RESUMEN
New cases of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) are continually being recorded worldwide, despite global efforts in implementing non-pharmaceutical interventions and establishing vaccination programs. This trend highlights the need to identify the factors associated with the continued spread of COVID-19. The World Health Organization recommends hand washing as a cost-effective intervention for preventing COVID-19, indicating that water, sanitation, and hygiene (WaSH) are central to the prevention of the disease. However, low- and middle-income countries lack adequate access to WaSH, which increases the risk of contracting COVID-19. The aim of this study was to identify the WaSH factors associated with the incidence of COVID-19 and quantitatively estimate the effects of improvements in WaSH on reducing the incidence of COVID-19 during the peak of the pandemic. Lasso regression and extreme gradient boosting models were used to identify the WaSH factors. Distinct estimation models were developed to assess the effect of WaSH in rural regions under two assumptions: increasing regional basic sanitation coverage up to 25 % and 50%. The reduction in the incidence of COVID-19 during the peak of the pandemic was calculated for each rural region. The results of the analyses indicated that basic sanitation is important for reducing the incidence of COVID-19 in rural regions compared to urban regions in the Philippines. In addition, the results suggested that increasing basic sanitation coverage could reduce the incidence of COVID-19 by 2-66 %, alleviating the burden on healthcare facilities. This study indicates that improved basic sanitation infrastructure are needed in rural Philippines. The results of this study emphasise the significance of WaSH as an indicator of COVID-19 incidence, highlighting the need for its enhancement to enable the achievement of sustainable disease prevention and pandemic preparedness goals.
Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Higiene , Saneamiento , COVID-19/prevención & control , COVID-19/epidemiología , Filipinas/epidemiología , Humanos , Abastecimiento de Agua , Pandemias/prevención & control , Incidencia , SARS-CoV-2RESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Viral recombination that occurs by exchanging genetic materials between two viral genomes coinfecting the same host cells is associated with the emergence of new viruses with different virulence. Herein, we detected a patient coinfected with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) Delta and Omicron variants and identified various recombinants in the SARS-CoV-2 full-length spike gene using long-read and Sanger sequencing. METHODS: Samples from five patients in Japan with household transmission of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) were analyzed using molecular assays for detection and identification of SARS-CoV-2. Whole-genome sequencing was conducted using multiplex PCR with short-read sequencing. RESULTS: Among the five SARS-CoV-2-positive patients, the mutation-specific assay identified the Delta variant in three, the Omicron variant in one, and an undetermined in one. The undermined patient was identified as Delta using whole-genome sequencing, but samples showed a mixed population of Delta and Omicron variants. This patient was analyzed for viral quasispecies by long-read and Sanger sequencing using a full-length spike gene amplicon. In addition to the Delta and Omicron sequences, the viral quasispecies analysis identified nine different genetic recombinant sequences with various breakpoints between Delta and Omicron sequences. The nine detected recombinant sequences in the spike gene showed over 99% identity with viruses that were detected during the Delta and Omicron cocirculation period from the United States and Europe. CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrates that patients coinfected with different SARS-CoV-2 variants can generate various viral recombinants and that various recombinant viruses may be produced during the cocirculation of different variants.
Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Coinfección , Genoma Viral , Recombinación Genética , SARS-CoV-2 , Secuenciación Completa del Genoma , Humanos , SARS-CoV-2/genética , SARS-CoV-2/aislamiento & purificación , COVID-19/virología , COVID-19/complicaciones , Coinfección/virología , Genoma Viral/genética , Glicoproteína de la Espiga del Coronavirus/genética , Masculino , Japón , Femenino , Filogenia , Mutación , Persona de Mediana EdadRESUMEN
Despite the implementation of non-pharmaceutical interventions, the threat of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) remains significant on a global scale. Identifying external factors contributing to its spread is crucial, especially given the World Health Organization's recommendation emphasizing access to water, sanitation, and hygiene as essential in curbing COVID-19. There is a notable discrepancy in access to sanitation facilities, particularly evident in low- and middle-income countries. However, there is a lack of quantitative assessments regarding these factors. This study examines various environmental, socioeconomic, water, sanitation, and hygiene factors and their associations with COVID-19 incidence. All regions in the Philippines were categorized into clusters based on socioeconomic factors. A conceptual structural equation model (SEM) was developed using domain knowledge. The best-fitting SEM for each cluster was determined, and associations between factors and COVID-19 incidence were estimated. The correlation analysis revealed that rainfall, minimum temperature, and relative humidity were positively correlated with weekly COVID-19 incidence in urban regions. Maximum temperature, mean temperature, wind speed, and wind direction were negatively correlated with weekly COVID-19 incidence in rural regions, with time lags of 0, 3, and 7 weeks. In urban regions (Cluster 1), factors such as urbanization rate (1.00), area (-0.93), and population (0.54) were found to be associated with weekly COVID-19 incidence. Conversely, in rural regions (Cluster 2), factors including area (0.17), basic sanitation (0.84), and wind direction (0.83) showed associations with weekly COVID-19 incidence. These factors were causally associated with a latent variable reflecting the hidden confounders associated with COVID-19 incidence. It is important to note that sanitation factors were associated only in rural regions. Improving access to sanitation facilities in rural regions of the Philippines is imperative to effectively mitigate disease transmission in future pandemics. Identification of the causal effect of unobserved confounders with COVID-19 incidence is recommended for future research.
Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Higiene , Saneamiento , Factores Socioeconómicos , Filipinas/epidemiología , COVID-19/epidemiología , COVID-19/prevención & control , Humanos , Incidencia , Abastecimiento de Agua/estadística & datos numéricos , SARS-CoV-2RESUMEN
Objectives: Annual outbreaks of human respiratory syncytial virus (HRSV) are caused by newly introduced and locally persistent strains. During the COVID-19 pandemic, global and local circulation of HRSV significantly decreased. This study was conducted to characterize HRSV in 2018-2022 and to analyze the impact of COVID-19 on the evolution of HRSV. Design/methods: Combined oropharyngeal and nasopharyngeal swabs were collected from children hospitalized with severe acute respiratory infection at two hospitals in Zambia. The second hypervariable region of the attachment gene G was targeted for phylogenetic analysis. Results: Of 3113 specimens, 504 (16.2%) were positive for HRSV, of which 131 (26.0%) and 66 (13.1%) were identified as HRSVA and HRSVB, respectively. In early 2021, an increase in HRSV was detected, caused by multiple distinct clades of HRSVA and HRSVB. Some were newly introduced, whereas others resulted from local persistence. Conclusions: This study provides insights into the evolution of HRSV, driven by global and local circulation. The COVID-19 pandemic had a temporal impact on the evolution pattern of HRSV. Understanding the evolution of HRSV is vital for developing strategies for its control.