Consolidated Health Economic Evaluation Reporting Standards for Interventions That Use Artificial Intelligence (CHEERS-AI).

OBJECTIVES: Economic evaluations (EEs) are commonly used by decision makers to understand the value of health interventions. The Consolidated Health Economic Evaluation Reporting Standards (CHEERS 2022) provide reporting guidelines for EEs. Healthcare systems will increasingly see new interventions that use artificial intelligence (AI) to perform their function. We developed Consolidated Health Economic Evaluation Reporting Standards for Interventions that use AI (CHEERS-AI) to ensure EEs of AI-based health interventions are reported in a transparent and reproducible manner. METHODS: Potential CHEERS-AI reporting items were informed by 2 published systematic literature reviews of EEs and a contemporary update. A Delphi study was conducted using 3 survey rounds to elicit multidisciplinary expert views on 26 potential items, through a 9-point Likert rating scale and qualitative comments. An online consensus meeting was held to finalize outstanding reporting items. A digital health patient group reviewed the final checklist from a patient perspective. RESULTS: A total of 58 participants responded to survey round 1, 42, and 31 of whom responded to rounds 2 and 3, respectively. Nine participants joined the consensus meeting. Ultimately, 38 reporting items were included in CHEERS-AI. They comprised the 28 original CHEERS 2022 items, plus 10 new AI-specific reporting items. Additionally, 8 of the original CHEERS 2022 items were elaborated on to ensure AI-specific nuance is reported. CONCLUSIONS: CHEERS-AI should be used when reporting an EE of an intervention that uses AI to perform its function. CHEERS-AI will help decision makers and reviewers to understand important AI-specific details of an intervention, and any implications for the EE methods used and cost-effectiveness conclusions.

Leveraging machine learning for predicting acute graft-versus-host disease grades in allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation for T-cell prolymphocytic leukaemia.

Orphan diseases, exemplified by T-cell prolymphocytic leukemia, present inherent challenges due to limited data availability and complexities in effective care. This study delves into harnessing the potential of machine learning to enhance care strategies for orphan diseases, specifically focusing on allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (allo-HCT) in T-cell prolymphocytic leukemia. The investigation evaluates how varying numbers of variables impact model performance, considering the rarity of the disease. Utilizing data from the Center for International Blood and Marrow Transplant Research, the study scrutinizes outcomes following allo-HCT for T-cell prolymphocytic leukemia. Diverse machine learning models were developed to forecast acute graft-versus-host disease (aGvHD) occurrence and its distinct grades post-allo-HCT. Assessment of model performance relied on balanced accuracy, F1 score, and ROC AUC metrics. The findings highlight the Linear Discriminant Analysis (LDA) classifier achieving the highest testing balanced accuracy of 0.58 in predicting aGvHD. However, challenges arose in its performance during multi-class classification tasks. While affirming the potential of machine learning in enhancing care for orphan diseases, the study underscores the impact of limited data and disease rarity on model performance.

Predicting Emotion with Biosignals: A Comparison of Classification and Regression Models for Estimating Valence and Arousal Level Using Wearable Sensors.

This study aims to predict emotions using biosignals collected via wrist-worn sensor and evaluate the performance of different prediction models. Two dimensions of emotions were considered: valence and arousal. The data collected by the sensor were used in conjunction with target values obtained from questionnaires. A variety of classification and regression models were compared, including Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) models. Additionally, the effects of different normalization methods and the impact of using different sensors were studied, and the way in which the results differed between the study subjects was analyzed. The results revealed that regression models generally performed better than classification models, with LSTM regression models achieving the best results. The normalization method called baseline reduction was found to be the most effective, and when used with an LSTM-based regression model it achieved high accuracy in detecting valence (mean square error = 0.43 and R2-score = 0.71) and arousal (mean square error = 0.59 and R2-score = 0.81). Moreover, it was found that even if all biosignals were not used in the training phase, reliable models could be obtained; in fact, for certain study subjects the best results were obtained using only a few of the sensors.

Data-Driven Identification of Long-Term Glycemia Clusters and Their Individualized Predictors in Finnish Patients with Type 2 Diabetes.

Purpose: To gain an understanding of the heterogeneous group of type 2 diabetes (T2D) patients, we aimed to identify patients with the homogenous long-term HbA1c trajectories and to predict the trajectory membership for each patient using explainable machine learning methods and different clinical-, treatment-, and socio-economic-related predictors. Patients and Methods: Electronic health records data covering primary and specialized healthcare on 9631 patients having T2D diagnosis were extracted from the North Karelia region, Finland. Six-year HbA1c trajectories were examined with growth mixture models. Linear discriminant analysis and neural networks were applied to predict the trajectory membership individually. Results: Three HbA1c trajectories were distinguished over six years: "stable, adequate" (86.5%), "improving, but inadequate" (7.3%), and "fluctuating, inadequate" (6.2%) glycemic control. Prior glucose levels, duration of T2D, use of insulin only, use of insulin together with some oral antidiabetic medications, and use of only metformin were the most important predictors for the long-term treatment balance. The prediction model had a balanced accuracy of 85% and a receiving operating characteristic area under the curve of 91%, indicating high performance. Moreover, the results based on SHAP (Shapley additive explanations) values show that it is possible to explain the outcomes of machine learning methods at the population and individual levels. Conclusion: Heterogeneity in long-term glycemic control can be predicted with confidence by utilizing information from previous HbA1c levels, fasting plasma glucose, duration of T2D, and use of antidiabetic medications. In future, the expected development of HbA1c could be predicted based on the patient's unique risk factors offering a practical tool for clinicians to support treatment planning.

ClinFlow - An Interactive Application for Clinical Data Mining.

Analyzing clinical data comes with many challenges. Medical expertise combined with statistical and programming knowledge must go hand-in-hand when applying data mining methods on clinical datasets. This work aims at bridging the gap between clinical expertise and computer science knowledge by providing an application for clinical data analysis with no requirement for statistical programming knowledge. Our tool allows clinical researchers to conduct data processing and visualization in an interactive environment, thus providing an assisting tool for clinical studies. The application was experimentally evaluated with an analysis of Type 1 Diabetes clinical data. The results obtained with the tool are in line with the domain literature, demonstrating the value of our application in data exploration and hypothesis testing.