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1.
Health Place ; 89: 103326, 2024 Jul 26.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39067171

RESUMEN

Rising rates of overweight/obesity in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) are a growing concern. Regional analysis of sociodemographic factors associated with overweight/obesity, as is common, may mask nationally specific associations. We examine the spatiotemporal trends of overweight/obesity in women (15-49 years) using 13 years of data (2003-2016) from Demographic and Health Surveys in five East African countries. Multivariable logistic regression reveals that urbanization and individual education, wealth, employment, marital status, and age are linked to overweight/obesity in the region, but their influence varied between nations. Variations in sociodemographic risk factors across nations underscore the need for tailored surveillance and interventions to address the increasing burden of overweight/obesity in East Africa.

2.
JAMA Netw Open ; 7(6): e2417199, 2024 Jun 03.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38874923

RESUMEN

Importance: Oral non-ß-lactam antibiotics are commonly used for empirical therapy of Staphylococcus aureus infections, especially in outpatient settings. However, little is known about potential geographic heterogeneity and temporal trends in the prevalence of S aureus resistance to non-ß-lactams in the US. Objective: To characterize the spatiotemporal trends of resistance to non-ß-lactam antibiotics among community-onset S aureus infections, including regional variation in resistance rates and geographical heterogeneity in multidrug resistance. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cross-sectional study used data from Veterans Health Administration clinics collected from adult outpatients with S aureus infection in the conterminous 48 states and Washington, DC, from January 1, 2010, to December 31, 2019. Data were analyzed from January to November 2023. Exposures: Resistance to lincosamides (clindamycin), tetracyclines, sulfonamides (trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole [TMP-SMX]), and macrolides. Main Outcomes and Measures: Spatiotemporal variation of S aureus resistance to these 4 classes of non-ß-lactam antibiotics, stratified by methicillin-resistant S aureus (MRSA) and methicillin-sensitive S aureus (MSSA), and subdivided by regions of the US (Northeast, Midwest, South, and West). Trend tests and bivariate mapping were used to determine significant changes in resistant proportions over time and identify counties where rates of resistance to multiple non-ß-lactams were high. Results: A total of 382 149 S aureus isolates from 268 214 unique outpatients (mean [SD] age, 63.4 [14.8] years; 252 910 males [94.29%]) were analyzed. There was a decrease in the proportion of MRSA nationwide, from 53.6% in 2010 to 38.8% in 2019. Among MRSA isolates, we observed a significant increase in tetracycline resistance (from 3.6% in 2010 to 12.8% in 2019; P for trend < .001) and TMP-SMX resistance (from 2.6% in 2010 to 9.2% in 2019; P for trend < .001), modest and not significant increases in clindamycin resistance (from 24.2% in 2010 to 30.6% in 2019; P for trend = .34), and a significant decrease in macrolide resistance (from 73.5% in 2010 to 60.2% in 2019; P for trend < .001). Among MSSA isolates, significant upward trends in clindamycin, tetracyclines, and TMP-SMX resistance were observed. For example, tetracycline resistance increased from 3.7% in 2010 to 9.1% in 2019 (P for trend < .001). Regional stratification over time showed that the Northeast had slightly higher rates of clindamycin resistance but lower rates of tetracycline resistance, while the South had notably higher rates of resistance to tetracyclines and TMP-SMX, particularly among MRSA isolates. Bivariate mapping at the county scale did not indicate clear regional patterns of shared high levels of resistance to the 4 classes of antimicrobials studied. Conclusions and Relevance: In this study of outpatient S aureus isolates, MRSA became less common over the 10-year period, and MRSA isolates were increasingly resistant to tetracyclines and TMP-SMX. Geographic analysis indicated no spatial overlap in counties with high rates of resistance to both tetracyclines and TMP-SMX. Examining the regional spatial variation of antibiotic resistance can inform empirical therapy recommendations and help to understand the evolution of S aureus antibiotic resistance mechanisms.


Asunto(s)
Antibacterianos , Pacientes Ambulatorios , Infecciones Estafilocócicas , Staphylococcus aureus , Humanos , Estudios Transversales , Infecciones Estafilocócicas/tratamiento farmacológico , Infecciones Estafilocócicas/epidemiología , Infecciones Estafilocócicas/microbiología , Masculino , Femenino , Staphylococcus aureus/efectos de los fármacos , Staphylococcus aureus/aislamiento & purificación , Persona de Mediana Edad , Antibacterianos/uso terapéutico , Antibacterianos/farmacología , Pacientes Ambulatorios/estadística & datos numéricos , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , Anciano , Adulto , Staphylococcus aureus Resistente a Meticilina/efectos de los fármacos , Pruebas de Sensibilidad Microbiana , Farmacorresistencia Bacteriana
3.
Antimicrob Resist Infect Control ; 13(1): 34, 2024 Mar 22.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38519975

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: While the use of cumulative susceptibility reports, antibiograms, is recommended for improved empiric therapy and antibiotic stewardship, the predictive ability of antibiograms has not been well-studied. While enhanced antibiograms have been shown to better capture variation in susceptibility profiles by characteristics such as infection site or patient age, the potential for seasonal or spatial variation in susceptibility has not been assessed as important in predicting likelihood of susceptibility. METHODS: Utilizing Staphylococcus aureus isolates obtained in outpatient settings from a nationwide provider of care, the Veterans Health Administration, and a local provider of care, the University of Iowa Hospitals and Clinics, standard, seasonal and spatial antibiograms were created for five commonly used antibiotic classes: cephalosporins, clindamycin, macrolides, tetracycline, trimethoprim/sulfamethoxazole. RESULTS: A total of 338,681 S. aureus isolates obtained in VHA outpatient settings from 2010 to 2019 and 6,817 isolates obtained in UIHC outpatient settings from 2014 to 2019 were used to generate and test antibiograms. Logistic regression modeling determined the capacity of these antibiograms to predict isolate resistance to each antibiotic class. All models had low predictive capacity, with areas under the curve of < 0.7. CONCLUSIONS: Standard antibiograms are poor in predicting S. aureus susceptibility to antibiotics often chosen by clinicians, and seasonal and spatial antibiograms do not provide an improved tool in anticipating non-susceptibility. These findings suggest that further refinements to antibiograms may be necessary to improve their utility in informing choice of effective antibiotic therapy.


Asunto(s)
Antibacterianos , Infecciones Estafilocócicas , Humanos , Antibacterianos/farmacología , Antibacterianos/uso terapéutico , Staphylococcus aureus , Pacientes Ambulatorios , Estaciones del Año , Farmacorresistencia Bacteriana , Infecciones Estafilocócicas/tratamiento farmacológico , Pruebas de Sensibilidad Microbiana
4.
Infect Control Hosp Epidemiol ; 45(4): 540-542, 2024 Apr.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38073591

RESUMEN

Using data from the Veterans' Health Administration from 2010 to 2019, we examined the distribution and prevalence of community-acquired phenotypic extended-spectrum ß-lactamase (ESBL) E. coli in the United States. ESBL prevalence slowly increased during the study period, and cluster analysis showed clustering in both urban and rural locations.


Asunto(s)
Infecciones Comunitarias Adquiridas , Infecciones por Escherichia coli , Humanos , Escherichia coli , Infecciones por Escherichia coli/epidemiología , Infecciones por Escherichia coli/tratamiento farmacológico , beta-Lactamasas , Prevalencia , Análisis por Conglomerados , Infecciones Comunitarias Adquiridas/epidemiología , Infecciones Comunitarias Adquiridas/tratamiento farmacológico , Antibacterianos/uso terapéutico
5.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38028908

RESUMEN

Novel ST398 methicillin susceptible Staphylococcus aureus (MSSA) in the United States was first observed in New York City (2004-2007); its diffusion across the country resulted in changing treatment options. Utilizing outpatient antimicrobial susceptibility data from the Veterans Health Administration from 2010 to 2019, the spatiotemporal prevalence of potential ST398 MSSA is documented.

6.
medRxiv ; 2023 Apr 25.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37790376

RESUMEN

Background: Increasing reports suggest that non-falciparum species are an underappreciated cause of malaria in sub-Saharan Africa, but their epidemiology is not well-defined. This is particularly true in regions of high P. falciparum endemicity such as the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), where 12% of the world's malaria cases and 13% of deaths occur. Methods and Findings: The cumulative incidence and prevalence of P. malariae and P. ovale spp. infection detected by real-time PCR were estimated among children and adults within a longitudinal study conducted in seven rural, peri-urban, and urban sites from 2015-2017 in Kinshasa Province, DRC. Participants were sampled at biannual household survey visits (asymptomatic) and during routine health facility visits (symptomatic). Participant-level characteristics associated with non-falciparum infections were estimated for single- and mixed-species infections. Among 9,089 samples collected from 1,565 participants over a 3-year period, the incidence of P. malariae and P. ovale spp. infection was 11% (95% CI: 9%-12%) and 7% (95% CI: 5%-8%) by one year, respectively, compared to a 67% (95% CI: 64%-70%) one-year cumulative incidence of P. falciparum infection. Incidence continued to rise in the second year of follow-up, reaching 26% and 15% in school-age children (5-14yo) for P. malariae and P. ovale spp., respectively. Prevalence of P. malariae, P. ovale spp., and P. falciparum infections during household visits were 3% (95% CI: 3%-4%), 1% (95% CI: 1%-2%), and 35% (95% CI: 33%-36%), respectively. Non-falciparum malaria was more prevalent in rural and peri-urban vs. urban sites, in school-age children, and among those with P. falciparum co-infection. A crude association was detected between P. malariae and any anemia in the symptomatic clinic population, although this association did not hold when stratified by anemia severity. No crude associations were detected between non-falciparum infection and fever prevalence. Conclusions: P. falciparum remains the primary driver of malaria morbidity and mortality in the DRC. However, non-falciparum species also pose an infection risk across sites of varying urbanicity and malaria endemicity within Kinshasa, DRC, particularly among children under 15 years of age. As P. falciparum interventions gain traction in high-burden settings like the DRC, continued surveillance and improved understanding of non-falciparum infections are warranted.

7.
Nat Commun ; 14(1): 6618, 2023 10 19.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37857597

RESUMEN

Reports suggest non-falciparum species are an underappreciated cause of malaria in sub-Saharan Africa but their epidemiology is ill-defined, particularly in highly malaria-endemic regions. We estimated incidence and prevalence of PCR-confirmed non-falciparum and Plasmodium falciparum malaria infections within a longitudinal study conducted in Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) between 2015-2017. Children and adults were sampled at biannual household surveys and routine clinic visits. Among 9,089 samples from 1,565 participants, incidences of P. malariae, P. ovale spp., and P. falciparum infections by 1-year were 7.8% (95% CI: 6.4%-9.1%), 4.8% (95% CI: 3.7%-5.9%) and 57.5% (95% CI: 54.4%-60.5%), respectively. Non-falciparum prevalences were higher in school-age children, rural and peri-urban sites, and P. falciparum co-infections. P. falciparum remains the primary driver of malaria in the DRC, though non-falciparum species also pose an infection risk. As P. falciparum interventions gain traction in high-burden settings, continued surveillance and improved understanding of non-falciparum infections are warranted.


Asunto(s)
Malaria Falciparum , Malaria , Plasmodium ovale , Niño , Adulto , Humanos , Plasmodium ovale/genética , Plasmodium malariae , República Democrática del Congo/epidemiología , Estudios Longitudinales , Malaria Falciparum/epidemiología , Malaria/epidemiología , Prevalencia , Plasmodium falciparum/genética
8.
Int J Health Geogr ; 22(1): 20, 2023 08 24.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37620831

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is increasing in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). Overweight/obesity and tobacco use are modifiable CVD risk factors, however literature about the spatiotemporal dynamics of these risk factors in the region at subnational or local scales is lacking. We describe the spatiotemporal trends of overweight/obesity and tobacco use at subnational levels over a 13-year period (2003 to 2016) in five East African nations. METHODS: Cross-sectional, nationally representative Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) were used to explore the subnational spatiotemporal patterns of overweight/obesity and tobacco use in Burundi, Kenya, Rwanda, Tanzania, and Uganda, five East African Community (EAC) nations with unique cultural landscapes influencing CVD risk factors. Adaptive kernel density estimation and logistic regression were used to determine the spatial distribution and change over time of CVD risk factors on a subnational and subpopulation (rural/urban) scale. RESULTS: Subnational analysis shows that regional and national level analysis masks important trends in CVD risk factor prevalence. Overweight/obesity and tobacco use trends were not similar: overweight/obesity prevalence increased across most nations included in the study and the inverse was true for tobacco use prevalence. Urban populations in each nation were more likely to be overweight/obese than rural populations, but the magnitude of difference varied widely between nations. Spatial analysis revealed that although the prevalence of overweight/obesity increased over time in both urban and rural populations, the rate of change differed between urban and rural areas. Rural populations were more likely to use tobacco than urban populations, though the likelihood of use varied substantially between nations. Additionally, spatial analysis showed that tobacco use was not evenly distributed across the landscape: tobacco use increased in and around major cities and urban centers but declined in rural areas. CONCLUSIONS: We highlight the importance of de-homogenizing CVD risk factor research in SSA. Studies of national or regional prevalence trends mask important information about subpopulation and place-specific behavior and drivers of risk factor prevalence. Spatially explicit studies should be considered as a vital tool to understand local drivers of health, disease, and associated risk factor trends, especially in highly diverse yet low-resourced, marginalized, and often homogenized regions.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedades Cardiovasculares , Sobrepeso , Humanos , Sobrepeso/diagnóstico , Sobrepeso/epidemiología , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/diagnóstico , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/epidemiología , Estudios Transversales , Obesidad/diagnóstico , Obesidad/epidemiología , Factores de Riesgo , Tanzanía
9.
One Health ; 16: 100537, 2023 Jun.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37363256

RESUMEN

Background: Highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 virus consistently threatens global public health. A better understanding of the virus' circulation mechanism is needed for future epidemic prevention. Previous studies have focused on the correlations between the presence of H5N1 virus and wild bird populations, domestic poultry production, and sociodemographic factors. However, human cultural landscapes and their impact on H5N1 spread have not been adequately explored. Methods: Using 196 HA gene sequences of H5N1 influenza viruses from Indonesia with district-level geographic information, we performed Monmonier barrier and Louvain community detection analyses to explore how human ecological factors impact the circulation of virus and identify barriers to or corridors of dispersal. Results: Spatial discontinuity in the genetic characteristics identified by the Monmonier algorithm were found to mirror the differences in key landscape factors. Our Louvain community detection analysis also found the co-existence of different geographic circulation patterns. The community detection analysis suggests that direct human-related interactions such as poultry transportations between remote areas may result in similar viruses spreading in two distant regions whilst dense localities supported genetically heterogeneous viruses in geographically adjacent areas. Conclusion: Human ecological landscapes shape the circulation mechanism of H5N1 virus in multiple ways contingent upon local context. Physical and cultural barriers may impede its movement between adjacent areas, while natural or human-induced corridors such as wild bird flyways and poultry production networks facilitate its spread between geographically distant areas. Further focus on the importance of cultural landscapes has great potential for increasing our understanding of the circulation of pathogenic H5N1 avian influenza virus in Southeast Asia.

10.
PLoS One ; 18(5): e0284716, 2023.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37196010

RESUMEN

Identifying the spatial patterns of genetic structure of influenza A viruses is a key factor for understanding their spread and evolutionary dynamics. In this study, we used phylogenetic and Bayesian clustering analyses of genetic sequences of the A/H1N1pdm09 virus with district-level locations in mainland China to investigate the spatial genetic structure of the A/H1N1pdm09 virus across human population landscapes. Positive correlation between geographic and genetic distances indicates high degrees of genetic similarity among viruses within small geographic regions but broad-scale genetic differentiation, implying that local viral circulation was a more important driver in the formation of the spatial genetic structure of the A/H1N1pdm09 virus than even, countrywide viral mixing and gene flow. Geographic heterogeneity in the distribution of genetic subpopulations of A/H1N1pdm09 virus in mainland China indicates both local to local transmission as well as broad-range viral migration. This combination of both local and global structure suggests that both small-scale and large-scale population circulation in China is responsible for viral genetic structure. Our study provides implications for understanding the evolution and spread of A/H1N1pdm09 virus across the population landscape of mainland China, which can inform disease control strategies for future pandemics.


Asunto(s)
Subtipo H1N1 del Virus de la Influenza A , Gripe Humana , Humanos , Gripe Humana/epidemiología , Gripe Humana/genética , Subtipo H1N1 del Virus de la Influenza A/genética , Filogenia , Teorema de Bayes , China/epidemiología
11.
Disaster Med Public Health Prep ; 17: e357, 2023 03 20.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36938923

RESUMEN

The impact of hurricane-related flooding on infectious diseases in the US is not well understood. Using geocoded electronic health records for 62,762 veterans living in North Carolina counties impacted by Hurricane Matthew coupled with flood maps, we explore the impact of hurricane and flood exposure on infectious outcomes in outpatient settings and emergency departments as well as antimicrobial prescribing. Declines in outpatient visits and antimicrobial prescribing are observed in weeks 0-2 following the hurricane as compared with the baseline period and the year prior, while increases in antimicrobial prescribing are observed 3+ weeks following the hurricane. Taken together, hurricane and flood exposure appear to have had minor impacts on infectious outcomes in North Carolina veterans, not resulting in large increases in infections or antimicrobial prescribing.


Asunto(s)
Antiinfecciosos , Enfermedades Transmisibles , Tormentas Ciclónicas , Veteranos , Humanos , North Carolina/epidemiología , Inundaciones
12.
Birth ; 50(1): 5-10, 2023 03.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36752116

RESUMEN

Patient decisions to bypass the closest labor & delivery (L&D) facility in favor of other birthing locations can have consequences for the provision of health care in rural and micropolitan areas as patient volumes decline and payer mixes change. Among 220 589 uncomplicated births in Iowa, we document characteristics of birth parents who bypass their closest birthing facility, show how this bypassing behavior results in changed travel times to delivery facilities across the rural/urban divide, and indicate the parts of the state where bypassing behavior is most prevalent. From 2013 to 2019, 55.2% of deliveries occurred in facilities that were further from birthing parents' residences than the closest L&D facility. Bypassing is associated with White, non-Hispanic race/ethnicity, and private insurance status. Although bypassing is least common among micropolitan birth parents, this group has the greatest travel burden to birthing facilities and exhibits increasing rates of bypassing over time. Perinatal quality improvement programs can target locations and populations where low-risk birthing parents can be encouraged to deliver close to home if medically appropriate, particularly in small towns and rural areas. This can potentially alleviate the risk of obstetric deserts by ensuring L&D units maintain patient volumes necessary to continue operations.


Asunto(s)
Trabajo de Parto , Servicios de Salud Materna , Embarazo , Femenino , Humanos , Parto , Instituciones de Salud , Población Rural , Parto Obstétrico/métodos , Accesibilidad a los Servicios de Salud
13.
JAMA Netw Open ; 6(1): e2252698, 2023 01 03.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36696114

RESUMEN

This cohort study evaluates the association of proximity to dermatologic clinicians with stage at diagnosis and cancer-specific survival among adults with cutaneous melanoma in Iowa.


Asunto(s)
Melanoma , Neoplasias Cutáneas , Humanos , Melanoma/diagnóstico , Melanoma/terapia , Neoplasias Cutáneas/diagnóstico , Neoplasias Cutáneas/terapia
14.
Infect Control Hosp Epidemiol ; 44(9): 1497-1499, 2023 09.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36458687

RESUMEN

Fluoroquinolone resistance among Enterobacteriaceae is a notable challenge for appropriate empiric therapy in outpatient settings. We describe the spatial distribution of fluoroquinolone resistance and its chronological change between 2000 and 2017 in the nationwide Veterans' Health Administration system. We found spatially concentrated increasing prevalence in the 2000s, followed by spatial dispersion in the 2010s.


Asunto(s)
Fluoroquinolonas , Veteranos , Humanos , Fluoroquinolonas/farmacología , Fluoroquinolonas/uso terapéutico , Enterobacteriaceae , Pacientes Ambulatorios , Farmacorresistencia Bacteriana , Antibacterianos/farmacología , Antibacterianos/uso terapéutico
15.
J Rural Health ; 39(1): 113-120, 2023 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34978349

RESUMEN

PURPOSE: Continued closure of rural hospitals and labor & delivery units can impact timely access to care. Iowa has lost over a quarter of its labor & delivery units in the previous decade. Calculating how travel times to labor & delivery services have changed, and where in the state the largest travel times take place, are important for understanding access to this critical service. METHODS: Using parental address and facility location from birth certificate data in Iowa from 2013 to 2019, travel times to birth facility are assessed for rural, micropolitan, and metropolitan parents, as well as for complicated versus noncomplicated births and Medicaid versus non-Medicaid recipients. FINDINGS: Parts of the state have travel times that are consistently greater than 30 minutes over the duration of the study. The largest increases in travel times are found among micropolitan residents, particularly those experiencing complicated births. Travel times are consistently the longest for rural residents but increased only slightly over the study time period. CONCLUSIONS: These findings suggest that access to hospital-based obstetric care is most changed for residents of small towns rather than rural or larger city residents.


Asunto(s)
Accesibilidad a los Servicios de Salud , Trabajo de Parto , Embarazo , Femenino , Humanos , Iowa , Hospitales Rurales , Viaje , Población Rural
16.
Obes Sci Pract ; 8(6): 784-793, 2022 Dec.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36483119

RESUMEN

Objective: Rural veterans have high obesity rates. Yet, little is known about this population's engagement with the Veterans Affairs (VA) weight management program (MOVE!). The study objective is to determine whether MOVE! enrollment, anti-obesity medication use, bariatric surgery use, retention, and outcomes differ by rurality for veterans with severe obesity. Methods: This is a retrospective cohort study using Veterans Health Administration patient databases, including VA patients with severe obesity during 2015-2017. Patients were categorized using Rural-Urban Commuting Area codes. Primary outcomes included proportion of patients and risk-adjusted likelihood of initiating VA MOVE!, anti-obesity medication, or bariatric surgery and risk-adjusted highly rural|Hazard Ratio (HR) of any obesity treatment. Secondary outcomes included treatment retention (≥12 weeks) and successful weight loss (5%) among patients initiating MOVE!, and risk-adjusted odds of retention and successful weight loss. Results: Among 640,555 eligible veterans, risk-adjusted relative likelihood of MOVE! treatment was significantly lower for rural and HR veterans (HR = 0.83, HR = 0.67, respectively). Initiation rates of anti-obesity medication use were significantly lower as well, whereas bariatric surgery rates, retention, and successful weight loss did not differ. Conclusions: Overall treatment rates with MOVE!, bariatric surgery, and anti-obesity medications remain low. Rural veterans are less likely to enroll in MOVE! and less likely to receive anti-obesity medications than urban veterans.

17.
J Environ Public Health ; 2022: 8777594, 2022.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35692665

RESUMEN

Influenza typically causes mild infection but can lead to severe outcomes for those with compromised lung health. Flooding, a seasonal problem in Iowa, can expose many Iowans to molds and allergens shown to alter lung inflammation, leading to asthma attacks and decreased viral clearance. Based on this, the hypothesis for this research was that there would be geographically specific positive associations in locations with flooding with influenza diagnosis. An ecological study was performed using influenza diagnoses and positive influenza polymerase chain reaction tests from a de-identified large private insurance database and Iowa State Hygienic Lab. After adjustment for multiple confounding factors, Poisson regression analysis resulted in a consistent 1% associated increase in influenza diagnoses per day above flood stage (95% confidence interval: 1.00-1.04). This relationship remained after removal of the 2009-2010 influenza pandemic year. There was no associated risk between flooding and influenza-like illness as a nonspecific diagnosis. Associated risks between flooding and increased influenza diagnoses were geographically specific, with the greatest risk in the most densely populated areas. This study indicates that populations who live, work, or volunteer in flooded environments should consider preventative measures to avoid environmental exposures to mitigate illness from influenza in the following year.


Asunto(s)
Gripe Humana , Neumonía , Exposición a Riesgos Ambientales , Inundaciones , Humanos , Gripe Humana/epidemiología , Análisis de Regresión
18.
Infect Control Hosp Epidemiol ; 43(12): 1833-1839, 2022 12.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35292125

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: Temporal overlap of the Atlantic hurricane season and seasonal influenza vaccine rollout has the potential to result in delays or disruptions of vaccination campaigns. We documented seasonal influenza vaccination behavior over a 5-year period and explored associations between flooding following Hurricane Harvey and timing and uptake of vaccines, as well as how the impacts of Hurricane Harvey on vaccination vary by race, wealth, and rurality. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort analysis. SETTING: Texas counties affected by Hurricane Harvey. PATIENTS: Active users of the Veterans' Health Administration in 2017. METHODS: We used geocoded residential address data to assess flood exposure status following Hurricane Harvey. Days to receipt of seasonal influenza vaccines were calculated for each year from 2014 to 2019. Proportional hazards models were used to determine how likelihood of vaccination varied according to flood status as well as the race, wealth, and rural-urban residence of patients. RESULTS: The year of Hurricane Harvey was associated with a median delay of 2 weeks to vaccination and lower overall vaccination than in prior years. Residential status in flooded areas was associated with lower hazards of influenza vaccination in all years. White patients had higher proportional hazards of influenza vaccination than non-White patients, though this attenuated to 6.39% (hazard ratio [HR], 1.0639; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.034-1.095) in the hurricane. year. CONCLUSIONS: Receipt of seasonal influenza vaccination following regional exposure to the effects of Hurricane Harvey was delayed among US veterans. White, non-low-income, and rural patients had higher likelihood of vaccination in all years of the study, but these gaps narrowed during the hurricane year.


Asunto(s)
Tormentas Ciclónicas , Vacunas contra la Influenza , Gripe Humana , Humanos , Estaciones del Año , Gripe Humana/prevención & control , Estudios Retrospectivos , Vacunación , Vacunas contra la Influenza/uso terapéutico
19.
PLoS One ; 17(3): e0251165, 2022.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35271589

RESUMEN

Lyme disease is the most widely reported vector-borne disease in the United States. 95% of confirmed human cases are reported in the Northeast and upper Midwest (25,778 total confirmed cases from Northeast and upper Midwest / 27,203 total US confirmed cases). Human cases typically occur in the spring and summer months when an infected nymph Ixodid tick takes a blood meal. Current federal surveillance strategies report data on an annual basis, leading to nearly a year lag in national data reporting. These lags in reporting make it difficult for public health agencies to assess and plan for the current burden of Lyme disease. Implementation of a nowcasting model, using historical data to predict current trends, provides a means for public health agencies to evaluate current Lyme disease burden and make timely priority-based budgeting decisions. The objective of the study was to develop and compare the performance of nowcasting models using free data from Google Trends and Centers of Disease Control and Prevention surveillance reports. We developed two sets of elastic net models for five regions of the United States: 1. Using only monthly proportional hit data from the 21 disease symptoms and tick related terms, and 2. Using monthly proportional hit data from terms identified via Google correlate and the disease symptom and vector terms. Elastic net models using the full-term list were highly accurate (Root Mean Square Error: 0.74, Mean Absolute Error: 0.52, R2: 0.97) for four of the five regions of the United States and improved accuracy 1.33-fold while reducing error 0.5-fold compared to predictions from models using disease symptom and vector terms alone. Many of the terms included and found to be important for model performance were environmentally related. These models can be implemented to help local and state public health agencies accurately monitor Lyme disease burden during times of reporting lag from federal public health reporting agencies.


Asunto(s)
Ixodidae , Enfermedad de Lyme , Animales , Humanos , Enfermedad de Lyme/epidemiología , Enfermedad de Lyme/prevención & control , Ninfa , Salud Pública , Estaciones del Año , Estados Unidos/epidemiología
20.
JAMA Netw Open ; 4(12): e2138535, 2021 12 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34889944

RESUMEN

Importance: Hurricanes and flooding can interrupt health care utilization. Understanding the magnitude and duration of interruptions, as well as how they vary according to hazard exposure, race, and income, are important for identifying populations in need of greater retention in care. Objective: To determine how the differential exposure to Hurricane Harvey in August 2017 is associated with changes in utilization of Veterans Health Administration health care. Design, Setting, and Participants: This is a retrospective cohort analysis of primary care practitioner (PCP) visits, emergency department visits, and inpatient admissions in the Veterans Health Administration among Texas veterans residing in counties impacted by Hurricane Harvey from 2016 to 2018. Data analysis was performed from September 2020 to May 2021. Exposures: Residential flooding after Hurricane Harvey. Main Outcomes and Measures: Interrupted time series analysis measured changes in health care utilization over time, stratified by residential flood exposure, race, and income. Results: Of the 99 858 patients in the cohort, 89 931 (90.06%) were male, and their median (range) age was 58 (21 to 102) years. Compared with veterans in nonflooded areas, veterans living in flooded areas were more likely to be Black (24 715 veterans [33.80%] vs 4237 veterans [15.85%]) and low-income (14 895 veterans [20.37%] vs 4853 veterans [18.15%]). Rates of PCP visits decreased by 49.78% (95% CI, -64.52% to -35.15%) for veterans in flooded areas and by 45.89% (95% CI, -61.93% to -29.91%) for veterans in nonflooded areas and did not rebound until more than 8 weeks after the hurricane. Rates of PCP visits in flooded areas remained lower than expected for 11 weeks among White veterans (-6.99%; 95% CI, -14.36% to 0.81%) and for 13 weeks among racial minority veterans (-7.22%; 95% CI, -14.11% to 0.30%). Low-income veterans, regardless of flood status, experienced greater suppression of PCP visits in the 8 weeks following the hurricane (-13.72%; 95% CI, -20.51% to -6.68%) compared with their wealthier counterparts (-9.63%; 95% CI, -16.74% to -2.26%). Conclusions and Relevance: These findings suggest that flood disasters such as Hurricane Harvey may be associated with declines in health care utilization that differ according to flood status, race, and income strata. Patients most exposed to the disaster also had the greatest delay or nonreceipt of care.


Asunto(s)
Tormentas Ciclónicas/estadística & datos numéricos , Servicio de Urgencia en Hospital/estadística & datos numéricos , Aceptación de la Atención de Salud/estadística & datos numéricos , Servicios de Salud para Veteranos/estadística & datos numéricos , Veteranos/psicología , Veteranos/estadística & datos numéricos , Adolescente , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios Retrospectivos , Texas , Adulto Joven
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