Incidence and Mortality of Physician-Diagnosed Primary Sjögren Syndrome: Time Trends Over a 40-Year Period in a Population-Based US Cohort.

OBJECTIVE: To estimate the incidence and mortality rates, and their evolution over time, of physician-diagnosed primary Sjögren syndrome (pSS) in residents of Olmsted County, Minnesota. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Medical records of patients with a diagnosis or suspicion of SS in Olmsted County from January 1, 2006, through December 31, 2015, were reviewed to identify incident cases of pSS (defined by physician diagnosis). These cases were combined with those from a 1976 through 2005 incident cohort (n=111) from the same population. Incidence rates were age and sex adjusted to the 2010 US white population. Survival rates were compared with the expected rates in the population of Minnesota. RESULTS: With 61 incident cases of pSS diagnosed in Olmsted County from 2006 through 2015, the total cohort included 172 patients with incident pSS from 1976 through 2015. Of the 172 patients, 151 (88%) were women and 161 (94%) were white, with a mean ± SD age at diagnosis of 58.3±16.7 years. The average age- and sex-adjusted annual incidence for 2006 through 2015 was 5.9 per 100,000 population (95% CI, 4.4-7.4 per 100,000 population), and the overall incidence for the entire period was 5.8 per 100,000 (95% CI, 4.9-6.6 per 100,000). The incidence increased with calendar time over the 40-year period (P=.005). There was no difference in mortality in the pSS cohort compared with expected (standardized mortality ratio, 1.15; 95% CI, 0.86-1.50). CONCLUSION: The average annual incidence of pSS in this population-based cohort was 5.8 per 100,000, with a progressive increase over the 40 years of the study. Overall survival of patients with pSS was not different from that of the general population.

Rheumatoid arthritis-specific cardiovascular risk scores are not superior to general risk scores: a validation analysis of patients from seven countries.

Objectives: Cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk calculators developed for the general population do not accurately predict CVD events in patients with RA. We sought to externally validate risk calculators recommended for use in patients with RA including the EULAR 1.5 multiplier, the Expanded Cardiovascular Risk Prediction Score for RA (ERS-RA) and QRISK2. Methods: Seven RA cohorts from UK, Norway, Netherlands, USA, South Africa, Canada and Mexico were combined. Data on baseline CVD risk factors, RA characteristics and CVD outcomes (including myocardial infarction, ischaemic stroke and cardiovascular death) were collected using standardized definitions. Performance of QRISK2, EULAR multiplier and ERS-RA was compared with other risk calculators [American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association (ACC/AHA), Framingham Adult Treatment Panel III Framingham risk score-Adult Treatment Panel (FRS-ATP) and Reynolds Risk Score] using c-statistics and net reclassification index. Results: Among 1796 RA patients without prior CVD [mean ( s . d .) age: 54.0 (14.0) years, 74% female], 100 developed CVD events during a mean follow-up of 6.9 years (12430 person-years). Estimated CVD risk by ERS-RA [mean ( s . d .) 8.8% (9.8%)] was comparable to FRS-ATP [mean ( s . d .) 9.1% (8.3%)] and Reynolds [mean ( s . d .) 9.2% (12.2%)], but lower than ACC/AHA [mean ( s . d .) 9.8% (12.1%)]. QRISK2 substantially overestimated risk [mean ( s . d .) 15.5% (13.9%)]. Discrimination was not improved for ERS-RA (c-statistic = 0.69), QRISK2 or EULAR multiplier applied to ACC/AHA compared with ACC/AHA (c-statistic = 0.72 for all) or for FRS-ATP (c-statistic = 0.75). The net reclassification index for ERS-RA was low (-0.8% vs ACC/AHA and 2.3% vs FRS-ATP). Conclusion: The QRISK2, EULAR multiplier and ERS-RA algorithms did not predict CVD risk more accurately in patients with RA than CVD risk calculators developed for the general population.

Prevalence of Primary Sjögren's Syndrome in a US Population-Based Cohort.

OBJECTIVE: To report the point prevalence of primary Sjögren's syndrome (SS) in the first US population-based study. METHODS: Cases of all potential primary SS patients living in Olmsted County, Minnesota, on January 1, 2015, were retrieved using Rochester Epidemiology Project resources, and ascertained by manual medical records review. Primary SS cases were defined according to physician diagnosis. The use of diagnostic tests was assessed and the performance of classification criteria was evaluated. The number of prevalent cases in 2015 was also projected based on 1976-2005 incidence data from the same source population. RESULTS: A total of 106 patients with primary SS were included in the study: 86% were female, with a mean ± SD age of 64.6 ± 15.2 years, and a mean ± SD disease duration of 10.5 ± 8.4 years. A majority were anti-SSA positive (75%) and/or anti-SSB positive (58%), but only 22% met American-European Consensus Group or American College of Rheumatology criteria, because the other tests required for disease classification (ocular dryness objective assessment, salivary gland functional or morphologic tests, or salivary gland biopsy) were rarely performed in clinical practice. According to the physician diagnosis, the age- and sex-adjusted prevalence of primary SS was 10.3 per 10,000 inhabitants, but according to classification criteria, this prevalence was only 2.2 per 10,000. The analysis based on previous incidence data projected a similar 2015 prevalence rate of 11.0 per 10,000. CONCLUSION: The prevalence of primary SS in this geographically well-defined population was estimated to be between 2 and 10 per 10,000 inhabitants. Physicians rarely used tests included in the classification criteria to diagnose the disease in this community setting.

Predictors of relapse and treatment outcomes in biopsy-proven giant cell arteritis: a retrospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate characteristics of relapse, relapse rates, treatment and outcomes among patients with biopsy-proven GCA in a large, single-institution cohort. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective review of all patients with biopsy-proven GCA from 1998 to 2013. Demographic, clinical, laboratory and treatment data at presentation and during follow-up were collected. Comparisons by relapse rate were performed using chi-square tests. Prednisone discontinuation by initial oral dose ≤40 and >40 mg/day was compared using Cox models. RESULTS: The cohort included 286 patients [74% female, mean age at diagnosis 75.0 years (s.d. 7.6), median follow-up 5.1 years). During follow-up, 73 patients did not relapse, 80 patients had one relapse and 133 had two or more relapses. The first relapse occurred during the first year in 50% of patients, by 2 years in 68% and by 5 years in 79%. More patients with established hypertension (P = 0.007) and diabetes (P = 0.039) at GCA diagnosis were in the high relapse rate group ( ≥ 0.5 relapses/year) and more females were in the low or high relapse groups than in the no relapse group (P = 0.034). Patients receiving an initial oral prednisone dose >40 mg/day were able to reach a dose of <5 mg/day [hazard ratio (HR) 1.46 (95% CI 1.09, 1.96)] and discontinue prednisone [HR 1.56 (95% CI 1.09, 2.23)] sooner than patients receiving ≤40 mg/day without an increase in observed glucocorticoid-associated adverse events. CONCLUSION: Females and patients with hypertension or diabetes at GCA diagnosis have more relapses during follow-up. Patients treated with an initial oral prednisone dose >40 mg/day achieved earlier prednisone discontinuation.

Declining use of orthopedic surgery in patients with rheumatoid arthritis? Results of a long-term, population-based assessment.

OBJECTIVE: To describe the use of orthopedic surgery, including joint replacement surgery, in a well-defined, population-based cohort of patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) and to identify characteristics that predict such use. METHODS: A retrospective medical record review was performed of cases of RA incident in Rochester, Minnesota, during the years 1955-1995. All joint surgeries were recorded. RESULTS: Of the total 609 RA incident cases, 242 patients underwent 1 or more (maximum of 20/patient) surgical procedures involving joints during their followup. Overall, this RA cohort had 7.4 surgeries per 100 person-years of followup; the cumulative incidence for joint surgery for RA-related joint disease at 30 years was 33.7% +/- SEM 3.8%. The risk of having a disease-related joint surgery for RA is increased in patients who are women, younger, positive for rheumatoid factor, and have rheumatoid nodules. When adjusted for duration of followup, patients with RA diagnosed after 1985 were significantly less likely to have undergone joint surgery for RA (P < 0.001). Survival of patients who underwent total joint arthroplasty was similar to those who did not. CONCLUSION: Reconstructive surgeries are common in RA, although patients diagnosed after 1985 are less likely to require joint surgery. These findings may reflect trends in medical disease management and have importance for health care resource utilization planning.