Predictors of new onset atrial fibrillation in patients with heart failure.

INTRODUCTION: Stroke associated with atrial fibrillation (AF) is more frequent in heart failure. It is unknown what variables predict future AF in these patients and how AF might evolve over time. We investigated this in patients with implantable cardiac defibrillators (ICD) where AF detection is optimal. METHODS: Single centre, retrospective, observational cohort study. All ischaemic cardiomyopathy patients with dual chamber, primary prevention ICD implants between Aug 2003 and Dec 2009 were screened and included if at implant, they had no known AF history. Nine variables were analysed. AF was defined as any atrial tachyarrhythmia ≥180 bpm and ≥30 s. Multivariable, binary logistic regression models were built by adding variables significant in the univariate models. Variables were retained in the final multivariate models if p<0.05. RESULTS: n=197 met the inclusion criteria (85.8% male, median age: 66.8 years). After median follow-up for 2.8 years, 44.2% developed AF. After univariate analysis, the baseline variables associated with AF after implant were age, NYHA class and renal impairment (RI, defined eGFR<60 ml/min/1.73 m2) (p<0.05). After multivariable analysis, the only variable which was associated with AF was RI (HR: 2.04 (CI: 1.10-3.79)). Two baseline variables were independently associated with all-cause mortality: RI (HR: 2.42 (1.14-5.12)) and non-white ethnicity. CONCLUSION: RI at time of implant was independently associated with both future AF and all-cause mortality during long-term follow-up. RI was a stronger predictor of AF than age. Those patients with heart failure and RI should be regularly screened for asymptomatic AF, regardless of age, to ensure that stroke prophylaxis may be initiated.

Randomized trial comparing robotic to manual ablation for atrial fibrillation.

BACKGROUND: Catheter ablation of atrial fibrillation (AF) is a physically demanding procedure for the operator, involving radiation exposure, and has limited success rates. Remote robotic navigation (RRN) may offer benefit to the procedure, though only 1 previous small randomized trial has assessed this. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to investigate the impact of RRN on 1-year single-procedure success rates. METHODS: RRN was compared to manual ablation in a randomized control trial setting by using an intention-to-treat analysis. RESULTS: A total of 157 patients underwent ablation (116/157 (74%) persistent AF; 67/116 (58%) of these long-standing persistent AF). There were no significant differences between the RRN and manual groups with respect to 1-year single-procedure success rates (19/78 (24%) and 26/78 (33%), respectively; P = .29), acute wide area circumferential ablation reconnection rates, complication rates, or procedure times. On multivariable analysis, fluoroscopy times were significantly shorter in the RRN group. The number of catheter displacements during ablation was lower in the RRN group, as was subjectively assessed operator fatigue. The crossover rate from RRN to manual ablation was 11/78 (14%), mainly secondary to technical problems with the RRN system. A learning curve was evident for RRN ablation: the fluoroscopy and procedure times were significantly lower after the first 10 cases in an operator's experience. CONCLUSION: This randomized trial showed no difference in the success rate for catheter ablation of AF between a RRN and manual approach. The results highlight the learning curve for RRN ablation and suggest that the use of this technology leads to an improvement in fluoroscopy times, catheter stability, and operator fatigue.