Neighborhood child opportunity is associated with hospital length of stay following pediatric burn injury.

INTRODUCTION: Pediatric burns are associated with socioeconomic disadvantage and lead to significant morbidity. The Child Opportunity Index (COI) is a well-validated measure of neighborhood characteristics associated with healthy child development. We sought to evaluate the relationship between COI and outcomes of burn injuries in children. METHODS: We performed a single-institution retrospective review of pediatric (<16 years) burn admissions between 2015 and 2019. Based on United States residential zip codes, patients were stratified into national COI quintiles. We performed a multivariate Poisson regression analysis to determine the association between COI and increased length of stay. RESULTS: 2095 pediatric burn admissions occurred over the study period. Most children admitted were from very low (n = 644, 33.2 %) and low (n = 566, 29.2 %) COI neighborhoods. The proportion of non-Hispanic Black patients was significantly higher in neighborhoods with very low (44.5 %) compared to others (low:28.8 % vs. moderate:11.9 % vs. high:10.5 % vs. very high:4.3 %) (p < 0.01). Hospital length of stay was significantly longer in patients from very low COI neighborhoods (3.6 ± 4.1 vs. 3.2 ± 4.9 vs. 3.3 ± 4.8 vs. 2.8 ± 3.5 vs. 3.2 ± 8.1) (p = 0.02). On multivariate regression analysis, living in very high COI neighborhoods was associated with significantly decreased hospital length of stay (IRR: 0.51; 95 % CI: 0.45-0.56). CONCLUSION: Children from neighborhoods with significant socioeconomic disadvantage, as measured by the Child Opportunity Index, had a significantly higher incidence of burn injuries resulting in hospital admissions and longer hospital length of stay. Public health interventions focused on neighborhood-level drivers of childhood development are needed to decrease the incidence and reduce hospital costs in pediatric burns. TYPE OF STUDY: Retrospective study LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Level III.

An evaluation of the "Obesity Paradox" in isolated blunt abdominal trauma in the United States.

BACKGROUND: The obesity paradox theorizes a survival benefit in trauma patients secondary to the cushioning effect of adiposity. We aim to evaluate the impact of body mass index (BMI) on abdominal injury severity, morbidity, and mortality in adults with isolated, blunt abdominal trauma in the United States. METHODS: We reviewed the National Trauma Data Bank (2013-2021) for adults sustaining isolated, blunt abdominal trauma stratified by BMI. We performed a doubly robust, augmented inverse-propensity weighted multivariable logistic regression to estimate the average treatment effect (ATE) of BMI on mortality and the presence of abdominal organ injury. RESULTS: 36,350 patients met the inclusion criteria. In our study, 41.4 % of patients were normal-weight (BMI 18.5-24.9), 20.6 % were obese (BMI 30-39.9), and 4.7 % were severely obese (BMI≥40). In these cohorts, the abdominal abbreviated injury scale (AIS) was 2 (2 -3). Obese and severely obese patients had significantly reduced presence of pancreas, spleen, liver, kidney, and small bowel injuries. The predicted probability of abdominal AIS severity decreased significantly with increasing BMI. Crude mortality was significantly higher in obese (1.3 %) and severely obese patients (1.3 %) compared to normal-weight patients (0.7 %). Obese and severely obese patients demonstrated non-statistically significant changes in the mortality of +26.4 % (ATE 0.264, 95 %CI -0.108-0.637, p = 0.164) and +55.5 % (ATE 0.555, 95 %CI -0.284-1.394, p = 0.195) respectively, compared to normal weight patients. CONCLUSION: BMI may protect against abdominal injury in adults with isolated, blunt abdominal trauma. Mortality did not decrease in association with increasing BMI, as this may be offset by the increase in co-morbidities in this population.

Cultural competency and ethical behavior for collaboration in limited-resource settings: Guidelines from the Society of University Surgeons Academic Global Surgery Committee and the Association for Academic Global Surgery.

BACKGROUND: There are an increasing number of global surgery activities worldwide. With such tremendous growth, there is a potential risk for untoward interactions between high-income country members and low-middle income country members, leading to programmatic failure, poor results, and/or low impact. METHODS: Key concepts for cultural competency and ethical behavior were generated by the Academic Global Surgery Committee of the Society for University Surgeons in collaboration with the Association for Academic Global Surgery. Both societies ensured active participation from high-income countries and low-middle income countries. RESULTS: The guidelines provide a framework for cultural competency and ethical behavior for high-income country members when collaborating with low-middle income country partners by offering recommendations for: (1) preparation for work with low-middle income countries; (2) process standardization; (3) working with the local community; (4) limits of practice; (5) patient autonomy and consent; (6) trainees; (7) potential pitfalls; and (8) gray areas. CONCLUSION: The article provides an actionable framework to address potential cultural competency and ethical behavior issues in high-income country - low-middle income country global surgery collaborations.

Transfusion and Mortality in Acute Care Surgical Patients in Malawi: A Propensity-Matched Analysis.

INTRODUCTION: Information on transfusion-associated outcomes is limited in sub-Saharan Africa. We sought to characterize predictors of mortality in transfused patients with acute care surgical conditions in Malawi. METHODS: We performed a retrospective propensity-matched analysis of patients with acute care surgical conditions at Kamuzu Central Hospital in Malawi from 2013 to 2021. We compared outcomes between patients who did and did not receive transfusions. RESULTS: A total of 7395 patients were included. Transfused patients (n = 1086) were older (median 43 y with interquartile range 30-59, versus 39 y [interquartile range 27-53] in the nontransfused group, P < 0.01), had a higher proportion of females (41% versus 27%, P < 0.01), presented earlier to the hospital (median 2.9 versus 3.7 d, P = 0.02), and with lower hemoglobin levels (27% versus 1% < 7 g/dL, P < 0.01). They had a lower rate of surgical intervention (48% versus 59%, P < 0.01) but a higher rate of complications (62% versus 33%, P < 0.01). Crude in-hospital mortality was 25.5% for the transfused group and 12.8% for the nontransfused group (P < 0.01). After propensity matching, transfused patients had three times the odds of mortality compared to nontransfused patients (odds ratio 3.3, 95% confidence interval 2.3, 4.8). CONCLUSIONS: In this propensity-matched study, transfused surgical patients were more likely to experience in-hospital mortality. These results suggest that the transfusion requirement reflects critical illness and warrants further investigation in this low-resource setting.

Evaluating Global Surgery Partnerships From Low and Middle Income Country Perspectives.

INTRODUCTION: Little is known about perceptions of low-income and middle-income country (LMIC) partners regarding global surgery collaborations with high-income countries (HICs). METHODS: A survey was distributed to surgeons from LMICs to assess the nature and perception of collaborations, funding, benefits, communication, and the effects of COVID-19 on partnerships. RESULTS: We received 19 responses from LMIC representatives in 12 countries on three continents. The majority (83%) had participated in collaborations within the past 5 y with 39% of collaborations were facilitated virtually. Clinical and educational partnerships (39% each) were ranked most important by respondents. Sustainability of the partnership was most successfully achieved in domains of education/training (78%) and research (61%). The majority (77%) of respondents reported expressing their needs before HIC team arrival. However, 54% of respondents were the ones to initiate the conversation and only 47% said HIC partners understood the overall environment well at arrival to LMIC. Almost all participants (95%) felt a formal process of collaboration and a structured partnership would benefit all parties in assessing needs. During the COVID-19 pandemic, 87% of participants reported continued collaborations; however, 44% of partners felt that relationships were weaker, 31% felt relationships were stronger, and 25% felt they were unchanged. CONCLUSIONS: Our study provides a snapshot of LMIC surgeons' perspectives on collaboration in global surgery. Independent of location, LMIC partners cite inadequate structure for long-term collaborations. We propose a formal pathway and initiation process to assess resources and needs at the outset of a partnership.

Predictors of Functional Decline Among Critically Ill Surgical Patients: A National Analysis.

INTRODUCTION: Functional decline is associated with critical illness, though this relationship in surgical patients is unclear. This study aims to characterize functional decline after intensive care unit (ICU) admission among surgical patients. METHODS: We performed a retrospective analysis of surgical patients admitted to the ICU in the Cerner Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation database, which includes 236 hospitals, from 2007 to 2017. Patients with and without functional decline were compared. Predictors of decline were modeled. RESULTS: A total of 52,838 patients were included; 19,310 (36.5%) experienced a functional decline. Median ages of the decline and nondecline groups were 69 (interquartile range 59-78) and 63 (interquartile range 52-72) years, respectively (P < 0.01). The nondecline group had a larger proportion of males (59.1% versus 55.3% in the decline group, P < 0.01). After controlling for sociodemographic covariates, comorbidities, and disease severity upon ICU admission, patients undergoing pulmonary (odds ratio [OR] 6.54, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.67-16.02), musculoskeletal (OR 4.13, CI 3.51-4.87), neurological (OR 2.67, CI 2.39-2.98), gastrointestinal (OR 1.61, CI 1.38-1.88), and skin and soft tissue (OR 1.35, CI 1.08-1.68) compared to cardiovascular surgeries had increased odds of decline. CONCLUSIONS: More than one in three critically ill surgical patients experienced a functional decline. Pulmonary, musculoskeletal, and neurological procedures conferred the greatest risk. Additional resources should be targeted toward the rehabilitation of these patients.

Outcomes in Obese Adult Veno-Venous Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation: A Systematic Review.

Obesity is associated with an overall increased risk of morbidity and mortality. However, in patients with critical illness, sepsis, and acute respiratory distress syndrome, obesity may be protective, termed "the obesity paradox." This is a systematic literature review of articles published from 2000 to 2022 evaluating complications and mortality in adults with respiratory failure on veno-venous extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (VV ECMO) based on body mass index (BMI). Eighteen studies with 517 patients were included. Common complications included acute renal failure (175/377, 46.4%), venous thrombosis (175/293, 59.7%), and bleeding (28/293, 9.6%). Of the six cohort studies, two showed improved mortality among obese patients, two showed a trend toward improved mortality, and two showed no difference. Comparing all patients in the studies with BMI of less than 30 to those with BMI of greater than or equal to 30, we noted decreased mortality with obesity (92, 37.1% of BMI <30 vs. 30, 11% of BMI ≥30, p ≤ 0.0001). Obesity may be protective against mortality in adult patients undergoing VV ECMO. Morbid and super morbid obesity should not be considered a contraindication to cannulation, with patients with BMI ≥ 80 surviving to discharge. Complications may be high, however, with higher rates of continuous renal replacement therapy and thrombosis among obese patients.

Cues to care: Chronic disease diagnosis in young adult trauma patients.

BACKGROUND: Prevention of chronic disease necessitates early diagnosis and intervention. In young adults, a trauma admission may be an early contact with the health care system, representing an opportunity for screening and intervention. This study estimates the prevalence of previously diagnosed disease and undiagnosed disease (UD)-diabetes mellitus, hypertension, obesity, and alcohol and substance use-in a young adult trauma population. We determine factors associated with UD and examine outcomes in patients with UD. METHODS: This is a multicenter, retrospective cohort study of adult trauma patients 18 to 40 years old admitted to participating Level I trauma centers between January 2018 and December 2020. Three Level 1 trauma centers in a single state participated in the study. Trauma registry data and chart review were examined for evidence of previously diagnosed disease or UD. Patient demographics and outcomes were compared between cohorts. Multivariable regression modeling was performed to assess risk factors associated with any UD. RESULTS: The analysis included 6,307 admitted patients. Of these, 4,843 (76.8%) had evidence of at least 1 UD, most commonly hypertension and obesity. In multivariable models, factors most associated with risk of UD were age (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 0.98; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.98-0.99), male sex (aOR, 1.43; 95% CI, 1.25-1.63), and uninsured status (aOR, 1.57; 95% CI, 1.38-1.80). Only 24.5% of patients had evidence of a primary care provider (PCP), which was not associated with decreased odds of UD. Clinical outcomes were significantly associated with the presence of chronic disease. Of those with UD and no PCP, only 11.2% were given a referral at discharge. CONCLUSION: In the young adult trauma population, the UD burden is high, especially among patients with traditional sociodemographic risk factors and even in patients with a PCP. Because of short hospital stays in this population, the full impact of UD may not be visible during a trauma admission. Early chronic disease diagnosis in this population will require rigorous, standard screening measures initiated within trauma centers. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Prognostic and Epidemiological; Level IV.

Predictors of mortality following electrical and lightning injuries in Malawi: A decade of experience.

INTRODUCTION: Electrical injuries can be devastating, and data is lacking in low-resource settings. We aimed to identify predictors of mortality following electrical and lightning injuries (ELI) in Malawi. METHODS: We performed a retrospective observational study of patients presenting with ELI and burn injuries at a tertiary hospital in Malawi from 2011 to 2020. Outcomes were compared and predictors of mortality were modeled. RESULTS: A total of 382 ELI and 6371 burn patients were included. The mean ages for ELI and burn groups were 24 ± 14 and 11 ± 14 years, respectively (p < 0.01). Most patients were injured at home (91% in the burn group versus 51% in the ELI group, p < 0.01). The crude mortality rate in the ELI group was 28%, compared to 12% in the burn group (p < 0.01). On multivariate logistic regression, predictors of mortality included ELI (odds ratio [OR] 13.3, 95% confidence interval [CI] 7.2-24.5) and total body surface area burned (OR 1.1, 95% CI 1.1-1.1). Predicted mortality for ELI has increased over time (p = 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: ELI confers more than 13 times higher odds of mortality than burn injuries in Malawi, with mortality risk increasing over time. More efforts are needed to prevent electrical hazards and implement timely interventions for patients with ELI.

The Timing of Operative Intervention for Pediatric Burn Patients in Malawi.

BACKGROUND: Defining the optimal timing of operative intervention for pediatric burn patients in a resource-limited environment is challenging. We sought to characterize the association between mortality and the timing of operative intervention at a burn center in Lilongwe, Malawi. METHODS: This is a retrospective analysis of burn patients (<18 years old) presenting to Kamuzu Central Hospital from 2011 to 2022. We compared patients who underwent excision and/or burn grafting based on the timing of the operation. We used logistic regression modeling to estimate the adjusted odds ratio of death based on the timing of surgery. RESULTS: We included 2502 patients with a median age of 3 years (IQR 1-5) and a male preponderance (56.8%). 411 patients (16.4%) had surgery with a median time to surgery of 18 days (IQR 8-34). The crude mortality rate among all patients was 17.0% and 9.1% among the operative cohort. The odds ratio of mortality for patients undergoing surgery within 3 days from presentation was 5.00 (95% CI 2.19, 11.44) after adjusting for age, sex, % total burn surface area (TBSA), and flame burn. The risk was highest for the youngest patients. CONCLUSIONS: Children who underwent burn excision and/or grafting in the first 3 days of hospitalization had a much higher risk of death than patients undergoing surgical intervention later. Delaying operative intervention till >72 h for pediatric patients, especially those under 5 years old, may confer a survival advantage. More investment is needed in early resuscitation and monitoring for this patient population.

Who benefits from resuscitative thoracotomies following penetrating trauma: The patient or the learner?

BACKGROUND: Resuscitative thoracotomy (RT) is a salvage procedure following traumatic cardiac arrest. We aim to evaluate RT trends and outcomes in adults with cardiac arrest following penetrating trauma to determine the effect on mortality in this population. Further, we aim to estimate the effect of hospital teaching status on the performance of resuscitative thoracotomies and mortality. METHODS: We reviewed the National Trauma Data Bank (2017-2021) for adults (≥16 years old) with penetrating trauma and prehospital cardiac arrest, stratified by the performance of a RT. We performed multivariable logistic regressions to estimate the effect of RT on mortality and the effect of hospital teaching status on the performance of resuscitative thoracotomies and mortality. RESULTS: 13,115 patients met our inclusion criteria. RT occurred in 12.7% (n = 1,664) of patients. Rates of RT trended up over the study period. Crude mortality was similar in RT and Non-RT patients (95.6% vs. 94.5%, p = 0.07). There was no statistically significant difference in the adjusted odds of mortality based on RT status (OR 0.82, 95%CI 0.56-1.21). University-teaching hospitals had an adjusted odds ratio of 1.68 (95% CI 1.31-2.17) for performing a RT than non-teaching hospitals. There was no difference in the adjusted odds of mortality in patients that underwent RT based on hospital teaching status. CONCLUSION: Despite up-trending rates, a resuscitative thoracotomy may not improve mortality in adults with penetrating, traumatic cardiac arrest. University teaching hospitals are nearly twice as likely to perform a RT than non-teaching hospitals, with no subsequent improvement in mortality.

A new phenotype or retinal involvement in Steinert Disease: a case report.

PURPOSE: To report a case illustrating the association of Steinert Disease (SD) with peripheral retinal non-perfusion areas and epiretinal membrane. METHODS: Case report. RESULTS: A 47-year-old Caucasian female diagnosed with SD was referred for blurred vision in her right eye (RE). She presented bilateral ptosis with deficit of elevator muscle.Dilated fundus examination revealed altered macular reflex, peripheral vascular alterations, and ghost vessels bilaterally. Structural spectral domain optical coherence tomography (SD-OCT) showed an epiretinal membrane with a partial alteration of the foveal profile in the RE. Optical coherence tomography angiography (OCTA) images revealed no evidence of neovascular membrane in the macular region. Fluoresceine angiography (FA) showed retinal peripheral non perfusion areas and leakage in the late phases of the examination. CONCLUSION: Any retinal alteration should be considered during the ophthalmological examination of patients suffering from type 1 myotonic dystrophy. OCT and fluoresceine angiography should be performed evaluating the SD patient that complains about visual impairment.

Major trauma in pregnancy: prediction of maternal and perinatal adverse outcomes.

BACKGROUND: Trauma, largely the consequence of motor vehicle crashes, is the leading cause of pregnancy-associated maternal mortality. Prediction of adverse outcomes has been difficult in pregnancy given the infrequent occurrence of traumatic events and anatomic considerations unique to pregnancy. The injury severity score, an anatomic scoring system with weighting dependent on severity and anatomic region of injury, is used in the prediction of adverse outcomes in the nonpregnant population but has yet to be validated in pregnancy. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to estimate the associations between risk factors and adverse pregnancy outcomes after major trauma in pregnancy and to develop a clinical prediction model for adverse maternal and perinatal outcomes. STUDY DESIGN: This was a retrospective analysis of a cohort of pregnant patients who sustained major trauma and who were admitted to 1 of 2 level 1 trauma centers. Three composite adverse pregnancy outcomes were evaluated, namely adverse maternal outcomes and short- and long-term adverse perinatal outcomes, defined as outcomes occurring within the first 72 hours of the traumatic event or encompassing the entire pregnancy. Bivariate analyses were performed to estimate the associations between clinical or trauma-related variables and adverse pregnancy outcomes. Multivariable logistic regression analyses were performed to predict each adverse pregnancy outcome. The predictive performance of each model was estimated using receiver operating characteristic curve analyses. RESULTS: A total of 119 pregnant trauma patients were included, 26.1% of whom met the severe adverse maternal pregnancy outcome criteria, 29.4% of whom met the severe short-term adverse perinatal pregnancy outcome definition, and 51.3% of whom met the severe long-term adverse perinatal pregnancy outcome definition. Injury severity score and gestational age were associated with the composite short-term adverse perinatal pregnancy outcome with an adjusted odds ratio of 1.20 (95% confidence interval, 1.11-1.30). The injury severity score was solely predictive of the adverse maternal and long-term adverse perinatal pregnancy outcomes with odds ratios of 1.65 (95% confidence interval, 1.31-2.09) and 1.14 (95% confidence interval, 1.07-1.23), respectively. An injury severity score ≥8 was the best cutoff for predicting adverse maternal outcomes with 96.8% sensitivity and 92.0% specificity (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, 0.990±0.006). An injury severity score ≥3 was the best cutoff for the short-term adverse perinatal outcomes, which correlates with a 68.6% sensitivity and 65.1% specificity (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, 0.755±0.055). An injury severity score ≥2 was the best cutoff for the long-term adverse perinatal outcomes, yielding a 68.3% sensitivity and 72.4% specificity (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, 0.763±0.042). CONCLUSION: For pregnant trauma patients, an injury severity score of ≥8 was predictive of severe adverse maternal outcomes. Minor trauma in pregnancy, defined in this study as an injury severity score <2, was not associated with maternal or perinatal morbidity or mortality. These data can guide management decisions for pregnant patients who present after trauma.

The effect of transport mode on mortality following isolated penetrating torso Trauma.

BACKGROUND: Prehospital interventions may increase the time to definitive care. Compared to ground ambulance, we hypothesize improved mortality for patients with isolated, penetrating torso injuries transported via private vehicle. METHODS: We reviewed the National Trauma Data Bank (2017-2021) for adults with isolated, penetrating torso injuries stratified by mechanism (stabbing vs. firearm) and transport mode (private vehicle vs. ground ambulance). We performed a multivariable logistic regression to estimate the effect of transport mode on mortality. RESULTS: 48,444 patients met our inclusion criteria. Patients transported by ambulance, injured by stabbing (n = 26,633) and by firearm (n = 21,811) had adjusted odds ratios of 1.81 (95%CI 1.05-3.14, p = 0.03) and 1.66 (95%CI 1.32-2.09,p < 0.001) respectively for mortality compared to private vehicle transport. CONCLUSION: Patients with penetrating torso injuries have nearly twice the odds of mortality when transported by ground ambulance than private vehicles, despite injury severity. The "scoop and run" strategy may confer a survival benefit in this population.

Arrhythmias in Critically Ill Surgical and Non-surgical Patients: A National Propensity-Matched Study.

BACKGROUND: Arrhythmias are common in critically ill patients, though the impact of arrhythmias on surgical patients is not well delineated. We aimed to characterize mortality following arrhythmias in critically ill patients. METHODS: We performed a propensity-matched retrospective analysis of intensive care unit (ICU) patients from 2007 to 2017 in the Cerner Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation database. We compared outcomes between patients with and without arrhythmias and those with and without surgical indications for ICU admission. We also modeled predictors of arrhythmias in surgical patients. RESULTS: 467,951 patients were included; 97,958 (20.9%) were surgical patients. Arrhythmias occurred in 1.4% of the study cohorts. Predictors of arrhythmias in surgical patients included a history of cardiovascular disease (odds ratio [OR] 1.35, 95% confidence interval [CI95] 1.11-1.63), respiratory failure (OR 1.48, CI95 1.12-1.96), pneumonia (OR 3.17, CI95 1.98-5.10), higher bicarbonate level (OR 1.03, CI95 1.01-1.05), lower albumin level (OR 0.79, CI95 0.68-0.91), and vasopressor requirement (OR 27.2, CI95 22.0-33.7). After propensity matching, surgical patients with arrhythmias had a 42% mortality risk reduction compared to non-surgical patients (risk ratio [RR] 0.58, CI 95 0.43-0.79). Predicted probabilities of mortality for surgical patients were lower at all ages. CONCLUSIONS: Surgical patients with arrhythmias are at lower risk of mortality than non-surgical patients. In this propensity-matched analysis, predictors of arrhythmias in critically ill surgical patients included a history of cardiovascular disease, respiratory complications, increased bicarbonate levels, decreased albumin levels, and vasopressor requirement. These findings highlight the differential effect of arrhythmias on different cohorts of critically ill populations.

The Bidirectionality of Global Surgical Research: The Utility of the Malawi Trauma Score in the United States Trauma Population.

INTRODUCTION: Trauma scoring systems provide valuable risk stratification of injured patients. Trauma scoring systems developed in resource-limited settings, such as the Malawi Trauma Score (MTS), are based on readily available clinical information. This study sought to test the performance of the MTS in a United States trauma population. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We analyzed the United States National Trauma Data Bank during 2017-2020. MTS uses alertness score: alert, responds to verbal or painful stimuli, or unresponsive (AVPU), age, sex, presence of a radial pulse, and primary anatomic injury location. MTS and an age-adjusted version reflective of the US age distribution, was evaluated for its performance in predicting crude mortality in the National Trauma Data Bank using receiver operating characteristic analysis. We utilized logistic regression to model the odds ratio of death at a particular MTS cutoff. RESULTS: A total of 3,833,929 patients were included. The mean age was 49.3 y (sandard deviation 24.4), with a male preponderance (61.1%). Crude mortality was 3.4% (n = 131,452/3,833,929). The area under the curve for the MTS in predicting mortality was 0.87 (95% CI 0.87, 0.88). The area under the curve for a cutoff of 15 was 0.83 (95% CI 0.83, 0.83). An MTS of 15 higher had an odds ratio of death of 46.5 (95% CI 45.9, 47.1), compared to those with a score of 14 or lower. CONCLUSIONS: MTS has excellent performance as a predictor of mortality in a US trauma population. MTS is simple to calculate and can be estimated in the prehospital setting or the emergency department. Consequently, it may have utility as a triage tool in both high-income trauma systems and resource-limited settings.

Pediatric Traumatic Brain Injury in Malawi: A Propensity-Weighted Analysis of Outcomes and Trends Over Time.

BACKGROUND: Pediatric injuries contribute to substantial mortality and morbidity worldwide, particularly in sub-Saharan Africa. We aim to identify predictors of mortality and time trends for pediatric traumatic brain injuries (TBIs) in Malawi. METHODS: We performed a propensity-matched analysis of data from the trauma registry at Kamuzu Central Hospital in Malawi from 2008 to 2021. All children ≤16 years of age were included. Demographic and clinical data were collected. Outcomes were compared between patients with and without head injuries. RESULTS: A cohort of 54,878 patients was included, with 1755 having TBI. The mean ages of patients with and without TBI were 7.8 ± 7.8 years and 7.1 ± 4.5 years, respectively. The most common mechanism for patients with and without TBI was road traffic injury and falls, respectively (48.2% vs. 47.8%, P < 0.01). The crude mortality rate for the TBI cohort was 20.9% compared to 2.0% in the non-TBI cohort (P < 0.01). After propensity matching, patients with TBI had 4.7 higher odds of mortality (95% confidence interval 1.9-11.8). Over time, patients with TBI had an increasing predicted probability of mortality for all age categories, with the most significant increase among children younger than 1 year. CONCLUSIONS: TBI confers a greater than 4-fold higher likelihood of mortality in this pediatric trauma population in a low-resource setting. These trends have worsened over time.