Incubation Period and Serial Interval of Mpox in 2022 Global Outbreak Compared with Historical Estimates.

Understanding changes in the transmission dynamics of mpox requires comparing recent estimates of key epidemiologic parameters with historical data. We derived historical estimates for the incubation period and serial interval for mpox and contrasted them with pooled estimates from the 2022 outbreak. Our findings show the pooled mean infection-to-onset incubation period was 8.1 days for the 2022 outbreak and 8.2 days historically, indicating the incubation periods remained relatively consistent over time, despite a shift in the major mode of transmission. However, we estimated the onset-to-onset serial interval at 8.7 days using 2022 data, compared with 14.2 days using historical data. Although the reason for this shortening of the serial interval is unclear, it may be because of increased public health interventions or a shift in the mode of transmission. Recognizing such temporal shifts is essential for informed response strategies, and public health measures remain crucial for controlling mpox and similar future outbreaks.

Thermoelectric active cooling for transient hot spots in microprocessors.

Modern microprocessor performance is limited by local hot spots induced at high frequency by busy integrated circuit elements such as the clock generator. Locally embedded thermoelectric devices (TEDs) are proposed to perform active cooling whereby thermoelectric effects enhance passive cooling by the Fourier law in removing heat from the hot spot to colder regions. To mitigate transient heating events and improve temperature stability, we propose a novel analytical solution that describes the temperature response of a periodically heated hot spot that is actively cooled by a TED driven electrically at the same frequency. The analytical solution that we present is validated by experimental data from frequency domain thermal reflectance (FDTR) measurements made directly on an actively cooled Si thermoelectric device where the pump laser replicates the transient hot spot. We herein demonstrate a practical method to actively cancel the transient temperature variations on circuit elements with TEDs. This result opens a new path to optimize the design of cooling systems for transient localized hot spots in integrated circuits.

Risk factors and mortality of SARS-CoV-2 reinfection during the Omicron era in Taiwan: A nationwide population-based cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Prior to 2022, Taiwan had effectively contained the domestic COVID-19 epidemic. However, during 2022, the country encountered multiple large outbreaks of COVID-19, with patients experiencing their first or second infection (reinfection) were both predominantly caused by the Omicron variant. Data are lacking on the risk factors and mortality of COVID-19 reinfection in Omicron era. METHODS: In this retrospective population-based cohort study, we recruited COVID-19 patients with their first episode confirmed between April 1, 2022 and June 11, 2022. A reinfection patient was defined as an individual who infected again by SARS-CoV-2 with an interval of more than 90 days. Demographic characteristics, severity of underlying diseases, and vaccination status were adjusted to identify risk factors for reinfection and to further evaluate the hazard of all-cause mortality within 30 days between reinfection and non-reinfection patients. RESULTS: There were 28,588 reinfection patients matched with 142,940 non-reinfection patients included in this study. We found that being female, younger in age, having more severe underlying diseases, and not being fully vaccinated against COVID-19 were risk factors for reinfection. After adjusting for confounding factors, reinfection patients were at a significantly higher risk of all-cause mortality within 30 days (aHR = 4.29, 95% CI: 3.00-6.12, p < 0.001) comparing with non-reinfection patients. CONCLUSION: During the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron era, reinfection patients were observed to have an increased risk of all-cause mortality. To reduce the disease burden and minimize the risk of reinfection, it is crucial for vulnerable patients to receive full vaccination and adhere to recommended precautions.

Safety and immunogenicity of homologous versus heterologous booster dose with AZD1222, mRNA-1273, or MVC-COV1901 SARS-CoV-2 vaccines in adults: An observer-blinded, multi-center, phase 2 randomized trial.

OBJECTIVES: To report the safety and immunogenicity profile of a protein subunit vaccine (MVC-COV1901) compared to AZD1222 and mRNA-1273 when given as a third (booster) dose to individuals who have completed different primary vaccine regimens. METHODS: Individuals were classified according to their primary vaccine regimens, including two-dose MVC-COV1901, AZD1222, or mRNA-1273. A third dose of either half-dose MVC-COV1901, full-dose MVC-COV1901, standard-dose AZD1222, half-dose mRNA-1273 was administered in a 1:1:1:1 treatment ratio to individuals with an interval range of 84-365 days after the second dose. Endpoints included safety, humoral immunogenicity, and cell-mediated immune response on trial days 15 and 29. Exploratory endpoint included testing against variants of concern (Omicron). RESULTS: Overall, 803 participants were randomized and boosted - 201 received half-dose MVC-COV1901, 196 received full-dose MVC-COV1901, 203 received AZD1222, and 203 received half-dose mRNA-1273. Reactogenicity was mild to moderate, and less in the MVC-COV1901 booster group. Heterologous boosting provided the best immunogenic response. Boosting with mRNA-1273 in MVC-COV1901 primed individuals induced the highest antibody titers, even against Omicron, and cell-mediated immune response. CONCLUSIONS: Overall, MVC-COV1901 as a booster showed the best safety profiles. MVC-COV1901 as a primary series, with either homologous or heterologous booster, elicited the highest immunogenic response. CLINICALTRIALS: gov registration NCT05197153.

Antidepressive mechanisms of rhynchophylline in mice with chronic unpredictable stress-induced depression.

ETHNOPHARMACOLOGICAL RELEVANCE: Uncaria rhynchophylla ([Mi] Jack) (gouteng) exerts antidepressive effects. Rhynchophylline (RH), a major component of U. rhynchophylla, exerts similar pharmacological effects to those of gouteng. Thus, RH may have antidepressive effects. AIM OF THE STUDY: To investigate the anti-depressive effects of RH in chronic unpredictable mild stress (CUMS)-induced depressive mice. The anti-depressive mechanism of RH determined by measuring the 5-HT levels, the expressions of cAMP-response element binding protein (CREB) and brain-derived neurotrophic factor (BDNF) in cortex and hippocampus. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The behaviors of CUMS-induced depressive mice were measured using an open field test (OFT), forced swimming test (FST), and tail suspension test (TST). 5-HT levels were measured using an ELISA kits. The expressions of BDNF and CREB were determined using western blot test. RESULTS: RH increased the frequency of rearing and grooming in the OFT and decreased the immobility time in the FST and TST. RH effectively increased the 5-HT level and BDNF and CREB expressions in the cortex and hippocampus. CONCLUSION: Our findings indicate that the antidepressive mechanism of RH is related to increased levels of 5-HT from regulating CREB and BDNF expressions in cortex and hippocampus.

An evaluation of the safety and immunogenicity of MVC-COV1901: Results of an interim analysis of a phase III, parallel group, randomized, double-blind, active-controlled immunobridging study in Paraguay.

BACKGROUND: Data from previous studies of the MVC-COV1901 vaccine, a subunit vaccine against SARS-CoV-2 based on the stable prefusion spike protein (S-2P) adjuvanted with CpG 1018 adjuvant and aluminum hydroxide, suggest that the vaccine is generally safe and elicits a good immune response in healthy adults and adolescents. By comparing with AZD1222, this study adds to the findings from previous trials and further evaluates the breadth of protection offered by MVC-COV1901. METHODS: In this phase 3, parallel group, randomized, double-blind, active-controlled trial conducted in 2 sites in Paraguay, we assigned adults aged 18-91 years in a 1:1 ratio to receive intramuscular doses of MVC-COV1901 or AZD1222 administered as scheduled in the clinical trial. Serum samples were collected on the day of vaccination and 14 days after the second dose. Primary and secondary safety and immunogenicity endpoints were assessed. In addition, other outcomes investigated were cross-reactive immunity against the Omicron strain and the induction of IgG subclasses. RESULTS: A total of 1,030 participants underwent randomization. Safety data was derived from this set while primary immunogenicity data involved a per-protocol immunogenicity (PPI) subset including 225 participants. Among the participants, 58% are seropositive at baseline. When compared against AZD1222, MVC-COV1901 exhibited superiority in terms of neutralizing antibody titers and non-inferiority in terms of seroconversion rates. Reactogenicity was generally mild and no serious adverse event was attributable to MVC-COV1901. Both vaccines have a Th1-biased response predominated by the production of IgG1 and IgG3 subclasses. Omicron-neutralizing titers were 44.5 times lower compared to wildtype-neutralizing titers among seronegative individuals at baseline. This fold-reduction was 3.0 times among the seropositive. CONCLUSION: Safety and immunogenicity data of MVC-COV1901 from the study in Paraguay confirm previous results. The previous infection coupled with vaccination of this vaccine may offer protection against the Omicron strain though its durability is still unknown.

Safety and immunogenicity of SARS-CoV-2 vaccine MVC-COV1901 in Taiwanese adolescents: a randomized phase 2 trial.

Adolescents and children play an important role in SARS-CoV-2 transmission and epidemiology. MVC-COV1901 is a subunit SARS-CoV-2 vaccine based on stabilized spike protein adjuvanted with CpG 1018 and aluminum hydroxide that has received emergency use approval (EUA) for adults in Taiwan. In this study, we have investigated the safety and immunogenicity of two doses of MVC-COV1901 in adolescents. Healthy adolescents from the age of 12-17 years were randomly assigned to receive two intramuscular doses of either MVC-COV1901 or placebo at 28 days apart. Adverse events were mostly mild and were similar in MVC-COV1901 and placebo groups, with the most commonly reported adverse events being pain/tenderness and malaise/fatigue. All immunogenicity endpoints in the adolescent group were non-inferior to the endpoints seen in the young adult and placebo groups. The results here advocate the use of MVC-COV1901 in adolescents in the ongoing efforts to control the pandemic.ClinicalTrials.gov registration: NCT04951388.

Early Prompt Response to COVID-19 in Taiwan: Comprehensive surveillance, decisive border control, and information technology support.

Since the COVID-19 outbreak was detected in Wuhan in December 2019 by the event-based surveillance of Taiwan Centers for Disease Control, Taiwan has been aligning risk management to policy planning with the assistance of comprehensive surveillance and regular rapid risk assessments. Taiwan Central Epidemic Command Center (CECC) promptly initiated stepwise border control for major cities and provinces in China, European and American countries, and eventually expanded it to the whole world in March 2020. With stringent quarantine measures, the early response not only successfully blocked the first wave of imported cases, but also slowed down subsequent large local outbreaks. Digital technologies including digital fencing and government database linkage were adopted to facilitate the application of public health interventions and data collection. The experience of Taiwan's prompt and comprehensive response at the early stage may contribute to the preparedness for the next disease X outbreak.

Ocean Wind Observation Based on the Mean Square Slope Using a Self-Developed Miniature Wave Buoy.

Real-time, continuous, and long-term marine monitoring data benefits ocean research. This study developed a low-cost, multi-parameter, miniature wave buoy. High spatial and temporal resolution of sea surface parameters, including wind, waves, and current, can be obtained at low cost through the deployment of numerous buoys, thus forming an observation array. Tested in the laboratory water tank, the relative error of water surface slope measurement of the buoy was approximately 5.6% when the slope angle was less than 15°. For frequencies between 0.1 and 1.0 Hz, the measurement of slope spectrum was almost identical to that of the wave gauge. The buoy underestimated the slope spectrum between 1.0−1.56 Hz. A good relationship (r2 = 0.75) was obtained between wind speed at 10 m above sea surface (U10) and the low-pass-filtered mean square slope (LPMSS). After incorporating the wave age into the U10 inversion process, the root mean square error (RMSE) and BIAS were reduced to 1.15 m/s and 0.02 m/s, respectively. The 2D distribution of buoy-measured slope components was used to detect the wind direction, with an RMSE of 23.7°. The spectral tail slope steepened with increasing wind speed at low wind speeds (<7 m/s). A technical flow chart of the miniature wave buoy is proposed to observe the sea surface parameters. This miniature buoy will play an essential complementary role in the growing demand for sea state monitoring, especially in nearshore oceans.

Transmission Dynamics and Effectiveness of Control Measures during COVID-19 Surge, Taiwan, April-August 2021.

An unprecedented surge of COVID-19 cases in Taiwan in May 2021 led the government to implement strict nationwide control measures beginning May 15. During the surge, the government was able to bring the epidemic under control without a complete lockdown despite the cumulative case count reaching >14,400 and >780 deaths. We investigated the effectiveness of the public health and social measures instituted by the Taiwan government by quantifying the change in the effective reproduction number, which is a summary measure of the ability of the pathogen to spread through the population. The control measures that were instituted reduced the effective reproduction number from 2.0-3.3 to 0.6-0.7. This decrease was correlated with changes in mobility patterns in Taiwan, demonstrating that public compliance, active case finding, and contact tracing were effective measures in preventing further spread of the disease.

Durability and Immunogenicity of Neutralizing Antibodies Response Against Omicron Variants After Three Doses of Subunit SARS-CoV-2 Vaccine MVC-COV1901: An Extension to an Open-Label, Dose-Escalation Phase 1 Study.

INTRODUCTION: MVC-COV1901 is a protein subunit COVID-19 vaccine based on the stable prefusion spike protein S-2P adjuvanted with CpG 1018 and aluminum hydroxide. Interim results of a phase 2 clinical trial demonstrated favorable safety profile and immunogenicity and the vaccine has been authorized for use in Taiwan. However, waning antibody levels after immunization and variants of concern (VoC) could negatively impact vaccine-induced neutralization of virus. In this extension to the phase 1 clinical study we investigated a three-dose regimen of MVC-COV1901 for durability of antibody levels and virus neutralization capacity, including neutralization of the Omicron variant. METHODS: Forty-five healthy adults from 20 to 49 years of age were divided into three groups of 15 participants receiving two doses of either low dose (LD), medium dose (MD), or high dose (HD) of MVC-COV1901. Six months after the second dose (day 209), a third MD dose of MVC-COV1901 was administered to the LD and MD groups and a HD dose was given to the HD group. Safety was followed for up to 28 days after the booster dose by monitoring incidences of adverse events (AE). Immunogenicity and antibody persistence for up to 6 months after the booster dose were assessed by neutralizing assay with the wild-type (Wuhan) SARS-CoV-2 virus. To examine the immunogenicity of booster dose against variants, neutralizing assays were carried out with the Alpha, Beta, and Delta variant viruses and the Omicron variant pseudovirus using samples from 4 weeks after the booster dose. RESULTS: Adverse reactions after the booster dose were mostly mild and comparable to that of the first two doses. Compared to day 209, neutralizing antibodies were increased by 10.3-28.9 times at 4 weeks after the booster. During the 6-month follow-up after the booster, the rate of decline of neutralizing antibody level was much less than that after the second dose. Three doses of MVC-COV1901 also improved antibody-mediated neutralization of Alpha, Beta, and Delta variants as well as the Omicron variant pseudovirus. CONCLUSION: Our data showed increased persistence of neutralizing antibodies and enhancement of immunogenicity against VoCs offered after a third dose of MVC-COV1901. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov identifier NCT04487210.

Evaluation of the Need for Intensive Care in Children With Pneumonia: Machine Learning Approach.

BACKGROUND: Timely decision-making regarding intensive care unit (ICU) admission for children with pneumonia is crucial for a better prognosis. Despite attempts to establish a guideline or triage system for evaluating ICU care needs, no clinically applicable paradigm is available. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to develop machine learning (ML) algorithms to predict ICU care needs for pediatric pneumonia patients within 24 hours of admission, evaluate their performance, and identify clinical indices for making decisions for pediatric pneumonia patients. METHODS: Pneumonia patients admitted to National Taiwan University Hospital from January 2010 to December 2019 aged under 18 years were enrolled. Their underlying diseases, clinical manifestations, and laboratory data at admission were collected. The outcome of interest was ICU transfer within 24 hours of hospitalization. We compared clinically relevant features between early ICU transfer patients and patients without ICU care. ML algorithms were developed to predict ICU admission. The performance of the algorithms was evaluated using sensitivity, specificity, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), and average precision. The relative feature importance of the best-performing algorithm was compared with physician-rated feature importance for explainability. RESULTS: A total of 8464 pediatric hospitalizations due to pneumonia were recorded, and 1166 (1166/8464, 13.8%) hospitalized patients were transferred to the ICU within 24 hours. Early ICU transfer patients were younger (P<.001), had higher rates of underlying diseases (eg, cardiovascular, neuropsychological, and congenital anomaly/genetic disorders; P<.001), had abnormal laboratory data, had higher pulse rates (P<.001), had higher breath rates (P<.001), had lower oxygen saturation (P<.001), and had lower peak body temperature (P<.001) at admission than patients without ICU transfer. The random forest (RF) algorithm achieved the best performance (sensitivity 0.94, 95% CI 0.92-0.95; specificity 0.94, 95% CI 0.92-0.95; AUC 0.99, 95% CI 0.98-0.99; and average precision 0.93, 95% CI 0.90-0.96). The lowest systolic blood pressure and presence of cardiovascular and neuropsychological diseases ranked in the top 10 in both RF relative feature importance and clinician judgment. CONCLUSIONS: The ML approach could provide a clinically applicable triage algorithm and identify important clinical indices, such as age, underlying diseases, abnormal vital signs, and laboratory data for evaluating the need for intensive care in children with pneumonia.

A hospital-related outbreak of SARS-CoV-2 associated with variant Epsilon (B.1.429) in Taiwan: transmission potential and outbreak containment under intensified contact tracing, January-February 2021.

OBJECTIVES: A hospital-related cluster of 22 cases of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) occurred in Taiwan in January-February 2021. Rigorous control measures were introduced and could only be relaxed once the outbreak was declared over. Each day after the apparent outbreak end, we estimated the risk of future cases occurring in order to inform decision-making. METHODS: Probabilistic transmission networks were reconstructed, and transmission parameters (the reproduction number R and overdispersion parameter k) were estimated. The reporting delay during the outbreak was estimated (Scenario 1). In addition, a counterfactual scenario with less effective interventions characterized by a longer reporting delay was considered (Scenario 2). Each day, the risk of future cases was estimated under both scenarios. RESULTS: The values of R and k were estimated to be 1.30 ((95% credible interval (CI) 0.57-3.80) and 0.38 (95% CI 0.12-1.20), respectively. The mean reporting delays considered were 2.5 days (Scenario 1) and 7.8 days (Scenario 2). Following the final case, ttthe inferred probability of future cases occurring declined more quickly in Scenario 1 than Scenario 2. CONCLUSIONS: Rigorous control measures allowed the outbreak to be declared over quickly following outbreak containment. This highlights the need for effective interventions, not only to reduce cases during outbreaks but also to allow outbreaks to be declared over with confidence.

Comparison of Estimated Effectiveness of Case-Based and Population-Based Interventions on COVID-19 Containment in Taiwan.

Importance: Taiwan is one of the few countries with initial success in COVID-19 control without strict lockdown or school closure. The reasons remain to be fully elucidated. Objective: To compare and evaluate the effectiveness of case-based (including contact tracing and quarantine) and population-based (including social distancing and facial masking) interventions for COVID-19 in Taiwan. Design, Setting, and Participants: This comparative effectiveness study used a stochastic branching process model using COVID-19 epidemic data from Taiwan, an island nation of 23.6 million people, with no locally acquired cases of COVID-19 reported for 253 days between April and December 2020. Main Outcomes and Measures: Effective reproduction number of COVID-19 cases (the number of secondary cases generated by 1 primary case) and the probability of outbreak extinction (0 new cases within 20 generations). For model development and calibration, an estimation of the incubation period (interval from exposure to symptom onset), serial interval (time between symptom onset in an infector-infectee pair), and the statistical distribution of the number of any subsequent infections generated by 1 primary case was calculated. Results: This study analyzed data from 158 confirmed COVID-19 cases (median age, 45 years; interquartile range, 25-55 years; 84 men [53%]). An estimated 55% (95% credible interval [CrI], 41%-68%) of transmission events occurred during the presymptomatic stage. In our estimated analysis, case detection, contact tracing, and 14-day quarantine of close contacts (regardless of symptoms) was estimated to decrease the reproduction number from the counterfactual value of 2.50 to 1.53 (95% CrI, 1.50-1.57), which would not be sufficient for epidemic control, which requires a value of less than 1. In our estimated analysis, voluntary population-based interventions, if used alone, were estimated to have reduced the reproduction number to 1.30 (95% CrI, 1.03-1.58). Combined case-based and population-based interventions were estimated to reduce the reproduction number to below unity (0.85; 95% CrI, 0.78-0.89). Results were similar for additional analyses with influenza data and sensitivity analyses. Conclusions and Relevance: In this comparative effectiveness research study, the combination of case-based and population-based interventions (with wide adherence) may explain the success of COVID-19 control in Taiwan in 2020. Either category of interventions alone would have been insufficient, even in a country with an effective public health system and comprehensive contact tracing program. Mitigating the COVID-19 pandemic requires the collaborative effort of public health professionals and the general public.

Taiwan's COVID-19 response: Timely case detection and quarantine, January to June 2020.

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has become severe threats to economic, societal, and healthcare systems. To analyze the epidemiological characteristics of the COVID-19 outbreak in Taiwan and evaluate the key interventions, we conducted a retrospective cohort study during January 17-June 30, 2020. As of June 30, the COVID-19 outbreak, including 447 laboratory-confirmed cases, was eliminated by mixed approaches: border control, enhanced surveillance, case detection with contact tracing, quarantine, and population-based interventions like face mask use. The improvement of median time from disease onset to notification (5 days [range -3 to 27] before March 1 to 1 day [range -8 to 22] after March 1) suggested the timeliness and comprehensiveness of surveillance and contact tracing. Travel restrictions with quarantine, resulting in fewer clusters, were also complementary to minimize disease spread. Under combined interventions, Taiwan successfully contained the COVID-19 spread within the country and minimized its impact on the society.

Proactive and blended approach for COVID-19 control in Taiwan.

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has become the greatest threat to human society in a century. To better devise control strategies, policymakers should adjust policies based on scientific evidence in hand. Several countries have limited the epidemics of COVID-19 by prioritizing containment strategies to mitigate the impacts on public health and healthcare systems. However, asymptomatic/pre-symptomatic transmission of COVID-19 complicated traditional symptom-based approaches for disease control. In addition, drastic population-based interventions usually have significant societal and economic impacts. Therefore, in Taiwan, the containment strategies consisted of the more extended case-based interventions (e.g., case detection with enhanced surveillance and contact tracing with active monitoring and quarantine of close contacts) and more targeted population-based interventions (e.g., face mask use in recommended settings and risk-oriented border control with corresponding quarantine requirement). The success of the blended approach emphasizes not only the importance of evidence-supported policymaking but also the coordinated efforts between the government and the people.

Contact tracing with digital assistance in Taiwan's COVID-19 outbreak response.

AIM: Comprehensive case investigation and contact tracing are crucial to prevent community spread of COVID-19. We demonstrated a utility of using traditional contact tracing measures supplemented with symptom tracking and contact management system to assist public health workers with high efficiency. METHODS: A centralized contact tracing system was developed to support data linkage, cross-jurisdictional coordination, and follow-up of contacts' health status. We illustrated the process of how digital tools support contact tracing and management of COVID-19 cases and measured the timeliness from case detection to contact monitoring to evaluate system performance. RESULTS: Among the 8051 close contacts of the 487 confirmed cases (16.5 close contacts/case, 95% CI [13.9-19.1]), the median elapsed time from last exposure to quarantine was three days (IQR 1-5). By implementing the approach of self-reporting using automatic text-messages and web-app, the percentage of health status updates from self-reporting increased from 22.5% to 61.5%. The high proportion of secondary cases detected via contact tracing (88%) might reduce the R0 to under one and minimize the impact of local transmission in the community. CONCLUSION: Comprehensive contact tracing and management with complementary technology would still be a pillar of strategies for containing outbreaks during de-escalation or early in the next wave of COVID-19 pandemic.