RESUMEN
INTRODUCTION: Acute-on-Chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a disease with a distinct spectrum of liver injury, with a rapid downhill course Here we describe three new scores - Albumin Bilirubin Index (ALBI), platelet albumin bilirubin index (PALBI) and Lactate-free AARC ACLF score(LaFAS), in predicting short-term mortality in patients with alcohol induced ACLF when compared to standard validated scores. METHODS: Consecutive patients diagnosed as alcohol induced ACLF as per the APASL 2014 definition were included in the study. Standard scores - MELD, MELD-Na, Maddreys' discriminant function, CLIF-OF and CLIF-C ACLF scores, APACHE II, ALBI, PALBI and LaFAS were calculated. The endpoints of the study were to predict short term mortality in alcohol induced ACLF patients using ALBI, PALBI and LaFAS and finding the cut-offs of these new scores and comparing it with standard validated scores. RESULTS: 67 patients were studied with 97% being male. Mean age was 45.78 + 8.15 years.44 patients died. The cut-offs, area under the ROC curve; sensitivity and specificity, positive and negative predictive values of the new prognostication scores were, respectively: ALBI (-0.57; 0.948; 90.9% and 82.6%; 77.69% and 93.15%),LaFAS(7; 0.968; 95.5% and 96.7%; 95.075 and 96.99%), PALBI(-0.28; 0.59; 61.4% and 52.2%; 46.13% and 66.98%). LaFAS and ALBI outnumbered the valid prognostic scores in predicting short-term mortality. PALBI underperformed when compared to all other scores. CONCLUSION: Thus incorporating albumin and bilirubin in a mathematical equation (for ALBI) or combining it with creatinine and grade of hepatic encephalopathy (for LaFAS) would help in prognosticate the patients with ACLF on admission in a resource limited setting thus enabling them to be transferred to a transplant center.
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Insuficiencia Hepática Crónica Agudizada , Ácido Láctico , APACHE , Adulto , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Pronóstico , Curva ROC , Estudios RetrospectivosRESUMEN
BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Esophageal carcinoma is a common gastrointestinal malignancy. There is a paucity of literature about the time trends from India. The aim of the study was to evaluate the time trends over 20 years and observe how they differ from the West. MATERIAL AND METHODS: We retrospectively evaluated the data of 552 patients from the gastroenterology database (single department, single-center) over a period of 20 years from 1996 to 2015. The study period was split into two groups, namely, Group A (1996 to 2005) and Group B (2006 to 2015). RESULTS: There were 263 patients in Group A and 289 patients in Group B. The mean age was 54.83 years (range 25-89 years). There were 345 males and 207 females, with the ratio being 1.67. The most common histological type was squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) with 443 patients (80.25%). The most common location was mid esophagus with 229 patients (41.48%) followed by 208 patients (37.68%) in the lower esophagus. There was no significant increase in the lower esophageal malignancy. However, there was a significant increase in the gastroesophageal junction (GEJ) and adenocarcinoma (AC). There were no other time trend changes in gender, location, or histology. CONCLUSION: SCC is still far more common than AC in India. The mid esophagus is the most common site. There is no evidence of an increase in the lower esophageal malignancy in our study for over 20 years. However, the rates of GEJ-AC were found to be increasing.