Quantitative HBeAg is a strong predictor of HBeAg loss among patients receiving pegylated interferon.

BACKGROUND: HBeAg loss is an important endpoint for antiviral therapy in chronic hepatitis B (CHB), however there are no reliable biomarkers to identify patients who will respond to the addition of pegylated interferon to nucleos(t)ide analogue (NA) therapy. AIM: To evaluate the use of serum biomarkers to predict HBeAg loss. METHODS: HBeAg positive CHB participants on NAs who switched-to or added-on 48 weeks pegylated interferon alpha2b (clinicaltrial.gov NCT01928511) were evaluated at week 72 for HBeAg loss. The predictive ability of qHBeAg, qHBsAg, HBV RNA and clinical variables for HBeAg loss were investigated. RESULTS: HBeAg loss occurred in 15/55 (27.3%) participants who completed 48 weeks of pegylated interferon. There was a lower baseline qHBeAg (1.18 IU/mL [2.27] versus 10.04 IU/mL [24.87], P = 0.007) among participants who lost HBeAg. Baseline qHBeAg (OR = 0.15, 95% CI 0.03-0.66, P = 0.01) and detectable HBV DNA at baseline (OR = 25.00, 95% CI 1.67-374.70, P = 0.02) were independent predictors of HBeAg loss. In addition, on-treatment qHBeAg was also a strong predictor of HBeAg loss (OR = 0.39, 95% CI 0.18-0.81, P = 0.012). The models combining detectable baseline HBV DNA with baseline (C-statistic 0.82) and on-treatment (C-statistic 0.83) had good accuracy for predicting HBeAg loss. A rise in qHBeAg ≥ 10 IU/ml was a predictor of flare (ALT ≥ 120 U/ml) on univariable analysis but not after adjustment for treatment arm. CONCLUSIONS: Baseline and on-treatment qHBeAg is a useful biomarker that can identify participants on NA therapy who may benefit from adding or switching to pegylated interferon.

Clinical Service Incorporating Mobile Technology on Weight Loss in Patients With Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease: A Translation From Research Trial.

BACKGROUND: The prevalence and healthcare cost of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) has increased alongside the epidemic surge in obesity and Type 2 diabetes. Weight loss through lifestyle modification remains the primary effective therapy for MASLD. Incorporation of mobile technology in lifestyle interventions has been previously found to be efficacious and cost-effective in facilitating weight loss. However, there is a paucity of studies that have successfully translated lifestyle research into clinical service for weight loss to alleviate disease burden. Our study aimed to describe the process of translating a mobile technology-enabled trial into a tertiary hospital outpatient dietetics service for patients with MASLD. METHODS: The Iowa Model of Evidence-Based Practice to Improve Quality Care was used as a framework for this paper to guide implementation at the organizational level. RESULTS: Regular engagement of key operational staff and the hospital management team facilitated open discussions of the challenges faced and enabled rapid implementation of strategies that contributed to the smooth piloting of the service. A service adoption rate of 81% was achieved. Preliminary outcome evaluation found that the percentage of patients achieving ≥ 5% weight loss from baseline at 6 months was comparable at 54% and 52% for the service and trial groups, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Evaluation of the implementation process found that a hybrid model of care (in-person consultation supplemented with app coaching) preserved interpersonal connections while maximizing the convenience and scalability of mobile app-enabled service. Although high digital acceptance and adoption rates propelled by COVID-19-supported telehealth, it is prudent to assess patient's access to technology and digital literacy and offer resources to help them benefit from telehealth services.

Antiviral Therapy Utilization and 10-Year Outcomes in Resected Hepatitis B Virus- and Hepatitis C Virus-Related Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

PURPOSE: There are limited data on antiviral treatment utilization and its impact on long-term outcomes of hepatitis B virus (HBV)- and hepatitis C virus (HCV)-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after hepatic resection. We aimed to determine the utilization and impact of antivirals in HBV- and HCV-related HCC. METHODS: This cohort study included 1,906 participants (1,054 HBV-related HCC and 852 HCV-related HCC) from 12 international sites. All participants had HBV- or HCV-related HCC and underwent curative surgical resection. The primary outcome was the utilization of antiviral therapy, and the secondary outcome was long-term overall survival (OS). RESULTS: The mean (±standard deviation [SD]) age was 62.1 (±11.3) years, 74% were male, and 84% were Asian. A total of 47% of the total cohort received antiviral therapy during a mean (±SD) follow-up of 5.0 (±4.3) years. The overall antiviral utilization for participants with HBV-related HCC was 57% and declined over time, from 65% before 2010, to 60% from 2010 to 2015, to 47% beyond 2015, P < .0001. The overall utilization of antivirals for HCV-related HCC was 35% and increased over time, from 24% before 2015 to 74% from 2015 and beyond, P < .0001. The 10-year OS was lower in untreated participants for both HBV (58% v 61%) and HCV participants (38% v 82%; both P < .0001). On multivariable Cox regression analysis adjusted for relevant confounders, antiviral therapy initiated before or within 6 months of HCC diagnosis was independently associated with lower mortality in both HBV- (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 0.60 [95% CI, 0.43 to 0.83]; P = .002) and HCV-related HCC (aHR, 0.18 [95% CI, 0.11 to 0.31]; P < .0001). CONCLUSION: Antiviral therapy is associated with long-term survival in people with HBV- or HCV-related HCC who undergo curative resection but is severely underutilized.

Rising global burden of cancer attributable to high BMI from 2010 to 2019.

BACKGROUND: High body mass index (BMI) is a major risk factor for cancer development, but its impact on the global burden of cancer remains unclear. METHODS: We estimated global and regional temporal trends in the burden of cancer attributable to high BMI, and the contributions of various cancer types using the framework of the Global Burden of Disease Study. RESULTS: From 2010 to 2019, there was a 35 % increase in deaths and a 34 % increase in disability-adjusted life-years from cancers attributable to high BMI. The age-standardized death rates for cancer attributable to high BMI increased over the study period (annual percentage change [APC] +0.48 %, 95 % CI 0.22 to 0.74 %). The greatest number of deaths from cancer attributable to high BMI occurred in Europe, but the fastest-growing age-standardized death rates and disability-adjusted life-years occurred in Southeast Asia. Liver cancer was the fastest-growing cause of cancer mortality (APC: 1.37 %, 95 % CI 1.25 to 1.49 %) attributable to high BMI. CONCLUSION: The global burden of cancer-related deaths attributable to high BMI has increased substantially from 2010 to 2019. The greatest increase in age-standardized death rates occurred in Southeast Asia, and liver cancer is the fastest-growing cause of cancer mortality attributable to high BMI. Urgent and sustained measures are required at a global and regional level to reverse these trends and slow the growing burden of cancer attributed to high BMI.

Platform for the interdisciplinary study of cardiovascular, metabolic and neurovascular diseases (PICMAN) protocol.

Through extensive multisystem phenotyping, the central aim of Project PICMAN is to correlate metabolic flexibility to measures of cardiometabolic health, including myocardial diastolic dysfunction, coronary and cerebral atherosclerosis, body fat distribution and severity of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease. This cohort will form the basis of larger interventional trials targeting metabolic inflexibility in the prevention of cardiovascular disease. Participants aged 21-72 years with no prior manifest atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) are being recruited from a preventive cardiology clinic and an existing cohort of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) in an academic medical centre. A total of 120 patients will be recruited in the pilot phase of this study and followed up for 5 years. Those with 10-year ASCVD risk ≥ 5% as per the QRISK3 calculator are eligible. Those with established diabetes mellitus are excluded. Participants recruited undergo a detailed assessment of health behaviours and physical measurements. Participants also undergo a series of multimodality clinical phenotyping comprising cardiac tests, vascular assessments, metabolic tests, liver and neurovascular testing. Blood samples are also being collected and banked for plasma biomarkers, 'multi-omics analyses' and for generation of induced pluripotent stem cells (iPSC). Extensive evidence points to metabolic dysregulation as an early precursor of cardiovascular disease, particularly in Asia. We hypothesise that quantifiable metabolic inflexibility may be representative of an individual in his/her silent, but high-risk progression towards insulin resistance, diabetes and cardiovascular disease. The platform for interdisciplinary cardiovascular-metabolic-neurovascular diseases (PICMAN) is a pilot, prospective, multi-ethnic cohort study.

Mfap4: a promising target for enhanced liver regeneration and chronic liver disease treatment.

The liver has a remarkable regenerative capacity. Nevertheless, under chronic liver-damaging conditions, this capacity becomes exhausted, allowing the accumulation of fibrotic tissue and leading to end-stage liver disease. Enhancing the endogenous regenerative capacity by targeting regeneration breaks is an innovative therapeutic approach. We set up an in vivo functional genetic screen to identify such regeneration breaks. As the top hit, we identified Microfibril associated protein 4 (Mfap4). Knockdown of Mfap4 in hepatocytes enhances cell proliferation, accelerates liver regeneration, and attenuates chronic liver disease by reducing liver fibrosis. Targeting Mfap4 modulates several liver regeneration-related pathways including mTOR. Our research opens the way to siRNA-based therapeutics to enhance hepatocyte-based liver regeneration.

Global Epidemiology of Cirrhosis: Changing Etiological Basis and Comparable Burden of Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis between Males and Females.

INTRODUCTION: The etiology of liver diseases has changed significantly, but its impact on the comparative burden of cirrhosis between males and females is unclear. We estimated sex differences in the burden of cirrhosis across 204 countries and territories from 2010 to 2019. METHODS: We analyzed temporal trends in the burden of cirrhosis using the methodology framework of the 2019 Global Burden of Disease study. We estimated annual frequencies and age-standardized rates (ASRs) of cirrhosis incidence, death, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) by sex, region, country, and etiology. RESULTS: In 2019, the frequency of incident cases, deaths, and DALYs due to cirrhosis was 1,206,125, 969,068, and 31,781,079 in males versus 845,429, 502,944, and 14,408,336 in females, respectively. From 2010 to 2019, the frequency of cirrhosis deaths increased by 9% in males and 12% in females. Incidence ASRs remained stable in males but increased in females, while death ASRs declined in both. Death ASRs for both sexes declined in all regions, except in the Americas where they remained stable. In 2019, alcohol was the leading cause of cirrhosis deaths in males, and hepatitis C in females. Death ASRs declined for all etiologies in both sexes, except in nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH). The ratio of female-to-male incidence ASRs in 2019 was lowest in alcohol(0.5), and highest in NASH(1.3), while the ratio of female-to-male death ASRs was lowest in alcohol(0.3) and highest in NASH(0.8). CONCLUSION: The global burden of cirrhosis is higher in males. However, incidence and death ASRs from NASH cirrhosis in females are comparable to that of males.

Trial watch: immunotherapeutic strategies on the horizon for hepatocellular carcinoma.

The use of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) targeting PD-L1/PD-1 and CTLA-4 has transformed the oncology practice of hepatocellular carcinoma. However, only 25-30% of the patients with advanced HCC treated with atezolizumab-bevacizumab or tremelimumab-durvalumab (STRIDE) respond initially, and mechanistic biomarkers and novel treatment strategies are urgently needed for patients who present with or acquire resistance to first-line ICI-based therapies. The recent approval of the STRIDE regimen has also engendered new questions, such as patient selection factors (e.g. portal hypertension and history of variceal bleed) and biomarkers, and the optimal combination and sequencing of ICI-based regimens. Triumphs in the setting of advanced HCC have also galvanized considerable interest in the broader application of ICIs to early- and intermediate-stage diseases, including clinical combination of ICIs with locoregional therapies. Among these clinical contexts, the role of ICIs in liver transplantation - which is a potentially curative strategy unique to HCC management - as a bridge to liver transplant in potential candidates or in the setting of post-transplant recurrence, warrants investigation in view of the notable theoretical risk of allograft rejection. In this review, we summarize and chart the landscape of seminal immuno-oncology trials in HCC and envision future clinical developments.

NanoBeacon.AI: AI-Enhanced Nanodiamond Biosensor for Automated Sensitivity Prediction to Oxidative Phosphorylation Inhibitors.

Spalt-like transcription factor 4 (SALL4) is an oncofetal protein that has been identified to drive cancer progression in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and hematological malignancies. Furthermore, a high SALL4 expression level is correlated to poor prognosis in these cancers. However, SALL4 lacks well-structured small-molecule binding pockets, making it difficult to design targeted inhibitors. SALL4-induced expression of oxidative phosphorylation (OXPHOS) genes may serve as a therapeutically targetable vulnerability in HCC through OXPHOS inhibition. Because OXPHOS functions through a set of genes with intertumoral heterogeneous expression, identifying therapeutic sensitivity to OXPHOS inhibitors may not rely on a single clear biomarker. Here, we developed a workflow that utilized molecular beacons, nucleic-acid-based, activatable sensors with high specificity to the target mRNA, delivered by nanodiamonds, to establish an artificial intelligence (AI)-assisted platform for rapid evaluation of patient-specific drug sensitivity. Specifically, when the HCC cells were treated with the nanodiamond-medicated OXPHOS biosensor, high sensitivity and specificity of the sensor allowed for improved identification of OXPHOS expression in cells. Assisted by a trained convolutional neural network, drug sensitivity of cells toward an OXPHOS inhibitor, IACS-010759, could be accurately predicted. AI-assisted OXPHOS drug sensitivity assessment could be accomplished within 1 day, enabling rapid and efficient clinical decision support for HCC treatment. The work proposed here serves as a foundation for the patient-based subtype-specific therapeutic research platform and is well suited for precision medicine.

Histone-lysine N-methyltransferase EHMT2 (G9a) inhibition mitigates tumorigenicity in Myc-driven liver cancer.

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the third deadliest and sixth most common cancer in the world. Histone-lysine N-methyltransferase EHMT2 (also known as G9a) is a histone methyltransferase frequently overexpressed in many cancer types, including HCC. We showed that Myc-driven liver tumours have a unique H3K9 methylation pattern with corresponding G9a overexpression. This phenomenon of increased G9a was further observed in our c-Myc-positive HCC patient-derived xenografts. More importantly, we showed that HCC patients with higher c-Myc and G9a expression levels portend a poorer survival with lower median survival months. We demonstrated that c-Myc interacts with G9a in HCC and cooperates to regulate c-Myc-dependent gene repression. In addition, G9a stabilises c-Myc to promote cancer development, contributing to the growth and invasive capacity in HCC. Furthermore, combination therapy between G9a and synthetic-lethal target of c-Myc, CDK9, demonstrates strong efficacy in patient-derived avatars of Myc-driven HCC. Our work suggests that targeting G9a could prove to be a potential therapeutic avenue for Myc-driven liver cancer. This will increase our understanding of the underlying epigenetic mechanisms of aggressive tumour initiation and lead to improved therapeutic and diagnostic options for Myc-driven hepatic tumours.

Examining the interim proposal for name change to steatotic liver disease in the US population.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Fatty liver is the commonest liver condition globally and traditionally associated with NAFLD. A consensus meeting was held in Chicago to explore various terminologies. Herein, we explore the proposed changes in nomenclature in a population data set from the US. APPROACH AND RESULTS: Statistical analysis was conducted using survey-weighted analysis. Assessment of fatty liver was conducted with vibration-controlled transient elastography. A controlled attenuation parameter of 288 dB/m was used to identify hepatic steatosis. Patients were classified into nonalcoholic steatotic liver disease, alcohol-associated steatotic liver disease, and viral hepatitis steatotic liver disease. Liver stiffness measures at ≥8.8, ≥11.7, and ≥14 kPa were used to identify clinically significant fibrosis, advanced fibrosis, and cirrhosis, respectively. A total of 5102 individuals were included in the analysis. Using a survey-weighted analysis, a total of 25.43%, 6.95%, and 0.73% of the population were classified as nonalcoholic steatotic liver disease, alcohol-associated steatotic liver disease, and viral hepatitis steatotic liver disease, respectively. A sensitivity analysis at controlled attenuation parameter of 248 dB/m and fatty liver index found similar distribution. In a comparison between nonalcoholic steatotic liver disease, alcohol-associated steatotic liver disease, and viral hepatitis steatotic liver disease, there was no significant difference between the odds of advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis between groups. However, viral hepatitis steatotic liver disease individuals were found to have a significantly higher odds of clinically significant fibrosis (OR: 3.76, 95% CI, 1.27-11.14, p =0.02) compared with nonalcoholic steatotic liver disease. CONCLUSIONS: The current analysis assessed the proposed changes based on discussions from the consensus meeting. Although the definitions are an interim analysis of discussions, steatotic liver disease respects the underlying liver etiology and reduces stigma while increasing awareness of FL among viral and alcohol-associated steatosis/steatohepatitis.

Splice-switch oligonucleotide-based combinatorial platform prioritizes synthetic lethal targets CHK1 and BRD4 against MYC-driven hepatocellular carcinoma.

Deregulation of MYC is among the most frequent oncogenic drivers in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Unfortunately, the clinical success of MYC-targeted therapies is limited. Synthetic lethality offers an alternative therapeutic strategy by leveraging on vulnerabilities in tumors with MYC deregulation. While several synthetic lethal targets of MYC have been identified in HCC, the need to prioritize targets with the greatest therapeutic potential has been unmet. Here, we demonstrate that by pairing splice-switch oligonucleotide (SSO) technologies with our phenotypic-analytical hybrid multidrug interrogation platform, quadratic phenotypic optimization platform (QPOP), we can disrupt the functional expression of these targets in specific combinatorial tests to rapidly determine target-target interactions and rank synthetic lethality targets. Our SSO-QPOP analyses revealed that simultaneous attenuation of CHK1 and BRD4 function is an effective combination specific in MYC-deregulated HCC, successfully suppressing HCC progression in vitro. Pharmacological inhibitors of CHK1 and BRD4 further demonstrated its translational value by exhibiting synergistic interactions in patient-derived xenograft organoid models of HCC harboring high levels of MYC deregulation. Collectively, our work demonstrates the capacity of SSO-QPOP as a target prioritization tool in the drug development pipeline, as well as the therapeutic potential of CHK1 and BRD4 in MYC-driven HCC.

Global prevalence of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease and non-alcoholic steatohepatitis in the overweight and obese population: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: The global burden of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) parallels the increase in obesity rates across the world. Although overweight and obesity status are thought to be an effective indicator for NAFLD screening, the exact prevalence of NAFLD in this population remains unknown. We aimed to report the prevalence of NAFLD, non-alcoholic fatty liver (NAFL), and non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) in the overweight and obese population. METHODS: In this systematic review and meta-analysis, we searched Medline and Embase from database inception until March 6, 2022, using search terms including but not limited to "non-alcoholic fatty liver disease", "overweight", "obesity", and "prevalence". Cross-sectional and longitudinal observational studies published after Jan 1, 2000, written in or translated into English were eligible for inclusion; paediatric studies were excluded. Articles were included if the number of NAFLD, NAFL, or NASH events in an overweight and obese population could be extracted. Summary data were extracted from published reports. The primary outcomes were the prevalence of NAFLD, NAFL, and NASH in an overweight and obese population and the prevalence of fibrosis in individuals who were overweight or obese and who had NAFLD. A meta-analysis of proportions was done with the generalised linear mixed model. This study is registered with PROSPERO (CRD42022344526). FINDINGS: The search identified 7389 articles. 151 studies met the inclusion criteria and were included in the meta-analysis. In the pooled analysis comprising 101 028 individuals, the prevalence of NAFLD in the overweight population was 69·99% (95% CI 65·40-74·21 I2=99·10%), the prevalence of NAFL was 42·49% (32·55-53·08, I2=96·40%), and the prevalence of NASH was 33·50% (28·38-39·04, I2=95·60%). Similar prevalence estimates were reported in the obese population for NAFLD (75·27% [95% CI 70·90-79·18]; I2=98·50%), NAFL (43·05% [32·78-53·97]; I2=96·30%) and NASH (33·67% [28·45-39·31]; I2=95·60%). The prevalence of NAFLD in the overweight population was the highest in the region of the Americas (75·34% [95% CI: 67·31-81·93]; I2=99·00%). Clinically significant fibrosis (stages F2-4) was present in 20·27% (95% CI 11·32-33·62; I2= 93·00%) of overweight individuals with NAFLD and in 21·60% (11·47-36·92; I2=95·00%) of obese patients with NAFLD while 6·65% (4·35-10·01; I2=58·00%) of overweight individuals with NAFLD and 6·85% (3·85-11·90; I2=90·00%) of obese individuals with NAFLD had advanced fibrosis (stages F3-4). INTERPRETATION: This study summarises the estimated global prevalence of NAFLD, NAFL, and NASH in overweight and obese individuals; these findings are important for improving the understanding of the global NAFLD burden and supporting disease management in the at-risk overweight and obese population. FUNDING: None.

Complete alcohol abstinence increases the risk of NAFLD but not severity. A population analysis with transient elastography.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: As the global prevalence of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) continues to rise, ubiquity of alcohol use has also prompted discussion regarding the potential interactions between the two. This study aims to examine the effects of modest alcohol consumption on the prevalence and complications of NAFLD in a multi-ethnic population. METHODS: This study analyses the 2017-2018 cycles of NHANES that examined liver fibrosis and steatosis with vibration controlled transient elastography. A coarsened exact matching was conducted to reduce confounding. Logistic regression was done with a multivariate model to assess the relationship between alcohol consumption (modest drinkers and non-drinkers) and risk of NAFLD and its complications. RESULTS: 2,067 individuals were found to have NAFLD and 284 NAFLD patients had a total history of alcohol abstinence. After coarsened exact matching, the prevalence of NAFLD was 49% (CI: 0.41 - 0.58) in non-drinkers and 33% (CI: 0.26 - 0.41) in modest drinkers. Non-drinkers had twice the odds of NAFLD compared to modest drinkers (OR: 1.99, CI: 1.22 - 3.22, p<.01) after adjustment for confounders. There were no significant differences in the odds of significant fibrosis, advance fibrosis, cirrhosis, cardiovascular disease and stroke between non-drinkers and modest drinkers. The odds of malignancy in non-drinkers were almost significantly less than modest drinkers (OR: 0.28, CI:0.08 - 1.02, p=.053). CONCLUSION: Interestingly, modest alcohol consumption is associated with decreased odds of NAFLD. Further investigations are required to examine the relationship between alcohol consumption and NAFLD and subsequently the potential impact on NAFLD management.

A Pro-Regenerative Environment Triggers Premalignant to Malignant Transformation of Senescent Hepatocytes.

Unfortunately, available liver cancer treatments are associated with modest survival advantage. The biggest factor improving survival is early detection, but the current understanding of early transformation events is limited. Therefore, we set up a model to study these early events and investigated the relationship of premalignant, senescent hepatocytes, a regenerative environment, and the influence of secreted factors on liver tumorigenesis. Oncogene-induced senescence (OIS) was triggered in a subset of mouse hepatocytes, which under normal conditions, are eliminated by immunosurveillance. Inducing liver damage and regeneration was sufficient to trigger immunosurveillance escape of OIS hepatocytes, resulting in premalignant to malignant transformation and hepatocellular tumor development. Trefoil factor 3 (TFF3) was found to be overexpressed in OIS hepatocytes and in hepatocellular carcinoma. TFF3 deficiency strongly attenuated malignant transformation by increasing insulin-like growth factor binding protein 5 (IGFBP5) expression, which consequently dampened IGF receptor signaling. Furthermore, analysis of precancerous liver tissue validated TFF3 as an early liver cancer biomarker. Altogether, these findings provide mechanistic insights into early transformation and immunosurveillance escape in liver cancer, revealing TFF3 and IGFBP5 to be important players with opposite roles in tumorigenesis. SIGNIFICANCE: Liver damage induces a compensatory regenerative response that can drive premalignant to malignant transformation of senescent hepatocytes.

Global burden of liver cancer in males and females: Changing etiological basis and the growing contribution of NASH.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: The etiology of liver diseases has changed in recent years, but its impact on the comparative burden of liver cancer between males and females is unclear. We estimated sex differences in the burden of liver cancer across 204 countries and territories from 2010 to 2019. APPROACH AND RESULT: We analyzed temporal trends in the burden of liver cancer using the methodology framework of the 2019 Global Burden of Disease study. We estimated annual frequencies and age-standardized rates (ASRs) of liver cancer incidence, death, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) by sex, country, region, and etiology of liver disease. Globally in 2019, the frequency of incident cases, deaths, and DALYs due to liver cancer were 376,483, 333,672, and 9,048,723 in males, versus 157,881, 150,904, and 3,479,699 in females. From 2010 to 2019, the incidence ASRs in males increased while death and DALY ASRs remained stable; incidence, death, and DALY ASRs in females decreased. Death ASRs for both sexes increased only in the Americas and remained stable or declined in remaining regions. In 2019, hepatitis B was the leading cause of liver cancer death in males, and hepatitis C in females. From 2010 to 2019, NASH had the fastest growing death ASRs in males and females. The ratio of female-to-male death ASRs in 2019 was lowest in hepatitis B (0.2) and highest in NASH (0.9). CONCLUSIONS: The overall burden of liver cancer is higher in males, although incidence and death ASRs from NASH-associated liver cancer in females approach that of males.

Type 2 diabetes mellitus in metabolic-associated fatty liver disease vs. type 2 diabetes mellitus non-alcoholic fatty liver disease: a longitudinal cohort analysis.

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES: Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus (T2DM) is comorbidity commonly presenting with fatty liver. A recently proposed definition of "metabolic associated fatty liver disease" (MAFLD) is thought to replace non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). Yet, despite the significant prevalence of T2DM among fatty liver, there remains limited evidence on the impact of the change in the definition of T2DM. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The current study uses data from the United States National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) from 1999 to 2018. Survival analysis was conducted with a cox regression and sub-distribution hazard ratio for competing risk events. RESULTS: 6727 patients had a diagnosis of T2DM. 4982 individuals with T2DM had MAFLD and 2032 were MAFLD(+)/NAFLD(-), while 2950 patients were MAFLD(+)/NAFLD(+). The new definition increased fatty liver diagnosis by 68.89%. Patients who were classified as MAFLD(+)/NAFLD(-) were at a higher risk of major adverse cardiovascular events, advanced fibrosis, all-cause and cardiovascular-related mortality compared to MAFLD(+)/NAFLD(+). In MAFLD(+)/NAFLD(-), viral hepatitis significantly increases the odds of advanced fibrosis (OR: 6.77, CI: 3.92 to 11.7, p < 0.001) and all-cause mortality (HR: 1.75, CI: 1.29 to 2.40, p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The identification and treatment of NAFLD in patients with T2DM is a major concern and the premature change to MAFLD results in an over-diagnosis of fatty liver, exaggerated mortality, and morbidity in patients with T2DM. The definition of MAFLD causes further heterogeneity in fatty liver disease/NAFLD.

The Spectrum and Impact of Metabolic Dysfunction in MAFLD: A Longitudinal Cohort Analysis of 32,683 Overweight and Obese Individuals.

BACKGROUND: Metabolic associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) was recently proposed as an alternative name change for better encapsulation of disease. However, there exists a spectrum of MAFLD where both metabolically healthy (MH) and metabolically unhealthy (MU) individuals are included. In view of limited evidence, we sought to examine the prevalence, clinical characteristics, and differences in outcomes of MH-MAFLD at the population level. METHODS: Data were used from the United States National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 1999 to 2018. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to obtain odds ratios for the estimation of events. Survival analysis was conducted with Cox regression and the Fine-Gray subdistribution model. RESULTS: There were 32,683 overweight and obese individuals included in the analysis. In MAFLD patients, the prevalence of MH-MAFLD was 6.92% (95% confidence interval [CI], 6.58%-7.27%), and 93.08% (95% CI, 92.73%-93.42%) were considered as MU-MAFLD. Multivariate analysis found a significantly higher risk of MACE (odds ratio, 1.38; 95% CI, 1.28-1.49; P < .01), all-cause (hazard ratio, 1.24; 95% CI, 1.17-1.32; P < .01), cardiovascular disease (SHR, 1.20; 95% CI, 1.02-1.42; P = .03), and cancer mortality (SHR, 1.24; 95% CI, 1.07-1.44; P < .01) in MU-MAFLD relative to non-MAFLD. However, MH-MAFLD individuals were not associated with a statistically significant increased risk of these adverse outcomes compared with non-MAFLD. MU-MAFLD diabetics were also at a higher risk of adverse events compared with non-diabetics. CONCLUSIONS: This study reports on the heterogeneity and spectrum of metabolic dysfunction that exists in overweight and obese MAFLD. Although MAFLD may potentially be advantageous in improving awareness and patient outcomes, there remains substantial heterogeneity within patients included in MAFLD on the basis of the underlying metabolic burden.

Outcomes of Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis After Liver Transplantation: An Updated Meta-Analysis and Systematic Review.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) is the fastest growing indication of liver transplantation (LT) and is projected to be the leading cause of LT in the near future. The systemic pathogenesis of NASH increases risks of adverse clinical outcomes in patients with NASH receiving LT. Thus, this study aimed to conduct a time-dependent survival analysis between LT recipients with and without NASH using hazard ratios. METHODS: A search was conducted on Medline and Embase databases for articles relating to LT outcomes for NASH recipients. A survival analysis was conducted of hazard ratios using the DerSimonian and Laird random-effects model with meta-regression. To account for censoring, survival data were reconstructed from published Kaplan-Meier curves and pooled to derive more accurate hazard estimates and all-cause mortality in NASH patients after LT. Pairwise meta-analysis was conducted to analyze secondary outcomes. RESULTS: Fifteen studies involving 119,327 LT recipients were included in our analysis with a prevalence of NASH of 20.2% (95% CI, 12.9-30.2). The pooled 1-year, 5-year, and 10-year all-cause mortality in NASH patients after LT were 12.5%, 24.4%, and 37.9%, respectively. Overall survival was comparable between LT recipients for NASH vs non-NASH (hazard ratio, 0.910; 95% CI, 0.760 to 1.10; P = .34). Meta-regression showed that a higher model for end-stage liver disease score was associated with significantly worse overall survival in NASH compared with non-NASH after LT (95% CI, -0.0856 to -0.0181; P = .0026). CONCLUSIONS: This study shows that patients undergoing LT for NASH cirrhosis have comparable complication rates, overall survival, and graft survival compared with non-NASH patients, although close monitoring may be indicated for those with higher model for end-stage liver disease scores.

UNOS Down-Staging Criteria for Liver Transplantation of Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of 25 Studies.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Down-staging is commonly used to select patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) beyond Milan criteria (MC) for liver transplantation (LT), but outcomes are heterogenous. We aimed to estimate pooled down-staging success rates, HCC recurrence, and overall survival (OS), stratified by criteria used for baseline tumor burden. METHODS: We searched Pubmed and EMBASE databases from inception until August 2021 for studies reporting down-staging success (reduction of tumor burden to within MC) and outcomes of adult HCC patients. In addition, we performed a pooled analysis using reconstructed individual participant data to obtain robust estimates for OS. RESULTS: We screened 1059 articles and included 25 articles involving 3997 patients. Overall, 55.16% (45.49%-64.46%) underwent successful down-staging, and 31.52% (24.03%-40.11%) received LT (by intention-to-treat analysis [ITT]). Among patients who received LT, 16.01% (11.80%-21.37%) developed HCC recurrence. Comparing studies that used the United Network for Organ Sharing Down-Staging (UNOS-DS) criteria versus studies beyond UNOS-DS or did not specify criteria, down-staging success (by ITT) was 83.21% versus 45.93%, P < .001; the proportion who received LT (by ITT) was 48.61% vs 28.60%, P = .030; and HCC recurrence (among patients who received LT) occurred in 9.06% versus 20.42%, P < .001. Among studies that used UNOS-DS criteria, ITT 1- and 5-year OS from the initiation of down-staging treatment was 86% and 58%, respectively, whereas 1- and 5-year post-LT OS was 94% and 74%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Among studies that adhered to UNOS-DS criteria, down-staging was successful in four-fifths of patients, >50% received LT, and post-LT outcomes were excellent. These data provide clinical validation for the utilization of UNOS-DS criteria.