,043 patients with an ischemic stroke and 103 with an ICH, median age 44.0 years, 52.6% men). For any stroke, an increased risk emerged within 1 hour of cola consumption (RR 2.0, 95% CI 1.5-2.8) and vigorous physical exercise (RR 2.6, 95% CI 2.2-3.0), within 2 hours after sexual activity (RR 2.4, 95% CI 1.6-3.5), within 4 hours after illicit drug use (RR 2.8, 95% CI 1.7-4.9), and within 24 hours after fever or flu-like disease (RR 14.1, 95% CI 10.5-31.2; RR 13.9, 95% CI 8.9-21.9). Four trigger factors increased the risk of other determined and cryptogenic ischemic stroke, 3 that of cardioembolic stroke, 2 that of large vessel atherosclerosis and likely atherothrombotic stroke combined and stroke with multiple causes, and none that of stroke due to small vessel disease. DISCUSSION: We identified cola consumption, vigorous physical exercise, sexual activity, illicit drug use, fever, and flu-like disease as potential trigger factors for stroke in the young population and found differences in the type and number of trigger factors associated with different etiologic subgroups of ischemic stroke. These findings might help in better understanding the pathophysiologic mechanisms of (cryptogenic) stroke in the young population.
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Drogas Ilícitas , Accidente Cerebrovascular Isquémico , Accidente Cerebrovascular , Anciano , Masculino , Humanos , Adulto Joven , Adulto , Femenino , Estudios Cruzados , Factores de Riesgo , Accidente Cerebrovascular/epidemiología , Accidente Cerebrovascular/etiología , Hemorragia Cerebral/etiología , Hemorragia Cerebral/complicaciones , Accidente Cerebrovascular Isquémico/complicacionesRESUMEN
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: The ULTRA-trial showed that ultra-early and short-term tranexamic acid treatment after subarachnoid hemorrhage did not improve clinical outcome at six months. An expected proportion of the included patients had non-aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage In this post-hoc study, we will investigate whether ultra-early and short-term tranexamic acid treatment in patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage improves clinical outcome at six months. METHODS: The ULTRA-trial is a multicenter, prospective, randomized, controlled, open-label trial with blinded outcome assessment, conducted between July 24, 2013 and January 20, 2020. After confirmation of subarachnoid hemorrhage on non-contrast computer tomography, patients were allocated to either ultra-early and short-term tranexamic acid treatment with usual care, or usual care only. In this post-hoc analysis, we included all ULTRA-participants with a confirmed aneurysm on CT angiography and/or digital subtraction angiography. The primary endpoint was clinical outcome at six months, assessed by the modified Rankin Scale, dichotomized into good (0-3) and poor (4-6) outcome. RESULTS: Of the 813 ULTRA-trial patients who had an aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage, 409 (50%) were assigned to the tranexamic acid group and 404 (50%) to the control group. In the intention-to-treat analysis, 233 of 405 (58%) patients in the tranexamic acid group and 238 of 399 (60%) patients in the control group had a good clinical outcome (adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 0·92; 95% confidence interval (C.I.) 0·69 to 1·24). None of the secondary outcomes showed significant differences between the treatment groups: excellent clinical outcome (mRS 0-2) aOR 0.76, 95% C.I. 0.57-1.03, all-cause mortality at 30 days aOR 0.91, 95% C.I. 0.65-1.28), all-cause mortality at six months aOR 1.10 (95% C.I. 0.80-1.52). DISCUSSION: Ultra-early and short-term tranexamic acid treatment did not improve clinical outcome at six months in patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage and therefore, cannot be recommended. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT02684812; submission date February 18, 2016, first patient enrollment on July 24th, 2013). CLASSIFICATION OF EVIDENCE: This study provides Class II evidence that tranexamic acid does not improve outcomes in patients presenting with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage.
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BACKGROUND: We evaluated data from all patients in the Netherlands who underwent endovascular treatment for acute ischemic stroke in the past 3.5 years, to identify nationwide trends in time to treatment and procedural success, and assess their effect on clinical outcomes. METHODS: We included patients with proximal occlusions of the anterior circulation from the second and first cohorts of the MR CLEAN (Multicenter Randomized Clinical trial of Endovascular Treatment for Acute Ischemic Stroke in the Netherlands) Registry (March 2014 to June 2016; June 2016 to November 2017, respectively). We compared workflow times and rates of successful reperfusion (defined as an extended Thrombolysis in Cerebral Infarction score of 2B-3) between cohorts and chronological quartiles (all included patients stratified in chronological quartiles of intervention dates to create equally sized groups over the study period). Multivariable ordinal logistic regression was used to assess differences in the primary outcome (ordinal modified Rankin Scale at 90 days). RESULTS: Baseline characteristics were similar between cohorts (second cohort n=1692, first cohort n=1488) except for higher age, poorer collaterals, and less signs of early ischemia on computed tomography in the second cohort. Time from stroke onset to groin puncture and reperfusion were shorter in the second cohort (median 185 versus 210 minutes; P<0.001 and 236 versus 270 minutes; P<0.001, respectively). Successful reperfusion was achieved more often in the second than in the first cohort (72% versus 66%; P<0.001). Functional outcome significantly improved (adjusted common odds ratio 1.23 [95% CI, 1.07-1.40]). This effect was attenuated by adjustment for time from onset to reperfusion (adjusted common odds ratio, 1.12 [95% CI, 0.98-1.28]) and successful reperfusion (adjusted common odds ratio, 1.13 [95% CI, 0.99-1.30]). Outcomes were consistent in the analysis per chronological quartile. CONCLUSIONS: Clinical outcomes after endovascular treatment for acute ischemic stroke in routine clinical practice have improved over the past years, likely resulting from improved workflow times and higher successful reperfusion rates.
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Isquemia Encefálica , Procedimientos Endovasculares , Accidente Cerebrovascular Isquémico , Accidente Cerebrovascular , Isquemia Encefálica/diagnóstico por imagen , Isquemia Encefálica/cirugía , Procedimientos Endovasculares/métodos , Humanos , Estudios Longitudinales , Sistema de Registros , Accidente Cerebrovascular/diagnóstico por imagen , Accidente Cerebrovascular/cirugía , Trombectomía/métodos , Resultado del TratamientoRESUMEN
INTRODUCTION: We investigated the impact of the Corona Virus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic and the resulting lockdown on reperfusion treatments and door-to-treatment times during the first surge in Dutch comprehensive stroke centers. Furthermore, we studied the association between COVID-19-status and treatment times. METHODS: We included all patients receiving reperfusion treatment in 17 Dutch stroke centers from May 11th, 2017, until May 11th, 2020. We collected baseline characteristics, National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) at admission, onset-to-door time (ODT), door-to-needle time (DNT), door-to-groin time (DGT) and COVID-19-status at admission. Parameters during the lockdown (March 15th, 2020 until May 11th, 2020) were compared with those in the same period in 2019, and between groups stratified by COVID-19-status. We used nationwide data and extrapolated our findings to the increasing trend of EVT numbers since May 2017. RESULTS: A decline of 14% was seen in reperfusion treatments during lockdown, with a decline in both IVT and EVT delivery. DGT increased by 12 min (50 to 62 min, p-value of < 0.001). Furthermore, median NIHSS-scores were higher in COVID-19 - suspected or positive patients (7 to 11, p-value of 0.004), door-to-treatment times did not differ significantly when stratified for COVID-19-status. CONCLUSIONS: During the first surge of the COVID-19 pandemic, a decline in acute reperfusion treatments and a delay in DGT was seen, which indicates a target for attention. It also appeared that COVID-19-positive or -suspected patients had more severe neurologic symptoms, whereas their EVT-workflow was not affected.
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COVID-19 , Procedimientos Endovasculares , Accidente Cerebrovascular , Control de Enfermedades Transmisibles , Humanos , Países Bajos/epidemiología , Pandemias , SARS-CoV-2 , Accidente Cerebrovascular/tratamiento farmacológico , Accidente Cerebrovascular/terapia , Trombectomía , Terapia Trombolítica , Tiempo de Tratamiento , Resultado del TratamientoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: The frequency of ischemic stroke in patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) varies in the current literature, and risk factors are unknown. We assessed the incidence, risk factors, and outcomes of acute ischemic stroke in hospitalized patients with COVID-19. METHODS: We included patients with a laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 (severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2) infection admitted in 16 Dutch hospitals participating in the international CAPACITY-COVID registry between March 1 and August 1, 2020. Patients were screened for the occurrence of acute ischemic stroke. We calculated the cumulative incidence of ischemic stroke and compared risk factors, cardiovascular complications, and in-hospital mortality in patients with and without ischemic stroke. RESULTS: We included 2147 patients with COVID-19, of whom 586 (27.3%) needed treatment at an intensive care unit. Thirty-eight patients (1.8%) had an ischemic stroke. Patients with stroke were older but did not differ in sex or cardiovascular risk factors. Median time between the onset of COVID-19 symptoms and diagnosis of stroke was 2 weeks. The incidence of ischemic stroke was higher among patients who were treated at an intensive care unit (16/586; 2.7% versus nonintensive care unit, 22/1561; 1.4%; P=0.039). Pulmonary embolism was more common in patients with (8/38; 21.1%) than in those without stroke (160/2109; 7.6%; adjusted risk ratio, 2.08 [95% CI, 1.52-2.84]). Twenty-seven patients with ischemic stroke (71.1%) died during admission or were functionally dependent at discharge. Patients with ischemic stroke were at a higher risk of in-hospital mortality (adjusted risk ratio, 1.56 [95% CI, 1.13-2.15]) than patients without stroke. CONCLUSIONS: In this multicenter cohort study, the cumulative incidence of acute ischemic stroke in hospitalized patients with COVID-19 was ≈2%, with a higher risk in patients treated at an intensive care unit. The majority of stroke patients had a poor outcome. The association between ischemic stroke and pulmonary embolism warrants further investigation.
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COVID-19/epidemiología , Mortalidad Hospitalaria , Hospitalización , Accidente Cerebrovascular Isquémico/epidemiología , Embolia Pulmonar/epidemiología , Factores de Edad , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , COVID-19/fisiopatología , Estudios de Cohortes , Femenino , Estado Funcional , Humanos , Incidencia , Unidades de Cuidados Intensivos , Accidente Cerebrovascular Isquémico/fisiopatología , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Países Bajos/epidemiología , Pronóstico , Factores de Riesgo , SARS-CoV-2RESUMEN
BACKGROUND: The value of administering intravenous alteplase before endovascular treatment (EVT) for acute ischemic stroke has not been studied extensively, particularly in non-Asian populations. METHODS: We performed an open-label, multicenter, randomized trial in Europe involving patients with stroke who presented directly to a hospital that was capable of providing EVT and who were eligible for intravenous alteplase and EVT. Patients were randomly assigned in a 1:1 ratio to receive EVT alone or intravenous alteplase followed by EVT (the standard of care). The primary end point was functional outcome on the modified Rankin scale (range, 0 [no disability] to 6 [death]) at 90 days. We assessed the superiority of EVT alone over alteplase plus EVT, as well as noninferiority by a margin of 0.8 for the lower boundary of the 95% confidence interval for the odds ratio of the two trial groups. Death from any cause and symptomatic intracerebral hemorrhage were the main safety end points. RESULTS: The analysis included 539 patients. The median score on the modified Rankin scale at 90 days was 3 (interquartile range, 2 to 5) with EVT alone and 2 (interquartile range, 2 to 5) with alteplase plus EVT. The adjusted common odds ratio was 0.84 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.62 to 1.15; P = 0.28), which showed neither superiority nor noninferiority of EVT alone. Mortality was 20.5% with EVT alone and 15.8% with alteplase plus EVT (adjusted odds ratio, 1.39; 95% CI, 0.84 to 2.30). Symptomatic intracerebral hemorrhage occurred in 5.9% and 5.3% of the patients in the respective groups (adjusted odds ratio, 1.30; 95% CI, 0.60 to 2.81). CONCLUSIONS: In a randomized trial involving European patients, EVT alone was neither superior nor noninferior to intravenous alteplase followed by EVT with regard to disability outcome at 90 days after stroke. The incidence of symptomatic intracerebral hemorrhage was similar in the two groups. (Funded by the Collaboration for New Treatments of Acute Stroke consortium and others; MR CLEAN-NO IV ISRCTN number, ISRCTN80619088.).
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Accidente Cerebrovascular Isquémico/tratamiento farmacológico , Trombectomía , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Terapia Combinada , Procedimientos Endovasculares , Europa (Continente) , Femenino , Fibrinolíticos/uso terapéutico , Humanos , Infusiones Intravenosas , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Índice de Severidad de la Enfermedad , Activador de Tejido Plasminógeno/uso terapéutico , Resultado del TratamientoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: In patients with atrial fibrillation who survive an anticoagulation-associated intracerebral haemorrhage, a decision must be made as to whether restarting or permanently avoiding anticoagulation is the best long-term strategy to prevent recurrent stroke and other vascular events. In APACHE-AF, we aimed to estimate the rates of non-fatal stroke or vascular death in such patients when treated with apixaban compared with when anticoagulation was avoided, to inform the design of a larger trial. METHODS: APACHE-AF was a prospective, randomised, open-label, phase 2 trial with masked endpoint assessment, done at 16 hospitals in the Netherlands. Patients who survived intracerebral haemorrhage while treated with anticoagulation for atrial fibrillation were eligible for inclusion 7-90 days after the haemorrhage. Participants also had a CHA2DS2-VASc score of at least 2 and a score on the modified Rankin scale (mRS) of 4 or less. Participants were randomly assigned (1:1) to receive oral apixaban (5 mg twice daily or a reduced dose of 2·5 mg twice daily) or to avoid anticoagulation (oral antiplatelet agents could be prescribed at the discretion of the treating physician) by a central computerised randomisation system, stratified by the intention to start or withhold antiplatelet therapy in participants randomised to avoiding anticoagulation, and minimised for age and intracerebral haemorrhage location. The primary outcome was a composite of non-fatal stroke or vascular death, whichever came first, during a minimum follow-up of 6 months, analysed using Cox proportional hazards modelling in the intention-to-treat population. APACHE-AF is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT02565693) and the Netherlands Trial Register (NL4395), and the trial is closed to enrolment at all participating sites. FINDINGS: Between Jan 15, 2015, and July 6, 2020, we recruited 101 patients (median age 78 years [IQR 73-83]; 55 [54%] were men and 46 [46%] were women; 100 [99%] were White and one [1%] was Black) a median of 46 days (IQR 21-74) after intracerebral haemorrhage. 50 were assigned to apixaban and 51 to avoid anticoagulation (of whom 26 [51%] started antiplatelet therapy). None were lost to follow-up. Over a median follow-up of 1·9 years (IQR 1·0-3·1; 222 person-years), non-fatal stroke or vascular death occurred in 13 (26%) participants allocated to apixaban (annual event rate 12·6% [95% CI 6·7-21·5]) and in 12 (24%) allocated to avoid anticoagulation (11·9% [95% CI 6·2-20·8]; adjusted hazard ratio 1·05 [95% CI 0·48-2·31]; p=0·90). Serious adverse events that were not outcome events occurred in 29 (58%) of 50 participants assigned to apixaban and 29 (57%) of 51 assigned to avoid anticoagulation. INTERPRETATION: Patients with atrial fibrillation who had an intracerebral haemorrhage while taking anticoagulants have a high subsequent annual risk of non-fatal stroke or vascular death, whether allocated to apixaban or to avoid anticoagulation. Our data underline the need for randomised controlled trials large enough to allow identification of subgroups in whom restarting anticoagulation might be either beneficial or hazardous. FUNDING: Dutch Heart Foundation (grant 2012T077).
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Fibrilación Atrial , Accidente Cerebrovascular , APACHE , Anciano , Anticoagulantes/efectos adversos , Fibrilación Atrial/complicaciones , Fibrilación Atrial/tratamiento farmacológico , Hemorragia Cerebral/inducido químicamente , Hemorragia Cerebral/tratamiento farmacológico , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Países Bajos/epidemiología , Estudios Prospectivos , Pirazoles , Piridonas , Accidente Cerebrovascular/tratamiento farmacológico , Accidente Cerebrovascular/prevención & control , Resultado del TratamientoRESUMEN
INTRODUCTION: Impaired glucose tolerance (IGT) is highly prevalent after stroke and is associated with recurrent stroke and unfavourable outcome. OBJECTIVES: We aimed to assess the feasibility, safety and effects on glucose metabolism of metformin or sitagliptin in patients with transient ischaemic attack (TIA) or minor ischaemic stroke and IGT. DESIGN: We performed a multicentre, randomised, controlled, open-label phase II trial with blinded outcome assessment. INTERVENTIONS: Patients were randomised in a 2:1:1 ratio to 'no medication', sitagliptin or metformin. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: Primary outcome measures were baseline adjusted differences of 2-hour postload glucose; secondary outcome measures fasting glucose, glycosylated haemoglobin 1c (HbA1c) levels, tolerability and safety of metformin and sitagliptin at 6 months. Patients on metformin or sitagliptin were contacted by telephone for recording of possible adverse events and to support continuation of treatment at 2 weeks, 6 weeks and 3 months after inclusion. These events were not analysed as outcome measures. RESULTS: Fifty-three patients were randomised to control group, 26 to metformin and 22 to sitagliptin. We found no significant differences in 2-hour postload glucose between patients on antidiabetic drugs and controls ((-0.04 mmol/L (95% CI -0.53 to 0.45)). Patients in the treatment arms had reduced fasting glucose: ((-0.21 mmol/L (95% CI -0.36 to -0.06)) and HbA1c levels ((-1.16 mmol/mol (95% CI -1.84 to -0.49)). Thirteen patients (50%) on metformin and 7 (32%) on sitagliptin experienced side effects. Sixteen patients (61%) in the metformin and 13 (59%) in the sitagliptin group were still on treatment after 6 months. CONCLUSIONS: Metformin and sitagliptin were both effective in reducing fasting glucose and HbA1c levels in patients with recent TIA or minor ischaemic stroke and IGT. However, the reduction of glucose levels and sample size was relatively small. The clinical relevance, therefore, needs to be tempered. A phase III trial is needed to investigate whether medical treatment, compared with lifestyle intervention or a combination of both, not only improves glucose metabolism in IGT, but also leads to reduction of recurrent TIA or ischaemic stroke in these patients. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NL3048.
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Isquemia Encefálica , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2 , Intolerancia a la Glucosa , Ataque Isquémico Transitorio , Accidente Cerebrovascular Isquémico , Metformina , Accidente Cerebrovascular , Glucemia , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/tratamiento farmacológico , Método Doble Ciego , Quimioterapia Combinada , Estudios de Factibilidad , Intolerancia a la Glucosa/tratamiento farmacológico , Hemoglobina Glucada/análisis , Humanos , Hipoglucemiantes/uso terapéutico , Ataque Isquémico Transitorio/tratamiento farmacológico , Metformina/uso terapéutico , Fosfato de Sitagliptina/uso terapéutico , Accidente Cerebrovascular/tratamiento farmacológico , Resultado del TratamientoRESUMEN
OBJECTIVES: Stroke patients should be treated as soon as possible since the benefit of reperfusion therapies is highly time-dependent. The proportion of patients eligible for reperfusion therapy is still limited, as many patients do not immediately alarm healthcare providers. The choice of healthcare system entrance influences the time of arrival in the hospital. Therefore, we assessed differences in these choices to obtain insight for strategies to reduce time delays in acute stroke patients. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Patients with suspected acute stroke admitted to the participating hospitals received a questionnaire. We assessed differences between patients who initially alarmed the general practitioner (GP) and patients who directly alarmed the emergency medical services (EMS). Additionally, we assessed regional differences and patient trajectories after medical help was sought. RESULTS: We included 163 patients. Most patients alarmed the GP as primary healthcare provider (n = 104; 64%), and median onset-to-door times were longer in these patients (466 minutes [IQR 149-1586]) compared to patients directly alarming the EMS (n = 59; 36%) (90 minutes [IQR 45-286]). This was even more pronounced in less densely populated areas. Patients who alarmed the GP first, more often had patient delay >15 minutes, hesitated to burden healthcare providers and underestimated symptomatology. CONCLUSIONS: Our results showed that patients who alarmed the GP first instead of the EMS differed in several factors that are potentially modifiable. Strategies to achieve reduction of vital prehospital time delays and to improve patient outcome are optimizing public awareness campaigns and GP triage along with adjusting current guidelines by enabling and focusing on immediate involvement of the EMS once acute stroke is suspected.
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Conducta de Elección , Aceptación de la Atención de Salud , Accidente Cerebrovascular/psicología , Anciano , Servicio de Urgencia en Hospital , Femenino , Médicos Generales , Conducta de Búsqueda de Ayuda , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Aceptación de la Atención de Salud/psicología , Accidente Cerebrovascular/terapia , Encuestas y CuestionariosRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: In patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage, short-term antifibrinolytic therapy with tranexamic acid has been shown to reduce the risk of rebleeding. However, whether this treatment improves clinical outcome is unclear. We investigated whether ultra-early, short-term treatment with tranexamic acid improves clinical outcome at 6 months. METHODS: In this multicentre prospective, randomised, controlled, open-label trial with masked outcome assessment, adult patients with spontaneous CT-proven subarachnoid haemorrhage in eight treatment centres and 16 referring hospitals in the Netherlands were randomly assigned to treatment with tranexamic acid in addition to care as usual (tranexamic acid group) or care as usual only (control group). Tranexamic acid was started immediately after diagnosis in the presenting hospital (1 g bolus, followed by continuous infusion of 1 g every 8 h, terminated immediately before aneurysm treatment, or 24 h after start of the medication, whichever came first). The primary endpoint was clinical outcome at 6 months, assessed by the modified Rankin Scale, dichotomised into a good (0-3) or poor (4-6) clinical outcome. Both primary and safety analyses were according to intention to treat. This trial is registered at ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT02684812. FINDINGS: Between July 24, 2013, and July 29, 2019, we enrolled 955 patients; 480 patients were randomly assigned to tranexamic acid and 475 patients to the control group. In the intention-to-treat analysis, good clinical outcome was observed in 287 (60%) of 475 patients in the tranexamic acid group, and 300 (64%) of 470 patients in the control group (treatment centre adjusted odds ratio 0·86, 95% CI 0·66-1·12). Rebleeding after randomisation and before aneurysm treatment occurred in 49 (10%) patients in the tranexamic acid and in 66 (14%) patients in the control group (odds ratio 0·71, 95% CI 0·48-1·04). Other serious adverse events were comparable between groups. INTERPRETATION: In patients with CT-proven subarachnoid haemorrhage, presumably caused by a ruptured aneurysm, ultra-early, short-term tranexamic acid treatment did not improve clinical outcome at 6 months, as measured by the modified Rankin Scale. FUNDING: Fonds NutsOhra.
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Antifibrinolíticos/administración & dosificación , Hemorragia Subaracnoidea/tratamiento farmacológico , Ácido Tranexámico/administración & dosificación , Anciano , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Países Bajos , Estudios Prospectivos , Hemorragia Subaracnoidea/mortalidad , Factores de Tiempo , Resultado del TratamientoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: The rate of newly detected (paroxysmal) atrial fibrillation (AF) during inpatient cardiac telemetry is low. The objective of this study was to evaluate the additional diagnostic yield of an automated detection algorithm for AF on telemetric monitoring compared with routine detection by a stroke unit team in patients with recent ischemic stroke or TIA. METHODS: Patients admitted to the stroke unit of Medisch Spectrum Twente with acute ischemic stroke or TIA and no history of AF were prospectively included. All patients had telemetry monitoring, routinely assessed by the stroke unit team. The ST segment and arrhythmia monitoring (ST/AR) algorithm was active, with deactivated AF alarms. After 24 h the detections were analyzed and compared with routine evaluation. RESULTS: Five hundred and seven patients were included (52.5% male, mean age 70.2 ± 12.9 years). Median monitor duration was 24 (interquartile range 22-27) h. In 6 patients (1.2%) routine analysis by the stroke unit team concluded AF. In 24 patients (4.7%), the ST/AR Algorithm suggested AF. Interrater reliability was low (κ, 0.388, p < 0.001). Suggested AF by the algorithm turned out to be false positive in 11 patients. In 13 patients (2.6%) AF was correctly diagnosed by the algorithm. None of the cases detected by routine analysis were missed by the algorithm. CONCLUSIONS: Automated AF detection during 24-h telemetry in ischemic stroke patients is of additional value to detect paroxysmal AF compared with routine analysis by the stroke unit team alone. Automated detections need to be carefully evaluated.
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Algoritmos , Fibrilación Atrial/diagnóstico , Electrocardiografía , Ataque Isquémico Transitorio/diagnóstico , Procesamiento de Señales Asistido por Computador , Accidente Cerebrovascular/diagnóstico , Telemetría , Potenciales de Acción , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Fibrilación Atrial/complicaciones , Fibrilación Atrial/fisiopatología , Femenino , Frecuencia Cardíaca , Humanos , Ataque Isquémico Transitorio/etiología , Ataque Isquémico Transitorio/fisiopatología , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Variaciones Dependientes del Observador , Valor Predictivo de las Pruebas , Estudios Prospectivos , Reproducibilidad de los Resultados , Factores de Riesgo , Accidente Cerebrovascular/etiología , Accidente Cerebrovascular/fisiopatologíaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Impaired glucose tolerance (IGT) in patients with ischemic stroke can return to normal, reflecting an acute stress response, or persist. Persistent IGT is associated with an increased risk of recurrent stroke, other cardiovascular diseases and unfavorable outcome after stroke. We aim to validate our previously developed model to identify patients at risk of persistent IGT in an independent data set, and, if necessary, update the model. METHODS: The validation data set consisted of 239 nondiabetic patients with a minor ischemic stroke or TIA and IGT in the acute phase (2-hour post-load glucose levels between 7.8 and 11.0 mmol/l). The outcome was persistent versus normalized IGT, based on repeated oral glucose tolerance test after a median of 46 days. The discriminative ability of the original model was assessed with the area under the ROC curve (AUC). The updated model was internally validated with bootstrap resampling and cross-validated in the development population of the original model. RESULTS: One-hundred eighteen of 239 (49%) patients had persistent IGT. The original model, with the predictors age, current smoking, statin use, triglyceride, hypertension, history of cardiovascular diseases, body mass index (BMI), fasting plasma glucose performed poorly (AUC .60). The newly developed model included only BMI, hypertension, statin use, atrial fibrillation, 2-hour post-load glucose levels, HbA1c, large artery atherosclerosis, and predicted persistent IGT more accurately (internally validated AUC 0.66, externally validated AUC .71). CONCLUSIONS: This prediction model with simple clinical variables can be used to predict persistent IGT in patients with IGT directly after minor stroke or TIA, and may be useful to optimize secondary prevention by early identification of patients with disturbed glucose metabolism.