The association between midwifery staffing levels and the experiences of mothers on postnatal wards: Cross sectional analysis of routine data.

BACKGROUND: Women have consistently reported lower satisfaction with postnatal care compared with antenatal and labour care. The aim of this research was to examine whether women's experience of inpatient postnatal care in England is associated with variation in midwifery staffing levels. METHODS: Analysis of data from the National Maternity Survey in 2018 including 17,611 women from 129 organisations. This was linked to hospital midwifery staffing numbers from the National Health Service (NHS) Workforce Statistics and the number of births from Hospital Episode Statistics. A two-level logistic regression model was created to examine the association of midwifery staffing levels and experiences in post-natal care. RESULTS: The median Full Time Equivalent midwives per 100 births was 3.55 (interquartile range 3.26-3.78). Higher staffing levels were associated with less likelihood of women reporting delay in discharge (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 0.849, 95% CI 0.753-0.959, p = 0.008), increased chances of women reporting that staff always helped in a reasonable time aOR1.200 (95% CI 1.052, 1.369, p = 0.007) and that they always had the information or explanations they needed aOR 1.150 (95% CI 1.040, 1.271, p = 0.006). Women were more likely to report being treated with kindness and understanding with higher staffing, but the difference was small and not statistically significant aOR 1.059 (0.949, 1.181, p = 0.306). CONCLUSIONS: Negative experiences for women on postnatal wards were more likely to occur in trusts with fewer midwives. Low staffing could be contributing to discharge delays and lack of support and information, which may in turn have implications for longer term outcomes for maternal and infant wellbeing.

Projections for primary hip and knee replacement surgery up to the year 2060: an analysis based on data from The National Joint Registry for England, Wales, Northern Ireland and the Isle of Man.

INTRODUCTION: We estimated the number of primary total hip and knee replacements (THR and TKR) that will need to be performed up to the year 2060. METHODS: We used data from The National Joint Registry for England, Wales, Northern Ireland and the Isle of Man on the volume of primary THRs (n=94,936) and TKRs (n=100,547) performed in 2018. We projected future numbers of THR and TKR using a static estimated rate from 2018 applied to population growth forecast data from the UK Office for National Statistics up to 2060. RESULTS: By 2060, THR and TKR volume would increase from 2018 levels by an estimated 37.7% (n=130,766) and 36.6% (n=137,341), respectively. For both males and females demand for surgery was also higher for patients aged 70 and over, with older patients having the biggest relative increase in volume over time: 70-79 years (44.6% males, 41.2% females); 80-89 years (112.4% males, 85.6% females); 90 years and older (348.0% males, 198.2% females). CONCLUSION: By 2060 demand for hip and knee joint replacement is estimated to increase by almost 40%. Demand will be greatest in older patients (70+ years), which will have significant implications for the health service requiring forward planning given that morbidity and resource use is higher in this population. These issues, coupled with two waves of COVID-19, will impact the ability of health services to deliver timely joint replacement to many patients for a number of years, requiring urgent planning.

"No Official Help Is Available"-Experience of Parents and Children With Congenital Heart Disease During COVID-19.

INTRODUCTION: The purpose was to explore the experience, information and support needs, and decision-making of parents of children with congenital heart disease (CHD), as well as the children/young people themselves, during the COVID-19 crisis. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A survey study of parents of children with CHD, children and young people, capturing experiences, decision-making, information, and support needs during the COVID-19 crisis was conducted. The survey launched for one month (April 9, 2020) during the first infection wave in the United Kingdom and subsequent restriction of free movement under lockdown rules from March 23, 2020, until May 31, 2020. RESULTS: One hundred eighty-four parents and 36 children/young people completed the survey. Parents were more likely to worry about the virus (86.4%) than children/young people (69.4%), while (89%) parents were more vigilant for symptoms of the virus versus children/young people (69.4%). A thematic analysis of the qualitative comments covered 34 subthemes, forming eight overarching themes: Virus-(1) risk of infection; (2)information, guidance, and advice; (3) change in health care provision; and (4) fears and anxieties, and lockdown and isolation-(5) psychological and social impact, (6) keeping safe under lockdown, (7) provisions and dependence on others, and (8) employment and income. CONCLUSIONS: There was widespread concern over the virus especially among parents. Parents and children/young people, however, were frustrated with the lack of specific and pediatric-focused information and guidance, expressing disappointment with the adult-centric information available. Parents also felt alone, especially with their concerns around the implications of cardiac service suspension and the implication for their child's health. In order to better support children and their families, resources need to be developed to address families' and children/young people's concerns for their health during this pandemic.

Work participation, mobility and foot symptoms in people with systemic lupus erythematosus: findings of a UK national survey.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to investigate whether foot and lower limb related symptoms were associated with work participation and poor mobility in people with Systemic Lupus Erythematosus (SLE). METHOD: A quantitative, cross-sectional, self-reported survey design was utilised. People with SLE from six United Kingdom (UK) treatment centres and a national register were invited to complete a survey about lower limb and foot health, work participation and mobility. Data collected included work status and the prevalence of foot symptoms. The focus of the analyses was to explore potential associations between poor foot health work non-participation. RESULTS: In total, 182 useable surveys were returned. Seventy-nine respondents reported themselves as employed and 32 reported work non-participation. The remaining were retired due to age or reported work non-participation for other reasons. Work non-participation due to foot symptoms was significantly associated with difficulty walking (p = 0.024), past episodes of foot swelling (p = 0.041), and past episodes of foot ulceration (p = 0.018). There was a significant increase in foot disability scores amongst those not working (mean 18.13, 95% CI: 14.85-21.41) compared to those employed (mean 10.16, 95% CI: 8.11-12.21). CONCLUSIONS: Twenty-nine% of people with SLE reported work non-participation because of lower limb or foot problems. Our results suggest that foot health and mobility may be important contributors to a persons' ability to remain in work and should be considered as part of a clinical assessment.

Using a linked database for epidemiology across the primary and secondary care divide: acute kidney injury.

BACKGROUND: NHS England has mandated the use in hospital laboratories of an automated early warning algorithm to create a consistent method for the detection of acute kidney injury (AKI). It generates an 'alert' based on changes in serum creatinine level to notify attending clinicians of a possible incident case of the condition, and to provide an assessment of its severity. We aimed to explore the feasibility of secondary data analysis to reproduce the algorithm outside of the hospital laboratory, and to describe the epidemiology of AKI across primary and secondary care within a region. METHODS: Using the Hampshire Health Record Analytical database, a patient-anonymised database linking primary care, secondary care and hospital laboratory data, we applied the algorithm to one year (1st January-31st December 2014) of retrospective longitudinal data. We developed database queries to modularise the collection of data from various sectors of the local health system, recreate the functions of the algorithm and undertake data cleaning. RESULTS: Of a regional population of 642,337 patients, 176,113 (27.4%) had two or more serum creatinine test results available, with testing more common amongst older age groups. We identified 5361 (or 0.8%) with incident AKI indicated by the algorithm, generating a total of 13,845 individual AKI alerts. A cross-sectional assessment of each patient's first alert found that more than two-thirds of cases originated in the community, of which nearly half did not lead to a hospital admission. CONCLUSION: It is possible to reproduce the algorithm using linked primary care, secondary care and hospital laboratory data, although data completeness, data quality and technical issues must be overcome. Linked data is essential to follow the significant proportion of people with AKI who transition from primary to secondary care, and can be used to assess clinical outcomes and the impact of interventions across the health system. This study emphasises that the development of data systems bridging across different sectors of the health and social care system can provide benefits for researchers, clinicians, healthcare providers and commissioners.

Future projections of total hip and knee arthroplasty in the UK: results from the UK Clinical Practice Research Datalink.

OBJECTIVE: To estimate the future rate of primary total hip (THR) or knee (TKR) replacement in the UK to 2035 allowing for changes in population demographics and obesity. DESIGN: Using age/gender/body mass index (BMI)-specific incidence rates from a population-based cohort study of 50,000 THR and 45,609 TKR patients from the UK Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) between 1991 and 2010, we projected future numbers of THR and TKR using two models: a static, estimated rate from 2010 applied to population growth forecasts to 2035, and a log-linear rate extrapolation over the same period. Both scenarios used population forecast data from the UK Office for National Statistics (ONS). RESULTS: Assuming rates of THR and TKR for 2010, and given projected population changes in age, gender and BMI, the number of THRs and TKRs performed in the UK in 2035 is estimated to be, respectively: 95,877 and 118,666. By comparison, an exponential extrapolation of historical rates using a log-linear model produces much higher estimates of THR and TKR counts in 2035 at 439,097 and 1,219,362 respectively. Projected counts were higher for women than men. Assuming a changing (rather than fixed) future BMI distribution increases TKRs by 2035 but not THRs. CONCLUSIONS: Using historical rates and population forecasts we have projected the number of THR/TKR operations in the UK up to 2035. This study will inform policymakers requiring estimates of future demand for surgery. Incorporating future forecasts for BMI into projections of joint replacement may be more relevant for TKR rather than THR.

What is the risk of having a total hip or knee replacement for patients with lupus?

Individuals with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) frequently have arthralgia but joint damage leading to surgery is thought to be less common. In addition to inflammatory damage, other reasons like avascular necrosis (AVN), which is often associated with steroid use, excessive alcohol intake and antiphospholipid syndrome (APS), may increase the likelihood of large joint failure. In this study we aimed to determine the likelihood of having a total hip replacement (THR) or total knee replacement (TKR) for individuals with SLE compared to those without lupus, by performing a retrospective matched case control study of all THRs and TKRs that were performed between 1991 and 2011 and recorded in the General Practice Research Database (GPRD). Individuals with inflammatory arthritis due to any other causes were excluded and the results were adjusted for steroid use, alcohol consumption (drinking status) and APS. The results show that patients with lupus who had a THR or TKR were younger than their peers without lupus. In addition, they appeared to have a significantly increased risk of TKR but the increased risk of THR did not remain after adjustment for steroid use, alcohol consumption and APS.

A prospective multicentre observational study of adverse iatrogenic events and substandard care preceding intensive care unit admission (PREVENT).

We examined the current incidence, type, severity and preventability of iatrogenic events associated with intensive care unit admission in five hospitals in England. All unplanned adult admissions to intensive care units were prospectively reviewed over a continuous six-week period. In the week before admission, 76/280 patients (27%) experienced 104 iatrogenic events. The majority of iatrogenic events were categorised as medical (37%), drug (17%) or nursing events (17%). Seventy-seven per cent of the events were considered preventable and 80% caused or contributed to admission. Eleven events were thought to have contributed to a patient's death. The mean (SD) age of patients who had an event was greater (63 (21) years) than those who had not (57 (19) years, p = 0.023), and they had a longer median (IQR [range]) intensive care stay, 4 (1-8 [0-29]) days vs 3 (1-5 [0-20]) days, respectively, p = 0.043.

Baseline bone mineral density and boneturnover in pre-operative hip and knee arthroplasty patients.

AIMS: Osteoporosis and abnormal bone metabolism may prove to be significant factors influencing the outcome of arthroplasty surgery, predisposing to complications of aseptic loosening and peri-prosthetic fracture. We aimed to investigate baseline bone mineral density (BMD) and bone turnover in patients about to undergo arthroplasty of the hip and knee. METHODS: We prospectively measured bone mineral density of the hip and lumbar spine using dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DEXA) scans in a cohort of 194 patients awaiting hip or knee arthroplasty. We also assessed bone turnover using urinary deoxypyridinoline (DPD), a type I collagen crosslink, normalised to creatinine. RESULTS: The prevalence of DEXA proven hip osteoporosis (T-score ≤ -2.5) among hip and knee arthroplasty patients was found to be low at 2.8% (4 of 143). Spinal osteoporosis prevalence was higher at 6.9% (12 of 175). Sixty patients (42% (60 of 143)) had osteopenia or osteoporosis of either the hip or spine. The mean T-score for the hip was -0.34 (sd 1.23), which is within normal limits, and the mean hip Z-score was positive at 0.87 (sd 1.17), signifying higher-than-average BMD for age. The median urinary DPD/creatinine was raised in both female patients at 8.1 (interquartile range (IQR) 6.6 to 9.9) and male patients at 6.2 (IQR 4.8 to 7.5). CONCLUSIONS: Our results indicate hip and knee arthroplasty patients have higher BMD of the hip and spine compared with an age-matched general population, and a lower prevalence of osteoporosis. However, untreated osteoporotic patients are undergoing arthroplasty, which may negatively impact their outcome. Raised DPD levels suggest abnormal bone turnover, requiring further investigation. Cite this article: Bone Joint Res 2014;3:14-19.

Development of a food compositional database for the estimation of dietary intake of phyto-oestrogens in a group of postmenopausal women previously treated for breast cancer and validation with urinary excretion.

The scientific literature contains evidence suggesting that women who have been treated for breast cancer may, as a result of their diagnosis, increase their phyto-oestrogen (PE) intake. In the present paper, we describe the creation of a dietary analysis database (based on Dietplan6) for the determination of dietary intakes of specific PE (daidzein, genistein, glycitein, formononetin, biochanin A, coumestrol, matairesinol and secoisolariciresinol), in a group of women previously diagnosed and treated for postmenopausal breast cancer. The design of the database, data evaluation criteria, literature data entry for 551 foods and primary analysis by LC­MS/MS of an additional thirty-four foods for which there were no published data are described. The dietary intake of 316 women previously treated for postmenopausal breast cancer informed the identification of potential food and beverage sources of PE and the bespoke dietary analysis database was created to, ultimately, quantify their PE intake. In order that PE exposure could be comprehensively described, fifty-four of the 316 subjects completed a 24 h urine collection, and their urinary excretion results allowed for the description of exposure to include those identified as 'equol producers'.

The lifetime risk of total hip and knee arthroplasty: results from the UK general practice research database.

OBJECTIVE: To estimate the lifetime risk of undergoing primary total hip (THR) or knee (TKR) replacement in the UK. METHOD: A Population-based cohort study of 25,845 patients who had undergone a THR and 23,260 patients who had undergone a TKR between 1991 and 2006, using data from the UK General Practice Research Database. RESULTS: The estimated mortality-adjusted lifetime risk of THR at age 50 for the year 2005 was 11.6% (95% CI: 11.1, 12.1) for women and 7.1% (95% CI: 6.7, 7.5) for men. For TKR the risks were 10.8% (95% CI: 10.3, 11.3) for women and 8.1% (95% CI: 7.6, 8.5) for men. Between 1991 and 2006, the lifetime risk of THR at age 50 rose from 4.0% (95% CI: 3.5, 4.4) to 11.1% (95% CI: 10.6, 11.6) for women and for men from 2.2% (95% CI: 1.8, 2.5) to 6.6% (95% CI: 6.2, 7.0). Over the same period, for TKR the risk for women increased from 2.9% (95% CI: 2.6, 3.3) to 10.6% (95% CI: 10.1, 11.1) and for men from 1.8% (95% CI: 1.5, 2.2) to 7.7% (95% CI: 7.3, 8.2). CONCLUSION: The lifetime risk of undergoing THR or TKR is estimated to be substantially less than the risk of developing symptomatic hip or knee osteoarthritis. For the knee, the difference between these risk estimates is particularly wide. The reasons for the size of these differences are not clear, and further work is needed to quantify the extent of latent demand for these cost-effective and established interventions among the population with symptomatic osteoarthritis of the hip or knee.

Proinflammatory cytokines, sickness behavior, and Alzheimer disease.

BACKGROUND: In Alzheimer disease (AD), systemic inflammation is known to give rise to a delirium. However, systemic inflammation also gives rise to other centrally mediated symptoms in the absence of a delirium, a concept known as sickness behavior. Systemic inflammation is characterized by the systemic production of the proinflammatory cytokines tumor necrosis factor-α (TNFα) and interleukin-6 (IL-6) that mediate immune to brain communication and the development of sickness behavior. OBJECTIVE: To determine if raised serum TNFα or IL-6 are associated with the presence of sickness behavior symptoms, independent of the development of delirium, in a prospective cohort study of subjects with AD. METHODS: A total of 300 subjects with mild to severe AD were cognitively assessed at baseline and a blood sample taken for inflammatory markers. Cognitive assessments, including assessments to detect the development of a delirium, and blood samples were repeated at 2, 4, and 6 months. The development of neuropsychiatric symptoms in the subject with AD over the 6-month follow-up period was assessed independently by carer interview at 2, 4, and 6 months. RESULTS: Raised serum TNFα and IL-6, but not CRP, were associated with an approximately 2-fold increased frequency of neuropsychiatric symptoms characteristic of sickness behavior. These relationships are independent of the development of delirium. CONCLUSIONS: Increased serum proinflammatory cytokines are associated with the presence of symptoms characteristic of sickness behavior, which are common neuropsychiatric features found in AD. This association was independent of the presence of delirium.

High failure rates with a large-diameter hybrid metal-on-metal total hip replacement: clinical, radiological and retrieval analysis.

This study reports the mid-term results of a large-bearing hybrid metal-on-metal total hip replacement in 199 hips (185 patients) with a mean follow-up of 62 months (32 to 83). Two patients died of unrelated causes and 13 were lost to follow-up. In all, 17 hips (8.5%) have undergone revision, and a further 14 are awaiting surgery. All revisions were symptomatic. Of the revision cases, 14 hips showed evidence of adverse reactions to metal debris. The patients revised or awaiting revision had significantly higher whole blood cobalt ion levels (p = 0.001), but no significant difference in acetabular component size or position compared with the unrevised patients. Wear analysis (n = 5) showed increased wear at the trunnion-head interface, normal levels of wear at the articulating surfaces and evidence of corrosion on the surface of the stem. The cumulative survival rate, with revision for any reason, was 92.4% (95% confidence interval 87.4 to 95.4) at five years. Including those awaiting surgery, the revision rate would be 15.1% with a cumulative survival at five years of 89.6% (95% confidence interval 83.9 to 93.4). This hybrid metal-on-metal total hip replacement series has shown an unacceptably high rate of failure, with evidence of high wear at the trunnion-head interface and passive corrosion of the stem surface. This raises concerns about the use of large heads on conventional 12/14 tapers.

The effect of hip and knee arthroplasty on oral anti-inflammatory use and the relationship to body mass index: results from the UK general practice research database.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the use of oral anti-inflammatory drugs in the year before and the 2 years after primary total hip (THR) or knee (TKR) replacement, and whether this varies according to Body mass Index (BMI). DESIGN: 28,068 THR's and 24,364 TKR's, with five matched controls per case were identified from the General Practitioner Research Database. Anti-inflammatory usage was categorized into "zero coverage" - no prescribed anti-inflammatory medication and ">80% coverage" - prescribed anti-inflammatory medication for greater than 80% of the days in the year. Secondary subset analysis was performed according to BMI. RESULTS: 1 year post-surgery the proportion of cases on >80% coverage reduced from 21% (95%confidence interval (CI): 20-22%) to 8% (95%CI: 7-10%) for THR and 21% (95%CI: 20-22%) to 13% (95%CI: 11-14%) for TKR, with no ongoing reduction at 2 years. Zero coverage increased at one and both time points. The proportion of THR's on >80% coverage increased with BMI pre-op. The magnitude in reduction post-op was similar across all BMI groups. The proportion of TKR's on >80% coverage pre-op was greatest in extreme BMI categories. The magnitude in reduction post-op was similar across all BMI groups. CONCLUSION: THR/TKR's reduce the need for anti-inflammatory medication with most benefit observed in the first post-operative year. Increasing BMI affects anti-inflammatory use both in the general population and those undergoing THR/TKR surgery but without strong evidence of a detrimental effect on the benefits of pain relief.

Power modulation contrast enhanced ultrasound for postoperative perfusion monitoring following free tissue transfer in head and neck surgery.

This feasibility study evaluated whether contrast enhanced ultrasound (CEU) was able to assess free flap perfusion following free tissue transfer in the head and neck region. Thirty-six patients underwent standard clinical monitoring (SCM) and CEU postoperatively. The time taken for each technique to detect flap failure was recorded. Qualitative CEU analysis by visual assessment predicted survival in 30/30 (100%) and failure in 5/6 (83%) flaps with sensitivity, specificity, positive (PPV) and negative (NPV) predictive values of 100, 86, 97 and 100%, respectively. Quantitative CEU measurement of blood volume (α) values within healthy perfused flaps was over 60 times higher than in failing flaps (8.25±2.82dB vs. 0.12±0.17dB, respectively, P<0.0001). If a cut-off α value of <1.5dB was used to predict future flap failure, the accuracy of the test was 100% (sensitivity, specificity, PPV, NPV). If a cut-off α value of >1.9dB indicated flap success, the PPV and NPV are 100%. Following surgery, SCM took 76 (±15) h to detect flap failure compared with 18 (±38) h with CEU (P<0.05). CEU is highly accurate in its ability to distinguish between perfused and failing flaps. The technique is quick (<10min) and capable of imaging all flap types.

Temporal trends in hip and knee replacement in the United Kingdom: 1991 to 2006.

Using the General Practice Research Database, we examined the temporal changes in the rates of primary total hip (THR) and total knee (TKR) replacement, the age at operation and the female-to-male ratio between 1991 and 2006 in the United Kingdom. We identified 27 113 patients with THR and 23 843 with TKR. The rate of performance of THR and TKR had increased significantly (p < 0.0001 for both) during the 16-year period and was greater for TKR, especially in the last five years. The mean age at operation was greater for women than for men and had remained stable throughout the period of study. The female-to-male ratio was higher for THR and TKR and had remained stable. The data support the notion that the rate of joint replacement is increasing in the United Kingdom with the rate of TKR rising at the highest rate. The perception that the mean age for TKR has decreased over time is not supported.

Systemic inflammation and disease progression in Alzheimer disease.

BACKGROUND: Acute and chronic systemic inflammation are characterized by the systemic production of the proinflammatory cytokine tumor necrosis factor alpha (TNF-alpha) that plays a role in immune to brain communication. Previous preclinical research shows that acute systemic inflammation contributes to an exacerbation of neurodegeneration by activation of primed microglial cells. OBJECTIVE: To determine whether acute episodes of systemic inflammation associated with increased TNF-alpha would be associated with long-term cognitive decline in a prospective cohort study of subjects with Alzheimer disease. METHODS: Three hundred community-dwelling subjects with mild to severe Alzheimer disease were cognitively assessed, and a blood sample was taken for systemic inflammatory markers. Each subject's main caregiver was interviewed to assess the presence of incident systemic inflammatory events. Assessments of both patient and caregiver were repeated at 2, 4, and 6 months. RESULTS: Acute systemic inflammatory events, found in around half of all subjects, were associated with an increase in the serum levels of proinflammatory cytokine TNF-alpha and a 2-fold increase in the rate of cognitive decline over a 6-month period. High baseline levels of TNF-alpha were associated with a 4-fold increase in the rate of cognitive decline. Subjects who had low levels of serum TNF-alpha throughout the study showed no cognitive decline over the 6-month period. CONCLUSIONS: Both acute and chronic systemic inflammation, associated with increases in serum tumor necrosis factor alpha, is associated with an increase in cognitive decline in Alzheimer disease.

Midgut neuroendocrine tumours with liver metastases: results of the UKINETS study.

We intended to identify the prognostic factors and the results of interventions on patients with liver metastatic midgut carcinoids. Five institutions that are part of United Kingdom and Ireland neuroendocrine tumour (NET) group took part in this study. Patients were included if they had histology proven NET of midgut origin and liver metastases at the time of the study. Clinical and biochemical data were collected retrospectively from hospital charts, pathology reports, radiology reports and biochemistry records for each patient. Three hundred and sixty patients were included in the study. The median survival from date of diagnosis was 7.69 years (confidence interval (CI) 6.40-8.99) and 5.95 years (CI 5.02-6.88) from date of diagnosis of liver metastases. On univariate analysis, increasing age at diagnosis, increasing urinary hydroxyindole acetic acid levels, increasing plasma chromogranin A levels, high Ki67, high tumour volume and treatment with chemotherapy were identified as factors associated with a significantly poorer outcome. Resection of liver metastases, resection of small bowel primary, treatment with somatostatin analogue therapy and treatment with peptide receptor therapy were associated with improved prognosis. Multivariate analysis revealed that age at diagnosis (P=0.014), Ki67 level (P=0.039) and resection of primary (P=0.015) were independent predictors of survival. This is the largest study to our knowledge looking specifically at the prognosis and clinical course of patients with liver metastatic midgut NETs. For the first time, we have shown that Ki67 and resection of primary are independent predictors of survival for this group of patients.