Physical performance strongly predicts all-cause mortality risk in a real-world population of older diabetic patients: machine learning approach for mortality risk stratification.

Background: Prognostic risk stratification in older adults with type 2 diabetes (T2D) is important for guiding decisions concerning advance care planning. Materials and methods: A retrospective longitudinal study was conducted in a real-world sample of older diabetic patients afferent to the outpatient facilities of the Diabetology Unit of the IRCCS INRCA Hospital of Ancona (Italy). A total of 1,001 T2D patients aged more than 70 years were consecutively evaluated by a multidimensional geriatric assessment, including physical performance evaluated using the Short Physical Performance Battery (SPPB). The mortality was assessed during a 5-year follow-up. We used the automatic machine-learning (AutoML) JADBio platform to identify parsimonious mathematical models for risk stratification. Results: Of 977 subjects included in the T2D cohort, the mean age was 76.5 (SD: 4.5) years and 454 (46.5%) were men. The mean follow-up time was 53.3 (SD:15.8) months, and 209 (21.4%) patients died by the end of the follow-up. The JADBio AutoML final model included age, sex, SPPB, chronic kidney disease, myocardial ischemia, peripheral artery disease, neuropathy, and myocardial infarction. The bootstrap-corrected concordance index (c-index) for the final model was 0.726 (95% CI: 0.687-0.763) with SPPB ranked as the most important predictor. Based on the penalized Cox regression model, the risk of death per unit of time for a subject with an SPPB score lower than five points was 3.35 times that for a subject with a score higher than eight points (P-value <0.001). Conclusion: Assessment of physical performance needs to be implemented in clinical practice for risk stratification of T2D older patients.

Plasma cfDNA abundance as a prognostic biomarker for higher risk of death in geriatric cardiovascular patients.

The management of geriatric cardiovascular disease (CVD) patients with multimorbidity remains challenging and could potentially be improved by integrating clinical data with innovative prognostic biomarkers. In this context, the analysis of circulating analytes, including cell-free DNA (cfDNA), appears particularly promising. Here, we investigated circulating cfDNA (measured through the quantification of 247 bp and 115 bp Alu genomic fragments) in a cohort of 244 geriatric CVD patients with multimorbidity hospitalised for acute CVD or non-CVD events. Survival analysis showed a direct association between Alu 247 cfDNA abundance and risk of death, particularly evident in the first six months after admission for acute CVD events. Higher plasma cfDNA concentration was associated with mortality in the same period of time. The cfDNA integrity (Alu 247/115), although not associated with outcome, appeared to be useful in discriminating patients in whom Alu 247 cfDNA abundance is most effective as a prognostic biomarker. The cfDNA parameters were associated with several biochemical markers of inflammation and myocardial damage. In conclusion, an increase in plasma cfDNA abundance at hospital admission is indicative of a higher risk of death in geriatric CVD patients, especially after acute CVD events, and its analysis may be potentially useful for risk stratification.

Update of the European Society of Anaesthesiology and Intensive Care Medicine evidence-based and consensus-based guideline on postoperative delirium in adult patients.

Postoperative delirium (POD) remains a common, dangerous and resource-consuming adverse event but is often preventable. The whole peri-operative team can play a key role in its management. This update to the 2017 ESAIC Guideline on the prevention of POD is evidence-based and consensus-based and considers the literature between 01 April 2015, and 28 February 2022. The search terms of the broad literature search were identical to those used in the first version of the guideline published in 2017. POD was defined in accordance with the DSM-5 criteria. POD had to be measured with a validated POD screening tool, at least once per day for at least 3 days starting in the recovery room or postanaesthesia care unit on the day of surgery or, at latest, on postoperative day 1. Recent literature confirmed the pathogenic role of surgery-induced inflammation, and this concept reinforces the positive role of multicomponent strategies aimed to reduce the surgical stress response. Although some putative precipitating risk factors are not modifiable (length of surgery, surgical site), others (such as depth of anaesthesia, appropriate analgesia and haemodynamic stability) are under the control of the anaesthesiologists. Multicomponent preoperative, intra-operative and postoperative preventive measures showed potential to reduce the incidence and duration of POD, confirming the pivotal role of a comprehensive and team-based approach to improve patients' clinical and functional status.

Low circulating levels of miR-17 and miR-126-3p are associated with increased mortality risk in geriatric hospitalized patients affected by cardiovascular multimorbidity.

MultiMorbidity (MM), defined as the co-occurrence of two or more chronic conditions, is associated with poorer health outcomes, such as recurrent hospital readmission and mortality. As a group of conditions, cardiovascular disease (CVD) exemplifies several challenges of MM, and the identification of prognostic minimally invasive biomarkers to stratify mortality risk in patients affected by cardiovascular MM is a huge challenge. Circulating miRNAs associated to inflammaging and endothelial dysfunction, such as miR-17, miR-21-5p, and miR-126-3p, are expected to have prognostic relevance. We analyzed a composite profile of circulating biomarkers, including miR-17, miR-21-5p, and miR-126-3p, and routine laboratory biomarkers in a sample of 246 hospitalized geriatric patients selected for cardiovascular MM from the Report-AGE INRCA database and BioGER INRCA biobank, to evaluate the association with all-cause mortality during 31 days and 12 and 24 months follow-up. Circulating levels of miR-17, miR-126-3p, and some blood parameters, including neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and eGFR, were significantly associated with mortality in these patients. Overall, our results suggest that in a cohort of geriatric hospitalized patients affected by cardiovascular MM, lower circulating miR-17 and miR-126-3p levels could contribute to identify patients at higher risk of short- and medium-term mortality.

Diabetes mellitus increases risk of adverse drug reactions and death in hospitalised older people: the SENATOR trial.

PURPOSE: Adverse drug reactions (ADRs) are a major cause of morbidity and mortality, especially in older people. Older people with diabetes mellitus may be at especially high risk of ADRs but this risk has not been well studied. This study aimed to compare severity and type of ADRs in hospitalised, multimorbid older people with and without diabetes and secondly to assess the impact of ADRs on mortality, rehospitalisation and length of stay. METHODS: Participants in the SENATOR (Software Engine for the Assessment and optimization of drug and non-drug Therapy in Older peRsons) trial were assessed for 12 common and 'other' prevalent and incident adverse drug reactions using a blinded end-point adjudication process. Descriptive analyses, logistic regression and mediation analyses were undertaken. RESULTS: Of 1537 people in the SENATOR trial, 540 (35.1%) had diabetes mellitus (mean age 77.4 ± 7.3 years, 58.5% male). In the total population, 773 prevalent and 828 incident ADRs were reported. Both prevalent and incident symptomatic hypoglycaemia and incident acute kidney injury (AKI) were significantly more common in people with diabetes (p < 0.05). Patients with diabetes had higher all-cause mortality at 12 weeks than those without (9.1% vs 6.3%, p = 0.04). Mediation analysis revealed that mortality was significantly higher (OR = 1.43, Sobel test p = 0.048) in people with diabetes and ADRs causing AKI. CONCLUSIONS: Older multimorbid people with diabetes presenting to hospital with acute illness have significantly more ADRs than those without, and a significantly higher mortality that is mediated by medication-associated AKI and poorer renal function.

Blood circulating bacterial DNA in hospitalized old COVID-19 patients.

BACKGROUND: Coronavirus disease COVID-19 is a heterogeneous condition caused by SARS-CoV-2 infection. Generally, it is characterized by interstitial pneumonia that can lead to impaired gas-exchange, acute respiratory failure, and death, although a complex disorder of multi-organ dysfunction has also been described. The pathogenesis is complex, and a variable combination of factors has been described in critically ill patients. COVID-19 is a particular risk for older persons, particularly those with frailty and comorbidities. Blood bacterial DNA has been reported in both physiological and pathological conditions and has been associated with some haematological and laboratory parameters but, to date, no study has characterized it in hospitalized old COVID-19 patients The present study aimed to establish an association between blood bacterial DNA (BB-DNA) and clinical severity in old COVID-19 patients. RESULTS: BB-DNA levels were determined, by quantitative real-time PCRs targeting the 16S rRNA gene, in 149 hospitalized older patients (age range 65-99 years) with COVID-19. Clinical data, including symptoms and signs of infection, frailty status, and comorbidities, were assessed. BB-DNA was increased in deceased patients compared to discharged ones, and Cox regression analysis confirmed an association between BB-DNA and in-hospital mortality. Furthermore, BB-DNA was positively associated with the neutrophil count and negatively associated with plasma IFN-alpha. Additionally, BB-DNA was associated with diabetes. CONCLUSIONS: The association of BB-DNA with mortality, immune-inflammatory parameters and diabetes in hospitalized COVID-19 patients suggests its potential role as a biomarker of unfavourable outcomes of the disease, thus it could be proposed as a novel prognostic marker in the assessment of acute COVID-19 disease.

Inclusion of functional measures and frailty in the development and evaluation of medicines for older adults.

The International Council for Harmonisation of Technical Requirements for Pharmaceuticals for Human Use (ICH) E7, the guidance for the conduct of clinical trials in people older than age 65 years, dates from 1994. Since then, the inclusion of older people in clinical trials has hardly improved, particularly for the oldest old age group (individuals older than age 75 years), which is the fastest growing demographic bracket in the EU. Even though most medications are taken by this group, relevant endpoints and safety outcomes for this cohort are rarely included and reported, both in clinical trials and regulatory approval documents. To improve the critical appraisal and the regulatory review of medicines taken by frail older adults, eight recommendations are presented and discussed in this Health Policy. These recommendations are brought together from different perspectives and experience of the treatment of older patients. On one side, the perspective of medical practitioners from various clinical disciplines, with their direct experience of clinical decision making; on the other, the perspective of regulators assessing the data submitted in medicine registration dossiers, their relevance to the risk-benefit balance for older patients, and the communication of the findings in the product information. Efforts to improve the participation of older people in clinical trials have been in place for more than a decade, with little success. The recommendations presented here are relevant for stakeholders, authorities, pharmaceutical companies, and researchers alike, as the implementation of these measures is not under the capacity of a single entity. Improving the inclusion of frail older adults requires awareness, focus, and action on the part of those who can effect a much needed change.

Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) predicts mortality in hospitalized geriatric patients independent of the admission diagnosis: a multicenter prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is a marker of poor prognosis in hospitalized older patients with different diseases, but there is still no consensus on the optimal cut-off value to identify older patients at high-risk of in-hospital mortality. Therefore, in this study we aimed at both validating NLR as a predictor of death in older hospitalized patients and assess whether the presence of specific acute diseases can modify its predictive value. METHODS: This prospective cohort study included 5034 hospitalizations of older patients admitted to acute care units in the context of the ReportAge study. NLR measured at admission was considered as the exposure variable, while in-hospital mortality was the outcome of the study. ROC curves with Youden's method and restricted cubic splines were used to identify the optimal NLR cut-off of increased risk. Cox proportional hazard models, stratified analyses, and Kaplan-Meier survival curves were used to analyse the association between NLR and in-hospital mortality. RESULTS: Both continuous and categorical NLR value (cut-off ≥ 7.95) predicted mortality in bivariate and multivariate prognostic models with a good predictive accuracy. The magnitude of this association was even higher in patients without sepsis, congestive heart failure, and pneumonia, and those with higher eGFR, albumin, and hemoglobin (p < 0.001). A negative multiplicative interaction was found between NLR and eGFR < 45 (p = 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: NLR at admission is a readily available and cost-effective biomarker that could improve identification of geriatric patients at high risk of death during hospital stay independent of admitting diagnosis, kidney function and hemoglobin levels.

Optimizing pharmacotherapy and deprescribing strategies in older adults living with multimorbidity and polypharmacy: EuGMS SIG on pharmacology position paper.

Inappropriate polypharmacy is highly prevalent among older adults and presents a significant healthcare concern. Conducting medication reviews and implementing deprescribing strategies in multimorbid older adults with polypharmacy are an inherently complex and challenging task. Recognizing this, the Special Interest Group on Pharmacology of the European Geriatric Medicine Society has compiled evidence on medication review and deprescribing in older adults and has formulated recommendations to enhance appropriate prescribing practices. The current evidence supports the need for a comprehensive and widespread transformation in education, guidelines, research, advocacy, and policy to improve the management of polypharmacy in older individuals. Furthermore, incorporating deprescribing as a routine aspect of care for the ageing population is crucial. We emphasize the importance of involving geriatricians and experts in geriatric pharmacology in driving, and actively participating in this transformative process. By doing so, we can work towards achieving optimal medication use and enhancing the well-being of older adults in the generations to come.

Serum levels of soluble suppression of tumorigenicity 2 (sST2) and heart-type fatty acid binding protein (H-FABP) independently predict in-hospital mortality in geriatric patients with COVID-19.

Elevation of cardiac damage biomarkers is associated with adverse clinical outcomes and increased mortality in COVID-19 patients. This study assessed the association of admission serum levels of sST2 and H-FABP with in-hospital mortality in 191 geriatric patients (median age 86 yrs., IQR 82-91 yrs.) with COVID-19 and available measures of hs-cTnT and NT-proBNP at admission. Cox proportional hazards models were utilized to predict in-hospital mortality, considering clinical/biochemical confounders as covariates. A composite cardiac score was calculated to improve predictive accuracy. Patients deceased during their hospital stay (26%) exhibited higher levels of all biomarkers, which demonstrated good discrimination for in-hospital mortality. Addition of sST2 and H-FABP significantly improved the discriminatory power of hs-cTnT and NT-proBNP. The composite cardiac score (AUC=0.866) further enhanced the predictive accuracy. Crude and adjusted Cox regressions models revealed that both sST2 and H-FABP were independently associated with in-hospital mortality (HR for sST2 ≥129 ng/mL, 4.32 [1.48-12.59]; HR for H-FABP ≥18 ng/mL, 7.70 [2.12-28.01]). The composite cardiac score also independently correlated with in-hospital mortality (HR for 1-unit increase, 1.47 [1.14-1.90]). In older patients with COVID-19, sST2 and H-FABP demonstrated prognostic value, improving the predictive accuracy of the routinely assessed biomarkers hs-cTnT and NT-proBNP.

Physical activity and exercise for the prevention and management of mild cognitive impairment and dementia: a collaborative international guideline.

BACKGROUND: Physical activity and exercise have been suggested as effective interventions for the prevention and management of mild cognitive impairment (MCI) and dementia, but there are no international guidelines. OBJECTIVES: To create a set of evidence- and expert consensus-based prevention and management recommendations regarding physical activity (any bodily movement produced by skeletal muscles that results in energy expenditure) and exercise (a subset of physical activity that is planned, structured, repetitive), applicable to a range of individuals from healthy older adults to those with MCI/dementia. METHODS: Guideline content was developed with input from several scientific and lay representatives' societies. A systematic search across multidisciplinary databases was carried out until October 2021. Recommendations for prevention and management were developed according to the GRADE and complemented by consensus statements from the expert panels. RECOMMENDATIONS: Physical activity may be considered for the primary prevention of dementia. In people with MCI there is continued uncertainty about the role of physical activity in slowing the conversion to dementia. Mind-body interventions have the greatest supporting evidence. In people with moderate dementia, exercise may be used for maintaining disability and cognition. All these recommendations were based on a very low/low certainty of evidence. CONCLUSIONS: Although the scientific evidence on the beneficial role of physical activity and exercise in preserving cognitive functions in subjects with normal cognition, MCI or dementia is inconclusive, this panel, composed of scientific societies and other stakeholders, recommends their implementation based on their beneficial effects on almost all facets of health.