Cancer incidence and mortality trends in France over 1990-2018 for solid tumors: the sex gap is narrowing.

OBJECTIVE: To analyze trends in cancer incidence and mortality (France, 1990-2018), with a focus on men-women disparities. METHODS: Incidence data stemmed from cancer registries (FRANCIM) and mortality data from national statistics (CépiDc). Incidence and mortality rates were modelled using bidimensional penalized splines of age and year (at diagnosis and at death, respectively). Trends in age-standardized rates were summarized by the average annual percent changes (AAPC) for all-cancers combined, 19 solid tumors, and 8 subsites. Sex gaps were indicated using male-to-female rate ratios (relative difference) and male-to-female rate differences (absolute difference) in 1990 and 2018, for incidence and mortality, respectively. RESULTS: For all-cancers, the sex gap narrowed over 1990-2018 in incidence (1.6 to 1.2) and mortality (2.3 to 1.7). The largest decreases of the male-to-female incidence rate ratio were for cancers of the lung (9.5 to 2.2), lip - oral cavity - pharynx (10.9 to 3.1), esophagus (12.6 to 4.5) and larynx (17.1 to 7.1). Mixed trends emerged in lung and oesophageal cancers, probably explained by differing risk factors for the two main histological subtypes. Sex incidence gaps narrowed due to increasing trends in men and women for skin melanoma (0.7 to 1, due to initially higher rates in women), cancers of the liver (7.4 to 4.4) and pancreas (2.0 to 1.4). Sex incidence gaps narrowed for colon-rectum (1.7 to 1.4), urinary bladder (6.9 to 6.1) and stomach (2.7 to 2.4) driven by decreasing trends among men. Other cancers showed similar increasing incidence trends in both sexes leading to stable sex gaps: thyroid gland (0.3 to 0.3), kidney (2.2 to 2.4) and central nervous system (1.4 to 1.5). CONCLUSION: In France in 2018, while men still had higher risks of developing or dying from most cancers, the sex gap was narrowing. Efforts should focus on avoiding risk factors (e.g., smoking) and developing etiological studies to understand currently unexplained increasing trends.

Improving survival in end-stage renal disease: A case study.

Background: With the increase of life expectancy, *On behalf of the REIN registry. end-stage renal disease (ESRD) is affecting a growing number of people. Simultaneously, renal replacement therapies (RRTs) have considerably improved patient survival. We investigated the way current RRT practices would affect patients' survival. Methods: We used a multi-state model to represent the transitions between RRTs and the transition to death. The concept of "crude probability of death" combined with this model allowed estimating the proportions of ESRD-related and ESRD-unrelated deaths. Estimating the ESRD-related death rate requires comparing the mortality rate between ESRD patients and the general population. Predicting patients' courses through RRTs and Death states could be obtained by solving a system of Kolmogorov differential equations. The impact of practice on patient survival was quantified using the restricted mean survival time (RMST) which was compared with that of healthy subjects with same characteristics. Results: The crude probability of ESRD-unrelated death was nearly zero in the youngest patients (18-45 years) but was a sizeable part of deaths in the oldest (≥70 years). Moreover, in the oldest patients, the proportion of expected death was higher in patient without vs. with diabetes because the former live older. In men aged 75 years at first RRT, the predicted RMSTs in patients with and without diabetes were, respectively, 61% and 69% those of comparable healthy men. Conclusion: Using the concept of "crude probability of death" with multi-state models is feasible and useful to assess the relative benefits of various treatments in ESRD and help patient long-term management.

Introduction of a paediatric anaesthesia comic information leaflet reduced preoperative anxiety in children.

BACKGROUND: The aim of the study was to determine whether the introduction of a paediatric anaesthesia comic information leaflet reduced preoperative anxiety levels of children undergoing major surgery. Secondary objectives were to determine whether the level of understanding of participants and other risk factors influence STAIC-S (State-Trait Anxiety Inventory for Children-State subscale) score in children. METHODS: We performed a randomized controlled parallel-group trial comparing preoperative anxiety between two groups of children aged >6 and <17 yr. Before surgery, the intervention group received a comic information leaflet at home in addition to routine information given by the anaesthetist at least 1 day before surgery. The control group received the routine information only. The outcome measure was the difference between STAIC-S scores measured before any intervention and after the anaesthetist's visit. A multiple regression analysis was performed to explore the influence of the level of education, the anxiety of parents, and the childrens' intelligence quotient on STAIC-S scores. RESULTS: One hundred and fifteen children were randomized between April 2009 and April 2013. An intention-to-treat analysis on data from 111 patients showed a significant reduction (P=0.002) in STAIC-S in the intervention group (n=54, mean=-2.2) compared with the control group (n=57, mean=0.90). The multiple regression analysis did not show any influence on STAIC-S scores of the level of education, parental anxiety, or the intelligence quotient of the children. CONCLUSIONS: A paediatric anaesthesia comic information leaflet was a cheap and effective means of reducing preoperative anxiety, measured by STAIC-S, in children. CLINICAL TRIALS REGISTRATION: NCT 00841022.

Morphometric analysis of the distal femur in total knee arthroplasty and native knees.

AIMS: Analysis of the morphology of the distal femur, and by extension of the femoral components in total knee arthroplasty (TKA), has largely been related to the aspect ratio, which represents the width of the femur. Little is known about variations in trapezoidicity (i.e. whether the femur is more rectangular or more trapezoidal). This study aimed to quantify additional morphological characteristics of the distal femur and identify anatomical features associated with higher risks of over- or under-sizing of components in TKA. METHODS: We analysed the shape of 114 arthritic knees at the time of primary TKA using the pre-operative CT scans. The aspect ratio and trapezoidicity ratio were quantified, and the post-operative prosthetic overhang was calculated. We compared the morphological characteristics with those of 12 TKA models. RESULTS: There was significant variation in both the aspect ratio and trapezoidicity ratio between individuals. Femoral trapezoidicity was mostly due to an inward curve of the medial cortex. Overhang was correlated with the aspect ratio (with a greater chance of overhang in narrow femurs), trapezoidicity ratio (with a greater chance in trapezoidal femurs), and the tibio-femoral angle (with a greater chance in valgus knees). DISCUSSION: This study shows that rectangular/trapezoidal variability of the distal femur cannot be ignored. Most of the femoral components which were tested appeared to be excessively rectangular when compared with the bony contours of the distal femur. These findings suggest that the design of TKA should be more concerned with matching the trapezoidal/rectangular shape of the native femur. TAKE HOME MESSAGE: The distal femur is considerably more trapezoidal than most femoral components, and therefore, care must be taken to avoid anterior prosthetic overhang in TKA

Estimating the parameters of multi-state models with time-dependent covariates through likelihood decomposition.

BACKGROUND: Multi-state models become complex when the number of states is large, when back and forth transitions between states are allowed, and when time-dependent covariates are inevitable. However, these conditions are sometimes necessary in the context of medical issues. For instance, they were needed for modelling the future treatments of patients with end-stage renal disease according to age and to various treatments. METHODS: The available modelling tools do not allow an easy handling of all issues; we designed thus a specific multi-state model that takes into account the complexity of the research question. Parameter estimation relied on decomposition of the likelihood and separate maximisations of the resulting likelihoods. This was possible because there were no interactions between patient treatment courses and because all exact times of transition from any state to another were known. Poisson likelihoods were calculated using the time spent at risk in each state and the observed transitions between each state and all others. The likelihoods were calculated on short time intervals during which age was considered as constant. RESULTS: The method was not limited by the number of parameters to estimate; it could be applied to a multi-state model with 10 renal replacement therapies. Supposing the parameters of the model constant over each of seven time intervals, this method was able to estimate one hundred age-dependent transitions. CONCLUSIONS: The method is easy to adapt to any disease with numerous states or grades as long as the disease does not imply interactions between patient courses.

Clonidine and dexmedetomidine increase the pressor response to norepinephrine in experimental sepsis: a pilot study.

OBJECTIVE: During septic shock, vasopressors are a cornerstone of therapy. In septic shock, very high doses of vasopressors sometimes have to be used due to vascular desensitization, the mechanisms of which are poorly understood. This study assesses whether α-2 agonists increase pressor responsiveness following lipopolysaccharide administration. DESIGN: Parallel groups of animals (n = 7 per group) subjected to pharmacologic interventions. SETTING: Physiology laboratory. SUBJECTS: Rats. INTERVENTIONS: In anesthetized rats, the pressor responses to increasing doses of norepinephrine (norepinephrine-systolic pressure curve) were assessed during a baseline period, after injection of saline or lipopolysaccharide, and after subsequent injection of saline, dexmedetomidine (100 µg/kg IV), or clonidine (200 µg/kg IV). MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Differences in the slopes of the norepinephrine-pressure curves were assessed across drug treatments and intervals. The pressor dose of norepinephrine necessary to increase systolic pressure by 33 and 100 mm Hg (pressor dose 33 and pressor dose 100) was determined. Pressor responsiveness to norepinephrine decreased slightly over time in the saline-saline group (saline 1 or 2 vs baseline: mean decrease of the slope, 2 mm Hg/µg/kg norepinephrine; p < 0.05), whereas there was a large decrease after lipopolysaccharide (lipopolysaccharide vs baseline: mean decrease of the slope, 7.2; p < 0.001). Clonidine alone had no effect, but when administered following lipopolysaccharide, it caused a striking increase in pressor responsiveness (mean slope after lipopolysaccharide, 10.7 [95% CI, 9.9-11.6]; after clonidine, 17.5 [95% CI, 16.7-18.4]). Similarly, dexmedetomidine administered after lipopolysaccharide caused a large increase in pressor responsiveness above lipopolysaccharide values. Accordingly the pressor dose 33 and pressor dose 100 values were lowered following lipopolysaccharide and restored by α-2 agonists. CONCLUSIONS: The pressor response to norepinephrine was reduced following lipopolysaccharide and increased to baseline levels following α-2 agonists.

ED50 and ED95 of intrathecal levobupivacaine with opioids for Caesarean delivery.

BACKGROUND: This prospective randomized double-blind dose-response study aimed to determine the ED50 and ED95 of intrathecal levobupivacaine combined with morphine and sufentanil for elective Caesarean delivery. METHODS: Parturients undergoing elective Caesarean delivery were included and allocated to five levobupivacaine dose groups (6, 8, 10, 12, or 14 mg). Combined spinal-epidural (CSE) anaesthesia was performed, allowing intrathecal administration of the allocated dose of levobupivacaine with intrathecal morphine 100 µg and intrathecal sufentanil 2.5 µg, and insertion of epidural catheter for completing anaesthesia in the case of failure. The dose was considered as successful if a bilateral T6 sensory block to pinprick occurred in 15 min and if no epidural supplement was required during surgery. A probit regression analysis was performed to calculate the ED50 and ED95 of intrathecal levobupivacaine for Caesarean delivery. RESULTS: Eighty-five parturients were included. A block to T6 sensory level was reached in 15 min for most of the patients. The ED50 and ED95 of levobupivacaine were 6.2 mg (95% CI: 2.6-7.6) and 12.9 mg (11.1-17.9), respectively. Haemodynamic stability and the rate of nausea and vomiting were similar among groups. Greater doses of levobupivacaine were associated with increased motor block duration. CONCLUSIONS: When combined with intrathecal sufentanil 2.5 µg and intrathecal morphine 100 µg, the ED95 of intrathecal levobupivacaine is 12.9 mg for Caesarean delivery. If doses of levobupivacaine less than the ED95, particularly near the ED50, are used, these doses should be administered under a CSE technique.