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Denmark, alongside other Scandinavian countries, the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom, has high prevalence of human papillomavirus (HPV). Our oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC) database includes all diagnosed cases in Eastern Denmark during a period of more than two decades. We investigated the incidence, survival, and recurrence of patients with OPSCC with combined p16- and HPV testing covering a consecutive 21-year period. Age-adjusted incidence rate (AAIR) per 100,000, survival models, and Cox proportional-hazards model were employed. Two thousand eight hundred thirty-four patients were included (57.5% HPV positive (HPV+)/p16 positive (p16+), 33.7% HPV negative (HPV-)/p16 negative (p16-), 4% HPV+/p16-, and 4.8% HPV-/p16+). The AAIR for all patients increased from 1.8 to 5.1 per 100,000 from 2000 to 2020 linked to an increasing AAIR of HPV+/p16+ OPSCCs from 0.9 to 3.5 per 100,000 from 2000 to 2020. The AAIR for the HPV-/p16- OPSCCs decreased from 1.6 to 1.4 from 2017 to 2020. HPV+/p16+ OPSCCs had a higher 5-year overall survival (OS) of 79.2% compared to the other subgroups (HPV+/p16- OS: 50.4%; HPV-/p16+ OS: 49.4%; HPV-/p16- OS: 35.1%). The AAIR of the total OPSCC group increased from year 2000 to 2020, driven by a rise in the HPV+/p16+ group. A decreasing incidence rate was observed for the HPV-/p16- OPSCCs from 2017 to 2020. The OS for HPV+/p16+ OPSCCs was significantly higher compared to all other HPV/p16 subgroups. Therefore, we recommend testing for combined HPV and p16 status in patients with OPSCC when selecting patients for clinical trials, especially in case of de-escalating/escalating.
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BACKGROUND: Adipose-derived mesenchymal stem/stromal cells (ASCs) are proposed as a new xerostomia treatment. The study evaluated the long-term safety and effectiveness of allogeneic ASCs in radiation-induced xerostomia among patients with previous oropharyngeal cancer. METHODS: This study constitutes 3-year follow-up on the original 10 patients who received allogeneic ASCs injections to the submandibular and parotid glands as part of the MESRIX-II trial. The MESRIX-II trial included the preliminary 4-month follow-up. The primary endpoint was long-term safety. Secondary endpoints were effectiveness evaluated by changes in salivary flow rate and patient-reported outcomes (PROs). Immune response was evaluated by assessing the development of donor-specific antibodies (DSA). FINDINGS: All 10 MESRIX-II patients completed the long-term follow-up (ie, no missing data). During the long-term follow-up, 2 patients encountered a significant adverse event, which was determined to be unrelated to the treatment. No DSAs were detectable at 3 years. The stimulated salivary flow rate increased significantly from an average of 0.66 mL/minute at baseline to 0.86 mL/minute at follow-up, corresponding to an increase of 0.20 [95% CI 0.08 to 0.30] mL/minute, or approximately 30%. Among the PROs, sticky saliva symptoms were reduced, with a -20.0 [95% CI -37.3 to -2.7] units. INTERPRETATION: In conclusion, this study is the first to present long-term follow-up outcomes of allogeneic ASC treatment as a therapeutic option for radiation-induced xerostomia. The study found that ASC treatment appears safe, and there were no indications of adverse immune responses at the 3-year follow-up. Further studies are warranted to evaluate the findings in larger settings.
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Trasplante de Células Madre Mesenquimatosas , Células Madre Mesenquimatosas , Xerostomía , Humanos , Xerostomía/etiología , Xerostomía/terapia , Trasplante de Células Madre Mesenquimatosas/métodos , Masculino , Femenino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Anciano , Células Madre Mesenquimatosas/citología , Estudios de Seguimiento , Trasplante Homólogo/métodos , Resultado del TratamientoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: The detection of human papillomavirus (HPV) has several implications in the diagnostic work-up and management of oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC). The choice of HPV detection assay and testing algorithms differ across institutions and vary in cost, detection targets, technical feasibility, and turnaround time. In this study, we aimed to validate the VisionArray® HPV Chip for formalin-fixed and paraffin-embedded (FFPE) samples of OPSCC using the previously applied standard pan-HPV DNA PCR assay as a reference. METHODS: The validation cohort consisted of FFPE tissue samples from patients previously diagnosed with HPV DNA-positive OPSCC (n = 80), HPV DNA-negative OPSCC (n = 21), and a benign group of tumor samples consisting of Warthin's tumors (n = 20) and branchial cleft cysts of the lateral neck (n = 14). All samples were tested with p16 immunohistochemistry, pan-HPV DNA PCR, and the VisionArray® HPV Chip. RESULTS: The overall sensitivity and specificity of the VisionArray® HPV Chip assay were 100% [95% CI 95.5%; 100.0%] and 96.3% [95% CI 87.3%; 99.6%] and the positive predictive value and negative predictive value were 97.6% [95% CI 91.5%; 99.7%] and 100% [95% CI 93.2%; 100%], respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The VisionArray® HPV Chip assay can be recommended for high-risk HPV testing in FFPE tissue samples from OPSCC, providing both a fast and simultaneous genotyping for 41 clinically relevant HPV types.
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Carcinoma de Células Escamosas , Neoplasias de Cabeza y Cuello , Neoplasias Orofaríngeas , Infecciones por Papillomavirus , Humanos , Carcinoma de Células Escamosas de Cabeza y Cuello/diagnóstico , Infecciones por Papillomavirus/complicaciones , Infecciones por Papillomavirus/diagnóstico , Papillomaviridae/genética , ADN Viral/análisis , InmunohistoquímicaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Mesenchymal stromal/stem cells (MSCs) have been suggested for salivary gland (SG) restoration following radio-induced salivary gland damage. This study aimed to determine the safety and effectiveness of MSC therapy on radio-induced SG damage and hypofunction in preclinical in vivo studies. METHODS: PubMed and EMBASE were systematically searched for preclinical in vivo interventional studies evaluating efficacy and safety of MSC treatment following radio-induced salivary gland damage published before 10th of January 2022. The primary endpoint was salivary flow rate (SFR) evaluated in a meta-analysis. The study protocol was published and registered on PROSPERO ( www.crd.ac.uk/prospero ), registration number CRD42021227336. RESULTS: A total of 16 preclinical in vivo studies were included for qualitative analysis (858 experimental animals) and 13 in the meta-analysis (404 experimental animals). MSCs originated from bone marrow (four studies), adipose tissue (10 studies) and salivary gland tissue (two studies) and were administered intravenously (three studies), intra-glandularly (11 studies) or subcutaneously (one study). No serious adverse events were reported. The overall effect on SFR was significantly increased with a standardized mean difference (SMD) of 6.99 (95% CI: 2.55-11.42). Studies reported improvements in acinar tissue, vascular areas and paracrine factors. CONCLUSION: In conclusion, this systematic review and meta-analysis showed a significant effect of MSC therapy for restoring SG functioning and regenerating SG tissue following radiotherapy in preclinical in vivo studies without serious adverse events. MSC therapy holds significant therapeutic potential in the treatment of radio-induced xerostomia, but comprehensive, randomized, clinical trials in humans are required to ascertain their efficacy in a clinical setting.
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Trasplante de Células Madre Mesenquimatosas , Células Madre Mesenquimatosas , Glándulas Salivales , Glándulas Salivales/efectos de la radiación , Animales , Células Madre Mesenquimatosas/citología , Células Madre Mesenquimatosas/metabolismo , Humanos , Traumatismos por Radiación/terapia , Traumatismos por Radiación/patología , Xerostomía/terapia , Xerostomía/etiologíaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Uncertainty persists regarding clinical and treatment variations crucial to consider when comparing high human papillomavirus (HPV)-prevalence oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC) cohorts for accurate patient stratification and replicability of clinical trials across different geographical areas. METHODS: OPSCC patients were included from The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center (UTMDACC), USA and from The University Hospital of Copenhagen, Denmark from 2015-2020, (n = 2484). Outcomes were 3-year overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free interval (RFI). Subgroup analyses were made for low-risk OPSCC patients (T1-2N0M0) and high-risk patients (UICC8 III-IV). RESULTS: There were significantly more HPV-positive (88.2 % vs. 63.1 %), males (89.4 % vs. 74.1 %), never-smokers (52.1 % vs. 23.7 %), lower UICC8-stage (I/II: 79.3 % vs. 68 %), and fewer patients treated with radiotherapy (RT) alone (14.8 % vs. 30.3 %) in the UTMDACC cohort. No difference in the adjusted OS was observed (hazard ratio [HR] 1.21, p = 0.23), but a significantly increased RFI HR was observed for the Copenhagen cohort (HR: 1.74, p = 0.003). Subgroup analyses of low- and high-risk patients revealed significant clinical and treatment differences. No difference in prognosis was observed for low-risk patients, but the prognosis for high-risk patients in the Copenhagen cohort was worse (OS HR 2.20, p = 0.004, RFI HR 2.80, p = 0.002). CONCLUSIONS: We identified significant differences in clinical characteristics, treatment modalities, and prognosis between a Northern European and Northern American OPSCC population. These differences are important to consider when comparing outcomes and for patient stratification in clinical trials, as reproducibility might be challenging.
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Carcinoma de Células Escamosas , Neoplasias de Cabeza y Cuello , Neoplasias Orofaríngeas , Infecciones por Papillomavirus , Masculino , Humanos , Carcinoma de Células Escamosas de Cabeza y Cuello/epidemiología , Carcinoma de Células Escamosas de Cabeza y Cuello/terapia , Pronóstico , Carcinoma de Células Escamosas/epidemiología , Carcinoma de Células Escamosas/terapia , Virus del Papiloma Humano , Neoplasias Orofaríngeas/epidemiología , Neoplasias Orofaríngeas/terapia , Neoplasias Orofaríngeas/patología , Infecciones por Papillomavirus/complicaciones , Infecciones por Papillomavirus/epidemiología , Infecciones por Papillomavirus/patología , Prevalencia , Reproducibilidad de los Resultados , Dinamarca/epidemiología , PapillomaviridaeRESUMEN
PURPOSE: No effective treatment exists for radiation-induced xerostomia. The objective of this study was to compare the effect of adipose-derived mesenchymal stem/stromal cell (ASC) injection, relative to placebo, on salivary gland function in patients with radiation-induced xerostomia. PATIENT AND METHODS: In this single-centre, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial, patients with hyposalivation were randomised to receive ultrasound-guided injections of allogeneic ASCs or placebo into the submandibular glands. Patients were followed for 4 months. We evaluated unstimulated whole salivary flow rate (UWS), stimulated salivary flow rate, and patient-reported outcomes. Adverse events were recorded and immune response determined in blood samples. RESULTS: We enrolled 120 patients. ASC treatment resulted in a statistically significant UWS increase of 0.04 [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.02-0.06] mL/min (38%) compared with pretreatment baseline whereas placebo treatment did not cause a significant increase [0.01 (95% CI, -0.01 to 0.04) mL/min (21%)]. Both the ASC and placebo treatment yielded notable symptom reductions, with dry mouth decreasing by 13.6 and 7.7 units, sticky saliva decreased by 14.8 and 9.3 units, swallowing difficulties decreased by 7.9 and 8.0 units, and the summary score of the Xerostomia Questionnaire decreased 5.9 and 5.1 units for the ASC and placebo arms, respectively. We found no statistically significant group difference between the ASC and placebo arms for any of the outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: We could not confirm superiority of the ASC relative to placebo. ASC therapy significantly improved UWS in previous patients with head and neck cancer, whereas placebo resulted in an insignificant increase.
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Neoplasias de Cabeza y Cuello , Trasplante de Células Madre Mesenquimatosas , Xerostomía , Humanos , Xerostomía/etiología , Xerostomía/terapia , Masculino , Femenino , Neoplasias de Cabeza y Cuello/radioterapia , Neoplasias de Cabeza y Cuello/terapia , Neoplasias de Cabeza y Cuello/complicaciones , Trasplante de Células Madre Mesenquimatosas/métodos , Persona de Mediana Edad , Anciano , Adulto , Células Madre Mesenquimatosas/citología , Traumatismos por Radiación/terapia , Traumatismos por Radiación/etiología , Método Doble Ciego , Resultado del Tratamiento , Glándulas Salivales/efectos de la radiación , Radioterapia/efectos adversosRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: A predominant side effect of radiotherapy for head and neck cancer is salivary gland hypofunction and xerostomia leading to debilitating oral disorders and impaired quality of life (QoL). Intraglandular mesenchymal stem cell therapy has shown promising results as a treatment for xerostomia. METHODS: This is a randomised, double-blinded, placebo-controlled, parallel-group, prospective, single-centre trial investigating the safety, tolerability, and effectiveness of allogeneic stem cells as a treatment for radiation-induced hyposalivation and xerostomia for previous head and neck cancer patients. We will include a total of 120 patients who previously have been treated with radiotherapy for a head and neck cancer in Denmark. Participants will be randomly assigned using block randomisation to one of two parallel groups in a 1:1 ratio to receive ultrasound-guided injection of allogeneic adipose-derived mesenchymal stem cell (ASC) (n = 60) or placebo (n = 60) into the submandibular glands. Placebo will consist of CryoStor10 (BiolifeSolutions), the freeze media for ASCs containing 10% dimethyl sulfoxide (DMSO). The primary endpoint is change in unstimulated whole saliva flow rate. The secondary endpoints are change in stimulated whole saliva flow rate, QoL, and composition of saliva. Further secondary endpoints are safety and immune response (human leukocyte antigen (HLA) response) to the stem cells will be assessed. Patients are evaluated at baseline (before treatment), after 4 months, and after 12 months. All study personnel, except study personnel thawing and preparing the treatment for injection, and participants will be blinded to group assignment. Unblinded study personnel will not participate in the outcome assessment. DISCUSSION: The trials will investigate the efficacy and safety of ASC injection to the submandibular gland as a potential new treatment for post-radiation xerostomia. We hope the results will pave the way for a clinically relevant treatment to ameliorate patients with xerostomia, a severely hampering condition. TRIAL REGISTRATION: The study is approved by the Danish Data Protection Agency (protocol number P-2020-1164), the National Ethics Committee protocol number: (Protocol number: 1802872), and the Danish Medical Agency (2018-000348-24). The protocol was registered at the ClinicalTrials.gov database (NCT04776538).
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Neoplasias de Cabeza y Cuello , Células Madre Mesenquimatosas , Xerostomía , Humanos , Calidad de Vida , Estudios Prospectivos , Xerostomía/etiología , Xerostomía/terapia , Neoplasias de Cabeza y Cuello/radioterapia , Ensayos Clínicos Controlados Aleatorios como Asunto , Ensayos Clínicos Fase II como AsuntoRESUMEN
The incidence of oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC) has increased in the past decades due to carcinogenic HPV infection. As this patient group suffers from considerable mortality and treatment morbidity it is important to improve prognostic strategies in OPSCC. Inflammation plays a key role in cancer and the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) in blood has been suggested as a prognostic factor for OPSCC. This study aimed to investigate the prognostic impact of NLR on overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) in a retrospective cohort of 1370 patients. Included patients had pretreatment neutrophil and lymphocyte counts available, as well as a known HPV status. Patients were treated with curative intent according to Danish national guidelines. We stratified patients in groups by NLR < 2, NLR 2−4, or NLR > 4 and analyzed the influence of the NLR tertile on OS and RFS. Kaplan−Meier curves illustrated survival probability in OS and RFS in the general cohort and were stratified by HPV status. We found that an increasing NLR was associated with inferior OS (HR = 1.5 for NLR > 4) and RFS (HR = 1.6 for NLR 2−4; HR = 1.8 for NLR > 4) in multivariable analysis. The Kaplan−Meier curves displayed inferior OS and RFS with an increasing NLR for both HPV+ and HPV− patients. In conclusion, we showed that an increasing NLR is prognostic for a worse outcome of OPSCC independently of HPV status. There are possible uses of NLR in prognostication and treatment de-escalation although further studies are warranted to determine the clinical utility.
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Carcinoma de Células Escamosas , Neoplasias de Cabeza y Cuello , Neoplasias Orofaríngeas , Infecciones por Papillomavirus , Humanos , Carcinoma de Células Escamosas de Cabeza y Cuello , Pronóstico , Estudios Retrospectivos , Neutrófilos/patología , Infecciones por Papillomavirus/complicaciones , Neoplasias Orofaríngeas/diagnóstico , Neoplasias Orofaríngeas/patología , Carcinoma de Células Escamosas/diagnóstico , Carcinoma de Células Escamosas/patología , Linfocitos/patologíaRESUMEN
Second primary cancer (SPC) is the second most common cause of death among patients diagnosed with head and neck cancer. This study examined the risk of SPC following oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC) and the impact of human papillomavirus (HPV) on survival following SPC. The study was a population-based, retrospective study including all patients diagnosed with OPSCC in eastern Denmark from 2000-2020 who received curative intended treatment. The incidence rate ratio (IRR), age-adjusted incidence rates (AAIR), and hazard ratios (HR) were calculated. A total of 2584 patients with primary OPSCC were included (median follow-up time: 3.1 years), with 317 patients (12.3%) diagnosed with SPC. The risk of SPC was approximately five times the occurrence of cancer in the general population (IRR: 4.96). The median time to SPC after a primary OPSCC was 2.0 years (interquartile range (IQR) = 0.6-4.2 years). HPV-positive (HPV+) patients had a significantly longer median time to SPC, and a significant better survival compared to HPV-negative (HPV-) patients. SPC was most frequently found in lungs, head, and neck (LHN) for HPV- OPSCC patients and lungs followed by gender-specific (prostate, ovaries, or endometrium) for HPV+ OPSCC. There was a significant difference between the two groups when distributed between "within" or "outside" LHN. Patients with SPC outside LHN had a significant better overall survival. This knowledge should be considered during post-treatment surveillance and might guide targeted imaging.
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Carcinoma de Células Escamosas , Neoplasias de Cabeza y Cuello , Neoplasias Primarias Secundarias , Neoplasias Orofaríngeas , Infecciones por Papillomavirus , Masculino , Femenino , Humanos , Carcinoma de Células Escamosas de Cabeza y Cuello , Estudios Retrospectivos , Incidencia , Neoplasias Orofaríngeas/epidemiología , Neoplasias Orofaríngeas/patología , Virus del Papiloma Humano , Carcinoma de Células Escamosas/epidemiología , Carcinoma de Células Escamosas/patología , Infecciones por Papillomavirus/complicaciones , Infecciones por Papillomavirus/epidemiología , Infecciones por Papillomavirus/terapia , Neoplasias Primarias Secundarias/epidemiología , Papillomaviridae/genéticaRESUMEN
The aim of the study was to evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of Human Papillomavirus (HPV) techniques in oropharyngeal cancer. PubMed, EMBASE, the Cochrane Library and clinicaltrials.org were systematically searched for studies reporting methods of HPV detection. Primary outcomes were sensitivity and specificity of HPV detection. In this case, 27 studies were included (n = 5488, 41.6% HPV+). In this case, 13 studies evaluated HPV detection in tumour tissue, nine studies examined HPV detection in blood samples and five studies evaluated HPV detection in oral samples. Accuracy of HPV detection in tumour tissue was high for all detection methods, with pooled sensitivity ranging from 81.1% (95% CI 71.9-87.8) to 93.1% (95% CI 87.4-96.4) and specificity ranging from 81.1% (95% CI 71.9-87.8) to 94.9% (95% CI 79.1-98.9) depending on detection methods. Overall accuracy of HPV detection in blood samples revealed a sensitivity of 81.4% (95% CI 62.9-91.9) and a specificity of 94.8% (95% CI 91.4-96.9). In oral samples pooled sensitivity and specificity were lower (77.0% (95% CI 68.8-83.6) and 74.0% (95% CI 58.0-85.4)). In conclusion, we found an overall high accuracy for HPV detection in tumour tissue regardless of the HPV detection method used. HPV detection in blood samples may provide a promising new way of HPV detection.
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Carcinoma de Células Escamosas/diagnóstico , ADN Viral/análisis , Técnicas de Diagnóstico Molecular/normas , Papillomaviridae/genética , Infecciones por Papillomavirus/complicaciones , Carcinoma de Células Escamosas de Cabeza y Cuello/diagnóstico , Carcinoma de Células Escamosas/virología , ADN Viral/genética , Humanos , Técnicas de Diagnóstico Molecular/métodos , Papillomaviridae/aislamiento & purificación , Reproducibilidad de los Resultados , Sensibilidad y Especificidad , Carcinoma de Células Escamosas de Cabeza y Cuello/virologíaRESUMEN
Focal epithelial hyperplasia (FEH) or Heck's disease is a rare, benign, oral condition that is associated with infection by human papillomavirus type 13, 32 or both. The whiteish to mucosal-colored, soft, papular or nodular elevated lesions in the oral cavity are normally asymptomatic but can grow to a size or at a location where treatment is needed. The diagnosis is often based on clinical presentation and histopathology, and the HPV genotype can be determined using PCR utilizing specific primers or DNA sequencing. While FEH was reported to often affect several members of the same family and exist primarily among indigenous populations around the world, the number of reported cases within the European region is increasing. This contemporary review summarizes the main findings in relation to HPV genotypes, impact of superinfection exclusion and vaccination, transmission, diagnosis, geographical and ethnical distribution, comorbidities and treatment of FEH with an emphasis on including the most recent case reports within the field. Furthermore, we describe for the first time a FEH lesion infected with the low-risk HPV90.
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Alphapapillomavirus/genética , Alphapapillomavirus/patogenicidad , Hiperplasia Epitelial Focal , Infecciones por Papillomavirus/complicaciones , Alphapapillomavirus/clasificación , Genotipo , Humanos , Infecciones por Papillomavirus/prevención & control , Infecciones por Papillomavirus/transmisión , Factores de RiesgoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Human papillomavirus (HPV) is a critical element in the rising incidence of oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC), although whether this trend will continue, and the types of HPV responsible, are currently unknown. We previously demonstrated an increased incidence of HPV-related OPSCC in the high HPV prevalence area of Eastern Denmark from 2000 to 2010. Therefore, we investigated if the incidence for OPSCC continued to rise, the association to HPV and putative HPV-types in Eastern Denmark from 2011 to 14. We then projected the expected incidence of OPSCC versus cervical cancer through to 2020. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Patients with OPSCC (tonsillar squamous cell carcinoma [TSCC] and base of tongue squamous cell carcinoma [BSCC]) were identified via the Danish Head and Neck Cancer Group and the Danish Pathology Databank (n = 700). Tumours were re-reviewed and assessed using p16 immunohistochemistry, HPV DNA polymerase chain reaction (PCR), with genotyping by next generation sequencing. RESULTS: Sixty-two percent (432/700) of tumours were HPV-positive (HPV+). The total incidence rate (per 100.000) for OPSCC increased from 4.0 in 2011 to 4.5 in 2014, primarily due to a rise in HPV+ TSCCs and HPV+ BSCCs, although numbers of HPV-negative (HPV-) OPSCC also increased during the study period. The majority of HPV+ tumours were HPV16 DNA positive (86%), but we also identified HPV33 DNA (6%), HPV35 DNA (4%) and others (3%), including HPV18, 26, 31, 45, 56, 58, 59 and HPV67. CONCLUSION: An increasing incidence of OPSCC is driven primarily by HPV+ OPSCC. Sixty-two percent of tumours were HPV+, which is a high-prevalence, although the lower number of HPV- cases has yet to stabilise. HPV16 was the predominant genotype, although a significant proportion (14%) was of another genotype. Our projections suggest that the number of HPV+ OPSCC will exceed that of cervical cancer in 2016 in Eastern Denmark.
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Carcinoma de Células Escamosas/epidemiología , Neoplasias Orofaríngeas/epidemiología , Adulto , Anciano , Carcinoma de Células Escamosas/virología , Dinamarca/epidemiología , Femenino , Humanos , Incidencia , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Neoplasias Orofaríngeas/virología , Infecciones por Papillomavirus/complicaciones , Infecciones por Papillomavirus/epidemiología , PrevalenciaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: No study has combined tumour and clinical covariates for survival to construct an individual risk-profile for overall survival (OS), time to progression (TTP), and survival after progression (SAP) in patients with HPV+ and HPV- oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC). Based on the largest-to-date, unselected, population-based cohort of patients diagnosed with OPSCC, we performed a comprehensive analysis of long-term OS, TTP, and SAP and constructed novel nomograms to evaluate patients' prognoses. RESULTS: At a median follow-up of 4.0 years (range: 0.8-15.8 yrs.), 690 deaths were recorded. The 5-year OS, TTP, and SAP for the HPV+/p16+ subgroup were 77%, 82%, and 33, vs. 30%, 66%, and 6% for the HPV-/p16- group (P < 0.01). 376 patients failed to maintain disease control with a median TTP of 13 months in the HPV+/p16+ subgroup vs. 8.5 months in the HPV-/p16- subgroup (P < 0.05). HPV combined with p16 status remained one of the most informative covariates in the final Cox regression model for OS, TTP, and SAP. METHODS: We included all patients diagnosed with OPSCC (n = 1,542) between 2000-2014 in Eastern Denmark. Survival rates were estimated by the Kaplan-Meier method. A multivariate Cox regression model was used to construct predictive, internally validated nomograms. CONCLUSION: The HPV+/p16+ subgroup had improved OS, TTP, and SAP compared with other combinations of HPV and p16 after adjusting for covariates. Nomograms were constructed for 1-, 5- and 10-year survival probability. Models may aid patients and clinicians in their clinical decision making as well as in counselling, research, and trial design.