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1.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38486357

RESUMEN

AIMS: Recent trials have shown that low-dose colchicine (0.5 mg once daily) reduces major cardiovascular events in patients with acute and chronic coronary syndromes. We aimed to estimate the cost-effectiveness of low-dose colchicine therapy in patients with chronic coronary disease when added to standard background therapy. METHODS AND RESULTS: This Markov cohort cost-effectiveness model used estimates of therapy effectiveness, transition probabilities, costs and quality of life obtained from the Low-dose Colchicine 2 (LoDoCo2) trial, as well as meta-analyses and public sources. In this trial, Low-dose colchicine was added to standard of care and compared to placebo. The main outcomes were cardiovascular events including myocardial infarction, stroke and coronary revascularisation, quality-adjusted life-year (QALY), the cost per QALY gained (incremental cost-effectiveness ratio), and net monetary benefit. In the model, low-dose colchicine therapy yielded 0.04 additional QALYs compared with standard of care at an incremental cost of €455 from a societal perspective and €729 from a healthcare perspective, resulting in a cost per QALY gained of €12,176/QALY from a societal perspective and €19,499/QALY from a healthcare perspective. Net monetary benefit was €1,414 from a societal perspective and €1,140 from a healthcare perspective. Low-dose colchicine has a 96% and 94% chance of being cost effective, from respectively a societal and healthcare perspective when using a willingness to pay of €50,000/QALY. Net monetary benefit would decrease below zero when annual low-dose colchicine costs would exceed an annual cost of €221 per patient. CONCLUSION: Adding low-dose colchicine to standard of care in patients with chronic coronary disease is cost-effective according to commonly accepted thresholds in Europe and Australia and compares favourably in cost-effectiveness to other drugs used in chronic coronary disease.

3.
J Public Health (Oxf) ; 46(1): 158-167, 2024 Feb 23.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37993975

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Many children do not accumulate sufficient physical activity for good health and development at early childhood education and care (ECEC). This study examined the association between ECEC organizational readiness and implementation fidelity of an ECEC-specific physical activity policy intervention. METHODS: Play Active aimed to improve the ECEC educator's physical activity practices. We investigated the implementation of Play Active using a Type 1 hybrid study (January 2021-March 2022). Associations between organizational readiness factors and service-level implementation fidelity were examined using linear regressions. Fidelity data were collected from project records, educator surveys and website analytics. RESULTS: ECEC services with higher levels of organizational commitment and capacity at pre-implementation reported higher fidelity scores compared to services with lower organizational commitment and capacity (all Ps < 0.05). Similarly, services who perceived intervention acceptability and appropriateness at pre-implementation to be high had higher fidelity scores (P < 0.05). Perceived feasibility and organizational efficacy of Play Active were associated with higher but nonsignificant fidelity scores. CONCLUSIONS: Results indicate that organizational readiness factors may influence the implementation of ECEC-specific physical activity policy interventions. Therefore, strategies to improve organizational readiness should be developed and tested. These findings warrant confirmation in the ECEC and other settings and with other health behavior interventions.


Asunto(s)
Ejercicio Físico , Políticas , Niño , Preescolar , Humanos
4.
Front Public Health ; 11: 1288760, 2023.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38098824

RESUMEN

Introduction: Evidence of the benefits of arts engagement to community wellbeing has been mounting since the 1990s. However, large scale, quantitative, epidemiological studies of the "arts-healthy aging" relationship, or the types of arts older adults voluntarily choose to engage in as part of their everyday life, for enjoyment, entertainment or as a hobby (vs. therapy or interventions) are limited. The aims of this study were to describe older adult recreational arts engagement via the Busselton Healthy Ageing Study (BHAS) cohort, and to determine if there was an association between arts engagement, general health and mental wellbeing. Methods: Overall, 2,843 older adults (born 1946-1964) from the BHAS cohort (n = 5,107) who had completed a supplementary arts survey (n = 3,055, 60%) and had data on required variables were included in this study (93% of those eligible). The dependent variable was general health (SF12) and subjective mental wellbeing (Warwick-Edinburgh Mental Wellbeing Scale, WEMWBS). The independent variable was hours engaged in recreational arts in the last 12 months. A descriptive analysis followed by a linear regression analysis was conducted. Results: The prevalence of recreational arts engagement in the last 12 months was 85% (mean = 132 h/year). Older adults engaged in the arts in a number of ways including attending events (79%), actively participating/making art (40%), as an arts society/club/organization member (20%), by learning about the arts (13%) or by volunteering/working in the arts (non-professional, 11%). When general health was assessed via the SF12, the average physical component score (PCS) was 50.1 (SD 8.9) and the average mental component score (MCS) was 53.6 (SD 8.3). When mental wellbeing was assessed, the average WEMWBS score was 54.9 (SD = 8.6). After adjustment for 12 demographic and lifestyle covariates, it was found that older adults who engaged in any recreational arts in the last 12 months had significantly higher WEMWBS scores and higher SF12 physical component scores than those who did not engage in the arts (0 h/year). Discussion: Evidence of an arts-health relationship was found in this study. The suitability of the arts as a population based, healthy aging strategy to influence the mental wellbeing and general health of older adults should be investigated further.


Asunto(s)
Envejecimiento Saludable , Salud Mental , Humanos , Anciano , Australia , Envejecimiento , Estado de Salud
5.
Front Cardiovasc Med ; 10: 1244529, 2023.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37868776

RESUMEN

Introduction: Despite optimal treatment, patients with chronic coronary artery disease (CAD) and diabetes mellitus (DM) are at high risk of cardiovascular events, emphasizing the need for new treatment options. The Low-Dose Colchicine 2 (LoDoCo2) trial demonstrated that colchicine reduces cardiovascular risk in patients with chronic CAD. This analysis determines the efficacy of colchicine in patients with chronic CAD and DM as well as the effect of colchicine on the development of new-onset type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). Methods: The LoDoCo2 trial randomized 5,522 patients to placebo or colchicine 0.5 mg once daily, with a median follow-up of 28.6 months. The primary composite endpoint was cardiovascular death, spontaneous myocardial infarction, ischemic stroke, or ischemia-driven revascularization. The effect of its treatment in patients with and without DM was evaluated by including an interaction term in the model. Results: A total of 1,007 participants (18.2%) had T2DM at baseline. The adjusted hazard ratio (HR) [(95% confidence interval (CI)] for the primary endpoint in the T2DM group was 1.52 (1.15-2.01, p < 0.01) compared with the group without T2DM. The HR for the treatment effect on the primary endpoint was 0.87 (0.61-1.25) in participants with T2DM and 0.64 (0.51-0.80) in participants without diabetes (pinteraction = 0.14). The incidence of new-onset T2DM was 1.5% (34 out of 2,270) in the colchicine group and 2.2% (49 out of 2,245) in the placebo group (p = 0.10). Discussion: In conclusion, based on the current evidence, the beneficial effects of colchicine on cardiovascular endpoints are consistent regardless of DM status. The potential benefits of colchicine in preventing new-onset DM need further investigation. These findings are only hypothesis-generating and require larger prospective trials to confirm the results.

6.
Eur J Prev Cardiol ; 30(18): 1950-1962, 2023 12 21.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37409348

RESUMEN

AIMS: Low-dose colchicine reduces cardiovascular risk in patients with coronary artery disease (CAD), but absolute benefits may vary between individuals. This study aimed to assess the range of individual absolute benefits from low-dose colchicine according to patient risk profile. METHODS AND RESULTS: The European Society of Cardiology (ESC) guideline-recommended SMART-REACH model was combined with the relative treatment effect of low-dose colchicine and applied to patients with CAD from the Low-Dose Colchicine 2 (LoDoCo2) trial and the Utrecht Cardiovascular Cohort-Second Manifestations of ARTerial disease (UCC-SMART) study (n = 10 830). Individual treatment benefits were expressed as 10-year absolute risk reductions (ARRs) for myocardial infarction, stroke, or cardiovascular death (MACE), and MACE-free life-years gained. Predictions were also performed for MACE plus coronary revascularization (MACE+), using a new lifetime model derived in the REduction of Atherothrombosis for Continued Health (REACH) registry. Colchicine was compared with other ESC guideline-recommended intensified (Step 2) prevention strategies, i.e. LDL cholesterol (LDL-c) reduction to 1.4 mmol/L and systolic blood pressure (SBP) reduction to 130 mmHg. The generalizability to other populations was assessed in patients with CAD from REACH North America and Western Europe (n = 25 812). The median 10-year ARR from low-dose colchicine was 4.6% [interquartile range (IQR) 3.6-6.0%] for MACE and 8.6% (IQR 7.6-9.8%) for MACE+. Lifetime benefit was 2.0 (IQR 1.6-2.5) MACE-free years, and 3.4 (IQR 2.6-4.2) MACE+-free life-years gained. For LDL-c and SBP reduction, respectively, the median 10-year ARR for MACE was 3.0% (IQR 1.5-5.1%) and 1.7% (IQR 0.0-5.7%), and the lifetime benefit was 1.2 (IQR 0.6-2.1) and 0.7 (IQR 0.0-2.3) MACE-free life-years gained. Similar results were obtained for MACE+ and in American and European patients from REACH. CONCLUSION: The absolute benefits of low-dose colchicine vary between individual patients with chronic CAD. They may be expected to be of at least similar magnitude to those of intensified LDL-c and SBP reduction in a majority of patients already on conventional lipid-lowering and blood pressure-lowering therapy.


The long-term benefits of treatment with low-dose colchicine were estimated for 36 642 individuals with coronary heart disease, and compared with those of lipid- and blood pressure­lowering therapy. On average, low-dose colchicine was estimated to lower the risk of cardiovascular disease in the next 10 years from 17.8 to 13.2% (a reduction of 4.6% points) and to afford 2.0 additional years of life without cardiovascular disease.Low-dose colchicine was estimated to be the most effective treatment in 49%, intensive blood pressure­lowering therapy in 28%, and intensive lipid-lowering therapy in 23% of patients.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedad de la Arteria Coronaria , Inhibidores de Hidroximetilglutaril-CoA Reductasas , Infarto del Miocardio , Humanos , Enfermedad de la Arteria Coronaria/diagnóstico , Enfermedad de la Arteria Coronaria/tratamiento farmacológico , Inhibidores de Hidroximetilglutaril-CoA Reductasas/uso terapéutico , LDL-Colesterol , Colchicina/efectos adversos , Infarto del Miocardio/tratamiento farmacológico , Factores de Riesgo
7.
Clin Epidemiol ; 15: 203-211, 2023.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36846512

RESUMEN

Purpose: People with cardiac disease have 2-4 times greater risk of stroke than the general population. We measured stroke incidence in people with coronary heart disease (CHD), atrial fibrillation (AF) or valvular heart disease (VHD). Methods: We used a person-linked hospitalization/mortality dataset to identify all people hospitalized with CHD, AF or VHD (1985-2017), and stratified them as pre-existing (hospitalized 1985-2012 and alive at October 31, 2012) or new (first-ever cardiac hospitalization in the five-year study period, 2012-2017). We identified first-ever strokes occurring from 2012 to 2017 in patients aged 20-94 years and calculated age-specific and age-standardized rates (ASR) for each cardiac cohort. Results: Of the 175,560 people in the cohort, most had CHD (69.9%); 16.3% had multiple cardiac conditions. From 2012-17, 5871 first-ever strokes occurred. ASRs were greater in females than males in single and multiple condition cardiac groups, largely driven by rates in females aged ≥75 years, with stroke incidence in this age group being at least 20% greater in females than males in each cardiac subgroup. In females aged 20-54 years, stroke incidence was 4.9-fold greater in those with multiple versus single cardiac conditions. This differential declined with increasing age. Non-fatal stroke incidence was greater than fatal stroke in all age groups except in the 85-94 age group. Incidence rate ratios were up to 2-fold larger in new versus pre-existing cardiac disease. Conclusion: Stroke incidence in people with cardiac disease is substantial, with older females, and younger patients with multiple cardiac conditions, at elevated risk. These patients should be specifically targeted for evidence-based management to minimize the burden of stroke.

8.
Eur J Endocrinol ; 188(2)2023 Feb 14.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36751991

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: Older men on an average have lower testosterone concentrations, compared with younger men, and more age-related comorbidities. Whether lower testosterone concentrations contribute to biological ageing remains unclear. Shorter telomeres are a marker for biological age. We tested the hypothesis that testosterone concentrations are associated with leucocyte telomere length (LTL), in middle- to older-aged men. DESIGN: Cross-sectional analysis of the UK Biobank study, involving community-dwelling men aged 40-69 years. METHODS: Serum testosterone and sex hormone-binding globulin (SHBG) were assayed. Free testosterone was calculated (cFT). Leucocyte telomere length was measured using polymerase chain reaction. Multivariable models were used to assess associations of hormones with standardised LTL. RESULTS: In 167 706 men, median age 58 years, adjusting for sociodemographic, lifestyle, and medical factors, total testosterone was inversely associated with standardised LTL, which was 0.09 longer (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.08-0.10, P < .001) in men with total testosterone at median of lowest quintile [Q1] vs highest [Q5]. This relationship was attenuated after additional adjustment for SHBG (0.03 longer, CI = 0.02-0.05, P = .003). The association between cFT and LTL was similar in direction but lower in magnitude. In multivariable analysis, SHBG was inversely associated with standardised LTL, which was 0.12 longer (CI = 0.10-0.13, P < .001) for SHBG at median Q1 vs Q5. Results were similar with testosterone included in the model (0.10 longer, CI = 0.08-0.12, P < .001). CONCLUSIONS: Total testosterone and SHBG were independently and inversely associated with LTL. Men with higher testosterone or SHBG had shorter telomeres, arguing against a role for testosterone to slow biological ageing in men.


Asunto(s)
Bancos de Muestras Biológicas , Globulina de Unión a Hormona Sexual , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios Transversales , Globulina de Unión a Hormona Sexual/análisis , Telómero , Testosterona , Reino Unido
9.
Int J Cardiol ; 372: 1-5, 2023 02 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36529304

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Low-dose colchicine significantly reduces the risk of cardiovascular events in patients with chronic coronary disease. An increase of non-cardiovascular death raised concerns about its safety. This study reports cause-specific mortality and baseline predictors of mortality in the Low-Dose Colchicine 2 (LoDoCo2) trial. METHODS: Patients with chronic coronary disease were randomly allocated to colchicine 0.5 mg once daily or placebo on a background of optimal medical therapy. Cause-specific mortality data were analysed, stratified by treatment status. Multivariate analyses were performed to examine the predictors of mortality as well as cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular death. RESULTS: After a median 28.6 months follow-up, 133 out of 5522 participants (2.4%) died. Forty-five deaths were cardiovascular (colchicine versus placebo: 20 [0.7%] versus 25 [0.9%], HR, 0.80; 95% CI, 0.44-1.44), while eighty-eight deaths were non-cardiovascular (53 [1.9%] versus 35 [1.3%]; HR, 1.51; 95% CI, 0.99-2.31). Forty-eight deaths were due to cancer (26 [0.9%] versus 22 [0.8%]), thirteen end-stage pulmonary disease (9 [0.3%] versus 4 [0.1%]), eight infection (4 [0.1%] versus 4 [0.1%]), five dementia (4 [0.1%] versus 1 [0.0%]) and five related multiple organ failure (3 [0.1%] versus 2 [0.1%]). Multivariable analysis demonstrated age > 65 years was the only independent baseline characteristic associated with non-cardiovascular death (HR, 3.65; 95% CI, 2.06-6.47). CONCLUSIONS: During the LoDoCo2 trial, assignment to colchicine was not associated with an adverse effect on any specific causes of death. Most deaths were related to non-cardiovascular causes, underscoring the importance of comorbidities as drivers of all-cause mortality in patients with chronic coronary disease.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedad Coronaria , Cardiopatías , Infarto del Miocardio , Humanos , Anciano , Colchicina/uso terapéutico , Cardiopatías/tratamiento farmacológico , Enfermedad Crónica , Enfermedad Coronaria/tratamiento farmacológico
10.
Clin Drug Investig ; 42(11): 977-985, 2022 Nov.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36208364

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: The Low-Dose Colchicine-2 (LoDoCo2) trial showed that 2-4 years exposure to colchicine 0.5 mg once daily reduced the risk of cardiovascular events in patients with chronic coronary artery disease. The potential effect of years-long exposure to colchicine on renal or liver function and creatine kinase (CK) has not been systematically evaluated and was investigated in this LoDoCo2 substudy. METHODS: Blood samples drawn from 1776 participants at the close-out visit of the LoDoCo2 trial were used to measure markers of renal function (creatinine, blood urea nitrogen [BUN]), liver function (alanine aminotransferase [ALT], γ-glutamyl transferase [GGT], bilirubin and albumin), and CK. Renal and liver function as well as hyperCKemia (elevated CK) were categorized to the degree of elevation biomarkers as mild, mild/moderate, moderate/severe, and marked elevations. RESULTS: In total, 1776 participants (mean age 66.5 years, 72% male) contributed to this analysis, with a median exposure to trial medication of 32.7 months. Compared with placebo, colchicine was not associated with changes in creatinine and BUN but was associated with elevations in ALT (30 U/L vs. 26 U/L; p < 0.01) and CK (123 U/L vs. 110 U/L; p < 0.01). Most elevations in ALT and CK were mild in both treatment groups. There were no moderate to marked ALT elevations (> 5-10 × upper limit of normal [ULN]) in both treatment groups, and 6 (0.7%) colchicine-treated vs. 2 (0.2%) placebo-treated participants had moderate to marked CK elevations (> 5-10 × ULN). CONCLUSION: In chronic coronary artery disease, 2-4 years of exposure to colchicine 0.5 mg once daily was associated with small elevations in ALT and CK, but was not associated with changes in renal function. TRIAL REGISTRATION: https://www.anzctr.org.au ; ACTRN12614000093684, 24 January 2014.


Asunto(s)
Colchicina , Enfermedad de la Arteria Coronaria , Anciano , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Biomarcadores , Colchicina/efectos adversos , Creatina Quinasa/farmacología , Creatinina , Riñón/fisiología , Hígado
11.
Anesth Analg ; 135(3): 586-591, 2022 09 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35977367

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Most patients transfused red blood cells in elective surgery receive small volumes of blood, which is likely to be discretionary and avoidable. We investigated the outcomes of patients who received a single unit of packed red blood cells during their hospital admission for an elective surgical procedure when compared to those not transfused. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study included elective surgical admissions to 4 hospitals in Western Australia over a 6-year period. Participants were included if they were at least 18 years of age and were admitted for elective surgery between July 2014 and June 2020. We compared outcomes of patients who had received 1 unit of red blood cells to patients who had not been transfused. To balance differences in patient characteristics, we weighted our multivariable regression models using the inverse probability of treatment. In addition to propensity score weighting, our multivariable regression models adjusted for hemoglobin level, surgical procedure, patient age, gender, comorbidities, and the transfusion of fresh-frozen plasma or platelets. Outcomes studied were hospital-acquired infection, hospital length of stay, and all-cause emergency readmissions within 28 days. RESULTS: Overall, 767 (3.2%) patients received a transfusion of 1 unit of red blood cells throughout their admission. In the propensity score weighted analysis, the transfusion of a single unit of red blood cells was associated with higher odds of hospital-acquired infection (odds ratio, 3.94; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.99-5.20; P < .001). Patients who received 1 unit of red blood cells throughout their admission were more likely to have a longer hospital stay (rate ratio, 1.57; 95% CI, 1.51-1.63; P < .001) and had 1.42 (95% CI, 1.20-1.69; P < .001) times higher odds of 28-day readmission. CONCLUSIONS: These results suggest that avoidance of even small volumes of packed red blood cells may prevent adverse clinical outcomes. This may encourage hospital administrators to implement strategies to avoid the transfusion of even small volumes of red blood cells by applying patient blood management practices.


Asunto(s)
Infección Hospitalaria , Procedimientos Quirúrgicos Electivos , Procedimientos Quirúrgicos Electivos/efectos adversos , Transfusión de Eritrocitos/efectos adversos , Transfusión de Eritrocitos/métodos , Eritrocitos , Hospitales , Humanos , Tiempo de Internación , Readmisión del Paciente , Estudios Retrospectivos
13.
JACC Cardiovasc Imaging ; 15(6): 1001-1011, 2022 06.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35033490

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The pathophysiological and clinical significance of microvascular dysfunction (MVD) in patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) remains uncertain. OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to use cardiovascular magnetic resonance to: 1) quantify coronary microvascular function; 2) examine the relationship between perfusion and fibrosis; and 3) evaluate the impact of MVD and fibrosis on long-term clinical outcomes. METHODS: In a prospective, observational study, patients with HFpEF and control subjects underwent multiparametric cardiovascular magnetic resonance (comprising assessment of left ventricular volumetry, perfusion, and fibrosis [focal by late gadolinium enhancement and diffuse by extracellular volume]). The primary endpoint was the composite of death or hospitalization with heart failure. RESULTS: One hundred and one patients with HFpEF (mean age 73 ± 9 years, mean ejection fraction 56% ± 5%) and 43 control subjects (mean age 73 ± 5 years, mean ejection fraction 58% ± 5%) were studied. Myocardial perfusion reserve (MPR) was lower in patients with HFpEF versus control subjects (1.74 ± 0.76 vs 2.22 ± 0.76; P = 0.001). MVD (defined as MPR <2.0) was present in 70% of patients with HFpEF (vs 48% of control subjects; P = 0.014). There was no significant linear correlation between MPR and diffuse fibrosis (r = -0.10; P = 0.473) and no difference in MPR between those with and without focal fibrosis (mean difference -0.03; 95% CI: -0.37 to 0.30). In the HFpEF group, during median follow-up of 3.1 years, there were 45 composite events. MPR was independently predictive of clinical outcome following adjustment for clinical, blood, and imaging parameters (1 SD increase: HR: 0.673 [95% CI: 0.463 to 0.978; P = 0.038]; HR: 0.694 [95% CI: 0.491 to 0.982; P = 0.039]; and HR: 0.690 [95% CI: 0.489 to 0.973; P = 0.034], respectively). CONCLUSIONS: MVD is highly prevalent among patients with HFpEF and is an independent predictor of prognosis. The lack of correlation between MVD and fibrosis may challenge the assertion of a direct causal link between these entities. (Developing Imaging and Plasma Biomarkers in Describing Heart Failure With Preserved Ejection Fraction [DIAMONDHFpEF]; NCT03050593).


Asunto(s)
Insuficiencia Cardíaca , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Medios de Contraste , Fibrosis , Gadolinio , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/diagnóstico por imagen , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/epidemiología , Humanos , Imagen por Resonancia Cinemagnética/métodos , Persona de Mediana Edad , Valor Predictivo de las Pruebas , Prevalencia , Pronóstico , Estudios Prospectivos , Volumen Sistólico , Función Ventricular Izquierda
14.
Res Social Adm Pharm ; 18(7): 3137-3148, 2022 07.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34556434

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The imperative to identify patients at risk of medication-related harm has never been greater. Hospital clinicians cannot easily predict risk of readmission or harm. Candidate variables associated with medication-related harm derived from the literature or significantly represented in a complex patient cohort have been previously described by PHarmacie-4. With a focus on polypharmacy and high-risk medicines in vulnerable patient cohorts, PHarmacie-4 was easy to use and highlighted risks. However it over-estimated risk, reducing its usefulness in stratifying risk of readmission. OBJECTIVE: Develop a risk prediction tool built into a smart phone app, enabling clinicians to identify and refer high-risk patients for an early post-discharge medicines review. Demonstrate usability, real world application and validity in an independent dataset. METHODS: A retrospective, observational study was conducted with 1201 randomly selected patients admitted to Sir Charles Gairdner Hospital between June 1, 2016 to December 31, 2016. Patient characteristics and outcomes of interest were reported, including unplanned hospital utilisation at 30, 60 and 90 days post-discharge. Using multivariable logistic regression modelling, an algorithm was developed, built into a smart phone app and used and validated in an independent dataset. RESULTS: 738 patients (61%) were included in the derivation sample. The best predictive performance was achieved by PHarmacie-R (C-statistic 0.72, 95% CI 0.68-0.75) which included PHarmacie-4 risk variables, a non-linear effect of age, unplanned hospital utilisation in the preceding six months and gender. The independent validation dataset had a C-statistic of 0.64 (95% CI 0.56-0.72). CONCLUSION: PHarmacie-R is the first readmission risk prediction tool, built into a smart phone app, focussing on polypharmacy and high-risk medicines in vulnerable patients. It can assist clinical pharmacists to identify medical inpatients who may benefit from early post-discharge medication management services. External validation is needed to enable application in other clinical settings.


Asunto(s)
Readmisión del Paciente , Farmacias , Cuidados Posteriores , Humanos , Lactante , Alta del Paciente , Estudios Retrospectivos , Factores de Riesgo
15.
Nat Genet ; 53(10): 1425-1433, 2021 10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34611362

RESUMEN

Telomeres, the end fragments of chromosomes, play key roles in cellular proliferation and senescence. Here we characterize the genetic architecture of naturally occurring variation in leukocyte telomere length (LTL) and identify causal links between LTL and biomedical phenotypes in 472,174 well-characterized UK Biobank participants. We identified 197 independent sentinel variants associated with LTL at 138 genomic loci (108 new). Genetically determined differences in LTL were associated with multiple biological traits, ranging from height to bone marrow function, as well as several diseases spanning neoplastic, vascular and inflammatory pathologies. Finally, we estimated that, at the age of 40 years, people with an LTL >1 s.d. shorter than the population mean had a 2.5-year-lower life expectancy compared with the group with ≥1 s.d. longer LDL. Overall, we furnish new insights into the genetic regulation of LTL, reveal wide-ranging influences of LTL on physiological traits, diseases and longevity, and provide a powerful resource available to the global research community.


Asunto(s)
Herencia Multifactorial/genética , Homeostasis del Telómero/genética , Genoma Humano , Estudio de Asociación del Genoma Completo , Humanos , Análisis de la Aleatorización Mendeliana , Sitios de Carácter Cuantitativo
16.
J Am Coll Cardiol ; 78(9): 859-866, 2021 08 31.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34446156

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Colchicine reduces risk of cardiovascular events in patients post-myocardial infarction and in patients with chronic coronary disease. It remains unclear whether this effect is related to the time of onset of treatment following an acute coronary syndrome (ACS). OBJECTIVES: This study investigates risk for major adverse cardiovascular events in relation to history and timing of prior ACS, to determine whether the benefits of colchicine are consistent independent of prior ACS status. METHODS: The LoDoCo2 (Low-Dose Colchicine 2) trial randomly allocated patients with chronic coronary disease to colchicine 0.5 mg once daily or placebo. The rate of the composite of cardiovascular death, spontaneous myocardial infarction, ischemic stroke, or ischemia-driven coronary revascularization was compared between patients with no prior, recent (6-24 months), remote (2-7 years), or very remote (>7 years) ACS; interaction between ACS status and colchicine treatment effect was assessed. RESULTS: In 5,522 randomized patients, risk of the primary endpoint was independent of prior ACS status. Colchicine consistently reduced the primary endpoint in patients with no prior ACS (incidence: 2.8 vs 3.4 events per 100 person-years; hazard ratio [HR]: 0.81; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.52-1.27), recent ACS (incidence: 2.4 vs 3.3 events per 100 person-years; HR: 0.75; 95% CI: 0.51-1.10), remote ACS (incidence: 1.8 vs 3.2 events per 100 person-years, HR: 0.55; 95% CI: 0.37-0.82), and very remote ACS (incidence: 3.0 vs 4.3 events per 100 person-years, HR: 0.70; 95% CI: 0.51-0.96) (P for interaction = 0.59). CONCLUSIONS: The benefits of colchicine are consistent irrespective of history and timing of prior ACS. (The LoDoCo2 Trial: Low Dose Colchicine for secondary prevention of cardiovascular disease [LoDoCo2] ACTRN12614000093684).


Asunto(s)
Síndrome Coronario Agudo , Colchicina , Síndrome Coronario Agudo/complicaciones , Síndrome Coronario Agudo/diagnóstico , Síndrome Coronario Agudo/tratamiento farmacológico , Colchicina/administración & dosificación , Colchicina/efectos adversos , Relación Dosis-Respuesta a Droga , Método Doble Ciego , Monitoreo de Drogas , Femenino , Supresores de la Gota/administración & dosificación , Supresores de la Gota/efectos adversos , Humanos , Incidencia , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Infarto del Miocardio/diagnóstico , Infarto del Miocardio/etiología , Evaluación de Resultado en la Atención de Salud , Medición de Riesgo , Prevención Secundaria/métodos , Accidente Cerebrovascular/diagnóstico , Accidente Cerebrovascular/etiología , Tiempo de Tratamiento
18.
N Engl J Med ; 383(19): 1838-1847, 2020 11 05.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32865380

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Evidence from a recent trial has shown that the antiinflammatory effects of colchicine reduce the risk of cardiovascular events in patients with recent myocardial infarction, but evidence of such a risk reduction in patients with chronic coronary disease is limited. METHODS: In a randomized, controlled, double-blind trial, we assigned patients with chronic coronary disease to receive 0.5 mg of colchicine once daily or matching placebo. The primary end point was a composite of cardiovascular death, spontaneous (nonprocedural) myocardial infarction, ischemic stroke, or ischemia-driven coronary revascularization. The key secondary end point was a composite of cardiovascular death, spontaneous myocardial infarction, or ischemic stroke. RESULTS: A total of 5522 patients underwent randomization; 2762 were assigned to the colchicine group and 2760 to the placebo group. The median duration of follow-up was 28.6 months. A primary end-point event occurred in 187 patients (6.8%) in the colchicine group and in 264 patients (9.6%) in the placebo group (incidence, 2.5 vs. 3.6 events per 100 person-years; hazard ratio, 0.69; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.57 to 0.83; P<0.001). A key secondary end-point event occurred in 115 patients (4.2%) in the colchicine group and in 157 patients (5.7%) in the placebo group (incidence, 1.5 vs. 2.1 events per 100 person-years; hazard ratio, 0.72; 95% CI, 0.57 to 0.92; P = 0.007). The incidence rates of spontaneous myocardial infarction or ischemia-driven coronary revascularization (composite end point), cardiovascular death or spontaneous myocardial infarction (composite end point), ischemia-driven coronary revascularization, and spontaneous myocardial infarction were also significantly lower with colchicine than with placebo. The incidence of death from noncardiovascular causes was higher in the colchicine group than in the placebo group (incidence, 0.7 vs. 0.5 events per 100 person-years; hazard ratio, 1.51; 95% CI, 0.99 to 2.31). CONCLUSIONS: In a randomized trial involving patients with chronic coronary disease, the risk of cardiovascular events was significantly lower among those who received 0.5 mg of colchicine once daily than among those who received placebo. (Funded by the National Health Medical Research Council of Australia and others; LoDoCo2 Australian New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry number, ACTRN12614000093684.).


Asunto(s)
Antiinflamatorios/uso terapéutico , Colchicina/uso terapéutico , Enfermedad Coronaria/tratamiento farmacológico , Anciano , Antiinflamatorios/efectos adversos , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/epidemiología , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/mortalidad , Enfermedad Crónica , Colchicina/efectos adversos , Método Doble Ciego , Femenino , Estudios de Seguimiento , Humanos , Incidencia , Análisis de Intención de Tratar , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Modelos de Riesgos Proporcionales
19.
Neurobiol Aging ; 95: 46-55, 2020 11.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32750666

RESUMEN

Neocortical Aß-amyloid deposition, one of the hallmark pathologic features of Alzheimer's disease (AD), begins decades prior to the presence of clinical symptoms. As clinical trials move to secondary and even primary prevention, understanding the rates of neocortical Aß-amyloid deposition and the age at which Aß-amyloid deposition becomes abnormal is crucial for optimizing the timing of these trials. As APOE-ε4 carriage is thought to modulate the age of clinical onset, it is also important to understand the impact of APOE-ε4 carriage on the age at which the neocortical Aß-amyloid deposition becomes abnormal. Here, we show that, for 455 participants with over 3 years of follow-up, abnormal levels of neocortical Aß-amyloid were reached on average at age 72 (66.5-77.1). The APOE-ε4 carriers reached abnormal levels earlier at age 63 (59.6-70.3); however, noncarriers reached the threshold later at age 78 (76.1-84.4). No differences in the rates of deposition were observed between APOE-ε4 carriers and noncarriers after abnormal Aß-amyloid levels had been reached. These results suggest that primary and secondary prevention trials, looking to recruit at the earliest stages of disease, should target APOE-ε4 carriers between the ages of 60 and 66 and noncarriers between the ages of 76 and 84.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedad de Alzheimer/diagnóstico , Enfermedad de Alzheimer/genética , Péptidos beta-Amiloides/metabolismo , Apolipoproteínas E/genética , Heterocigoto , Neocórtex/metabolismo , Edad de Inicio , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Alelos , Enfermedad de Alzheimer/prevención & control , Biomarcadores/metabolismo , Estudios de Cohortes , Estudios de Seguimiento , Humanos , Persona de Mediana Edad
20.
Eur Respir J ; 55(5)2020 05.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32079642

RESUMEN

INTRODUCTION: Pathophysiology changes associated with pleural effusion, its drainage and factors governing symptom response are poorly understood. Our objective was to determine: 1) the effect of pleural effusion (and its drainage) on cardiorespiratory, functional and diaphragmatic parameters; and 2) the proportion as well as characteristics of patients with breathlessness relief post-drainage. METHODS: Prospectively enrolled patients with symptomatic pleural effusions were assessed at both pre-therapeutic drainage and at 24-36 h post-therapeutic drainage. RESULTS: 145 participants completed pre-drainage and post-drainage tests; 93% had effusions ≥25% of hemithorax. The median volume drained was 1.68 L. Breathlessness scores improved post-drainage (mean visual analogue scale (VAS) score by 28.0±24 mm; dyspnoea-12 (D12) score by 10.5±8.8; resting Borg score before 6-min walk test (6-MWT) by 0.6±1.7; all p<0.0001). The 6-min walk distance (6-MWD) increased by 29.7±73.5 m, p<0.0001. Improvements in vital signs and spirometry were modest (forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1) by 0.22 L, 95% CI 0.18-0.27; forced vital capacity (FVC) by 0.30 L, 95% CI 0.24-0.37). The ipsilateral hemi-diaphragm was flattened/everted in 50% of participants pre-drainage and 48% of participants exhibited paradoxical or no diaphragmatic movement. Post-drainage, hemi-diaphragm shape and movement were normal in 94% and 73% of participants, respectively. Drainage provided meaningful breathlessness relief (VAS score improved ≥14 mm) in 73% of participants irrespective of whether the lung expanded (mean difference 0.14, 95% CI 10.02-0.29; p=0.13). Multivariate analyses found that breathlessness relief was associated with significant breathlessness pre-drainage (odds ratio (OR) 5.83 per standard deviation (sd) decrease), baseline abnormal/paralyzed/paradoxical diaphragm movement (OR 4.37), benign aetiology (OR 3.39), higher pleural pH (OR per sd increase 1.92) and higher serum albumin level (OR per sd increase 1.73). CONCLUSIONS: Breathlessness and exercise tolerance improved in most patients with only a small mean improvement in spirometry and no change in oxygenation. Breathlessness improvement was similar in participants with and without trapped lung. Abnormal hemi-diaphragm shape and movement were independently associated with relief of breathlessness post-drainage.


Asunto(s)
Drenaje , Disnea/fisiopatología , Derrame Pleural/complicaciones , Derrame Pleural/cirugía , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Australia , Femenino , Volumen Espiratorio Forzado , Humanos , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios Prospectivos , Mecánica Respiratoria , Espirometría , Evaluación de Síntomas
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