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1.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38372926

RESUMEN

The problem of desertification (DSF) is one of the most severe environmental disasters which influence the overall condition of the environment. In Rio de Janeiro Earth Summit on Environment and Development (1922), DSF is defined as arid, semi-arid, and dry sub-humid induced LD and that is adopted at the UNEP's Nairobi ad hoc meeting in 1977. It has been seen that there is no variability in the trend of long-term rainfall, but the change has been found in the variability of temperature (avg. temp. 0-5 °C). There is no proof that the air pollution brought on by CO2 and other warming gases is the cause of this rise, which seems to be partially caused by urbanization. The two types of driving factors in DSF-CC (climate change) along with anthropogenic influences-must be compared in order to work and take action to stop DSF from spreading. The proportional contributions of human activity and CC to DSF have been extensively evaluated in this work from "qualitative, semi-quantitative, and quantitative" perspectives. In this study, we have tried to connect the drives of desertification to desertification-induced migration due to loss of biodiversity and agriculture failure. The authors discovered that several of the issues from the earlier studies persisted. The policy-makers should follow the proper SLM (soil and land management) through using the land. The afforestation with social forestry and consciousness among the people can reduce the spreading of the desertification (Badapalli et al. 2023). The green wall is also playing an important role to reduce the desertification. For instance, it was clear that assessments were subjective; they could not be readily replicated, and they always relied on administrative areas rather than being taken and displayed in a continuous space. This research is trying to fulfill the mentioned research gap with the help of the existing literatures related to this field.

3.
J Contam Hydrol ; 256: 104195, 2023 05.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37186993

RESUMEN

Deterioration of groundwater quality is a long-term incident which leads unending vulnerability of groundwater. The present work was carried out in Murshidabad District, West Bengal, India to assess groundwater vulnerability due to elevated arsenic (As) and other heavy metal contamination in this area. The geographic distribution of arsenic and other heavy metals including physicochemical parameters of groundwater (in both pre-monsoon and post-monsoon season) and different physical factors were performed. GIS-machine learning model such as support vector machine (SVM), random forest (RF) and support vector regression (SVR) were used for this study. Results revealed that, the concentration of groundwater arsenic compasses from 0.093 to 0.448 mg/L in pre-monsoon and 0.078 to 0.539 mg/L in post-monsoon throughout the district; which indicate that all water samples of the Murshidabad District exceed the WHO's permissible limit (0.01 mg/L). The GIS-machine learning model outcomes states the values of area under the curve (AUC) of SVR, RF and SVM are 0.923, 0.901 and 0.897 (training datasets) and 0.910, 0.899 and 0.891 (validation datasets), respectively. Hence, "support vector regression" model is best fitted to predict the arsenic vulnerable zones of Murshidabad District. Then again, groundwater flow paths and arsenic transport was assessed by three dimensions underlying transport model (MODPATH). The particles discharging trends clearly revealed that the Holocene age aquifers are major contributor of As than Pleistocene age aquifers and this may be the main cause of As vulnerability of both northeast and southwest parts of Murshidabad District. Therefore, special attention should be paid on the predicted vulnerable areas for the safeguard of the public health. Moreover, this study can help to make a proper framework towards sustainable groundwater management.


Asunto(s)
Arsénico , Agua Subterránea , Metales Pesados , Contaminantes Químicos del Agua , Arsénico/análisis , Monitoreo del Ambiente/métodos , Contaminantes Químicos del Agua/análisis , Metales Pesados/análisis , India
4.
Sci Total Environ ; 866: 161319, 2023 Mar 25.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36608827

RESUMEN

Coastal mangroves have been lost to deforestation for anthropogenic activities such as agriculture over the past two decades. The genesis of methane (CH4), a significant greenhouse gas (GHG) with a high potential for global warming, occurs through these mangrove beds. The mangrove forests in the Indian Sundarban deltaic region were studied for pre-monsoonal and post-monsoonal variations of CH4 emission. Considering the importance of CH4 emission, a process-based spatiotemporal (PBS) and an analytical neural network (ANN) model were proposed and used to estimate the amount of CH4 emission from different land use land cover classes (LULC) of mangroves. The field work was performed in 2020, and gas samples of various LULC were directly collected from the mangrove bed using the enclosed box chamber method. Historical climatic data (1960-1989) were used to predict future climate scenarios and associated CH4 emissions. The analysis and estimation activities were carried out utilizing satellite images from the pre-monsoonal and post-monsoonal seasons of the same year. The study revealed that pre-monsoonal CH4 emission was higher in the south-west and northern parts of the deforested mangrove of the Indian Sundarban. A sensitivity study of the anticipated models was conducted using a variety of environmental input parameters and related main field observations. The measured precision area under curve of receiver operating characteristics was 0.753 for PBS and 0.718 for ANN models, respectively. The temperature factor (Tf) was the most crucial variable for CH4 emissions. Based on the PBS model with coupled model intercomparison project-6 temperature data, a global circulation model was run to predict increasing CH4 emissions up to 2100. The model revealed that the agricultural lands were the prime emitters of CH4 in the Sundarban mangrove ecosystem.

5.
J Environ Manage ; 330: 117187, 2023 Mar 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36610196

RESUMEN

On a first-order basis, the global "sea level rise" induced by climate change magnifies coastal land subsidence. Various research related to this discipline is associated with estimated sea level vulnerability in various spatial scales. But the potential impact of climate change on sea level rise and its amalgamated vulnerability to the species remain undiscovered with appropriate procedures. So, in this perspective, our main objective of this research is to estimate the potential impact of climate change on sea level rise and it is associated with vulnerability to coastal habitat. From this research, it is established that the increasing tendency of sea level from the base period to the projected period. The major port city of India has been considered in this research. The qualitative "coastal vulnerability index (CVI)" is based on quantitative estimates to characterize the physical setting, including "geomorphology (G), sea level change (SLC), coastal slope (CS), relative sea-level change (RSLC), mean wave height (MWH), mean tide range (MTR), shoreline change rate (SCR), land use and human activities (LU), and population (P)". The projected sea level rise (SLR) is increasing at the highest rate under the higher RCP (Representative Concentrations Pathways) scenario. This information is very helpful to the decision maker for considering the most appropriate development strategies to maintain the sustainable development of coastal ecology in India.


Asunto(s)
Cambio Climático , Elevación del Nivel del Mar , Ecosistema , Políticas , Humedales
6.
Soft comput ; 27(6): 3367-3388, 2023.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34276248

RESUMEN

The COVID-19 pandemic enforced nationwide lockdown, which has restricted human activities from March 24 to May 3, 2020, resulted in an improved air quality across India. The present research investigates the connection between COVID-19 pandemic-imposed lockdown and its relation to the present air quality in India; besides, relationship between climate variables and daily new affected cases of Coronavirus and mortality in India during the this period has also been examined. The selected seven air quality pollutant parameters (PM10, PM2.5, CO, NO2, SO2, NH3, and O3) at 223 monitoring stations and temperature recorded in New Delhi were used to investigate the spatial pattern of air quality throughout the lockdown. The results showed that the air quality has improved across the country and average temperature and maximum temperature were connected to the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic. This outcomes indicates that there is no such relation between climatic parameters and outbreak and its associated mortality. This study will assist the policy maker, researcher, urban planner, and health expert to make suitable strategies against the spreading of COVID-19 in India and abroad. Supplementary Information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s00500-021-06012-9.

7.
Environ Pollut ; 314: 120203, 2022 Dec 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36150620

RESUMEN

One of the fundamental sustainable development goals has been recognized as having access to clean water for drinking purposes. In the Anthropocene era, rapid urbanization put further stress on water resources, and associated groundwater contamination expanded into a significant global environmental issue. Natural arsenic and related water pollution have already caused a burden issue on groundwater vulnerability and corresponding health hazard in and around the Ganges delta. A field based hydrogeochemical analysis has been carried out in the elevated arsenic prone areas of moribund Ganges delta, West Bengal, a part of western Ganga- Brahmaputra delta (GBD). New data driven heuristic algorithms are rarely used in groundwater vulnerability studies, specifically not yet used in the elevated arsenic prone areas of Ganges delta, India. Therefore, in the current study, emphasis has been given on integration of heuristic algorithms and random forest (RF) i.e., "RF-particle swarm optimization (PSO)", "RF-grey wolf optimizer (GWO)" and "RF-grasshopper optimization algorithm (GOA)", to identify groundwater vulnerable zones on the basis of field based hydrogeochemical parameters. In addition, correspondence health hazard of this area was assessed through human health hazard index. The spatial distribution of groundwater vulnerability revealed that middle-eastern and north-western part of the study area covered by very high and high, whereas central, western and south-western part are covered by very low and low vulnerability zones in outcomes of all the applied models. The evaluation result indicates that RF-GOA (AUC = 0.911) model performed the best considering testing dataset, and thereafter RF-GWO, RF-PSO and RF with AUC value is 0.901, 0.892 and 0.812 respectively. Findings also revealed the groundwater in this study region is quite unfavorable for drinking and irrigation purposes. The suggested models demonstrate their usefulness in foretelling sustainable groundwater resource management in various deltaic regions of the world through taking appropriate measures by policy-makers.


Asunto(s)
Arsénico , Agua Subterránea , Contaminantes Químicos del Agua , Humanos , Arsénico/análisis , Monitoreo del Ambiente , Contaminantes Químicos del Agua/análisis , Agua Subterránea/análisis , Algoritmos , Agua/análisis , India
8.
Sci Total Environ ; 849: 157850, 2022 Nov 25.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35934024

RESUMEN

The problem of drought in India is a major issue in terms of various adverse impacts on livelihood of society. Drought Early Warning System (DEWS), a real-time drought-monitoring tool, has reported that over a fifth of India's geographical area (21.06 %) is suffering drought-like situations. This is 62 % larger than the drought-affected area during the same period last year, which was 7.86 %. Drought affects 21.06 %, with conditions ranging from unusually dry to extremely dry. While 1.63 % and 1.73 % of the area are experiencing 'extreme' or 'exceptional' dry conditions, 2.17 % is experiencing 'severe' dry conditions. Under 'moderate' dry circumstances, up to 8.15 % is possible. In this perspective groundwater vulnerability assessment in the overall country is needed for implementing the sustainable and long-term strategies for escaping from this type of hazardous situation. The main objective of this study is to estimate the drought vulnerability in changing climate which eventually influences the food security of India. The groundwater overdraft is one of the crucial elements in agricultural drought vulnerability. Various related parameters have been selected for estimating the drought vulnerability and its impact to food security in India. Here, MaxEnt (maximum entropy) and ANN (analytical neural network) has been considered in this perspective. The AUC values for the training datasets in the ANN and MaxEnt model are 0.891 and 0.921, respectively. The AUC values in ANN and MaxEnt model for the validation datasets are 0.876 and 0.904, respectively. Here MaxEnt model is most optimal than ANN considering predictive accuracy. From this study analysis it is established that western, south and middle portion of country is very much prone to drought vulnerability. So, special emphases in terms of the regional planning have to be taken into consideration for sustainable planning.


Asunto(s)
Sequías , Agua Subterránea , Cambio Climático , Seguridad Alimentaria , India , Políticas , Medidas de Seguridad
9.
J Environ Manage ; 318: 115582, 2022 Sep 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35772277

RESUMEN

Vulnerability of groundwater is critical for the sustainable development of groundwater resources, especially in freshwater-limited coastal Indo-Gangetic plains. Here, we intend to develop an integrated novel approach for delineating groundwater vulnerability using hydro-chemical analysis and data-mining methods, i.e., Decision Tree (DT) and K-Nearest Neighbor (KNN) via k-fold cross-validation (CV) technique. A total of 110 of groundwater samples were obtained during the dry and wet seasons to generate an inventory map. Four K-fold CV approach was used to delineate the vulnerable region from sixteen vulnerability causal factors. The statistical error metrics i.e., receiver operating characteristic-area under the curve (AUC-ROC) and other advanced metrices were adopted to validate model outcomes. The results demonstrated the excellent ability of the proposed models to recognize the vulnerability of groundwater zones in the Indo-Gangetic plain. The DT model revealed higher performance (AUC = 0.97) followed by KNN model (AUC = 0.95). The north-central and north-eastern parts are more vulnerable due to high salinity, Nitrate (NO3-), Fluoride (F-) and Arsenic (As) concentrations. Policy-makers and groundwater managers can utilize the proposed integrated novel approach and the outcome of groundwater vulnerability maps to attain sustainable groundwater development and safeguard human-induced activities at the regional level.


Asunto(s)
Arsénico , Agua Subterránea , Contaminantes Químicos del Agua , Arsénico/análisis , Minería de Datos , Monitoreo del Ambiente/métodos , Fluoruros/análisis , Agua Subterránea/análisis , Humanos , Contaminantes Químicos del Agua/análisis
10.
Geosci Front ; 13(6): 101368, 2022 Nov.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37521133

RESUMEN

COVID-19 pandemic has forced to lockdown entire India starting from 24th March 2020 to 14th April 2020 (first phase), extended up to 3rd May 2020 (second phase), and further extended up to 17th May 2020 (third phase) with limited relaxation in non-hotspot areas. This strict lockdown has severely curtailed human activity across India. Here, aerosol concentrations of particular matters (PM) i.e., PM10, PM2.5, carbon monoxide (CO), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), sulphur dioxide (SO2), ammonia (NH3) and ozone (O3), and associated temperature fluctuation in four megacities (Delhi, Mumbai, Kolkata, and Chennai) from different regions of India were investigated. In this pandemic period, air temperature of Delhi, Kolkata, Mumbai and Chennai has decreased about 3 °C, 2.5 °C, 2 °C and 2 °C respectively. Compared to previous years and pre-lockdown period, air pollutants level and aerosol concentration (-41.91%, -37.13%, -54.94% and -46.79% respectively for Delhi, Mumbai, Kolkata and Chennai) in these four megacities has improved drastically during this lockdown period. Emission of PM2.5 has experienced the highest decrease in these megacities, which directly shows the positive impact of restricted vehicular movement. Restricted emissions produce encouraging results in terms of urban air quality and temperature, which may encourage policymakers to consider it in terms of environmental sustainability.

11.
Stoch Environ Res Risk Assess ; 36(1): 283-295, 2022.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33846679

RESUMEN

The long-term lockdown due to COVID-19 has beneficial impact on the natural environment. India has enforced a lockdown on 24th March 2020 and was subsequently extended in various phases. The lockdown due to the sudden spurt of the COVID-19 pandemic has shown a significant decline in concentration of air pollutants across India. The present article dealt with scenarios of air quality concentration of air pollutants, and effect on climatic variability during the COVID-19 lockdown period in Kolkata Metropolitan Area, India. The result showed that the air pollutants are significantly reduced and the air quality index (AQI) was improved during the lockdown months. Aerosol concentrations decreased by - 54.94% from the period of pre-lockdown. The major air pollutants like particulate matters (PM2.5, PM10), sulphur dioxide (SO2), carbon monoxide (CO) and Ozone (O3) were observed the maximum reduction ( - 40 to - 60%) in the COVID-19 lockdown period. The AQI has been improved by 54.94% in the lockdown period. On the other hand, Sen's slope rank and the Mann-Kendal trend test showed the daily decreased of air pollutants rate is - 0.051 to - 1.586 µg /m3. The increasing trend of daily minimum, average, and maximum temperature from the month of March to May in this year (2020s) are 0.091, 0.118, and 0.106 °C which is lowest than the 2016s to 2019s trend. Therefore, this research has an enormous opportunity to explain the effects of the lockdown on air quality and climate variability, and it can also be helpful for policymakers and decision-makers to enact appropriate measures to control air pollution.

12.
J Environ Manage ; 305: 114317, 2022 Mar 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34954685

RESUMEN

The main objective of this work is the future prediction of the floods in India due to climate and land change. Human activity and related carbon emissions are the primary cause of land use and climate change, which has a substantial impact on extreme weather conditions, such as floods. This study presents high-resolution flood susceptibility maps of different future periods (up to 2100) using a combination of remote sensing data and GIS modelling. To quantify the future flood susceptibility various flood causative factors, Global circulation model (GCM) rainfall and land use and land cover (LULC) data are envisaged. The present flood susceptibility model has been evaluated through receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, where area under curve (AUC) value shows the 91.57% accuracy of this flood susceptibility model and it can be used for future flood susceptibility modelling. Based on the projected LULC, rainfall and flood susceptibility, the results of the study indicating maximum monthly rainfall will increase by approximately 40-50 mm in 2100, while the conversion of natural vegetation to agricultural and built-up land is about 0.071 million sq. km. and the severe flood event area will increase by up to 122% (0.15 million sq. km) from now on.


Asunto(s)
Cambio Climático , Inundaciones , Predicción , Humanos , India , Curva ROC
13.
J Environ Manage ; 287: 112284, 2021 Jun 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33711662

RESUMEN

Water dominated gullies formation and associated land degradation are the foremost challenges among the planners for sustainability and optimization of land resources. This type of hazardous phenomenon is utmost vulnerable due to huge loss of surface soil in the sub-tropical developing countries like India. The present study has been carried out in rugged badland topography of Garhbeta-I Community Development (C.D.) Block in eastern India for assessing the gully erosion susceptibility (GES) mapping and optimization of land use planning. The GES mapping is the first and foremost steps towards minimization this adverse affect and attaining sustainable development. In this study we also describe the importance of plantation and alternation of ex-situ tree species with in-situ species for minimizes the erosional activity. To meet our research goal here we used two prediction based machine learning algorithm (MLA) namely random forest (RF) and boosted regression tree (BRT) and one optimization model of Ecogeography based optimization (EBO). The research study also carried out by using a total of 199, in which 139 (70%) and 60 (30%) gully head-cut points were used for training and validation purposes respectively and treated as dependent factors, and twenty gully erosion conditioning factors as independent variables. These models are validated through receiver operating characteristics-area under the curve (ROC-AUC), accuracy (ACC), precision (PRE) and Kappa coefficient index analysis. The validation result showed that EBO model with the highest values of AUC-0.954, ACC-0.85, PRE-0.877 and Kappa-0.646 is the most accurate model for GES followed by BRT and RF. The outcome results should help for the sustainable development of this rugged badland topography.


Asunto(s)
Conservación de los Recursos Naturales , Sistemas de Información Geográfica , India , Aprendizaje Automático , Suelo
14.
J Environ Manage ; 284: 112067, 2021 Apr 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33556831

RESUMEN

Land subsidence (LS) in arid and semi-arid areas, such as Iran, is a significant threat to sustainable land management. The purpose of this study is to predict the LS distribution by generating land subsidence susceptibility models (LSSMs) for the Shahroud plain in Iran using three different multi-criteria decision making (MCDM) and five different artificial intelligence (AI) models. The MCDM models we used are the VlseKriterijumska Optimizacija IKompromisno Resenje (VIKOR), Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS) and Complex Proportional Assessment (COPRAS), and the AI models are the extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), Cubist, Elasticnet, Bayesian multivariate adaptive regression spline (BMARS) and conditional random forest (Cforest) methods. We used the Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve, Area Under Curve (AUC) and different statistical indices,i.e. accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, F score, Kappa, Mean Absolute Error (MAE) and Nash-Sutcliffe Criteria (NSC)to validate and evaluate the methods. Based on the different validation techniques, the Cforest method yielded the best results with minimum and maximum values of 0.04 and 0.99, respectively. According to the Cforest model, 30.55% of the study area is extremely vulnerable to land subsidence. The results of our research will be of great help to planners and policy makers in the identification of the most vulnerable regions and the implementation of appropriate development strategies in this area.


Asunto(s)
Inteligencia Artificial , Teorema de Bayes , Irán , Curva ROC
15.
J Environ Manage ; 284: 112015, 2021 Apr 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33515838

RESUMEN

The objective of this study is to assess the gully head-cut erosion susceptibility and identify gully erosion prone areas in the Meimand watershed, Iran. In recent years, this study area has been greatly influenced by several head-cut gullies due to unusual climatic factors and human induced activity. The present study is therefore intended to address this issue by developing head-cut gully erosion prediction maps using boosting ensemble machine learning algorithms, namely Boosted Tree (BT), Boosted Generalized Linear Models (BGLM), Boosted Regression Tree (BRT), Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGB), and Deep Boost (DB). Initially, we produced a gully erosion inventory map using a variety of resources, including published reports, Google Earth images, and field records of the Global Positioning System (GPS). Subsequently, we distributed this information randomly and choose 70% (102) of the test gullies and the remaining 30% (43) for validation. The methodology was designed using morphometric and thematic determinants, including 14 head-cut gully erosion conditioning features. We have also investigated the following: (a) Multi-collinearity analysis to determine the linearity of the independent variables, (b) Predictive capability of piping models using train and test dataset and (c) Variables importance affecting head-cut gully erosion. The study reveals that altitude, land use, distances from road and soil characteristics influenced the method with the greatest impact on head-cut gully erosion susceptibility. We presented five head-cut gully erosion susceptibility maps and investigated their predictive accuracy through area under curve (AUC). The AUC test reveals that the DB machine learning method demonstrated significantly higher accuracy (AUC = 0.95) than the BT (AUC = 0.93), BGLM (AUC = 0.91), BRT (AUC = 0.94) and XGB (AUC = 0.92) approaches. The predicted head-cut gully erosion susceptibility maps can be used by policy makers and local authorities for soil conservation and to prevent threats to human activities.


Asunto(s)
Conservación de los Recursos Naturales , Aprendizaje Profundo , Humanos , Irán , Aprendizaje Automático , Suelo
16.
Environ Dev Sustain ; 23(6): 9581-9608, 2021.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33110388

RESUMEN

The COVID-19 pandemic forced India as a whole to lockdown from 24 March 2020 to 14 April 2020 (first phase), extended to 3 May 2020 (second phase) and further extended to 17 May 2020 (third phase) and 31 May 2020 (fourth phase) with only some limited relaxation in non-hot spot areas. This lockdown has strictly controlled human activities in the entire India. Although this long lockdown has had a serious impact on the social and economic fronts, it has many positive impacts on environment. During this lockdown phase, a drastic fall in emissions of major pollutants has been observed throughout all the parts of India. Therefore, in this research study we have tried to establish a relationship among the fall in emission of pollutants and their impact on reducing regional temperature. This analysis was tested through the application of Mann-Kendall and Sen's slope statistical index with air quality index and temperature data for several stations across the country, during the lockdown period. After the analysis, it has been observed that daily emissions of pollutants (PM10, PM2.5, CO, NO2, SO2 and NH3) decreased by - 1- - 2%, allowing to reduce the average daily temperature by 0.3 °C compared with the year of 2019. Moreover, this lockdown period reduces overall emissions of pollutants by - 51- - 72% on an average and hence decreases the average monthly temperature by 2 °C. The same findings have been found in the four megacities in India, i.e., Delhi, Kolkata, Mumbai and Chennai; the rate of temperature fall in the aforementioned megacities is close to 3 °C, 2.5 °C, 2 °C and 2 °C, respectively. It is a clear indicator that a major change occurs in air quality, and as a result it reduced lower atmospheric temperature due to the effect of lockdown. It is also a clear indicator that a major change in air quality and favorable temperature can be expected if the strict implementations of several pollution management measures have been implemented by the concern authority in the coming years.

17.
Sensors (Basel) ; 20(19)2020 Sep 30.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33008132

RESUMEN

This study aims to evaluate a new approach in modeling gully erosion susceptibility (GES) based on a deep learning neural network (DLNN) model and an ensemble particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm with DLNN (PSO-DLNN), comparing these approaches with common artificial neural network (ANN) and support vector machine (SVM) models in Shirahan watershed, Iran. For this purpose, 13 independent variables affecting GES in the study area, namely, altitude, slope, aspect, plan curvature, profile curvature, drainage density, distance from a river, land use, soil, lithology, rainfall, stream power index (SPI), and topographic wetness index (TWI), were prepared. A total of 132 gully erosion locations were identified during field visits. To implement the proposed model, the dataset was divided into the two categories of training (70%) and testing (30%). The results indicate that the area under the curve (AUC) value from receiver operating characteristic (ROC) considering the testing datasets of PSO-DLNN is 0.89, which indicates superb accuracy. The rest of the models are associated with optimal accuracy and have similar results to the PSO-DLNN model; the AUC values from ROC of DLNN, SVM, and ANN for the testing datasets are 0.87, 0.85, and 0.84, respectively. The efficiency of the proposed model in terms of prediction of GES was increased. Therefore, it can be concluded that the DLNN model and its ensemble with the PSO algorithm can be used as a novel and practical method to predict gully erosion susceptibility, which can help planners and managers to manage and reduce the risk of this phenomenon.

18.
Sci Total Environ ; 747: 141321, 2020 Dec 10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32771791

RESUMEN

The outbreak of COVID-19 has now created the largest pandemic and the World health organization (WHO) has declared social distancing as the key precaution to confront such type of infections. Most of the countries have taken protective measures by the nationwide lockdown. The purpose of this study is to understand the effect of lockdown on air pollutants and to analyze pre-monsoon (April and May) cloud-to-ground and inter-cloud lightning activity in relation to air pollutants i.e. suspended Particulate matter (PM10), Nitrogen dioxides (NO2) Sulfur dioxide (SO2), Ozone (O3) and Aerosol concentration (AC) in a polluted tropical urban megacities like Kolkata. After the strict lockdown the pollutants rate has reduced by more than 40% from the pre-lockdown period in the Kolkata megacity. So, decreases of PM10, NO2, SO2, O3 and AC have a greater effect on cloud lightning flashes in the pre-monsoon period. In the previous year (2019), the pre-monsoon average result shows a strong positive relation between the lightning and air pollutants; PM10 (R2 = 0.63), NO2 (R2 = 0.63), SO2 (R2 = 0.76), O3 (R2 = 0.68) and AC (R2 = 0.83). The association was relatively low during the lock-down period (pre-monsoon 2020) and the R2 values were 0.62, 0.60, 0.71, 0.64 and 0.80 respectively. Another thing is that the pre-monsoon (2020) lightning strikes decreased by 49.16% compared to the average of previous years (2010 to 2019). The overall study shows that the reduction of surface pollution in the thunderstorm environment is strongly related to the reduction of lightning activity where PM10 and AC are the key pollutants in the Kolkata megacity.


Asunto(s)
Contaminantes Atmosféricos , Contaminación del Aire , Infecciones por Coronavirus , Relámpago , Ozono , Pandemias , Neumonía Viral , Contaminantes Atmosféricos/análisis , Contaminación del Aire/análisis , Betacoronavirus , COVID-19 , Humanos , India , Dióxido de Nitrógeno/análisis , Ozono/análisis , Material Particulado/análisis , SARS-CoV-2 , Dióxido de Azufre/análisis
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