Tracking the Strength of the Walker Circulation with Stable Isotopes in Water Vapor.

General circulation models (GCMs) predict that the global hydrological cycle will change in response to anthropogenic warming. However, these predictions remain uncertain, in particular for precipitation [IPCC, 2013]. Held and Soden [2006] suggest that as lower-tropospheric water vapor concentration increases in a warming climate, the atmospheric circulation and convective mass fluxes will weaken. Unfortunately, this process is difficult to constrain, as convective mass fluxes are poorly observed and incompletely simulated in GCMs. Here, we demonstrate that stable hydrogen isotope ratios in tropical atmospheric water vapor can trace changes in temperature, atmospheric circulation and convective mass flux in a warming world. We evaluate changes in temperature, the distribution of water vapor, vertical velocity (ω) and advection, and water isotopes in vapor (δD V ) in water isotopeenabled GCM experiments for modern vs. high CO 2 atmospheres to identify spatial patterns of circulation change over the tropical Pacific. We find that slowing circulation in the tropical Pacific moistens the lower troposphere and weakens convective mass flux, both of which impact the δD of water vapor in the mid-troposphere. Our findings constitute a critical demonstration of how water isotope ratios in the tropical Pacific respond to changes in radiative forcing and atmospheric warming. Moreover, as changes in δD V can be observed by satellites, our results develop new metrics for the detection of global warming impacts to the hydrological cycle and, specifically, the strength of the Walker Circulation.

Shallow Groundwater Conveyance of Geologically Derived Contaminants to Urban Creeks in Southern California.

In California alone, there are currently over 200 instances on the EPA's list of impaired water bodies with unknown sources of excessive salinity or trace contaminants. This investigation focuses on Orange County, CA, a region that has undergone extensive hydrological modification, relies heavily on imported water for municipal supply, and has come under regulatory scrutiny for elevated TDS, sulfate, Cd, Ni, and Se. A survey of shallow groundwater weeps and springs, discharging directly to urban creeks, reveals high concentrations of TDS, sulfate, Cd, Ni, Zn, Cu, and Se that are often far in excess of water quality standards. Isotopic (δ(34)S and δ(18)O) and geochemical evidence indicate that the source of sulfate and TDS is weathering of sulfide minerals in the Capistrano Formation marine mudstone and dissolution of secondary minerals formed during past periods of sulfide oxidation, rather than anthropogenic inputs. The relative availability of carbonate minerals along the flow path appears to control pH, which then influences trace metal mobility to surface waters. Stable isotopes of H2O indicate that despite widespread use of imported water, meteoric recharge dominates shallow groundwater inputs with municipal sources contributing only 13-29% of discharge. These findings highlight the importance of understanding the hydrogeological setting to properly apportion contaminant sources and conveyances.

Paired oxygen isotope records reveal modern North American atmospheric dynamics during the Holocene.

The Pacific North American (PNA) teleconnection has a strong influence on North American climate. Instrumental records and century-scale reconstructions indicate an accelerating tendency towards the positive PNA state since the mid-1850s, but much less is known about long-term PNA variability. Here we reconstruct PNA-like climate variability during the mid- and late Holocene using paired oxygen isotope records from two regions in North America with robust, anticorrelated isotopic response to the modern PNA. We identify mean states of more negative and positive PNA-like climate during the mid- and late Holocene, respectively. Superimposed on the secular change between states is a robust, quasi-200-year oscillation, which we associate with the de Vries solar cycle. These findings suggest the persistence of PNA-like climate variability throughout the mid- and late Holocene, provide evidence for modulation of PNA over multiple timescales and may help researchers de-convolve PNA pattern variation from other factors reflected in palaeorecords.