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1.
Viruses ; 15(12)2023 12 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38140615

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: The objectives of this study were to describe the trajectories of bone mineral density (BMD) and trabecular bone score (TBS) changes throughout pre-menopause (reproductive phase and menopausal transition) and post-menopause (early and late menopause) in women with HIV (WWH) undergoing different antiretroviral therapies (ARTs) and explore the risk factors associated with those changes. METHODS: This was an observational longitudinal retrospective study in WWH with a minimum of two DEXA evaluations comprising BMD and TBS measurements, both in the pre-menopausal and post-menopausal periods. Menopause was determined according to the STRAW+10 criteria, comprising four periods: the reproductive period, menopausal transition, and early- and late-menopausal periods. Mixed-effects models were fitted to estimate the trajectories of the two outcomes (BMD and TBS) over time. Annualized lumbar BMD and TBS absolute and percentage changes were calculated in each STRAW+10 time window. A backward elimination procedure was applied to obtain the final model, including the predictors that affected the trajectories of BMD or TBS over time. RESULTS: A total of 202 WWH, all Caucasian, were included. In detail, 1954 BMD and 195 TBS data were analyzed. The median number of DEXA evaluations per woman was 10 (IQR: 7, 12). The median observation periods per patient were 12.0 years (IQR = 8.9-14.4) for BMD and 6.0 years (IQR: 4.3, 7.9) for TBS. The prevalence of osteopenia (63% vs. 76%; p < 0.001) and osteoporosis (16% vs. 36%; p < 0.001) increased significantly between the pre-menopausal and post-menopausal periods. Both BMD (1.03 (±0.14) vs. 0.92 (±0.12) g/cm2; p < 0.001) and TBS (1.41 (IQR: 1.35, 1.45) vs. 1.32 (IQR: 1.28, 1.39); p < 0.001) decreased significantly between the two periods. The trend in BMD decreased across the four STRAW+10 periods, with a slight attenuation only in the late-menopausal period when compared with the other intervals. The TBS slope did not significantly change throughout menopause. The delta mean values of TBS in WWH were lower between the menopausal transition and reproductive period compared with the difference between menopause and menopausal transition. CONCLUSIONS: Both BMD and TBS significantly decreased over time. The slope of the change in BMD and TBS significantly decreased in the menopausal transition, suggesting that this period should be considered by clinicians as a key time during which to assess bone health and modifiable risk factors in WWH.


Asunto(s)
Densidad Ósea , Infecciones por VIH , Femenino , Humanos , Hueso Esponjoso/diagnóstico por imagen , Estudios Retrospectivos , Vértebras Lumbares , Menopausia , Infecciones por VIH/complicaciones , Infecciones por VIH/tratamiento farmacológico
2.
J Acquir Immune Defic Syndr ; 94(5): 474-481, 2023 12 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37949448

RESUMEN

INTRODUCTION: The objective of the study was to develop machine learning (ML) models that predict the percentage weight change in each interval of time in antiretroviral therapy-experienced people living with HIV. METHODS: This was an observational study that comprised consecutive people living with HIV attending Modena HIV Metabolic Clinic with at least 2 visits. Data were partitioned in an 80/20 training/test set to generate 10 progressively parsimonious predictive ML models. Weight gain was defined as any weight change >5%, at the next visit. SHapley Additive exPlanations values were used to quantify the positive or negative impact of any single variable included in each model on the predicted weight changes. RESULTS: A total of 3,321 patients generated 18,322 observations. At the last observation, the median age was 50 years and 69% patients were male. Model 1 (the only 1 including body composition assessed with dual-energy x-ray absorptiometry) had an accuracy greater than 90%. This model could predict weight at the next visit with an error of <5%. CONCLUSIONS: ML models with the inclusion of body composition and metabolic and endocrinological variables had an excellent performance. The parsimonious models available in standard clinical evaluation are insufficient to obtain reliable prediction, but are good enough to predict who will not experience weight gain.


Asunto(s)
Infecciones por VIH , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Femenino , Infecciones por VIH/tratamiento farmacológico , Composición Corporal , Aumento de Peso , Aprendizaje Automático
3.
AIDS ; 36(12): 1643-1653, 2022 10 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35727163

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: The primary objective was to explore weight and BMI changes in people with HIV (PWH) undergoing integrase strand transfer inhibitors (INSTI)-based regimens (vs. non-INSTI) in a large cohort and in the subsets of individuals without diabetes and insulin resistance (IR) at the time of switch to INSTI. The secondary objective was to identify risk factors for IR and cut-off of weight or BMI increase associated with IR in PWH switching to INSTI. DESIGN: A longitudinal matched-cohort study including PWH attending Modena HIV Metabolic Clinic, Italy. METHODS: PWH were divided into two groups: non-INSTI and INSTI-switch. The effect of switching to INSTI on weight and BMI change was tested through a linear mixed model. A mediation analysis explored the mediation effect of weight and BMI change in the association between the switch to INSTI and IR. RESULTS: We analyzed 2437 PWH (1025 INSTI-switch, 1412 non-INSTI), in 54 826 weight assessments. Trends for weight increase were significantly higher in early-INSTI-switch (vs. early-non-INSTI), but no difference was observed in the late period after the switch. In the subset of 634 PWH without IR, switching to INSTI (vs. non-INSTI) was associated with a lower risk of IR (hazard ratio = 0.70, 95% confidence interval: 0.51, 0.98). A weight increase by 1% reduced the total protective effect of INSTI by 21.1% over 1 year of follow-up, which identifies a 5% weight increase as a clinically meaningful weight gain definition. CONCLUSION: A cut-off of 5% weight gain from the time of INSTI-switch is associated with IR, which may be a clinically meaningful endpoint that could be used in clinical and research settings.


Asunto(s)
Infecciones por VIH , Inhibidores de Integrasa VIH , Resistencia a la Insulina , Aumento de Peso , Estudios de Cohortes , Infecciones por VIH/complicaciones , Infecciones por VIH/tratamiento farmacológico , Integrasa de VIH , Inhibidores de Integrasa VIH/efectos adversos , Humanos
4.
HIV Res Clin Pract ; 24(1): 1-6, 2022 11 22.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36883678

RESUMEN

Background: Integrase inhibitor (INSTI) use has been associated with greater weight gain (WG) among people living with HIV (PLWH), but it is unclear how this effect compares in magnitude to traditional risk factors for WG. We assessed the population attributable fractions (PAFs) of modifiable lifestyle factors and INSTI regimens in PLWH who experienced a ≥5% WG over follow-up.Methods: In an observational cohort study from 2007 to 2019 at Modena HIV Metabolic Clinic, Italy, ART-experienced but INSTI-naive PLWH were grouped as INSTI-switchers vs non-INSTI. Groups were matched for sex, age, baseline BMI and follow-up duration. Significant WG was defined as an increase of ≥5% from 1st visit weight over follow-up. PAFs and 95% CIs were estimated to quantify the proportion of the outcome that could be avoided if the risk factors were not present.Results: 118 PLWH switched to INSTI and 163 remained on current ART. Of 281 PLWH (74.3% males), mean follow-up was 4.2 years, age 50.3 years, median time since HIV diagnosis 17.8 years, CD4 cell count 630 cells/µL at baseline. PAF for weight gain was the greatest for high BMI (45%, 95% CI: 27-59, p < 0.001), followed by high CD4/CD8 ratio (41%, 21-57, p < 0.001) and lower physical activity (32%, 95% CI 5-52, p = 0.03). PAF was not significant for daily caloric intake (-1%, -9-13, p = 0.45), smoking cessation during follow-up (5%, 0-12, p = 0.10), INSTI switch (11%, -19-36; p = 0.34).Conclusions: WG in PLWH on ART is mostly influenced by pre-existing weight and low physical activity, rather than switch to INSTI.


Asunto(s)
Infecciones por VIH , Inhibidores de Integrasa VIH , Aumento de Peso , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Índice de Masa Corporal , Ingestión de Energía , Ejercicio Físico , Infecciones por VIH/tratamiento farmacológico , Infecciones por VIH/fisiopatología , Infecciones por VIH/terapia , Inhibidores de Integrasa VIH/farmacología , Inhibidores de Integrasa VIH/uso terapéutico , Aumento de Peso/efectos de los fármacos
5.
Microorganisms ; 9(9)2021 Sep 07.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34576791

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Herpes simplex 1 co-infections in patients with COVID-19 are considered relatively uncommon; some reports on re-activations in patients in intensive-care units were published. The aim of the study was to analyze herpetic re-activations and their clinical manifestations in hospitalized COVID-19 patients, performing HSV-1 PCR on plasma twice a week. METHODS: we conducted a prospective, observational, single-center study involving 70 consecutive patients with severe/critical SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia tested for HSV-1 hospitalized at Azienda Ospedaliero-Universitaria of Modena. RESULTS: of these 70 patients, 21 (30.0%) showed detectable viremia and 13 (62%) had clinically relevant manifestations of HSV-1 infection corresponding to 15 events (4 pneumonia, 5 herpes labialis, 3 gingivostomatitis, one encephalitis and two hepatitis). HSV-1 positive patients were more frequently treated with steroids than HSV-1 negative patients (76.2% vs. 49.0%, p = 0.036) and more often underwent mechanical ventilation (IMV) (57.1% vs. 22.4%, p = 0.005). In the unadjusted logistic regression analysis, steroid treatment, IMV, and higher LDH were significantly associated with an increased risk of HSV1 re-activation (odds ratio 3.33, 4.61, and 16.9, respectively). The association with the use of steroids was even stronger after controlling for previous use of both tocilizumab and IMV (OR = 5.13, 95% CI:1.36-19.32, p = 0.016). The effect size was larger when restricting to participants who were treated with high doses of steroids while there was no evidence to support an association with the use of tocilizumab Conclusions: our study shows a high incidence of HSV-1 re-activation both virologically and clinically in patients with SARS-CoV-2 severe pneumonia, especially in those treated with steroids.

6.
PLoS One ; 16(8): e0251378, 2021.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34383784

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The benefit of tocilizumab on mortality and time to recovery in people with severe COVID pneumonia may depend on appropriate timing. The objective was to estimate the impact of tocilizumab administration on switching respiratory support states, mortality and time to recovery. METHODS: In an observational study, a continuous-time Markov multi-state model was used to describe the sequence of respiratory support states including: no respiratory support (NRS), oxygen therapy (OT), non-invasive ventilation (NIV) or invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV), OT in recovery, NRS in recovery. RESULTS: Two hundred seventy-one consecutive adult patients were included in the analyses contributing to 695 transitions across states. The prevalence of patients in each respiratory support state was estimated with stack probability plots, comparing people treated with and without tocilizumab since the beginning of the OT state. A positive effect of tocilizumab on the probability of moving from the invasive and non-invasive mechanical NIV/IMV state to the OT in recovery state (HR = 2.6, 95% CI = 1.2-5.2) was observed. Furthermore, a reduced risk of death was observed in patients in NIV/IMV (HR = 0.3, 95% CI = 0.1-0.7) or in OT (HR = 0.1, 95% CI = 0.0-0.8) treated with tocilizumab. CONCLUSION: To conclude, we were able to show the positive impact of tocilizumab used in different disease stages depicted by respiratory support states. The use of the multi-state Markov model allowed to harmonize the heterogeneous mortality and recovery endpoints and summarize results with stack probability plots. This approach could inform randomized clinical trials regarding tocilizumab, support disease management and hospital decision making.


Asunto(s)
Anticuerpos Monoclonales Humanizados/uso terapéutico , Tratamiento Farmacológico de COVID-19 , Terapia Respiratoria/métodos , Anciano , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Cadenas de Markov , Persona de Mediana Edad , Ventilación no Invasiva , Terapia por Inhalación de Oxígeno , Respiración Artificial , Factores de Tiempo , Resultado del Tratamiento
7.
Clin Exp Nephrol ; 25(11): 1203-1214, 2021 Nov.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34196877

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a severe complication of coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19). This study aims to evaluate incidence, risk factors and case-fatality rate of AKI in patients with COVID-19. METHODS: We reviewed the health medical records of 307 consecutive patients with COVID-19 hospitalized at the University Hospital of Modena, Italy. RESULTS: AKI was diagnosed in 69 out of 307 (22.4%) COVID-19 patients. Stages 1, 2, or 3 AKI accounted for 57.9%, 24.6% and 17.3%, respectively. AKI patients had a mean age of 74.7 ± 9.9 years. These patients showed higher serum levels of the main markers of inflammation and higher rate of severe pneumonia than non-AKI patients. Kidney injury was associated with a higher rate of urinary abnormalities including proteinuria (0.44 ± 0.85 vs 0.18 ± 0.29 mg/mg; P = < 0.0001) and microscopic hematuria (P = 0.032) compared to non-AKI patients. Hemodialysis was performed in 7.2% of the subjects and 33.3% of the survivors did not recover kidney function after AKI. Risk factors for kidney injury were age, male sex, CKD and higher non-renal SOFA score. Patients with AKI had a mortality rate of 56.5%. Adjusted Cox regression analysis revealed that COVID-19-associated AKI was independently associated with in-hospital death (hazard ratio [HR] = 4.82; CI 95%, 1.36-17.08) compared to non-AKI patients. CONCLUSION: AKI was a common and harmful consequence of COVID-19. It manifested with urinary abnormalities (proteinuria, microscopic hematuria) and conferred an increased risk for death. Given the well-known short-term sequelae of AKI, prevention of kidney injury is imperative in this vulnerable cohort of patients.


Asunto(s)
Lesión Renal Aguda/epidemiología , COVID-19/epidemiología , Lesión Renal Aguda/diagnóstico , Lesión Renal Aguda/mortalidad , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , COVID-19/diagnóstico , COVID-19/mortalidad , Femenino , Hematuria/epidemiología , Humanos , Incidencia , Italia/epidemiología , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Pronóstico , Proteinuria/epidemiología , Estudios Retrospectivos , Medición de Riesgo , Factores de Riesgo
8.
Open Forum Infect Dis ; 8(7): ofab283, 2021 Jul.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34307725

RESUMEN

We compared 90-90-90 targets in 2020, during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, with the targets across the period 2017-2019 in people with HIV. We observed a significant loss in the 90-90-90 objectives in 2020 when compared with 2017-2019 that might be attributable to the COVID-19 crisis.

9.
Kidney Res Clin Pract ; 40(2): 231-240, 2021 Jun.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34162049

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The prognostic value of within-day sCr variation serum creatinine variation is unknown in the setting of the novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). We evaluated the prognostic significance of 24-hour serum creatinine variation in COVID-19 patients. METHODS: A monocentric retrospective analysis was conducted in COVID-19 patients not admitted to the intensive care unit. Three groups were subdivided based on 24 hours serum creatinine variation from admission. In the stable kidney function group, 24-hour serum creatinine variation ranged from +0.05 to -0.05 mg/dL; in the decreased kidney function group, 24-hour serum creatinine variation was >0.05 mg/dL; in the improved kidney function group, 24-hour serum creatinine variation was <-0.05 mg/dL. RESULTS: The study population included 224 patients with a median age of 66.5 years and a predominance of males (72.3%). Within 24 hours of admission, renal function remained stable in 37.1% of the subjects, whereas it displayed improved and deteriorated patterns in 45.5% and 17.4%, respectively. Patients with decreased kidney function were older and had more severe COVID-19 symptoms than patients with stable or improved kidney function. About half of patients with decreased kidney function developed an episode of acute kidney injury (AKI) during hospitalization. Decreased kidney function was significantly associated with AKI during hospitalization (hazard ratio [HR], 4.6; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.9-10.8; p < 0.001) and was an independent risk factor for 30-day in-hospital mortality (HR, 5.5; 95% CI, 1.1-28; p = 0.037). CONCLUSION: COVID-19 patients with decreased kidney function within 24 hours of admission were at high risk of AKI and 30-day in-hospital mortality.

10.
AIDS Res Hum Retroviruses ; 37(4): 283-291, 2021 04.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33619997

RESUMEN

The aim of this study was to evaluate both positive outcomes, including reduction of respiratory support aid and duration of hospital stay, and negative ones, including mortality and a composite of invasive mechanical ventilation or death, in patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pneumonia treated with or without oral darunavir/cobicistat (DRV/c, 800/150 mg/day) used in different treatment durations. The secondary objective was to evaluate the percentage of patients treated with DRV/c who were exposed to potentially severe drug-drug interactions (DDIs) and died during hospitalization. This observational retrospective study was conducted in consecutive patients with COVID-19 pneumonia admitted to a tertiary care hospital in Modena, Italy. Kaplan-Meier survival curves and Cox proportional hazards regression were used to compare patients receiving standard of care with or without DRV/c. Adjustment for key confounders was applied. Two hundred seventy-three patients (115 on DRV/c) were included, 75.8% males, mean age was 64.6 (±13.2) years. Clinical improvement was similar between the groups, depicted by respiratory aid switch (p > .05). The same was observed for duration of hospital stay [13.2 (±8.9) for DRV/c vs. 13.4 (±7.2) days for no-DRV/c, p = .9]. Patients on DRV/c had higher rates of mortality (25.2% vs. 10.1%, p < .0001. The rate of composite outcome of mechanical ventilation and death was higher in the DRV/c group (37.4% vs. 25.3%, p = .03). Multiple serious DDI associated with DRV/c were observed in the 19 patients who died. DRV/c should not be recommended as a treatment option for COVID-19 pneumonia outside clinical trials.


Asunto(s)
Fármacos Anti-VIH/uso terapéutico , Tratamiento Farmacológico de COVID-19 , Cobicistat/uso terapéutico , Darunavir/uso terapéutico , Adulto , Fármacos Anti-VIH/efectos adversos , COVID-19/mortalidad , COVID-19/virología , Cobicistat/efectos adversos , Darunavir/efectos adversos , Combinación de Medicamentos , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios Retrospectivos , SARS-CoV-2/aislamiento & purificación
11.
Clin Exp Nephrol ; 25(4): 401-409, 2021 Apr.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33398605

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Patients with COVID-19 experience multiple clinical conditions that may cause electrolyte imbalances. Hypokalemia is a concerning electrolyte disorder closely associated with severe complications. This study aimed to estimate prevalence, risk factors and outcome of hypokalemia in a cohort of patients with confirmed COVID-19. METHODS: A retrospective analysis was conducted on 290 non-ICU admitted patients with COVID-19 at the tertiary teaching hospital of Modena, Italy, from February 16 to April 14, 2020. RESULTS: Hypokalemia was detected in 119 out of 290 patients (41%) during hospitalization. Mean serum potassium was 3.1 ± 0.1 meq/L. The majority of patients (90.7%) patients experienced only a mild decrease in serum potassium level (3-3.4 mEq/L). Hypokalemia was associated with hypocalcemia, which was detected in 50% of subjects. Urine potassium-to-creatinine ratio, measured in a small number of patients (n = 45; 36.1%), revealed an increase of urinary potassium excretion in most cases (95.5%). Risk factors for hypokalemia were female sex (odds ratio (OR) 2.44; 95% CI 1.36-4.37; P 0.003) and diuretic therapy (OR 1.94, 95% CI 1.08-3.48; P 0.027). Hypokalemia, adjusted for sex, age and SOFA score, was not associated with ICU transfer (OR 0.52; 95% CI 0.228-1.212; P = 0.131), in-hospital mortality (OR, 0.47; 95% CI 0.170-1.324; P = 0.154) and composite outcome of ICU transfer or in-hospital mortality (OR 0.48; 95% CI 0.222-1.047; P = 0.065) in our cohort of patients. CONCLUSIONS: Hypokalemia was a frequent disorder in subjects with COVID-19. Female sex and diuretic therapy were identified as risk factors for low serum potassium levels. Hypokalemia was unrelated to ICU transfer and death in this cohort of patients.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19/complicaciones , Hipopotasemia/etiología , SARS-CoV-2 , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Diuréticos/efectos adversos , Femenino , Mortalidad Hospitalaria , Humanos , Hipopotasemia/tratamiento farmacológico , Hipopotasemia/epidemiología , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Potasio/sangre , Potasio/orina , Prevalencia , Estudios Retrospectivos , Factores de Riesgo
12.
Eur J Endocrinol ; 184(1): 107-122, 2021 Jan.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33112262

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: Hypogonadism is common in HIV-infected men. The relationship between health status, sex steroids and body composition is poorly known in HIV. The aim was to investigate the association between health status (comorbidities/frailty), body composition, and gonadal function in young-to-middle-aged HIV-infected men. DESIGN: Prospective, cross-sectional, observational study. METHODS: HIV-infected men aged <50 years and ongoing Highly Active Antiretroviral Therapy were enrolled. Serum total testosterone (TT), estradiol (E2), estrone (E1) were measured by liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry, LH and FSH by immunoassay. Free testosterone (cFT) was calculated by Vermeulen equation. Body composition was assessed by dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry and abdominal CT scan. Multimorbidity (MM) and frailty were defined as ≥3 comorbidities and by a 37-item index, respectively. RESULTS: A total of 316 HIV-infected men aged 45.3 ± 5.3 years were enrolled. Body fat parameters were inversely related to cFT and TT, and directly related to E1 and E2/testosterone (TS) ratio. Patients with MM had lower cFT (P < 0.0001) and TT (P = 0.036), and higher E1 (P < 0.0001) and E2/TS ratio (P = 0.002). Frailty was inversely related to cFT (R2 = 0.057, P < 0.0001) and TT (R2 = 0.013, P = 0.043), and directly related to E1 (R2 = 0.171, P < 0.0001), E2 (R2 = 0.041, P = 0.004) and E2/TS ratio (R2 = 0.104, P < 0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: Lower TT and cFT, higher E1, E2/TS ratio and visceral fat were independently associated to poor health status and frailty, being possible hallmarks of unhealthy conditions in adult HIV-infected men. Overall, MM, frailty and body fat mass are strictly associated to each other and to sex steroids, concurring together to functional male hypogonadism in HIV.


Asunto(s)
Tejido Adiposo , Estrona/sangre , Infecciones por VIH/fisiopatología , Hipogonadismo/fisiopatología , Testosterona/sangre , Absorciometría de Fotón , Adulto , Terapia Antirretroviral Altamente Activa , Composición Corporal , Estudios Transversales , Fragilidad/fisiopatología , Fragilidad/virología , VIH , Infecciones por VIH/complicaciones , Infecciones por VIH/tratamiento farmacológico , Estado de Salud , Indicadores de Salud , Humanos , Hipogonadismo/virología , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Multimorbilidad , Estudios Prospectivos
13.
Infez Med ; 29(4): 538-549, 2021.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35146362

RESUMEN

Cardiovascular complications after a SARS-CoV-2 infection are a phenomenon of relevant scientific interest. The aim of this study was to analyze the onset of post-COVID-19 cardiovascular events in patients hospitalized in a tertiary care center. This is a retrospective study conducted on patients hospitalized over a period of three months. The patients were older than 18 years of age and had a diagnosis of COVID-19 infection confirmed from a nasopharyngeal swab sample. Anamnestic and clinical-laboratory data were collected. Cardiovascular events at 30 days were defined as follows: arrhythmias, myocardial infarction, myocarditis, and pulmonary embolism. Univariate analysis (Student's t-test or Mann-Whitney U test, as appropriate) and multivariate analysis (multinomial logistic regression) were applied to the data. A total of 394 patients were included; they were mostly males and had a median age of 65.5 years. Previous cardiovascular disease was present in 14.7% of patients. Oxygen therapy was required for 77.9%, and 53% received anticoagulant therapy. The overall 30-day mortality was 20.3%. A cardiovascular event developed in 15.7% of the subjects. These were mainly pulmonary embolism (9.4%), followed by arrhythmias (3.3%), myocardial infarction (2.3%), and myocarditis (0.8%). Patients who developed cardiovascular events upon univariate analysis were significantly older, with major comorbidities, a more compromised respiratory situation, and a higher mortality rate. Multivariate analysis revealed independent factors that were significantly associated with the development of cardiovascular events: hypertension, endotracheal intubation, and age older than 75 years. In patients with COVID-19, the development of a cardiovascular event occurs quite frequently and is mainly seen in elderly subjects with comorbidities (especially hypertension) in the presence of a severe respiratory picture.

14.
PLoS One ; 15(11): e0239172, 2020.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33180787

RESUMEN

AIMS: The aim of this study was to estimate a 48 hour prediction of moderate to severe respiratory failure, requiring mechanical ventilation, in hospitalized patients with COVID-19 pneumonia. METHODS: This was an observational prospective study that comprised consecutive patients with COVID-19 pneumonia admitted to hospital from 21 February to 6 April 2020. The patients' medical history, demographic, epidemiologic and clinical data were collected in an electronic patient chart. The dataset was used to train predictive models using an established machine learning framework leveraging a hybrid approach where clinical expertise is applied alongside a data-driven analysis. The study outcome was the onset of moderate to severe respiratory failure defined as PaO2/FiO2 ratio <150 mmHg in at least one of two consecutive arterial blood gas analyses in the following 48 hours. Shapley Additive exPlanations values were used to quantify the positive or negative impact of each variable included in each model on the predicted outcome. RESULTS: A total of 198 patients contributed to generate 1068 usable observations which allowed to build 3 predictive models based respectively on 31-variables signs and symptoms, 39-variables laboratory biomarkers and 91-variables as a composition of the two. A fourth "boosted mixed model" included 20 variables was selected from the model 3, achieved the best predictive performance (AUC = 0.84) without worsening the FN rate. Its clinical performance was applied in a narrative case report as an example. CONCLUSION: This study developed a machine model with 84% prediction accuracy, which is able to assist clinicians in decision making process and contribute to develop new analytics to improve care at high technology readiness levels.


Asunto(s)
Simulación por Computador , Infecciones por Coronavirus/complicaciones , Aprendizaje Automático , Neumonía Viral/complicaciones , Insuficiencia Respiratoria/diagnóstico , Anciano , Betacoronavirus , Análisis de los Gases de la Sangre , COVID-19 , Femenino , Humanos , Italia , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Modelos Estadísticos , Pandemias , Estudios Prospectivos , Respiración Artificial , Insuficiencia Respiratoria/etiología , SARS-CoV-2
15.
AIDS ; 34(13): 1915-1921, 2020 11 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33009010

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: The aim was to investigate the contribution of liver steatosis and significant fibrosis alone and in association [nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) with fibrosis] to frailty as a measure of biological age in people living with HIV (PLWH). DESIGN: This was a cross-sectional study of consecutive patients attending Modena HIV Metabolic Clinic in 2018-2019. METHODS: Patients with hazardous alcohol intake and viral hepatitis coinfection were excluded. Liver steatosis was diagnosed by controlled attenuation parameter (CAP), while liver fibrosis was diagnosed by liver stiffness measurement (LSM). NAFLD was defined as presence of liver steatosis (CAP ≥248 dB/m), while significant liver fibrosis or cirrhosis (stage ≥F2) as LSM at least 7.1 kPa. Frailty was assessed using a 36-Item frailty index. Logistic regression was used to explore predictors of frailty using steatosis and fibrosis as covariates. RESULTS: We analysed 707 PLWH (mean age 53.5 years, 76.2% men, median CD4 cell count 700 cells/µl, 98.7% with undetectable HIV RNA). NAFLD with fibrosis was present in 10.2%; 18.9 and 3.9% of patients were classified as frail and most-frail, respectively. Univariate analysis demonstrated that neurocognitive impairment [odds ratio (OR) = 5.1, 1.6-15], vitamin D insufficiency (OR = 1.94, 1.2-3.2), obesity (OR = 8.1, 4.4-14.6), diabetes (OR = 3.2, 1.9-5.6), metabolic syndrome (OR = 2.41, 1.47-3.95) and osteoporosis (OR = 0.37, 0.16-0.76) were significantly associated with NAFLD with fibrosis. Predictors of frailty index included steatosis (OR = 2.1, 1.3-3.5), fibrosis (OR = 2, 1-3.7), NAFLD with fibrosis (OR = 9.2, 5.2-16.8), diabetes (OR = 1.7, 1-2.7) and multimorbidity (OR = 2.5, 1.5-4). CONCLUSION: Liver steatosis and NAFLD with fibrosis were associated with frailty. NAFLD with fibrosis exceeded multimorbidity in the prediction of frailty, suggesting the former as an indicator of metabolic age in PLWH.


Asunto(s)
Diagnóstico por Imagen de Elasticidad/métodos , Fragilidad/complicaciones , Infecciones por VIH/complicaciones , Cirrosis Hepática/complicaciones , Cirrosis Hepática/diagnóstico por imagen , Hígado/patología , Enfermedad del Hígado Graso no Alcohólico/complicaciones , Enfermedad del Hígado Graso no Alcohólico/diagnóstico por imagen , Estudios Transversales , Femenino , Fragilidad/epidemiología , Infecciones por VIH/patología , Humanos , Hígado/diagnóstico por imagen , Cirrosis Hepática/epidemiología , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Enfermedad del Hígado Graso no Alcohólico/epidemiología
16.
Infect Dis Rep ; 12(2): 8609, 2020 May 29.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32913621

RESUMEN

We describe a case of acute myocarditis, which was reported as the main COVID-19 clinical manifestation, with a favorabile outcome. In addition to symptoms, laboratory tests (BNP and troponin), echocardiogram and cardiac MRI contributed to diagnosis. Regardless heart biopsy was not obtained, it is likely an immunological pathogenesis of this condition which pave the way to further therapeutic implications, since there are currently no standardized treatments.

18.
Lancet Rheumatol ; 2(8): e474-e484, 2020 Aug.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32835257

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: No therapy is approved for COVID-19 pneumonia. The aim of this study was to assess the role of tocilizumab in reducing the risk of invasive mechanical ventilation and death in patients with severe COVID-19 pneumonia who received standard of care treatment. METHODS: This retrospective, observational cohort study included adults (≥18 years) with severe COVID-19 pneumonia who were admitted to tertiary care centres in Bologna and Reggio Emilia, Italy, between Feb 21 and March 24, 2020, and a tertiary care centre in Modena, Italy, between Feb 21 and April 30, 2020. All patients were treated with the standard of care (ie, supplemental oxygen, hydroxychloroquine, azithromycin, antiretrovirals, and low molecular weight heparin), and a non-randomly selected subset of patients also received tocilizumab. Tocilizumab was given either intravenously at 8 mg/kg bodyweight (up to a maximum of 800 mg) in two infusions, 12 h apart, or subcutaneously at 162 mg administered in two simultaneous doses, one in each thigh (ie, 324 mg in total), when the intravenous formulation was unavailable. The primary endpoint was a composite of invasive mechanical ventilation or death. Treatment groups were compared using Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox regression analysis after adjusting for sex, age, recruiting centre, duration of symptoms, and baseline Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score. FINDINGS: Of 1351 patients admitted, 544 (40%) had severe COVID-19 pneumonia and were included in the study. 57 (16%) of 365 patients in the standard care group needed mechanical ventilation, compared with 33 (18%) of 179 patients treated with tocilizumab (p=0·41; 16 [18%] of 88 patients treated intravenously and 17 [19%] of 91 patients treated subcutaneously). 73 (20%) patients in the standard care group died, compared with 13 (7%; p<0·0001) patients treated with tocilizumab (six [7%] treated intravenously and seven [8%] treated subcutaneously). After adjustment for sex, age, recruiting centre, duration of symptoms, and SOFA score, tocilizumab treatment was associated with a reduced risk of invasive mechanical ventilation or death (adjusted hazard ratio 0·61, 95% CI 0·40-0·92; p=0·020). 24 (13%) of 179 patients treated with tocilizumab were diagnosed with new infections, versus 14 (4%) of 365 patients treated with standard of care alone (p<0·0001). INTERPRETATION: Treatment with tocilizumab, whether administered intravenously or subcutaneously, might reduce the risk of invasive mechanical ventilation or death in patients with severe COVID-19 pneumonia. FUNDING: None.

19.
J Acquir Immune Defic Syndr ; 83(3): 284-291, 2020 03 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32032279

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: To evaluate differences between older women and men with HIV regarding HIV variables, comorbidity, physical function, and quality of life (QOL). SETTING: The Modena HIV clinic. METHODS: Prospective cohort study. Cross-sectional analysis. Patients >50 years were included, stratified by sex. We recorded sociodemographic data, comorbidities, variables related to HIV infection, frailty, data on body composition, physical function, physical activity, and QOL. RESULTS: We evaluated 1126 older adults with HIV, of which 284 (25.2%) were women. Median age was 55 (IQR 6) years. There were significant differences between women and men in the median current CD4 T-cell and the mean CD4/CD8 ratio. There were differences regarding alcohol consumption, cardiovascular (CV) disease, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, and renal failure. Sarcopenia and slower gait speed were found more prevalent among men, but without significant differences. Significant differences were found regarding lower extremity strength measured by the chair stand test and in the short physical performance battery score. Short physical performance battery <9 was detected for 11.1% women vs. 5.6% men (P = 0.002). EQ5D5L score was 0.87 in women vs. 0.89 in men (P = 0.002). CONCLUSIONS: In our cohort, older women represented one in 4 of the total patients. Despite the fact that women have better immunological recovery measured by CD4 T-cell count and CD4/CD8 ratio, and fewer CV disease and CV risk factors than men, their physical function and their QOL are worse. Therefore, older HIV-infected women have special characteristics, and the assessment of physical function in this group seems to be crucial.


Asunto(s)
Composición Corporal , Fragilidad , Infecciones por VIH/complicaciones , Fuerza Muscular , Anciano , Envejecimiento , Consumo de Bebidas Alcohólicas , Recuento de Linfocito CD4 , Relación CD4-CD8 , Linfocitos T CD4-Positivos , Estudios de Cohortes , Estudios Transversales , Femenino , Infecciones por VIH/inmunología , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios Prospectivos
20.
HIV Res Clin Pract ; 21(6): 168-173, 2020 12.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33459579

RESUMEN

Background: Treatment with integrase strand transfer inhibitors (INSTIs) has been associated with excess weight gain, however the long-term effect of INSTI-based regimens on adipose tissue (AT) compartments remains unknown.Objectives: To evaluate the effect of switching to an INSTI on visceral (VAT) and subcutaneous (SAT) AT in virologically-suppressed adults with HIV.Methods: We performed a retrospective observational cohort study of ART experienced adults referred to the metabolic Clinic of the University of Modena and Reggio Emilia who had ≥2 assessments of body composition by abdominal computed tomography. An interrupted time series model with mixed-effect model incorporated was used to calculate VAT and SAT change rate, adjusting for smoking status, use of alcohol, and physical activity.Results: A total of 698 patients were included: 156 who switched to an INSTI-based regimen and 542 who did not. After switch to INSTI, mean SAT area increased approximately 3-fold (before 0.27 vs after 0.73 cm2/month; p = 0.011), and VAT area 7-fold (0.18 vs 1.30 cm2/month; p < 0.001).Conclusions: Among PLWH on ART, both SAT and VAT gain accelerated after switching to an INSTI-based regimen. The associations between INSTIs and central adiposity require further investigation.


Asunto(s)
Fármacos Anti-VIH , Infecciones por VIH , Inhibidores de Integrasa VIH , Tejido Adiposo/diagnóstico por imagen , Adulto , Fármacos Anti-VIH/uso terapéutico , Infecciones por VIH/tratamiento farmacológico , Inhibidores de Integrasa VIH/efectos adversos , Humanos , Estudios Retrospectivos
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