Early postoperative risk stratification in patients with pancreatic fistula after pancreaticoduodenectomy.

BACKGROUND: Early stratification of postoperative pancreatic fistula according to severity and/or need for invasive intervention may improve outcomes after pancreaticoduodenectomy. This study aimed to identify the early postoperative variables that may predict postoperative pancreatic fistula severity. METHODS: All patients diagnosed with biochemical leak and clinically relevant-postoperative pancreatic fistula based on drain fluid amylase >300 U/L on the fifth postoperative day after pancreaticoduodenectomy were identified from a consecutive cohort from Birmingham, UK. Demographics, intraoperative parameters, and postoperative laboratory results on postoperative days 1 through 7 were retrospectively extracted. Independent predictors of clinically relevant-postoperative pancreatic fistula were identified using multivariable binary logistic regression and converted into a risk score, which was applied to an external cohort from Verona, Italy. RESULTS: The Birmingham cohort had 187 patients diagnosed with postoperative pancreatic fistula (biochemical leak: 99, clinically relevant: 88). In clinically relevant-postoperative pancreatic fistula patients, the leak became clinically relevant at a median of 9 days (interquartile range: 6-13) after pancreaticoduodenectomy. Male sex (P = .002), drain fluid amylase-postoperative day 3 (P < .001), c-reactive protein postoperative day 3 (P < .001), and albumin-postoperative day 3 (P = .028) were found to be significant predictors of clinically relevant-postoperative pancreatic fistula on multivariable analysis. The multivariable model was converted into a risk score with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.78 (standard error: 0.038). This score significantly predicted the need for invasive intervention (postoperative pancreatic fistula grades B3 and C) in the Verona cohort (n = 121; area under the receiver operating characteristic curve: 0.68; standard error = 0.06; P = .006) but did not predict clinically relevant-postoperative pancreatic fistula when grades B1 and B2 were included (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve 0.52; standard error = 0.07; P = .802). CONCLUSION: We developed a novel risk score based on early postoperative laboratory values that can accurately predict higher grades of clinically relevant-postoperative pancreatic fistula requiring invasive intervention. Early identification of severe postoperative pancreatic fistula may allow earlier intervention.

Impact of an enhanced recovery after surgery protocol on short-term outcomes in elderly patients undergoing pancreaticoduodenectomy.

BACKGROUND: To determine whether the short-term benefits associated with an enhanced recovery after surgery programme (ERAS) following pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD) vary with age. METHODS: 830 consecutive patients who underwent PD between January 2009 and March 2019 were divided according to age: elderly (≥75 years) vs. non-elderly patients (<75 years). Within each age group, cohort characteristics and outcomes were compared between patients treated pre- and post-ERAS (ERAS was systematically introduced in December 2012). Univariable and multivariable analysis were then performed, to assess whether ERAS was independently associated with length of hospital stay (LOS). RESULTS: Of the entire cohort, 577 of 830 patients (69.5%) were managed according to an ERAS protocol, and 170 patients (20.5%) were aged ≥75 years old. Patients treated post-ERAS were significantly more comorbid than those pre-ERAS, with a mean Charlson Comorbidity Index of 4.6 vs. 4.1 (p < 0.001) and 6.0 vs. 5.7 (p = 0.039) for the non-elderly and elderly subgroups, respectively. There were significantly fewer medical complications in non-elderly patients treated post-ERAS compared to pre-ERAS (12.4% vs. 22.4%; p = 0.002), but not in elderly patients (23.6% vs. 14.0%; p = 0.203). On multivariable analysis, ERAS was independently associated with reduced LOS in both elderly (14.8% reduction, 95% CI: 0.7-27.0%, p = 0.041) and non-elderly patients (15.6% reduction, 95% CI: 9.2-21.6%, p < 0.001), with the effect size being similar in each group. CONCLUSION: ERAS protocols can be safely applied to patients undergoing pancreaticoduodenectomy irrespective of age. Implementation of an ERAS protocol was associated with a significant reduction in postoperative LOS in both elderly and non-elderly patients, despite higher comorbidity in the post-ERAS period.